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Why the Bitcoin Network Just Split In Half and Why It Matters (arstechnica.com)

In a report via Ars Technica, Timothy B. Lee explains why the Bitcoin network split into two and why it matters: On Tuesday, a faction of the Bitcoin community launched an audacious experiment: a new version of Bitcoin called Bitcoin Cash that's incompatible with the standard version. As a result, the Bitcoin network split into two mutually incompatible networks that will operate side-by-side. The confusing result is that if you owned one bitcoin before the split you own two bitcoins now: one coin on the original Bitcoin network, and a second coin on the new Bitcoin Cash network. The two coins have the same cryptographic credentials, but they have very different values if you sell them for old-fashioned dollars. On Wednesday morning, one standard Bitcoin was worth about $2,700, while -- on paper at least -- a unit of Bitcoin Cash was worth around $600. [...]

For over a year, the Bitcoin network has been bumping up against a capacity limit hard-coded into the Bitcoin software. Each block in the Bitcoin blockchain -- the network's public, shared transaction ledger -- is limited to 1 megabyte. That artificial limit prevents the network from processing more than about seven transactions per second. Technically speaking, it would be trivial to change that 1 megabyte limit to a higher value. But proposals to do so have faced opposition from traditionalists who argue the limit is actually an important feature of Bitcoin's design that protects the network's democratic character. To participate in the network's peer-to-peer process for clearing transactions, a computer needs a copy of every transaction ever made on the Bitcoin network, which adds up to gigabytes of data per month. This argument has dragged on for more than two years with no resolution. So instead of continuing to bicker, a group of big-block supporters took matters into their own hands. They forked the standard, open-source Bitcoin client to create a rival version of the software.

109 comments

  1. Some people got rich overnight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Some people, like the owner of this address https://bitinfocharts.com/bitcoin%20cash/address/1JCe8z4jJVNXSjohjM4i9Hh813dLCNx2Sy got $43million richer overnight, if they were to cash out all of their bitcoin cash holdings right now.

    1. Re:Some people got rich overnight by Zaelath · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Some people, like the owner of this address https://bitinfocharts.com/bitc... got $43million richer overnight, if they could cash out all of their bitcoin cash holdings right now.

      FTFY

    2. Re:Some people got rich overnight by Kaenneth · · Score: 2

      Except, for the moment, there is nowhere to cash them out.

    3. Re:Some people got rich overnight by gsslay · · Score: 3, Interesting

      And as soon as they attempted to, the value of them would plummet.

    4. Re:Some people got rich overnight by Dunbal · · Score: 4, Insightful

      If they were to "cash out" all their bitcoin holdings the price would plummet before selling even more than 1000 btc. Try to cash out and see what happens in a market with no volume.

      --
      Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    5. Re:Some people got rich overnight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Over $400million in volume yesterday. Not exactly "no volume".

      Seems like the people on the exchanges got their BCC/BCH and the price actually went up.

    6. Re:Some people got rich overnight by Aaden42 · · Score: 2

      Transaction volume within a currency isn't the same thing as transfer in/out volume. Bajillions of dollars worth of transactions are conducted in USD every day. If suddenly everyone who had USD tried to sell it for some other currency, the price of USD would plummet.

      The fact that lots of transactions fly back & forth within BTC doesn't mean you'd find the equivalent in value of people willing to give you fiat currency for your BTC. The guy with $43mill? That's over 10% of the daily volume. Try to shift 10% of a currency's daily volume into sales to another currency. You're in Zimbabwe territory at that point.

    7. Re:Some people got rich overnight by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Please send a few hundred Bitcoins to 17Yvsma9tfiuqVP7QhsFE2VmsFpTEMy17P pretty please!

  2. segwit2 support in core by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

    core bitcoin is also 'soft-forking' to get bigger block sizes a the same time.
    This will in the next few hours / days activate a software update giving the official bitcoin chain bigger block sizes.
    To see the activation status see: http://segwit.co/

    Bitcoin cash does have some interesting ideas but i'd probably stick with bitcoin as they finally have gotten thair act together and implemented a solution to the problem.

  3. Let's fork it again, and again, and again... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I propose we start forking BTC every week and short the everliving fuck out of it while the mass confusion and general annoyance drives the price into the ground. Plus, if every other fork gains even a tiny bit of traction, then you've magically made a ton of money in the process. If they can do it, why can't we?

    I propose we call next week's fork "Bitcoin Money". Then after that, we can switch to "Bitcoin Dollar", "Bitcoin Platinum", and any other snazzy marketing name someone can come up with that includes the name "Bitcoin". Let's burn the whole fucking thing to the ground and make a heap of money doing it.

    1. Re:Let's fork it again, and again, and again... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Wow. Someone's bitter they missed out on a making a lot of money.

    2. Re:Let's fork it again, and again, and again... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      And someone's scared that they realize there's absolutely nothing from stopping this scenario from happening.

    3. Re: Let's fork it again, and again, and again... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Or clever to think of a new way to make more money.

    4. Re:Let's fork it again, and again, and again... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Once it became a regular event, people would just start ignoring it. When all the side coins dropped to zero value, people would stop buying them, and that would be that.

    5. Re:Let's fork it again, and again, and again... by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 1

      For more information, see FlappyCoin and MoonCoin.

      --
      #DeleteFacebook
  4. So... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    TBL is now an expert on bitcoin, too? News to me. :trollface:

  5. It doesn't matter actually ... by perpenso · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Actually, it does not matter. Bitcoin Cash is redundant. They may be correct as to the technical merits of why a change is needed regarding maximum block size but their fork is unnecessary. Ordinary Bitcoin may adopt a larger block size or some other remedy at any time in the future. The argument is only over whether something needs to be done today. Well that and internal developer politics.

    Regular Bitcoin is not locked into some doomed course. They can make a block size change on the timeframe they think appropriate; or if Bitcoin Cash does enjoy increasing popularity they can make the change to put an end to the defections to the other side. Either way Bitcoin Cash seems doomed. Although I'm sure some speculators will find a way to make money off the hype.

    1. Re:It doesn't matter actually ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0


      Ordinary Bitcoin may adopt a larger block size or some other remedy at any time in the future.

      It might. Or if BCH is successful, it might just become a worthless alt-coin. It's also possible that "ordinary bitcoin" will also split into two more chains again. Or it may never split at all, and most miners will choose to go BCH. At this point, why would a miner choose to mine on BTC when BCH is already established and already has larger block sizes?

      Bitcoin is about consensus. When consensus isn't reached, people go different ways.

    2. Re:It doesn't matter actually ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bitcoin is weird.

      Yes, I'm old.

    3. Re:It doesn't matter actually ... by Tim12s · · Score: 4, Interesting

      The original bitcoin had no blocksize limit. Bitcoin Cash simply increased the blocksize from 1MB to 8MB. Bitcoin Cash is the real bitcoin. Bitcoin Segwit changes the way the formula works and should actually be considered an altcoin.

      The crux of the politics comes down to the future revenue streams from transactions. 81% of current hashing power is Chinese and that online wallets/exchanges/gateways do not want to send future transaction fees to china. The Bitcoin name is being usurped by an altcoin and a media campaign is supporting this.

      Look, I'm not happy with chinese getting 81% of hashing power and subsequent control, i'm also not happy with the wallets and exchanges getting control. I might-as-well stick with VISA for my banking settlement as it is regulated and protects me. The crux about cash in your hand is that you can spend it however you want without regard. The future BTC will not be able to transact as it will become a settlement layer with all real business transactions moving off the chain.

      I'll stick with VISA instead of moving to LN.

    4. Re:It doesn't matter actually ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Computers are weird.

    5. Re:It doesn't matter actually ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > The original bitcoin had no blocksize limit. Bitcoin Cash simply increased the blocksize from 1MB to 8MB. Bitcoin Cash is the real bitcoin.

      By your own reasoning, this is wrong. The "real bitcoin" would have no block size limit. 8MB is as fake as 1MB.

    6. Re:It doesn't matter actually ... by afgam28 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Even if Bitcoin does raise the block size one day, it's still not clear to me how it's ever going to scale high enough to become a general purpose currency. Going from 7 transactions/second to 56 sounds nice and all, but Visa and Mastercard handle about 2000 transactions/second. Each.

      Are they going to eventually go to a 600+ MB block size? Or are a sizeable number of transactions going to have to go through bank-like intermediaries?

    7. Re:It doesn't matter actually ... by namgge · · Score: 2

      People are weird.

    8. Re:It doesn't matter actually ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      my DAMN balls are weird. suck them, please.

    9. Re: It doesn't matter actually ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      Your numbers are a little out of date. Visa last year alone averaged 4500 transactions a second.

    10. Re:It doesn't matter actually ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      " I might-as-well stick with VISA for my banking settlement as it is regulated and protects me."

      You might as well sing: I'm an idiot, lalalalala.

    11. Re:It doesn't matter actually ... by Troed · · Score: 2

      Segwit, due to be implemented in the original Bitcoin code within a few weeks, allows for side channels (lightning networks) where such quick clearing & settlement can be performed. There's no real limit to how many transactions per second can be done that way, although it's a different kind of settlement than the completely decentralized version that's on-chain.

    12. Re: It doesn't matter actually ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Keep pumping. Just make sure you're out before the dump.

    13. Re: It doesn't matter actually ... by swillden · · Score: 2

      Your numbers are a little out of date. Visa last year alone averaged 4500 transactions a second.

      It should be pointed out that "Visa" isn't a transaction clearing system. It's a bank association. Large numbers of transactions are easily handled because there is no single system that all of the transactions flow through. There is a set of card issuing banks, a set of merchant acquiring banks, and a set of clearinghouses that connect them -- for the cases that the acquiring banks and issuing banks don't just connect directly, which they often do.

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    14. Re:It doesn't matter actually ... by perpenso · · Score: 1

      Even if Bitcoin does raise the block size one day, it's still not clear to me how it's ever going to scale high enough to become a general purpose currency. Going from 7 transactions/second to 56 sounds nice and all, but Visa and Mastercard handle about 2000 transactions/second. Each.

      Are they going to eventually go to a 600+ MB block size? Or are a sizeable number of transactions going to have to go through bank-like intermediaries?

      As I wrote before: "may adopt a larger block size **or some other remedy** at any time in the future".

      My point is that Classic Bitcoin is not going to sit idly by and say: well, the old 1.0 version of our design can't handle our upcoming performance requirements. Lets just pack things up and call it a failure. No, they can implement whatever changes are necessary, block size or otherwise.

    15. Re: It doesn't matter actually ... by afgam28 · · Score: 1

      These side channels look kind of like the bank-like intermediaries to me. If the bulk of Bitcoin transactions have to be made off of the blockchain, doesn't this negate the benefits of an untraceable currency on an untrusted distributed system? Or am I missing something here?

    16. Re:It doesn't matter actually ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      can't find 'em

    17. Re: It doesn't matter actually ... by Troed · · Score: 1

      Bitcoin has never been untraceable, nor marketed as such by anyone who understands the technology. With that said, we'll see MAST and Schnorr signatures as well and that will indeed open up for transactions where the originator cannot be proven, smart contracts (surpassing those in Ethereum) etc.

      If you want quick settlements in the thousands per second for people buying lattes I don't think those need to be cleared on-chain, though.

    18. Re: It doesn't matter actually ... by sjames · · Score: 1

      None of that matters, he wasn't hailing the virtues of Visa's transaction handling, he was pointing out their transaction rate as a guide to what is required to meet the needs of commerce today. BTC is nowhere near where it needs to be if it is to take over.

    19. Re: It doesn't matter actually ... by swillden · · Score: 1

      None of that matters, he wasn't hailing the virtues of Visa's transaction handling, he was pointing out their transaction rate as a guide to what is required to meet the needs of commerce today. BTC is nowhere near where it needs to be if it is to take over.

      I wasn't commenting on BTC, just correcting a common misunderstanding of how credit card transactions work.

      If you want a comment on BTC, though, I'll say this: The only way to scale to very high transaction volumes is by decentralizing. BTC's problem is that it is too centralized, which seems an odd thing to say about a fully decentralized transaction ledger, but it's true. The problem is that there's only one ledger, and all copies of it must be synchronized. I can think of a few different ways this could be solved, so the problem isn't inherent in blockchain-based cryptocurrencies, but only represents a flaw in the design of this one.

      --
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  6. Literally a joke by Kaenneth · · Score: 3, Informative

    Most on the mining power for 'Bitcoin Cash' aka 'BCash' was applied as a joke; they have less than 7% of the hashing power of BTC; and could be easily taken over with a 51% attack on mining.

    https://bitsonline.com/hong-ko...

    it's not split in half, it's split off a sliver.

    Disclosure, I own one quarter of one Bitcoin/BCash.

    1. Re:Literally a joke by FeelGood314 · · Score: 2

      The 51% attack is mostly theoretical. Yes, it could be done but it would destroy the value of what you are stealing so what would be the point? Plus, there would be blow back. It would tarnish the value of BTC. There will be an equilibrium between the price of BCC and BTC in value and in hashing ability. The two will closely follow each other with the Hashing power lagging slightly. The only value in Bit coins is their ability to facilitate transactions. If the new Bit cash is better it will likely gain in value.

    2. Re:Literally a joke by Kaenneth · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Exactly to destroy it.

    3. Re:Literally a joke by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sounds like were in about the same boat right now.

      I am kicking myself now for giving up on Bitcoin in the early days, I bought one of the 330m hash/s block exploders shortly after they came out and tried my hand at some mining, never really amounted to much and i just chucked the thing in a drawer and largely ignored bitcoin.

      Had I just sunk the cash i spent on that block exploder into just buying some bitcoin back then id have a nice amount right now.

      When i heard about the fork and how it was going to work with the free BCC/BCH i decided to buy $500 in BTC and put it in my own wallet to get my free coins.

      I don't know if BCC/BCH is going to amount to anything but at least 5 years from now if it does I got some free coins out of it.

    4. Re: Literally a joke by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Plus, there would be blow back.

      Hee hee, 'blow back'.

      I get you. Wink wink.

    5. Re:Literally a joke by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure, and when that 51% moves off temporarily to kill off BCcash, then the remaining 49% of the BC miners only require what was 25% of the original to do them over.

    6. Re:Literally a joke by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So.. BCcash had 7% of the total capacity..... So if the miners of BTC wanted to attack BCcash they would have to move how many % of their hashing capacity??

      BTC could move 90% of it's hashing capacity for an attack BCcash would still not have more >=51% of the hashing-capacity on the BTC network.

    7. Re: Literally a joke by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      THIS just illustrates that the only people who made real money are early adopters.

      The economics of the situation is that unless bitcoin does something truly novel and useful, it doesn't have any long term value. You can buy now if you want, but you won't get rich quick off buying on an old speculative burst.

    8. Re:Literally a joke by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Someone owning large shares of ethereum would likely make a lot of money off crashing the BTC market...

  7. Does this break the limited supply 'feature'? by Mr307 · · Score: 2

    Its my understanding that bitcoin is not a fiat currency there is no proclamation from anyone with authority claiming its value, as well its not a currency backed by a commodity or good, so controlling the scarcity seems to be an incredibly important factor.

    If I understand it correctly, previously the rate was limited to a linear function of time, but now this appears to be very broken as it can be doubled at any time?

    And lastly I haven't even looked to see how the market for the currency has been affected but I would assume that it has to decrease as people come to understand the total amount of currency can be doubled or more at any time?

    1. Re:Does this break the limited supply 'feature'? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Its my understanding that bitcoin is not a fiat currency there is no proclamation from anyone with authority claiming its value, as well its not a currency backed by a commodity or good, so controlling the scarcity seems to be an incredibly important factor.

      If I understand it correctly, previously the rate was limited to a linear function of time, but now this appears to be very broken as it can be doubled at any time?

      And lastly I haven't even looked to see how the market for the currency has been affected but I would assume that it has to decrease as people come to understand the total amount of currency can be doubled or more at any time?

      Your understanding is wrong in almost every respect.

    2. Re:Does this break the limited supply 'feature'? by wvmarle · · Score: 4, Interesting

      It sound more like that they created what is effectively an entirely new currency, after all the two are incompatible.

      So somehow, they created a huge amount of value (on paper, at least - good luck converting all these "coins" in real world cash) unless the original BTC has dropped by USD 600 per coin at the same time. Nothing like it is mentioned in TFS.

      So originally you had one BTC valued at USD 2,700. After the split you still have your BTC valued at USD 2,700, but on top of that a BTC-Cash that's valued at USD 600. So now your holding has a paper value of USD 3,300.

      Weird. But then I've also never really understood the speculation going on in stock markets and futures and commodities and whatnot.

    3. Re:Does this break the limited supply 'feature'? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The value has dropped slightly, but really nothing out of the norm from the daily swings that BTC makes. What happens over the next week or two will probably be a better indication.

      I was honestly thinking there might have been a much larger swing pre and post fork, thinking people might put in a shitload of cash just before the fork, to have stake in BTC so they would be able to claim their free bitcoin cash coins, then pull it back out of BTC post fork.

      Basically the way it worked, whatever you held in BTC before the fork was duplicated to the BCC coin fork. So you could have bought 1BTC at say 6pm on July 31st, then cashed it back out at 6am Aug 1st. All your BTC holdings would have been liquidated, but the BCC still exists. It was basically free money out of thin air.

      What happens with BCC over the long run is anyone's guess at this point.

    4. Re:Does this break the limited supply 'feature'? by fuzzyfuzzyfungus · · Score: 4, Informative

      There's an extra wrinkle: it's downright trivial to make your own new 'coin'(at least if it's a close clone of one of the existing ones; making more significant architectural changes would obviously be a bigger job). There are even handy web interfaces that will make them for you; just plug in your parameters and go.

      However, creating a new variant doesn't affect the scarcity of the existing variant: there are more 'coins' in circulation overall; but 'coins' from one fork can always be distinguished from those of the other; so the scarcity of Fork X 'coins' remains the same; but now there are Fork Y 'coins' as well.

      The really scarce resource is interest: as noted, having your own pet 'coin' and blockchain is extremely trivial; but also likely to be worthless because you can't pass it off as being the 'real thing'; and nobody else cares about it. This incident is somewhat notable not in that it's the creation of yet another cryptocurrency variant(which happens all the time); but that there was enough discontent with the existing arrangement that the fork has actually attracted some attention and isn't completely worthless.

    5. Re: Does this break the limited supply 'feature'? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Its my understanding that bitcoin is not a fiat currency...

      Wow, your powers of perception are extraordinary, why are you wasting them here?

    6. Re:Does this break the limited supply 'feature'? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Agreed, it is inaccurate to claim that the supply of bitcoin doubled. OP is trolling and does not understand blockchains. Anyone can fork bitcoin at anytime, but their fork will likely not have any network support and will quickly fizzle. Bitcoin cash (UAHF) was able to leverage the hype built around bip 148 UASF to gain some traction (7% of the network hashrate) and we shall see how the market reacts to it. An interesting "feature" (that OP failed to recognize in their ignorance of blockchains) is that UTXOs created prior to Aug 1. now hold more value than those created after the hard fork, that is interesting and new. One could imagine that far in the future after many generations of splitting has occurred, that classic UTXOs will hold tremendous value beyond that tied to just the bitcoin they control due to this exponential value creation feature.

    7. Re:Does this break the limited supply 'feature'? by sexconker · · Score: 1

      Its my understanding that bitcoin is not a fiat currency

      there is no proclamation from anyone with authority claiming its value, as well its not a currency backed by a commodity or good, so controlling the scarcity seems to be an incredibly important factor.

      You just described every modern fiat currency.

    8. Re:Does this break the limited supply 'feature'? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So somehow, they created a huge amount of value

      Price is not value. All of this is entirely virtual. Probably no value has been created and some value has been destroyed. Value will only be created if people start to be able to use Bitcoin Cash for more transactions.

      I've also never really understood the speculation going on in stock markets and futures and commodities and whatnot.

      You can claim any price you want for something, as long as you don't have to sell it. If you artificially limit the amount of sales then there may even be some people who are willing to pay an artificially high price because they want to have a small amount of whatever you have. This is exactly the same thing with stocks. Private companies like Uber can seem to have huge values because they aren't actually openly and publicly traded. Even if they are publicly traded, it may take a long time before the price has any relation to value. This is simply because the people who own the thing hope they will get a higher price in future, so aren't willing to sell at the actual value.

      Right now, most holders of Bitcoin are speculators for long term value, so the value is entirely artificial. When, eventually, they there are a serious number of people trying to get their "value" out we will find out the real value of Bitcoin.

    9. Re:Does this break the limited supply 'feature'? by 91degrees · · Score: 5, Informative

      Weird. But then I've also never really understood the speculation going on in stock markets and futures and commodities and whatnot.

      If you're like me, you do, but rejected the correct answer because it seemed so silly.

      It's explained reasonably well by analogy with the Parable of the Ox Explained here on the BBC's excellent "More Or Less" radio programme/podcast, but if you prefer to read here's the author's post.

    10. Re:Does this break the limited supply 'feature'? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Isn't it actually the definition of a fiat currency?

    11. Re:Does this break the limited supply 'feature'? by gsslay · · Score: 1

      Except the value of your BTC-Cash is entirely speculative. It could turn out to be entirely worthless. "Value" is only determined by how much others are interest in having your BTC-Cash. If no-one cares, then all you have is a heap of bits costing disk space.

      Creating a new currency is easy and can be done by anyone using anything. Get a post-it off your desk, draw a smiley face and write the number 100 on it. There you go, you have ownership of a new currency. Open Notepad, type a few random words and save it with a file name of "1 million.cash". There you go, a new virtual currency. Value? Absolutely nothing. No-one cares.

      Ultimately Bitcoin Cash could be no different.

    12. Re:Does this break the limited supply 'feature'? by wvmarle · · Score: 1

      Same for bitcoin and all the other cryptocurrencies. That's why I added "good luck converting them".

      The original bitcoin seems to be fairly liquid, and reasonably easy to convert in reasonably large volume, though if someone wants to convert any significant amount (say a thousand of them) they'd likely run into serious trouble already.

      It's all speculative, highly speculative. Just like most stocks on the stock market (and all short term movements of their value). There are few if any companies that would be able to buy back all their stock at current rates due to the high speculative factor in the price.

    13. Re:Does this break the limited supply 'feature'? by Troed · · Score: 1

      1000 BTC would be about 3 million USD. That's an order of magnitude, or two, lower than the daily trading volume.

      https://blockchain.info/charts...

    14. Re:Does this break the limited supply 'feature'? by swillden · · Score: 2

      It's explained reasonably well by analogy with the Parable of the Ox

      No, it isn't. At least, it isn't if we're talking about shares in real companies, or quantities of real commodities.

      The parable starts out pretty good, but where it breaks down is in its assumption that the scale goes away completely. In the parable, the weight of the ox becomes entirely divorced from any sort of reality, but that doesn't happen in securities, because there is an underlying value in the security: it's future earning potential. The parable really needs to add some notion that the ox, or parts of it, will eventually be weighed, actually weighed, not just acceptance of an average value of guesses, and incorrect guesses will lose at that point.

      For example, for the last couple of years I've been investing money now and then in shares of TSLA. At this point, I own a few thousand dollars worth of the company, based on the current consensus view of what the whole company is worth, divided by the number of shares in total. Now this consensus total value is many, many times the value of Tesla's actual assets. And it's also significantly higher than most other common methods of estimating value, based on revenue, income, etc.

      Why is it high? Because lots of people guess it should be? Sort of... but not really. And we will eventually find out whether that high valuation was or was not correct. The ox will get weighed. How?

      It's high because there is a possibility that Tesla will experience explosive success, generating massive revenues and profits that will replay the relatively high cost of investing now. Pulling the price down, though, is the possibility that Tesla will fail to achieve that level of success, but just continue being a niche carmaker. Pulling it down some more is the possibility that the EV and solar home markets will never really pan out, or that Tesla will fail to execute well on delivering its promises to its customers. In either case, it could crash and burn, becoming worth a tiny fraction of its current value, or even going bankrupt. I owned one stock that followed this path, becoming completely worthless.

      There's an underlying business that will succeed or fail, and in doing so will justify some current stock price. We don't know what that currently-justifiable price is, which is where the uncertainty and the guessing come in. But, as I said before, the ox will be weighed. There is a core reality underlying the security whose value we're guessing; it's not pure guess-averaging.

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    15. Re:Does this break the limited supply 'feature'? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Weird. But then I've also never really understood the speculation going on in stock markets and futures and commodities and whatnot.

      Despite what the Engineers on Slashdot would have you believe, it is all pretty simple and understandable (albeit has problems). Consider the following progression in how they develop.

      1) You are a farmer. You buy some seeds to plant in your field at whatever price happens to be for sale on the day. You harvest a few months later and sell them for whatever price you can get on that day. Done.

      2) You are a farmer. You don't like the fact you don't know how much you will be able to sell your crops for. So you buy some seeds. Plant them. You know based on experience you will harvest between 100-200 bushels of corn, so you make an agreement with a local restaurant that in July 5, you will sell them 100 bushels of corn (the minimum you know you will harvest) for $5000, which both you and the restaurant think will be a fair price. Now, on July 1, you harvest your corn. Sell 100 at the pre-agreed price, sell the extra 40 bushels you harvested for whatever market rate.

      3) You are a farmer. You also don't like the fact you don't know how much your seeds will cost you. So you make an agreement with Monsanto to buy 1000 seeds for $100 on January 1. On January 1 you buy those 1000 seeds, plant them, then harvest them on July 1, sell the 100 at the pre-agreed price, sell the extra.

      That's the basics of the futures market. It's a pre-agreed sale to occur in the future (hence the name).

      As for the fluctuations, that's because the future is unpredictable. That contract to sell your 100 bushels of corn for $5000. If "everybody knows" their is a drought so corn will be in low supply and high demand, then you as the farmer will want to sell it for $7000 instead, as the "fair price" has gone up. If "everybody knows" that there was a bumper crop, the restaurant will demand you sell it for $3000 instead, as the "fair price" has gone down.

    16. Re:Does this break the limited supply 'feature'? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Weird. But then I've also never really understood the speculation going on in stock markets and futures and commodities and whatnot.

      Despite what the Engineers on Slashdot would have you believe, it is all pretty simple and understandable (albeit has problems). Consider the following progression in how they develop.

      1) You are a farmer. You buy some seeds to plant in your field at whatever price happens to be for sale on the day. You harvest a few months later and sell them for whatever price you can get on that day. Done.

      2) You are a farmer. You don't like the fact you don't know how much you will be able to sell your crops for. So you buy some seeds. Plant them. You know based on experience you will harvest between 100-200 bushels of corn, so you make an agreement with a local restaurant that in July 5, you will sell them 100 bushels of corn (the minimum you know you will harvest) for $5000, which both you and the restaurant think will be a fair price. Now, on July 1, you harvest your corn. Sell 100 at the pre-agreed price, sell the extra 40 bushels you harvested for whatever market rate.

      3) You are a farmer. You also don't like the fact you don't know how much your seeds will cost you. So you make an agreement with Monsanto to buy 1000 seeds for $100 on January 1. On January 1 you buy those 1000 seeds, plant them, then harvest them on July 1, sell the 100 at the pre-agreed price, sell the extra.

      That's the basics of the futures market. It's a pre-agreed sale to occur in the future (hence the name).

      As for the fluctuations, that's because the future is unpredictable. That contract to sell your 100 bushels of corn for $5000. If "everybody knows" their is a drought so corn will be in low supply and high demand, then you as the farmer will want to sell it for $7000 instead, as the "fair price" has gone up. If "everybody knows" that there was a bumper crop, the restaurant will demand you sell it for $3000 instead, as the "fair price" has gone down.

      Thats'a s summary if futures contracts.

      The futures market, is a layer on top of that where the restaurant decides they think the market price will end up being lower than what their contract says they have to pay so they sell their end of the contract to someone who has no initiation of taking delivery of the corn but thinks he'll be able to sell the contract on to another restaurant that's less optimistic for a net gain.

    17. Re:Does this break the limited supply 'feature'? by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      So now your holding has a paper value of USD 3,300

      Papervalue is meaningless when trading volumes are low. Large volumes of trading causes stabilization.

      For instance. I give you a GarbzCoin. It's worth $1000. Try converting it to $1000 by selling it. Personally I won't even given you $1000 for it. I may have told you that's what it's worth but hey that's just the paper value. There's no intrinsic value if no one else will give you $1000 for it, so it's essentially worthless.

      Now if I gave you a GarbzCoin. It's worth $1000. Hundreds of other people have GarbzCoins worth $1000 each and they buy and sell them all the time. You're far more likely to find someone who will offer you that much as they can see other people are buying and selling and using it. I may eve take the coin back for $1000. That is stability through trading volume.

      No one with hordes of bitcoin cash can sell it now. Doing so would annihilate its value as it is nothing more than paper value.

  8. Miners high fee coin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This is just Jihan's coin. If you support the miners and want high transaction fees and a centralized coin support this

  9. Awesome! by Narcocide · · Score: 1

    Now both projects are exactly half as relevant to their purpose. Good job guys.

    1. Re:Awesome! by Wootery · · Score: 1

      exactly half

      Depends on adoption, no?

      If I made a WooteryCoin fork, and everyone rightly ignored it, it wouldn't impact the value of BitCoin at all, right?

  10. Re:Suck my DUPE balls! by Black+Lifes+Matter · · Score: 0

    Not funny.

  11. Traditionalists... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    But proposals to do so have faced opposition from traditionalists

    I love that a 9 year currency which has yet to really break into mainstream usage has traditionalists.

  12. 56 Transactions/Sec? by mentil · · Score: 4, Informative

    So the main feature is that the block size is 8x the size of BTC's. So now instead of the entire network being able to only handle 7 transactions/second it can handle only 56? SWIFT handles ~350 transactions/second on a good day, for comparison. Furthermore, the entire blockchain at this point is currently ~126GB. That's enough to fill up most mobile devices by itself. So with 8x the block size, the blockchain will soon be in the terabytes? Storage isn't getting larger/cheaper at that rate any more. Sounds like someone needs to fix the "you need the entire history of the world's financial transactions" problem next.

    --
    Corruption is convincing someone that the selfless ideal is the same as their selfish ideal.
    1. Re:56 Transactions/Sec? by Khyber · · Score: 3, Insightful

      "Storage isn't getting larger/cheaper at that rate any more. Sounds like someone needs to fix the "you need the entire history of the world's financial transactions" problem next."

      Won't happen, can't happen. Idiots still haven't learned the problems experienced in the 70s regarding permissionless distributed databases. Rather, people aren't teaching them because they (foolishly) ignored mathematical proofs, then actual demonstration.

      It simply cannot scale with technology and human transactions.

      And it's repeating that history as evidenced by this fork (which STILL isn't good enough, the short-sighted idiots.)

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
    2. Re:56 Transactions/Sec? by complete+loony · · Score: 4, Insightful

      To mine you only need to hash the latest block, so long as you can trust other people to verify the transactions you are hashing.

      To verify new transactions, you only need to keep the set of unspent transactions around, and you could partition that easily enough.

      And you could depend on other people to hold all that data for you. There's no real advantage to everyone storing the whole block chain forever, so long as enough people have a backup copy somewhere.

      --
      09F91102 no, 455FE104 nope, F190A1E8 uh-uh, 7A5F8A09 that's not it, C87294CE no. Ah! 452F6E403CDF10714E41DFAA257D313F.
    3. Re:56 Transactions/Sec? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > Sounds like someone needs to fix the "you need the entire history of the world's financial transactions" problem next.

      Electrum.

    4. Re:56 Transactions/Sec? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > That's enough to fill up most mobile devices by itself.

      SPV clients don't require to download the entire blockchain.

    5. Re:56 Transactions/Sec? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So you're saying to make this work, people need to trust in... something. Sort of like, oh I don't know, normal fiat currency?

    6. Re:56 Transactions/Sec? by joshki · · Score: 1

      Can you elaborate a little on the issues with permissionless distributed databases?

      --
      I do not read or respond to AC's. If you want a discussion, log in. Otherwise, don't waste your time.
    7. Re:56 Transactions/Sec? by Kjella · · Score: 1

      And you could depend on other people to hold all that data for you. There's no real advantage to everyone storing the whole block chain forever, so long as enough people have a backup copy somewhere.

      There's not even a need for that, for every X blocks create an "account overview" listing all the bitcoin addresses and their value and sign it into the block chain. After it has received X verifications (where X >> than an ordinary transaction) ordinary clients can for practical purposes forget everything before that. If the block chain is subverted, you could rewrite the accounts... but you can rewrite the transactions too, so you're not really more fucked than before.

      --
      Live today, because you never know what tomorrow brings
    8. Re:56 Transactions/Sec? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The blockchain can always be trimmed if needed.... but i agree that it's growing insanely.. but so it goes when choosing crap-databases for storage.

    9. Re:56 Transactions/Sec? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you don't want to be double-spent on, you have to run the entire blockchain, and that is 150+ gigabytes. Taking shortcuts means taking the risk that someone you "trust" will eventually bone you. Mt. Gox was extremely trusted for years.

      BTC was built on the principle of trusting -nobody-. Now that it is collapsing under its own weight, it pretty much has become another fiat currency, owned by China.

    10. Re:56 Transactions/Sec? by Khyber · · Score: 1

      Simply put, we'd need our technology to advance by 3 orders of magnitude more than it already is to keep pace with the exponential influx of data that builds up as you have to keep sending data to ALL the decentralized peers, and that gets worse as more and more peers participate in the 'database.' The infrastructure alone that's required to support that kind of growth simply doesn't exist and can't be built out, which is why everything moved right back to having centralized locations.

      What's old is new, and people still refuse to learn from history.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
    11. Re:56 Transactions/Sec? by complete+loony · · Score: 1

      One of my options was that you can verify the entire blockchain, but you don't have to keep spent transactions. So long as you trust your own memory of that verification, you'll be fine.

      --
      09F91102 no, 455FE104 nope, F190A1E8 uh-uh, 7A5F8A09 that's not it, C87294CE no. Ah! 452F6E403CDF10714E41DFAA257D313F.
  13. systemd-bitcoin by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Let's add it.

  14. DominoQQ by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    but sometimes other people just split didnt doing what we work. end then i just want tell him please come and join on http://qqkartu.com

  15. BitCoin is broken, and the fork is the only hope by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    What I read was that that block limit is a hack and could be and should be done away with, that the effect of hitting the limit has been to drive up transactions costs. The cost of a transaction should be some microscopic fraction of a cent, but now it's 5.50 USD.

    The people who are raking in the money are the huge (and I hate to say it) Chinese mining pools. And *these* people, I read, are launching DDOS attacks on anyone trying to increase the block size.

    Finally, I've also read the guy in the charge of the source base is a complete no-hoper, which is why there's finally been a fork - people are trying to get BitCoin out of the pit it's fallen into.

  16. Super-peers problematic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    One method that could sorta work is a form of super-peers, but even more of them than normal.
    A typical super-peer system would be too low that it would be open to abuse.

    It would need to be done in such a way to prevent people fannying around with the data.
    So you need a certain number of these super-peers to prevent collusion and changing the record.
    Let's face it, people with the money to store such a huge record is going to be the people that definitely want to change the system.
    It's going to get to the point where these huge mining companies essentially become the record holders while your typical mining pleb has no idea the system is being changed.

    1. Re:Super-peers problematic by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well.. It's kind of hard to change these because if you change one you will have to change the checksums's of all the following blocks too..

      For the blockchain you only really need to store block + hash. And that would not take too much of space...
      If you only stored a 32 bit integer for the block-nr and a sha256 the data would be ~18Mb...
      As long as you could fetch the actual block on demand, if needed to verify a transaction, you would only need to keep that log on disk. Ie when your "slim-node" does not see any relevant information in a block it received it will just store the blockid + hash of it instead of the full block.
      Ofcoure some extra stuff will be required to handle forks etc, but at worst say 30-60Mb of storage for the full block-chain...
      And to strip it down even further would be to keep a hash of every 10 blocks and only requesting the other ones on demand..

      last 30 days - full blocks
      last 120 days - hashes
      365 - hashes for every 10'th block
      to the beginning - Hashes for every 100 blocks.

      Of course your client would still need to download the full block-chain from the beginning to verify all blocks.

  17. COMPLETE FAILURE by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    All you bitcoin purists have now lost the battle.
    Your value has been played with by the real controllers, the exchanges.
    The exchanges might as well be central banks!!!
    Who ever is the biggest exchange will control the future of bitcoin and this is why its going to crash

  18. Nobody cares by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Nobody cares about Imaginary Property so who cares about Imaginary Currency? This stuff may have short term value. But you have no idea what it will do long term. It also seems to get stolen a lot (several Bit Coin issues over the years, the recent Etherium one, etc.). But at the end of the day it is just imaginary money.

    1. Re:Nobody cares by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lol... If you only had any knowledge of this it might have been funny.. But comparing Etherium to Bitcoin is like comparing Linux with Microsoft... Sure they may do similar things, but they are complete and separate entities.

      Fiat currencies are also imaginary money... They all only have the value we think it has.. Bitcoin is backed by people from all over the world, ie no single point of failure, while the USD is backed by the US central bank and that is a single point of failure.

      Sure the USD has quite a bit of power behind it, but it's still only a value we have assigned to it from what we think it's worth... The same goes for bitcoin.. People has assigned a value to it that they think it's worth.....

  19. Re:It doesnt matter by Dunbal · · Score: 0

    And money launderers. Don't forget money launderers!

    --
    Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
  20. The WannaCry money just got moved by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Are they hoping to launder it more quickly through Bitcoin Cash, or are they hoping that the chaos of this division makes it easier to hide?

  21. PROOF of their CONTROL by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If the network can split, and can force me, you or anybody else to the new one and change your bitcoin without your control, then it just proves my point of why you should never trust a crypto currency, should never use them.

    This one is an experiment, but there is going to be a big switch at tome point to a fed controlled crypto currency. We can't allow them to get that control under ANY circumstances.

  22. BTC "investors" are paying for a blockchain test by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

    The enduring contribution of Bitcoin appears to be the blockchain idea, which is being tested in a number of applications the Bitcoin developers never envisioned:

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/...
    These would enable such things as personal identity to be managed without a central authority.

    The BTC split subjects Bitcoin users to an involuntary A/B test of a change to the original blockchain that could support faster transaction processing. Let's see whether the winner is A, B, or none of the above.

  23. Re:Suck my DUPE balls! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yes it was. Everybody needs to speak plain English, not type like some hood rat giberish that only hood rats can understand.

  24. Re:It doesnt matter by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    All we need now is to mention terrorists and we've hit all 4 horsemen!

  25. Quite frankly "bitcoin" itself is overrated. by BlueCoder · · Score: 1

    It was the first but that doesn't mean it should stay on top. There is no value to it other than what we give it in our minds. There is no reason to stay with it as it does have problems. Both groups should stop using the name "bitcoin". There is room and a need for multiple digital currencies.

    Bitcoin is simply not good for consumer transactions. If you can wait 15 minutes to an hour to complete transactions like stock purchases use to take in 1901 then it's viable. If I am dealing in large amounts of money then I prefer bitcoin and can wait.

  26. Re:It doesnt matter by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    bitcoin money laundering drugs terrorism pedophilia.

  27. Half is 50% by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Split in half? Bitcoin Cash represents far less than 50% of the formerly unified Bitcoin block chain. If you cut out a small piece of a pie, you have not cut it in half.

  28. Simplify this by rickb928 · · Score: 1

    When you consider Bitcoin to be a similar value proposition to a stock market, then you understand Bitcoin value better.

    And the fork is a unique event, probably causing more trouble than it solves. But value? If Bill Gates liquidated his Microsoft shares, would he impact the price, and therefore his value? Yup. Bitcoin holders are sort of trapped in their market.

    --
    deleting the extra space after periods so i can stay relevant, yeah.
  29. Next Week - Bitcoin-Lutheran, Bitcoin-Methodist... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Since it is a religious war anyway we can simply start naming the fragments after various sects and have an easier way of tracking which we are discussing. Bitcoin-Jehovah's Witness anyone?

  30. Sell twice by manu0601 · · Score: 1

    If I understand correctly, the owner of a pre-fork bitcoin can now sell it twice, on standard bitcoin and on bitcoin cash.

    That is not a huge problem, except for platforms that pretend to handle both bitcoins. I assume they will need to consider them as two distinct currencies.