Slashdot Mirror


Power Company Kills Nuclear Plant, Plans $6 Billion In Solar, Battery Investment (arstechnica.com)

Socguy writes: After being unable to complete the Levy County Nuclear Plant a few years ago, Duke energy abandoned it, leaving rate payers on the hook. Duke is now in the process of settling legal action as a result. As part of the settlement Duke will construct or acquire 700MW of solar capacity over four years in the western Florida area, construct 50MW of battery storage, undertake grid modernizations and install 530 electric car charging stations. "The Levy nuclear plant was proposed in 2008 and ran into hurdles early on," reports Ars Technica. "With cheap natural gas in 2013, Duke Energy Florida became nervous that it might not recuperate costs spent on the nuclear plant, especially with regulatory delays. The company cancelled its engineering and construction agreements in 2013 but said that it was holding open the possibility of returning to Levy someday. Over nine years, about $800 million had been spent on preparatory work for the plant. With Tuesday's announcement, those costs are sunk costs now. But overall, the changes will save residential customers future nuclear-related rate increases. Those customers will see a cost reduction of $2.50 per megawatt-hour (MWh) 'through the removal of unrecovered Levy Nuclear Project costs,' the utility said. The 700MW of solar won't exactly cover the nameplate capacity of the Levy plant, which was supposed to deliver 2.2 gigawatts to the region. But the Tampa Bay Times wrote that Duke 'is effectively giving up its long-held belief that nuclear power is a key component to its Florida future and, instead, making a dramatic shift toward more solar power.'"

29 of 390 comments (clear)

  1. Setback for clean energy by Tailhook · · Score: 5, Insightful

    75% of Duke's generation mix is coal or natural gas. So, rather than offset any of that base load with a 2.2 GW nuclear facility, they'll supplement demand growth and cover peaks with solar and keep burning the coal and gas. It's cheaper and they get to wave the green flag etc.

    --
    Maw! Fire up the karma burner!
    1. Re:Setback for clean energy by El+Cubano · · Score: 4, Interesting

      So, rather than offset any of that base load with a 2.2 GW nuclear facility, they'll supplement demand growth and cover peaks with solar and keep burning the coal and gas. It's cheaper and they get to wave the green flag etc.

      The saying for this is "perfect is the enemy of good enough."

      Is nuclear perfect? No. But then, neither is solar, wind, or any other technology? Is nuclear better than coal/natural gas? You bet. So then, why do people cheer when a nuclear project gets killed? Because they ignore the very thing that you pointed out. They look at it in absolute terms instead of "fossil fuel < nuclear < wind/solar/etc."

      Sort of like getting a cancer diagnosis and being told that while it might take some time to completely eradicate it because the treatment is new and not yet widely available, they can do something to slow its growth for now. You can be all principled and turn down the interim treatment while you wait for the perfect treatment. In the meantime you die waiting for the perfect treatment instead of opting to do something now that will buy time.

  2. Re:Seems a good site by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 3

    Until a hurricane rolls over it and sends the solar panels out to sea in many small chunks, maybe....

    --

    "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
  3. In this thread /. experts will... by locater16 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    In this thread /. "nuclear experts" will decry just how costly all this solar stuff is and how great and awesome and cheap nuclear power is.

    All that on a story about how a multi billion dollar energy company couldn't get a nuclear power plant off the ground even after $800 million dollars. I'm sure all Duke needed to do was consult such expert /. in order to save their project.

    1. Re:In this thread /. experts will... by Solandri · · Score: 5, Informative
      I wouldn't, except the renewables proponents keep making fundamental engineering errors which indicate they're clueless about power generation and are unqualified to be making decisions concerning it.
      • 700 MW of nameplate solar capacity multiplied by Levy County's solar capacity factor of 0.161 yields an average annual production of just 112.7 MW.
      • By comparison, the scrapped nuclear plant's 2.2 GW multiplied by nuclear's capacity factor of 0.9 yields an average annual production of 1980 MW.

      So this 700 MW of solar power represents just 5.7% the capacity of the scrapped nuclear plant. Guess where the other 94.3% of energy production is going to come from (hint: its initials are FF)?

      To replace the nuclear plant entirely with solar, they'd have to build (1980 MW / 0.161) = 12,300 MW of panels. That's more than 8x larger than the largest existing solar plant in the world, more than 20x larger than the largest existing solar plant in the U.S. At the optimistic cost of $1/Watt, those solar panels (never mind the supporting infrastructure) would cost $12.3 billion. The nuclear plant was only going to cost $7.65 billion. They killed it because of regulatory delays.

  4. Not really by WindBourne · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Fukishama was a result of 2 things; a management that cut corners by doing the least possible, AND a major slowdown in building new reactors that are much safer.

    --
    I prefer the "u" in honour as it seems to be missing these days.
    1. Re:Not really by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Fukishama was a result of 2 things; a management that cut corners by doing the least possible, AND a major slowdown in building new reactors that are much safer.

      • Chernobyl was the result of Russians not knowing how to do technology.
      • Three mile island was the result of being in the past
      • Windscale was the result of new technology.
      • Fukashima was a result of the Japanese (who we'd previously been saying were great) not doing safety right

      The excuses keep coming. Where there are humans involved there will be short cuts. Where there are short cuts there will be accidents. Your travelling wave reactor may be perfectly safe in theory, however when someone cuts out the safety features I it will go wrong in real life.

    2. Re:Not really by Chas · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "Run away effect".

      *sigh*

      You've been watching too much Jane Fonda again.

      What you're talking about is actually "failure of cooling systems".

      This is a problem only for boiling water reactors. This is why BWRs are such huge, hyper-redundant, Rube-Goldbergian facilities. Because the actual reactors themselves are relatively small. The bulk of the physical plant is to accommodate the cooling systems.

      If it were REALLY as much of a problem as you seem to think, we'd have it more often. But we have exactly 4 single-reactor failures of of hundreds and hundreds of reactor facilities.

      Chernobyl was the Russians fucking around with an old, badly maintained reactor.
      TMI was a design flaw in the cooling system.
      Windscale was a military reactor that wasn't really designed for power production and operators who were mistaken about what was actually going on in the core.
      Fukushima was engineering cost cutting compromising safety systems.

      We KNOW "don't fuck with the reactor".
      TMI simply can't happen anymore.
      Windscale simply can't happen anymore.
      Fukushima won't ever happen again. Because the next executive who tries to save a couple thousand in concrete and rebar for something like this would be reported and immediately ousted (then probably lynched).

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    3. Re:Not really by Chas · · Score: 4, Informative

      http://lmgtfy.com/?q=Fukushima...

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      A number of nuclear reactor safety system lessons emerged from the incident. The most obvious was that in tsunami-prone areas, a power station's sea wall must be adequately tall and robust.[6] At the Onagawa Nuclear Power Plant, closer to the epicenter of 11 March earthquake and tsunami,[289] the sea wall was 14 meters tall and successfully withstood the tsunami, preventing serious damage and radioactivity releases.

      https://www.theguardian.com/en...

      The report noted that Tepco had not made any safety improvements to the Fukushima Daiichi plant since 2002, and had dismissed the possibility of it being hit by a massive tsunami, even though it could not produce supporting data.

      It had, for example, insisted that Fukushima Daiichi's 5.7m seawall was high enough to withstand a tsunami generated by a large quake in the area, despite a warning in 2008 by its own engineers that much bigger waves were possible.

      --


      Chas - The one, the only.
      THANK GOD!!!
    4. Re:Not really by drinkypoo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Fukushima won't ever happen again.

      When the next Fukushima happens because reactors are practically all sited where they can be flooded, and because there's plenty of the same kind of reactor out there, will you finally STFU about nuclear power?

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    5. Re:Not really by Rei · · Score: 5, Informative

      Not exactly; the Guardian is messing up the sourcing a bit. First we have "a warning in 2008 by its own engineers". When you follow the link, it's simply "an internal report" - the source cited to Kyodo. Kyodo however says the report wasn't from Tepco - it was from a Tepco subsidiary (and thus Tepco's engineers weren't involved in drafting it - they would have, however, been involved in evaluating it).

      It's also worth noting that the report talked about stopping waves 10,2m high coming in from the south side by reinforcing the south side sea wall. What actually happened was waves 14-15 meters high came in from the east side. So even if they had followed up on the report's suggestion, it would have done nothing to prevent the disaster.

      Lastly: your notion that building a sea wall to stop 15 meter waves costs "a couple thousand bucks" is remains absurd.

      --
      He's just being nice so my real father won't freeze him in carbonite and sell him for spice.
    6. Re:Not really by drinkypoo · · Score: 3, Insightful

      It is because of ppl like you that we burn so much coal.

      Trying to shame me with a false dichotomy isn't going to make your bullshit any more accurate.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  5. Cost per KW by ArhcAngel · · Score: 5, Informative

    When this plant was proposed in 2006 nuclear was the most cost effective energy out there. Fracking drove the cost of natural gas into the basement and has remained there ever since. So nuclear is no longer the best bag for your buck in the energy industry and it comes with the NIMBY stigma associated with radiation. Duke probably ran the numbers and decided it was cheaper to take the hit and pay a fine rather than complete the project and be straddled with it for years to come.

    --
    "A person is smart. People are dumb, panicky dangerous animals and you know it." - K
    1. Re:Cost per KW by hey! · · Score: 4, Insightful

      First, the main concern with early fast breeder reactor designs was proliferation. Engineering can reduce the convenience of proliferation, but it won't ever eliminate it because generating Pu-239 is inherent to the process. That's not a luddite concern; it's real.

      Second, fast breeders at least don't appear to be as economical as originally hoped. The assumption when the tech was proposed was that uranium supply wouldn't keep up with demand, but in fact uranium turns out to be reasonably plentiful. Even under a scenario of greatly increased nuclear adoption it would be many decades before we'd need to turn to breeders. On the cost side, the breeder reactors that have been built have proven to be much less reliable and more expensive to operate than hoped. Of course engineering advances could make breeders cheaper to build and run, but you could say that of conventional nuclear plants too.

      Finally, breeders still have radioactive waste problems; different, and likely more tractable ones, but from an economic standpoint that's meaningless because we allow companies to build conventional plants as if the future waste problem will solve itself. The need to solve the problems from a plant you break ground on today is so far in the future it has no financial reality. So I suspect to get breeder technology off the ground, you'd ironically have to crack down on nuclear power in general.

      It takes a lot more for a technology to be economically feasible than for it to be physically possible. A lot depends on the cost of the alternatives. As long as fossil fuel companies are allowed to externalize their costs on the scale that they do, and conventional nuclear power is allowed to ignore the future costs their plants will incur, advances in novel nuclear technologies are bound to occur at a snail's pace.

      You can imagine a future society running on thorium fuel cycle nuclear plants, it isn't hard to do, and that future can look reasonably good. But imagining something being done is a lot different than knowing how to get it done. You've got to convince people to spend money on stuff that costs more in the short- to mid-term.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
  6. Re:6 billion? by dabadab · · Score: 5, Informative

    and was planned to produce 2200 MW, just a bit more than 3x 700 MW

    Do not make the error of comparing nameplate capacities ignoring capacity factors (i.e. how much of the nominal power is actually produced). Capacity factor for nuclear tend to be around 90%, for solar it's location-dependent but in California it may go as high as 25%.
    If you take that into consideration then the difference between 2200 MV nuclear and 700 MW solar is almost ten-fold.

    --
    Real life is overrated.
  7. Re: How did they kill it? by bestweasel · · Score: 5, Funny

    With a spreadsheet in the boardroom.

  8. Re:Seems a good site by RhettLivingston · · Score: 5, Informative

    You would think. But...

    We would likely have a solar adoption rate higher than all but a few other states if it wasn't for whacked laws put in place to defend the utilities. A homeowner here can't sell energy back to the utility. Only those who can produce 24 hours a day on-demand can do so. Because of this, our solar penetration is lower than many northeastern states.

    Until we either get a change in the law or the cost of battery storage drops enough to make solar + battery much less than utility provided electric, Florida will lag the developed world in solar (and some of the third world).

  9. Re:6 billion? by rahvin112 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Unless of course the solar has an energy storage system then combined capacity rates are near 60-70% and present a power prices that's 1/3rd nuclear's cost.

    I like nuclear as much as you but the simple fact is it's been priced out of the market and that's not likely to change without massive tax payer subsidies. Solar costs have fallen 99.99% since 1970. You can now purchase solar panels at a price that's orders of magnitudes smaller than other sources and the only reason it's not taken over completely is the storage issue. Once the storage problem is solved Wind and Solar will be the only two power sources as wind will be cheaper than dirt cheap gas without subsidy by 2020 at current price trends. Solar is following the same track but is a little bit more expensive upfront but has lower maintenance costs long term.

  10. Re:Seems a good site by Narcocide · · Score: 5, Insightful

    I like how you try to make it sound saner to have stuck with the original plan to build another nuclear power plant in the middle of hurricane territory instead.

  11. Re:Solar environmentally friendly, hah by rahvin112 · · Score: 4, Funny

    You can't imagine how much wildlife has been displaced by the solar panels on my roof. Christ I haven't seen a single deer walking around on my roof!! I tell you it's a travesty of wasted wildlife access.

  12. Re: Seems a good site by whoever57 · · Score: 5, Informative

    It's no way to finance a grid when the lights have to stay on at night.

    Yeah, it's not like the peak demand is close the same time that solar panels produce peak output. Oh, wait, it is.

    Most of the USA experiences peak demand mid-afternoon, when A/C units are cranking away.

    --
    The real "Libtards" are the Libertarians!
  13. Re:Seems a good site by MrKaos · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Until a hurricane rolls over it and sends the solar panels out to sea in many small chunks, maybe....

    The irony that this is the reason that Duke cites Levy being cancelled. Westinghouse couldn't make an AP1000 that can pass NRC hurricane regulations, here is a transcript of the radio program.

    --
    My ism, it's full of beliefs.
  14. Re: 6 billion? by gravewax · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Only if it's a PV based solar farm. Thermal solar plants continue to produce power when the sun goes down.

    No they do not. Molten salt is just a big battery. They can only produce what has been put into them (minus a little which is lost in the process). This doesn't change the maths behind the solar generation capacity of a plant in any way, it does however provide storage if you can generate enough so that you don't suffer as badly from the intermittent nature of Solar.

  15. Re: Only true for residential/commercial electrici by hankwang · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It's the other way around: nuclear/coal power plants need base-load customers, not the other way around, because those power plants are cheap per kWh delivered, but cannot adapt to demand.

    Power sources should really be categorized in one of three classes: 1. Flexible on-demand (natural gas, hydro, battery storage); 2. Base load (nuclear, coal); 3. Uncontrolled generation power (wind, solar).

    If you add #3 to the net, you should add #1 to balance. Or do cross-continental balancing of #3 to make it behave like #2, but it requires expensive investments in long-distance transmission capacity.

  16. Re:regulatory delays by AmiMoJo · · Score: 4, Insightful

    From TFS: "With cheap natural gas in 2013, Duke Energy Florida became nervous that it might not recuperate costs spent on the nuclear plant"

    Cheap gas, the expectation that renewables and batteries will keep getting cheaper... It doesn't make economic sense to build, operate and decomission a nuclear plant now.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  17. Re:Seems a good site by Firethorn · · Score: 3, Informative

    It works out fine until over a third of homes have panels. This is because power usage is also higher during the day.

    --
    I don't read AC A human right
  18. Re:6 billion? by Rei · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Oh, and the average PV capacity factor in the US is 27,2%. A 700MW PV plant at average capacity factor is equivalent to 206MW of nuclear. So yes, there is a 10x difference in total generation; however, it more closely follows the demand curve, meaning that you can wholesale the power for significantly more per MWh, and the price you get for your power is the figure that really matters, not the total generation. Nuclear plants spend half their time generating dirt-cheap nighttime power.

    Also it's worth noting that Duke's pricing on this solar plant is abnormally expensive; new plants in the desert southwest are coming in as low as $1,50/W (half as much). Florida's insolation is worse, but I'm not sure that fully explains the difference.

    --
    He's just being nice so my real father won't freeze him in carbonite and sell him for spice.
  19. Re: Seems a good site by dunkelfalke · · Score: 4, Informative

    Have you actually tried to read what you have posted?
    "A prototype was scheduled for manufacture in 2015. However its development seems to have ended."

    That's the problem with you atomic fanbois - you don't know much about the topic you wank on.
    The Soviets have built a couple of these (TES-3 mobile nuclear power plant), but even they have recognised that the idea is not as great as it appears to be.

    --
    "It's such a fine line between stupid and clever" -- David St. Hubbins, Spinal Tap
  20. Re:Seems a good site by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 4, Insightful

    And by "messed up", you mean "being provided energy near the places of consumption, avoiding load on the transmission infrastructure"? I doubt that utilities don't want that.

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20