Slashdot Mirror


Upsurge in Big Earthquakes Predicted for 2018 (theguardian.com)

hcs_$reboot writes: "Scientists say the number of severe quakes is likely to rise strongly next year because of a periodic slowing of the Earth's rotation," reports the Guardian. "They believe variations in the speed of Earth's rotation could trigger intense seismic activity, particularly in heavily populated tropical regions. Although such fluctuations in rotation are small -- changing the length of the day by a millisecond -- they could still be implicated in the release of vast amounts of underground energy, it is argued."

The theory goes that the slowdown creates a shift in the shape of the Earth's solid iron and nickel "inner core" which, in turn, impacts the liquid outer core on which the tectonic plates that form the Earth's crust rest. The impact is greater on the tectonic plates near some of the Earth's most populous regions along the Equator, home to about a billion people. Scientists from the University of Colorado looked at all earthquakes registering 7 and up on the Richter scale since the turn of the 20th century. In this timeframe, the researchers discovered five periods of significantly greater seismic activity.

The seismic activity follows a five-year period of slowing in the earth's rotatio, and "This link is particularly important because Earth's rotation began one of its periodic slowdowns more than four years ago," according to the article.

"The Earth is offering us a five-year heads-up on future earthquakes," says one of the researchers, adding "The inference is clear. Next year we should see a significant increase in numbers of severe earthquakes."

3 of 88 comments (clear)

  1. Re:Uhmm.... since when do.... by hcs_$reboot · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Nope. Please read TFS for once (which has been nicely edited compared to my initial version!)

    --
    Slashdot, fix the reply notifications... You won't get away with it...
  2. The Charlatan Effect. by Templer421 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Just say crap and if it happens you can claim to be "Right."

    If it doesn't people tend to forget.

    No downside either you are either a genius or people forget what you said.

  3. Three Gorges Dam filling up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Did you do the calculations for that ?

    At least NASA has done those, according to Business Insider.

    Effect from the dam filling to the rotation time seems to be just 0,06 microseconds.