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Earth Will Likely Be Much Warmer In 2100 Than We Anticipated, Scientists Warn (vice.com)

According to a new analysis of the most realistic climate models to date, global temperature rise by 2100 could be 15 percent higher than the highest projections from the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). What this means is that cuts in greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide (CO2) will have to be even greater than expected to meet the Paris climate target of keeping global warming to less than 2 degrees Celsius. Motherboard reports: The world is a long way from making sufficient emission reductions to meet the Paris climate targets to begin with -- nevermind cutting out another 15 percent. But there's some good news, too. Both rich and poor countries have begun to move away from coal and oil, the two biggest CO2 sources, according to many energy analysts. Patrick Brown is a researcher at the Carnegie Institution for Science in Pasadena, California, a co-author of the study published Wednesday in Nature. "Our results imply 15 percent less cumulative emissions than previously calculated [are needed] in order to stay below 2 degrees Celsius," he told me. Brown and co-authors focused on finding out what future warming might be, using only the climate models that best replicate observations over the last 15-20 years. On a business-as-usual emissions trajectory, they found that the mean global temperature rise would be 4.8 degrees Celsius by 2100, compared to the IPCC estimate of 4.3 degrees Celsius. The latter estimate is considered catastrophic for our planet, and would lead to sea level rise of over 30 feet, potentially putting the homes of 600 million people underwater.

4 of 379 comments (clear)

  1. Re:LOL by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    Is the global warming then fake news or alternative facts, or what is the FOX news' opinion on this? Has the orange baboon tweeted anything on it yet?

  2. Kick the Koch brothers in the nuts. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    I'd really like the Kochs (and all their lapdogs [1], among them Trump) to be around, and me, by that time. I'd kick them in the nuts, time and again.

    That's where religious people may have an advantage: were I religious, I'd find solace in the idea that those assholes are going straight to hell and will be tortured there for eternity.

    [1] In the interest of equality, you ask, where are the lapbitches? "drill, baby drill" Palin might qualify, I'd say.

  3. Re:Solar is not cheaper than nuclear! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    Do you include the cost to perpetually store the nuclear waste?

    What about the security cost to protect a high value target like a nuclear reactor?

    Nuclear is just not worth the headaches should some disaster strike, mismanagement, general incompetency, etc.

  4. Re:uh oh by ganjadude · · Score: 0, Troll

    interesting how you complain about one side adding 1 trillion to the debt when the last president added some 8 trillion to the debt.... with no way to pay for it

    where were you guys in the past 8 years when we were complaining about the debt???

    --
    have you seen my sig? there are many others like it but none that are the same