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The Case that Bitcoin Is a Bubble (economist.com)

An anonymous reader shares an excerpt from the Economist: It seems that every day, Bitcoin seems to hit a new high. But the reported price can move up and down by $1,000 or so within a few hours. This might have made it a great investment for those who got in at the right price and are nimble enough to get out in time. But it doesn't make it a useful means of exchange (Editor's note: the link could be paywalled; alternative source). When the price is rising fast, those who use bitcoin will be reluctant to part with it; when the price falls, those who sell goods will be reluctant to accept it.

2 of 264 comments (clear)

  1. Right conclusion but wrong reasoning by amorsen · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The fundamental problem with BitCoin is not its volatility. The volatility will eventually go away if the underlying technology turns out to be sound.

    The fundamental problem with BitCoin is that the number of transactions it can handle is orders of magnitude below what is necessary for a reasonably liquid currency with a total value in the billions of dollars. As it is, BitCoin only works as long as most of that money either sits still or moves around in huge transactions of at least thousands of dollars at a time.

    It is entirely possible that the problems get solved. However, a quadrupling like BitCoin Cash has done is just nowhere near orders of magnitude improvement.

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  2. Re:Bitcoin are not tulips by Wintermute__ · · Score: 5, Insightful

    All of that completely misses the point of the argument comparing the Bitcoin bubble to the tulip craze.
    It is precisely not about the nature of the commodity being traded. It could be fidget spinners, beanie babies, futures contracts in mortage-backed securities, it doesn't matter.
    What does matter is lots of ordinary investors with no understanding of what they are investing in believing that because others find this commodity desirable, it must be valuable and the price will continue to rise - and importantly, that they will be able to extract that value before the price crashes leaving them "holding the bag" of something now worth much less than they've invested in it.