Slashdot Mirror


Bitcoin Starts a New Year by Tumbling, First Time Since 2015 (bloomberg.com)

Bitcoin is already having a bad year. From a report: For the first time since 2015, the cryptocurrency began a new year by tumbling, extending its slide from a record $19,511 reached on Dec. 18. The virtual coin traded at $13,440 as of 3:55 p.m. in New York, down 6.1 percent from Friday, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That's also a fall from the $14,156 it hit Sunday, according to coinmarketcap.com, which tracks daily prices. Bitcoin got off to a much stronger start last year, and then kept that momentum going, eventually creating a global frenzy for cryptocurrencies. In a sign of its phenomenal price gain in 2017, it rose 3.6 percent on the first day of 2017 to $998, data from coinmarketcap.com show. It ended the year up more than 1,300 percent.

38 of 267 comments (clear)

  1. back to value by iggymanz · · Score: 5, Insightful

    returning to its pre-bubble value in a hurry

    that was a good pump n' dump for 2017, big players can prep for more suckers taking the next joyride

    1. Re:back to value by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Most people saw this coming, there was money to be made but some people got this confused with investing in something that had utility.

      It's little more than a decentralized store of value and that value is really based on the hype around it. It doesn't have the transaction speed/cost to replace mainstream currencies nor some of the features of other blockchain technologies, some more dubious than others.

      The question often comes up "what do you do with it", well sure you could use it like diamonds, you could trade it for a house or a car or something but you're not going to do your grocery shopping or pay your bills with it. It's just a relatively unstable store of value.

    2. Re:back to value by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

      This is more an experiment in Blockchain concepts than a joyride. Economists will be digging through this carnage for a century; at least it will give them something concrete to do for once.
      Some of us have identified a critical weakness in anything involving Blockchains, not just involving speculation/gambling. Let's just call it for now "Timer Trust". What means do we have to determine that any "mining", or for that matter any transaction or transfer, actually happened when the Blockchain thinks it did? How does one Blockchain synchronize with all the others? Is there one worldwide Clock, utterly reliable and thoroughly incorruptible, that everybody can trust?
      And say accuracy of anything time-critical can be determined to a precise Picosecond... can those Picoseconds be sold or traded?
      You just may be hearing something about a concept called Polysynchronous Time in the near future, which involves networks of synchronized Trusted Timers.
      It's still a Berkeley thing for now, although, naturally, SLAC wants to do it differently.

    3. Re:back to value by Nikkos · · Score: 4, Insightful

      "It's little more than a decentralized store of value and that value is really based on the hype around it"

      There is little of the internet that has any value besides social value. Bitcoin - particularly the technology behind it - had utility as a way to store and transfer value securely and quickly across the world. It's still cheaper other cryptocurrencies to send 'money' to the other side of the world than it is to use a bank or Western Union. Not to mention that the increased competition has forced Western Union and moneygram to lower their fees, which are now half of what they were just a couple years ago.

      Now btc's first mover advantage has placed it as the 'gold standard' of which an entire ecosystem of digital currencies valued at $600 Billion (of which BTC itself is less than half that) are traded against.

      Remember that the USD is backed by the 'faith and credit' of the government, as every other world currency is backed by the faith and credit that their respective goverments won't fuck up their economy so much that their currency becomes worthless.

      Bitcoin sidesteps all of that 'faith' by having a limited supply, decentralized management and markets, and the inability for any one organization or actor to fuck it all up (China tried, and failed) That has very clear utility for financial markets and economic systems.

    4. Re:back to value by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

      Bitcoin - particularly the technology behind it - had utility as a way to store and transfer value securely and quickly across the world. It's still cheaper other cryptocurrencies to send 'money' to the other side of the world than it is to use a bank or Western Union.

      Well no, it is not. The cost involved in making a transaction is skyrocketing, the rate at which transactions can be processed is very low and even now there exist many tens of thousands of transactions that are unconfirmed by the network with them even getting dropped after a couple of weeks. And even in the case you describe it is still just an intermediate store of value, you're going to convert your local currency to bitcoin, transfer it to another location and then convert back to the new local currency so you can actually use it for something because bitcoin itself is not useful.

      But that is an aside to the fact that bitcoin has no use outside of being a store of value, other stores of value (gold, diamonds, land, etc for example) have many uses which is why they have value. Their value changes based in part on speculation but also as supply and demand for the real uses of those commodities fluctuates. Bitcoin's value changes purely on speculation because it has no actual usefulness. Other blockchain technologies that focus on being currency replacements or decentralized contract verification actually have usefulness as a technology where bitcoin does not and being a 'first mover' does not give it usefulness, it gives speculative value which is why we see the wild fluctuations.

    5. Re: back to value by iggymanz · · Score: 4, Insightful

      No Bitcoin is a failure, with a bottlenecked architecture that prevents liquidity, high transaction fees far in excess of bank wiring fee, high percentage of use for black market begging for government intervention, and extreme volatility making it useless as store of value

    6. Re:back to value by PopeRatzo · · Score: 3, Informative

      had utility as a way to store and transfer value securely and quickly

      Unless, of course, you want to transfer some of that value into your pocket so you can buy a loaf of bread and a pound of ground beef. Then, it's not so quick, or so secure, judging from the backlog of transactions.

      --
      You are welcome on my lawn.
    7. Re:back to value by LordKronos · · Score: 2

      Bitcoin - particularly the technology behind it - had utility as a way to store and transfer value securely and quickly across the world. It's still cheaper other cryptocurrencies to send 'money' to the other side of the world than it is to use a bank or Western Union.

      What? Western Union, maybe (I'm clueless about what their actual fees are so can't speak there), but sending by bank is pretty damn cheap. But more importantly, if Bitcoin is not being used as a currency, then using bitcoin for any sort of uses like this is still terrible. Because now not only do you still have the bank involved taking their cut, but you also have to pay the exchanges their cut, then pay the miners their transaction fees, then at the other end they pay another exchange to transfer back into actual currncy. You have't eliminated anything, but merely added another layer of fees into the transaction.

    8. Re:back to value by qubezz · · Score: 2

      There's actually no tumble at all, the story is BS. It's bounced between 13000 and 14000 several times in the last four days.

    9. Re: back to value by MachineShedFred · · Score: 2

      You are extolling the creation of fabricated financial instruments, that outstrip the available supply (according to you) of a completely made up thing on the Internet with amazing volatility (according to TFA), and backed by nothing by blind faith, from fly-by-night institutions that mostly didn't exist 5 years ago, some of which already do not exist today due to borderline (if not outright) criminal behavior.

      I see no problems with this whatsoever. Next up: Jesus futures. Buy today and get in on the ground before it ascends into the clouds!

      --
      Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
    10. Re:back to value by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 2

      Well damn! Your company needs to learn about this small organization I use. It's called the Hong Kong and Shanghai Banking Corporation, better known as HSBC. Having an account open in Hong Kong, you can wire money anywhere in the world, with delivery within 1 business day, and the cost is only HKD$100 (about $14.50 US). Any amount, fixed price. In any currency, in and out.

      For example, some of my clients pay in RMB, some in USD, some in EUR, some SGD, and so on. I can forex the funds for free, into one single account - or I can pay from any of those accounts into any other currency, like PKR, with zero extra fee or time. So you may me in USD, I pay a supplier in EUR from my USD funds (at today's exchange rate). Another customer in Singapore pays me in SGD, I pay a contractor in Ukraine in UAH from my SGD funds (at today's exchange rate). And then I sweep the entire balance at the end of the day into RMB because I have a large payment coming next week.

      International banking is really simple and cheap these days; the only confusion is sometimes your funds may be disbursed across multiple currency accounts, but with free currency exchanges (at the published rates, at time of order of transfer), it's trivial to dump all your funds into a single account.

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
  2. Re:1300 pct by iggymanz · · Score: 5, Funny

    My Zimbabwe currency holdings did better than that in 2007, over 7,000%. increase. wh0h00

  3. Re:Scam. Pyramid scheme. No value. by Opportunist · · Score: 2

    aka "if you don't know a sucker to take your fall, you're someone else's".

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  4. Is there an actual practical use for blockchain? by Mr307 · · Score: 5, Interesting

    As a currency its a complete failure so far.

    I was doing some research and some companies are trying to make it work as an inventory tracker.

    Every time I see the tech in practice, it seems to be easily replaceable by a secure database, which appears to have all the features of blockchain except the supposed anonymity, and a secure database doesn't have problems like a 51% attack, nor the ridiculous time per transaction or cost per transaction problems.

    Seems like blockchain so far is workable as a very expensive type of unregulated gambling.

  5. Re:Is there an actual practical use for blockchain by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    You are precisely correct sir. Blockchain is only useful for publicly distributed ledgers with no central authority. Outside of this scenario, it doesn't make much sense. In your case, you describe a central authority, so yeah, no point.

    They have a name for the private ones: banks and exchanges, and they have worked well for a thousand years.

  6. I don't get what bitcoin is supposed to do well by quantaman · · Score: 2

    Because the blockchain is centralized I don't see how it could ever scale to the levels needed for a regular currency.

    And as a store of value, ie digital gold, they're really hard to store and really easy to steal.

    I can only see two good functions for bitcoin.

    1) The black market, I think this is low volume enough to make bitcoin feasible.

    2) If anyone ever solves the scalablility issues bitcoin has a ton of invested parties and will likely integrate the fix. Giving it legitimate value.

    --
    I stole this Sig
    1. Re:I don't get what bitcoin is supposed to do well by geekpowa · · Score: 2

      Maybe the OP meant unsharded. Not centralised.

      A blockchain ledger in an entirely trustless network needs to be replicated on every participating node. This is a massive scalability issue. Imagine a sizable % of worlds economy running on any given crypto coin for 20+ years. The size of that ledger, the size of updates coming through every second would be staggering.

      The traditional banking infrastructure is sharded. The ledger representing my personal bank account is not mixed in with ledgers of customers for a bank in other far flung countries. Alot of things need to evolve WRT crypto coins in order for them overcome/sidestep their present, by design, scaling issues, in this respect the OP is correct I believe.

  7. Re:Correction: Just a correction by arth1 · · Score: 5, Informative

    No, just because the supply of something is limited does not mean its value will increase.

    I know people who still cling on to their Beanie Babies, believing they one day will recover their losses and come out ahead.

  8. Re:Meaningless noise by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Put your chart to "all data" it sure starts to look a lot like a dotcom bubble chart!

    https://bitcoincharts.com/charts/bitstampUSD#tgSzm1g10zm2g25

  9. Re:Best Sell Now While You Still Can by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Informative

    Heard that for over five years now. My new car and boat bought this year and my remaining Bitcoin is still worth more than it was a year ago.

  10. Re:Is there an actual practical use for blockchain by Kremmy · · Score: 4, Interesting

    The problem seems to be that you only see Bitcoin and the problems that it is facing, ignoring the rest of the cryptocurrency iceberg.
    Bitcoin is less than 50 percent of the cryptocurrency market. The problems that are cited with it have been solved in a myriad of ways by various coins.
    The volume of those coins is increasing every day, the ecosystem is blooming hard and most people just see Bitcoin and totally miss it.

  11. Re: Best Sell Now While You Still Can by FormOfActionBanana · · Score: 5, Funny

    There is no US presidential election in 2018.

    --
    Take off every 'sig' !!
  12. Re:Correction: Just a correction by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Bitcoin is only going to go up because there are only so many coins to go around...

    The price bubble in Bitcoin has brought forth a plethora of other cryptocurrencies, most of them with the same algorithmically limited money supply as Bitcoin. Even putting aside such minutiae as having to figure out what in hell "tethers" are, with each new currency and with each new fork of every existing cryptocurrency, there is an additional new store of possible units that can be created. Instead of a limited money, we are approaching digital Zimbabwe.

  13. Re:Is there an actual practical use for blockchain by mnemotronic · · Score: 2

    Just thinking out loud ...

    How about as a mechanism for counting votes? I.e. an electronic voting machine tallies Joe Schmoe's vote and submits that to to the chain. I'm not sure if Joe has a private key or the private key is associated with the machine. The private key needs to be setup so that it cannot be associated with Joe; but with Joe's vote.

    --
    The Russians have won. They have made the world a cesspool of distrust, greed, fear and hate.
  14. How do you define failure? by Okian+Warrior · · Score: 3, Informative

    No Bitcoin is a failure, with a bottlenecked architecture that prevents liquidity, high transaction fees far in excess of bank wiring fee, high percentage of use for black market begging for government intervention, and extreme volatility making it useless as store of value

    Your claim reads "Bitcoin is a failure", but your explanation is roughly "Bitcoin has problems".

    Bitcoin is in widespread use, people are looking into fixing the problems, and... what's your definition of a failure?

    Is Twitter a failure in your book?

    1. Re:How do you define failure? by iggymanz · · Score: 2, Insightful

      False, not in widespread use at all, compared to say dollars or euros, too illiquid. waiting days for a transaction cripples it.

      Bringing up Twitter, you are funny. Yes Twitter is losing money, not making it. Failure as a business.

  15. Re:Fiat blockchain by 50000BTU_barbecue · · Score: 2

    3D printing, AI, IoT, gig economy. Millenials!

    --
    Mostly random stuff.
  16. Re:Correction: Just a correction by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 2

    Oh my god, you're sick. Clearly this calls for ketchup.

    --
    #DeleteFacebook
  17. Re:1300 pct by gravewax · · Score: 3, Insightful

    why would the stock market go with it? BC even at current price is little more than a hiccup compared to most stock markets. would a single company collapsing cause the entire stock market to crash?

  18. Coin lands on heads for the first time since 2015 by thecombatwombat · · Score: 3, Informative

    Perhaps my math is wrong, but isn't "first time since 2015" the same as saying "so it's been up and down 50% of the time in the last four years?"

    2015: down
    2016: up
    2017: up
    2018: down

    But hey, blockchain! cryptocurrency! news!

  19. Re:Is there an actual practical use for blockchain by Mr307 · · Score: 2

    I know exactly what bitcoin is, a greater fool bubble.

    It has been interesting to notice though that every time I see someone say 'you really dont understand bitcoin', or whatever variation of the same, I dont recall ever seeing a description of whatever the person was supposed to be missing or not understanding. Just a blanket 'you dont get it', almost as if there is some kind of true believer faith requirement for bitcoin.

  20. Re:Is there an actual practical use for blockchain by geekpowa · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The coin ecosystems currently is reminiscent of the wildcat banking era

    Proponents of coins say this is a feature, not a bug.

    Bitcoin is singled out because it is the oldest, most established, and if you naively believe that true value of all coins in circulation = spot price * number of coins, also the most valuable.

    Sure other coins solve (or alleviate) some of the more glaring problems with bitcoin, yet other significant structural problems remain with the whole concept. One example: sometimes mediation is actually needed to resolve real disputes becasue we are afterall only human and bad actors are out there. The only way, by design, crypto coins do this is forking blockchains, a la The Dao and ETH/ETC split. Again proponents see this is a feature, not a bug.

    Alot of wheel reinventing going on, done in ignorance of what has happened in the past WRT banking and finance. IT innovation in banking and finance is wild west stuff and an honest appraisal of things would be that noone knows what the fuck they are doing

  21. Re:Correction: Just a correction by religionofpeas · · Score: 2

    Beanie Babies are a mass produced item made from cheap materials. There's no reason for the value to be substantially detached from manufacturing cost.

    Bitcoin is not mass produced.

    Why you'd think that the two have anything in common is puzzling.

  22. Re:1300 pct by 91degrees · · Score: 2

    would a single company collapsing cause the entire stock market to crash?

    Well, VW or Exxon collapsing probably would cause a bit of panic. They have the same sort of market cap as bitcoin.

    I guess they're different in that they'd pull down a bunch of other companies with them, whereas bitcoin will just take coinbase and a few other similar companies.

  23. Re:Correction: Just a correction by MachineShedFred · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Maybe because both of their values during their respective hype bubbles far outstripped their real value?

    At least with the beanie baby, you have a tangible, physical thing that you could potentially burn to release energy, level a shaky piece of furniture, or use to wedge open a door - so it still has some marginal residual value. You can't ever recover the energy spent to "mine" bitcoin, it doesn't physically exist anywhere except as a pattern of electrons in a computer, and it only has any value because of the delusion of the masses.

    If energy cost was factored into bitcoin, it would probably have negative value.

    --
    Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
  24. Re:"No practical use" by MachineShedFred · · Score: 2

    So all we need to do is wait for the global banking system to fail, and count on no action being taken by anyone to prevent it, as well as all governments to sit on their hands and do absolutely nothing while billions of people are plunged into poverty.

    That should happen Real Soon Now(tm)...

    But hey, at least you'll have some outrageously valued bits on your SSD that you won't be able to access because the electricity is shut off due to the global economic collapse! That should keep you warm and your belly full!

    --
    Slashdot still doesnâ(TM)t support Unicode after it was added to the HTML standard in 1997.
  25. Re:Correction: Just a correction by religionofpeas · · Score: 2

    You forgot that there are other 5-year-olds that are "forking" your drawings, which creates an essentially unlimited supply

    You may be forking the code, but you're not forking the infrastructure it runs on.

  26. Re: 1300 pct by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 2

    $70 trillion in market cap for all publicly traded companies. Bitcoin? $240 billion. Bitcoin is around 0.3% of the market cap of publicly traded companies, I don't think people are rushing from stocks to BTC, and I don't think a BTC crash to $0 would create much of any issue for stocks (other than people trying to jump back in to stocks, to stem their losses from BTC).

    --
    Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!