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Turning Soybeans Into Diesel Fuel Is Costing Us Billions (npr.org)

This year, trucks and other heavy-duty motors in America will burn some 3 billion gallons of diesel fuel that was made from soybean oil. They're doing it, though, not because it's cheaper or better, but because they're required to, by law. From a report: The law is the Renewable Fuel Standard, or RFS. For some, especially Midwestern farmers, it's the key to creating clean energy from American soil and sun. For others -- like many economists -- it's a wasteful misuse of resources. And the most wasteful part of the RFS, according to some, is biodiesel. It's different from ethanol, a fuel that's made from corn and mixed into gasoline, also as required by the RFS. In fact, gasoline companies probably would use ethanol even if there were no law requiring it, because ethanol is a useful fuel additive -- at least up to a point. That's not true of biodiesel. "This is an easy one, economically. Biodiesel is very expensive, relative to petroleum diesel," says Scott Irwin, an economist at the University of Illinois, who follows biofuel markets closely. He calculates that the extra cost for biodiesel comes to about $1.80 per gallon right now, meaning that the biofuel law is costing Americans about $5.4 billion a year.

264 comments

  1. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 0

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  2. The Plan. by i286NiNJA · · Score: 2

    The plan with all these energy schemes is that once you allow businesses to come into existence around them, they may figure out how to do it efficiently enough to become profitable. Sometimes it works like in the case of solar or wind, sometimes not so much like with ethanol.

    1. Re: The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dude, solar is now the single cheapest way to generate power in the US, with no subsidies.

      Stop living in 1995

    2. Re:The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      How are you saying this with a straight face when the comparison is Coal and Gas.

    3. Re:The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      The problem with ethanol is we insist on using corn which has comparatively low fermentability and requires a lot of treatment. Turning other grains into ethanol is far easier and more efficient. But corn is Murica's crop.

    4. Re:The Plan. by Megol · · Score: 1

      Solar: yes, in some locations for generating electricity. In some others for heating (people even build their own non-subsided hardware FFS).
      Wind: yes, in most places.

    5. Re:The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      for generating

      That's the rub, isn't it? Is it still cheaper when you factor in transport, storage, all of the other things involved? Not saying it isn't, honest question.

    6. Re:The Plan. by plague911 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      The whining about subsidies and externalities is one of the best example of our tribalism. Both sides while about the other side's subsidies and ignore their own.

    7. Re:The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I think you misunderstand how this really works. What really happens is that someone gets an idea, flaky or good, doesn't matter. That idea gets sold to people who can profit from it. Those people lobby the government, usually legislators, and mount a propaganda campaign, including "fake" news and bogus "studies," to make the idea mandatory, thus producing a gravy train for the special interest who gains.

      It occasionally happens that the idea succeeds, but that is only coincidental as to how it became a "thing."

    8. Re:The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm curious, what are these other better crops? Certainly not wheat or barley. Rice? Maybe, but I think it'd have a similar problem to wheat, also, we're not exactly in a great area for growing rice. Grapes, apples or some other type of fruit? Definitely not. The only one I can think of is potatoes or sugar beets, and I'm not sure how much better they are than corn nor the difficulties in growing them over corn. I mean, corn is really easy to grow.

    9. Re:The Plan. by magarity · · Score: 2

      once you allow businesses to come into existence around them, they may figure out how to do it efficiently enough to become profitable

      You've confused "allow" with "legally require". The difference is that legally requiring it means all they have incentive to figure out how to do efficiently is making the right level of campaign contributions.

    10. Re: The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah, that 93 million mile delivery distance is a pain, but fortunately the wait time is only around nine minutes.

      That's better than Domino's.

    11. Re:The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      for generating

      That's the rub, isn't it? Is it still cheaper when you factor in transport, storage, all of the other things involved? Not saying it isn't, honest question.

      No, its clearly not cheaper when you look at systemic needs, and just use best case installed cost for comparison against average or worst case numbers for other sources. Levelized costs per KWH get pretty high for solar when all needs are considered. Many like to ignore that though.

    12. Re:The Plan. by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Look at all of the solar and wind companies that have bankrupted even with subsidies.

      Look at all the coal, oil and nuclear companies that have bankrupted even with subsidies. Your point is?

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    13. Re:The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How are you saying this with a straight face when the comparison is Coal and Gas.

      Gas is by far the cheapest scalable source we have right now. It doesn't matter how you look at it. Don't be ignorant.

    14. Re:The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's bullshit. Cubicle dwelling assclown that hasn't seen a farm outside of Google Maps at any point in the last 20 years.

    15. Re: The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Bullshit

    16. Re: The Plan. by Bryansix · · Score: 2, Informative

      This seems like an overly broad statement if I ever saw one. For one thing, how far away from the equator you live affects how much sun you get never mind local weather patterns. It may be cheapest in some localities but not in others. In addition, there are negative externalities not fully dealt with currently like increased energy storage and peaker plant requirements.

    17. Re:The Plan. by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Any nation growing sugar beets is subsidising. They're not an economic crop. I'm looking at you Germany.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    18. Re:The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      Absolutely wheat, barley, rice, potatoes. I know from experience that with no special techniques or chemicals other than hot water and the cereals themselves I can get 80% conversion of barley and wheat to sugar, and sugar equals ethanol. Commercial production can take that number above 90%. Corn requires exotic equipment and/or chemical treatments to get above 60%. Potatoes and rice, I don't have any experience with, but I know they are highly fermentable as well. Obviously sugar beets are a great source of sugar (sucrose), but if you can accept a range of sugars, which saccharomyces can, extracting sucrose exclusively isn't the top priority. We are talking millennia old technology here. The reason corn sucks for this purpose is the same reason people can starve eating a diet of non nixtamalized corn.

    19. Re:The Plan. by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      They can still make more profit by cutting costs. Economic incentives don't sleep, even in captive markets.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    20. Re:The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Is it still cheaper when you factor in transport, storage, all of the other things involved?

      Since you hook it up to the same electrical grid, the delivery costs are the same as any other energy source.

      Storage only matters if you don't have adequate baseline production to cover variations in solar generation. If you have reliable solar or it is a small part of the overall production, then storage is irrelevant. This is how it is typically used today.

      Storage can be quite economical, but only when it is done at scale---which no one has really felt the need to do, at least in the US. As the prices of fossil fuels continue to rise over time, investing in storage infrastructure and solar expansion will make more sense.

    21. Re: The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Sugarcane, see Brazil

    22. Re: The Plan. by sexconker · · Score: 2

      Dude, solar is now the single cheapest way to generate power in the US, with no subsidies.

      Stop living in 1995

      Nuclear and hydroelectric are the cheapest, by far.

    23. Re:The Plan. by sexconker · · Score: 1

      Liar. There's a reason corn is used to make liquor. It's the best choice. It's cheap (sudsidized or not), it ferments easily, requires minimal processing, etc.

    24. Re: The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nuclear and hydroelectric are the cheapest, by far.

      Is that why we wasted 20 billion on two nuclear plants, one already cancelled, the other still not delivering power, and why no significant new hydroelectric has been added to the US grid in decades since all the potential sources are tapped out?

    25. Re: The Plan. by laie_techie · · Score: 2

      Sugarcane, see Brazil

      Sugarcane is more efficient than corn, but the US doesn't have much land suitable for growing sugarcane that can't be more profitable with another use. I'm talking as someone who grew up in Hawaii.

    26. Re:The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you will accept a 60% yield as they do for corn liquor it ferments just fine, but literally any other cereal crop produces far better efficiencies with far less processing. Also, check your assumption on how much liquor chooses corn, it is basically exclusively in some varieties of American whiskey where corn was the staple crop they had easily available, and even there it isn't usually straight corn. They wouldn't have to specify that bourbon is 51% corn in the mash if corn was the best and cheapest option. Flaked corn is used as an adjust by some breweries, but it isn't the majority of the grist bill there for a reason.

    27. Re: The Plan. by BlueStrat · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Is that why we wasted 20 billion on two nuclear plants

      No, much of that $20 billion was wasted on fighting anti-nuke protesters, eco-nutter lawsuits, over-regulation, NIMBYism, fossil-fuel lobbyists and their pet politicos, and general irrational fears that the anti-nuke people have incubated for decades using mis- and dis-information and outright lies.

      There are many forces, both domestic and foreign, who do not want the US to have cheap, safe, and reliable nuclear power, and who have been working for decades to make nuclear power plants as expensive and difficult as possible to build and maintain.

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
    28. Re:The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Get informed.

      mostly the companies that didn't innovate went bankrupt. Ones that did, are still around and doing well.

      There is also a problem with CHINESE subsidized solar industry dumping in the usa below production cost. Steel industry has been having a similar problem.

      Commodities markets are rough, especially when subsidized by a foreign government.

        but solar is the cheapest form of energy, and its only getting cheaper.

    29. Re: The Plan. by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 5, Funny

      Dude, solar is now the single cheapest way to generate power in the US, with no subsidies.

      Stop living in 1995

      Nuclear and hydroelectric are the cheapest, by far.

      And solar is unreliable. Every night I check my panels and they're not working, so I call the service guy. He comes out the next morning and they're working fine. It's really frustrating and the constant service calls are expensive.

      --
      It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
    30. Re: The Plan. by Khyber · · Score: 1

      "For one thing, how far away from the equator you live affects how much sun you get never mind local weather patterns."

      Actually, the closer you get to the poles, the higher your average yearly insolation. You don't want to be near the equator for solar.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
    31. Re: The Plan. by David_Hart · · Score: 1

      Sugarcane, see Brazil

      Sugarcane is more efficient than corn, but the US doesn't have much land suitable for growing sugarcane that can't be more profitable with another use. I'm talking as someone who grew up in Hawaii.

      Switchgrass is more efficient than corn. The problem is that the corn industry, including the seed companies, has too much lobbying power to make the change to another crop.

      https://www.scientificamerican...

    32. Re:The Plan. by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      And economically, if you look at the long run, petroleum will come to an end. Sure, it screws up the short term profits which is why this issue has become a political one instead of merely economic. But think back, we nearly caused many whale species to become extinct because of reliance on whale oil before we switched to petroleum. Do we really need to get those oil wells as dry as a bone before we switch to something else?

      Granted, there are a lot of other things not great about biodiesel at the moment. But in terms of economics we do need to find an alternative to non-renewable energy and fuels.

    33. Re: The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's exactly backwards:

      http://www.geog.ucsb.edu/ideas/Insolation.html

    34. Re: The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It is always amusing when anti-nuclear people cite high construction costs that are caused by anti-nuclear activism itself as the reason not to pursue nuclear power. With the benefit of hindsight nuclear is the most cost effective power source in Europe.

    35. Re:The Plan. by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      And you augment this with energy storage. Which on a large scale will make commercial wind and solar farms more reliable. Right now I think the reason solar is big on homes and not very big commercially, is because of the storage problems. Solar is great for the extra energy boost on a home when the air-conditioner is running, it's moderate to good for providing extra daytime power to the grid (enough so that utilities don't want to buy that power anymore), and it's bad to moderate on cost (everyone buy individually.

      Ultimately we need to be trying all these things, any sort of renewable energy is going to be a long term win, whereas coal, gas, and petroleum are on their way out.

      We also have hydro and nuclear, and both have their problems. Hydro is nice when combined with water storage in California, but it has a large environmental impact. Nuclear is potentially very clean as far as emissions, but people still don't know what to do with the waste except to find a state that wants the money and bury it all underground, it has a very high cost of operation. Geothermal is too localized.

      Every energy source however still needs a lot of research. It would be great if the US was still in the forefront of science.

    36. Re:The Plan. by marklark · · Score: 1

      Is it still cheaper when you factor in transport, storage, all of the other things involved?

      Since you hook it up to the same electrical grid, the delivery costs are the same as any other energy source.

      Storage only matters if you don't have adequate baseline production to cover variations in solar generation. If you have reliable solar or it is a small part of the overall production, then storage is irrelevant. This is how it is typically used today.

      Without storage, you have to fall back on that "baseline production" when the wind isn't blowing or the sun isn't shining. Then you're back where you started - without solar or wind production. Which means that everything that you spend on solar and/or wind is an extra cost! (Also, efficiencies that you would get if you used your baseline production at their peak are lost, as well.) If you spend the bucks on storage, you're back to a very expensive system. And, you might still run out of storage and need a backup of some sort.

      Storage can be quite economical, but only when it is done at scale---which no one has really felt the need to do, at least in the US. As the prices of fossil fuels continue to rise over time, investing in storage infrastructure and solar expansion will make more sense.

      Storage is going to be getting more expensive as batteries get bigger and materials become more scarce. Your phone battery degrades, so will your community-sized battery pack. R&D will help things - it usually does, but supply and demand is going to be a killer.

      Batteries for storage at scale? Like the battery Tesla built for Southern Australia? It's good for 6 minutes -- more of a UPS, than a main power source. Have you heard of large-scale battery use elsewhere?

    37. Re:The Plan. by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      Economically you need to do this at scale. Ie, have utilities do this, not individual homes. But solar is focusing on homes right now. And indeed storage is one of those issues involved.

      When my grandfather set up his ranch in the hills, he had no electricity at the start. So he had to make his own with a generator when it was needed, and that could be expensive and inconvenient. When the power lines ran to his house things improved and were cheaper. Today solar is a bit similar. Having each homeowner be responsible for their own solar is inefficient. It's used mostly to augment existing electricity from the grid.

    38. Re:The Plan. by marklark · · Score: 1

      But the solar and wind companies had the backing of the government. The coal, oil, and nuclear companies certainly didn't in the previous administration. (and being able to deduct expenses from your profits is not a subsidy)

      That's difference.

    39. Re: The Plan. by rgbatduke · · Score: 1

      Every night, huh? I see what you did there, sir....:-)

      --
      Even when the experts all agree, they may well be mistaken. --- Bertrand Russell.
    40. Re:The Plan. by rgbatduke · · Score: 1

      Storage is going to be getting more expensive as batteries get bigger and materials become more scarce. Your phone battery degrades, so will your community-sized battery pack. R&D will help things - it usually does, but supply and demand is going to be a killer.

      Probably not. Actually there is a very good chance that they are going to get a lot cheaper as they stop using relatively scarce materials. At least if you believe any reasonable fraction of what is being reported in various media, such as:

      https://www.designnews.com/ele...

      Bill Joy is in the category of folks I'd generally classify as Not An Idiot, so this -- among many other threads and research avenues -- are likely to drop the cost of batteries to roughly 1/10th of what they are now, with better operational characteristics to boot.

      --
      Even when the experts all agree, they may well be mistaken. --- Bertrand Russell.
    41. Re:The Plan. by rgbatduke · · Score: 1

      And don't forget, if we throw a handful of hops in, we can drink our fuel, if we use barley!

      Well, maybe not, but perhaps if we dilute it a bit and don't throw any of that nasty octane in...:-)

      --
      Even when the experts all agree, they may well be mistaken. --- Bertrand Russell.
    42. Re: The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Even including waste handling, treatment, and storage, and decommissioning?

    43. Re: The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      No it ain't. Pizza scales as r-squared. Solar power scales as one-over-r-squared. Sad!

    44. Re:The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You think the oil company which depend on the US securing the shipping lanes to Europe and keeping peace in the middle east don't get a handout from our government?

      What planet do you live on! A quarter of our national debt can be directly traced back as an indirect oil handout.

    45. Re: The Plan. by BlueStrat · · Score: 2, Interesting

      Even including waste handling, treatment, and storage, and decommissioning?

      There's more waste. If modern designs that reused 'waste' as fuel were allowed to be built there would be no highly radioactive waste to deal with. But that would largely remove a divisive issue that generates a lot of political donations and gets the low-info types all fired up and marching in protest. The "anti-proliferation" reasons are kinda moot when we've effectively given Iran and N. Korea permission to go nuclear and even given Iran pallets of money to help them along to a nuclear ICBM capability.

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
    46. Re: The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Insightful

      Yeah, because nobody has solved the problem of companies taking the profits from nuclear and running while spreading its risks over the whole of society.

      Solve this, and I'll be pro-nuclear the next second.

    47. Re: The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are many forces, both domestic and foreign, who do not want the US to have cheap, safe, and reliable nuclear power, and who have been working for decades to make nuclear power plants as expensive and difficult as possible to build and maintain.

      Ah, believing in a vast conspiracy while ignoring the nuclear industry's tendency to bullshit and defraud.

      But ok, with that, it clearly isn't cheaper, so next time, let's spend the money on something with deliverable results like home insulation or air sealing.

    48. Re: The Plan. by ahodgson · · Score: 2

      Yeah that's exactly wrong. 2 major things matter for solar; how long each day the sun is directly overhead, and average cloud cover. Deserts on the equator are the best. Deserts farther away from the equator are good. Anything else farther from the equator is bad. Rainy climates are really bad.

    49. Re: The Plan. by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      Dude, solar is now the single cheapest way to generate power in the US, with no subsidies.

      Stop living in 1995

      Nuclear and hydroelectric are the cheapest, by far.

      He was saying no subsidies, maybe hydro, but not nuclear. You can't even insure a nuc plant without th eGuvmint assuring that if it goes south they will pick up the tab. Loan guarantees, accelerated depreciation, surcharge to bills for construction in progress, property tax abatements, Uranium mining fuel depletion allowance, cooling water a no cost. produsction tax credits, Price-Anderson Taxpayer subsidy of risk, End of life taxpayers picking up the cost.

      Yeah, I would love to see a nuc plant built and opertated with the zero subsidies claimed by the nucbois.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    50. Re: The Plan. by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      Is that why we wasted 20 billion on two nuclear plants

      No, much of that $20 billion was wasted on fighting anti-nuke protesters, eco-nutter lawsuits, over-regulation, NIMBYism, fossil-fuel lobbyists and their pet politicos, and general irrational fears that the anti-nuke people have incubated for decades using mis- and dis-information and outright lies.

      There are many forces, both domestic and foreign, who do not want the US to have cheap, safe, and reliable nuclear power, and who have been working for decades to make nuclear power plants as expensive and difficult as possible to build and maintain.

      Strat

      Doood, you forgot to add that all of these other methods of generating power are depleting our precious bodily fluids.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    51. Re:The Plan. by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

      Nobody mentioned subsidies (which aren't all that different, if you only look at direct, industry-specific subsidies).

      But to wave away the vast differences in external costs between the two as "tribalistic whining" is almost as ludicrous as the OP.

      --
      Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
    52. Re: The Plan. by BlueStrat · · Score: 1

      Ah, believing in a vast conspiracy...

      My point you quoted there does not require any "vast conspiracy". Nice strawman though, and you slayed it so well!

      There are simply a number of opponents to nuclear power in the US and abroad ranging from various ecological groups, political/ideological groups, groups of investors in competing industries, and hostile foreign states that don't want the US having cheap, low-pollution, and plentiful energy as that helps drive a robust economy that can afford a large, modern military.

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
    53. Re: The Plan. by cnaumann · · Score: 2

      No matter what the design, you are going to end up isotopes of iodine, strontium, and a few others that are bioactive, that have tiny neutron cross sections and half lifes that will make the waste dangerous for several thousand years. It may not be the “high level” actinide waste but it is very dangerous waste that must be safely stored pretty much indefinitely.

    54. Re: The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The isotopes of iodine, strontium, cesium, and other bioactive elements produced in a fission reactor do not have half lives of several thousand years. If they did have half lives that long then they would not be radiation hazards. Make up your mind, do they have long half lives or are they radiation hazards? They cannot be both.

      Anything that is a radiation hazards to humans will decay in a couple hundred years. We know how to store stuff safely that long. After that point it's no more radioactive than common dirt.

    55. Re: The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ah, believing in a vast conspiracy...

      My point you quoted there does not require any "vast conspiracy". Nice strawman though, and you slayed it so well!

      You hate how your explanation is so easily exposed, don't you?

      There are simply a number of opponents to nuclear power in the US and abroad ranging from various ecological groups, political/ideological groups, groups of investors in competing industries, and hostile foreign states that don't want the US having cheap, low-pollution, and plentiful energy as that helps drive a robust economy that can afford a large, modern military.,.

      Yes, you believe in your conspiracy. It's a deeply held sentiment. Over the much simpler option of recognizing that Nuclear Power simply isn't capable of keeping its promises and we should move on to more effective solutions.

      Besides, the fact is, the US is going bonkers with its military anyway, so obviously they're not that effective.

      Your house of cards falls in on itself.

    56. Re:The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I'm not sure what you mean by "backing of the government", other than some kind of reflection of PR?

      Do you think the primary source of "backing" the government provides is fuzzy warm political positions? Are you basing this off of an actual understanding of how much the government has helped, and helps, each of these industries?

      40 million acres of public land is leased to oil & gas. Massive rights of way arranged. Laws that let you dump piles of polluting substances, issue profits, and never clean them up (or just don't get around to it). These are all "backing of government" in concrete massive ways. They aren't usually shouted to the rooftops, but are we talking about actual backing, or PR fluff?

      Tiny subsidies and PR announcements are fluff compared to it.

    57. Re: The Plan. by Khyber · · Score: 1

      That's actually wrong.

      http://www.southpolestation.co...

      "The sun rises on September 25th and sets around March 20th. During this
      time, the sun circles through all four horizons but never sets. The weather is mostly clear.
      According to the sun card data collection during 9/07 and 3/08, there are 3272 sunny hours out
      of 4224 total hours. White snow has a very high albedo (reflectance index) so that short-waved
      irradiation is reflected into all directions increasing the input on the solar panels. Further,
      photovoltaic panels work best when being cooled. Therefore, the South Pole environment is an
      optimal place for utilizing solar panels. "

      Highest returns happen with solar panels at the poles.

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
    58. Re: The Plan. by Khyber · · Score: 1

      http://www.southpolestation.co...

      Try again when you've actually done the research.

      "The sun rises on September 25th and sets around March 20th. During this
      time, the sun circles through all four horizons but never sets. The weather is mostly clear.
      According to the sun card data collection during 9/07 and 3/08, there are 3272 sunny hours out
      of 4224 total hours. White snow has a very high albedo (reflectance index) so that short-waved
      irradiation is reflected into all directions increasing the input on the solar panels. Further,
      photovoltaic panels work best when being cooled. Therefore, the South Pole environment is an
      optimal place for utilizing solar panels. "

      --
      Still waiting on Serviscope_minor to wake up to fucking reality and realize that Jessica Price isn't going to fuck him.
    59. Re: The Plan. by fferreres · · Score: 1

      Totally wrong because by that means best place may be the moon, but electricity distribution is really expensive, and storage even more. We are not all in the poles and we usually sleep 8 hours.

      --
      unfinished: (adj.)
    60. Re: The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We also have a LOT of corn... so that's why we use corn.

    61. Re:The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oil, coal & nuclear absolutely did have the backing of the government. Coal and oil get a government permit to dump various heavy metals and other carcenogenic/toxic substances into our environment. Nuclear is sheltered from catastrophic claims by subsidized insurance and generous corporate liability laws (which means they don't have to pay the true cost of the risks associated with their industry...who does pay? you/me/government).

      Try again.

    62. Re: The Plan. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There is no cure for stupid.

    63. Re: The Plan. by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      The iodine isotope that people were afraid of at Fukushima is gone, and by that I mean it's exceedingly unlikely that there's an atom left. The cesium isotope has a half-life of about forty years (strontium-90 is under thirty years). Figuring three thousand as the lower bound of several thousand, that's about 75 half-lives for cesium, which means that, if you start out with kilograms, you've got a good number of atoms left. If you want your cesium to decay to 0.1% of what it started as, wait about four hundred years.

      Seriously, the really dangerous stuff won't last centuries.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    64. Re:The Plan. by SamTombs · · Score: 1

      Also, check your assumption on how much liquor chooses corn, it is basically exclusively in some varieties of American whiskey where corn was the staple crop they had easily available, and even there it isn't usually straight corn.

      It is commonly found in most North American whisk[e]ys.

      They wouldn't have to specify that bourbon is 51% corn in the mash if corn was the best and cheapest option.

      Yes, they would. They specify it so that it will taste like bourbon - not because it is the best, worst, cheapest, or dearest option.

    65. Re:The Plan. by plague911 · · Score: 1

      Fair enough, ignoring externalizes to me is a form of subsidy but the words are not directly interchangeable.. I also agree that the net impacts are vastly different, and prefer the general pro environment approach. However, I still stand by my point that hardcore of disciples ignore the major subsidies/cons to both their respective sides. From neo-cons ignoring the elephant in the room that is global warming to liberal ignoring the inability of renewables to provide base load production. The result is two loud groups of idiots yelling at each-other and drowning out the few knowable voices in the room.

    66. Re: The Plan. by BlueStrat · · Score: 1

      Seriously, the really dangerous stuff won't last centuries.

      But creating fears through propaganda and misinformation among the populace of the possibility of thousands of years of hard radiation where only a few sickly mutant things ooze about is much more effective at motivating blocs of votes to back certain political/ideological agendas which may not even actually have any direct interest in green agendas other than as a political tool to further their own agendas.

      Someone should ask them; 'Do you even periodic table, Bro?"

      Strat

      --
      Progressivism (aka US 'Liberalism'): Ideas so good they need a police/surveillance-state to enforce.
    67. Re:The Plan. by Dare+nMc · · Score: 1

      > coal, oil, and nuclear companies certainly didn't in the previous administration.

      B.S. They subsidized all of those industries with loan guarantees and billions in direct subsidies to pay for research (and building plants) for reducing environmental impacts such as clean coal. Loan guarantees on the Alaska pipeline, relaxing rules on coal companies (allowing them to self bond on reclamation costs, that will now have to be done through a superfund spending by the government when they are finally bankrupted.) The Obama administration allowed several coal companies to settle debts in bankruptcy, to keep the mines active, that went against federal law. They also used tons of resources on cleanup (such as deepwater horizon) much of which was never paid back.

      Also for nuclear:U.S. offers Vogtle nuclear plant $3.7 billion in loan guarantees

    68. Re:The Plan. by Namarrgon · · Score: 1

      Base-load production isn't a subsidy or an externality, but if your wider point is about ignoring the deficiencies of one's own position, then I'd suggest people are usually aware of those deficiencies but tend to minimise them, or at least feel sure they're much less of an issue than the deficiencies of the alternatives.

      My problem here is the false equivalency. You say that each side is equally bad for glossing over the weaknesses in their arguments, but when those issues differ by orders of magnitude it's not equivalent at all. While no solution is perfect, some answers can be dramatically better than others.

      For your example, intermittent renewables are a solvable issue - with storage, with wide distribution and redundancy, with plenty of variation in the mix of sources. The solutions do add to their cost, but even so are cheap enough that they're still competitive. Compare that to fossil fuel emissions, which cost us hundreds of billions annually even before factoring in climate change, and still no effective solution exists. Billions more have been spent piloting "clean coal" plants, promising only to partially reduce emissions, but still without success. Unless you're aware of hidden costs to renewables that are anywhere near the vast costs of fossil fuels, I don't see how the two alternatives are remotely equivalent.

      --
      Why would anyone engrave "Elbereth"?
    69. Re: The Plan. by Bryansix · · Score: 1

      Have you ever seen a graph of a parabola?

  3. Telecommute for the environment. by Narcocide · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Way too many of you don't actually need to be driving every day but still are. I realize that's immaterial to food/resources shipping, but it's still the bulk of the weight of emissions and fuel waste. What we're looking at here isn't the real problem. The real problem is wasteful employers demanding their wage slaves jump through these unnecessary extra hoops just out of some blind devotion to an obsolete tradition, or else some sick psychotic enjoyment of the sense of control it provides them to be able to order them to do in some cases even hours of unpaid work before and after each shift.

    1. Re:Telecommute for the environment. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      maybe there's some people out there who like the separation between home and work?

    2. Re:Telecommute for the environment. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm probably about one of five people in the US that bought a house located near public transit options (as the #1 criteria of house location, everything else came second to that, and much to my wife's disgust of not getting a house with a brand new kitchen and bathroom renovation job) so I can leave the car at home, and take the train to work.

      The thought of having to get in a car and drive it to work, deal with traffic, parking, etc now seems very backwards and like a lot of effort vs a 45 minute train ride twice a day.

    3. Re:Telecommute for the environment. by Narcocide · · Score: 1

      You're just mad you wasted a sock-puppet mod point trying to silence me.

    4. Re:Telecommute for the environment. by Narcocide · · Score: 1

      Well, at least on the train ride you can get some reading done.

    5. Re:Telecommute for the environment. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Highly-controllable serfs are nice, but if a utopia-grade transportation system existed I don't think anyone would fight it. So, inertia is a factor.

      If autonomous driving turns out to emerge with pie-in-the-sky capabilities, and you marry that to enabled+competent DoTs (even more impossible) we'd have faster, cheaper, more efficient transportation. Somehow. I'll try:

      Imagine fleets of shuttles, scaled to trips (we already do this, foot->car->shuttle->airplane etc). Imagine being anywhere in a city, but one button and seconds away from a little buggy showing up, think segway or gold cart, to zip you to the neighborhood node, which has constant shuttles zooming to/from other nodes, doing 100mph in residential areas. This is because there's no traffic, no road system, fewer vehicles (small, med, large) but far more than current pubtrans, constantly operating, and at ludicrous speeds.

      In practice it's engineer babble, completely naive to real-world details, it's how someone assigned to being God Admin would solve the "puzzle", what a network-building algorithm would recommend, and nothing more than a cute dream, an idle thought.

    6. Re:Telecommute for the environment. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You don't get separation work and home if I can't get separation of church and state.

  4. Normally I'm quite against biofuels by Rei · · Score: 5, Interesting

    But it's important to know that in 2020 a new low sulfur standard on bunker fuel is going to come into play. That's going to put shipping in direct competition with diesel for refinery output, and will likely create a significant crunch in that regard. The right time to have killed off biodiesel's subsidies is either "several years ago" or "after the market adjusts to the new low sulfur standards", not during the crunch / adaptation timeperiods.

    I mean, you can make the diesel crunch worse if you want if you're willing to drive up commodities prices further in order to accelerate the transition to electric shipping. There's a logic there. But as far as timing goes, diesel is going to be in a tight spot as it is without taking a lot of alternative fuel off the market.

    --
    Santa Ana Winds: Like the Dustbowl, but with awards shows.
    1. Re:Normally I'm quite against biofuels by plague911 · · Score: 1

      Fair enough, but with the sulfur requirements having a definitive date, the ****free market**** ****should**** be able to adjust for this without the strict government requirements.

    2. Re:Normally I'm quite against biofuels by Amouth · · Score: 4, Insightful

      so are you building the extra refinery? or am i? or you know if you don't i won't and we can both just charge x2 the price...

      --
      '...if only "Jumping to a Conclusion" was an event in the Olympics.'
    3. Re:Normally I'm quite against biofuels by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      Multinational companies killed the free market ages ago

    4. Re:Normally I'm quite against biofuels by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      How the fuck should the free market drive sulfur emissions down?

      Are you brain dead?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    5. Re:Normally I'm quite against biofuels by plague911 · · Score: 1

      illiterate noob. " A ****free market**** ****should**** enable our energy companies to plan for a foreseeable spike in demand for a particular oil product and adjust production plans accordingly.

    6. Re:Normally I'm quite against biofuels by Rei · · Score: 3, Interesting

      That would be great if the industry could react that fast, but it takes a lot longer than just a few years to convert a large portion of the world's total petroleum consumption from high sulfur sources to low sulfur sources. They're working on it, but there will be a supply-demand imbalance, and it will have financial consequences.

      BTW, the IMO regulations come into effect at the start of 2020, not the end. Not much time left. The rule change was only announced this fall

      It can also be dealt with, mind you, by installing scrubbers on ships - then they can still burn high sulfur fuel. But about 80% of shipping is expected to switch to lower sulfur crude, as the capital costs for ships to add scrubbers are quite high. There's another problem, in that the most affordable way to scrub sulfur from ship exhaust ends up dumping it into the sea... but then they're exposing themselves to a liability that years from now that might be banned and they'd have to undergo yet another retrofit.

      --
      Santa Ana Winds: Like the Dustbowl, but with awards shows.
    7. Re:Normally I'm quite against biofuels by ceoyoyo · · Score: 2

      It will. The free market always adjusts appropriately. Problem is, we often don't like the correct adjustment so we try and fiddle it a bit.

    8. Re:Normally I'm quite against biofuels by Khashishi · · Score: 2

      What do you mean by the "correct adjustment"? People are selfish wasteful bastards and the free market reflects that. Government exists because people realize that they need something to keep themselves in check.

    9. Re:Normally I'm quite against biofuels by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We should be switching to nuclear power for ships instead of lower-sulfer

    10. Re:Normally I'm quite against biofuels by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      The correct adjustment is setting the price appropriately for the supply and demand. Yes, it's kind of circular, but so is most of finance.

      That's what I mean: people are selfish, wasteful bastards, and if left alone the market will correctly reflect that. We've tried that a few times and didn't much like it, so we have governments to intercede.

    11. Re:Normally I'm quite against biofuels by sjames · · Score: 1

      But what will really happen is they'll see that the new limit is more than a quarter out and investors will trash the biodiesel operation, then comes the crunch, then the investors will all run clucking and squawking back to biodiesel that will then need time to get the plants operational again. In the mean while, prices will climb to much higher than the cost of the biodiesel.

    12. Re:Normally I'm quite against biofuels by Rei · · Score: 1

      Look at the price of even a small nuclear power plant. Now look at the price on a Maersk Triple E. There's your answer.

      It's just not economically justifiable. So far only one country (Russia) has even found it economically justifiable for icebreakers, which are about the most energy intensive task at sea you can get. As a general rule, reactors only go on ships when they must (when you need them to be deployed for long periods at a time - aka carriers, missile subs, etc)

      --
      Santa Ana Winds: Like the Dustbowl, but with awards shows.
    13. Re:Normally I'm quite against biofuels by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Now there's irony for you.... a seven-digit calling a five-digit a "noob".

    14. Re:Normally I'm quite against biofuels by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      And what has that to do with sulfur emissions, my insulting friend?
      How foees the free market you think existing somewhere adress that?
      Why did the free market not reduce the sulfur emission in the 1970s?

      What has your spike in demand of oil to to with that question anyway?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  5. ICEs and petroleum need to go away by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 2

    We need to get away from these 'mature' technologies in transportation sooner or later, so why not sooner? Fast-track it.

    1. Re:ICEs and petroleum need to go away by MrVictor · · Score: 1

      Because that is heavy handed and idiotic.

      Don't think about legislating ICEs away until some common sense things are true: EVs are half the price they are now, have robust charging standards and charge stations are more numerous than unicorns.

    2. Re:ICEs and petroleum need to go away by harrkev · · Score: 2

      Well, I have seen charging stations. They are not as common as they need to be to truly support a switch to electric, but we are slowly getting there.

      However, the cost for an EV will probably never come down to a parity with ICE cars (at least not without an artificial tax on gas vehicles). Lithium is still expensive, and demand for it is keeping the prices high.

      Really, the only hope is for some type of battery that does not involve lithium to take off (and no fair switching lithium for unobtanium -- all materials used must be cheaper).

      Tons of research is going into batteries, but it is way too early to bet on a winning horse at this point.

      --
      "-1 Troll" is the apparently the same as "-1 I disagree with you."
    3. Re:ICEs and petroleum need to go away by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Right, so you goto Ford, GM and ExxonMobil, ask them how much will it cost to keep their lobby groups away from electric cars. Write them a check.
      Next, goto Tesla, Ford, and GM, and ask them how much to roll out electric cars in exchange for their gasoline cars with-in 12 months, Write them a check.
      Done.

    4. Re:ICEs and petroleum need to go away by steveha · · Score: 2

      the cost for an EV will probably never come down to a parity with ICE cars

      Most experts think that once the cost of a battery comes down, battery electric vehicles will cost less than ICE vehicles. Some people are claiming that BEVs are already cheaper than ICEVs if you take total cost of ownership into account.

      https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2017/dec/01/electric-cars-already-cheaper-to-own-and-run-than-petrol-or-diesel-study

      I have seen several people repeating the claim that when lithium batteries for cars drop below $100 per kilowatt-hour, BEVs will cost less than ICEVs and consumers will start switching to them to save money. Elon Musk has in the past said that 2020 could be the year this happens. (For Tesla, anyway, since Tesla built its own battery factory just to get the lowest cost on batteries.)

      https://electrek.co/2017/01/30/electric-vehicle-battery-cost-dropped-80-6-years-227kwh-tesla-190kwh/

      the only hope is for some type of battery that does not involve lithium

      I'll bet you that BEVs will boom in the next few years, still using lithium batteries. The high price of lithium is sending a signal to the free market, and as a result more development of lithium resources is happening. If prices are high enough, lithium and other metals can be recovered from sea water, and we aren't running out of sea water anytime soon. Also, we haven't really started recycling lithium car batteries yet, but that's coming too.

      According to this article a Tesla Model S only needs 15 pounds / 7 kg of lithium, about as much as a bowling ball; and experts think that just the lithium available from mining would be enough for 185 years.

      https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2017-lithium-battery-future/

      Tons of research is going into batteries, but it is way too early to bet on a winning horse at this point.

      For years I have been interested in batteries big enough to run an entire city ("grid-scale" batteries). I was assuming that something unusual like the liquid metal battery technology or flow batteries would be needed, but Tesla has started selling grid-scale lithium battery packs to Australia. So maybe lithium is even getting inexpensive enough for grid-scale. My understanding is that the Tesla battery in Australia can only supply power for a very short time, so I haven't lost interest in liquid metal or flow batteries.

      https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-switch/wp/2017/12/26/teslas-enormous-battery-in-australia-just-weeks-old-is-already-responding-to-outages-in-record-time/

      http://www.engineeringnews.co.za/article/liquid-metal-battery-inventor-questions-lithium-ion-as-grid-scale-storage-solution-2017-03-29

      --
      lf(1): it's like ls(1) but sorts filenames by extension, tersely
    5. Re:ICEs and petroleum need to go away by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      You're the one bringing 'legislation' into this, I said NOTHING about that, so I'll just disregard that as idiotic. ALL I SAID is that it should be fast-tracked, that we should AS A CIVILIZATION get off the idea that ICEs are the only thing that matters and off the idea that these newfangled electric cars are just for tree-huggers and other environmentalist whackos and that they BELONG in the mainstream. While we're at it get people to stop being all superstitiously weirded out about nuclear power in ANY OF IT'S FORMS (NOT JUST URANIUM HIGH PRESSURE REACTORS) so we can stop burning shit just to make electricity.

    6. Re:ICEs and petroleum need to go away by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      He merely made the suggestion of fast-tracking the move away from ICEs and petroleum as transportation tech.
      There is nothing heavy handed and idiotic about that.
      Actually, your post is quite idiotic.

    7. Re:ICEs and petroleum need to go away by Agripa · · Score: 1

      For years I have been interested in batteries big enough to run an entire city ("grid-scale" batteries). I was assuming that something unusual like the liquid metal battery technology or flow batteries would be needed, but Tesla has started selling grid-scale lithium battery packs to Australia. So maybe lithium is even getting inexpensive enough for grid-scale. My understanding is that the Tesla battery in Australia can only supply power for a very short time, so I haven't lost interest in liquid metal or flow batteries.

      Lithium traction batteries have a higher ratio of power density to energy density than required for stationary grid applications so they will always support short operating times; this makes them a good choice for peaking applications but not for overnight base-load applications. Flow batteries can tailor this ratio for different applications; if you want higher run time, then make the fluid tanks larger.

    8. Re:ICEs and petroleum need to go away by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe but one thing you need to keep in mind is that gasoline has a significant taxation portion; IIRC it makes up about 35% of the pump price.

      Right now it doesn't make much much of a different, but what happens if even 10% of cars in the US go electric?

      Let's say gas is $2/gallon. Let's also say that your typical sedan is 42MPG with an average operational lifespan of 120,000 miles.

      (120,000 / 42) * 2 => $5714.29

      $5714.29 * 0.35 = $2000 of revenue per car.

      There's 243 million cars in the US; let's say 10% go electric.

      $2000 * 24,300,00 = $46,800,000,000 ($46 billion) in tax revenue.

      It's probably a safe assumption that the government will not take this loss quietly; no government in the world willingly gives up an tax revenue source. Either they'll take on a $6000 surcharge to the purchase price of an EV, or they'll start upping the registration costs of a car quiet a lot (from $100 / year to $1000+ / year).

    9. Re:ICEs and petroleum need to go away by SamTombs · · Score: 1

      According to this article a Tesla Model S only needs 15 pounds / 7 kg of lithium, about as much as a bowling ball;

      Bowling balls need lithium?

    10. Re:ICEs and petroleum need to go away by steveha · · Score: 1

      I live in Washington state, and when I pay my annual registration fee I also have to pay an "Electric Vehicle Tax" of $200. I estimate that this is equal to about 10 months of the gasoline tax on my previous car (with the amount of driving I do). People who drive more than I do would have a bigger difference.

      I predict that any state that is worried about the loss of gasoline tax will simply enact new taxes, as Washington state did.

      --
      lf(1): it's like ls(1) but sorts filenames by extension, tersely
  6. cost by Tom · · Score: 5, Interesting

    That might all be true, but has it occurred to any of those people that cost may not be the only factor that was considered when the law was created?

    Omg, the sky is falling, run for the hills - somebody is thinking about something else than profit, profit, profit!

    Stuff made from plants is renewable. Sooner or later we will have to switch to renewable, because - surprise - oil is only renewable on a scale of millions of years. So you can over a period of some decades slowly transition to renewables - with probably increased overall costs, definitely higher costs initially because everything is more expensive when you start it - or you can keep burning oil until it is actually over and then watch civilization crumble in the price shock.

    The last numbers I could find in a quick search was biodiesel wholesale prices above $4 per gallon. That means with taxes, distribution and profits for the petrol station, it'll be somewhere in the $5-$6 range per gallon by my naive estimate.

    Imagine the price of gas suddenly went up into that price range. I bet you know a lot of people who would have to make some hard life choices.

    --
    Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    1. Re:cost by TechyImmigrant · · Score: 1

      >Stuff made from plants is renewable.

      It's carbon neutral too.

      The crime isn't burning hydrocarbons. It's digging them out of the ground and burning them.
      $1.80 extra per gallon is the cost to us when they don't use biodiesel.

      --
      I should use this sig to advertise my book ISBN-13 : 978-1501515132.
    2. Re:cost by fish_in_the_c · · Score: 1, Informative

      the problem is this 'renewable' is not even a net zero return. which is to say you could not run the trucks and equipment used to produce bio-diesel on bio-diesel and expect to not add other fuel into the system. At best it needs to be views as an energy storage mechanism not a fuel. Maybe ... one day ... we will find a process to convert the plant to fuel that doesn't take more energy ( produced from oil) then you get back when you burn it , but that isn't today. Also, these has been being researched since the 60's how long to keep investing research money in a field that has shown little improvement in which there is no way to verify the problem is even solvable. It may be that physics of it simply don't allow a solution. No one knows.

      --
      âoeTolerance applies only to persons, but never to truth. Intolerance applies only to truth, but never to persons.
    3. Re:cost by Baron_Yam · · Score: 1

      >has it occurred to any of those people that cost may not be the only factor that was considered when the law was created?

      Fossil fuels are only more profitable because we don't include all the costs... production was handled a long time ago, over a very long period of time. Pollution? We do a lot more to mitigate than we used to, but in the grand scheme of things we really don't spend much on turning the use of such fuel in to a net-zero impact on the environment.

      You burn a plant, and you grow a new one... carbon cycle closed. More or less, or at least far better than burning oil extracted from the ground. The entire product lifecycle is included in the sale price.

    4. Re:cost by dgatwood · · Score: 1

      >Stuff made from plants is renewable.

      It's carbon neutral too.

      Only if it takes no non-plant-based energy to harvest it and refine it.

      --

      Check out my sci-fi/humor trilogy at PatriotsBooks.

    5. Re:cost by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      It's not net zero, but at the same time, the lost opportunity cost is building PV plants (pun not intended) with are much more efficient at turning sunlight into usable forms of energy than biological plants, not to mention no need to waste fertilizers or ruin topsoil.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    6. Re: cost by p91paul · · Score: 1

      That is not a point, since you'll need fuel and energy also to transport and refine petroleum.

    7. Re:cost by Bryansix · · Score: 1

      That's a false dichotomy. By making biodiesel renewable, you are just delaying the transition to all electric transportation.

    8. Re:cost by Bryansix · · Score: 2

      Or the problems created by mono-culture crops.
      https://www.regenerative.com/m...

    9. Re:cost by Solandri · · Score: 5, Informative

      Nearly all the farm subsidies stem from the Great Depression. The Dust Bowl led to food shortages. Today we pay farmers not to plant crops just to prevent their farmland from being sold and converted into condominiums. The idea is that if a similar ecological disaster strikes, we'll have plenty of reserve farmland which can rapidly be put back into production and sown with seeds.

      Likewise, we pay farmers to overproduce. There's no way to know ahead of time what percentage of the crops will fail, so we set a target of growing enough crops that even if there's a worst-case crop failure (e.g. devastating cold snap in late Spring), there will still be enough crops to feed the entire country. Of course when no crop failure happens, we suddenly have more food than we need. Left to normal supply/demand economics, this would cause the price of these crops to crater, and farmers would go out of business. So instead the government sets a guaranteed price before the season. It buys all the crops thus ensuring the farmers stay in business. Then it sells that food to wholesalers and distributors at a loss. This is how corn, wheat, soybeans, etc. are subsidized.

      That takes care of the economics (keeping the farmers from going bankrupt). But there's still a discrepancy between supply and demand. Because we overproduced, the government is left with a bunch of food which it can't sell. Rather than let it rot in silos, the government has to come up with other uses for it. A lot of it becomes food for foreign aid (which kills the economy for local farmers overseas, but that's another story). Some of the corn gets turned into high fructose corn syrup, to reduce our dependence on imported sugar cane (which only likes to grow in tropical climates).

      And in the 1970s during the Arab Oil Embargo, some clever person said why don't we turn some of that extra food into fuel? You see, this is excess corn and soybeans we're talking about. The cost to grow the crop has already been paid - it's a sunk cost. Anything useful you can do with it is better than letting it rot in silos, as long as the added cost (i.e. excluding the cost of growing the crop) is less than the benefit of the use. For the biofuel program to make economic sense, only the cost of converting it into ethanol or biodiesel has to be less than the market price for gasoline or diesel. The feedstock (corn or soybeans) is essentially free.

      That's how it began. Then the agriculture industry got a hold of the idea and lobbied for laws which mandated growing crops for the express purpose of converting them into biofuels. So now we're no longer talking about excess corn and soybeans. We're talking about corn and soybeans which were grown with the sole intent of turning them into ethanol and biodiesel. When you do that, suddenly the cost of growing the crop is no longer a sunk cost, and the economic cost of the program is the conversion cost plus the cost to grow the crop. And it becomes a money-wasting program. These programs need to be scaled back to what they originally were - a use for excess crops grown because of our food subsidies.

      Like ethanol, biodiesel has its uses. Ethanol is hygroscopic (likes to absorb water). So adding a little ethanol to gasoline (but nowhere near the 10% we use) helps prevent water from building up in storage tanks. Likewise, the refining process which produces ultra low-sulfur diesel removes much of the natural lubricity in the fuel. Adding a small amount of biodiesel to the tank is a good way to get it back, helping reduce engine wear, reducing maintenance costs and improving engine lifespan. But the programs need to be scaled back to only use excess crops, with enough R&D on the process so they can be ramped up quickly if/when we hit peak oil.

    10. Re:cost by TechyImmigrant · · Score: 1

      >Stuff made from plants is renewable.

      It's carbon neutral too.

      Only if it takes no non-plant-based energy to harvest it and refine it.

      Which would be diesel fuel. You've got to make some to prime the loop.

      --
      I should use this sig to advertise my book ISBN-13 : 978-1501515132.
    11. Re:cost by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      Thanks, good history lesson.

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
    12. Re:cost by Z00L00K · · Score: 1

      There's also a lot of byproduct waste when you process the crops that can be used for producing fuel, even if it's not high grade it do contain at least fuel value.

      The point is that what we today consider waste that's biodegradable can actually be used as a source for fuel. The remains that are left after fuel production would still be rich in minerals that might be possible to use as fertilizer unless it has been contaminated in some way - usually by metals.

      --
      If builders built buildings the way programmers wrote programs, then the first woodpecker would destroy civilization.
    13. Re:cost by es330td · · Score: 1

      Reality is somewhere between your extremes. What will actually happen is that as fossil fuels become less available (and therefore more expensive) only those uses that are still profitable at the higher cost will continue to use the fossil fuels. As demand shifts to renewables research and production will increase, decreasing the cost and accelerating the transition. This is the way it has always worked. Early adopters pay stupid prices to fund early development (see Tesla) encouraging competitors (see Every Car Company Not Named Tesla.) Eventually the market sorts out the winners and losers. Outside government interference, prices do not move suddenly at the macro level. While short term events may cause price spikes or crashes, at the end of the day demand drives prices drives supply.

    14. Re: cost by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But the programs need to be scaled back to only use excess crops, with enough R&D on the process so they can be ramped up quickly if/when we hit peak oil.

      Nope. The demand for ethanol in fuel is based on its usefulness as an oxygenator, which means it cuts tailpipe emissions. After the failure of MTBE, there is no other choice as long as we keep our ICEs.

      Since the net availability of land has grown, there is no pressure to keep land in cultivation.

      In fact, and this may surprise you, food was rotting in warehouses during the Great Depression. Why? Because it couldn't be sold since nobody would front the money.

    15. Re:cost by ahodgson · · Score: 1

      Except to do it at any scale it takes all our farmland. So really it's just expensive posturing that solves nothing.

    16. Re:cost by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dude- petrol IS $6 a gallon in the UK (£1.20/litre). Maybe y'all don't need kids driving SUVs to school.

    17. Re:cost by Tom · · Score: 1

      Yes, this is most likely how it will go. The role of the government here is to support the early movers, because without them, we as a society would hit a wall one day. With them, when we come to the wall, a ramp will be in place.

      This law is part of that ramp.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    18. Re:cost by Tom · · Score: 1

      Cars have a typical lifespan of 10+ years. We will be with ICE vehicles for the forseable future. It will be a slow transition one way or the other.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    19. Re:cost by Reziac · · Score: 1

      Stuff made from plants is renewable, but contrary to urban perception, crops don't just magically spring forth from the ground; you've still got to plant, water, fertilize, and harvest it, then process the harvest (in this case, extract the oil). What's the net energy gain there, counting everything in the chain (including the natural gas used to make roughly half the required fertilizer, and the production and fueling of more farm equipment)?? or is it actually a net energy loss? I'm guessing it hovers slightly the wrong side of break-even.

      And having lived in CA when the price of gasoline hit $5/gallon (and a buck higher in Lone Pine) -- the choice you make if you've still got to get somewhere, like to work, is generally to forego something major, like heating your house or replacing your rattletrap of a car, because more-trivial savings don't offset that much of an expenses spike.

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
  7. Yet another example of rural leaching by plague911 · · Score: 0, Troll

    How many more of these do we need before we reach a critical acceptance level that rural America is a complete albatross?

    1. Re:Yet another example of rural leaching by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      I like food.

    2. Re:Yet another example of rural leaching by plague911 · · Score: 1, Interesting

      You can buy it from elsewhere, cheaper, massively so, after accounting for the rural subsidies the US provides. The US deficit would vaporize and turn into a massive surplus if we dropped the rural communities and only had the urban and suburban areas.

    3. Re:Yet another example of rural leaching by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How many more of these do we need before we reach a critical acceptance level that urban America is a complete albatross?

    4. Re:Yet another example of rural leaching by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You really don't sound like you've given more than a second in thought to this. Not having a food supply that you can control and rely upon is a serious security risk. Relying entirely upon others for food makes you too vulnerable to outside influences. I agree this article makes the biofuel sound like a waste of money, but money should be spent to keep an abundant local source of food around.

    5. Re:Yet another example of rural leaching by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I rate your troll 1 out of 10. You're trying to hard. At first I thought you were just not thinking through, but when somebody actually proposes shipping food from half way across the globe as a "solution", it's just obvious you're trying to get a reaction.

      A quick lesson for you. A good troll is subtle. The reader isn't certain that the writer is just trying to get a rise out of people. You'd have done better had you not responded. The first half was decent.

    6. Re:Yet another example of rural leaching by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 3, Insightful

      How is it with a multi-hundred-billion-dollar deficit, people always look at something that costs $6Bn or even like $0.040Bn and say, "Hey, if we got rid of that, that $600Bn deficit would go away!"?

    7. Re:Yet another example of rural leaching by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Nevertheless, getting rid of the biocrap would most likely push the domestic prices lower.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    8. Re:Yet another example of rural leaching by plague911 · · Score: 1

      Not single handily but given the the complexities of our modern economy if there are individual examples of waste that add up to 1% of the deficit that is actually massive deal and a strong indicator the region as a whole is a source of massive waste. If you need a clear cut example of this, there is plenty of public information about how rural states contribute at most 70% of the tax dollars they take out it is easy to see how the a 600 billion dollar deficit would turn into a surplus on a 4 trillion dollar budget.

    9. Re:Yet another example of rural leaching by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Isn't it urban america that pushed for biodiesel. Rural america will happily take that money, they're not stupid.

    10. Re:Yet another example of rural leaching by plague911 · · Score: 1

      "Isn't it urban america that pushed for biodiesel." No.

    11. Re:Yet another example of rural leaching by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      The answer is mainly because they've never looked at a graph or chart showing where our spending goes. (Incidentally Ross Perot tried to use charts in his presidential campaign and got mocked for it).

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    12. Re:Yet another example of rural leaching by erapert · · Score: 1

      Because the alternative is to actually start cutting entitlements and military spending and that would be political suicide because every voter in this country is all in favor of getting theirs at the expense of all the other tax payers (yes, they're so stupid that they don't realize they themselves are also paying and are about to pay even more once the whole thing collapses).

      Short of an actual violent revolution or a sub-violent overthrow of the political caste in this country we're heading directly for bankruptcy and a failed state just like the USSR and Venezuela and every other socialist or socialist-lite country. The only question is "when will it happen?"

    13. Re:Yet another example of rural leaching by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "A billion here, a billion there, and pretty soon you're talking about real money."
      Saving $1 billion doesn't seem like much compared to the budget as a whole... but it's still ONE BILLION FUCKING DOLLARS.

      Also, there are hundreds of these sorts of programs that can be cut or trimmed. If you save $1 billion from each, you get up to your hundred-billion-dollar level fairly soon.

    14. Re:Yet another example of rural leaching by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      The US deficit would vaporize and turn into a massive surplus if we dropped the rural communities...

      ...which we would then use to buy food at outrageous prices from these same rural communities. So, in this scenario: Everybody wins? What do you think?

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
    15. Re:Yet another example of rural leaching by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Actually, there's a workable alternative, but it's complex. You can actually get the tax burden to go down over time by structuring around a universal dividend. This takes a portion of all income, passes it out to all adults equally, and thus creates an equitable system. The dividend is structured in such a way as to reduce top-tier taxes as well.

      Because the buying power of the individual benefit trends with GDP-per-capita, the poor become progressively less-poor over time, reducing their eligibility for welfare benefits. Think about it: at $27,000, a 2-adult, 3-child household in Baltimore passes the HUD income limit. In 2016, a 14% dividend (my target is 10%, but I have to start a bit higher and work down) would have paid $7,500/year per adult. At $23k income, the difference is about $12k: your household income is $35k (earned and unearned), and you get no HUD subsidy.

      The first effect is that housing assistance (and SNAP, TANF, etc.) reaches further. HUD puts 75% of all eligible households on a waiting list. With everyone bumped up, the many no longer eligible have their benefits passed down; and those still eligible receive a smaller benefit, passing the difference down. HUD should actually end up with around half of its budget unspent, but I accounted for only reducing the cost by 1/4 initially. As the Dividend becomes stronger, it cuts into this further.

      Middle-class tax rates go up based on how I built this; middle-class tax burdens go down because the Dividend pays out. Think about being given $7,500/year, paid $313 on the 1st and 15th of each month, and paying e.g. $5,000 more in taxes because you make a high middle-class salary. You're ... ahead by $2,500, not by $7,500. Still ahead. That tax hike (the $5,000) is a big part of the funding source.

      Because it grows with GDP-per-capita, the middle-class impact actually shrinks. Eventually, nobody earning under $100k is actually paying taxes. Eventually, the 39.6% top tax rate (I'm repealing the tax cuts and jobs act) falls to about 33%, too, when the dividend is only a 10% dividend. That takes a couple decades: I'm cutting it back less than growth, and stopping at 10%.

      The other part of the funding source is Social Security. Instead of paying OASDI from the retirement and disability trust, I also restructured Social Security to pay the Dividend to everyone over age 18 (target is 16), and to pay the same total benefit in retirement and disability. That means if you're getting e.g. $700/year from the Dividend and you retire with Social Security paying you $1,500, your retirement payment is $800. $700 + $800 = $1,500. The Dividend grows faster than Social Security's benefits (it's faster than COLA), so it unloads the trusts, makes Social Security solvent (permanently), and causes the FICA tax (which is all payroll at this point) to come down over time.

      That rebasing of FICA to the Dividend provides about a third of the funding stream. The rest is restructured from existing income taxes.

      The initial impact is similar to more than half a trillion tax cut. Getting healthcare to all Americans with better affordable care plus a public option to cover those who can't get affordable care would cost $200 billion. You can actually do both and come out ahead.

      Incidentally, getting HUD and SNAP to accomplish their missions directly would require several hundred billion PER YEAR of additional government spending. The tax rates would need to come way up. This approach causes the tax burden to come down instead, and creates jobs by more middle- and lower-class spending (about 8%-10% growth), further reducing the number of households in need of benefits and, thus, Federal spending. I want to see if I can achieve an outright trillion-dollar (2016 dollars) tax burden reduction. Note that the amount of dollars received in excess of your taxes are the burden: a middle-classer paying $12k in ta

    16. Re:Yet another example of rural leaching by DNS-and-BIND · · Score: 1

      The wall is only $20 billion, chump change. Compare that to the six trillion dollars that's been spent on foreign wars by our globalist elites, that have made America more hated than ever. Puts it into perspective.

      --
      Shutting down free speech with violence isn't fighting fascism. It IS fascism!
    17. Re:Yet another example of rural leaching by ahodgson · · Score: 1

      Because they like medicare and/or the military and don't want to significantly reduce either. Sadly those are the only two areas that would move the needle.

    18. Re:Yet another example of rural leaching by plague911 · · Score: 1

      Nope we can buy it from elsewhere for even lower prices! Food prices are higher here due to protective import restrictions. If we stopped giving preference to the US rural production the cost of food would actually go down from increased competition with other sources.

    19. Re:Yet another example of rural leaching by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      I'll just re-post this.

    20. Re:Yet another example of rural leaching by erapert · · Score: 1

      This is an interesting idea.
      But it seems complex to me in comparison to something like this:
      1. 10% income tax for all citizens. (If you really want to wangle, then maybe make a second, higher, bracket for the 1%).
      2. No corporate income tax (because that's just an inefficient, indirect, individual tax). (There's some wangle room here for me, but you'd have to make your case)
      3. Citizens making less than a certain amount (poor people) don't pay taxes. (Much more straight forward than government hand-outs)
      4. Cut all entitlements. (We won't need them because the poor are already keeping what they earn... and yes, if you don't work you don't eat)
      5. Cut "defense" spending heavily until it fits inside the budget. (This shouldn't be controversial)
      6. Cut all other government functions to fit within the budget. (Considering how well private companies like SpaceX are doing where government stuff is sucking this should also be uncontroversial)

      Obviously such a simplistic plan would fall apart once it hits reality. But isn't it sort of the right direction? Where am I going wrong here?

    21. Re:Yet another example of rural leaching by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      10% income tax for all citizens. (If you really want to wangle, then maybe make a second, higher, bracket for the 1%).

      It'd be more like 30%. Direct income taxes are like 19%, then you have a bunch of other revenue.

      No corporate income tax (because that's just an inefficient, indirect, individual tax). (There's some wangle room here for me, but you'd have to make your case)

      It is a poor revenue source. I tag it with the Dividend tax because that's the only way to keep the benefit tied to productivity; eliminating the general fund part of the corporate income tax isn't unreasonable, but needs to happen in a fiscally- and socially-responsible manner.

      Citizens making less than a certain amount (poor people) don't pay taxes. (Much more straight forward than government hand-outs)

      You lose out on job-creating impacts. Likewise, there aren't enough jobs to carry all job-seekers, so you have people who are willing to work but can't. You also have things like people living in Baltimore City's poorer neighborhoods with two full-time jobs, pulling $54k, still unable to afford healthcare for their two kids, mortgage, food, car insurance, etc.

      Obviously such a simplistic plan would fall apart once it hits reality. But isn't it sort of the right direction? Where am I going wrong here?

      The same place the current system is going wrong: no automatic self-healing function. The Dividend is, in part, designed to repair localized and non-localized economic damage: poor families, collapsed industry cities, and recessions.

      Baltimore is a good case study: the city was a major trade hub, had corporate headquarters for things like the Tide Detergent Company, and had major industry to build ships and planes and even just make steel and brick. Trade went away, many of those corporate HQs merged with Proctor and Gamble out of state, and the major industry flat out collapsed. A city that supported over a million jobs now can't handle a population of half a million, more than half of whom are children or secondary householders who don't have jobs.

      Baltimore creates an enormous draw for housing assistance, food stamps, small business administration loans (another Federal function to drive economic growth by injecting tax-source money into poor economies), State and Federal aid, and so forth. Over a billion in Federal spending goes there, and it's not enough.

      With the Dividend, the Federal taxes actually come down. At the same time, $2Bn extra get shoved into Baltimore in the year 2016 model (Maryland gets $30bn--over 8% of its GDP). Two-adult households get $15k if they're unemployed; at the $50k level it's $10k. That money isn't taxed as income, but registers as unearned income for computing welfare eligibility: HUD and SNAP spending are spread out, and even reduced. At the same time, these struggling households now have money to spend, and spend it on needs--and then on wants. Middle-class households get a boost, too, and spend that on additional luxury.

      That spending creates a need for local trucking, retail, and other service and supporting jobs. Jobs mean these poor households can work and become less-poor; and their income, representing productive labor, is taxable, and feeds (thus increasing) the Dividend, the Federal revenue ledger, and the State and Local revenue ledgers. With more income from working, these households also spend more. It hits equilibrium eventually, probably around a 5% GDP boost, although I don't have sufficient data to calculate it out fully.

      So the burned-out, collapsed industry city that has been unable to recover in over 50 years experiences a sudden renaissance. It recovers in a few months, and is booming in a year or three. Less-poor cities across America won't see such a dramatic effect: if they're at about the national average income-per-capita, they'll see only a relatively-smal

    22. Re:Yet another example of rural leaching by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not single handily but given the the complexities of our modern economy if there are individual examples of waste that add up to 1% of the deficit that is actually massive deal and a strong indicator the region as a whole is a source of massive waste. If you need a clear cut example of this, there is plenty of public information about how rural states contribute at most 70% of the tax dollars they take out it is easy to see how the a 600 billion dollar deficit would turn into a surplus on a 4 trillion dollar budget.

      This is a huge myth. From a social science perspective, it's the result of really bad "research" - usually done by amateurs with an agenda.

      The problem is that simple, naive calculations of where tax money goes directly do not account for indirect financial issues - and many real world considerations, leading the simple minded (or those trying to make the world confirm to their existing biases, or simply involved in unscrupulous creation of propaganda) to erroneous conclusions.

      The "executive summary" is that the urban regions get enormous benefits from the rural regions - far in excess of the money spent.

      Similarly, "blue" states get huge benefits from the money spent in "red" states - far greater than the money actually spent.

      This has been discussed before on Slashdot: exercise your search engine muscles.

      You probably also believe the myth that rural areas have disproportionate amounts of poverty: that may have been true once, but it hasn't been true for a long time.

      The simple fact of the matter is that you have to have some population in the rural areas to run and oversee the national parks and forests, to operate the tourist attractions, to run the mines and the refineries and the factories and the power stations and the hydraulic systems, to move goods to the cities, to run the motels used by transients, to harvest the lumber, to do science, and so forth. We have to build things in rural areas, then we have to maintain them - all of which takes people. These people have families, they need schools, law enforcement, health care, and so forth - and they have children - which means you need lots of extra people (overhead) in addition to those directly working.

      Without the rural areas, the urban cities die: the factories have no raw materials to process, the people have no food to eat and not enough water to drink, and no power, and so forth. These things do not magically appear at the boundaries of the cities, dropped off by Santa Claus.

      Like many things, social science is complicated and hard: even the professionals make a lot of mistakes (even leaving aside the issue of conflict of interest), but the amateurs make even more (especially when bias overcomes good sense, or when they have no background at all in the relevant subjects). Please read a couple of good books on research design and basic economics.

  8. Supporters of RFS by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
  9. Biased Summary by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Such a biased summary, doesn't say anything about the added pollution from straight diesel. At least TFA (yeah yeah, I know we're not supposed to RTFA but I did anyway) does briefly bring up that point, but just as quickly dismisses it as a non-starter. I contend that TFA has not provided enough info to determine whether or not the pollution aspect is a non-starter and I for one am curious to hear more from that side.

    1. Re:Biased Summary by atrex · · Score: 2

      Yeah, anywhere that uses these straight cost estimates are used tends to completely ignore the societal, environmental, and economic costs of the pollution that the rules and regulations were put in place to cut down on.

      Even if we have enough oil reserves in the planet to last us until entire next millennium, if we keep polluting as we are currently we're not going to have a place left to live any more. If people want to keep using oil and gas, then find a way to obtain it, refine it, and use it without any pollution byproduct (which probably doesn't exist in any cost effective way. And no, "clean" coal's answer of scrubbing the pollution from the exhaust and shoving it into the ground isn't an acceptable answer. All that does is end up leeching the poison into the soil and water supplies instead of in the air. It's as bad as our continual lack of a permanent solution to nuclear waste.)

    2. Re: Biased Summary by p91paul · · Score: 1

      TFA contradicts itself on that point: it starts saying that it is not true that biodiesel lowers emissions because of the trees cut in Argentina, only to then admit that America does not buy biodiesel from Argentina anymore, and that the trees were cut to satisfy China demands for meat and not biodiesel. Thus, the point that biodiesel cuts emissions stands (given the information present in TFA, which is intentionally misleading, so we can actually conclude nothing out of it, possibly not even on the economics side).

  10. Destroying the soil for oil by fustakrakich · · Score: 2

    It's just as bad, if not worse than the tar sands. If we are going to insist on using biofuels, do it with algae ponds out in the middle of the ocean somewhere.

    --
    “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    1. Re:Destroying the soil for oil by TechyImmigrant · · Score: 1

      It's just as bad, if not worse than the tar sands. If we are going to insist on using biofuels, do it with algae ponds out in the middle of the ocean somewhere.

      You better be prepared when the algae mass becomes sentient.

      --
      I should use this sig to advertise my book ISBN-13 : 978-1501515132.
    2. Re:Destroying the soil for oil by fustakrakich · · Score: 1

      It already has. Well, I'm not sure it's sentient, but it does walk upright.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    3. Re:Destroying the soil for oil by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      You do understand that genetically engineered algae ponds don't work? Might never work?

      It's hard to take anything you write seriously.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    4. Re:Destroying the soil for oil by fustakrakich · · Score: 0

      Who said anything about "genetically engineered"?

      It's hard to take anything you write seriously.

      :-) Might help if you respond to what I wrote, instead of the comic you heard in your head. But thank you for your valuable time.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
    5. Re:Destroying the soil for oil by fustakrakich · · Score: 0

      -1 Troll

      See? that's the problem.This is what happens when you try to defend yourself against a bully. This is why we are where we are.

      --
      “He’s not deformed, he’s just drunk!”
  11. Thanks, GWB by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Another disastrous Bush policy we're still living with

  12. Hey it feels good. Keep doing it. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The last thing we need is facts or logic to affect our actions. I feel good about myself when we do 'green' things. We're reducing carbon emissions, lower sea levels, and saving the planet. We're creating useless work for farmers too. Cost is irrelevant. What? It costs money and actually increases carbon emissions per unit or work delivered? What part of it sounds good and makes me feel good do you not understand? Move on!

    While you are at it, get back into the Paris accord so we can spend trillions and hopefully reduce temps by thousandths of a degree Celsius. Our models have worked to predict future climate and we are quite sure of the thousandths of a degree reduction. See, the ice caps are gone.

    I feel great! Thanks.

    Yeah, Great Lakes is capitalized - just wanted to give someone a further chance to whine.

  13. Who decides who lives or dies? by bwanagary · · Score: 2

    There is starvation occurring all over our world and we have no better idea than to convert food that could be saving lives into fuel to burn?  At a higher cost than petroleum fuel? Starving individuals and families can't eat the less expensive petroleum product.  Who makes these decisions about who eats and who does not - who lives and who dies?  Particularly when there is a better alternative?

    One has to ask if this is just ignorance or willful disregard.

    1. Re: Who decides who lives or dies? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's the usual US porkbarrel, OK soybarrel, politics. Support our obsolete/damaging/wasteful industry with public subsidies and we'll vote for you. Same with the corn industry.

    2. Re:Who decides who lives or dies? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's plenty of excess food around the world. One of the main challenges would be in distributing it to where it's needed, which required fuel. Other problems involve how food-producers can fund growing and distributing food, and what to do with extra the food produced that nobody's buying and they can't afford to give away. It turns out that converting some foodstuffs helps somewhat to address all three of these problems, having an effect exactly opposite to what you intuitively imagine.

    3. Re:Who decides who lives or dies? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This soybean issue isn't the cause of the food crisis, but the answer to your question is 'willful desregard'. Maybe even 'willful disrespect'.

      We forgive far too many of the wrongs in the world by accepting ignorance as an excuse.

    4. Re:Who decides who lives or dies? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Petroleum has an entirely different set of problems that go along with it.

      We feed corn to cattle because we like the flavor of corn-fed beef. Is that any different?

      I could argue that the problem has more to do with excessive human population. It causes us to over-fish the oceans, overextract water from aquifers. Climate change itself is a symptom of excessive population. But nobody wants to talk about that - they look for technical fixes of one sort or another that will serve as a band-aid.

    5. Re: Who decides who lives or dies? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's the usual US porkbarrel, OK soybarrel, politics. Support our obsolete/damaging/wasteful industry with public subsidies and we'll vote for you. Same with the corn industry.

      Same for the big oil companies and their $40 Billion a year in subsidies.
      Rather cut off subsidies for both, then there would be $45 Billion a year for things like beautification projects.

    6. Re:Who decides who lives or dies? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All of the other replies may focus on how those soybeans weren't going to feed people on the other side of the world, or how there's plenty of food, but distribution is the issue, or some other stupid, irrelevant detail of your post.

      This reply, instead, challenges the base premise: that soybeans can be considered food at all.

      If you've ever visited the rural midwest, you'll have seen huge grain bins everywhere. But if you find the largest ones in Illinois, you'll find they're attached to a soybean processing facility. Go near that facility, and by "near", I mean within a quarter-mile or so. It should be enough to just drive by on the nearest road. You will be greeted with the most rank, disgusting, rancid, vomit-inducing shit-smell you've ever experienced. That, my fellow human, is the smell of soybeans being dried. It will haunt you forever. You will never be able to eat edamame ever again. Miso soup will be a thing of the past for you. Tofu will "nope" you out of the room faster than the speed of light.

      I learned from personal experience, along Illinois Route 57, south of Quincy. That's where ADM Quincy (formerly Quincy Soybean) is.

      Soybeans do not qualify as food unless you like eating shit.

    7. Re:Who decides who lives or dies? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm allergic to soy, and you just made me feel quite a bit better about that. :-)

    8. Re:Who decides who lives or dies? by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 1

      Considering 1/2 to 2/3 of food produced in the US winds up in landfills, let's not sweat the "lock of food" issue. We have tons of food. It's distribution that's an issue.

      --
      Your ad here. Ask me how!
    9. Re:Who decides who lives or dies? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      stupid comment. You could argue you are just as bad and responsible for them not eating, you made the choice to pay for internet access and computers so you can spend your time browsing a useless forum like Slashdot, the cost of your device/connection etc could have fed hundreds, especially when there are better alternatives like reading a book.
       
        more food is wasted every day in households in all western societies than is consumed for biofuels. The production of those while wasteful aint even in the top 10 of things causing people to starve.

  14. Re:Thanks, GWB & all that followed by schwit1 · · Score: 1
    Who is more foolish? The fool or the fool that follows it?

    The ethanol lobby beat Obama, Trump and all the congresses since enactment.

  15. Physics by fish_in_the_c · · Score: 1

    In what universe is it a reasonable expectation that the amount of energy required to produce a fuel will be less then them amount of energy it produced when burns? Answer none.

    The question is , is scientifically _possible_ to create an efficient enough process that the energy in the plant material itself ( which is basically solar energy if you think about it) is more then the amount of energy needed to process the plant into food.

    otherwise what you have is at best something like a battery. A way to store energy. We do need better batteries but this doesn't look like one.

    --
    âoeTolerance applies only to persons, but never to truth. Intolerance applies only to truth, but never to persons.
    1. Re:Physics by ltcdata · · Score: 2

      In Argentina, we produce biofuel as a byproduct, so our cost is close to zero. Trump put a blockade (50% tax) to our fuel because he "thinks" it's subsidized and "Argentina is dumping!" It's not. It's VERY cheap for us to make it, and USA will never be able to produce it so cheap

    2. Re:Physics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Never? I might agree with the res of your comment but never is a spectacular word for being wrong.

    3. Re:Physics by saider · · Score: 1

      Byproduct of what process? I am curious.

      --


      Remember, You are unique...just like everyone else.
    4. Re:Physics by Bryansix · · Score: 1

      ... and USA will never be able to produce it so cheap

      What barriers to entry are there or what competitive advantage does Argentina have that would preclude the US from doing exactly what Argentina is doing?

    5. Re:Physics by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      In America we also produce ethanol as a byproduct of producing high protein feed for cattle. (what's left of corn after you boil out the sugar)

      Other countries can play that game of bullshit too.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    6. Re:Physics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ICE engines can run on ethanol with little to no modification (helped by the mandate to use ethanol safe fuel lines, and the conversion to fuel injection which makes it easier to adjust fuel flow programmatically). You can run generators on ethanol. Properly sealed it will last a long time, it doesn't require any exotic minerals, production is backyard simple. How does this not sound like a energy storage mechanism to you? No battery will match its shelf life without internal discharge, and the energy density while lower than gasoline is still an order of magnitude better than the best rechargeable batteries (ethanol is 6,666.7 W hr/l Litium Ion Batteries are 750 W hr/l according to wikipedia). You still have to burn it which isn't 100% efficient, but tend to think the above would qualify it as a decent battery.

      All of this in a technology we have today, without any toxic byproducts necessary.

      Yes it is more expensive than gasoline to produce, but you are staying 100% in the carbon cycle, and not adding new carbon to the environment. Even if you don't buy into global warming, it will always be possible to produce ethanol, petroleum is finite.

    7. Re:Physics by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      In what universe is it a reasonable expectation that the amount of energy required to produce a fuel will be less then them amount of energy it produced when burns? Answer none.

      This one. It's called thermodynamics. You always put more energy into making a fuel than you get out of using it. Fuel is a battery.

      In this case you're comparing biodiesel with fossil diesel. Making fossil diesel is very inefficient, but that happened a long time ago so you're not bothering to count the energy expenditure.

    8. Re:Physics by Shotgun · · Score: 1

      Byproduct of producing soy meal for pigs and chickens in China. Soy basically produces meal and oil, and China has a high demand for the meal.

      --
      Aah, change is good. -- Rafiki
      Yeah, but it ain't easy. -- Simba
    9. Re:Physics by rgbatduke · · Score: 1

      And if you forget the fact that the actual source of the free energy being used is Mr. Sun -- for EITHER diesel OR biodiesel (with the only real question being when the sunshine that contributed the energy occurred) -- one could read your words and become quite alarmed!

      That's the REALLY funny thing about the whole debate. Outside of nuclear energy, 100% of everything else IS solar energy. Hydro? Really solar. Natural Gas? Solar. Oil-based fuel? Solar. Ethanol? Solar. Bio-whatever? Solar.

      Wait, I take that back. If you have a lab that gets electricity from a nuclear power plant and grow your algae or whatever in artificial light, I suppose any resulting energy wouldn't be solar.

      What we're really arguing about (well, not "we" because I'm not:-) isn't solar vs something else, it is whether it is easier/cheaper to mine and refine ancient sunlight than it is to commoditize and exploit contemporary sunlight. There isn't any simple answer to this because the costs and benefits of the two aren't constant in time. Even if you leave out the climate change "religion" (either way!) and all discussion of "externalities", PV solar is at this point quite competitive and getting more so as technologies continue to advance. Ethanol based fuels are also becoming increasingly competitive, corn-based or not. Bio-diesel may or may not make sense -- for a friend of mine who collects used cooking oil and uses it for his diesel, it makes a LOT of sense, for example -- but the only real way to decide is to do a fair cost-benefit analysis, not assert that bio-diesel costs more energy to make than you get burning it. That's just nonsense.

      --
      Even when the experts all agree, they may well be mistaken. --- Bertrand Russell.
    10. Re:Physics by eliphalet · · Score: 1

      Ethanol is corrosive and absorbs water -- I haven't heard of any company building ethanol pipelines. It's nice to be able to store ethanol, but you have to transport it efficiently it to where it's needed.

      Administrations of both parties have given in to the ethanol lobby and refused to waive the requirement to add ethanol to gasoline in places such as California that are far from the producing states, despite the development of gasoline formulas that can meet pollution goals without adding ethanol.

    11. Re:Physics by mi · · Score: 1

      It's not. It's VERY cheap for us to make it

      Great. Then you can keep using it, thus using less actual oil. This will keep oil-prices lower world-wide.

      And if you have so much of this stuff, you don't know, what to do with it, you can export into all the other countries ruled by respectable leaders (that is, not by Trump) — from North Korea to Canada.

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    12. Re:Physics by mi · · Score: 1

      In what universe is it a reasonable expectation that the amount of energy required to produce a fuel will be less then them amount of energy it produced when burns? Answer none.

      You seem to allude to laws of Thermodynamics here, which is beyond stupid. The energy we expect to extract from the plants comes from the Sun. It is the same energy, that powers the plants, the animals, and the humans. Our bodies manage to harvest this energy with a surplus — and always have.

      That some methods of producing "biofuels" end up consuming more fuel than is produced, is the inefficiency of the methods, not the principle.

      The question is , is scientifically _possible_ to create an efficient enough process that the energy in the plant material itself

      We should not need to answer it — Collectively. If an Individual finds such a way, he should be able to sell such fuel to willing buyers. The existing government mandates are stupid and Illiberal. In addition to violating most basic and obvious human rights, they are also inflating the costs of fuel both for machinery and for humans — because raw materials for biofuels are grown instead of food.

      --
      In Soviet Washington the swamp drains you.
    13. Re:Physics by ceoyoyo · · Score: 1

      Well, if you take it to the logical conclusion, the heat death of the universe is rather alarming.

    14. Re:Physics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If it is so cheap to produce why does argentina have such huge fuel subsidies?

    15. Re:Physics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "In America we also produce ethanol as a byproduct of producing high protein feed for cattle. (what's left of corn after you boil out the sugar) "

      Only to a certain extent, According to this: https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/time-to-rethink-corn/
      40% is ethanol (with some distillers grains also going to animal feed), and 36% is directly for animal feed. If ethanol was a byproduct of animal feed production, there should be more ethanol production in the US.

      According to the USDA(https://gain.fas.usda.gov/Recent%20GAIN%20Publications/Oilseeds%20and%20Products%20Annual_Buenos%20Aires_Argentina_4-4-2016.pdf), In Argentina, 75% of the soybean production is grown for meal and oil exports. This is because of higher export taxes for whole soy vs soy products such as meal/oil. Soybean meal demand has been increasing due to poultry, pork and beef production, but there is only a relatively small market for soybean oil for food, which leaves a lot of byproduct oil.

      So, according to US sources, it seems that the parent has a much better argument for biodiesel from Argentina to be a case of turning a byproduct into a more desirable product, where as US ethanol production appears to be more a deliberate product, rather than a byproduct.

    16. Re:Physics by rgbatduke · · Score: 1

      Yeah, but then you get into the question of open vs closed, cyclic vs one-shot, and unknown physics. Not to mention our own impending ordinary death a few hundred billion years before the smallest stars cool. I'd rather worry about the possibility of nuclear war, pandemic disease, global starvation, or the coming ice age. Or squirrels. Squirrels are very worrisome, with their evil little noses and their big furry tails, ravaging the bird feeders and predating on my peach trees right before the peaches are harvestable. Alarming!

      --
      Even when the experts all agree, they may well be mistaken. --- Bertrand Russell.
    17. Re: Physics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Um... I'm pretty sure ethanol will boil away before sugar does.

    18. Re: Physics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      When you say it's xxx Watts, are you considering engine efficiency, particularly carnot efficiency?

      X watts of energy stored in a battery often results in much more power because the conversion between electric charge potential to work is more efficient than heat to work, if I recall correctly. Batteries can output upwards of 80%. The best possible engine is limited by thermodynamics to carnot efficiency (ambient temperature in kelvin divided by ignition temperature in kelvin.) In practice, engines are much worse than this.

      Of course, if you already factored that in, ignore me. :)

    19. Re: Physics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually no. You are assuming that input is the same as the final output. What you put into making gas from crude oil is indeed less than the energy gas outputs. Of course, making gasoline from carbon dioxide, while possible, would be a large waste of energy as you'd get less energy back. (That being said some people are doing it anyway, as if you have extra energy and no use for it at the moment, you might as well store it somehow, even if the process is very inefficient, though it's not ready for scale yet.)

    20. Re: Physics by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Brew a batch of beer from grain, you will understand.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
    21. Re:Physics by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

      Not all animal feed is the high protein variety. 'Cows' need carbs and roughage or they die. Beyond a point, they don't grow any faster with more protein.

      You also get high protein feed from other processes besides alcohol. The sugar goes many places. I'll grant that the market for ethanol is insane. But I'm kind of contrarian. MTBE's detectability was a feature IMHO. You should be able to taste if a gasoline tank is leaking into your well.

      Which part of a stream is the byproduct? That's all in how you squint at it. Animals also eat whole soy, if there wasn't tax incentives for domestic processing, more Argentine soy would be eaten whole kernel. I'm honestly a little surprised the majority of argentine soy isn't eaten by argentine beef cattle. Are you sure that wasn't 75% of _exported_ soy is meal/oil?

      My point is the byproduct argument is an old one. Is gasoline the byproduct of kerosene distillation? Once was, but kerosene is not now a byproduct of gasoline production. It's tricky. Every nation that wants to dump, makes the claim.

      --
      John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  16. Re: Don't worry by LifesABeach · · Score: 1

    Save the Soy?!

  17. Here's my new plan by psmoot · · Score: 1

    OK, biodiesel and ethanol for liquid fuels were interesting ideas but aren't panning out as planned. Ethanol pushes up corn prices, biodiesel is expensive, no one has a commercial viable process for creating alcohol from cellulose (the great hope around 2000).

    At the same time, we have coal plants which are being shuttered in favor of natural gas and/or solar. No, wait, keep reading! I'm not going to advocate burning coal!

    Thing is, we have lots of biological fuels, they're just solid instead of liquid. We have corn plants (the whole thing, not just the corn kernels), soybean plants (ditto, the whole plant), overgrown forests, all sorts of stuff. It all burns. So how 'bout we take the trees, brush, switchgrass, vote-buying...er...subsidized crop plants, everything, and just burn it in reconfigured coal plants? Dry the plants, grind them to powder and dump them in. Boom, done, and probably way much more efficient than trying to create liquid fuels.

    I'm sure it's harder than I'm making it seem. I don't know if it's economical (but that hasn't stopped us so far). Gotta be better than what we're doing now.

    1. Re: Here's my new plan by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The UK already tried that at Drax which converted to biomass.

      They are currently importing the wood from the US.

      You can consider the results yourself.

      On the other hand, Brazilian sugar cane plantations also have burn their bagasse.

    2. Re:Here's my new plan by Gilgaron · · Score: 2

      Taking random stuff and burning it is harder to keep clean than a known. That's why it is easier to burn natural gas in a clean way than coal.

    3. Re:Here's my new plan by saider · · Score: 1

      Feeding the world is a distribution problem, not a supply problem. We grow plenty of food for the world, but local conflicts do more to disrupt the distribution of this food than anything else.

      --


      Remember, You are unique...just like everyone else.
    4. Re:Here's my new plan by toonces33 · · Score: 1

      All of this biomass isn't terribly energy dense, and a good chunk of the mass is water which you don't really want. So you spend a lot of time, effort and energy collecting it and transporting it to a central location where it can be processed.

    5. Re:Here's my new plan by Hadlock · · Score: 2

      I think it's important to have strategic plans in place on the off chance Saudi Arabia, Iraq etc decide to pull up roots and side with the Russians and our external (we produce ~98%+ of our own needs) oil supplies dry up. I don't think we need a whole lot of ethanol fuel, biodiesel plants around to do this, but 0.5-1% capacity ensures that we at least have a backup plan in case we lose access to some or all of our oil fields. Never rely on a single source for anything. We have strategic oil reserves but just like running your replicated aws database in multiple availability zones gives greater reliability at the expense of additional cost, it's a good idea to diversify something as critical as fuel. Pray you never need it, but plan for the worst (within reason).

      --
      moox. for a new generation.
    6. Re:Here's my new plan by cb88 · · Score: 1

      No, :/ if your burn the plant it just means you have to spend even more on fertilizer... one of the best things about soy it is replenishes the nitrogen in the soil which corn does the opposite of.

      A few harvests of corn without tilling the plant under or at least leaving it lying will mean you *must* fertilize... and that just ends up in our streams polluting our rivers and lakes and killing fish.

      $2 extra for a gallon of fuel and you thing you have it bad... in many other countries fuel is $7+ a gallon and they are doing just fine. It probably would even mean we could get all these trucks off the interstate and go back to using rail more as it is more fuel efficient. Interstate trucking shouldn't be a thing... that is the job for trains.

      Don't even get me started on how polluting electric vehicles are... both in power generation and production of the batteries.

    7. Re:Here's my new plan by psmoot · · Score: 1

      Fair enough. We already handle this for lots of agricultural products (e.g. hay). You basically just cut it down and let it dry in the sun. I don't know about the density of coal (pretty high), sawgrass hay (dunno) and natural gas (relatively low).

      Regardless of density, I'm trying to compare and contrast biofuels vs. bio-fixed-location-power-plants. You have to do all the same cutting down, processing, and moving about. Just with biofuels, you then throw away huge chunks of the plant and spend a bunch of time and energy converting the remainder. That's got to be an enormous potential energy loss. Never mind that there are huge reservoirs of biomass causing problems (e.g. overgrown forests) which can't be used to make liquid fuels. Harvesting that for electric power generation seems like a win-win.

    8. Re:Here's my new plan by psmoot · · Score: 1

      A few harvests of corn without tilling the plant under or at least leaving it lying will mean you *must* fertilize... and that just ends up in our streams polluting our rivers and lakes and killing fish.

      Yeah, the soil replenishment issue is the big one which jumps out at me. I know in the California central valley, rice farmers often burn rice straw to rid of it. I don't know what happens to the above-ground parts of soybean and corn plants (or wheat for that matter). I'd like to think it decomposes and feeds the soil but honestly have no idea.

      BTW, don't confuse nitrogen fertilizer with compost. Once you've grown the soybean plant, the soil is as charged with fixed nitrogen as it's going to be. I don't believe the composted above-ground plant adds all that much. I could be wrong, I'm not a farmer or soil chemist.

      Don't even get me started on how polluting electric vehicles are... both in power generation and production of the batteries.

      Battery production pollution is definitely a thing but getting off topic. Let's park that, shall we?

      Electric cars powered by electricity from natural gas, hydro, or solar ought to be pretty clean. Are you saying they're not? If so, please explain, I don't understand. I have no idea what sort of pollution a wood burning power plant will generate. It's probably better than coal, worse than natural gas, and relatively close to carbon-neutral.

  18. Re:Don't worry by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The excitement over hydrogen started as soon as a technique was developed to separate it directly from petroleum. Fuel cells had been in use for decades, but were uninteresting until they became a petrol product.

  19. There is plenty of waste oil for Biodiesel by shawn95gt · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Virgin 'anything' oil will be expensive for Biodiesel. I used to use biodiesel exclusively. I drove almost 2 years using > 20 gallons of regular diesel. I bought the biodiesel in bulk from a local producer who ws making it from waste oil. With the subsidy it was usually about the same price as diesel. I bought fuel in bulk (200 gallon sat a time) which would 'fix' my fuel cost for however long it took me to burn 200 gallons of fuel. At 40+ MPG, it took a while :). I stopped using biodiesel after a diesel fill rendered my car un-drivable due to the injection pump leaking so bad. I sent the pump out for re-seal and it ended up costing $1000ish to repair the injection pump due to corrosion inside. The Root cause was deemed to be water in the biofuel. Once fixed, I haven't touched the special sauce. In general I'm not sorry I tried it, but it did seem to cause or as least exacerbate an injection pump issue, it got about 5% worse fuel economy, and seemed to make slightly less power. On the plus side, it usually smelled like Chinese food vs diesel exhaust stink. I still have the car but has since sold my home Biodiesel fuel station.

    1. Re:There is plenty of waste oil for Biodiesel by toonces33 · · Score: 1

      Pretty much the same story for me, but I was using virgin soy biodiesel as that's what I could get locally. The fuel pump died, I spent 1000$ and that was pretty much it.

      I don't know the cause of the fuel pump problems - never took it apart to diagnose or anything.

    2. Re:There is plenty of waste oil for Biodiesel by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I drove almost 2 years using > 20 gallons of regular diesel.

      Heck, My F-350 can go through > 20 gallons of regular diesel every day! AC

    3. Re:There is plenty of waste oil for Biodiesel by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, either of you guys check to make sure you are using the right kind of valves and gaskets?

      This is a known issue. Use Viton or other seals that are compatible with biodiesel. Some cars come with these type of seals and gaskets from the manufacturer, others do not and must be altered before using biodiesel.

  20. #freedumbs! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Sooo glad you guys won WW2. It's been a nice planet, but time to call an end to the human race..

  21. Limited production by DrYak · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Stuff made from plants is renewable.

    On the other hand stuff made from plants is, well... made from plants.
    And there are only so many that you can grow at the same time.

    If you produce bio-fuels by finding a new use for waste (e.g.: fermenting *plants waste* into ethanol, as done is some countries), then that's not a problem. In fact it's an advantage, now you can get even more value from the plants that you grow.

    If you produce bio-fuels by growing specific plants for that (e.g: I might remember that in the US you tend to do that ?), then your fuel production if going to compete with your food production.
    Will you plant crops that you will use to sell food ? Will you plant crops that you will use to produce fuel ?

    Bio fuel production in the latter case can have a bad impact on food production, even more so if the bio-fuels are exported for a premium to much richer countries, whereas the already starving population can barely buy enough to feed themselves : the local population won't be able to afford food a higher price to increase the incentive to produce more food, while the other richer countries will be able to pay slightly more money to make sure they'll receive the fuel they crave.

    --
    "Sufficiently advanced satire is indistinguishable from reality." - [Tips: 1DrYakQDKCQ6y52z6QbnkxHXAocMZJE61o ]
    1. Re:Limited production by idji · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The erosion, low biodiversity , glysophate, Nitrogen and Phosphorus use and runoff is appalling. These are the non-renewable costs of these biofuels.
      How much energy went into producing the nitrate fertilizer for this soy? Phosphorus is not a renewable resource.

    2. Re:Limited production by the+plant+doctor · · Score: 1

      Nitrogen on soybean? They're legumes.

      I think you're thinking of corn, not soybean.

    3. Re:Limited production by Tom · · Score: 1

      If you produce bio-fuels by growing specific plants for that (e.g: I might remember that in the US you tend to do that ?), then your fuel production if going to compete with your food production.
      Will you plant crops that you will use to sell food ? Will you plant crops that you will use to produce fuel ?

      Great opportunity for all the obese fastfood junkie americans driving SUVs to figure out what they love more - eating or driving. :-)

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
    4. Re:Limited production by drsquare · · Score: 1

      If you're worried about the food supply, then the solution is simple: stop eating beef. Will you plant crops that you will use to eat, or to feed cows?

    5. Re:Limited production by Agripa · · Score: 1

      The erosion, low biodiversity , glysophate, Nitrogen and Phosphorus use and runoff is appalling. These are the non-renewable costs of these biofuels.

      How much energy went into producing the nitrate fertilizer for this soy? Phosphorus is not a renewable resource.

      The fertilizers, chemicals, and transport is all provided by fossil fuels significantly lowering the green potential of biofuels.

    6. Re:Limited production by Reziac · · Score: 1

      Not exactly. Fertilizer isn't just nitrogen. First chart I came to:

      http://www.extension.umn.edu/a...

      --
      ~REZ~ #43301. Who'd fake being me anyway?
  22. Re:Not a food shortage by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    They aren't starving because we don't have enough food. It's not like those soybeans would go to feed them if only it weren't turned into fuel.

  23. Tar sands clean-up by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The tar sands mining is the world's largest environmental clean-up operation. They take dirty sand, wash the oil out and put the cleaned sand back. What is wrong with that?

  24. 5.4 billion? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I would call that a deal for a habitable planet

  25. Worth it to Maintain the Farming Infrastructure by Malggi · · Score: 1

    Honestly, I think it's worth it to maintain the farming infrastructure and expertise. If something ever disrupted global supply chains, it's nice to know that we could replace the food we currently import from other countries with stuff we grow ourselves.

    I see it more as a civil defense thing than anything else.

    1. Re:Worth it to Maintain the Farming Infrastructure by cb88 · · Score: 1

      Corn isn't even directly digestible... I guess you've never looked in a sewage tank, but let me tell you it's full if perfectly intact corn.

      Corn is one of the biggest sources of sugar in the USA at least... if we stopped growing corn we'd practically eliminate diet induced diabetes.

      Peanuts, Soy, Fruit, tomatoes, Potatoes... we should be growing all of that here locally and we could be if it weren't for the government overtaxing us and spending it on stupid programs like the corn subsidy.... if it weren't for those taxes and all the overhead the farmers would probably make more than they do now!

  26. Actually that's ok by eclectro · · Score: 1

    Converting soybeans to fuel is a lot better than putting those soybeans into the food chain. Eating them turns men into Soy Boys.

    --
    Take the cheese to sickbay, the doctor should see it as soon as possible - B'Elanna Torres, "Learning Curve"
  27. Stupid by rickb928 · · Score: 1

    Burning food in your car or truck is stupid.

    --
    deleting the extra space after periods so i can stay relevant, yeah.
    1. Re:Stupid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So is eating fuel, stupid ass.

    2. Re:Stupid by rickb928 · · Score: 1

      Corn is food. Soy is food. Alternative uses as fuel are wasteful.

      Wood is fuel. Cinnamon bark is a spice, and not many people think to burn cinnamon.

      --
      deleting the extra space after periods so i can stay relevant, yeah.
    3. Re:Stupid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Corn is food. Soy is food. Alternative uses as fuel are wasteful.

      I have no reason to believe that. Why are you so narrow-minded?

    4. Re:Stupid by rickb928 · · Score: 1

      I'm not narrow-minded, I'm focused.

      Food is the highest value use of corn and soy, for example. Waste products of these crops have utility as fuel, but soy in particular is low waste. While hunger worldwide is largely driven by war or politics (but I repeat myself), being able to afford to literally drop food on the starving, enough so that even the military can't steal it all, would be a game changer. And while we can't simple grow all that as if it were becoming ethanol and instead give it away, encouraging fuel use will not help.

      It's not narrow-minded to be efficient. And I know I may be choosing between ethanol and MTBE, but we are on a headlong rush to obsoleting the ICE and avoiding so much of this. Even refining natural gas might make more sense than ethanol, but that's probably going to be too late to survive the electrification of ground transport. Within my lifetime, God willing, I'll see aircraft as the last widespread use of petroleum-based fuels.

      --
      deleting the extra space after periods so i can stay relevant, yeah.
    5. Re:Stupid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'm not narrow-minded, I'm focused.

      Focused to the point of narrow-mindedness.

      It's not narrow-minded to be efficient.

      Agreed. If the bio-diesel we create from corn/soy is a more efficient fuel than wood, then it makes perfect sense to stop growing wood for fuel and start growing more corn/soy. And that isn't assuming that the most efficient bio-diesels can be made from corn/soy crops. Personally, I don't give a fuck what plant it might come from. If that plant happens to also be a source of food, it is asinine to rule out it having a secondary use as fuel, under the misguided conception that you'll be able to solve world hunger. The world needs energy, too.

    6. Re:Stupid by rickb928 · · Score: 1

      Wow. Conflating much?

      Bio-diesel is a particularly bad deal, very inefficient. And it's unlikely to be profitable or even useful to try to grow soy where you grow wood for fuel.

      It's not merely about solving world hunger, because supply isn't likely to do that, it's just a pie-in -the-sky option. It's about not spending topsoil on what is otherwise readily available. Ethanol is still a competitive additive, but bio-diesel is mostly, by volume, a forced march to pretend the military can be environmentally conscious.

      I know someone who spent their entire military career developing and implementing battlefield cleanup programs and methods. They did far more than could ever be done by biofuels in military use. And the military engineer will leave far more value behind in good water wells and useful buildings than a biofuel plant. Anywhere.

      It's still misguided. Food for fuel is a terrible idea, and will eventually become obsolete, then we will launch into the discussion of food as feedstock for manufacturing.

      --
      deleting the extra space after periods so i can stay relevant, yeah.
    7. Re:Stupid by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've lost interest in this discussion. You're just too ignorant.

      I'm glad the rest of the world is ignoring your opinion and continuing to explore the potential for bio-fuels. And if they happen to find it in an edible plant, so be it.

  28. Corn bad, Soy good.... end of story mostly... by cb88 · · Score: 1

    Quite seriously Ethanol barely breaks even energy wise... it is at best a corrosive additive that wears our cars out faster with a slight to neglegible reduction in emissions. Corn Ethanol is nothing but a useless subsidy for corn farmers (they should be farming something else as corn is detrimental to the land as well and requires large amounts of fertilizer to mitigate the removal of nutrients from the soil)

    Soy Biodiesel on the other hand while expensive produces more much more fuel per acre (and denser fuel at that) as well as requires 5-10x less energy input to grow and harvest it. Canola oil is even better... it even burns cleaner than regular diesel.

    Soy is also very good for the soil as it is a legume and acutally improves the nitrogen content of the soil where it is planted.

  29. Biodiesel makes sense, in a limited way.. by MpVpRb · · Score: 1

    ..if it's made from waste oil, left over from cooking

  30. Waste subsidies, terrible for the environment by burtosis · · Score: 1

    A typical human adult not excercising burns roughly somewhere between 70-140 American calories an hour. Burning one calorie per second gives you roughly 4.2 kwatts or 5.6 horsepower. So it takes 3600 calories per hour per 5.6 horsepower or 640 calories per hour per horsepower. Trucks get about 5.6 miles per gallon of diesel which has 30,000 calories or about 5,300 calories per mile. That's enough to keep two healthy adult males alive a day per mile, or maybe a small family could squeak by. forget that soybeans aren't the best biodiesel crop to begin with, then realize it increases human food prices, drastically worsens agricultural pollution, takes up tons of farmland, and isn't anywhere near as cheap or efficent, or fungible as just putting some damn solar cells up nearby but off the farmland or if you must have energy production AND crops use wind and leave this Rube Goldberg live disaster from getting worse.

  31. Market forces? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Or.... Market forces will work the way they always do. High oil prices due to the shortage will create an environment conducive to the development of alternative fuels and technologies. I suggest that this is the ONLY way this problem is going to be solved. Creating false economies for alternative fuels only creates unnecessary expense for the consumers of those fuels. The market works especially well in the face of scarcity of a resource. Everyone wants to solve those problems due to the huge economic rewards for the solution.

    1. Re:Market forces? by Tom · · Score: 1

      "The market" is not a modern equivalent to Abracadabra, even though it is often used in that way.

      There are market failures, that is a reality. "The market" might sort things out too late and too painfully. Giving an incentive to people to start now, before there is market pressure, so that they already moved some way when the market pressure hits, is not a bad thing.

      --
      Assorted stuff I do sometimes: Lemuria.org
  32. someone fixing the price? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-biodiesel/u-s-sets-antidumping-duties-on-argentine-indonesian-biodiesel-idUSKBN1CS2TT

  33. Damnit... by flargleblarg · · Score: 1

    I thought this was going to be an article about Turing Soybeans.

  34. Waste of clean water by jgrimard · · Score: 1

    What a waste of clean drinking water to water all of these plants! They should be pumping all of that water to California Florida where water is tough to come by during droughts. Instead they are watering fields with taxpayer money!

  35. Ethanol and Soy based fuels a scam by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The agriculture lobbyists are in the pockets of so many politicians its not even funny. These guys see dollar signs for the Ag business at the expense of consumers. Sort of ironic to sell people on fuels that burn with less energy then the fossil fuels they claim to replace. Yet are claimed to be so great, I know soybean based diesel is horrible in colder weather and requires more treatment to remain flowing and not gelling up. Made that mistake once in Minnesota a state that loves soybean diesel. Its such a racket anymore though you won't ever see it go away.

  36. Re: Don't worry by Z00L00K · · Score: 1

    How about biodiesel from rape seed oil? There are a lot of sources for fuel that can be used in diesel engines in addition to soy.

    --
    If builders built buildings the way programmers wrote programs, then the first woodpecker would destroy civilization.
  37. Fortunately, the Free Market is a lie by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There is no free market in the petro industry. The governments (plural) control permitting for design, construction and operation of wells, pipelines and refineries. The perfect example is Obama's "war on coal." There was no war on coal, but the delay in applying due diligence to the permitting of coal plants levied a high enough economic cost that they were demonstrated to be nonviable.

    Jim

  38. So what. Climate disasters cost us 300 billion by Bruha · · Score: 1

    The cost of fixing an issue will likely be less than continuing to pour more co2 into the air. While this does not reduct pollution it slows it.

    1. Re:So what. Climate disasters cost us 300 billion by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

      It's not certain that this reduces pollution, as agriculture has significant run off of fertilizer and pesticides and there are wastes from chemical refinement into biodesiel. As for carbon footprint, even that is not clear that soybean biodiesel is a net benefit.

      --
      “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  39. But is it energy positive? by swb · · Score: 1

    Is biodiesel energy positive? Does it produce more available energy in terms of fuel than what goes into produce it? If it doesn't, it just seems like a short-sighted way to get farmers to produce a giant surplus.

  40. Re:Thanks, GWB & all that followed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Who is more foolish? The fool or the fool that follows it?

    Obviously the latter. If it wasn't for them, we wouldn't have a vile piece of shit sitting in the White House right now.

  41. Turkey-diesel by OrangeTide · · Score: 1

    If there are waste products that are pollute our environment but are relatively easy to convert to biodiesel, we should still use them and mix them in with petrodiesel. Even if only to avoid costly disposal of chicken and turkey fat.

    Growing plants which means we're using chemical fertilizer and water. Then going through energy intensive processing. It's a bad deal, and it's what happens when we let bureaucrats codify our renewable market place.

    --
    “Common sense is not so common.” — Voltaire
  42. This Just in... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    msMash still sucking cock for coke..
    News at 11

  43. Storage medium by sl3xd · · Score: 1

    the problem is this 'renewable' is not even a net zero return.

    In many ways, that's not even the point. If we can create enough energy through other methods (Fission, Solar, Wind, Hydro -- even Fusion if it works out), then net zero is not as important as being able to convert the energy to a useful form. (The same applies for Hydrogen, for that matter).

    Petroleum isn't going to last forever, and it's increasingly looking like we'll have supply problems by the middle of the century. That is a problem, and using biodiesel helps lengthen timeframe to develop something better.

    Why do we care? Aerospace and shipping.

    While there is some work for short-range electric jets, long flights at altitude are at a disadvantage compared to fuel-burning turbines (which are extremely efficient at operational altitude & speed). Jet fuel is very, very similar to diesel, and biodiesel is a possible replacement. Many of the large new ships are diesel powered - either piston or gas turbine. As you can imagine, militaries (especially America's) love the stuff because it's domestic, and it could power most of our Navy, our tanks, and our aircraft.

    The primary fuel of booster rockets today is kerosene. Methane may work well in the future (and with a lower ISP).

    --
    -- Sometimes you have to turn the lights off in order to see.
  44. Right, so... by Billy+the+Mountain · · Score: 1

    Homework:
    1. How many acre years of soy does it take to provide enough fuel for a 777 at normal gross weight to fly across the US.
    2. How many people would have been fed for a day instead?

    --
    That was the turning point of my life--I went from negative zero to positive zero.
  45. Re: Don't worry by arglebargle_xiv · · Score: 2

    How about methane from soy? I have a foolproof, easily scalable way to produce that. Or legumes in general.

  46. Re: Don't worry by Hal_Porter · · Score: 1

    Yet another reason for hooking up soyboys to The Matrix.

    --
    echo -e 'global _start\n _start:\n mov eax, 2\n int 80h\n jmp _start' > a.asm; nasm a.asm -f elf; ld a.o -o a;
  47. Oops. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    > It's different from ethanol, a fuel that's made from corn and mixed into gasoline, also as required by the RFS.

    Not the whole story: ethanol can be obtained from a variety of sources, usually some kind of fermentation of sugars or starches (e.g. in wine, beer, etc.)

    Ethanol is produced from corn in the USA, which is not very efficient, but low temperatures in winter prevent the possibility of growing sugarcane -- a far better alternative. Perhaps Puerto Rico could be a viable source.

    Now, that said, why isn't everybody using electric trucks? Differently from cars, trucks are already heavy, so batteries are _relatively_ less heavy. Also, trucks can be planned to be used with quick battery change stations -- at least on the road and to distribution centers, where smaller last-mile lighter vehicles could finish deliveries.

  48. Re: Don't worry by slashrio · · Score: 1

    GMO soy? I'd rather burn it than eat it.

    --
    "Trump!!", the new Godwin.
  49. Soy oil as a byproduct? by manu0601 · · Score: 1

    If I understand correctly, soy oil is a byproduct. The primary use of soy is soy cake to feed cattle. Where will it go if not in biodiesel?

    Of course we could give up soy cake feed for cattle, and use grass instead. It would make a healthier meat, but we would have to eat less.

  50. Who Died and Left "Economists" in Charge? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Republicans in Congress didn't pass the Energy Policy Act of 2005 for President George W. Bush with the goal of making energy cheaper; they passed it to move the United States toward energy independence from Middle East imports and entanglements. That foreign policy goal was deepened with passage of the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 by Democrats for President George W. Bush's "Twenty in Ten" initiative to reduce gasoline consumption by 20% in ten years. The presumption that concerns about fuel cost or thermodynamics should take primacy over other concerns, such as the number and cost of United States military personnel overseas, is myopic and revisionist.

  51. My God... Please... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Go out into the real world sometime. It just might surprise you. Or sit here making each other feel smart by exchange more and more complicated lies that other people wrote in books. Jesus.....how do you folks even breathe without your brains exploding?

  52. Seems like nobody's pointed out that by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    $5.4b divided by 300m citizens =18 dollars per citizen for a self sufficient fuel source you can manufacture in-country.

    Pretty sure most people would be fine keeping that money in the local economy instead of funding other countries, bring more environmentally friendly, etc

  53. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion