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Putting Civilization in a Box For Space Means Choosing Our Legacy (space.com)

When SpaceX's record-breaking Falcon Heavy rocket made its first test launch in early February , the craft didn't just hurl Elon Musk's shiny red roadster and spacesuit-clad mannequin to space. It had another, smaller payload, which at first glance seems much less impressive: a 1-inch-wide (2.5 centimeters) quartz disc with Isaac Asimov's "Foundation" trilogy encoded in laser-etched gratings . From a report: The famous science fiction series is only the beginning of the discs' planned contents. At a time when traditional hard drives are just breaking into the terabyte range, the quartz medium can hold up to 360 terabytes per disc. It also boasts a life span of 14 billion years. That's longer than the current age of the universe. This disc was symbolic; future devices will contain much more, and more useful, information. But the technology speaks to grander issues that humanity is now pondering: becoming a multiplanetary civilization, storing information for thousands or millions of years, and contacting and communicating with other intelligences (alien and Earthling).

So how should we record our knowledge and experiences for posterity? How should we ensure that this information is understandable to civilizations that may be quite different from our own? And, most importantly, what should we say? Humans have faced challenges like these before. Ancient civilizations built monuments like the pyramids and left artifacts and writing, sometimes deliberately. Later researchers have used this material to try to piece together ancient worldviews. However, in the modern era, we've set our sights much further: from centuries to millennia, from one planet to interstellar space, and from one species to many.

92 comments

  1. First thing to store on everlasting Quartz Disc by SuperKendall · · Score: 5, Funny

    Page 1: How to construct a Quartz Disc Reader

    --
    "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
    1. Re:First thing to store on everlasting Quartz Disc by sysrammer · · Score: 2

      Page 0: How to obtain a PDF reader.

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
    2. Re:First thing to store on everlasting Quartz Disc by coofercat · · Score: 1

      Page 0, sometimes called "i" to mcmxvii = PDF Reader EULA + copyright notices.

    3. Re:First thing to store on everlasting Quartz Disc by DarthVain · · Score: 1

      Page 2: How to find a 1" quartz disc in the vastness of space

    4. Re:First thing to store on everlasting Quartz Disc by RockDoctor · · Score: 1
      Look in the glove compartment of any passing car.

      (Which, containing considerable amounts of metals, is likely to remain relatively conspicuous, at least compared to a 1inch quartz disc. )

      --
      Birds are not dinosaur descendants;birds are dinosaurs, for all useful meanings of "birds", "are" and "dinosaurs"
  2. I'm sorry, but I just don't see it happening. by mark_reh · · Score: 1

    I figure at best we've got 200-300 years left on this planet before a major collapse of civilization. We used it up before we were able to go elsewhere. We blew it.

    1. Re:I'm sorry, but I just don't see it happening. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Après nous, le déluge. C'est la vie.

    2. Re:I'm sorry, but I just don't see it happening. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Look upon my works ye mighty and despair!"

    3. Re: I'm sorry, but I just don't see it happening. by c6gunner · · Score: 3, Insightful

      300 years ago we were still 100 years away from developing the steam locomotive ... but you think that we won't "go elsewhere" in the next 300 years?

      That's adorable.

    4. Re:I'm sorry, but I just don't see it happening. by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      Après nous, le déluge. C'est la vie.

      Nice. I looked it up because I wasn't sure about "nous". Wiki added this tidbit: "adopted as the motto of the Royal Air Force 617 Squadron which carried out the "Dambuster" raids". Appropriate.

      Er, I didn't just godwin the thread, did I?

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
    5. Re:I'm sorry, but I just don't see it happening. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I figure at best we've got 200-300 years left on this planet before a major collapse of civilization.

      Nice try, pal. Unfortunately everything points to 2018 as the year of collapse. We have crossed the event horizon. Can't you see the writing on the wall?

    6. Re: I'm sorry, but I just don't see it happening. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I'm struck by the age of the athletes in the Winter Olympics. Most of them are in their mid to late 20's and early 30's with a few in their late 30's and a few in their teens. They aren't expecting that when they are twice their current age that they will be twice as fast/good at what they are now doing. The concept you fail to understand is "limits". We have them. Claiming that the progress we have experienced in the past 100 (or 300) years will scale for the next 100 is speculation. It has no logical truth value. (and is absurd in my view because we better know our limits now than 100 years ago). It's good for our reach to exceed our grasp, but you may want to consider that sloppy thinking like yours is a prime example of why we won't be going anywhere - we're just too stupid to learn from the world around us.

    7. Re:I'm sorry, but I just don't see it happening. by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      I figure at best we've got 200-300 years left on this planet before a major collapse of civilization. We used it up before we were able to go elsewhere. We blew it.

      And you know this how? To put it another way, since this statement could have been made with equal predictive power at the collapse of Rome, at the time of the Black Death, or at the time of peak child mine labor in the nineteenth century, what is special about this time that makes your prediction more certain right now?

      But let's assume you're right. 200-300 years is not only plenty of time to get civilization started elsewhere, but in several different elsewheres.

    8. Re:I'm sorry, but I just don't see it happening. by mark_reh · · Score: 1

      Where is the elsewhere you expect us to go? We landed on the moon almost 50 years ago and haven't made it back since. By what technology could we get there in less than 300 years? By what political will and economic power will we get there? We're so hung up on our petty squabbles about which color of skin is the best, which form of government is best, whether science is any better than any other means of achieving advancement in our knowledge, and etc., that we can't form policies that look beyond 3-6 months from now. You're not getting anywhere with that.

    9. Re:I'm sorry, but I just don't see it happening. by thomst · · Score: 2

      An anonymous coward remarked:

      Après nous, le déluge. C'est la vie.

      Prompting sysrammer to respond:

      Nice. I looked it up because I wasn't sure about "nous". Wiki added this tidbit: "adopted as the motto of the Royal Air Force 617 Squadron which carried out the "Dambuster" raids". Appropriate.

      And, of course the 617 Squadron's motto was a cheeky (and purposeful) misquote of Louis XIV's famous dismissal of warnings about unrest among the commoners over his extravagant spending on Versailles, "Après moi, le déluge."

      That aside, though, there are certainly going to be plenty of opportunities for humanity to go extinct in the near- and medium-term future. Designer plagues, for instance. (If you're old enough, you may remember when science-geek kids regularly got chemistry sets for Xmas and birthday presents that included some fairly hazardous substances, as well as the ingredients to make everything from awesome stinks to small quantities of actual explosives, poison gases, and other noxious and/or dangerous compounds. Now consider the potential consequences of making gene-splicing technology in similar kit form available to antisocial 14-year-olds.) Or runaway nanotechnology. (Blue, green, and gray goo, anyone?) The continuing proliferation of nuclear weapons eventually making its way down the responsibility food chain to members of the tinpot dictator crowd, perhaps?

      The thing is, though, "using up" the planet is pretty fucking far down the list. Gobbling up all the low-hanging fruit? Absolutely - and we're just the kind of short-sighted species to depend on for that. But those resources don't, for the most part, get "used up" in the process of using them. Instead, they get transformed into trash - trash that future generations will find ways to recycle into new stuff, because the scarcity of the resources will by then justify the expense of recovering them from landfills and so forth.

      Likewise, catastrophic climate change will not "kill the planet," either. It will change the planet and its ecosystem in fairly drastic ways - but life will continue, and adapt, because that's what life does. The Permian-Triassic extinction killed off 95% of all species in existence on this planet. 180 million years later, just before the Chixiculub event ended the reign of the dinosaurs, the planet was teeming with life - and it had been overrun with species proliferating to occupy every available ecological niche since about 10 megayears after the P-T extinction ran its course.

      We humans are a pretty damned hardy bunch. If there's a way to survive, we'll find it. Not all of us, perhaps, but enough to allow the species to continue to exist.

      Sure, it's possible that, as the icecaps melt and the oceans rise, billions of human beings will die in conflicts over possession of the remaining, sharply reduced quantity of arable land and potable water. By the same token, it's also quite possible that they will not - that, instead, we'll find solutions like urban farming and inexpensive desalinization and filtration of toxic compounds from aquifers that will allow those billions to avoid armed conflict, despite wrenching changes in geography and resource distribution. It's simply impossible to know with any degree of certainty.

      As Neils Bohr famously observed: "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future ..."

      --
      Check out my novel.
    10. Re:I'm sorry, but I just don't see it happening. by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      We made it to the Moon on ten years' notice, and with the technology of fifty years ago. Furthermore, in those days space programs moved at the speed of governments. Now that the private sector is leading the way, the real race is on.

    11. Re:I'm sorry, but I just don't see it happening. by KozmoStevnNaut · · Score: 1

      More like 20-30 years, at our current rate.

      --
      Eat the rich.
    12. Re: I'm sorry, but I just don't see it happening. by c6gunner · · Score: 1

      The concept you fail to understand is "limits". We have them. Claiming that the progress we have experienced in the past 100 (or 300) years will scale for the next 100 is speculation.

      It is speculation based on past progression and likely projection, whereas your suggestion - that we are going to hit a limit in 300 years or less - is speculation based on nothing other than your own pessimism/cynicism.

      Economic and technological development are both increasing rather than decreasing; exponentially increasing in the case of technology. If you have a good reason for positing that the trend of the last 1,000 years will suddenly reverse I am certainly willing to listen, but you don't get to just lecture me about speculation and limits when your supposed limit is itself pure speculation.

      Absurd speculation like yours is precisely why many fools have predicted the end of Moore's law in the coming years. In their case they, arguably, have a much better case than you; they can point to actual physical laws which place a hard limit on how small we can make existing transistor circuits. I suspect that in the vacuum-tube era there were many such naysayers predicting an end to computer improvemens due to energy, heat, and size limits inherent in THAT technology. What they've always failed to account for in the past is the development of new, entirely different approaches to solving the same problem. If history shows anything it's that naysayers like you are always wrong. You may eventually, in many thousands of years, become right ... but it will be by sheer accident, and only a fool would bet on you in the meantime.

    13. Re: I'm sorry, but I just don't see it happening. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We'll only go elsewhere if it's profitable. Otherwise, we'll be grounded for a while longer. And quite honestly I'm not sure I think humans are ready for it until we get our own shit together here on earth. It's been over a hundred years and we're still dealing with the fall out from slavery with racial divisions and tensions. We still have a society that cherishes wealth over knowledge, war over peace, distrust over trust, division over unity, and hate over love.

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_ZQFGCf9wY4

    14. Re: I'm sorry, but I just don't see it happening. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Sure, but the athletes from 100 years ago weren';t able to achieve the same level mof perfomance as modern athletes. Advances in technology have made measurable advances in what is cosidered olympic quality in amny sports, and that's with the rules forbidding a bunch of stuff in the interest of "fairness".

      100 years from now a genetically modified juiced up athlete with the best equipment their science can produce would easily beat the best olympic athlete of today wielding comparatively primitive equipment of today.

  3. Uncompressed metadata by at10u8 · · Score: 1

    Whatever is stored will need a whole lot of uncompressed material as examples of the sorts of things on the medium, and as a stepping stone to reading the on-media documents that explain how to decode any compressed materials, and even those compressed files should have copious amounts of uncompressed metadata.

    1. Re:Uncompressed metadata by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The fuck? Did you read TFS summary? Up to 360 terabytes per disc. There should be no need to compress anything. 360 terabytes should be enough for anybody.

    2. Re:Uncompressed metadata by at10u8 · · Score: 1

      I already have a family archive of scanned tintypes of greatgreatgreat grandparents, photos, videos, and other ancestral artifacts that would fill 1% of that disc. So I think compression is going to happen.

  4. Ask any archaeologist... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ...the truth is in our trash:
    https://archive.archaeology.org/0201/reviews/trash.html

    1. Re: Ask any archaeologist... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, future archaeologists will have a greater interest in what we don't want to show them

    2. Re:Ask any archaeologist... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Trash is the only honest way. If there was an attempt to create such an objective representation of our numerous cultures, the moralistic-amoralistic nervous-calm nationalistic-antinationalistic conservative liberals would surely object. I, for one, would utilize the storage space like God and Seagate, Inc. always intended: lots of various kinds of porn of the past and the present, mixed with the available sacred scriptures of all the religions there is and have been.

  5. Re: First thing to store on everlasting Quartz Dis by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Lucas stole ideas from Asimov - everything from galactic empire, traders, rebels, to big ass space stations, etc. Whatever, today that stuff sucks donkey balls thanks to Disney.

  6. every one of Trumps speeches by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    To show why we are not a thriving interstellar culture.

    1. Re:every one of Trumps speeches by NicknameUnavailable · · Score: 1

      Nice try, but the Bushes, Clintons, and Obama are the ones who killed space ventures - Trump is working on a Moon base.

    2. Re:every one of Trumps speeches by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      how does that solve problem of his idiotic supporters?

    3. Re:every one of Trumps speeches by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ah. That explains why he isn't working here on Earth.

    4. Re:every one of Trumps speeches by ToTheStars · · Score: 1

      Um, Trump says we're going back to the Moon, just like Obama said we were going to an asteroid and then to Mars, and Bush 43 said we were going to the Moon and then to Mars...nice words from all of them, but not much commitment of money or legislative priority. (Well, let's be fair -- Obama actually had a rover prototype in his inauguration parade.) "No bucks, no Buck Rogers."

    5. Re:every one of Trumps speeches by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      To show why we are not a thriving interstellar culture.

      Fuck you and your attempt to insert politics into the discussion, you worthless useless twerp.

      qft. this is so boring. c'mon, ivan, up your game.

    6. Re:every one of Trumps speeches by NicknameUnavailable · · Score: 1

      how does that solve problem of his idiotic supporters?

      You are aware that rednecks and NAZIs are the only ones to ever get to the Moon, right? Oh...you weren't?

    7. Re:every one of Trumps speeches by NicknameUnavailable · · Score: 4, Funny

      Well, we'll see what happens, Trump is the only politician in my life to actually stick to his campaign promises so I have more faith in him at this point.

    8. Re:every one of Trumps speeches by Darinbob · · Score: 1

      On the other hand, there are so many signs that today's culture to be preserved is grounded in bigotry, distrust of people who aren't like us, and war. If we send out a legacy of accomplishments in the arts, it would be lying to claim that was our culture.

    9. Re:every one of Trumps speeches by Bing+Tsher+E · · Score: 1

      The worthy, caring people are more concerned that we supply an ample number of disposable diapers to single parent families.

    10. Re:every one of Trumps speeches by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      On the other hand, there are so many signs that today's culture to be preserved is grounded in bigotry, distrust of people who aren't like us, and war.

      That is all true, but is less so that at any other time in history. Humanity has never before been more tolerant, trusting and peaceful than we are today.

      Things are getting better. Don't worry. Be happy.

    11. Re:every one of Trumps speeches by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

      Maybe instead of looking to politicians to lead us to the stars, we should look elsewhere. Unlike Obama and Trump, Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos are getting stuff done.

  7. Don't worry about the language by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The tardis translation matrix will handle it.

    1. Re:Don't worry about the language by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      The tardis translation matrix will handle it.

      ...after running it through the ST Universal Translator.

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
  8. Shakespeare by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Asimov is highly worthwhile, but c'mon. Shakespeare is in another league. And don't forget a decent English dictionary such as American Heritage.

    1. Re:Shakespeare by sysrammer · · Score: 1

      Asimov is highly worthwhile, but c'mon. Shakespeare is in another league. And don't forget a decent English dictionary such as American Heritage.

      Nicely done.

      --
      His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
  9. Re: First thing to store on everlasting Quartz Dis by sysrammer · · Score: 1

    Lucas stole ideas from Asimov - everything from galactic empire, traders, rebels, to big ass space stations, etc. Whatever, today that stuff sucks donkey balls thanks to Disney.

    Sure. And he stole his ideas from Gibbon.

    And yes to the donkey balls.

    --
    His ignorance covered the whole earth like a blanket, and there was hardly a hole in it anywhere. - Mark Twain
  10. Why The Foundation? by OneHundredAndTen · · Score: 0

    There are far better literary works out there, sci-fi or otherwise, even by Asimov himself. Quite frankly, it's clearly something that he would concoct month by month, with too many disconnects down the line. I guess it must be somebody with clout's night-table book of choice.

    1. Re:Why The Foundation? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      haha liar

    2. Re:Why The Foundation? by Wulf2k · · Score: 1

      Well, why not that one?

      This isn't "Space Exploration by Committee", this is a frontier. Possibly our final one.

      If somebody wants to launch a book into space, there's literally nobody that can or should stop them.

      Maybe it'll give somebody else incentive to build a bigger rocket and launch the collected works of Chuck Tingle even further into space. Followed by a bigger, better rocket launching Pride & Prejudice. Then somebody launching Terry Goodkind into space.

      Not his works. The author himself. He'd probably be up for it, based on his descent from sanity visibly documented during his Sword of Truth series. But that's a topic for another thread....

      Long story short, people can do anything they want in space and more power to em. It's either that, or we sit on this rock till we die.

      Maybe that's our destiny anyway, in which case there's still no reason to stop people from slinging random books into space.

  11. Why literature? by marcle · · Score: 1

    I mean, I love literature, including Asimov, but why spend all that bandwidth on one work? Would aliens realize it's fiction, or even know what fiction is? Wouldn't it be more appropriate to show our achievements in science or math, or maybe our wide range of cultures or languages?

    1. Re:Why literature? by Wulf2k · · Score: 1

      This is purely symbolic. Nobody will ever find this in the vastness of space, unless it punches through their hull at a significant fraction of the speed of light. As a result, who cares what's "actually" on it?

      It does bring up the question of what "should" be on ones that may actually be found in the future though.

  12. Keeping up with the Kardashians by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you want a snapshot of the clusterfuck humanity is, just include a boxed set.
    If that doesn't scare off alien invaders nothing will.

  13. One terabyte? by pmsr · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Sorry, but which year does this come from: "At a time when traditional hard drives are just breaking into the terabyte range"? Because traditional hard drives have broken the terabyte range 10 years ago. And we're talking mainstream.

    1. Re:One terabyte? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The highest capacity hard drive you can buy is 12TB. That*s 988TB away from 1PB. I would call that "just breaking into the terabyte range". ("Just" isn't meant in the temporal sense.)

    2. Re:One terabyte? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "Just" is always meant in the temporal sense. What you maybe want to say is that the use of "just" was meant in a large time scale. In any case, it was badly written. They could have said "When traditional hard drives have broken into the terabyte range just a few years ago". See how this works?

    3. Re:One terabyte? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No, "just" is not always meant in the temporal sense. "Buy now for $99.99 or just three easy payments of $33.33!" "just one vote can make a difference". I doubt it's even the case that "just" is usually temporally.

      You really, really undermine your point when you say something absurd like that. Because I actually agree that it's BS to say we're "just breaking into the Terabyte range" when we did that over a decade ago in mainstream consumer products and are an order of magnitude beyond it in current consumer products. The comparison to Petabytes is an irrelevant distraction.

    4. Re:One terabyte? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why wont you just read a dictionary? https://dictionary.cambridge.org/dictionary/english/just

    5. Re: One terabyte? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We just broke into the TB range dudes. Sit down an shut the fuck up.

    6. Re:One terabyte? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There are many meanings of “just” but three are relevant here.

      Messages here seem to be comparing the meaning “barely” (he is just taller than 2m) with “very recently” (she just got a car yesterday).

      I think a third interpretetatuin is valid: “just” in the sense of “only”. For example: “A Boeing 747 has four engines whereas a Boeing 737 just has two”.
      “Quartz disks can store petabytes whereas standard disks are just (only) breaking into the terabyte range (1TB to 999TB)”.

      So here “just” means “only” rather than “recently” or “barely”. But it could certainly be edited for more clarity.

    7. Re:One terabyte? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The highest capacity hard drive you can buy is 12TB. That*s 988TB away from 1PB. I would call that "just breaking into the terabyte range". ("Just" isn't meant in the temporal sense.)

      12 TB is 12 times more than 1 TB and 83.33... times less than 1PB. If anything, commercially available hard drives are approaching the middle of your "terabyte range" (about 31.6 TB).

  14. What tripe! by Picodon · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Ancient civilizations built monuments like the pyramids and left artifacts and writing, sometimes deliberately.

    I doubt that ancient rulers cared much (if at all) about their “legacy”. Ancient artifacts and monuments were produced for many reasons: religious, political, practical, artistic, etc., all of which had relevance in their present. Concerns about the future mostly had to do with the afterworld. What we find today by chance is not because of smart planning by our elders, it is because we still have smart people who find the study of our past valuable and enlightening.

    As for those who are trying today to concoct some “legacy”, they are pompous, vain and clueless fools. They have no idea what will survive (or how long), what will be found, what will be judged valuable and significant. They’d sure love to make decisions for the rest of humanity. And, hey! Shooting a CD into space is a lot easier than achieving something actually so useful to humanity that it would be remembered for many ages.

    Or, may be they are not really fools and, like a few rulers of the past, the “legacy” stuff they make is merely there to impress their contemporaries. In short, yes, just more bloody advertising.

    1. Re:What tripe! by waveclaw · · Score: 1

      Or, may be they are not really fools and, like a few rulers of the past, the “legacy” stuff they make is merely there to impress their contemporaries. In short, yes, just more bloody advertising.

      You could always sell copies to doomsday prepers and people dreaming of becoming backyarders.

      On the other hand it might take a few cycles of civilization collapsing and being rebuilt before we get a good test of how to build and what to include.

      But then on the third hand I'm hoping that humanity isn't actually the race that spawns the Motes with a great need for working, reliable civilization bootstrap systems.

      --

      "You cannot have a General Will unless you have shared experiences. You cannot be fair to people you don't know."
    2. Re:What tripe! by nagora · · Score: 1

      I doubt that ancient rulers cared much (if at all) about their “legacy”.

      As for those who are trying today to concoct some “legacy”, they are pompous, vain and clueless fools.

      Hmmmm.

      --
      "Encyclopedia" is to "Wikipedia" what "Library" is to "Some people at a bus stop"
    3. Re:What tripe! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I doubt that ancient rulers cared much (if at all) about their “legacy”. Ancient artifacts and monuments were produced for many reasons: religious, political,

      You just listed few of the reasons people depicted history and the acts of the rulers and events as part of their legacy. Apparently fame and reputation was the hot stuff also here, in the formerly pagan Europe. Leaders both in the East and the West did their best to reform and shape their countries, their palaces and their cities if their had enough power to do so even during the Christian times. Legitimatizing power over a conquest or a people requires creating legacies.

  15. More than enough by amiga3D · · Score: 1

    360 Terabytes should be more than enough storage for anyone.

    1. Re:More than enough by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      1 DVD = 0.0047 Terabytes.

      1 well compressed DVD is enough for everyones, not?

      The principal question is how to fit useful software, documents, data, etc. into 1 DVD?

  16. Nomenclature by fahrbot-bot · · Score: 4, Funny

    ... the quartz medium can hold up to 360 terabytes per disc.

    And as this comes from Earth, 360 terabytes == 1 Terrabyte

    --
    It must have been something you assimilated. . . .
    1. Re:Nomenclature by mentil · · Score: 1

      Well played. Virtual +1 Funny from me

      --
      Corruption is convincing someone that the selfless ideal is the same as their selfish ideal.
  17. We're terrible at predicting the future by dfm3 · · Score: 3, Interesting

    I could post endless quotes from naysayers over the last 200 years about how the automobile will never outcompete the horse, radio is a useless novelty, everything that's possible to know has already been discovered, planes won't be able to travel faster than the speed of sound, 640K of memory... but, you get the idea.

    We're terrible at predicting how an emerging technology will impact the future, but exceptionally good at finding novel ways to apply that technology in ways that nobody could have ever guessed.

    Besides, your olympic athlete analogy is horribly flawed.

    1. Re:We're terrible at predicting the future by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      And, on the other hand, we don't have personal jetpacks, flying cars, or humanoid robots, and we're just developing relatively cheap flights to low earth orbit. Things didn't just go faster and farther than expected, they went in unexpected ways.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
  18. Something that makes sense to aliens by manu0601 · · Score: 1

    Isaac Asimov's books are unlikely to mean anything to aliens, that will make the message quite hard to understand

    We could start with what we know about mathematics, physics and chemistry, as there are good chances a remote intelligent life form worked on that concepts too.

  19. How much is that in LoC's? by Schaffner · · Score: 1

    So, how much is that in Libraries of Congress?

  20. Great Silence by Max_W · · Score: 2

    There is most probably no one up there to read these messages due to the Civilization Bottleneck theory.

    The bottleneck theory postulates that the life evolves via natural selection, i.e. the survival of the fittest. As a result any civilization is based on the same principle. It leads to creation of competing imperialistic groups, and finally to a nuclear war between them. And consequently a quick end to a civilization.

    The Great Silence, the total absence of any intelligent radio signals whatsoever from the space, makes this theory quite plausible.

    1. Re:Great Silence by mentil · · Score: 1

      It's plausible, but it assumes that all aliens have genetic material which undergoes random mutations at a standard rate. If speciation periodically occurred due to the genetic code 'locking', refusing to mutate, and reproduction were asexual, then there may be species of genetically-identical beings. If one of those species was sentient, then social darwinism may lead to learning to control personality traits that would eventually lead to nuclear war.
      Or they master biotech before physics, and genetically engineer themselves to eliminate strong emotions etc. that lead to nuclear war.
      Or there's no fissile material on their planet.
      Or they have some kind of hive mind who has no conceptualization of 'factions' and thus has no war.
      Or they live underground, and nuclear blasts scouring the surface wouldn't significantly affect their survival.
      Or the planet's population is kept small or localized (due to hospitable surface area or resource location) such that factionalization is impossible, it effectively remains one tribe.
      Or the period of time between "nuclear power discovered" and "reasons for war still exist" is narrow enough they get through it, somehow.
      Or they achieve pluralism/equality/post-scarcity before nuclear power.
      Or they DO have a nuclear war but survive it.

      Assuming nuclear war is the only answer is to anthropomorphize aliens. And hey, we're still here.

      --
      Corruption is convincing someone that the selfless ideal is the same as their selfish ideal.
    2. Re:Great Silence by Max_W · · Score: 1

      ... Or the planet's population is kept small or localized (due to hospitable surface area or resource location) such that factionalization is impossible, it effectively remains one tribe. ...

      There was a sociological research when a large group of monkeys, several hundreds, were placed on an isolated island. There were always factions, politics, and war. One after another. I saw a documentary about it.

      But human history also shows the same pattern. One war after another, more and more destructive. Even after the war to end all wars: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      Anyway, there are billions of planets, which exist for billions of years, and practically no intelligent life, no intelligent radio signals.

      It is quite possible that biological system appear and develop in accordance with the same fundamental laws of nature. In this case the Great Silence is well explained by the civilization bottleneck theory.

    3. Re:Great Silence by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      The space debris will most probably just float off and crash into something, or drift into the empty void of black space where none shall ever encounter it. How do these people not understand that space is big?

    4. Re:Great Silence by Wulf2k · · Score: 1

      If they expected it to actually be found, do you think that's the payload they'd choose?

    5. Re:Great Silence by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Honestly I consider space launches squandered capacity. Put something up there we can use: GPS, moon infrastructure, something that will enrich the nation and the world. A lot of labor went into this thing, and a lot of nothing came out. Generally, I thus assume these people have no sense.

      On the other hand, this thing cost $90 million to put up there, whereas the shuttle program cost $196 billion and the last mission cost $450 million, while a single Apollo mission cost $18 billion--1.67% of GDP in 1970, or equivalent to $310 billion today as a portion of our total economic power. This thing cost something like .029% of a single Apollo launch, and it wasn't even taxpayer money (which makes less difference than you'd think, although it matters).

      We're reaching a point where a pointless display of space access wastes less economic power than things like mechanical loss of ketchup due to non-coated bottles refusing to release that last drop. Instead of a single Apollo launch, we could achieve universal healthcare. Twice.

      Maybe it's time I reassess. Kim-Jong Trump's stupid military parade would land on the same scale as a heavy lift launch today.

    6. Re:Great Silence by Wulf2k · · Score: 1

      I appreciate your point, but now I'm curious if anybody's working on zero-g ketchup bottles.

    7. Re:Great Silence by david_thornley · · Score: 1

      This was the first Falcon Heavy launch. Nobody knew how it was going to go. Musk said he'd like it if the rocket got far enough up so that it wouldn't damage the pad when it exploded.

      In fact, it went off very well, with the two side boosters landing back on land, and the center failing recovery due to a shortage of lighting fluid. Nobody knew that at the time. None of us watching the launch live knew what we'd see.

      And nobody had something they wanted to put on a rocket that had an excellent chance of exploding, except Musk. First launches normally don't carry a payload.

      --
      "When you have eliminated the unacceptable, whatever is left, however improbable, must be the truthiness" - Holmes
    8. Re:Great Silence by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Astronauts get ketchup. They get salt and pepper in liquid form only.

    9. Re:Great Silence by bluefoxlucid · · Score: 1

      Fair enough. The added payload often significantly increases the fuel cost, although at this point I don't know how that impacts the launch cost. At least this time it didn't detonate with teachers on board.

  21. Won't fly by nospam007 · · Score: 2

    The Content Mafia will want compensation for galactic distribution rights.

  22. Ask a historian... by Richard+Kirk · · Score: 1

    The best you can probably do for a future historian is to record as complete a picture as you can without filtering. If you have space, and I don't see why you don't, you could chuck in a copy of the entire web, warts and all. It would, initially, be helpful to have a snapshot of how a few random families actually lived, so that the historians could get some context before wading in. And some digital library might give a general opinion of what we knew and believed. But any filtering process, even if it improves the quality of the record, must also add some bias. The whole picture, or if we can't manage that, then a random snapshot, may be more helpful.

  23. Future's holy scriptures by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Lets send wikipedia. It will become the new holy bible of mankind.

  24. why? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Not that this isn't awesome technology, which will likely be very useful, but shouldn't we worry about the "why" before worrying about the how and what ?

  25. Post the important to the future: Fight for $15 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Fight for $15! Even space aliens deserve a living wage!

  26. Missing the point by spaceman375 · · Score: 2

    Elon's car and it's data cube aren't leaving the solar system. This message isn't intended for aliens. It's for our somewhat distant offspring. Eventually we will have enough space presence to make recovering Starman an economically viable advertising stunt. SpaceX themselves may even fetch it back for their 100th or 250th anniversary if the orbit is sufficiently close.

    Of course, if we lose track of it and they happen on it 20k years or more from now, it will be a valuable surprise.

    --
    On the one hand you take life too seriously, and on the other, you do not take playful existence seriously enough. Seth
    1. Re:Missing the point by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Maybe in that time we will have evolved the ability of proper apostrophe use.

    2. Re:Missing the point by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      But the entire planet will be bankrupt in attempting to pay the royalties the Instellar RIA claim for all those public plays of Space oddity.

  27. Just the facts, ma'am. by Doctrinsograce · · Score: 1

    Record information... not interpretation... Interpretation will be done when the past is understood in its historic and cultural context.