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81% of Recent ICOs Were Scams, Research Finds (bleepingcomputer.com)

Four out of five initial coin offerings (ICOs) that have taken place in the last year have been classified as scams, according to a recent study by Satis Group, an ICO advisory firm. From a report: ICOs have been the rage of the cryptocurrency world because they allow companies to raise money for various ventures by issuing cryptocurrency tokens that users could buy and later trade on cryptocurrency exchanges. The concept is similar to an IPO, but instead of shares, companies issue tokens, and some companies promised to buy tokens back from users after a product became successful and the token's value increases.

The study's results don't bode well for people who've invested in one or more and are expecting profits sometime in the near future. The Satis study organized ICOs in six categories, based on their current status. Only ICOs with a market cap of $50 million or higher have been included in the results, and the percentage of scammy ICOs would have probably bee higher if researchers looked at the smaller ICOs. According to researchers, 81% of ICO's were Scams, 6% were classified as Failed, 5% had Gone Dead, and 8% went on to trade on a exchange.

48 of 81 comments (clear)

  1. Best Nelson voice .... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Ha ha!

    A fool and his money are parted, especially when that fool wants to play in unregulated financial markets.

    Don't tell us you didn't see this one coming.

    1. Re:Best Nelson voice .... by Joce640k · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Yep.

      I can't believe anybody on the planet could read "Initial Coin Offering" and not think "Bunch of guys who want to get rich by selling made-up-shit to idiots".

      --
      No sig today...
    2. Re:Best Nelson voice .... by BinBoy · · Score: 1

      free money? where do I sign?

      Venezuela. The problem is somebody has to make something before you can buy it, otherwise inflation cancels out the free money.

    3. Re:Best Nelson voice .... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      BITCONNEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEECT

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=61i2iDz7u04

      This one is so fresh it still has shill vids posted on youtube.

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gu126dXUSh4

    4. Re:Best Nelson voice .... by quantaman · · Score: 2

      Yep.

      I can't believe anybody on the planet could read "Initial Coin Offering" and not think "Bunch of guys who want to get rich by selling made-up-shit to idiots".

      Who's to say they didn't think that?

      You can make a lot of money investing in a scam as long as you get out before it collapses.

      --
      I stole this Sig
    5. Re:Best Nelson voice .... by freeze128 · · Score: 1

      Just like Certificate Authorities?

    6. Re:Best Nelson voice .... by Joce640k · · Score: 1

      Except you're not getting in at the top level with a pre-mined ICO...

      --
      No sig today...
    7. Re:Best Nelson voice .... by hai_Priesty · · Score: 1

      Given that 92% of the ICO didn't even follow through far enough to actually make it to public - I'd say even "just get out before it collapses" is wishful thinking.

      You'll pretty much has to be the founder and tiny handful of people working around him to have a high success chance. I bet even some of the late-coming employees will get their fingers burned when they got taken by the hype surrounding them, and judgements are easily clouded by sheer time in the office and fatigue of working 15 hour days.

    8. Re:Best Nelson voice .... by TheRaven64 · · Score: 1

      Someone built a thing called PonziCoin on top of Etherium. They did it as a joke, to highlight the silliness of these things and released it, explicitly stating that it was a Ponzi scheme and describing how it worked. The logic of a Ponzi scheme was embedded in the smart contract, so the fact that it was such a scam could be externally validated. After a couple of weeks, he had to shut it down because people were actually buying the coins, after being explicitly told that it was a scam by the person selling them. I think that tells you everything you need to know about ICOs.

      --
      I am TheRaven on Soylent News
    9. Re:Best Nelson voice .... by jythie · · Score: 2

      I was actually rather amused at how low their bar for 'not scam' was in that the coin only had to make it on to an exchange in order to be legit.

    10. Re:Best Nelson voice .... by stoborrobots · · Score: 1

      I suspect it's a phenomenon similar to the Cow Clicker effect, where people just want in because it feels good.

  2. And the other 19% of ICOs were hoodwinks by JoeyRox · · Score: 2

    With a margin of error +/- 5% shenanigans.

    1. Re:And the other 19% of ICOs were hoodwinks by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      With a margin of error +/- 5% shenanigans.

      What a coincidence, "ShenaniCoin" is my new startup. ("SuckerCoin" was taken.)

    2. Re:And the other 19% of ICOs were hoodwinks by gweihir · · Score: 1

      What about "Morono" as coin-name?

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    3. Re:And the other 19% of ICOs were hoodwinks by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      Isn't there a Book of Morono?

    4. Re:And the other 19% of ICOs were hoodwinks by bzipitidoo · · Score: 1

      If you take the 'I" from "Coin" and move it to the front, you get "iCon"

      --
      Intellectual Property is a monopolistic, selfish, and defective concept. It is "tyranny over the mind of man"
    5. Re:And the other 19% of ICOs were hoodwinks by gweihir · · Score: 1

      That is a great one!

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      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  3. I'm shocked, I tell you, shocked! by imperious_rex · · Score: 4, Insightful

    IPOs are tightly regulated by the SEC for many years. ICOs are scarcely regulated and are the current "hot thing" for speculators. Is anybody truly surprised by this? Of course ICOs will bring out scammers who prey on people hungry for "the next Bitcoin." This is to be as expected as flies drawn to a steaming pile of dung.

    1. Re:I'm shocked, I tell you, shocked! by Joce640k · · Score: 1
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      No sig today...
  4. It's hard out hear for a blockchain dev by Error629 · · Score: 1, Interesting

    As somebody working on what I imagine will be an upending blockchain solution, it's rather disappointing to have to deal with this. People either think every solution is going to be a scam, when sometimes the problem is the investor is overvaluing them. When things settle down and the industry regulates itself (or SEC forces the issue), ICO's will be the new Silicon Valley for VC's.

    --
    _________
    The world doesn't just disappear when you close your eyes, does it?
    1. Re:It's hard out hear for a blockchain dev by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Keep dreaming buddy!

  5. 81%... by c · · Score: 1

    ... so far.

    19% to go.

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    Log in or piss off.
  6. Only 81%? by jandrese · · Score: 5, Insightful

    In shocking news today apparently 19% of ICOs are not scams. Economists interviewed about this story are at a loss to explain the situation.

    Although according to the summary the number is closer to 8%.

    --

    I read the internet for the articles.
    1. Re:Only 81%? by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 4, Insightful
      More. I fixed the summary a little:

      81% of ICO's were Scams, 6% were classified as Failed Scams, 5% as Scams Gone Dead, and 8% went on to trade on a exchange

      So it's more like 92%. And I'm not so sure about the remaining 8% either.

      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    2. Re:Only 81%? by Khashishi · · Score: 1

      So, 92% are scams that have reached their conclusion. The other 8% are scams that are still ongoing.

    3. Re:Only 81%? by rtb61 · · Score: 1

      That is not scams, as much as scams in the terms of reference. So not that make believe money with no backing is a scam but that there was no real intent to create make believe money with no backing, just charging for attempting to do so and keeping the money when failing. So just way more scammy, rather than not just plain scammy. In this case, scam is very much tied to the terms of reference, being able to create make believe money with no backing in the public market or even intending to attempt to do so.

      --
      Chaos - everything, everywhere, everywhen
    4. Re:Only 81%? by gweihir · · Score: 1

      I think this study just has a margin of error of 19%.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  7. How many of the survivors are worth anything? by timrod · · Score: 1

    I'd be curious to see how much the surviving currencies are actually trading for, given how most cryptos that aren't Bitcoin or Ethereum trade for under a dollar, with many trading for a fraction of a penny per coin. I somehow doubt that any of the surviving coins have made money for anyone but their creators and those firms that will do pump and dumps on various cryptos and spread the news to their paying clients.

    1. Re:How many of the survivors are worth anything? by mysidia · · Score: 1

      I've been sitting on the sidelines and not bought in a single ICO, although there is the potential for some enormous opportunities --- Perhaps in 12-24 more months when the dust settles; people can start looking at the OLDER ICOs for ones that have some merit: and then very carefully vet the code that the ICOs represent to make sure there's an actual project with realistic expectations......

  8. Hmm... by kurkosdr · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Looks like some libertarians had a taste of a true free market, unhindered by the burden of overbearing government regulation...

  9. Just gotta pick the good ones! by Notabadguy · · Score: 2

    Personally, I pledge my faith in Dogecoin.

    1. Re: Just gotta pick the good ones! by c6gunner · · Score: 2

      It's funny ... I got some dogecoin just as a laugh and forgot all about it. Given the hashing rate i expected it to be in a constant state of inflation, so I never expected to get my money back.

      A year later I checked the price and it was selling for 10 times what I paid.

      People are nuts. I cashed out and called it a win.

    2. Re: Just gotta pick the good ones! by dmt0 · · Score: 1

      1 Doge = 10 Doge???? Sooooo blockchain!

  10. I can tell crypto-currency is hurting by rsilvergun · · Score: 1

    because I can get a GTX 1060 6gb for only $120 more than I paid a year ago. I suspect the prices'll go back to normal soon. There's outfits out of China working on ASICs that can do Ethereum.

    --
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  11. In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Researchers unable to identify the scam in 19% of ICOs.

    1. Re:In other news... by gweihir · · Score: 1

      Indeed.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
  12. Re:ONLY 80% of ICOs? I'd say 100% by war4peace · · Score: 1

    Those were not coins, they were tokens. They don't need to be mined or anything, they're just made up.

    --
    ...gis sdrawkcab (usually not responding to ACs; don't bother posting as AC)
  13. Darlose Award by Tablizer · · Score: 1

    Is there a Darwin Award for big monetary loss?

  14. Corporate Cavemen [Re:Hmm...] by Tablizer · · Score: 1

    libertardians

    Their pursuit of a Mad-Max-esque (MME) world may be legitimate, from a certain angle. One cannot say that a MME world is objectively bad. It's a matter of preference.

    A libertarian may reply and say, "I made an x-coin purchase choice and it didn't work out. Live and learn. If I die due to my bad decision, so what. The species overall will be stronger. Survival as a species is better than fluffy comfort in the short term. It's not about just me."

    I consider many libertarians a hybrid between Klingons and Ferengis.

    1. Re:Corporate Cavemen [Re:Hmm...] by Tablizer · · Score: 1

      An Ayn Randian and Libertarian are not necessarily the same thing.

  15. Re:ONLY 80% of ICOs? I'd say 100% by war4peace · · Score: 1

    Simply untrue, but hey, you+'re welcome to continue believing nonsense.

    --
    ...gis sdrawkcab (usually not responding to ACs; don't bother posting as AC)
  16. This study has exactly 19% error by gweihir · · Score: 1

    Obviously. Greed makes people blind.

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    Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    1. Re:This study has exactly 19% error by jythie · · Score: 1

      I think it is less 'greed' and more 'arrogance'. Speculators generally know it is a scam, but they believe they can manipulate it quicker and better than other investors. People think they are smart and other people are stupid, and are hoping to profit based off that belief.

    2. Re:This study has exactly 19% error by gweihir · · Score: 1

      That too. It this case greed may make them even more blind to their own stupidity, or they may already be completely blind to it without the greed.

      --
      Most ACs are not even worth the keystrokes to insult them. Be generically insulted by this and ignored otherwise.
    3. Re: This study has exactly 19% error by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      I don't get the math. Of 5 ICOs, 4 were scams, and that's 81%? Or does it mean one was only slightly scammy?

  17. Re:ONLY 80% of ICOs? I'd say 100% by jythie · · Score: 1

    From a speculator's perspective they are identical. It does not matter if the mining is done by the company releasing the coin or by 3rd parties, they are still created and traded in similar manners.

  18. Re:ONLY 80% of ICOs? I'd say 100% by war4peace · · Score: 1

    WTF. They are not created in similar manners.

    --
    ...gis sdrawkcab (usually not responding to ACs; don't bother posting as AC)
  19. Re:ONLY 80% of ICOs? I'd say 100% by stoborrobots · · Score: 1

    The initial motivation is for a mechanism for transferring value between two parties, without requiring a central entity to mediate the exchange.

    We can do this in the real world by handing cash from one party to the second.

    Cryptocurrencies allow us to do this over the internet. The problem at the moment is that they do not allow us to do this *well*.