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Dual-Motor Tesla Model 3 Possibly Coming In July (electrek.co)

According to Elon Musk, the dual-motor Tesla Model 3 is expected to be released in July. "Musk linked the release of the new Model 3 powertrain with the automaker achieving a production rate of 5,000 Model 3 vehicles per week," reports Electrek. From the report: Earlier this year, we reported on Tesla registering 19 Model 3 VINs with dual motor powertrain with NHTSA in the latest batch of new VINs. It happened right after the Tesla Model 3 dual motor powertrain design leaked in the latest design studio update. Then in February, Tesla registered a new batch of Model 3 VINs, including two dozen Model 3 VINs with the dual motor powertrain. It raised Model 3 reservation holders' hope that the new configuration could soon become available, but now Musk confirmed that it is still a few months away in a series of tweets last night. The CEO also linked the timing with the release of the Model 3 white interior. Tesla currently only offers a single interior option with black upholstery. The dual motor Model 3 is expected to deliver a slightly longer range and offer a quicker acceleration than the current single motor rear-wheel-drive version.

34 of 71 comments (clear)

  1. Not worth the electrons its printed on by fozzy1015 · · Score: 1, Informative

    Musk says a lot of things:

    Elon Musk, 2012: "The electricity used by the Supercharger comes from a solar carport system provided by SolarCity, which results in almost zero marginal energy cost after installation. Combining these two factors, Tesla is able to provide Model S owners free long distance travel indefinitely. () The Supercharger system will always generate more power from sunlight than Model S customers use for driving."

    Elon Musk, 2013: "Model S is designed to allow a fast battery swap, exchanging your battery for a fully charged battery in less than half the time it takes to refill a gas tank. () Hopefully, this is what convinces people finally that electric cars are the future."

    Elon Musk, 2014: "I am confident in the German consumer. I bet that from the end of 2014 onwards, we can sell 10,000 cars in Germany annually () By the end of 2014, we'll have 25 German Service Centres () We'll have 200 maybe 300 cars per week going to Germany (10,400 to 15,600 annually)."

    Elon Musk, 2014: "I expect that in the long run, Tesla will build a battery factory in Germany."

    Elon Musk, 2015: "The response has been overwhelming, OK, like crazy. In the course of like less than a week, we've had 38,000 reservations for the Powerwall, 2,500 reservations for Powerpack. So, it's like crazy off the hook. Yeah. And it seems to have gone super viral."

    Elon Musk, 2015: "I don't want to sort of name specific suppliers, but our biggest challenges are with the second row seat, which is, it's an amazing seat, like a sculptural work of art, but a very tricky thing to get right. The falcon-wing door actually seems to probably not be a critical path item."

    Elon Musk, 2015: "We should be able to do 90 percent of miles driven within three years," Elon Musk told the Financial Times in 2013, "The problem with Google's current approach (LIDAR among other sensors) is that the sensor system is too expensive," Musk said. "It's better to have an optical system, basically cameras with software that is able to figure out what's going on just by looking at things."

    Elon Musk, 2016: "If you're in New York and the car's in Los Angeles, you can summon your car to you from your phone and tell the car to find you. It'll automatically charge itself along the journey () I might be slightly optimistic on that, but I don't think significantly optimistic that we can do that in two years"

    Elon Musk, 2016: "We plan to fund about $1.5 billion in capital expenditures without accessing any outside capital other than our existing sources that support our leasing and finished goods inventory."

    Elon Musk, 2016: "So as a rough guess, I would say we would aim to produce 100,000 to 200,000 Model 3s in the second half of next year. That's my expectation right now. Yeah, so that's the thing. () The date we are setting with suppliers to get to a volume production capability with the Model 3 is July 1 next year."

    Elon Musk, 2016: "The probability of having an accident is 50 percent lower if you have Autopilot on () Even with our first version, it's almost twice as good as a person."

    Elon Musk, 2016: "With your Model S, Model X, or Model 3, your solar panel system, and your Powerwall all in place, you would be able to deploy and consume energy in the most efficient and sustainable way possible, lowering your costs and minimizing your dependence on fossil fuels and the grid. () Culturally, this is a great fit."

    Elon Musk, 2016: Musk told analysts the company's current plan "does not require any capital raise for the Model 3 at all."

    1. Re:Not worth the electrons its printed on by fozzy1015 · · Score: 1

      And one of my favorites...

      Elon Musk, on the Model 3 production, 2017: "So -- but what people should absolutely have zero concern about, zero, is that Tesla will achieve a 10,000-unit production week by the end of next year."

    2. Re:Not worth the electrons its printed on by jeremyp · · Score: 2

      Olun Misk: "In the long run I plan to shit gold bricks".

      You: The long run hasn't happened yet and in any case plans change.

      I think the point is that Elon Musk frequently fails to deliver on his promises in respect of Tesla. Plans don't change by magic, they change in response to unforeseen problems or unrealistic targets. For Musk, unforeseen problems seem to include things like not foreseeing that his own ego is no substitute for proper design practice (e.g. freeze it before building the production line) and proper testing (of newly installed production lines).

      I'm sorry, but you would be crazy to believe anything Musk says without convincing independent evidence to back it up. He is not trustworthy.

      --
      All I want is a secure system where it's easy to do anything I want. Is that too much to ask ~~ Randall Munroe
    3. Re:Not worth the electrons its printed on by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      To be fair, Autopilot might be on average safer than a human... Problem is, it looks very much like they rolled out a software update that introduced "barrier lust". It already has "truck lust", where it moves towards trucks as it passes them for some reason, and this latest firmware seems to have done something to the way it follows road markings that makes it steer into road dividing barriers.

      As Tesla stated, the guy had driven that bit of road many times before, along with many other Tesla drivers. Then one day the car's behaviour suddenly changes. I'm sure the release notes, which I'm sure everyone definitely reads carefully, mentioned that the car may now drive straight into dividers at speed where it had previously been fine.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    4. Re:Not worth the electrons its printed on by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Olun Misk: "In the long run I plan to shit gold bricks".

      Your snide comment aside, he has well and truly already done so.

      I think the point is that Elon Musk frequently fails to deliver on his promises in respect of Tesla.

      Yes you could get that impression when you cherry pick from everything to suit your agenda.

      I'm sorry, but you would be crazy to believe anything Musk says without convincing independent evidence to back it up. He is not trustworthy.

      Actually he has shown himself to deliver on quite a lot of things he has said, and do so repeatedly. You on the other hand are just some unknown knob on the internet.

    5. Re:Not worth the electrons its printed on by idji · · Score: 1

      Isn't it great that he doesn't give up when he fails, slips or has to changes plan? What have you done with your life that makes a difference to anyone?

  2. Cancel by 110010001000 · · Score: 1

    Can I cancel my existing Model 3 order, so I can get a dual motor? After all, if one motor is good, two must be twice as good!

    1. Re:Cancel by Z80a · · Score: 1

      And then you do it, you wait more and tesla go and announce the 4 motor version.

  3. full name: Tesla Possibly Coming by john+of+sparta · · Score: 1

    that's TPC to you.

  4. Re:sound nice by HornWumpus · · Score: 5, Informative

    Jesus tits, not this again. Spend a second on wikipedia. 'Unsprung mass'

    I know you're AC. But perhaps you don't want to be wrong all your life.

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  5. Re:Actually this is a dumb idea. by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

    It would be the coolest virus of all times. But I bet they would just spin the wheels until the tires caught fire.

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  6. Re:Actually this is a dumb idea. by supremebob · · Score: 1

    Honestly, it would probably just be easier to disable the thermal safety make the battery or motors overload and catch fire instead.

    I would be curious if the frame would crack under the strain, though.

  7. Re:sound nice by jezwel · · Score: 1

    I wish I had my mod points from yesterday. Have an updoot I guess.

  8. More like late 2018 by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 2
    I missed the 8PM PST reservation and booked on 6AM EST next day,

    My turn came yesterday. It said I can have the premium in production model 3 in three to six weeks, or dual motor in late 2018 and the regular standard battery model 3 in early 2019.

    Looks like they predict there is enough demand for the higher end versions to soak up all the production in 2018.

    I am not waiting, no pricing is announced.

    Price was, 35K base, +9K for extended 310 mile battery, +5K for premium interior that has open pore wood trim and two extra usbs. Some special cruise control is 6K and auto pilot is another 4 K on top of that. Desitnation charge of 1000$. Wanted an immediate payment of 2500$ to book it.

    --
    sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
    1. Re:More like late 2018 by jeremyp · · Score: 1

      Looks like they predict there is enough demand for the higher end versions to soak up all the production in 2018

      That's not necessarily a good thing. It might be b because they can't get production up to reasonable numbers.

      --
      All I want is a secure system where it's easy to do anything I want. Is that too much to ask ~~ Randall Munroe
    2. Re:More like late 2018 by 140Mandak262Jamuna · · Score: 1
      They seem to be nearly doing 2000 cars a week, short of 2500 a week goal, but no small thing to ramp up to 100,000 a year rate.

      There are enough fanbois like me to feel we need to chip in and show our commitment to Tesla. My home has a 200 amp service and I am not sure I can take two Teslas charging at the same time. But seriously considering convincing the missus to give up the BMW for a four wheel drive model 3, later this year. My hope is she will take over the model3 and hand-me-down the bimmer to me. Then I will be free to replace it with a AWD model 3.

      --
      sed -e 's/Chuck Norris/Rajnikant/g' joke > fact
  9. Re:July ... by vtcodger · · Score: 1

    "... and our suppliers are all idiots."

    I doubt they are ALL idiots, but that sounds more credible than most Muskisms.

    Tesla has been cobbling cars together for a while. This is not their first rodeo. Why did Musk's operation select incompetent suppliers for the Model 3?

    --
    You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
  10. Re:sound nice by Zorpheus · · Score: 1

    It is an interesting solution though, which is (or was?) used by some manufacturers. It has advantages and disadvantages.

  11. Re:July ... by jeremyp · · Score: 3, Interesting

    They didn't. The supplier thing is bullshit. The production problems are really of Tesla's own making and due to the fact that their previous cars have been cobbled together. The model 3 is the first one for mass production and it should not be surprising that Tesla does not know how to do mass production.

    --
    All I want is a secure system where it's easy to do anything I want. Is that too much to ask ~~ Randall Munroe
  12. The moral of the story is by DrXym · · Score: 1

    Don't be an early adopter. The fixes, quality control, features and other improvements will happen on somebody else's car.

    1. Re:The moral of the story is by ausekilis · · Score: 1

      Alternatively, Tesla could fulfill the promise it already made to the thousands of pre-orders and... I dunno... actually fulfill those orders before making announcements of the new hotness.

      It makes no sense to me that they have 2 'custom' cars in the S and X. They've got serious mass-production problems with the 3 - to the point where I'm glad I didn't pre-order since I wouldn't want to be one of the fools expecting it mid-2017 and not get it until 2019. Now they are making waves about a new update on a car?

        If Apple wasn't able to deliver after they got the hype train rolling, they'd be raked over the coals. Sooner or later Tesla's series of broken promises will derail their hype train.

    2. Re:The moral of the story is by apoc.famine · · Score: 1

      Alternatively, Tesla could fulfill the promise it already made to the thousands of pre-orders....

      What makes you think it's not? A poster above noted that he had the option to take his pre-order now, or wait on the dual motor version for later this year. I'm not sure how you made the jump between "new options available" to "not going to make pre-ordered cars".

      --
      Velociraptor = Distiraptor / Timeraptor
    3. Re:The moral of the story is by DrXym · · Score: 1
      Tesla is slowly fulfilling the orders and I have full confidence in time that production will ramp up significantly. It's very likely in time the vehicle will be highly regarded and a classic. But not yet.

      My point is really about the psychology of people who put themselves on a queue to receive an early production vehicle. Tesla isn't exactly noted for its high quality control. Compound that with a stupidly ambitious & unachievable launch schedule and it guaranteed the early vehicles would have problems. Aside from that, EVERY new vehicle platform has problems and it is only after a few years of production improvements in response to service issues & accidents that they become reliable.

      The adage never buy version 1 of anything applies to motor vehicles. In the case of the Model 3, it's more like version 0.99.

  13. Lies, damned lies, and VIN registrations by SlaveToTheGrind · · Score: 1

    Then in February, Tesla registered a new batch of Model 3 VINs, including two dozen Model 3 VINs with the dual motor powertrain. It raised Model 3 reservation holders' hope that the new configuration could soon become available, but now Musk confirmed that it is still a few months away in a series of tweets last night.

    This sort of thing is a perfect example of why I crack up every time someone cites VIN registrations as anything resembling a reasonable proxy of Model 3 production rates. A vehicle corresponding to a given VIN need not be produced in a particularly tight time frame, and, more importantly, need not be produced at all. It's beyond question at this point that Elon [ab]uses the registration process as a PR lever.

  14. Re:July ... by SlaveToTheGrind · · Score: 1

    Except they aren't taking more time than other car manufacturers to get the production line up and running. Musk is just letting optimistic estimates out.

    His pathological penchant for unrealistic estimates really isn't the core of the problem. Musk started actually taking orders for a mass-produced car before he even started working on the production line or even having a clue how long it would realistically take to do that. Other car manufacturers employ what Elon doubtless thinks is an old-fashioned and blinkered technique of selling mass-produced cars after they're actually being mass-produced.

  15. Re:Actually this is a dumb idea. by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

    Easier, but not nearly as cool. If you could turn the steering wheel, they'd all 'donut' quite nicely, might get up to a respectable RPM. But that might inhibit the tires catching fire, which would be OK, enough would get hung up and burn.

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  16. Re:sound nice by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

    Car manufactures? This century? Post Model T?

    On axle hydraulic motors are common. In heavy equipment. Where wheel and tire weight is measured in tons and they have no suspension except the tire sidewall.

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  17. Re:sound nice by Zorpheus · · Score: 1

    Car manufactures? This century? Post Model T?

    Wikipedia tells me that it is used in several newer concept cars. Also in three cars produced in series:
    MW Motors Luka EV
    and from the German wikipedia, the Chinese electric BYD ebus and the Mercedes-Benz Citaro Fuel Cell Hybrid bus.
    The Liebherr T 282B ultra heavy truck also seems to use on axle electric motors.

  18. Re:sound nice by TeknoHog · · Score: 1

    Jesus tits, not this again. Spend a second on wikipedia. 'Unsprung mass'

    I'm not the original AC, but I like to have a wider perspective on things than some 100-year-old tradition of car design. I imagine some people at Tesla have actually considered the pros and cons with an open mind, as they seem pretty innovative in general.

    Electric motors don't have similar scaling issues as ICEs, so it might be a good tradeoff to have one small motor per wheel. I imagine it's a plus when you get rid of a mechanical drive train, along with friction and other losses. (See also: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... and https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...)

    --
    Escher was the first MC and Giger invented the HR department.
  19. Re:sound nice by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

    That's a no. No production cars.

    Do you think there might be a reason for that? Hint: It's upthread, 'unsprung mass'

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  20. Re: sound nice by Zorpheus · · Score: 1

    What? These are all production cars. I did not list any concept car.

  21. Re: sound nice by HornWumpus · · Score: 1

    You listed heavy equipment, buses, concept cars and one that they had made three of.

    'Three' is not production, 'three' is not street legal anywhere. DOT makes you destroy more than three, just to be considered.

    Bet there are golf carts and forklifts too. Also not a production car.

    --
    John McAfee 'It was like that time I hired that Bangkok prostitute; to do my taxes, while I fucked my accountant'
  22. Re: sound nice by Zorpheus · · Score: 1

    Ok I wasn't aware that the definition of "car" is different than that of the common translation to german ("Automobil"), which includes buses and trucks.

  23. The quaint tradition known as physics by radarskiy · · Score: 1

    Unsprung vs sprung weight was literally a homework assignment in an introductory engineering class. It was a toy problem at that, mainly used to teach us how to use the mechanical simulation software.

    You could have done the math yourself.