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Did Octopuses Come From Outer Space?

A scientific paper, originally published in March, from peer-reviewed journal Progress in Biophysics and Molecular Biology has found its way in this week's news-cycle. The paper, which is co-written by 33 authors including molecular immunologist Edward Steele and astrobiologist Chandra Wickramasinghe, suggests that octopuses could be aliens, adding legitimacy to a belief, which otherwise has been debunked several times in the recent years.

An excerpt from the paper, which makes the bold claim: The genetic divergence of Octopus from its ancestral coleoid sub-class is very great ... Its large brain and sophisticated nervous system, camera-like eyes, flexible bodies, instantaneous camouflage via the ability to switch color and shape are just a few of the striking features that appear suddenly on the evolutionary scene. [...] It is plausible then to suggest they [octopuses] seem to be borrowed from a far distant 'future' in terms of terrestrial evolution, or more realistically from the cosmos at large."Ephrat Livni of Quartz questions the basis of the finding: To make matters even more strange, the paper posits that octopuses could have arrived on Earth in "an already coherent group of functioning genes within (say) cryopreserved and matrix protected fertilized octopus eggs." And these eggs might have "arrived in icy bolides several hundred million years ago." The authors admit, though, that "such an extraterrestrial origin...of course, runs counter to the prevailing dominant paradigm." Indeed, few in the scientific community would agree that octopuses come from outer space. But the paper is not just about the provenance of cephalopods. Its proposal that octopuses could be extraterrestrials is just a small part of a much more extensive discussion of a theory called "panspermia," which has its roots in the ideas of ancient Greece. Newsweek spoke with Avi Loeb, the Frank B. Baird Jr. Professor of Science at Harvard University, who told the publication that the paper has raised "an interesting but controversial possibility." However, he added, that it offers no "indisputable proof" that the Cambrian explosion is the result of panspermia.

Further reading: Cosmos magazine has outlined some flaws in the assumptions that the authors made in the paper. It has also looked into the background of some of the authors. The magazine also points out that though the paper has made bold claims, it has yet to find support or corroboration from the scientific community. News outlet Live Science has also questioned the findings.

41 of 256 comments (clear)

  1. No. by jawtheshark · · Score: 5, Informative

    No. Next question!

    --
    Ahhh...the great dumpster continuum. Many a free computer will be found there. -- sowth (748135)
    1. Re:No. by Esteanil · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Seconded. Chandra Wickramasinghe is a one-trick pony whose answer to absolutely everything is panspermia. (life from space)

      --
      I'm a dreamer, the world is my playpen. But hey, I'm a serious person, I can't dream all the time.
    2. Re: No. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      No, the ones that are trained to speak are far too preoccupied filming their tentacle porn scens and really don't want to talk when they're off the clock. Because there's something about work in the industry that can never fill the need to be back home in the ocean crushing tactical subs and sucking out all their sweet, sweet fissile material.

    3. Re:No. by Mike+Frett · · Score: 2

      I agree, no. You would have to say that Cuddle fish came from space too, along with other Octopus-like creatures. Not to mention that Cuddle fish are more intelligent than the Octopus, I mean, what would that say about alien life-forms? =p

    4. Re:No. by ColdWetDog · · Score: 4, Funny

      Cuttle.

      'Cuddle fish' invokes this insane concept. And you don't want to go there.

      Really, you don't.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    5. Re:No. by conquistadorst · · Score: 4, Informative

      Seconded. Chandra Wickramasinghe is a one-trick pony whose answer to absolutely everything is panspermia. (life from space)

      You're not kidding. Not that I doubt panspermia is technically possible, but cryopreserved and matrix protected fertilized octopus eggs? ... I'm trying to picture octopuses gently laying eggs deep inside a bunch of rocks, getting fertilized, frozen, getting hit with an asteroid but not getting destroyed during impact, impacted with such force it throws these rocks up into space, surviving a million/billion-year journey with no degradation in their structure or DNA, surviving yet another asteroid impact this time hitting Earth, and landing on a planet with the same life conditions as their home planet? I'm sorry but I'm finding Noah's ark to be far less challenging to believe than this story.

  2. Nope, you got it wrong. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    "Octopi" would be Latin. But "Octopus" is a Greek word!

    "Octopodes" would be a Greek plural for the word....

    But we don't use that because we are speaking ENGLISH, in which the correct plural is "Octopuses."

    Don't believe me? Google it. Proof comes right up at the top of the results.

    1. Re:Nope, you got it wrong. by Boronx · · Score: 4, Funny

      But in Latin, Octopuses ends in an "i"!

      -- Sean Connery

    2. Re:Nope, you got it wrong. by iNaya · · Score: 4, Insightful

      EVERY LANGUAGE ON EARTH is nothing more than a conglomeration and bastardizations of words from all the other languages around.

      FTFY

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    3. Re:Nope, you got it wrong. by Deadstick · · Score: 2

      For that matter, you can't change just any old Latin singular to plural by changing -us to -i.

    4. Re:Nope, you got it wrong. by Capsaicin · · Score: 4, Informative

      But in Latin, Octopuses ends in an "i"!

      And it is apparently from (scientific) Latin that the word enters the English language. Here's the OED's take:

      Origin: A borrowing from Latin. Etymon: Latin octopus.
      Etymology: < scientific Latin octopus (1758 or earlier in Linnaeus) < ancient Greek ...
      ...
      The plural form octopodes reflects the Greek plural; compare octopod n. The more frequent plural form octopi arises from apprehension of the final -us of the word as the grammatical ending of Latin second declension nouns; this apprehension is also reflected in compounds in octop- : see e.g. octopean adj., octopic adj., octopine adj., etc.

      --
      Better to be despised for too anxious apprehensions, than ruined by too confident a security. --Edmund Burke
    5. Re:Nope, you got it wrong. by grep+-v+'.*'+* · · Score: 5, Funny

      Except for ENGLISH. If Jesus spoke it (how else can we read the bible), then it's good enough for me!

      --
      If the universe is someone's simulation -- does that mean the stars are just stuck pixels?
  3. I don't get it by quantaman · · Score: 5, Insightful

    How does this get through peer review with 33 co-authors? I didn't even take a University level biology course and I can tell it's BS.

    We can look at the DNA and RNA of Octupuses, we can tell we share common ancestors, if Octopuses came from another planet that would be really really obvious.

    WTF? Do they think some Aliens abducted some cuttlefish, cloned them, and then dropped them back on the planet in Octopus form before heading on their way?

    --
    I stole this Sig
    1. Re:I don't get it by john+of+sparta · · Score: 2

      this is what the octopuses told me: DNA is Do Not Argue (with us). RNA is Really? Not Again! and, yes, some of them are cloned. it lessens the amount of HR diversity training.

    2. Re:I don't get it by Baloroth · · Score: 5, Insightful

      The theory would be that all life on Earth derives somewhat from this extra-terrestrial seeding, and that octopuses are simply a manifestation of the sudden appearance of complex properties previously unobserved which were derived from the seeding. That at least has some plausibility, in that it cannot be easily falsified. Or at least I think that'd be the theory, the linked "paper" is rather long and I'm not going to waste my time reading it thoroughly (although I question any "paper" that has in one section a direct quotation from wikipedia on tardigrades...).

      That said, pansperia is a load of crap: it explains nothing about the origin of life (even if life didn't originate on Earth, it had to originate somewhere, can't be turtles all the way down), has little or no scientific motivation (organic molecules are not life), and is (IMO) only really exists at all as a "theory" because it appeals to the sci-fi fan in many scientists.

      --
      "None can love freedom heartily, but good men; the rest love not freedom, but license." --John Milton
    3. Re:I don't get it by quantaman · · Score: 2

      The theory would be that all life on Earth derives somewhat from this extra-terrestrial seeding, and that octopuses are simply a manifestation of the sudden appearance of complex properties previously unobserved which were derived from the seeding. That at least has some plausibility, in that it cannot be easily falsified.

      There's a wisdom to the phrase "use it or lose it". Traits that aren't actively selected for tend to get broken by genetic drift. It would be really hard to implant some Octopus genes in the initial seeding and just have them manifest in operational order in one tiny branch.

      That said, pansperia is a load of crap: it explains nothing about the origin of life (even if life didn't originate on Earth, it had to originate somewhere, can't be turtles all the way down), has little or no scientific motivation (organic molecules are not life), and is (IMO) only really exists at all as a "theory" because it appeals to the sci-fi fan in many scientists.

      I wouldn't entirely agree.

      So right now we have a decent idea for how life could have started, primordial soup and all that. And it seems fairly plausible, but it's also a result of us saying "life began on Earth, this is the most plausible life-forming process that could work on Earth, therefore this is how life started."

      But that's not necessarily the case, there might be other places in the Universe where for some reason it was much easier to life to form, if so panspermia becomes more likely.

      Though I suspect if you go the panspermia route you pretty much have to assume it was either Mars or Aliens. Anywhere else and I don't see how the living cells make it from the super-unusual planet that can create life to the super-unusual planet that can support it.

      --
      I stole this Sig
    4. Re: I don't get it by Hallux-F-Sinister · · Score: 3, Insightful

      The only stew that can be made from this single oyster worth of evidence is that there is an anomaly in how few of the intervening evolutionary steps fossils we have found, which could be explained in a number of ways, such as, off the top of my head, the species undergoing a good deal of evolution in a region where the fossils are not available to be found because the sea floor underneath that has been subducted and those fossils, as any such as may have existed, have rejoined the mantle of the Earth. Or maybe they are there and we just have not found them yet. Frankly, a breathless THEY CAME FROM SPAAACEEEE.... is a telltale sign of intellectual laziness or dishonesty, and it is getting a tad late for all the April 1 foolishness.

      --
      Our reign has gone on long enough. Indeed. Summon the meteors.
    5. Re:I don't get it by dryeo · · Score: 2

      Why couldn't life have started on Venus and migrated here? Best guesses are that Venus was habitable for its first couple of billion of years of existence and it probably had oceans etc much like Earth.

      --
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
    6. Re:I don't get it by Comrade+Ogilvy · · Score: 2

      So right now we have a decent idea for how life could have started, primordial soup and all that. And it seems fairly plausible, but it's also a result of us saying "life began on Earth, this is the most plausible life-forming process that could work on Earth, therefore this is how life started."

      But that's not necessarily the case, there might be other places in the Universe where for some reason it was much easier to life to form, if so panspermia becomes more likely.

      It is quite plausible that Earth is a near optimal location for creating life. Protolife is probably just slime that clings to surfaces and has chemistry that encourages the formation of more and similar slimes, in the particular conditions where there is organic chemistry floating about. Porous rock with warm water, rich with various compounds, nearish volcanic sources that push water and dissolve minerals, what more do you need?

      It is very plausible that there is vastly more bacteria seeping through the crust than life on the surface, when measured by weight. While distribution in the present does prove anything about the origin of life, it does tell you something important about what all places where life might first have appeared really look like. Once you look at it that way, what exactly do non-Earth location really offer?

  4. Re: Betteridged by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Funny

    You should read my enlightening article titled "Can any headline that ends in a question mark be answered by the word no?"

  5. PZ Myers says... by AndyKron · · Score: 2

    Whenever I have a question about our cephalopod superiors I refer to Pharyngula. https://freethoughtblogs.com/p...

  6. utter scientific illiteracy by ooloorie · · Score: 5, Interesting

    To make matters even more strange, the paper posits that octopuses could have arrived on Earth in "an already coherent group of functioning genes within (say) cryopreserved and matrix protected fertilized octopus eggs." And these eggs might have "arrived in icy bolides several hundred million years ago."

    That's utterly ridiculous, as even basic high school science can tell you: there are numerous genes that are common to all animals, including octopuses; many of those evolved on earth long before octopuses. Even the eukaryotic cell itself is an idiosyncratic assembly of bacterial components, membranes, and genomes, something that is shared between octopuses and all other higher animals, and that would simply not have arisen the same way elsewhere.

    The only way this could work is if life in the galaxy were in constant exchange everywhere so that life on all life bearing planets in the galaxy shares the same evolutionary history and that history is synchronized.

    1. Re: utter scientific illiteracy by Hallux-F-Sinister · · Score: 2

      Has the possibility occurred to any of you that the person(s) responsible for this story are trolling us, and LOLing at all the fuss?

      --
      Our reign has gone on long enough. Indeed. Summon the meteors.
  7. O R'lyeh? by fibonacci8 · · Score: 2
    --
    Inheritance is the sincerest form of nepotism.
  8. Ribosomes? Mitochondria? by HiThere · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Check out the specifics of their Ribosomes and the genetic structure of their mitochondria. If those are near standard, then the answer has to be no. If they're wildly at variance with everyone else, I'll consider the possibility.

    Even then, it would take considerable proof, because the encoding of amino acids by RNA looks as if it should be arbitrary. (This is actually a sub-comment under "specifics of their Ribosomes", but it's significant enough that I thought it rated a separate mention.)

    --

    I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
  9. But, why though? by locater16 · · Score: 2

    Intelligent alien 1: "Hey, lets shoot these kind of intelligent animal eggs at a habitable planet and make sure they land safely so they'll spread there!"
    Intelligent alien 2: "Dude, why?"
    Intelligent alien 1: "Cause it's a fun prank! C'mon, don't be a buzzkill."

  10. The Galiio Comparioson by rknop · · Score: 4, Insightful

    In the linked Cosmos article there is this quote from one of the authors:

    The situation is reminiscent to the problem Galileo had with the Catholic priests of his time – most refused to look through his telescope to observe the moons of Jupiter.

    Obviously, this doesn't prove anything, but I like to say that "everybody who's wrong thinks he's Galileo". Referring to the Galileo affair is among science crackpoterry something like Godwin's law in Internet discussions

    1. Re:The Galiio Comparioson by Proudrooster · · Score: 2

      Yes, and the crackpot list is long. Just look at Louis De Broglie, the prince of quantum. His thesis was first laughed at and dismissed by the greats like Bohr. It was't until it was handed to Einstein and he read it, realizing it was brilliant, that it ever was accepted. De Broglie had to fight hard against the accepted orthodoxy in the accepted model, but it turns out, he moved the ball forward.

      https://www.encyclopedia.com/p...

    2. Re:The Galiio Comparioson by Deadstick · · Score: 2

      ...and they were right about Columbus.

  11. I'm not saying it's aliens by Spy+Handler · · Score: 2

    ...

    but it's aliens

    -The Authors

  12. I Read the Paper And Looked Up Some Key References by careysub · · Score: 5, Insightful

    From the linked LiveScience commentary:

    Other researchers were not quick to embrace this theory. "There's no question, early biology is fascinating — but I think this, if anything, is counterproductive," Ken Stedman, a virologist and professor of biology at Portland State University, told Live Science. "Many of the claims in this paper are beyond speculative, and not even really looking at the literature."

    For example, Stedman said, the octopus genome was mapped in 2015. While it indeed contained many surprises, one relevant finding was that octopus nervous system genes split from the squid's only around 135 million years ago — long after the Cambrian explosion.

    Well, this is looks to be a problem for this hypothesis.

    So I decided to look into this a bit more so I downloaded the paper (which was in "accepted manuscript form" not as published paper) and look up some of its references. A key one is cited in the paper as (Liscovitch-Brauer et al 2017), for which the actual citation reference does not exist in the manuscript. I did find the paper though: Cell. 2017 Apr 6;169(2):191-202.e11. doi: 10.1016/j.cell.2017.03.025, "Trade-off between Transcriptome Plasticity and Genome Evolution in Cephalopods"

    It includes this helpful paragraph (without the Wickramasinghe mumbo-jumbo inserted in the discussion):

    Cephalopods are diverse and can be divided into the behaviorally complex coleoids, consisting of squid, cuttlefish, and octopus, and the more primitive nautiloids. In this paper we show that in neural transcriptomes extensive A-to-I RNA editing is observed in the behaviorally complex coleoid cephalopods but not in nautilus. The edited transcripts are translated into protein isoforms with modified functional properties. By comparing editing across coleoid taxa, we found that, unlike the case for mammals, many sites are highly conserved across the lineage and undergo positive selection, resulting in a sizable slow-down of coleoid genome evolution.

    So the cephalopods are quite unusual, with a different approach to evolution starting with the cuttlefish (long before the octopus) with RNA editing taking precedence over DNA modification for evolution. This is very interesting.

    The Liscovitch-Brauer paper also helpfully explains:

    Cephalopods emerged in the late Cambrian period, roughly at 530 million years ago (mya), and the divergence of nautiloids from coleoides is estimated to have occurred at 350–480 mya. The coleoides diverged to Vampyropoda (octopus lineage) and the Decabrachia (squid and cuttlefish lineage) at 200–350 mya. Divergence of squid from Sepiida is estimated to have occurred at 120–220 mya.

    So, a different approach to adapting to evolutionary pressure developed in the coleoides 350–480 mya (i.e. after splitting off from the nautoloids), which is 50-100 million years after the end of the Cambrian, and 60-110 million years after the Cambrian explosion (541 mya), and was in existence by the time that squid and octopus line separated (200-350 mya after the Cambrian explosion).

    This is an enormous span of time, and no reason to suppose that alien genes imported at the Cambrian explosion started showing up in coleoides well over 100 million years later. Where were they hiding all that time?

    The Wickramasinghe paper cites this anomalous biology of cephaloides, and then jumps to the conclusion "therefore aliens (maybe)".

    They got their paper published, but I don't buy it.

    --
    Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
  13. look, I'm not an expert but . . . by swell · · Score: 2

    I have actually *seen* an octopus (well a picture of one). Hey, it's pretty obvious they are alien. Anyone in *your* family look like that? Them little buggers are just waitin' for the Trump wars to wipe us out and they will take over the earth.

    Oh, you have doubts? Well no less an authority than the Simpsons people will straighten you out. Check out Kang and Kodos on Wikipaedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... (have you had your rectal probe today?)

    --
    ...omphaloskepsis often...
  14. Re:Anything not accepted by the echo chamber is cr by Antique+Geekmeister · · Score: 3, Interesting

    > It never hurts to re-explore and think different.

    I's a waste of time and resources to think differently for an extended period when the "thinking differently" produces no insights. I've examined the TED Talk you referred to. I'm afraid that it's horrible. I'm afraid that there was not even a single 6 minute period, anywhere in his talk, in which he did not commit the "straw man" logical fallacy.

    I agree that re-examining assumptions, and revisiting underlying assumptions, can be invaluable. There are too many situations where the opacity of a layer of abstraction have concealed a critical factor in my career and in my own fields of expertise. But just because an idea violates a long-held belief is not a reason to _support_ it, unless it provides testable or verifiable predictions, predictions that are superior to those of the existing approach.

  15. Re: NO by thomst · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The real question is, "Did Slashdot's editors come from the Weekly World News ... ?"

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    Check out my novel.
  16. Re:Ribosomes? Mitochondria? by Xest · · Score: 2

    Octopus, cuttlefish, squid, and nautilus are all related as cephalopods. They are in the same phylum as snails and slugs on land, and things like nudibranchs underwater,

    Their ancestors are things like ammonites, and it really shouldn't take a genius to spot how ammonites and nautilus could be related, and whilst I accept convergent evolution can trick the eye when trying to judge descendants, it's not merely convergent evolution in this case.

    So we basically have a fossil record going right back to the beginning for octopus and their closely related cousins along with a a healthy fossil record - I could literally drive to a coast line like Plymouth in the UK right now and find an ammonite fossil or imprint in about an hour or two of arrival. In fact, I suspect we have a more complete fossil record for cephalopods and their ancestors such as ammonites than we do for humans.

    Octopus are weirdly intelligent compared to much other life on earth, though I've always found them incredibly shy (and boring) in the wild. Much more interesting are cuttlefish and squid that will actually swim up to you, staring at you curiously, trying to understand you. If you approach they'll back away, staying never less than a meter from you, but if you back off they'll stay close to you, watching you. It's a clear form of intelligence that you just don't see in much else in the wild other than things like apes and whales. But we're also weirdly intelligent, and that doesn't make us alien, it just makes evolution an awesome force of nature.

  17. What about plants? by Gabest · · Score: 2

    They are very different than animals, and just suspiciously stand around doing nothing all day.

  18. Re:yes. by gtall · · Score: 3, Funny

    For myself, I think octopuses are a dead giveaway that the Flying Spaghetti Monster has been punking us.

  19. Re:Ribosomes? Mitochondria? by Xest · · Score: 3, Interesting

    All too often though, like dogs, it's a taught behaviour by local dive guides, and divers. You see a similar thing with sharks- normally they want nothing to do with you and the most you'll see is the silhouette of one at the edge of visibility in the water. When you see video of sharks interacting with divers and brushing against them it's typically because of them having been baited and trained to associate divers with chum.

    For what it's worth, I've even seen French angelfish trained to interact with people. A lady called Dee Scarr in Bonaire had a pair she'd trained which would approach her specifically when she entered the water and swam to the area they would hang around, but much as with the sharks and chum she did this by feeding them. People have done similar things with moray eels and the like, and lost their fingers as a result, such as the guy who had his thumb bitten off because a large moray mistook it for the sausage the guy would always feed it.

    Ocean animals that will interact of their own free will with no training often include mammals - seals, sea lions, dolphins. You can witness this because even newly born seals who would not have seen people before will approach and play with humans. In fact, it's the older bulls that are basically horse sized (minus the legs) and could snap a human in two that prefer to keep their distance.

    Then as I say there's the squid and cuttlefish, the reason I see these as being more interesting than my experience with octopodes so far is that the behaviours I see - the following and observation of people from a distance, would seem like a hard thing to train, but not only that, but I've witnessed many times across the globe. As such it would seem unlikely this curiosity they show would have been trained into so many different specimens across the globe - in contrast given the tourist draw of octopus interactions, and the relative ease of training that I believe it's more often likely to be a taught trait. This doesn't mean I think the naturally curious octopus is a myth, I think they're more than capable of it, but I think it's a relatively rare thing, at least far more so than the often sold idea that octopus will always just come right upto you and play with you - that's fundamentally not true (and probably a good thing, we don't need people dying to blue ringed octopus because it got frisky and bit them when they were playing with it).

    The other interesting thing about squid and cuttlefish is that they'll try and communicate with you by flashing various colours at you when they approach you, or also if you move your fingers about, such as mimicking their attack pose by lifting your middle 3 fingers and lowering your thumb and little finger. They see this as their attack pose and will match it quite often. It's still very basic, but it's much more non-trivial communication than you get with many other species.

  20. Alien Language by Roger+W+Moore · · Score: 2

    A Greek word with Latin endings? Sounds as implausible as the octopus evolving on Earth. Clearly, the word we use for them come from outer space too.

  21. Re:Fascinating! by rgbatduke · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Well said. And anyone who takes issue with it has only to look at almost 60 years worth of papers that "proved" that fat in our diets was causing heart disease and high cholesterol, a "fact" that just happened to make major industries in the US that are huge political donors lots of money. Or any number of other scientific claims that were sufficiently entrenched that it took at least years, maybe decades, for science to self-correct, even without a trillion dollars a year or so at stake.

    It's not that AGW is "false" -- there is good support for some warming of the surface from increased CO2, in straight up physics, around 1 C per doubling of CO2, all things being equal. The trouble is that they aren't equal. The Earth's climate is a chaotic process, and it is pretty reasonable to doubt the predictive models attempting to integrate the Navier-Stokes double-coupled system on a spinning, tilted oblate spheroid covered irregularly with continents and oceans and mountains and warmed in a complex way in its evolving elliptical orbit by a somewhat variable star as far as "predictions" of things like water vapor feedback and changes in the global conveyor belt carrying oceanic heat around and atmospheric flow patterns, especially when the models are started with "arbitrary" initial conditions (since nobody has any idea what the actual state of the atmosphere and ocean is at anything like the granularity of the models, which is still 30 orders of magnitude greater than the Kolmogorov scale), run to produce a spectrum of possible futures, averaged and then superaveraged without regard to weighting, and then turned into a "prediction" that is supposed to carry more political weight then the lives and fortunes of all of those affected by the enormously expensive measures taken to ameliorate a future "catastrophe" that nobody can actually quite measure as being truly catastrophic.

    There are also inconvenient facts that are quietly ignored during the public debate by supporters of AGW as a "catastrophe". One is that roughly 1/7th of the Earth's population is eating today thanks to the roughly 15% increase in growth rate of C3 respiring plants due to the increase in CO2 in Earth's CO2-starved atmosphere (the minimum CO2 during the coldest part of the Wisconsin glaciation dropped to just over the partial pressure required to prevent mass extinction of whole classes of respiring plants). That the Earth was coming out of the little Ice Age about the time we started really burning things for energy and gradually ramping up CO2, and that while too hot isn't great, too cold is TRULY a disaster for the breadbasket temperate zone for the planet, and isn't particularly good for the ecology, either, and is often accompanied by massive global droughts.

    The point is that the climate is changing, and has always been changing. The notion that the Earth's climate is in any sense whatsoever a stationary process is a myth, a myth caused by the comparatively short "memory" of living humans compared to the timescales of change. The Earth is large enough that there are always climate/weather extremes happening somewhere on the surface, and if you look for them and report them as "news", you cannot avoid conveying the impression of disastrous change. It requires careful statistical analysis to detect anything like real change, and even then the statistics provides no reliable means of attributing cause, not in a chaotic model that has huge natural fluctuations year to year, month to month, week to week. It's a cherrypicker's paradise, an open invitation for confirmation bias to run amok, without the slightest possibility of a double blind experiment or observation that isn't multiply confounded by impossibly complex dynamics.

    This is a case where in the long run, the entire debate likely will not matter. As solar technology continues to improve and become cheaper (including storage options and more efficient, cheaper cells) pure economics is going to drive a gradual abandonment of burning

    --
    Even when the experts all agree, they may well be mistaken. --- Bertrand Russell.
  22. Re:Fascinating! by Dread_ed · · Score: 2

    Take it as Machiavelli's reverse engineering of Maslow's hierarchy, with the goal of rooting the political consciousness in the age of Instant Bullshit (formerly known as the information age.)

    When you have the means to push a message over a wide enough sector of the news-space, and that message intersects plausibly with survival instincts, you have your "Step 2," where "Step 3: Profit" is the ultimate conclusion.

    No one in the US ever went broke selling fear to the American people, especially when you give those people fiat to dominate, control, ostracize, and silence the speech of those who think differently. They get a free shot at getting wasted on fear and stress chemicals, but that's just the prelude to the mother of all drugs. Being "right," with the approval of your peers, having a "mandate" to take action because X (survival of the species, da kidz, teh oppressdeded, whatevvs) is sooooo important, gleefully forcing others to bend to your will, and reveling in torturing those who will not bend to your will. That shit makes heroin look like baby food.

    --
    When the only tool you have is a claw hammer every problem starts to look like the back of someone's skull.