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Mary Meeker's 2018 Internet Trends Report (recode.net)

Mary Meeker has published her anticipated internet trends report of 2018. This year, the Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers partner released 284 slides in rapid succession, covering everything from smartphone behavior in the U.S. to tech company competition in China. Some takeaways: 1. 2017 was the first year in which smartphone unit shipments didn't grow at all. As more of the world become smartphone owners, growth has been harder and harder to come by. The same goes for internet user growth, which rose 7 percent in 2017, down from 12 percent the year before. With more than half the world online, there are fewer people left to connect.
2. People, however, are still increasing the amount of time they spend online. U.S. adults spent 5.9 hours per day on digital media in 2017, up from 5.6 hours the year before. Some 3.3 of those hours were spent on mobile, which is responsible for overall growth in digital media consumption.
3. Despite the high-profile releases of $1,000 iPhones and Samsung Galaxy Notes, the global average selling price of smartphones is continuing to decline.
4. Mobile payments are becoming easier to complete. China continues to lead the rest of the world in mobile payment adoption, with over 500 million active mobile payment users in 2017.
5. Voice-controlled products like Amazon Echo are taking off. The Echo's installed base in the U.S. grew from 20 million in the third quarter of 2017 to more than 30 million in the fourth quarter.
6. Tech companies are facing a "privacy paradox." They're caught between using data to provide better consumer experiences and violating consumer privacy.
The most popular courses on learning platform Coursera last year were (in descending order): Machine Learning (Stanford), Neural Networks & Deeper Learning (Deeplearning.ai), Learning How to Learn: Powerful Mental Tools to Help You Master Tough Subjects (UC San Diego), Introduction to Mathematical Thinking (Stanford), Bitcoin & Cryptocurrency Technologies (Princeton), Programming for Everybody (University of Michigan), Algorithms, Part I (Princeton), English for Career Development (University of Pennsylvania), Neural Networks / Machine Learning (University of Toronto), and Financial Markets (Yale).

16 of 33 comments (clear)

  1. Who? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Funny

    Who's Mary Meeker? And why should I care what some parasite organization thinks?

    1. Re:Who? by NoNonAlphaCharsHere · · Score: 1

      Give it as much creedence as you would "Gartner predicts...".

    2. Re:Who? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Give it as much creedence...

      Okay. I'll start with "Susie Q" and "Bad Moon Rising."

      The remix version of "Proud Mary (Meeker)" never did live up to the original, did it?

  2. I always wonder... by argStyopa · · Score: 4, Insightful

    ...how much of this is GENUINE analysis, how much is wish-fulfillment, and how much is just telling companies what they want to hear?

    5. Voice-controlled products like Amazon Echo are taking off. The Echo's installed base in the U.S. grew from 20 million in the third quarter of 2017 to more than 30 million in the fourth quarter. ....and that's it. I understand early-adopters will try anything, but I'm astonished that ANYONE wants what amounts to a live, recording surveillance device in their home.

    6. Tech companies are facing a "privacy paradox." They're caught between using data to provide better consumer experiences and violating consumer privacy. ....you mean they're caught between their BUSINESS PLAN (which included the monetization of private data) and violating consumer privacy?

    --
    -Styopa
    1. Re:I always wonder... by iMadeGhostzilla · · Score: 1

      Stock analysts aren't necessarily in the business of predicting future, rather they package and solidify existing "common sense" expectations of the market so that the actual business of investing and trading can go smoothly, until it doesn't.

    2. Re:I always wonder... by war4peace · · Score: 3

      YOU would be astonished by what many people do, because YOU know better. People, in general, don't know any better regarding a multitude of things, from sex to education to alcohol to entourage.
      Alexa privacy is somewhere close to the bottom of the pile.

      --
      ...gis sdrawkcab (usually not responding to ACs; don't bother posting as AC)
  3. Privacy paradox my foot by hackertourist · · Score: 2

    Very few companies use my data to provide better consumer experiences. Amazon used to be one with its book recommendations. The majority just sell my data to the highest bidder instead.

    1. Re:Privacy paradox my foot by kbonin · · Score: 1

      Exactly - "provide better consumer experiences" is the modern euphemism / weasel words for "monetize everything we can which since it pays our bills and stockholders which in part will be used to 'provide better consumer experiences'".

  4. Re:Zero people want #5 by fluffernutter · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Pretty hard to sell 30 million of something that no one wants.

    --
    Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
  5. Reasons by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 2

    People, however, are still increasing the amount of time they spend online.

    That's not something to celebrate. :-(

    China continues to lead the rest of the world in mobile payment adoption

    Sure. One more way to track their citizens.

    Voice-controlled products like Amazon Echo are taking off.

    Sure. One more way to track our citizens. :-(

    Tech companies are facing a "privacy paradox." They're caught between using data to enhance their profits and violating consumer privacy.

    Fixed that for you. :-(

  6. Re:Zero people want #5 by fluffernutter · · Score: 2

    Yup you're right. Ah the power of marketing. 30 million devices that are destined for a Thailand landfill in 2 years.

    --
    Laws are rules for the court, but merely a bottom bar to hit for life. Think beyond laws in your actions always.
  7. Re:Zero people want #5 by known_coward_69 · · Score: 1

    so for years i hear how tech needs to follow star trek. voice commands finally become popular and people don't want them

  8. Re: So neural now me by brilanon8181 · · Score: 1, Offtopic

    Ahem "amorphism" Just made a kind of bird looking dude these few connections from his vertically Center left side visual system above the vertically lower right side body of bird I see which is his conversation that, song generator Sarah. West Penn Power connections to the finer I hear a sound, to the vertically higher on my right side visual cortex YT Lil Wayne these two up lines He's supposed to have a partner but I was really exacting and laborious will putting together and I ended up with only him. 43 neurons... Now these seven different views of my camera each go to a copy of invented visual cortex component so, that is like the face of the bird I was amused to see. So in life sessions with this Guy where we see what he like or you got interested in... I can change his rhythm making one myself or try to get him to know I'm there sort of. So you know, these are like emergent properties that are characteristic on this Viking capacitor... all different wiring plans will sort of stop and watch when sense data that is changing a lot, like a negative correlation between entropy of input and output where high entropy input causes entropy drop in motor activith.. . otherwise Karma it strikes me that neural Nets characteristically conceal the entropy of their sensors. So I want a learning rule that lays in computationally usable lessons about sense input and firing. Perhaps just updating the what is the Super Future that will wow. Wow that worth while they were famous^H^H^H^H^H^H Perhaps just updating the neural net by hand hand every frame of time, manually to make sure it does know about what happens to it Etc f u c k i n hard to get text into this right now too much calluses on my fingertips from handbraid that little real robots have driven answer which are controlled by thoughts, so someone thinking how much it hurts will cause them to cook the nerves in my wrist that much. Then you show a lot of fart on skin on the hands...... Ssorey Scientology makes me hit the wrong key and fuck up... Regardless! Human selection sure is economical! I do use it instead of a random walk mutation regime or any Bayesian or stochastic regime... Thanks

  9. Re: So neural now me by losfromla · · Score: 1

    What the fuck are you on? How and where do I buy some?

    --
    Only I can judge you.
  10. Re:Zero people want #5 by nebaz · · Score: 1

    It would be one thing if we had enough computing power to analyze everything locally and send nothing back to the cloud for analysis/archival purposes. People would love voice commands if there were no privacy issues.

    --
    Rhymes that keep their secrets will unfold behind the clouds.There upon the rainbow is the answer to a neverending story
  11. The iPhone X is an outlier. by shm · · Score: 1

    The big markets are India and China and android is big there.

    When you can pick up a Oneplus 6 for 1/3rd the price of an X, with the same feature set (on paper), no one in rational price sensitive market would buy a luxury phone.

    I'm a long term iPhone user but paying a premium for no headphone jack? Forget it.