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Cost To Build a Tesla Model 3 Is $28,000, German Engineers Say (www.wiwo.de)
Rei writes: An interesting report came out the other day from Germany, where an engineering firm purchased four Tesla Model 3s on the grey market to study on behalf of an anonymous major German auto manufacturer. Among their key findings: due in part to a huge reduction in cobalt in the batteries (2.8% in the cathodes versus a typical 8%) and a number of simplifications, the parts cost of a Model 3 (in units of 10,000 vehicles per week) is estimated at $18,000, along with $10,000 in production costs. Note that the teardown was for the long-range version with the premium upgrades package.
On Reddit, users with access to the full report added further details. The 75kWh battery is 40% of the components cost ($7,200); the interior is completely symmetric (facilitating RHD); there are only 4 kinds of screws used in the underbody (a typical German luxury manufacturer uses 40); many parts of the car are designed specifically so as to be easier for robots to grab; and the battery pack is harder to remove than on the S/X (e.g. not battery swap capable). After studying the individual components, they concluded that German EV manufacturers would not be capable of producing a similar vehicle at this point in time. Asked on Twitter whether Musk agreed with their price conclusions at a rate of 10,000 vehicles per week, Musk replied: "Definitely." That said, Tesla is still in the process of moving from 3,500 to 5,000-6,000 per week by the end of this quarter, and is not expected to reach 10,000 vehicles per week until next year.
On Reddit, users with access to the full report added further details. The 75kWh battery is 40% of the components cost ($7,200); the interior is completely symmetric (facilitating RHD); there are only 4 kinds of screws used in the underbody (a typical German luxury manufacturer uses 40); many parts of the car are designed specifically so as to be easier for robots to grab; and the battery pack is harder to remove than on the S/X (e.g. not battery swap capable). After studying the individual components, they concluded that German EV manufacturers would not be capable of producing a similar vehicle at this point in time. Asked on Twitter whether Musk agreed with their price conclusions at a rate of 10,000 vehicles per week, Musk replied: "Definitely." That said, Tesla is still in the process of moving from 3,500 to 5,000-6,000 per week by the end of this quarter, and is not expected to reach 10,000 vehicles per week until next year.
That's huge. Last weekend I helped a friend replace the motor in his 1993 Toyota, and IIRC there were 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 17, 19, and 21 mm bolts plus several different other Phillips screw sizes. Better than GM which my friend had to buy several sizes of Torx drivers or my other friend that has a Harley we replaced a clutch on that needed a couple of exotic Torx drivers that we couldn't find locally. T25 was too loose and T27 wouldn't fit in one of the bolts. He also replaced one of the heads on it, and the special Torx driver from Snapon was more expensive than he paid for the used head!
Sounds reasonable. Keep in mind that the $28K is just parts and labor. It does not include a share of fixed costs -- overhead, debt servicing, operating costs, taxes ... etc. My experience with that sort of accounting is tangential (IANAA) and not really applicable to mass manufacturing. But the costs of running a business tend to be pretty impressive.
You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
there are only 4 kinds of screws used in the underbody (a typical German luxury manufacturer uses 40); many parts of the car are designed specifically so as to be easier for robots to grab; and the battery pack is harder to remove than on the S/X (e.g. not battery swap capable).
The screw thing is awesome. As someone who has done a transmission swap on an Audi A8, I can tell you that it is a truly massive improvement for the technician.
When robots install parts, they are always designed to be installed by robots. That's how it's done.
The battery pack on the Model S was installed partially with adhesives, so....
"You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
This could be the reason why "Tesla is still in the process of moving from 3,500 to 5,000-6,000 per week by the end of this quarter".
Basically they might be stockpiling cars until after the next quarter starts (July) so that the maximum number of buyers can take advantage of the full tax credit.