Slashdot Mirror


SpaceX Delays Plans To Send Space Tourists To Circle Moon (cnet.com)

SpaceX will reportedly no longer be sending a pair of space tourists to circle the moon this year. The flight was scheduled for late 2018, but has been delayed, according to The Wall Street Journal. The reason for the delay is unclear. CNET reports: The flight was announced in February 2017, with SpaceX saying that two unidentified private citizens had put down a "significant deposit" for the trip and that other flight teams had expressed interest in taking a similar journey. The plan was for the tourists to fly on a Dragon Crew spacecraft launched from Earth by a Falcon Heavy rocket.

"SpaceX is still planning to fly private individuals on a trip around the moon and there is growing interest from many customers," company spokesman James Gleeson wrote in a statement. "Private spaceflight missions, including a trip around the moon, present an opportunity for humans to return to deep space and to travel faster and farther into the solar system than any before them, which is of course an important milestone as we work toward our ultimate goal to help make humanity multi-planetary."

124 comments

  1. Waiting on NASA by im_thatoneguy · · Score: 2

    Latest estimated date for SpaceX's first NASA manned test flight is January 2019.

    Makes sense that SpaceX won't fly private passengers on Dragon 2 in 2018 before NASA approves the vehicle for flight and sends up their own test astronauts.

    1. Re:Waiting on NASA by kbonin · · Score: 0

      NASA is probably trying to delay certification of any manned SpaceX flights until its corporate masters at ULA get their SLS/Orion certified. Be interesting to see how much longer NASA stretches this out. Makes me sad, NASA today is not the NASA I looked up to as a kid...

    2. Re:Waiting on NASA by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      You would not say that if you knew someone who worked on the lunar module program. NASA was no picnic back then, either.

      I guess Heinlein was right, when he wrote about an entrepreneur running a successful space program. In fairness to NASA, they had to do all they did first, before this was possible.

    3. Re:Waiting on NASA by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      In fairness to NASA, they had to do all they did first, before this was possible.

      As a proxy war with the Soviet Union, the space race was WAY better than a real war.

      But otherwise it violated the basic principle of sharpening your ax before cutting down the tree. We should have spent the first decade pouring billions into better computers, better alloys, better robotics, better polymers, etc. before shooting for the moon.

      Fifty years later, we are finally getting close to the point where going to the moon actually makes sense.

    4. Re:Waiting on NASA by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 3, Insightful

      We should have spent the first decade pouring billions into better computers, better alloys, better robotics, better polymers, etc. before shooting for the moon.

      And Ferdinand Magellan should have waited for inertial navigation.

      Of course, that's silly. A good deal of technology was developed for Apollo, including the integrated circuit. But you could say the same thing today - that we need to develop better technology before we should consider such a mission - that you could have said in 1960. At some point you have to go and that generally happens as soon as it's first possible.

    5. Re:Waiting on NASA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "A good deal of technology was developed for Apollo, including the integrated circuit. "

      I'm going to stop you right there. That particular bit of shit pops up over and over with you Space Nutters. It's simply NOT TRUE.

      It's a LIE.

      You are a LIAR.

      NASA was a *USER* of technology that was ALREADY BEING DEVELOPED, either by private enterprise or straight up military research.

      Is your position so weak you have to LIE?

    6. Re: Waiting on NASA by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      Sorry bud, I know you don't like it that way, but those were the very first integrated circuits in the Apollo guidance computer.

    7. Re: Waiting on NASA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      LIke I said, NASA *used* them, they certainly didn't invent them, and no one sat down and said "gee, the human race needs to live on a dead rock so let's invent ICs"!

      You are a still a LIAR, a revisionist FRAUD, and intellectually bankrupt huckster.

    8. Re: Waiting on NASA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Here you go, you massive fraud

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      Military. Came first.

      Now can you please stop with your dishonest lying propaganda crap? Go back to promoting your puffed up ego with your silly software.

      Leave the hardware and history to the adults.

    9. Re:Waiting on NASA by Gavagai80 · · Score: 1

      Crew Dragon has not yet flown. You're complaining about NASA not certifying something that hasn't flown? Their requirement to fly a few missions in the same configuration seems perfectly reasonable to me, and perfectly reasonable to SpaceX too.

      --
      This space intentionally left blank
    10. Re: Waiting on NASA by dcw3 · · Score: 2

      I'm not seeing that...

      Jack Kilby's original integrated circuit
      Newly employed by Texas Instruments, Kilby recorded his initial ideas concerning the integrated circuit in July 1958, successfully demonstrating the first working integrated example on 12 September 1958.[11] In his patent application of 6 February 1959,[12] Kilby described his new device as "a body of semiconductor material wherein all the components of the electronic circuit are completely integrated."[13] The first customer for the new invention was the US Air Force.[14]

      --
      Just another day in Paradise
    11. Re:Waiting on NASA by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If you read the source code used on Apollo, there's a comment that goes something like "Temporary! I hope hope hope!"

      But the code it refers to wasn't replaced, and it got men to the moon.

      Sometimes you just have to strap yourself in, light the gigantic roman candle, and hope the staging is correct. Godspeed, Jebediah, enjoy the Mun.

    12. Re: Waiting on NASA by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      Kirby and Texas Instruments couldn't sell their integrated circuits, so they don't count. ICs were developed for the Apollo guidannce computer.

    13. Re: Waiting on NASA by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      TI and Kirby actually could not sell their ICs. Besides, the IC that Kirby patented wasn't monolithic, so it's not a real IC. That was invented by Intel. The Apollo guidance computer was the first practical application of integrated circuits and drove their development.

    14. Re: Waiting on NASA by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      Fairchild, not Intel. Sold and spun off again three times, so although the name belongs to On Semiconductor, it doesn't really exist any longer.

    15. Re:Waiting on NASA by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      We should have spent the first decade pouring billions into better computers, better alloys, better robotics, better polymers, etc. before shooting for the moon.
      Why? the alloys proved good enough. What could they have improved?
      The computing power of the moon orbiter, lander and return vehicle combined was less than a washing machine in the late 1990s had. And that was enough: why having better (more advanced) computers when the ones ad hand were fully adequate?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    16. Re:Waiting on NASA by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      If someone is "misinformed" it is not a lie, you moron.

      If I lie to you and tell you my local temperature is -15C and you tell your mother, you did not lie to your mother, you just repeated what I told you, idiot.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    17. Re: Waiting on NASA by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      Unfortunately you are wrong, which you easy could google, but your parent is an idiot nevertheless.

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  2. Color me surprised by OneHundredAndTen · · Score: 1

    How many tourists have already made it to low-earth orbit? And some were already talking about orbiting hotels. The technology is there - the economics is not.

    1. Re:Color me surprised by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I would pay ELEVNTY BAJILLION DOLLARS for this...so yes, the economics is there you stupid fuck.

    2. Re:Color me surprised by RhettLivingston · · Score: 1

      I don't think the price tag was ever mentioned. One multi-billionaire willing to shell out a billion plus can change those economics in a heartbeat. If they are that much of an enthusiast, it is likely that the only thing holding them back from spending their whole wad is the desire to do it more than once or to eventually join an underground Moon or Mars colony.

    3. Re: Color me surprised by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I am you from the future!

    4. Re:Color me surprised by OneHundredAndTen · · Score: 1

      The billion plus would certainly help, but would not guarantee anything. If will take far more than a few billion to develop a technology that will supersede the current one to lift stuff to LEO and beyond, while doing it at a cost affordable to the masses. The very rich can currently buy themselves a ticket, as it has already happened. But, that's it. As long as it all hinges on chemical rockets, only the very, very few with very, very deep pockets will be able to do this. The economics is not there, because neither the technology nor the science know how to pull it off affordably.

    5. Re:Color me surprised by RhettLivingston · · Score: 1

      I was talking about a billion plus for a single ride, not to get the masses to orbit. As to how much it would help, it is more than enough to fully pay for the development of SpaceX's Dragon 2. This is why we are entering the age of commercial manned space travel. The costs are now within the range of the resources of some individuals to fully fund not only flights, but the development.

      As to your expansion of the subject, I doubt we will ever achieve affordability for the billions of people in our "masses" to go beyond LEO. We might reach 10 million in total over the next 200 years. Costs won't be the limiting factor.

      If we get to a few tens of thousands, we will sustainably colonize other worlds. Their growth will then come from within, not from Earth. They will grow separate and resist our continued exploitation of their worlds.

      Yes, past immigration waves were larger and sustained longer, even to today. But immigration across space is more easily detected and defended against by those already on site.

      Both epigenetic and intentional adaptation to these new worlds will happen faster and be more extensive than adaptation from one Earth region to another. They will diverge in ways that give them supremacy versus newcomers in their new environment in no more than a couple of generations. Then the gates close.

  3. No government subsidies? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Liability? Radiation? No manned test flights?

    1. Re:No government subsidies? by GumphMaster · · Score: 1

      The radiation exposure issue was well sorted during the Apollo missions and the dose clearly did not kill the astronauts within a period of decades. The trans-lunar trajectory was specifically designed to avoid spending significant time in the van Allen radiation zone. There was quite a detailed analysis available until late last year some time but now only in the archives: https://web.archive.org/web/20...

      --
      Patent litigation: A doctrine of Mutually Assured Destruction... in which everyone seems willing to push the button
    2. Re:No government subsidies? by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Liability?

      Liability is only an issue for the first 90 seconds. After that, they are outside of American legal jurisdiction.

    3. Re: No government subsidies? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Elon doesnâ(TM)t need any testing or QA or any of,that junk.

      Thatâ(TM)s what the public and his customers are for! The customers even pay to get killed by his vehicles.

    4. Re:No government subsidies? by murdocj · · Score: 1

      ah, just like there's no liability with ocean going vessels or planes, got it.

    5. Re:No government subsidies? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There can be a waiver for that.

    6. Re:No government subsidies? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      There's considerably less.

      As an example, the Whale Wars people filmed themselves attempting to damage otehr ships by dropping propeller fowling nets and didn't get their asses sued. That'd be about like dropping caltrops in front of someone's driveway in more familiar terms.

  4. They all deserve to die. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This isn't tourism, this is SPACE TRAVEL. The difference being casually disregarded to sell tickets does not change the physics or risks.

  5. Duh by sexconker · · Score: 4, Funny

    Can't have the masses finding out the Earth is flat.

    1. Re:Duh by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      For this reason, God sends them a powerful delusion so that they will believe the lie.

  6. Re:I'm shocked by DaHat · · Score: 1

    How does it not make sense? People with large amounts of disposable money have been buying tickets to ISS for years, and before that Mir... and that largley through the so recently communist Russian's eager to take their money.

    Given the delays in full on use of Falcon Heavy, is it really so surprising that they would delay manned use? Let alone tourist use?

  7. Old news by phillip.stewart · · Score: 1

    I'll have to look, but this has been known for months.

    1. Re:Old news by phillip.stewart · · Score: 1

      SpaceX no longer planning crewed missions on Falcon Heavy by Jeff Foust — February 5, 2018 http://spacenews.com/spacex-no...

  8. Re:I'm shocked by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    3d printing a solid fuel rocket would make a lot of sense if you can keep the strength to weight ratio up. Laying down the solid fuel and the structure together could have some advantages. Even if only the ability to build in situ to avoid complexities of transportation.

  9. I know why. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    It's the auto pilot.

  10. Why is this there? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This doesn't look like a tesla circlejerk story. Why is it on slashdot?

  11. SpaceX has other priorities right now by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Human-qualifying the Falcon Heavy, which would be necessary for tourist flights around the moon, isn't a priority for SpaceX. They're pretty much through with Falcon-9 engineering. Now they will make the Dragon 2 work, but their main direction is to eventually replace Falcon 9 and Falcon 9 heavy with a much larger methane and liquid oxygen rocket which is as powerful as Falcon Heavy with just one "stick" rather than three.

    There's a lot to be done between here and there, and every rocket engineering project has major risk, but this will potentially be a much more practical path to human space exploration than the SLS system which is an albatross around NASA's neck IMO and exists mainly as a pork-barrel jobs program.

    In fairness to NASA and congress, we didn't know that SpaceX would be this successful when SLS was approved.

    1. Re:SpaceX has other priorities right now by DanDD · · Score: 2, Insightful

      No NASA rating is needed for SpaceX to fly humans anywhere in any of their rockets, unless those humans include NASA astronauts. However, NASA may get snippy and not allow any of their launch facilities for a SpaceX 'experimental' rocket, depending on the details of their lease agreement. If SpaceX were to have their own private launch facilities, then they'd have no significant restrictions.

      The short version is that SpaceX only needs to file a flight plan to 60,000 feet and man their rocket with an IFR rated 'pilot' and any other 'essential' crew. Above 60,000 feet is class 'E' airspace. The 'experimental rocket' pilot could simply cancel their IFR flight plan above 60,000 and continue 'flying'. The minor details would be transponder requirements and potentially RVSM certification, which is rather humorous.

      References:
      Instrument Flight Rules
      US Airspace diagram

      --
      "Every time I see an adult on a bicycle, I no longer despair for the future of the human race." - H. G. Wells
    2. Re:SpaceX has other priorities right now by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      No NASA rating is needed for SpaceX to fly humans anywhere in any of their rockets

      No, as we know from Mad Mike Hughes, any idiot can make a "rocket" and fly whoever is willing (in this case, only himself). But SpaceX thinks they will have the larger rocket soon enough that there is no point in playing these games with Falcon Heavy.

    3. Re: SpaceX has other priorities right now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Actually Mad Mikeâ(TM)s rocket qualifies more as a small aircraft or a balloon than a launch vehicle. He didnâ(TM)t even cross into regulated airspace.

    4. Re: SpaceX has other priorities right now by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      unregulated

  12. Re: I'm shocked by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    umm... 'magnetic cannons' would likely convert humans to goo

  13. No by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

    Alternative propulsion systems are unfortunately a pipe dream. I wish it was otherwise. Rockets are pretty clean burning (especially the methane LOX one which will be the next SpaceX rocket). Let's not throw out the baby with the bath-water, we need to get the human race off of the planet. Regardless of how nice we are to it, it's only one planet and planets are not forever.

    1. Re:No by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Alternative propulsion systems are unfortunately a pipe dream. I wish it was otherwise. Rockets are pretty clean burning (especially the methane LOX one which will be the next SpaceX rocket). Let's not throw out the baby with the bath-water, we need to get the human race off of the planet. Regardless of how nice we are to it, it's only one planet and planets are not forever.

      What about just using hydrogen and oxygen?

      Besides, you'd want to rein in all the thousands and thousands of jet flights before you'd worry about rockets, to say nothing of cars, but I don't see us doing that either.

    2. Re:No by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

      What about just using hydrogen and oxygen?

      That may make sense for the upper stage, but not the main booster.

      H2 has low volumetric energy density, which means a big tank with a big surface area, that all needs to be kept at 20K with lots of insulation that adds to the cost and the weight (which adds to the cost).

      That doesn't make sense for fuel that is going to be mostly burned within 20 km of earth's surface.

    3. Re:No by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      Liquid hydrogen is troublesome stuff. It has to be colder than anything else you could use, and you have to keep it that way. It leaks out of anything. Liquid methane is a lot easier to handle.

      It does make carbon and water when you burn it.

    4. Re:No by murdocj · · Score: 1

      Space travel is not a great way to preserve the human race. It would be far more cost effective to solve problems on earth, or even to establish scattered self-sufficient survival colonies, rather than hope you can create a self-sufficient colony on other worlds.

    5. Re:No by 110010001000 · · Score: 1, Troll

      I hate to break it to you: humans cannot live anywhere but Earth. There is no planet suitable within range that would support human life. And don't say "Mars", because that is scifi BS. Just the radiation and differences in gravity would kill humans very quickly. You guys need to grow and take care of this planet, because it is the only one we will ever have.

    6. Re: No by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Europa

    7. Re:No by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "we need to get the human race off of the planet."

      Mental pablum for arrested adolescents raised on brain-rotting sci-fi Space Nutter pseudo-religious crap.

    8. Re:No by Immerman · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Unfortunately "survival colonies" scattered around earth are poor protection against many of the most likely ends of civilization: super plague (GMO or otherwise, affecting humans or staple crops), nuclear warfare, or even sufficiently severe ecosystem collapse. Sure, they *could* be sealed ecosystems deep underground with no contact with the outside world - but what sort of sorry nutjob is going to lock themselves away from the world on the off-chance that it all comes tumbling down so fast that locking the doors after the fact might be too late?

      Besides which preserving the human race is one of those extreme-long-term secondary visions anyway. So long as we live on only one planet, sooner or later something *will* kill us. Our exploding sun if nothing else. The real goal is to expand into new challenges and frontiers. Have elbow room to live the way people were meant to live - whatever that happens to mean to you. Frontiers have been good to our species, but we've pretty much filled them all up on Earth. Space offers the promise of an unfillable frontier - an endless expanse in which dreamers and malcontents can try to find their land of milk and honey. It offers both a pressure relief valve for society, and fertile ground for our adventurers - a kind of individual that has historically enriched our species in many, not always expected, ways.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    9. Re: No by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      I know that some science fiction authors have written stories about people not being able to survive away from Earth. But that's just science fiction, and I can't say I found it to be good science fiction either. Actually we don't have any proof yet that the gravity on Mars is a problem for reproduction. And we know how to shield radiation. I like just using a lot of dirt or water but there are more advanced materials too. Life is a lot more tenacious than I think you give it credit. Including people.

    10. Re:No by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      it's only one planet and planets are not forever.

      It's much easier to keep this one in a good condition than it is to find another one that's even remotely suitable for us. And face it, even if we can terraform Mars, and we have regular rocket service there, 99.9999% of all people will be doomed to die on Earth anyway.

    11. Re:No by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      what sort of sorry nutjob is going to lock themselves away from the world on the off-chance that it all comes tumbling down so fast that locking the doors after the fact might be too late?

      The same kind of nutjob that is going to lock themselves away on Mars.

    12. Re: No by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      I'm pretty sure that staying on one planet is suicide. Even if we figure out how to run a government to take care of it, there are natural disasters that aren't survivable bu any means but "leave".

    13. Re: No by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      Life has survived billions of years of natural disasters. I'll take my chances. Besides, if we can't take care of one planet, there's no reason to assume we could take care of another, or that we would even be ready to invest trillions of dollars to colonize it.

    14. Re: No by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I know that some science fiction authors have written stories about people not being able to survive away from Earth. But that's just science fiction, and I can't say I found it to be good science fiction either. Actually we don't have any proof yet that the gravity on Mars is a problem for reproduction. And we know how to shield radiation. I like just using a lot of dirt or water but there are more advanced materials too.

      Life is a lot more tenacious than I think you give it credit. Including people.

      Basing any premise on what science fiction writers write, no matter what side of the 'point' they are one, is simply stupid. What science fiction writers write is completely irrelevant.

    15. Re:No by dcw3 · · Score: 1

      but we've pretty much filled them all up on Earth. Space offers the promise of an unfillable frontier

      Filled them up? Yes, the Earth is overcrowded, but far from filled up. I'm just back from Alaska, and wow, there's some frontier, but I digress. No place in our galaxy offers habitable space without creating an artificial atmosphere. You might as well start moving people underground, or into the ocean depths. It would be much lest costly, and oh(!), it's another frontier. No, we'll never again explore in the ways that our ancestors had the opportunity. But yes, we should still pursue space travel even though your great grandchildren won't likely see humans live on another planet. We'll be lucky to do so before some super volcano, or asteroid event IMO.

      --
      Just another day in Paradise
    16. Re: No by dcw3 · · Score: 1

      This precisely. In a thousand years, we're unlikely to have anything more than a tiny colony on Mars. And I'm not against pursuing that over time. But let's not throw huge amounts of assets (tax dollars) at a sci-fi pipe dream.

      --
      Just another day in Paradise
    17. Re: No by cjameshuff · · Score: 1

      For that matter, the atmosphere of Mars alone is a good equivalent for Earth's magnetic field, giving a human naked on the surface better radiation shielding than someone on the ISS:

      https://www.jpl.nasa.gov/space...

      Obviously, someone naked on the surface would have a short life expectancy for other reasons, but the same is true of most of the Earth's surface. There are only a few locations where humans can survive without technological assistance. The idea that we are somehow so super-specialized for Earth that we can't possibly survive elsewhere is simply not realistic, and in fact is contradicted by the fact that humans were able to travel to and walk on the moon just 12 years after they first managed to lob something into orbit.

    18. Re:No by Immerman · · Score: 2

      Why move people underground? What's the long-term goal? Survival vaults are incredibly expensive to build and maintain for their own sake, and you're not going to get many forward-thinking people to volunteer.

      It may take a while before we develop a self-sustaining colony elsewhere, but it'll *never* happen unless we try. And there's no particular reason to assume it'll be incredibly difficult, especially if we start someplace like Mars that has immense easily accessible reserves of the two most important building blocks of an ecosystem: CO2 and water. No doubt lots of people will die in the attempt, but that's pretty much always been true of settlers - as long as they go in with their eyes open I don't see a problem.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    19. Re:No by Immerman · · Score: 1

      Nope - entirely different sort of nutjob is going to space - one with dreams of humanity among the stars, or of escaping the stifling societies on Earth. Underground vaults offer none of that - they're purely a survival ark in case something goes wrong.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    20. Re: No by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We can't even explore our own Oceans and subterranean cave networks on Earth- but we're going to Mars, lmao. https://youtu.be/fznwTaWrOEc

    21. Re:No by Talderas · · Score: 1

      So long as we live on only one planet, sooner or later something *will* kill us. Our exploding sun if nothing else.

      Our star isn't massive enough to explode as a nova or supernova. It will, however, expand during it's red giant phase which should cause Earth to fall within it.

      --
      "Lack of speed can be overcome. In the worst case by patience." --Znork
    22. Re:No by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Depends on scale.
      Eventually Yellowstone is going to explode and trash the atmosphere enough to really suck, and if that doesn't get us the Sun will eventually expand and actually destroy the planet. Preventing either of those is unlikely to be more efficient than building a habitat somewhere else.

      The main thing space travel has going for it is, it is about the only thing that will work on those big picture events which are known to be coming with high certainty, so practicing on less critical issues while applying the more efficient tailored solution in parallel is a good strategy.

    23. Re:No by religionofpeas · · Score: 1

      On Mars you'd be stuck in a vault as well. Maybe above ground, and maybe the vault will have windows, but you're still stuck. And outside the vault is nothing but inhospitable wasteland as far as the eye can see. If you enjoy that kind of stuff, there's plenty of it here on Earth still.

    24. Re:No by Immerman · · Score: 1

      Perhaps at first - but you're building towards a future in which humanity goes to the stars - not just hiding in a hole.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    25. Re:No by Immerman · · Score: 1

      The red giant phase is the explosion, albeit a very slow one.

      --
      --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.
    26. Re:No by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

      we need to get the human race off of the planet
      Why? Who is hurt if the planet goes boom and mankind is wiped out?

      --
      Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
    27. Re:No by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

      Obviously not you :-)

    28. Re: No by freshfromthevat · · Score: 1

      Life has survived. but many species went extinct. I'm a little selfish. I want MY species to survive.
      Frontiers are good for us. I don't want tax money to pay for punching holes in the frontier but I would like to have our species be (mostly) free to go out and reach for that frontier.

      One thing not mentioned here (yet) is how much more efficient we tool users could be when we're outside the bounds of our fragile ecosystem. What if we could strip-mine an asteroid using methods that would be cheap but possibly really bad to use on Earth. Also we could use engines outside of Earth's atmosphere which (if used in Earth's atmosphere) would be bad for Earth but for moving about the solar system these engines might be reasonable.

      If we have to use rockets from Earth to transport every material the extra-terrestrial humans would need, we'd have a very limited existence off Earth. But if we can use human ingenuity and make what we need from materials we find off-Earth, I bet we can do much better than is obvious to us Earthbound people.

      So far all of our experience off-planet has been supported entirely from materials brought from Earth. The only exception I can think of is power from the Sun. We need to change the ratio. We need to have it that most of the matter consumed and used off-Earth comes from off-Earth. That will take some ingenuity.

      I like it.

      --
      .. Blub falls right in the middle of the abstractness continuum. -- Paul Graham
    29. > . It would be far more cost effective to solve problems on earth

      Its far more cost effective to start wars (that destroys infrastructure and slaughters lives) in order to utilize regions like Antarctica for survival colonies???

      Its always more cost effective when dealing with reasonable parties, but that's not the state of societies on Earth right now. You can try to run far enough to not be economically feasible to target, or you can try to exterminate populations to remove impediments to "saving the world". But at least the former can be attempted without world consensus.

      Declaring that fusion is the cheapest form of sustainable energy that solves all our energy problems is meaningless if you cannot implement it. Declaring its much cheaper for the world to agree to invest in survival colonies is meaningless if nations aren't willing to forgo their unilateral prerogatives..

      --
      There is no America. There is no democracy. There is only IBM and AT&T and DuPont, Dow, General Electric, and Exxon
    30. More likely the colony would be underground, in order to utilize soil as a radiation shield. But they would be trapped in their sustainable living tubes/containers/tunnels.

      --
      There is no America. There is no democracy. There is only IBM and AT&T and DuPont, Dow, General Electric, and Exxon
    31. Re: No by slashdot_commentator · · Score: 1

      Space is a vaccuum. There's a finite amount of material needed to separate your living environment from vaccuum.

      Oceans deep and far away enough from shore to avoid sovereignty claims, exert enough depth pressure to crush/collapse most human engineered structures. You don't have to travel as far as space, but depth pressures do not make those environments any more cost effective than vaccuum.

      --
      There is no America. There is no democracy. There is only IBM and AT&T and DuPont, Dow, General Electric, and Exxon
    32. Spoken like a pointless, irrelevant, anonymous coward.

      --
      There is no America. There is no democracy. There is only IBM and AT&T and DuPont, Dow, General Electric, and Exxon
  14. The details by sphealey · · Score: 1

    You have to read pretty deep into the details of the Apollo missions before you come across full descriptions of the day-to-day life on those spacecraft. It was uncomfortable, unpleasant, and often disgusting. Since there has been no miracle breakthrough in propulsion the weight constraints in 2020 are essentially the same as in 1964, and if built a Space-X around-the-moon tourist vehicle will be more like living inside a discarded can of ham and beans for a week than flying on a luxury aircraft.

    1. Re:The details by Kotukunui · · Score: 1

      Not having to carry a lunar lander will save a lot of mass that can be re-purposed to making living conditions a bit less hellish. You'll still probably cram into a small capsule for actual re-entry, but on the way there and back you could have a bigger "not-returning-to-Earth" cylinder for en-route living quarters.

    2. Re:The details by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      don't compare today's bottle rockets with a Saturn V

    3. Re: The details by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Good point. Many donâ(TM)t realize how powerful the Saturn V was.

    4. Re:The details by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not if they team up with Bigelow Aerospace. With decreased launch cost you can also have more than one rocket take more than one module to space. The cheaper your launch is the more stuff you can take to space and hook them up in orbit.

      SpaceX + Bigelow Aerospace = Private space stations, The Moon, and Mars.

    5. Re:The details by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Good lord, never actually looked it up. That monster was carrying about 5x the FH

  15. Just a matter of priorities by RhettLivingston · · Score: 1

    Even if NASA would let them launch a civilian on a rocket that is not yet man-certified, they would hold back and serve the long-term customer first. I doubt they have spare builds of the manned Dragon 2 variation sitting around for a side-project - unless perhaps the would be riders are actually willing to shell out billions instead of millions.

  16. Re:I'm shocked by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 3, Funny

    Space-x uses liquid fuel.

    Solid fuel for humanned flights is a bad idea because there is no way to throttle or abort. Once they are lit, they run until the fuel is exhausted.

    The only exception was the solid fueled boosters on the Space Shuttle, which was so super-duper safe that failure was unthinkable, so there would be no need to abort.

  17. Things you can't do with solid fuel by Bruce+Perens · · Score: 1

    Not to mention that landing a solid-fuel rocket would be... problematical :-)

    1. Re:Things you can't do with solid fuel by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

      Oh, landing isn't a problem ...

      ("That'll happen pretty definitely" - Wash Hoburn)

      It's landing in a controlled fashion that's tough.

      --
      Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
    2. Re:Things you can't do with solid fuel by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1

      It's landing in a controlled fashion that's tough.

      Next time a plane flies into the side of a mountain I'll look for anybody in the world calling it "a very uncontrolled landing".

      --
      My God, it's Full of Source!
      OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
  18. Space-X still takes the lead by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Where are their competitors? Years behind, maybe decades. ULA has been so big on dragging their feet that nothing would get accomplished within the next several decades at best. It took Musk and SpaceX to give them competition. If it takes several more years, so be it, but "Musk will make it happen".

  19. The reasoning is obvious... by corezz · · Score: 1

    Reality set in and they discovered it is harder to plan a safe and technically feasible trip for a casual tourist than it is to send seasoned astronauts who gladly did so at a very high risk for country patriotism in nothing more than a tin can with flashing lights.

    So the question is which commercial space company today wants to be the first to kill a tourist. Oh i am sure the stock price will go well that day. Having an optimistic guestimate of late 2018 was just for PR purposes, nothing more. It certainly helped the stock price.

    1. Re:The reasoning is obvious... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So the question is which commercial space company today wants to be the first to kill a tourist.

      At some point that is certain to happen. But so what? Humans are not in short supply. Billions more where those came from.

      In the early days of aviation, it was extremely risky. Passengers and pilots died on a routine basis, and often horrifically. Yet we didn't stop doing it or wring our hands in faux horror and insist that nobody try any more. It's not dangerous any more, so it's easy for us to forget how dangerous the early days of aviation were, from our cushy 21st century perspective.

      Space travel will be no different. People are going to die.... people who freely signed on board to take that chance.

    2. Re:The reasoning is obvious... by IckySplat · · Score: 1

      At some point that is certain to happen. But so what? Humans are not in short supply. Billions more where those came from.In the early days of aviation, it was extremely risky. Passengers and pilots died on a routine basis, and often horrifically. Yet we didn't stop doing it or wring our hands in faux horror and insist that nobody try any more. It's not dangerous any more, so it's easy for us to forget how dangerous the early days of aviation were, from our cushy 21st century perspective.Space travel will be no different. People are going to die.... people who freely signed on board to take that chance.

      Yup; I hereby volunteer to be the crash test dummy/spam in a can for their "proving" flight :)

      --
      Help! help!, the termites are eating my DRAM!!!
    3. Re:The reasoning is obvious... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Reality set in ... It certainly helped the stock price.

      Seeing as you're a fan of reality, perhaps you could tell us SpaceX's stock price then?

      You know, in case any of us want to buy some...

    4. Re:The reasoning is obvious... by Megane · · Score: 1

      Virgin Galactic is ahead on that race, they've already killed a pilot. (Though technically it was caused by his own mistake.)

      --
      #naabhaprzrag, #sverubfr-000, #agi-fcbafberq, negvpyr[pynff*=' negvpyr-ary-'] { qvfcynl: abar !vzcbegnag; }
  20. Re: I'm shocked by ColdWetDog · · Score: 1

    You're acting like this is a problem???

    --
    Faster! Faster! Faster would be better!
  21. NASA says 7 unmanned non-events before manned by freshfromthevat · · Score: 1

    I read that NASA wants a new rocket to be flown 7 times without incident before it will qualify form manned-flight rating. Since SpaceX has yet to fly their new Block 5 rocket with the redesigned high-pressure helium tank, they have yet to start the 7-flight count. This, apparently, pushes the flight-qualification complete to after the end of 2018.

    --
    .. Blub falls right in the middle of the abstractness continuum. -- Paul Graham
  22. evil scheme by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    There is no Circle Moon!

  23. Trump will die in prison a traitor. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    God you're a boring meme whore. No wonder you're in love with Trump the traitor.

  24. Re:I'm shocked by oobayly · · Score: 1

    Not that I disagree that solid rocket motors are bad idea for manned flight, but whilst they can't be throttled thrust can be removed using blowout panels. Solid fuel ICMBs use Thrust Termination to kill thrust as desired.

  25. Flat earthers by jtgd · · Score: 1

    Is there any way to force all the leading flat-earth movement leaders into this? Sure would be nice to shut them up.

    --
    J
    1. Re:Flat earthers by fox171171 · · Score: 1

      Is there any way to force all the leading flat-earth movement leaders into this? Sure would be nice to shut them up.

      Along with the telephone sanitizers?

    2. Re:Flat earthers by Falconhell · · Score: 1

      Do we really need the piper?

  26. Reason for the launch delay by fox171171 · · Score: 1

    There have been delays at the Model 3 crew capsule factory.

  27. Re: I'm shocked by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's because no one has ever left Earth's orbit. The truth will set you free.

  28. Re: I'm shocked by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    https://youtu.be/fznwTaWrOEc

  29. Re:I'm shocked by gnick · · Score: 3, Insightful

    ...but you think a way to get NOWHERE will have a market? Beyond novelty?

    Nearly every vacation I've ever taken has ended in the same place it started. Sometimes those trips are just to go take in a view. People go to the Grand Canyon & Carlsbad Caverns all the time and they're just big holes in the ground. Why is making a trip to see one of those so different than wanting to see the Earth from a distance?

    --
    He's getting rather old, but he's a good mouse.
  30. Re:I'm shocked by painandgreed · · Score: 1

    ...but you think a way to get NOWHERE will have a market? Beyond novelty?

    Nearly every vacation I've ever taken has ended in the same place it started. Sometimes those trips are just to go take in a view. People go to the Grand Canyon & Carlsbad Caverns all the time and they're just big holes in the ground. Why is making a trip to see one of those so different than wanting to see the Earth from a distance?

    Not only that but a Mars trip which Musk is really wanting to do, would require a deep space module, and a trip around the moon would be a perfect test for that and probably have to be done anyway. Still need radiation shielding, artificial gravity, much better seals, better food and water conservation, etc before a two year Mars trip will be ready to go.

  31. It all comes down to cold hard cash? by gdj97001 · · Score: 1

    $$$ Always wins:

    1) Delays in NASA human rating is going to cost SpaceX $$ in salary which otherwise would have been spent on this.
    2) SpaceX is bringing in tons of contracts for launch services so they spend (and make!) $$ in this business model

    Between Engineers working Falcon Heavy and Dragon 2 and the $$ coming in from the existing launch business, there are no resources or incentives to make this timeline beyond newspaper headlines. And, if they can just keep talking about it, the headlines will get generated on their own - (See: SpaceX fairing catch pics)

  32. Re:I'm shocked by AlwinBarni · · Score: 1

    The only exception was the solid fueled boosters on the Space Shuttle, which was so super-duper safe that failure was unthinkable, so there would be no need to abort.

    ... and Ares I (cancelled), and SLS (~10 years in development and going on), and Atlas (for Starliner).

    And lets not forget the Challenger, however I would presume your post was intentionally sarcastic.

  33. This is not news. Literally not. by Catbeller · · Score: 2

    Elon mentioned this last July 2017. How it became "news" now is a lot about the Koch brothers, the Murdochs, and a whole lot of other actors pumping out false memes to slow down Musk and through him the conversion to renewables and electric cars. This is war.

  34. you see what I did there... by Thud457 · · Score: 1

    What's the problem killing a few billionaires as long as we get to Mars?

    --

    the preceding comment is my own and in no way reflects the opinion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

  35. Re:I'm shocked by cjameshuff · · Score: 1

    Trips to Mars don't take two years. SpaceX's Mars plans involve transit times of 3-4 months. You don't need artificial gravity for that, and it is well within what can be done with prepackaged food. A shorter trip also greatly reduces the amount of radiation shielding required.

    You do need something a lot bigger than Dragon, which is why BFS has a payload capacity of 150 metric tons and would only start to carry humans to Mars after several unmanned spacecraft had already landed with supplies. It also will have toilets, something that Dragon lacks, which I suspect is something those tourists will be happy to delay their trip a few years in order to have.

  36. Re:I'm shocked by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Once they are lit, they run until the fuel is exhausted.

    No way to abort sounds like a bonus if you've ever been on a flight where a passenger demands to be let off. Christ, I already spent hours driving to the airport, getting there early, going through security, boarding the plane, then finally waiting for it to take off. Then some dipshit decides they might be having a heartattack and I miss all my connecting flights and a 10 hour day of travel becomes almost 20 hours.

  37. This was never.... by MerlTurkin · · Score: 1

    ...going to happen this year and most likely won't next year either. Until they make several test flights with astronauts.

  38. Re:I'm shocked by painandgreed · · Score: 1

    Trips to Mars don't take two years. SpaceX's Mars plans involve transit times of 3-4 months. You don't need artificial gravity for that, and it is well within what can be done with prepackaged food. A shorter trip also greatly reduces the amount of radiation shielding required.

    You do need something a lot bigger than Dragon, which is why BFS has a payload capacity of 150 metric tons and would only start to carry humans to Mars after several unmanned spacecraft had already landed with supplies. It also will have toilets, something that Dragon lacks, which I suspect is something those tourists will be happy to delay their trip a few years in order to have.

    I don't think I've seen any transfer orbit times around 3-4 months, although they depend on which attempt you make, but I think we just missed the short trip opportunity for the next 20 years.. They mostly go for about 9 months, so twice that plus another four to six months actually on Mars before they can attempt a return journey, and it's close enough to two years to call it so. Also have it include assembly time in orbit before launch if not a single module, which I doubt it will be. In deep space, radiation and gravity will be an issue for that time period. Of course, testing will be needed to make sure, thus the reason for around the moon trips.

  39. Re:I'm shocked by cjameshuff · · Score: 1

    ...no. There's no modules, no assembly in orbit, only refueling. The transits would average 115 days, but could be made much shorter at a cost in payload. BFR does not use minimum-energy transits, it starts out with 6+ km/s of delta-v in LEO when carrying its maximum launch payload of 150 t, and is burdened with far less payload when it starts off with the same propellant load from the surface of Mars. There's huge amounts of information available about the BFR system, go look.

    The plan is not to come back after half a year on Mars. SpaceX isn't talking about a flags-and-footprints mission, they are talking about staging around 600 t of supplies on the surface with 4 cargo craft before sending 2 craft with their own heavy loads of supplies and minimal crews to set up a propellant plant on Mars. For those who do wish to come back right away, 2 ~4 month transits separated by a short stay on Mars are not equivalent to 2 years in solar orbit in terms of either gravity or radiation exposure and do not require artificial gravity or radiation shielding/life support capabilities beyond what we already have.

  40. Re:I'm shocked by painandgreed · · Score: 1

    We shall see. Musk always over promises and delivers late, but he does eventually deliver. We'll see what gives when the time comes.