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The Gig Economy is Actually Smaller Than It Used To Be, Labor Department Says (marketwatch.com)

The so-called gig economy is actually slightly smaller than it used to be, according to a new Labor Department report released Thursday that chronicles the jobs market in the age of Uber. From a report: In May 2017, the Labor Department counted 5.9 million people, or 3.8% of workers, in what it calls contingent jobs, which are those that the workers don't expect to last or that workers call temporary. In 2005, the last time the government looked into the issue, there were 4.1% of workers who classified themselves this way. "Taken at face value, the results indicate that the role of non-traditional work arrangements in the U.S. economy has remained largely unchanged during the past 20 years, even as excitement and media coverage of the growth of the 'gig economy' has increased," said Brian Schaitkin, senior economist for The Conference Board.

64 comments

  1. Danger Will Robinson, does not fit the narrative by raymorris · · Score: 1, Funny

    Oh crap, this fact doesn't fit the narrative I heard on TV from my favorite comedian. It must be false.

  2. So it's a lie by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So the whole "gig economy epidemic" is overblown media hype just like the fact that gun deaths have actually been DECLINING for decades? Okay, thought so.

    1. Re:So it's a lie by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well, remember, this is the same government agency which says that unemployment is 3.9%, a "historic low". This is a phoney, bullshit number that is arrived at by deliberately not counting millions of people, and, by ignoring this agency's own numbers.

      For example, the Department of Labor says that the Workplace Participation Rate, the number of people actually working, is 64%. (also a historic low, by the way). If 64% of the population working, then, by definition, 36% of the population is not working. So unemployment is actually 36%, not their phoney bullshit "historic low" 3.9%.

    2. Re:So it's a lie by Gavagai80 · · Score: 1

      Let's get those newborn babies and geriatrics into full-time employment. Remember, work is a moral obligation and we cannot let any human resources go unmaximized.

      --
      This space intentionally left blank
    3. Re:So it's a lie by HeckRuler · · Score: 1

      So unemployment is actually 36%, not their phoney bullshit "historic low" 3.9%.

      Right. But we don't expect our 5 year olds to go to work in coal mines anymore. The statistics don't count kids, the elderly, or the disabled. The unemployment statistics everyone throws about is trying to count people currently looking for a job. And that's important because they're all competing with each other. (other than tradesmen and professionals and specialists, whom should really look at statistics within their own niche). The part where the statistic is bullshit is that it ignores people who have given up. NEETs. It ignores a lot of people on bullshit disability. It doesn't account for underemployment like a mathmatics PHD handing people coffee or cutting edge vertex shader developers cranking out business SQL scripts.

      REGARDLESS of the bullshit though, it's been consistent* bullshit so you can compare the number to other years. And yeah, the rate is low in historical terms.

      * I dunno though, don't they change how they count now and then? When was the last big rule-change?

    4. Re:So it's a lie by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Informative

      64% of the work-age population is working. I am one of the 36% but not included in the unemployment statistics.

      I am a caucasian male with a computer engineering degree and a couple of decades of experience who had to leave the field for a few years. When I tried to return, age discrimination kept me from getting into a job even though I was willing to start at the bottom. I now do odd jobs related to my field off-the-books.

    5. Re: So it's a lie by kenh · · Score: 1

      It's a bullshit number, but we've used the same bullshit number for the last dozen or so administrations.

      --
      Ken
    6. Re: So it's a lie by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Seize the means of production, comrade.

    7. Re:So it's a lie by AvitarX · · Score: 1, Insightful

      Soubdsike you're part of the 3.8% (gig workers), but also content to commit fraud for a 50% larger paycheck.

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
  3. Slavery redux by stroxor · · Score: 0

    The priciples of democracry should forbid such disemployment practices as it lures workers in a race to the bottom.

  4. those that the workers don't expect to last by PolygamousRanchKid+ · · Score: 1

    which are those that the workers don't expect to last or that workers call temporary.

    Isn't that all jobs these days . . . ?

    I've been with the same employer for more than 30 years, but change jobs every few years.

    --
    Schroedinger's Brexit: The UK is both in and out of the EU at the same time!
    1. Re:those that the workers don't expect to last by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      Isn't that all jobs these days . . . ?

      Average job tenure is higher today than it was 30 years ago.

      The "Golden Age" of lifetime employment is a myth. It never happened for most people, especially if they were not both white and male.

  5. They are all "contigent" jobs nowdays. by CaptnCrud · · Score: 3, Insightful

    3-5 years tops in the tech industry. Unless you do gov work your not getting a pension or even thinking of lasting there till retirement. They wouldn't keep you, but odds are good they wouldn't exist anyway...

    1. Re:They are all "contigent" jobs nowdays. by DaMattster · · Score: 1

      3-5 years tops in the tech industry. Unless you do gov work your not getting a pension or even thinking of lasting there till retirement. They wouldn't keep you, but odds are good they wouldn't exist anyway...

      There is a certain amount of truth to this because the moment the economy takes even a slight dip or the company might be slightly less profitable, your job may well vanish. For the most part employment is contingent upon profitability.

    2. Re:They are all "contigent" jobs nowdays. by HeckRuler · · Score: 1

      The "Tech industry" is wide and wonderful. What shitty corner are you working in? Because embedded development has worked out pretty well for me.

    3. Re:They are all "contigent" jobs nowdays. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Oh embedded development. What a none niche commodity item you where 20 years ago....

    4. Re:They are all "contigent" jobs nowdays. by HeckRuler · · Score: 1

      "What a none niche commodity item you where 20 years ago...."

      Are you ok? Are you having a stroke?

      Did you mean "non-niche commodity item you were 20 years ago...."? Non-niche, as in .... wide-spread? Yes, there's actually a lot of places to find work. I got my start in a tiny-ass little Iowa town. Made the computers that go into meters for oil and gas pipelines. Then a medium sized city had 4 professional engineering firms.

      I dunno about commodity... oh, other than IoT devices. Yeah, and arduinos are like candy. Ok. I'll give you that. I work slightly more critical hardware, but all this stuff is a GREAT entry point.

      20 years ago... huh? All this is true today. 20 years ago, embedded development was... assembly and soul-crushingly small processors. In general it's like regular computer development with a 20 year lag. For example, there's a big push to move from C to C++. The arguments being thrown around are actually a bit nostalgic. I think that means in 20 years your toaster will be running tensorFlow to find optimal toastyness.

    5. Re:They are all "contigent" jobs nowdays. by frank_adrian314159 · · Score: 1

      I think that means in 20 years your toaster will be running tensorFlow to find optimal toastyness.

      They should be TODAY! And they would be, too, if it weren't for the embedded developers and their little machines. Well, that and the manufacturers and customers who won't eat a couple bucks on putting a real computer in there.

      --
      That is all.
    6. Re:They are all "contigent" jobs nowdays. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As someone who is used to spending 5-10 years at each job, I wish I could go back to my younger self and tell him to cut out after 3 years, tops. It sucks looking for jobs in 2018 with skills that are stuck at where my previous employer was in 2012.

  6. Staffing companies == pimps by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    ..and everything that implies (i.e. you work for them, you're a whore -- and are treated like one). Prove me wrong.
    Opaque 'company policies', intended to create a gulf between you and the people you're pimped out to.
    Work for years, never get more money, living paycheck-to-paycheck? Tough shit, the 'customer' and the 'pimps' all point fingers at each other, claiming it's 'out of their hands', they can't pay you more.
    Treated like a second-class (or third, or fourth..) citizen -- because you're a whore.

    The 'gig economy' is just being a whore without a pimp. Basically, a streetwalker.

    Fuck that shit. We need to get back to a culture of mutual respect and mutual loyalty between employers and employees.

    1. Re:Staffing companies == pimps by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That's why I only work temp to hire. They are only getting a sample and I get a idea of what their environment is like. If they don't Hire within a reasonable time. I have the skills to find another to either try out or hire FTE.

    2. Re:Staffing companies == pimps by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      My pimp says your plan is nuts.

    3. Re:Staffing companies == pimps by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's worked so far for 18 years of tech field experience ..... + 5 more years unrelated fields

    4. Re:Staffing companies == pimps by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      >..and everything that implies (i.e. you work for them, you're a whore -- and are treated like one). Prove me wrong.

      You're not wrong. I refer to my account manager (to her face) as my pimp.

      And it's true. I work the contract, she pockets a percentage of my pay. And, in return, she finds and manages my clients, and gives me insurance and protection.

      I'm perfectly happy with this arrangement.

    5. Re:Staffing companies == pimps by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I was job hunting a couple of years ago. Was looking at companies doing high-performance computing. Just as I was about to fly over for an interview, a snatch-squad recruitment agency "suddenly" appeared out of nowhere with an urgent position to fill. First it's a telephone interview, then it's an onsite interview, then a job offer. I'm more or less forced to accept because I'm running low on funds, but they're looking for a developer in my area of expertise. Promise of getting to work with exciting new hardware in six months time. Work on their old OS, then six months later, than project is kicked six months down the road. Another six months. Just when we are about to move to the new project, they decide they need a contractor to do that work, so I realize I've been diddled. For a year, I'm vegetating being trapped in a long commute as well as not getting the work promised. Only managed to escape due to an arterial ulcer due to stress. Now I get to work as an independent contractor and choose what work I want to do.

  7. My 0.02 by DaMattster · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The gig economy is ultimately not sustainable. For one thing, the gig economy cheapens real world skills. For example, the recent law school graduate that might be in an area saturated with lawyers might advertise basic services for dirt cheap just to get money coming in the door. But this amount of money comes nowhere near to both providing food and shelter and paying off the enormous student debt. For another, the worker participating in the gig economy must continue to chase micro jobs that pay peanuts in the hope of getting enough volume to make it remotely worthwhile. And, there are more service providers than there are people to consume them virtually ensuring that gig economy participants are competing for scraps. I kind of liken it to being the low ranking wolf in a pack - it's competition for scraps that still won't fill the belly.

    1. Re:My 0.02 by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      The gig economy is ultimately not sustainable.

      Lawyers have been hanging a shingle and doing "gigs" for centuries. So have plumbers, carpenters, etc.

      the recent law school graduate that might be in an area saturated with lawyers might advertise basic services for dirt cheap just to get money

      Or he could move to where pay is higher. The principles of supply and demand predate "gigs".

    2. Re:My 0.02 by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Certain aspects of the gig economy are crap and have always been crap but certain aspects must be viewed differently. First, there are "gigs" that are extensions your main job. Example: A carpenter moonlighting. These are generally *good* and may be even more profitable to the employee than regular pay.

      Second are service / knowledge based gigs (may or may not be an extension of a job). Example: Your law scenario. These are not terrible but also not great. All that was traded was the person's time but it may breed some of the issue you noted (e.x. NOT having a full time job on the side)

      Finally you have the Uber's, PostMates, etc. Here you are trading your time, and wear and tear on your expensive property, and taking on risk (accidents), and dealing with other issues. These are terrible and the people doing them are generally too dumb to "do the math" and figure out they may just be literally converting the depreciation of their vehicle into cash (i.e. not making any money for their time at all). This is essentially payday lending or worse: You agree to do shit jobs for the cash and still get your car title taken (through wear and tear).

    3. Re:My 0.02 by JaredOfEuropa · · Score: 4, Informative

      What is relatively new though, at least as far as I can see around me in Europe, is that an increasing number of formerly semi-permanent jobs are being turned into gigs. Employers are basically saying: "We need you to quit and come back as a freelancer." Not that long ago this often was a pretty sweet deal especially for white collar workers, but what they are really saying these days is: "We want you to become a freelancer, working at shit rates which will leave you with as much cash in your pocket as you used to get from us, but without us having to pay for a pension, insurance, training or an income between assignments." An especially attractive proposition for employers in countries like mine, where employers' dues (national insurances and pension) are around 30% on top of gross wages.

      --
      If construction was anything like programming, an incorrectly fitted lock would bring down the entire building...
    4. Re:My 0.02 by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      What is relatively new though, at least as far as I can see around me in Europe, is that an increasing number of formerly semi-permanent jobs are being turned into gigs.

      Perhaps, like in America, this is something everyone "knows" is true, but actually isn't.

      Can you cite any evidence that "gigs" are more common in Europe?

    5. Re:My 0.02 by mikael · · Score: 1

      And being a large team of software developers is exactly the same problem. Everyone is fighting for the interesting tasks and trying to avoid being pushed away from software development. Sometimes these are the large tasks that take more time. Maybe it's the tasks that involve signal processing, DSP's, parallel processing, mathematics or those that involve writing new code. Then it becomes like a medieval banquet. Those closet to the king get the juicy chunks of meat. The serfs at the bottom get the throw-aways. Plus you are now trapped in a senior position that requires a three-month or more notice period.

      --
      Vintage computer adverts: http://www.vintageadbrowser.com/computers-and-software-ads
  8. So Trump is helping people get real jobs... by greenwow · · Score: 0

    and for the first time in our history we have more job openings than job seekers. Just sucks for those of us that oppose him that he is keeping campaign promises.

    1. Re:So Trump is helping people get real jobs... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We're already at more than full employment according to economists so making more people work is slavery. The Republicans may have ended slavery in our country at the objection by the Democrats, but now they are making more people work than want to. that is slavery.

    2. Re: So Trump is helping people get real jobs... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That is slavery.

    3. Re:So Trump is helping people get real jobs... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We are only at full aboveground employment. A large part of our job market moved underground during the recession as people found that work for barter and cash without the tax burden actually works out pretty nice. Many of us have no intention of returning to the system. It sucks.

    4. Re: So Trump is helping people get real jobs... by kenh · · Score: 1

      "Not wanting to work" is a protected right the Republicans are attacking? Seriously?

      Cutting off free gov't money so that able-bodied adults without dependent children makes sense to everyone UNLESS you are a politician and their votes are a big part of your re-election plans...

      --
      Ken
  9. Wanna see a gig economy? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Move to India. Work your ass off for 50 cents an hour, if you're lucky.

  10. Makes sense by HeckRuler · · Score: 3, Interesting

    That makes sense. People take "gigs" to tide them over until they can get a real job. But real jobs are more available now.

    There was a bunch of people out of work a decade ago when rising gas prices made the housing bubble burst leading to the Econopocalypse that everyone likes to references with "These hard economic times". But those times are over. We've had steady (if slow) employment growth and now unemployment is creeping below 4%. Down into rates we haven't seen since the 1960's.

    Anyone in the gig economy is underemployed (or has REALLY shitty job prospects). As times get better, fewer people need to do shitty gigs to make ends meet.

    (And it's less... new. For a while, all those people were being paid with venture capitalist money)

  11. Downgraded by Snufu · · Score: 2

    to Meg economy?

  12. Need to look at ... by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

    ... the tipping point.

    Unemployment is at an all-time low.

    That means lots of room for entry-level jobs.

    Those jobs pay even if you're taking a smoke, shit, or a coffee break.

    When jobs become scarce, the gif economy will expand again.

    --

    Even so, that number hasn't changed much in 20 years and is so low that it represents "noise."

    --
    It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
    1. Re:Need to look at ... by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 1

      When jobs become scarce, the gif economy will expand again.

      Excuse me, this is /. and we don't like proprietary formats. We prefer the PNG economy around here..

      --
      Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
    2. Re:Need to look at ... by CaptainDork · · Score: 1

      Well just SHIT!

      You got me.

      --
      It little behooves the best of us to comment on the rest of us.
  13. 8==T=R=E=A=S=O=N=C=U=C=K==D -~-_. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I guess you'd have to be a loyal American to understand...

  14. Time to change the name by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If it's getting smaller, we'll need to rename it to "the jolly-boat economy".

  15. they just weren't surveyed or answered unemployed by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Few of the "gig" workers I know would show up on a survey like this. I am a gig tech worker. I don't have an LLC and am paid for tasks or work performed or for an end product via cash or check. From their point of view, I'm essentially unemployed though I make a living.

    In the non-tech arena, I know many people in a more rural area who lost traditional jobs in the 2009-2012 period who never returned. They now cut down trees, perform handyman jobs, do construction under-the-table, etc. Their work is steadier than you might imagine with many working a job for a couple months at a time though being paid daily. Most will tell you they are doing better now than before and certainly enjoying their lives more. They would also indicate that they are unemployed. The state is showing decreased unemployment though the total employed is still much lower than pre-recession.

    You have to work harder to evaluate the gig economy. Even for tech workers like me, it mostly works in the way day-labor markets work. Often, it is even worse. I know gig economy tech workers who work for a piece of the pie upon success instead of pay. The problem is, success happens one time in four or so.

  16. Re:Danger Will Robinson, does not fit the narrativ by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    i am sure Uber and Lyft are quaking because their market cap is no where near where it is...

  17. Temp work, not gig economy by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 2

    Alternatively people aren't saying Lyft/Uber/etc are short term gigs, but instead viewed like a job. Since it's self-reported whether it's short term or not./p.

    --
    Your ad here. Ask me how!
    1. Re:Temp work, not gig economy by mjwx · · Score: 1

      Alternatively people aren't saying Lyft/Uber/etc are short term gigs, but instead viewed like a job. Since it's self-reported whether it's short term or not./p.

      Uber are fast running out of suckers to drive for them as people are realising that you wont earn enough from Uber to cover the costs of running a Citroen C1, let alone a Focus sized car. Without a steady supply of new suckers to replace the old ones who've figured this out, customers are also leaving Uber. This is the same for most "gig" economies. Very few places can support them, something like Deliveroo might work in large cities like London where population density makes it workable or university towns where there is a steady supply of students looking for extra cash but will never work in a for a town of 30,000 a mere 50 miles from London.

      --
      Calling someone a "hater" only means you can not rationally rebut their argument.
  18. Does not surprise me at all by oldgraybeard · · Score: 2

    8 of 10 small businesses don't make it 18 months. A person deciding to try gig work is in essence a one person small business. As an individual who has been a self employed contract programmer for 30+ years. Getting over the hump is tough. Especially, sense most everything you think, turns out to be wrong or at the least needs a lot of adjustments ;) Also, it means long hours and requires one to be very versatile. And in addition the market and economic reality is always changing. Which requires one to always be asking what is next and re educating ones self for what will come in 6 months.

    Just my 2 cents ;)

  19. Re:Danger Will Robinson, does not fit the narrativ by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Hey, give Dennis Miller a break. He should have an answer in a few days, a week tops.

  20. Re: they just weren't surveyed or answered unemplo by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Pretty much this.

    The number _of tax paying gig workers_ hasn't changed much, that's not to say that the number of gig workers hasn't changed, people just aren't reporting it as income.

  21. Re: by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Stop your plan of making an internet controlled toaster that will be the cause of certain doom. If I wanted an insecure piece of software that is unable to be updated, I would make it myself and fix it.

  22. Participation rate rose in the 1980s, dropped Obam by raymorris · · Score: 1

    You say "historic low"; it should be made clear it's not a record low. The percentage of adults working, the labor force participation rate, was lower than this until the early 1980s. In the eighties, the number of people working significantly increased. It stayed relatively stable at that higher level for 26 years. Then it dropped very significantly from 2008-2016. It's been fairly stable for the last two years.

    You can set a data range here to see the trends:
    https://data.bls.gov/timeserie...

    If you want to cram all of this into a headline or tweet, the headline would be:
    Real unemployment fell under Obama, to pre-Reagan levels.

  23. Typo: Rose, not fell by raymorris · · Score: 1

    That should be:

    Real unemployment rose under Obama, to pre-Reagan levels.

    The percentage of people employed fell. If you want to call it "real unemployment", the amount of people UNemployed rose from 2008-2016, and has been stable for the last two years.

    1. Re:Typo: Rose, not fell by AvitarX · · Score: 1

      I'm not convinced labor participation is a good way to calculate real unemployment.

      We want to capture discouraged workers (covered by isong labor participation but not the official numbers), but happy single working adult households shouldn't be included in the real unemployment, and probably not the disabled either.

      Neither of these metrics measures the under employed though, that's probably the most important number.

      How many people are working for more than 10% less than their peak earnings?

      How many people with college degrees are earning less than median?

      Under employment I think most accurately measures the desperation in the economy.

      --
      Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
  24. As proven repeatedly on /. by kenh · · Score: 2

    Gig Economy jobs suck - they're horrible jobs with low pay and high misery components - why shouldn't the Gig economy workforce be shrinking?

    Perhaps - just perhaps, with more open jobs than workers looking for jobs, potential "Gig'ers" have better options than leasing a car from Uber, buying Uber's insurance, driving strangers all over town, and hoping to earn more than gas money for the privilege?

    --
    Ken
  25. I'm a fucking genius ... apk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    See subject. I am a fucking genius because I can run ping on linux not as root
    Crazy right, but here I am able to do the impossiable
    All you fags can't which is why you should run my incredible APK hosts file engine version 77.839#^#W*+++ now for linux
    If you don't or disagree with me you are a fucking ne'er-do-well and I will fucking fuck your fucking face up

  26. Re:Danger Will Robinson, does not fit the narrativ by AvitarX · · Score: 1

    It could also mean that people are looking at "sharing" jobs as permanent.

    --
    Wow, sent an e-mail as suggested when clicking on "use classic" banner, and got a fast response that addressed my msg
  27. Re:Danger Will Robinson, does not fit the narrativ by speedplane · · Score: 1

    It could also mean that people are looking at "sharing" jobs as permanent.

    It could also mean this research was sponsored by Uber.

    --
    Fast Federal Court and I.T.C. updates
  28. Impersonating me again eh? apk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    See subject: Tell me your REAL name, address & phone # so we can meet in person to settle this face to face/man to man you "not man" weasel.

    OK?

    APK

    P.S.=> Pray to God I never find out who & where you are... apk

  29. I can't imagine why... by whitroth · · Score: 1

    ... other than maybe folks are realizing that they really do NOT like be day labor, the way their grandparents and great-grandparents were, before unions came in in force.

    But we don't need unions. We're happy to be fired at will, told to work "whatever it takes", even if that's 60, 70 or more hours a week, we don't need a life....