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Mars Opportunity Rover Is In Danger of Dying From a Dust Storm (engadget.com)

According to NASA, the Mars Opportunity rover is currently trying to survive an intensifying dust storm on the red planet. "The storm's atmospheric opacity -- the veil of dust blowing around, which can blot out sunlight -- is now much worse than a 2007 storm that Opportunity weathered," reports NASA. "The previous storm had an opacity level, or tau, somewhere above 5.5; this new storm had an estimated tau of 10.8 as of Sunday morning." Engadget reports: The storm was first detected on Friday June 1st by the Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter, at which point the rover's team was notified because of the weather event's proximity to Opportunity. The rover uses solar panels, so a dust storm could have an extremely negative impact on Opportunity's power levels and its batteries. By Wednesday June 6th, Opportunity was in minimal operations mode because of sharply decreasing power levels. The brave little rover is continuing to weather the storm; it sent a transmission back to Earth Sunday morning, which is a good sign. It means there's still enough charge left in the batteries to communicate with home, despite the fact that the storm is continuing to worsen.

28 of 105 comments (clear)

  1. Obligatory XKCD by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

    "The brave little rover": https://xkcd.com/695/

    1. Re:Obligatory XKCD by Niggle · · Score: 4, Funny

      That's Spirit.
      You want: https://xkcd.com/1504/ for opportunity

      --
      - Blah blah blah, missing scientist. Blah blah blah, atomic bomb. -
    2. Re:Obligatory XKCD by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Funny

      Don't anthropomorphize rovers. They don't like it when you do that.

    3. Re:Obligatory XKCD by ClickOnThis · · Score: 4, Interesting

      Others have supplied more uplifting endings to this strip:

      https://i.imgur.com/VZvj5S7.jp...
      https://www.reddit.com/r/xkcd/...

      And my favourite:

      https://imgur.com/VbKV9DF

      --
      If it weren't for deadlines, nothing would be late.
  2. Communicate With Home? by bjwest · · Score: 2, Funny

    I wonder how long it could last in standby if someone hadn't been foolish enough to force it to waste power phoning home just to say "I'm still here." That single transmission could possibly be what killed it.

    I'd also like to note that if Opportunity wasn't designed to power down safely (or recover to a working state if someone were foolish enough to not have it power down before completely running out of power) recharge the batteries when there's enough sunlight, then have Opportunity restart, someone needs to loose their engineering degree.

    --

    --- Keep the choice with the user..
    1. Re: Communicate With Home? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      The more pressing problem isn't that it can't reboot, it's that it won't be able to clean its panels after the storm, and that's assuming it can even do that. Not to mention the drop in efficiency from getting the panels scarred up by abrasive dust.

      Godspeed little rover, keep up the fight!

    2. Re: Communicate With Home? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      It needs battery to keep the internal components at safe temperature levels. It is not about calling home; it is about not freezing.

    3. Re: Communicate With Home? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

      This isn't the first time we've heard that it won't be able to clean it's solar panels after the dust storm.

      What happen all the previous times was that the storm blew the dust away from the solar panels, so they ended up cleaner after the storm.

    4. Re:Communicate With Home? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

      ...someone needs to loose their engineering degree.

      Someone needs to remember this hardware was originally expected to last 90 days. It's been running for over fourteen fucking years.

      This would probably be one of those times where you should STFU about failures in engineering and design, as the statistics tend to speak for themselves.

    5. Re:Communicate With Home? by GuB-42 · · Score: 5, Funny

      That's 14 earth years, not 14 fucking years.
      That being said, I didn't know that fucking was a planet, we should let more people know, it would really help build interest in space exploration.

    6. Re:Communicate With Home? by psycho12345 · · Score: 4, Interesting

      On one hand, I think those engineers need a discussion about underestimating capabilities.

      On the other, I think they need to be given god damm medals for making a project beat its lifespan estimates, not by 10%, not by 100%, not by 1000%, but by 5500%.

    7. Re:Communicate With Home? by lordlod · · Score: 2

      Someone needs to remember this hardware was originally expected to last 90 days. It's been running for over fourteen fucking years.

      This would probably be one of those times where you should STFU about failures in engineering and design, as the statistics tend to speak for themselves.

      As a mass-production engineer I would be asking serious questions about the design process and quality controls.

      Having a product last for over 56x longer than its designed and projected lifespan suggests that there is some serious over engineering involved. Are all those solar panels really needed? What if we added some lightening holes to the neck, the solid piece of aluminum seems like overkill and the weight savings will help lower distribution costs.

      Honestly though, how can anyone pass judgment on the quality of engineering without seeing the design brief?

    8. Re:Communicate With Home? by Joce640k · · Score: 4, Informative

      someone needs to loose their engineering degree.

      I don't know about that but somebody definitely needs to learn to spell "lose".

      It's only four letters, FFS.

      --
      No sig today...
    9. Re:Communicate With Home? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      The Internet: passing judgement on others without all the facts is kind of our thing

    10. Re: Communicate With Home? by careysub · · Score: 4, Informative

      At the moment the problem is not how much dust will be on the solar panels after the storm. It is that it will lose all power during the storm, the heaters will stop working, and will then be unable to reactivate afterward.

      The story reports an optical depth of the dust storm of tau=10.8. This is astoundingly dark. The transmittance of light through the atmosphere is 1/e^tau so that only 1/50,000 (0.002%) of the sunlight is getting through! It is effectively perpetual night there right now. This is probably darker than even the heaviest storm clouds on Earth (which only go up to blocking 1/20,000 of the sun light). Thus far the storm has cut off power for six days.

      Although the storm also moderates temperature, since it prevents radiation cooling at night, it also means that the day time high temperatures are not reached either, so that the heaters have to be cranked up constantly (though not to the level of coldest night chill), with no power replacing what is being drained from the batteries.

      It the batteries drain to the level that they can no longer supply the heaters then whether there is dust on the panels after the storm ends will be moot. Opportunity will be dead.

      --
      Starships were meant to fly, Hands up and touch the sky - Nicky Minaj
    11. Re:Communicate With Home? by eaglesrule · · Score: 2

      Of course there is some serious over engineering involved. The design process and quality controls could likely be summed up as "It just has to work",regardless of the mission's expected duration. There is just too much at stake to even care about minimizing materials beyond the defined mission requirements.

      90 days is likely to be the warrantee period for a cheap motherboard. If you think getting an RMA for one of those is a pain, try getting an RMA for a product delivered to MARS.

  3. Tau by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Informative

    Since this article doesn't explain it, an optical depth tau value of 10.8 means approximately 0.002% of the sunlight is reaching the rover, compared to 0.4% for the last storm. It's really, really dark out there.

  4. It doesn't have any system to clear its panels by robbak · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Opportunity and Spirit are not fitted with any mechanism to clear their solar panels. Originally, it was assumed that dust on the panels would be what would end the mission. But winds and whirlwinds were found on the planet, these occasionally blew dust from the panels, and the mission was extended.

    The pressing problem is that there won't be enough energy to keep the heaters running, the electronics will cool down to -50C, and either the heaters won't turn back on when the sun returns, or, if they do, the electronics won't work when they defrost.

    --
    Prediction for end of Universe #42: Fencepost error in Quantum_bogosort.cpp
  5. OK - so the darkness isn't really relevant. by robbak · · Score: 4, Informative

    0.4% of the sunlight wouldn't have be enough to make the solar panels work. So a greater darkness than that doesn't really make any difference. It might as well be pitch black if the intensity is below 1%.

    What is important, then, is how long this dust storm will last.

    --
    Prediction for end of Universe #42: Fencepost error in Quantum_bogosort.cpp
  6. climate change! by cascadingstylesheet · · Score: 2

    "The storm's atmospheric opacity -- the veil of dust blowing around, which can blot out sunlight -- is now much worse than a 2007 storm that Opportunity weathered," reports NASA.

    The storms are getting worse ... what do you Martian "deniers" say now, eh???

  7. Job well done and then some... by The+Cynical+Critic · · Score: 3, Informative

    Considering how the two solar powered rovers (Spirit and Opportunity) that touched down in January 2004 were originally only expected to survive for a few months only to have one finally go out in March of 2010 and the second finally in real peril of going out in June of 2018 it shouldn't be too much of a loss for the second one to finally go out. Both of them spectacularly outperformed what was expected of them and it's probably time for the last of them to quit it with the victory laps. Not that Curiosity, their bigger nuclear-powered older bother, isn't doing well for itself either. It touched down in August 2012 and it's too still going despite an originally planned two year mission length. I'm interested to see if it'll last even longer or if the decay of it's Pu238-dioxide power source will be what keeps it from extending it's mission beyond the original goal by as much as Opportunity has.

    --
    "Why should I want to make anything up? Life's bad enough as it is without wanting to invent any more of it."
    1. Re:Job well done and then some... by necro81 · · Score: 4, Informative

      Not that Curiosity, their bigger nuclear-powered older bother, isn't doing well for itself either. It touched down in August 2012 and it's too still going despite an originally planned two year mission length. I'm interested to see if it'll last even longer or if the decay of it's Pu238-dioxide power source will be what keeps it from extending it's mission beyond the original goal by as much as Opportunity has.

      The decay of Pu-238 will not be what limits the Curiosity mission. It has a half-life of 87.7 years. The RTG that uses that decay to produce electricity (and, perhaps more importantly at the moment, heat to keep the electronics happy) decays more quickly than that. But the Voyager probes still have enough electricity to communicate with earth forty years after launch.

      The limiting factor for Curiosity will probably be its moving parts. Specifically, its drive motors and wheels. The wheels have taken quite a beating, and may eventually be so damaged that they can no longer provide adequate traction. The JPL guys are really clever, and can probably drive Curiosity even with the complete loss of one wheel.

      But even if Curiosity stopped moving tomorrow, it would almost certainly still be useful for stationary science. It can continue to gather weather data (including measuring atmospheric methane, which hit the news recently), take pictures, shoot lasers, and sample rocks, probably for years. One of the Viking landers lasted 6 years on the surface, and that mission ended only after a bad software update.

    2. Re:Job well done and then some... by The+Cynical+Critic · · Score: 3, Interesting

      The problem with the RTG isn't that it's going to decay completely, it's that being about the size and weight of car it's packed with way more power hungry systems the RTG may not be able to power anymore once it's been going around for the better part of a decade. Sure, it's got batteries to cover for peaks, but those have been needed from the start and will probably decay faster than the RTG and a battery failure was after all what killed Viking 2 despite also being RTG powered.

      Solar panels definitely also decay over time, but those on the Mars Pathfinder mission saw a long term degradation of only about 0.15% per (earth) year. Their decay doesn't also require more energy to be used for heating due to less waste heat being produced.

      I'm probably worrying too much and the thing that kills Curiosity probably is the environment with the way the soil is rich in really corrosive substances like perchlorate.

      --
      "Why should I want to make anything up? Life's bad enough as it is without wanting to invent any more of it."
    3. Re:Job well done and then some... by tlhIngan · · Score: 2

      , it's that being about the size and weight of car it's packed with way more power hungry systems the RTG may not be able to power anymore once it's been going around for the better part of a decade

      And the goal is to simply not power everything at once. There's a minimum amount of power it needs to run the basics, yes, and that minimum is probably served by the RTG for decades

      All the power hungry science packages can simply be turned off when they're not needed or used, conserving available power as it decays. As it decays further, it means one has to be even more careful.

      The Voyager probes are in the same boat - at first they had all the equipment powered up, but now as the RTG output decays more and more of the equipment has to be turned off.

      The advantage Curiousity has is it's a rover. If you can't do everything at once, you can simply stop and do everything one at a time, or do what you can simultaneously within the power budget, then do other science when you're done with the first set. It may take longer, but that's how it rolls.

    4. Re:Job well done and then some... by DerekLyons · · Score: 2

      The decay of Pu-238 will not be what limits the Curiosity mission. It has a half-life of 87.7 years. The RTG that uses that decay to produce electricity (and, perhaps more importantly at the moment, heat to keep the electronics happy) decays more quickly than that. But the Voyager probes still have enough electricity to communicate with earth forty years after launch.

      Not true. Loss of power generating capacity is already limiting what the Voyager probes can accomplish - and they're only 41 years old. While they retain the ability to communicate, they no longer have the ability to operate all the surviving science instruments simultaneously. Half life only determines the slope of the power output curve, total viable lifetime is determined by using that slope to determine when total output will fall below minimum requirements. (About another seven to eleven years in Voyager's case - still well short of the half life.)

  8. Re:I came here to read this. :) by Joce640k · · Score: 4, Insightful

    You know how I can tell that neither of you actually read the article?

    The main concern here isn't the dust storm itself. It's the need to keep the rover's heaters operational while maintaining a minimal power level in the batteries.

    --
    No sig today...
  9. re: designed to last 90 days by King_TJ · · Score: 4, Informative

    Seriously, you have to take those claims of "designed for 90 days of operation" with some big grains of salt.... There's no way they'd spend all the money, time and energy on R&D to get something like this put on Mars, when they REALLY only expected it would be used for a few months.

    That might be the length of time they NEEDED to complete the original planned research project, so in a worst-case scenario, NASA doesn't have to say they failed. But I'm quite certain this thing was engineered with the hopes it would run for years and years -- as it has done.

  10. Tau [Re: Communicate With Home?] by Geoffrey.landis · · Score: 2

    ...The story reports an optical depth of the dust storm of tau=10.8. This is astoundingly dark. The transmittance of light through the atmosphere is 1/e^tau so that only 1/50,000 (0.002%) of the sunlight is getting through! It is effectively perpetual night there right now....

    Note that the e^1/tau factor is for direct beam. What this means is that almost all of the light that gets through to the surface is scattered light.

    The tau for a rainy day for earth is very high too. It doesn't mean that the surface is completely dark, it just means that the light that does get through has scattered many times-- you can't see the disk of the sun, but some light does reach the surface.

    10.8 is a record for the highest tau measured from the surface of Mars, though.

    --
    http://www.geoffreylandis.com