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China's Ambitions To Power the World's Electric Cars Took a Huge Leap Forward This Week (reuters.com)

An anonymous reader quotes a report from Reuters: Future Mobility Corporation (FMC), the Chinese parent company behind electric car start-up Byton, has placed an order for a paint shop capable of handling 150,000 cars per year, German supplier Duerr said on Wednesday. China's Byton, a newcomer headed by the former head of BMW's i8 program, has already released plans for a premium electric SUV vehicle, the latest in a series of China-backed electric autonomous prototypes. Byton has financial backing from Chinese state-owned carmaker FAW Group and the country's dominant battery producer Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. (CATL) This is just one of the stories this week relating to China and the electric car industry. MIT Technology Review adds: In a public offering on June 11 in Shenzhen, battery giant Contemporary Amperex Technology Ltd. (CATL) raised nearly $1 billion to fund ambitious expansion plans, and its stock has been shooting up every day since. Thanks largely to the company's new plants, China will be making 70 percent of the world's electric-vehicle batteries by 2021, according to Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF).

Just seven years later, CATL has built up the biggest lithium-ion manufacturing facilities in the world, according to BNEF. The company can crank out around 17 gigawatt-hours of lithium-ion cells annually, placing it just ahead of Korea's LG Chem, the Tesla and Panasonic partnership, and China's electric-vehicle giant BYD. Flush with capital from its offering, CATL plans to build two new plants and expand existing facilities, pushing its capacity to nearly 90 gigawatt-hours by 2020. [...] Notably, it's the only Chinese battery company so far to line up deals to supply foreign automakers, including BMW, Honda, Nissan, Toyota, and Volkswagen.

93 comments

  1. All government subsidized by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Beggar-your-neighbor economic policies never benefit trade in the long run.

    1. Re:All government subsidized by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Nobody's all government subsidized and nobody's not government subsidized.

    2. Re:All government subsidized by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 1

      Beggar-your-neighbor economic policies never benefit trade in the long run.

      When my wife bought her Tesla, we received about $7k in subsidies.

    3. Re:All government subsidized by vtcodger · · Score: 1

      "Beggar-your-neighbor economic policies never benefit trade in the long run."

      You're kidding, right? Those strategies work fine. Always have, always will. There's only a problem when countries cut off supplies of essential goods to their neighbors as an element of their economic war. That's not what would be the issue here.

      The question is whether the Chinese (or anyone else) can build cheap, ubiquitous, personal electric transport. I don't think a "premium electric SUV vehicle" is likely to be the Model T, Toyota Corolla, or Volkswagen Beetle of the glorious electric transport age envisioned by Slashdot editors. China may well come up with a electric or hybrid vehicle that is cheap, durable, not too unsafe, and is eventually parked in every third parking place worldwide. But I don't think we've seen it yet.

      --
      You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
    4. Re: All government subsidized by fubarrr · · Score: 1

      ShanghaiBill, are you in Shenzhen now?

  2. Food Machinery Chemical by emaname · · Score: 0

    I wonder how FMC feels about a Chinese company using its name.

    --
    An effective "democracy" creates the illusion the people have a say in their government.
    1. Re:Food Machinery Chemical by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It's in China.

      What more needs to be said.

    2. Re:Food Machinery Chemical by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      FMC and you are both using the Roman alphabet.

      Pay up or stop using it. NOW.

      (*) Better put an irony marker, just in case...

    3. Re:Food Machinery Chemical by pilaftank · · Score: 1

      I wonder how FMC feels about a Chinese company using its name.

      The Federal Maritime Commission is furious.

      --
      dna.js
  3. Plans and prototypes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Do not equate to huge leap forward.

    Also - it might not be wise to use huge leap forward when talking about China. Just sayin'

    1. Re:Plans and prototypes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Plans and prototypes do not equate to huge leap forward.

      Give them a few months. Once Tesla's new factory in China comes online, they'll be able to replicate it in an afternoon. Right down to the Tesla badges on the cars...

  4. China is a corporation. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    China itself is a multinational conglomerate with over 1 billion workers and consumers and will kick the living shit out of Donald Trump.

    America has nothing left to offer the world and they've pisseed enough of their friends and allies off along the way that they harbour no sympathy from the common man.

    1. Re:China is a corporation. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're right about Donald Moron Drumpftard, the traitor who will die in prison, but America isn't quite done yet. This may be the low point I will cede to you.

  5. Meh, these are Chinese gigawatt by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    17 gigawatt-hours/year are less than 2MWh/h that in the Chinese football field equivalent of 18650 3.7V 9900mAh Li-ion batteries results in a punny 15 Pcs per second, Free Shipping ePacket.

    Compare that with the real 1.21 jigawatts one can find in the West!

  6. Leaping Forward by Jodka · · Score: 5, Insightful

    China's Ambitions To Power the World's Electric Cars Took a Huge Leap Forward This Week

    Not to be confused with the Great Leap Forward:

    It is widely regarded by historians that The Great Leap resulted in tens of millions of deaths. A lower-end estimate is 18 million, while extensive research by Yu Xiguang suggests the death toll from the movement is closer to 55.6 million. Historian Frank Dikötter asserts that "coercion, terror, and systematic violence were the foundation of the Great Leap Forward" and it "motivated one of the most deadly mass killings of human history".

    Odd that an editor would put "leap forward" in the title of an article about China. Was he trying to be funny?

    --
    Ceci n'est pas une signature.
    1. Re:Leaping Forward by GerryGilmore · · Score: 1

      Could be that - seeing as how they are the world leaders in high-speed rail, advanced manufacturing, etc. - that they have learned how to "leap forward" in a different way that, while no less threatening to us as a country, does not seem to elicit the same knee-jerk reaction. Hence, we'll lose, cause we're dumb as shit, exemplified by goobers like you who rely on slogans as a substitute for thinking.

    2. Re:Leaping Forward by ncc74656 · · Score: 0

      Odd that an editor would put "leap forward" in the title of an article about China. Was he trying to be funny?

      It's more likely he's just ignorant of history, especially if he's a more recent product of our indoc^H^H^H^H^H"education" system.

      --
      20 January 2017: the End of an Error.
    3. Re:Leaping Forward by Nocturrne · · Score: 2

      China is the leader in stealing high-speed rail technology and providing cheap labor for the advanced manufacturing of Taiwanese and Japanese factories - they excel at exploiting and murdering their own people and theft of IP from other countries. *I have been in China roughly half of the time for the last 20yrs - don't believe their propaganda.

    4. Re:Leaping Forward by cascadingstylesheet · · Score: 1

      China's Ambitions To Power the World's Electric Cars Took a Huge Leap Forward This Week

      Not to be confused with the Great Leap Forward:

      It is widely regarded by historians that The Great Leap resulted in tens of millions of deaths. A lower-end estimate is 18 million, while extensive research by Yu Xiguang suggests the death toll from the movement is closer to 55.6 million. Historian Frank Dikötter asserts that "coercion, terror, and systematic violence were the foundation of the Great Leap Forward" and it "motivated one of the most deadly mass killings of human history".

      Odd that an editor would put "leap forward" in the title of an article about China. Was he trying to be funny?

      Just youngsters who don't know.

      They probably think you're some evil right winger for even mentioning communism in a negative way ...

    5. Re:Leaping Forward by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Due to Chinese government funding they are expanding. Once government funds dry up they will need to live on actual sales. They are yet to make the deals needed to justify the added capacity. They are yet to show innovation and willingness to live up to international patents.

    6. Re:Leaping Forward by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You're over 30, aren't you?

      There are a significant number of people in the workforce, all around you, who simply don't know a whole raft of things you take for granted. Stuff you assimilated growing up, stuff that you likely couldn't even say where or how you learned it, but you're accustomed to thinking of it as "common knowledge"...

      Well, there is no such thing as "common knowledge" any more. Someone 10 years younger than you has quite different cultural reference points. And get used to it, because this is only going to get worse as you get older.

    7. Re:Leaping Forward by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      wooooooooooooooooooshhhhhhhhhhhhhhh is the sound

    8. Re:Leaping Forward by 110010001000 · · Score: 2

      In other words, young people don't read or learn history in school? I am pretty sure that event is something everyone should be aware of, since it is one of the biggest cultural events in modern history.

  7. They are getting superior in batt tech by rojash · · Score: 1

    I have the EGO series of home yard tools...I think they are superior to whatever is here in the West. They are just not so boastful about it.

  8. I've driven a BYD car by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    And it has lousy handling and power. Serioulsy, not only one the worst electrics I've ever driven but one of worst cars I've driven period.

    Their main problem is suspension and car balance on medium to high speed turns. I've driven beetles with better handling.

  9. Re:pffft, 150,000 cars per year by alvinrod · · Score: 1

    That kind of reductionism is rather inane. Henry Ford didn't flip a switch one day and churn out the ~1 billion vehicles that the world is currently using that are creating a good deal of all of this pollution we're now dealing with. Could you honestly look back and say that what he and others like him did has had no impact on the world today just because what they did at the time was rather small in comparison?

    On October 16, 1919 a silly little man gave his first speech to a little over 100 other people at a restaurant in Munich, Germany. No meaningful impact would come about from that. The major political parties like the SPD or Zentrum would be the ones to lead Germany. Not any tiny fringe political operation.

  10. The incumbents are building in China too by Freedom+Bug · · Score: 3, Interesting

    Pretty much every incumbent car manufacturer plans on building their car plants in China. BMW is more prominently in the news for that but others are too. They'd be silly not to. That's where the incentives and the batteries are. And increasingly, that's where the knowledge is.

  11. Re:pffft, 150,000 cars per year by iggymanz · · Score: 1

    Nope, Henry Ford incorporated in 1903 and made a profit in 1903. Tesla has been around for 15 years and still making no profit.

    Ford in 15 years was making 436,000 cars a year and making a profit. At 20 years making 1.8 million cars a year and making a profit.

    damn, Musk is a punter in comparison.

  12. Re:pffft, 150,000 cars per year by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Your obsession becomes obvious when you rant about Musk when neither the article nor the comment about about Tesla or Musk.

  13. Re:pffft, 150,000 cars per year by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You'd better ring up Bezos and tell him he went about Amazon all wrong. He should have been making profits for the shareholders in all those early years, not stupidly reinvesting in growing the company. That will never work!

  14. good by phantomfive · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The more people working on electric cars, the better. I want a 15,000 dollar electric car with a range of 400 miles. That will happen eventually, but the more people researching it, the sooner it will happen.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    1. Re: good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Why so expensive?
      The cont can be driven to about $5.

      The factories are practically "lights out" already. So are the factories that make the machines for those factories and for their own factories and for the factories that make the mining machines and the solar power towers that (should) power them.

      All that's left, is a couple of cases where repairs are still more sensible than making the entire part from scratch. Wich is usually the bettet choice, give how it costs next to nothing.

      But of course, in "reality", monons are too stupid to see the whole picure, and still follow their herders in yelling " JOOOBS!!". Like you'd need such a big job if a car costs $5 (and soon $0).

    2. Re:good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I want a $5000 electric vehicle with a range of 50 miles but with the option to rent a larger battery to go 400 miles in a single charge.

    3. Re:good by vtcodger · · Score: 1

      Let's restate your specifications. You want a VERY inexpensive vehicle capable of driving on normal surface roads and meeting first world safety standards. You want to use electric power for trips up to 50 miles (80km). And you want to be able to extend the range to 400 miles using a plug in contrivance.of some sort.

      First of all, that's not a complete set of specs. Do you need a heater (you live in Winnipeg) or air-conditioner (You live in Miami) or both (You live in St Louis)? Is it OK if they reduce the range a bit? How much?

      Any constraint on charging time? Is "overnight" (say eight hours) OK?

      Do you want to be able to travel at expressway speeds 80mph-(130kph)? or is 45-50mph (73-80kph) acceptable?

      How much payload do you want to carry? Yourself presumably, one passenger, five passengers? groceries? suitcases? large dog? How big are you and your passengers - Samoan? American? European? Japanese? Pygmy?

      ========

      I think you're probably pushing some physical limits:

      50 miles on an 8 hour charge from a US 20amp/110volt circui (about the biggest you're likely to have access to at home without rewiring) might be doable. Assuming very few losses, you might get 15kWhr into the battery in 8 hours. 3 miles/kWhr seems to be in the range of current EVs. So 45-50 miles seems doable if it isn't a zillion degrees below zero outside. But a attachment to give you 350 miles additional range?... If you assume a battery with an energy density around 200 Whr/kg, it looks like that "battery" might weigh in around 1000kg (2200 lbs). Hopefully I've miscomputed something, because if I haven't, that "battery" is NOT going to be fun to deal with.

      All in all you might be better off with a Plug-in hybrid with a 50 mile electric range and a 7 gallon or so fuel tank. But currently, that'll run you closer to $30,000 than $5000.

      --
      You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
    4. Re:good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      If you know how to wrench, used ICEs can be great.

      I bought a 1983 Mercedes 300D for $4000 in great condition (someone repainted it and re-did the interior years ago). It's range exceeds 400 miles, and considering your $15k purchase price, I was left with $11k. Assuming $4/gallon and 25 mpg, $11k buys ~70k miles in fuel .

      Downsides? Oil change every ~3k miles, which costs about $40. Fuel and air filters are trivial ($2 - $8). It's slow, and currently leaks oil (and diesel oil is diiiiiiirty). Some stuff will probably break over time, but so will stuff on the econo-electric car.

      Upsides? Very easy to work on, comfy, reliable, looks beautiful, and its value is appreciating.

    5. Re:good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      All in all you might be better off with a Plug-in hybrid with a 50 mile electric range and a 7 gallon or so fuel tank. But currently, that'll run you closer to $30,000 than $5000.

      Most of your estimates are within reason, but this last bit assumes the vehicle MUST be purchased new. A 40-mile electric with 8 gallon gas tank is called a Volt, and a used one with a few years and well under 100k miles on the clock will cost under $10,000. A 5 year old Volt is far nicer than most cars I've ever owned. My current "best car ever" is a 10 year old small SUV.

      To me it's like the exponential curve of memory and CPU pricing. Either wait 6-12 months and that new shiny will be cheap, or more practically, shop near the inflection point in the value curve. Get the most for the least, so to speak. This never includes the "new shiny", CPUs or cars.

    6. Re:good by vtcodger · · Score: 1

      Good point. One thing: The older and cheaper the used PHEV is, the more likely it is to require a new battery pack. But PHEV battery packs are much smaller and presumably much cheaper than the battery pack you'd need for a full EV in the same condition.

      --
      You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
    7. Re:good by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So 45-50 miles seems doable if it isn't a zillion degrees below zero outside. But a attachment to give you 350 miles additional range?... If you assume a battery with an energy density around 200 Whr/kg, it looks like that "battery" might weigh in around 1000kg (2200 lbs). Hopefully I've miscomputed something, because if I haven't, that "battery" is NOT going to be fun to deal with.

      I'm coming a couple days late in the conversation...
      But something seems workable with a 750 Kg trailer. (why? because you can tow it with an ordinary European driving license, and even a very small car)
      Such trailers are a simple single axle, no brake, low profile affair. The 750 Kg include the trailer itself. At least there would be a great, ideal weight distribution. It might made be small.
      The one problem I can see is, people will want to attach things on top the trailer and will break the rules. Well, shave another 50-100 Kg..
      I will thus estimate, you're carting 500 Kg of batteries in a trailer.

      For the car itself I think even the US has some 240V at home. Most of the world has 230V or 220V-240V range. Also, you're making an EV not a converted car. So I hope you can put at least 100km range.
      50 miles is a bit laughable as it's realistic daily range for a bicycle (5h cycling at a moderate speed. 4h if a bit more upbeat or no significant climbs. very roughly)
      Vehicle size, what about the current Fiat Panda, this should fit four big people plus groceries? (three big plus two children, two big plus three normal)
      Make it $9,999 or $8000 maybe. Don't ask me why this price. Maybe with it's with consumer subsidy or used.
      Have a 1 or 2 gallon tank to use for heating?, lol.

      If batteries get cheaper and if less car is cheaper (because the car is simpler and with fewer parts) maybe with have a chance this works. Like when netbooks came out and suddenly a small, simpler laptop cost $300 not $1000.

  15. Re:pffft, 150,000 cars per year by iggymanz · · Score: 1

    no obsession, my point is that electric cars will be made for the masses and profitably so by the big auto manufacturers. Not by little chinese companies and not by musk

  16. Re:pffft, 150,000 cars per year by iggymanz · · Score: 1

    Amazon turned its first profitable quarter in less than 7 years. Two years later it had profit for each of 8 years, 2003-2011. try again

  17. The knowledge is why be careful building in China by raymorris · · Score: 5, Insightful

    About the time I was born, Schwinn was THE brand of bicycles in the US. Every kid wanted a Schwinn. Part of that was marketing, part of it was their production expertise. Schwinn had a lot of "tricks of the trade" to make great bikes.

    To cut costs, Schwinn made a deal with a company I Taiwan to actually manufacture the bikes. They sent their experts to Taiwan to teach the workers there how to do it. After the Taiwanese company started using those techniques to build and sell non-Schwinn bikes, Schwinn switched to a new, small company in China. Again their entire their experts to Asia to teach the workers there all the tricks and techniques.

    The little Chinese company is now the world's largest manufacturer of bikes. Schwinn declared bankruptcy in 1992, and by the time I was 7 years old the bike to have was Diamondback - one of several brands produced and sold by the company in Taiwan.

    Schwinn had taught the Asian manufacturers how to put Schwinn out of business.

    American companies are still doing that. Apple has been very, very good to Foxconn, for example. Foxconn no longer needs Apple, or soon won't. They are now selling direct, using everything they learned from building Apple's products, and can cut Apple off any time they decide it's advantageous to do so.

  18. Impossible by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Fake news, everyone knows China can't innovate and only Tesla make electric cars.

    -Wind Bourne

  19. Half Truths are Still Lies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

    Nope, Henry Ford incorporated in 1903 and made a profit in 1903. Tesla has been around for 15 years and still making no profit.

    Surely you know you are lying by telling only half the truth, right? I mean, if you knew he started in 1899 and nearly went bankrupt with a low-quality, over-priced car, and then re-incoroprated in 1903, you also know that he didn't start shipping the Model-T until 1908. Before that he was selling a custom, low-volume, high-end roadster, the model 999. You might have heard, Tesla also started out selling a low-volume, high-end roadster.

    But one way Musk is not like Ford - Ford didn't have to compete with an already entrenched global industry. So, that might have slowed Ford down just a little bit. But I will give you this, Musk is a thin-skinned narcissistic ayn-randian asshole, but at least he's not a god damn nazi.

    1. Re:Half Truths are Still Lies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Musk supports the ideas of Ayn Rand?

    2. Re:Half Truths are Still Lies by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Almost certainly not, I'd say.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    3. Re:Half Truths are Still Lies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      lol, he totally is. I mean, even ayn rand didn't believe in her own ideas when it came to herself. being part of the ayn rand cult means all that "no taking" stuff applies to everyone else when you take, that's because its important.

    4. Re:Half Truths are Still Lies by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      As far as I'm aware, for example, Musk supports a universal carbon tax, not an everyone-but-me carbon tax.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    5. Re:Half Truths are Still Lies by N1AK · · Score: 1

      I mean, even ayn rand didn't believe in her own ideas

      Ironic that you linked to Snopes article that explains how she explicitly supported the behaviour you claim she didn't. To quote "The victims do not have to add self-inflicted martyrdom to the injury done to them by others; they do not have to let the looters profit doubly, by letting them distribute the money exclusively to the parasites who clamored for it. Whenever the welfare-state laws offer them some small restitution, the victims should take it. ".

      I disagree considerably with Rand's position, though not entirely. You shouldn't make stuff up to criticise her if you don't know enough to make a reasoned argument.

    6. Re:Half Truths are Still Lies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yeah she said that, its the rationalizing I was referring to when talking about how randians always have exceptions when it comes to their personal benefit. Since we all live in a "redistributionalist" society of course its OK for them to be takers too. Of course Musk should take those solyndra loans (yes tesla was funded by same program solyndra was) because he pays taxes too!

    7. Re:Half Truths are Still Lies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      As far as I'm aware, for example, Musk supports a universal carbon tax, not an everyone-but-me carbon tax.

      Surely you can't be that naive?
      Can you name one person who would personally benefit more than Musk? He sells solar panels, batteries and electric cars. A carbon tax would send billions of dollars of business his way.

      He hates them taxes except the ones that will cause him to be personally enriched. Standard randian exceptionalism.

    8. Re:Half Truths are Still Lies by AlwinBarni · · Score: 1

      Nope, Henry Ford incorporated in 1903 and made a profit in 1903. Tesla has been around for 15 years and still making no profit.

      Surely you know you are lying by telling only half the truth, right? I mean, if you knew he started in 1899 and nearly went bankrupt with a low-quality, over-priced car, and then re-incoroprated in 1903, you also know that he didn't start shipping the Model-T until 1908. Before that he was selling a custom, low-volume, high-end roadster, the model 999. You might have heard, Tesla also started out selling a low-volume, high-end roadster.

      Interesting, good to know.

      But I will give you this, Musk is a thin-skinned narcissistic ayn-randian asshole, but at least he's not a god damn nazi.

      And what make you think so? I heard interviews with him, and he seems quite a humble person, extremely humble comparing to some other CEOs.

    9. Re:Half Truths are Still Lies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even the biggest assholes are capable of doing a good interview. Especially those who are sociopaths, those dudes are downright likable as long as they get their way. But as soon as people aren't giving them what they want, they start acting like persecuted little children.

      Musk loses his shit whenever there is a hint of criticism.

      He treated his wife like an employee.
      He fired his PA in the most dickish way possible after when she asked for a raise after 12 years
      He used underpaid illegal immigrant labor to build his factory.
      He uses illegal union-busting tactics.

    10. Re:Half Truths are Still Lies by AlwinBarni · · Score: 1

      On one side the propaganda machine is quite alive online, on the other side the provided links do support your claim - pax.

    11. Re:Half Truths are Still Lies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      FWIW, I think Musk is serving an important purpose. I just don't believe in deifying the guy. If it weren't him, some other member of the billionaire class would be doing substantially the same thing and might even be more of an asshole. Its important that us plebs know his place, even if he doesn't.

    12. Re:Half Truths are Still Lies by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Some Nazi that helped forge the Arsenal of Democracy that ultimately played a big part in smashing the Nazis

    13. Re:Half Truths are Still Lies by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      Can you name one person who would personally benefit more than Musk?

      Pretty much anyone on the planet, given that poor people will be much more affected by environmental damage our civilization is causing right now.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
  20. Re:The knowledge is why be careful building in Chi by aberglas · · Score: 2

    It is worse than that.

    The Chinese will soon be *better* at making bicycles than the west, simply because they do it. Same with robots, there will soon be far more in China than in the USA, and thus far more expertise. If you want to found a startup building smarter robots, you want to be where the robots are.

    Eventually, the Chinese will send their experts to the USA to teach manufacturing.

    The rational economists miss this bit.

  21. Experience is one thing, culture another by raymorris · · Score: 3, Interesting

    > The Chinese will soon be *better* at making bicycles than the west, simply because they do it. Same with robots, there will soon be far more in China than in the USA, and thus far more expertise.

    Experience is one thing. Another parameter is that US culture is very unusual in a particular way, or really two related things. Co-workers from other countries have told me it's a bit hard to get used to working in the US because of this cultural difference.

    In most cultures, including China, when someone shows up to work the company does things a certain way, and it's very often the Chinese way, the way other companies do it. The employee does their part, according to company procedures. That's good for manufacturing a million identical copies. The US is weird in that we tend, much more than other countries, to do things our own way. The employer wants certain results, of course, but each employee may do things a little differently, perhaps using different tools. Rather than doing everything the traditional way, Americans are looking for that "one weird trick" that makes it better, faster, or cheaper. The employee who comes up with a nifty trick to do it better is called clever, inventive, and praised for their ingenuity. In most cultures that behavior would be odd, inconsistent, and potentially dangerous.

    My own workplace is an example - everyone on my team chooses different tools. Even where we have to share a common standard, Git, some of my co-workers use various diff GUIs to work with Git, while I use the command line. The codebase is a mix of programming languages and styles. Heck, some co-workers shine their shoes, some don't wear shoes. An office in China would look, and be, much more consistent, everyone working together, doing it the same way.

    China is very good at making a million identical widgets, America invents like no culture before. They compliment each other - the Americans try all kinds of wacky new ideas and when they get a good one, they contract with the Chinese to make a million of them, precisely to specification.

    Obviously each culture is different in many ways, with different attitudes and norms having different benefits and drawbacks.

    IF we remember where our strength is, the US can continue to be a major and very important part of that synergy. If we lose our individualistic and inventive spirit, well then our workers will be like workers everywhere else, and be competing on wages - and in wages worldwide, only the top 1% make over $25,000 / year or so.

    1. Re:Experience is one thing, culture another by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The Chinese tech boom is drive by people that worked in Silicon valley, and brought that culture back with them, to some extent.

      That said, Xi Jinping is doing his best to produce political conformity, but for some reason that has not translated into operational conformity.

      The Chinese value hard work and education more than the USA.

      We live in interesting times.

    2. Re:Experience is one thing, culture another by GerryGilmore · · Score: 4, Insightful

      While I don't disagree with your analysis, let me differ...
      Fundamentally, there is a nexus between design, engineering and production. A three-legged stool, if you will.
      I would submit that a national economy cannot long subsist on one (or even two) legs of that stool, and we have arbitraged at least 2 of of those legs to an economy that - while efficient - is, at heart, a Communist Dictatorship and we in the west ignore what we have wrought to our peril.

    3. Re:Experience is one thing, culture another by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Well put.

    4. Re:Experience is one thing, culture another by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      China isn't communist. It's regulated capitalism.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    5. Re:Experience is one thing, culture another by vtcodger · · Score: 1

      "The Chinese value hard work and education more than the USA."

      Moreover, there are a hell of a lot of them. That means, all other things being equal, more scientists, more engineers, more everything than the US and EU combined.

      My conclusion: This is probably the Chinese Century (or maybe -- God help us -- the Indian Century), not the American Century. That's going to come as a BIG shock to many Americans -- especially those who support President Dingbat and his merry crew of whackjobs and sociopaths. Not a big deal really. I don't see that the Chinese are likely to do a worse job of running the planet than we Americans have done.

      --
      You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
    6. Re:Experience is one thing, culture another by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      How did I know a communist wrote this before I expanded it?

  22. Re:The knowledge is why be careful building in Chi by GerryGilmore · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Same way that all of the "domestic" brands like IBM and HP became supplanted by Lenovo and Acer/...
    As a capitalist, modern capitalism not only sucks, it's stupid.

  23. Re:pffft, 150,000 cars per year by DogDude · · Score: 1

    150000 != 0, dipshit.

    --
    I don't respond to AC's.
  24. Re:The knowledge is why be careful building in Chi by Pascal+Sartoretti · · Score: 1

    Manufacturing a bike doesn't require much more than building it. The design of bikes doesn't change that much anymore.

    Manufacturing an iPhone, however...

  25. 35 gwh/year by dehachel12 · · Score: 1

    The company can crank out around 17 gigawatt-hours of lithium-ion cells annually, placing it just ahead of Korea's LG Chem, the Tesla and Panasonic partnership, and China's electric-vehicle giant BYD.

    It seems to me the numbers/ranking could be off, the tesla gigafactory targets 35 Gwh annually, but I can't find current production numbers. https://electrek.co/2018/01/03...

    1. Re:35 gwh/year by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I'd say that Tesla is now manufacturing batteries at a run rate in excess of 30GWh/year. Musk says a run rate of 5,000/wk of the Model 3, which is shipping with an 80kWh battery and the company is producing around 100,000 Model S & X vehicles per year, which probably have an average battery size of 80kWh as well. That's 360,000 vehicles per year packing around 28.8GWh of batteries.

      There's also the energy storage products as well, which while we don't know what the production rates are, we do know that there are thousands of the domestic units being made each year and each packs over 15kWh of batteries. In the previous quarter Tesla stated it had installed 1GWh of storage.

  26. Re:The knowledge is why be careful building in Chi by Ryanrule · · Score: 1

    better is not part of chinese education. they cant do it.

  27. and mobile phones will benamse by Nokia. by k2r · · Score: 1

    For a German the situation is really frightening.

    1. Re:and mobile phones will benamse by Nokia. by k2r · · Score: 1

      Autocorrect is even more freshly.

  28. Re:The knowledge is why be careful building in Chi by shilly · · Score: 1

    Foxconn has been trying to break into retail sales since at least 2010. I'm not sure Apple is quaking in its boots about this threat just yet. There may be a little more to the business model than knowing how to assemble components.

  29. Re: pffft, 150,000 cars per year by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Henry Ford first ran Cadillac, which went bankrupt (a history to be repeated). The first Ford cars had Dodge engines. His first cars were mostly for the ultra rich with very high profit margins.

    Ford was very smart and was a very good inventor and very good at running a company. But he isn't better than Musk.

  30. Re:pffft, 150,000 cars per year by DirkDaring · · Score: 1

    You should short their stock then, you will be rich.

  31. Re:pffft, 150,000 cars per year by vtcodger · · Score: 1

    'My point is that electric cars will be made for the masses"

    Surely that's correct. At least that's the way it worked in the past.

    "... and profitably so by the big auto manufacturers. Not by little chinese companies"

    By that logic, the Volkswagen Beetle (21,000,000 produced) and the Toyota Corolla (40,000,000 produced) could not have succeeded. In the past the "big manufacturers" have either shied away from low end vehicles or produced lousy ones. But maybe things are different this time.

      "... and not by musk"

    Who the hell knows? I'm skeptical that Elon Musk can ever produce a world dominating basic transport vehicle in the US. But for all we know, he's cobbling together a production plan for a plant complex in China, Vietnam, or someplace even cheaper -- Somalia or Burkina Faso.

    --
    You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
  32. Re: pffft, 150,000 cars per year by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Thanks for pointing out the obvious and thinking it's insightful. There aren't just 2 car companies today, and there probably won't be only 2 in the future. Great information. Without specifically Tesla and China in general though, there would not have been the electric car movement. All the current automakers are fighting tooth and nail and adopting electric cars only it off necessity.

  33. Re:pffft, 150,000 cars per year by vtcodger · · Score: 1

    150,000 vehicles a year is 500 vehicles a day, right? That's serious production, but not all that dramatic. Elon Musk is shooting for 600+ per day. BMW produces 1000 per day.

    --
    You can't see ANYTHING from a car, You've got to get out of the goddamned contraption and walk...Edward Abbey
  34. Re:pffft, 150,000 cars per year by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Nope, Henry Ford incorporated in 1903 and made a profit in 1903.

    Which is utterly false. The first company Henry Ford founded went under. And later on, Ford had numerous financial setbacks and nearly ended up losing control of his company. He also dropped the ball again when he tried to drag out Model T production too long. Honda nearly went bankrupt in its early history, so this isn't strictly an American story, nor is it unique to the auto industry. John D Rockefeller borrowed so much money to finance his takeover of the Cleveland refinery industry that the local banks ran out of money to loan him.

    My point is: your state is a lie.

  35. Re:The knowledge is why be careful building in Chi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The shift from steel to aluminum, titanium, carbon fiber, and even Bamboo bicycles would like a word with your statement. Also, the shift from the traditional ten speed of the 70s-80s to the twelve speed cassettes with double or triple cranks of now. The refined brifters (brake/shifter combination levers) as opposed to the traditional frame mounted shifter and separate brake levers.

    Bikes change constantly. Sure, the basic frame looks similar on most of them aside from some minor tweaks for either stability or performance, but the rest of it is in constant flux. I bought a pretty high-grade bike about five years ago. It's original hardware is now considered woefully out-of-date.

  36. Re:pffft, 150,000 cars per year by iggymanz · · Score: 1

    no, world was different place 100 years ago when entire countries had market need. In the here and now, big companies will do it, and little car makers don't stand a chance

  37. Re:The knowledge is why be careful building in Chi by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You're framing this as if it's a bad thing.

    You get cheaper bikes. More value for your money. Shwinn, and it's workers, can get fucked. They're frankly not as important as the former. Thanks to that company, called Giant, I can get a full carbon bike for 10/th of what they cost 15 years ago.

    There is a lot of hard data, science, study to back up the above. It is extremely economically destructive to turn down lower cost goods. It's a tax on your citizens all but in name.

    During the Obama administration we put a tariff on tires to protect domestic tire workers. Know how much that cost? Damn near a million dollars per worker. You, the tax payer, spent 926 thousand dollars per person to keep those jobs on US soil.

    http://www.aei.org/publication/2009-tire-tariffs-cost-us-consumers-926k-per-job-saved-and-led-to-the-loss-of-3-retail-jobs-per-factory-job-saved/

    Those workers don't even have to 'get fucked' as I mentioned above. It would have been much, much, much cheaper to pay for each worker's retraining AND cut them a no-strings-attatched check for one year's wages to help them out while they transition to new work.

    You, and other laypersons, have absolutely no idea how destructive and harmful protectionist policies are to your own country. Worse, they're mostly tilted against the poor and minorities. Every time you step in to distort the market to protect someone's interests there are deep consequences felt throughout the system.

    Free trade AND a policy of aiding displaced workers is the best way forward. Unfortunately in the US we see aiding displaced workers as 'handouts' and prefer instead to shoot ourselfs in the foot and cripple our economy rather than suffer damage to some warped notion of pride.

  38. Re:The knowledge is why be careful building in Chi by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    Foxconn has been trying to break into retail sales since at least 2010. I'm not sure Apple is quaking in its boots about this threat just yet. There may be a little more to the business model than knowing how to assemble components.

    I won't even buy a Foxconn PC motherboard because they're poop, even though Foxconn makes plenty of other brands' motherboards. They are literally generations away from being a threat to Apple, and I don't mean generations of PC hardware.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  39. Re:pffft, 150,000 cars per year by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    electric cars will be made for the masses and profitably so by the big auto manufacturers. Not by little chinese companies

    The second, third, and fourth-largest corporations on the planet are Chinese. You may not have noticed, but they've got a lot of people in their country. They currently have a whole bunch of different automotive brands because that's the phase their auto industry has been in. Now you're going to see consolidation. People have been making noise about the Chinese coming to America to sell cars for literally decades, but it looks like it's actually going to happen with EVs.

    Lots of people would take a low-range EV if it were seriously cheap, so I think China's got a good chance to sell a whole lot of cars here once they work out crash safety.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  40. Did you read my post? Tariffs wtf? by raymorris · · Score: 1

    Did you even read my post before replying to it? Where did I say anything about protectionist tariffs? How exactly did I frame it as a bad thing? When I said the cultures "complement one another", when I mentioned the "synergy".

    Your rabid advocacy seems to be detrimental to your literacy.

    As far as what's ideal, you wouldn't want doctors building cabinets while carpenters diagnose disease. Each should do what they are good at. It's the same with countries. Ideally, each country should do the things that they do better than other countries.

    As I mentioned, over the last century (or two), the US has been good at inventing new things and engineering new things. Because we're good at that, we should do a lot of that.

  41. Re:pffft, 150,000 cars per year by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    People have been making noise about the Chinese coming to America to sell cars for literally decades, but it looks like it's actually going to happen with EVs.

    Hate to burst your bubble, but they already do...
    https://www.walmart.com/ip/BMW-X6-6-Volt-Electric-Battery-Powered-Ride-On-Toy-by-Huffy/27831884

    ...once they work out crash safety

    Oh yeah. Um, good luck waiting for that to happen.

  42. Re:pffft, 150,000 cars per year by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Amazon turned its first profitable quarter in less than 7 years. Two years later it had profit for each of 8 years, 2003-2011. try again

    So what you're saying, basically, is that building a massive manufacturing capacity takes just a wee bit longer than building massive warehouses? Color me surprised.

  43. Re:pffft, 150,000 cars per year by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

    Um, good luck waiting for that to happen.

    The Chinese are building plenty of vehicles which are good enough to pass US crash tests. Granted, most or all of them are for foreign marques and built under license, but they'll figure it out sooner or later.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  44. Re:pffft, 150,000 cars per year by nasch · · Score: 1

    150,000 a year is still around 1% of Toyota's output. It's not nothing, but it's not a game changer either when viewed in the context of the world auto market.