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A Nuclear Startup Will Fold After Failing To Deliver Reactors That Run on Spent Fuel (technologyreview.com)

Transatomic Power, an MIT spinout that drew wide attention and millions in funding, is shutting down almost two years after the firm backtracked on bold claims for its design of a molten-salt reactor. From a report: The company, founded in 2011, plans to announce later today that it's winding down. Transatomic had claimed its technology could generate electricity 75 times more efficiently than conventional light-water reactors, and run on their spent nuclear fuel. But in a white paper published in late 2016, it backed off the latter claim entirely and revised the 75 times figure to "more than twice," a development first reported by MIT Technology Review. Those downgrades forced the company to redesign its system. That delayed plans to develop a demonstration reactor, pushing the company behind rival upstarts like TerraPower and Terrestrial Energy, says Leslie Dewan, the company's cofounder and chief executive. The longer timeline and reduced performance advantage made it harder to raise the necessary additional funding, which was around $15 million. "We weren't able to scale up the company rapidly enough to build a reactor in a reasonable time frame," Dewan says.

104 of 185 comments (clear)

  1. So What? by atomicalgebra · · Score: 4, Interesting

    There are around 50 nuclear startups designing 4th generation reactors. Some were always going to fail. In fact most will probably fail. Some will succeed though.

    NuScale is the closest to market. Their design has already passed NRC phase 1 review, and it has been certified as meltdown proof. They will be constructing their first 12 reactors in Idaho for Utah municipalities. Hopefully in a decade they will be mass producing them like airplanes.

    1. Re:So What? by Areyoukiddingme · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Take a look at the CEO and you will see why the editors are interested in this.

      Isn't it great that women are learning how to overpromise and underdeliver? That used to be the exclusive domain of tall men with chiseled jaws named Chad. Equality. Isn't it grand?

      At least this one didn't resort to fraudulent activity. She's a role model!

    2. Re:So What? by crunchygranola · · Score: 1

      There are around 50 nuclear startups designing 4th generation reactors. Some were always going to fail. In fact most will probably fail. Some will succeed though.

      NuScale is the closest to market. Their design has already passed NRC phase 1 review, and it has been certified as meltdown proof. They will be constructing their first 12 reactors in Idaho for Utah municipalities. Hopefully in a decade they will be mass producing them like airplanes.

      I challenge you to back that "50 nuclear startups" with anything.

      NuScale does at least exist (unlike the just shuttered Transatomic) and has done enough work to pass a design review, and to get a license to start looking for sites at the Idaho National Laboratory (but not for any actual site), and so yes, this is farther along than any of the others.

      But I went Googling to check whether these projects existed anywhere but as NuScale press releases on their own website -- like on the websites of the purported buyer/owner/operator of these 12 reactors, Utah Associated Municipal Power Systems (UAMPS), and the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) the proposed site to see how real this project is. That is, has funding actually been lined up? Are there any contracts signed to buy the power, or even parties committing to it without signing a contract. Is there a start date for building the first unit? And so forth.

      And in every one of these areas there is one big goose egg.

      What I found is that at the beginning of this year INL reported to the state that thus far the project consists of the fact that the "DOE granted a site use permit... in February 2016 that enables UAMPS to study, license and locate a NuScale-designed SMR at INL." Further there is no indication on the UAMPS site that anything has been agreed to other than that "study" thing. No announcement about an actual site selected, funding, customers for the power, a start date, etc..

      In particular this the total content on the UAMPS website about the supposed NuScale project for which they are the alleged customer:

      The Carbon Free Power Project is in the first phase of investigating the feasibility of a small modular reactor project using NuScale technology. The CFPP could consist of up to twelve 50 MW reactors located at the Idaho National Laboratory near Idaho Falls. The feasibility analysis includes engineering and regulatory activities to complete a site selection analysis to allow the project participants the necessary information to make a decision whether to proceed with the Construction and Operating License Application.

      Nothing about this blurb has been updated since it was first written about four years ago.

      Other than some promotional material copied from the NuScale website (and links to same) to provide the background to this blurb, there is nothing else on the site. Their last annual report simply said that decisions would be made in 2018 about this proposal, we are most of the way through 2018 and no decisions have been made. The previous annual report said that decisions would be made in 2017 about this proposal.

      There is no plan to build even one of these reactors right now. All there is is a feasibility study of the proposal in progress, and a permit to investigate and select a site at INL, but no actual sites have been selected.

      Those 12 reactors are at the moment, simply a proposal, under study, with no funding or commitment to built them.

      --
      Second class citizen of the New Gilded Age
    3. Re:So What? by atomicalgebra · · Score: 1

      I challenge you to back that "50 nuclear startups" with anything.

      Third way mapped out 48 different startups. https://public.tableau.com/profile/third.way#!/vizhome/AdvancedNuclearIndustry_TheNextGeneration/Dashboard1 That took less than 30 second on google. I take it you cannot use google. 47 startups now that transatomic has shuttered.

      You are wrong about several other statements in your crazy person rant.

      NuScale just picked a manufacture. 83 companies expressed interest. That would not happen if it was not really going to be built. Also congress just passed a bipartisan law designed to help these startups. There are few more bills in the pipeline designed to help this initiative.

      Face it NuScale is going to build those 12 reactors.

    4. Re:So What? by HeckRuler · · Score: 1

      I'm fine with equality. It's good even. It's the absolute nut-ballers demanding equity that concern me. Equality of outcome is an unobtainable toxic trap that the mentally unsound are trying to drag everyone into. I'm still pissed they've got their hooked into the Linux foundation.

  2. Re:Where's thorium? by alvinrod · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Being able to reprocess spent nuclear fuel means that there's less of a storage issue for nuclear waste.

  3. Re:Where's thorium? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Why are nuclear fanboys still pushing debunked Thorium breeder technology that has been relegated to a scientific curiosity? The new messiah is SMR's.

    http://www.world-nuclear.org/information-library/nuclear-fuel-cycle/nuclear-power-reactors/small-nuclear-power-reactors.aspx

  4. Re:turns out science is hard by alvinrod · · Score: 2, Insightful

    I think this is less that science is hard, and more that claims two orders of magnitude improvements in anything are probably bullshit unless there's a working demonstration. I'm also not sure that millennials are any worse at falling for that kind of bullshit than previous generations were either and sites like Kickstarter just mean that the public can get in on funding the kinds of scams that venture capitalists have been shown for decades.

  5. Re:Where's thorium? by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

    Why is anyone wasting their time on this when there's thorium?

    Their design does use thorium. The base salt is thorium fluoride. You heat up the salt till it melts, and then just mix in the nuclear waste, hook it up to a turbine, and presto, energy too cheap to meter.

    Thorium salt reactors work GREAT in theory, and nerds tend to love them. In reality, there are ... problems.

  6. Re:turns out science is hard by TWX · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I'd rather that money be spent/wasted on failed attempts at getting us off of fossil fuels when the math indicates that the idea might work, than to continue to burn hydrocarbon fuel for stationary power plants.

    --
    Do not look into laser with remaining eye.
  7. Physics wins again! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    The momentum of the regulatory structure is impressive.

  8. Well by DaMattster · · Score: 1

    First we had Rocket Jesus, a.k.a Elon Musk, and now we have Nuclear Jesus, a.k.a Leslie Dewan. Although, molten salt does remain (eventually) a viable idea.

    1. Re:Well by DaMattster · · Score: 1

      Says the anonymous coward. At least I don't hide behind a monicker.

    2. Re:Well by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      Although, molten salt does remain (eventually) a viable idea.

      Eventually when? When we've got some kind of unobtainium lining to contain the molten salt effectively, unlike now?

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    3. Re:Well by Galactic+Dominator · · Score: 1

      At least I don't hide behind a monicker.

      Ok, DaMattster.

      --
      brandelf -t FreeBSD /brain
  9. How's that work by rsilvergun · · Score: 1

    when the wiki page says gas plants cost $1900/kilowatt vs $5000/kilowatt.... That's the only part I don't get. Is this just building in alternative sources for better grid reliability?

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    1. Re:How's that work by atomicalgebra · · Score: 1

      NuScale current estimate is $4200/kilowatt. Mass production hopefully will reduce that cost further. Gas is dirty. I do not understand why you do not understand that. Climate change is real. Air Pollution is real. Also gas is expensive for the consumer. Peaking natural gas often goes for $1000 MWh. Compare that to Diablo Canyon which sales electricity at $27 MWh (1/3 the average cost).

    2. Re:How's that work by AlanBDee · · Score: 1

      Gas is dirty. I do not understand why you do not understand that. Climate change is real. Air Pollution is real. Also gas is expensive for the consumer.

      Have you met the average consumer? If you tell them that this "clean energy" will only cost them twice as much most won't approve. It has to be directly cheaper then natural gas. For us engineers that's nuts, but then again I accepted long ago that most people are stupid and short sighted.

      As a resident of Utah I enjoy pretty cheap power and solar is a very viable option with about a 10-year payoff rate. So it'll be a hard sell to convince people that it's worth the risk of putting in a Nuclear Reactor anywhere near them; regardless of how safe they say it is.

    3. Re:How's that work by thegarbz · · Score: 2

      Have you met the average consumer? If you tell them that this "clean energy" will only cost them twice as much most won't approve.

      Eventually the USA will join the 1st world and stop ignoring externalised costs, the "average consumer" will actually pay for the real cost of electricity and not only opt for the green choice, but maybe start doing something to actively bring the horrid energy consumption per household of the USA down to more reasonable levels.

    4. Re:How's that work by mspohr · · Score: 1

      Solar and wind are about $1000/kilowatt so much cheaper (and getting cheaper every day).
      Solar and wind energy costs about $20/MWh so much cheaper (and getting cheaper every day).
      Batteries to smooth production and protect the grid pay for themselves so no extra cost.
      Solar and wind are proven technologies which can be installed in running in less than a year compared to nuclear research projects which may or may not produce electricity decades from now. Why even try?

      --
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    5. Re:How's that work by mspohr · · Score: 1

      Wind and solar power sources are cheaper than nuclear, coal, NG, etc. Try telling people they need to pay more for nuclear and fossil fuel power.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    6. Re:How's that work by commodore64_love · · Score: 2

      Nice USA bash. "America is the suck." HOWEVER the 1st world includes the European Union and Japan, both of whom are shutting-down nuclear plants (after the 2011 earthquake released a bunch of radioactivity).

      --
      "I disapprove of what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it." - historian Evelyn Beatrice Hall
    7. Re:How's that work by atomicalgebra · · Score: 1
      Solar and wind have capacity factors of 30%. They do not function 100% of the time. Solar produces nothing when demand is at its highest(see duck curve). If you count the cost of batteries the price will explode. If you take into account how much energy nuclear generates it much more competitive. If California or Germany spent their resources on new nuclear instead of renewables they would already be 100% clean.

      Batteries to smooth production and protect the grid pay for themselves so no extra cost.

      Nope. You are just looking at that tesla load balancing battery in Australia. Scale that up to 100% grid storage, and you get a cost ~$40 trillion just for the US. That is not feasible.

      Solar and wind are proven technologies

      Nuclear is also a proven technology. In the US it accounts for 60% of our clean energy. The only countries that have deeply decarbonized did it with a combination of hydro and/or nuclear. New hydro is a no go because of its danger and environmental impacts. That leaves nuclear for most locations.

      Why even try?

      You do know climate change is real. We need to reduce the amount of greenhouse gasses we emit significantly. We are on pace for a 5 degree C increase. And you forgetting the second half of the problem--transportation. A large nuclear baseload source will make solving the transportation problem a lot easier. Basically if I am right, and we follow your path millions will die. So that is why we need to try.

    8. Re:How's that work by mspohr · · Score: 1

      Nuclear is 100% clean if you don't count the nuclear waste.
      It's not just Australia, batteries pay for themselves everywhere. Nobody needs 100% grid storage anywhere.
      Nuclear is proven to be very expensive. Long lead times, overruns on costs. Even old nuclear plants can't compete with wind and solar.
      Climate change is real. Wind, solar and batteries are proven technologies which can be installed in less than a year. Why waste money on nuclear (Votgle, I'm looking at you) when you can have a solution this year, not sometime in the future.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    9. Re:How's that work by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Nice USA bash. "America is the suck."

      No. I don't bash anyone. I do criticise however. The USA has a fascination with energy waste mostly driven by the insanely low cost of energy. It's the fundamental economic principle behind it. Humans the world over will opt for comfort and convenience. Just in much of the world where energy is taxed to clean up the externalised costs it's more expensive so people take more care of it.

      HOWEVER the 1st world includes the European Union and Japan

      Countries where cars get significantly higher mileage and are used far less (cost of gasoline 4x higher than the USA). And back to energy use, the average USA connected house uses 10800 kWh / year, a statistic similar to countries with similar energy cost. In the EU the average is 3900kWh / year. Japan is actually quite high being closer to 7500kWh / year.

      both of whom are shutting-down nuclear plants

      While I find little information for the latter, the former has managed to do so while still reducing greenhoues gases. The investment in green energy has dwarfed the effects of shuttering nuclear reactors. Even now in Germany the nuclear baseload matches the continuous green energy production that has been built up over the past few years, and on sunny / windy days is about 1/6th of the green energy supply.

      To be clear America is not "the suck". It's a great country with many things to be proud of.

      It does however suck specifically in terms of energy consumption per household, and greenhouse gas emissions per household.

    10. Re:How's that work by dfenstrate · · Score: 1

      when the wiki page says gas plants cost $1900/kilowatt vs $5000/kilowatt.... That's the only part I don't get. Is this just building in alternative sources for better grid reliability?

      Grid reliability and fuel diversity is part of the equation, but nuclear can have lower operating costs due to the extremely cheap fuel. Now, a nuclear plant does require far greater staffing than a combustion plant, but that doesn't eat up all the savings of cheap uranium fuel.

      A large nuclear power plant with efficient staffing is a huge money maker in most (not all) parts of the US and the world.

      --
      Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms should be the name of a store, not a government agency.
    11. Re:How's that work by atomicalgebra · · Score: 1

      Then why has Germany failed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from electricity production? They have spent a quarter of a trillion euros on renewables with very little to show for it(except of course the highest energy prices in Europe). Their electricity grid pollutes 10x as much as France does.

      Nobody needs 100% grid storage anywhere.

      If you do not have 100% grid storage it means you are running on something other than renewables. In germany it is coal, in California it is natural gas. We should be using nuclear since it is cleaner than coal/gas.

      It is not wasting money on nuclear when they plants can run for a 100 years (Vogtle).

      Also waste is red herring. Waste from nuclear energy has never harmed a single person in world history.

    12. Re: How's that work by mspohr · · Score: 1
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    13. Re: How's that work by atomicalgebra · · Score: 1

      Citing Jacobson eh? You do know he is a snake oil salesman? The National academy of sciences has discredited his work. Read the article here

      In particular, we point out that this work used invalid modeling tools, contained modeling errors, and made implausible and inadequately supported assumptions. Policy makers should treat with caution any visions of a rapid, reliable, and low-cost transition to entire energy systems that relies almost exclusively on wind, solar, and hydroelectric power.

      Jacobson is a con man.

    14. Re: How's that work by mspohr · · Score: 1

      If you are familiar with that hit piece from people funded by Exxon, Ford Motors, and other fossil and nuclear fuel advocates, etc. then you should also be familiar with Jacobsons reply.
      http://www.pnas.org/content/11...

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    15. Re: How's that work by atomicalgebra · · Score: 1

      Yeah his reply was an ad hominem attack followed by a lawsuit. Filing lawsuits against other scientists is why I started calling him a snake oil salesman. His reply did not address any of the criticism of the original article. Jacobson's and your opposition to nuclear energy is emotional.

      MIT scientists just released analysis saying we will need nuclear energy. Climate scientist James Hansen called Nuclear energy "the only viable path forward on climate change." Maybe you should try to understand why a large number of scientists are on my side in this debate.

    16. Re: How's that work by mspohr · · Score: 1

      If only nuclear could get its act together, it might be viable. As it is, it's just too expensive to matter. The latest nuclear fiasco is the Votgle plant in Georgia which is on the precipice of being cancelled. It started as a $7 billion project and is now up to $32 billion with no end in sight (and, of course, many years late).
      The latest nuclear darling NuScale, is thinking it might be able to start producing electricity ten years from now (and no word on costs).
      We can't wait ten years to start producing clean energy. Wind, solar, hydro, geothermal are all available now, can be installed and running in less than a year and produce cheaper energy than anything else. Cheaper than coal, NG, (and especially) nuclear.

      --
      I don't read your sig. Why are you reading mine?
    17. Re: How's that work by atomicalgebra · · Score: 1

      Actually $28 billion which comes out to $14 billion per reactor. Not a bad deal considering the reactors will last 100+ years. Of course the Chinese built an AP 1000 in five years so it can be done. Nuclear energy should be thought of as a public works projects and should be subsidized(like solar and wind). The cost of the reactors in insignificant when compared to the cost of climate change or the costs of batteries.

      NuScale is forced to wait years before they are even allowed to start construction. This is because the NRC implemented forced delays into all new nuclear projects in the 1970's. That is what happens when you let the nuclear industry be regulated by the coal industry. Congress has started to change these laws recently in a rare bipartisan effort.

      We can't wait ten years to start producing clean energy.

      You are right. We should have built our nuclear fleet out 30 years ago. "The best time to plant a tree was 30 years ago The second best time is right now." We need to start building more reactors right now. NuScale has a chance to change the calculus. It is a proven technology since it is basically a mass produced submarine reactor.

      Wind, solar, hydro, geothermal are all available now

      Wind and solar are good, but they have low capacity factors. Solar produces 0 electricity when demand is at the highest level. New hydro is a no go because of environmental concerns, and it cannot be installed in less than a year. Geothermal is location based. I do not oppose of those options. New nuclear should also be in the mix along with keeping our current plants alive.

  10. Re:turns out science is hard by Brett+Buck · · Score: 2

    Right. The basic design principles were perfectly well-understood 60 years ago. No one is going to come along and improve the efficiency by a factor of 75. It's a claim that anyone with any sort of technical knowledge, not even specific knowledge of nuclear energy, would reject out of hand. It was bullshit for dimwitted financial types and loony environmentalists, some of whom apparently took the bait.

  11. Re:Where's thorium? by orlanz · · Score: 1

    But I thought there were already "breeder reactors" that did this. How was this design different from them?

  12. Incredible! by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1

    in a paper on its site dated November 2016, the company downgraded “75 times” to “more than twice.” In addition, it now specifies that the design “does not reduce existing stockpiles of spent nuclear fuel” or use them as its fuel source.

    So, something like "I have a cure for the worst disease ever [...] I meant a cure for a disease [...] Actually, it is just a placebo".

    I don't know what I find more unbelievably ridiculous: people getting tons of money from simple words with no kind of validation (not even making too much sense) and losing all of it; or their apparent lack of awareness of what written whatever implies, mainly nowadays and with internet! How can anyone say so big lies in a so public fashion without expecting any kind of consequence! IMHO, lying at all is a bad policy but, under these circumstances, it is almost a crime!! Even by assuming that they could get away with it, what about their self-respect? Thinking about others' reaction when realising about the truth? I cannot imagine how could I ever trust even a tiny bit what a person able to do such a thing says. I cannot even picture myself having the before and after conversation with someone like that. "I see that all what you said were lies and you undeservedly got lots of money which you lose. OK. Let's have a cup of coffee and not talk about all this anymore!".

    --
    Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
    1. Re:Incredible! by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      eh, it's technically possible (and a done deal) to use spent fuel or even depleted uranium or natural uranium in certain types of reactors, and to get many times the energy out of said fuel than a PWR could do.

    2. Re:Incredible! by drinkypoo · · Score: 2

      it's technically possible (and a done deal) to use spent fuel or even depleted uranium or natural uranium in certain types of reactors, and to get many times the energy out of said fuel than a PWR could do.

      Yes, but it requires special equipment and special handling, and it still can't be done cost-effectively.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    3. Re:Incredible! by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      What are you talking about, seven countries use CANDU reactors, there are 31 around the world in use and more are being built.

    4. Re:Incredible! by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 2

      eh, it's technically possible (and a done deal) to use spent fuel or even depleted uranium

      I didn't refer to that aspect at all, just to the evident lies like "75 times more efficient" (than a quite mature technology on which lots of work has been done?!). In fact, I cannot think of a single scenario in any technological field with over 20 years where a 75-times improvement is possible right away. And in case of being possible at all (and logically by assuming that it doesn't provoke other problems), it would imply a beyond-justifiable incompetence in that specific field.

      In any case and without wanting to start a discussion here about those specific approaches, when your conclusions have an eminently-theoretical basis, even if formed by extrapolating results from empirical tests under restricted conditions, you should make an extra effort to ensure that your estimates are realistic (no single theory can account for all what really happens at the practical level). Otherwise, it wouldn't really matter to me whether you were extremely incompetent or intentionally dishonest: your conclusions wouldn't make any sense. Pretty much like seriously expecting a function to deliver reliable results under clearly overfitted conditions. Something like "I have two data points, 1-2 and 2-4, and my conclusion is that y=2x will perfectly explain a behaviour potentially applicable to thousands of cases". Ridiculous! The sensible interpretation is that you don't have enough information to know what is going on.

      --
      Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
    5. Re:Incredible! by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 2

      Apparently, you are seem to be wrongly assuming that CANDU reactors ("...allowing it to use some alternative fuels; for example, "recovered uranium"...") are necessarily related to reusing uranium. Also according to Wikipedia, "Reuse of reprocessed uranium has not been common because of low prices in the uranium market of recent decades, and because it contains undesirable isotopes of uranium.". Apparently, the whole point of this project was precisely to improve on this front and the fact that they weren't able to deliver (in general but mainly on the reusing-uranium front) seems to confirm the aforementioned problems of this approach.

      --
      Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
    6. Re:Incredible! by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      you are the one making incorrect assumptions, in this case that the difficulties of a couple countries with low aptitude in recycling fuel applies to all.

      CANDU are using reprocessed fuel in China and Canada.

      France has been recovering uranium for decades.

    7. Re:Incredible! by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 2

      France has been recovering uranium for decades.

      After some online research, I haven't been able to find any reference undoubtedly confirming your statement in the sense of your intention (i.e., defending that regularly reusing uranium is perfectly feasible for more or less typical nuclear plant operations). There are certainly quite a few references to uranium (or plutonium) recycling (and France does look like being very active on this front), but not indicating the absolute superiority (being the future, lots of work being done on this front or similar) of this approach and/or its suitability for normal or big-scale nuclear power generation. This process seems to have quite a few problems like generation of additional dangerous products, requiring certain kind of inputs (e.g., enriched-more-than-usual uranium) and special conditions (e.g., having to deal with too hot fuel). You can find what looks like a quite good overall summary here. Long-term storage of nuclear waste is likely to be a big concern for France and their high recycling activity might be mostly meant to somehow minimise the impact of this. I couldn't find any reference to waste-recycling having a relevant impact on France's (or any other country's) nuclear power generation though.

      In summary and as per my current understanding of this specific aspect of nuclear power, it seems that most of the recycling efforts are either R&D-ish or performed under very specific conditions to somehow improve certain issues (not being a serious fuel alternative for normal operation). There seems to also be another set of sources/interests defending these ideas on more or less abstract lines (like your "France has been recovering uranium for decades"), whose actual knowledge or real interest in the proper, long-term understanding of what all this implies seems very low. Nuclear, financial, misguided-eco lobbies? The kind of people who says things like "all our energy problems will be solved once we get nuclear fusion working". I am more than happy to update my impressions and my (a bit rusty) knowledge on this matter, but this doesn't seem possible via absolute statements with no validation. Please, feel free to share actually-relevant information and to prove me wrong.

      --
      Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
    8. Re:Incredible! by iggymanz · · Score: 1

      There are 12 sites in the world that do it, besides France done in China, UK, India, Pakistan and Russia. Reprocessed fuel is sold commercially and used the world over.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    9. Re:Incredible! by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 2
      This is a bit better. Let's take a look at your link...

      challenges of repository siting (a problem that applies equally to direct disposal of spent fuel), the environmental risks of the aqueous and organic waste streams, and because of its high cost compared to the once-through fuel cycle

      but all are agreed that under current (2005) economic conditions the reprocessing-recycle option is the more costly

      If reprocessing is undertaken only to reduce the radioactivity level of spent fuel it should be taken into account that spent nuclear fuel becomes less radioactive over time. After 40 years its radioactivity drops by 99.9%,[46] though it still takes over a thousand years for the level of radioactivity to approach that of natural uranium.

      On 25 October 2011 a commission of the Japanese Atomic Energy Commission revealed during a meeting calculations about the costs of recycling nuclear fuel for power generation. These costs could be twice the costs of direct geological disposal of spent fuel

      And now let's see the distribution of these plants: China (1), France (3), UK (2), India (4), Pakistan (2) and Russia (1). By taking a quick look at these numbers (+ the ones of already decommissioned plants whose total is higher), the situation seems pretty descriptive even before analysing the generated power. They have been running since quite long time ago (starting in 1944!!), are available in only a few countries (most of them "cost concerned") and represent a very tiny fraction of the total number of nuclear plants. Even though the really relevant figures would be the ones comparing the actual power generated from reused vs. natural fuel, which are likely to be even much more negative for your interests.

      --
      Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
  13. Re:turns out science is hard by taiwanjohn · · Score: 4, Insightful

    claims two orders of magnitude improvements in anything are probably bullshit

    Normally I'd agree, but in this case the 10^2 improvement is largely based on the horrific inefficiency of our current fleet of solid-fuel, water moderated nukes, which is something like 0.7%. The vast majority of this efficiency gain is due to the liquid-fuel design (in this case, molten salt), which allows fuel to be reprocessed on the fly, whereas "traditional" nukes use solid fuel rods which degrade over time, and become unusable long before their energy content is anywhere near used up.

    Other molten salt designs are under development, such as LFTR, which have similar claims on improved efficiency. The main difference is that this one (WAMSR) was supposed to be able to burn up existing stockpiles of spent nuclear fuel. Apparently that particular trick turned out to be more difficult than they anticipated.

    --
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  14. Re: Where's thorium? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Being able to process English would be a great thing for the fake news editors to handle first. MIT spinout, really?

    Would you prefer 'MIT flameout' instead?

    Better yet, MIT Fallout!

  15. Hype by sjbe · · Score: 2, Interesting

    There are around 50 nuclear startups designing 4th generation reactors. Some were always going to fail. In fact most will probably fail.

    No there are lots of them CLAIMING to be developing new reactor designs. Some of them might actually be working on the problem even. Curiously we've seen zero of these actually make it to market.

    Some will succeed though.

    There is no guarantee of that.

    NuScale is the closest to market.

    Maybe. Best info I can find says they hope to have an operational reactor in 2024 and that was their projection in 2013. That means optimistically they might have something to show 6+ years from now. Not exactly cause for excitement.

    Their design has already passed NRC phase 1 review, and it has been certified as meltdown proof.

    NRC phase 1 review is a "Preliminary Safety Evaluation Report (SER) and Requests for Additional Information". It does not mean it has been certified as anything.

    They will be constructing their first 12 reactors in Idaho for Utah municipalities.

    If that were true you would think they would post it somewhere on their website. Perhaps you are talking about this project?

    Hopefully in a decade they will be mass producing them like airplanes.

    While I wish them well I think this is a good approximation of impossible.

    1. Re:Hype by drinkypoo · · Score: 1

      U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Approves Key Safety Aspect to NuScale Powerâ(TM)s Advanced Reactor Design

      From the fine press release, "The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) has concluded that application of NuScale Powerâ(TM)s novel safety design approach eliminates the need for class 1E power for its small modular reactor (SMR)." OK, so they've signed off on one aspect of the design. The PR goes on to say that "the NRCâ(TM)s final report approving the design is expected to be complete by September 2020." That was approval of a feature, not the design. Get back to use when they have design approval.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:Hype by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      Anyone claiming that something is "meltdown proof" is a charlatan.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    3. Re:Hype by atomicalgebra · · Score: 1

      Yet we have had provable meltdown proof reactors since the 1980's. See Experimental Breeder Reactor II

    4. Re:Hype by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      It didn't meltdown under one specific test. That doesn't make it meltdown proof.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    5. Re:Hype by atomicalgebra · · Score: 1

      Yes it does. They intentionally tried to cause a meltdown and failed. The scientists at that lab have said repeatedly that it could not meltdown.

    6. Re:Hype by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

      They tried one method to make it melt down. You may recall that the Chernobyl disaster was due to some idiot running an experiment, not just loss of the cooling system as they tested.

      --
      const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
      SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
    7. Re:Hype by atomicalgebra · · Score: 1

      There were multiple tests. Shutting down the cooling system was just one of them. It cannot meltdown. They proved it. The reactor was designed to have a negative thermal coefficient of reactivity making meltdowns impossible. Comparing Chernobyl to the EBRII or any western reactor is disingenuous. It is a powerful rhetorical tool which is why you are using it as a crutch in this debate. It does mean you are correct.

  16. Re:Where's thorium? by Spirilis · · Score: 1

    Many of the processes required to utilize thorium (which is fertile, not fissile, but fertile at slow-spectrum which is interesting) can be applied to 238U at fast spectrum instead. EBR-II (IFR) demonstrated this. The main advantage of thorium is it's an abundant reserve source for making 233U (+232U, which makes it difficult to handle) if we can't find uranium anymore.

    IIRC, a startup called Oklo is looking at reviving the EBR-II technology at very small scale, ~1-2MW, basically diesel generator replacement (or maybe it becomes your primary electricity source and the grid becomes your "backup"?)

    --
    the real at&t mix
  17. Already can reuse spent fuel... by Strider- · · Score: 1

    The DUPIC fuel cycle allows for the direct reuse of PWR fuel in CANDU heavy water reactors. The only thing required is mechanical modification of the PWR fuel bundles so that they fit into the CANDU fuel channels.

    --
    ...si hoc legere nimium eruditionis habes...
  18. Re:Where's thorium? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

    Four issues : Cost, oversight, nuclear weapons capabilities, and transportation logistics. Cost ought to get two slots, to signify how much of an issue it actually is. The others could be solved at great cost. The rub, renewables are cheaper.

    Nuclear isn't going to disappear but the idea of expanding it "on a budget" to meet the world's local power needs while wasting abundant clean, cheap renewable energy just doesn't make actual real-world business sense.

  19. Re:You have yet to prove your business model. by smoot123 · · Score: 2

    You haven't proven that any will succeed any more than you've defined success.

    You could say that about any innovation. Internal combustion--you're going to deliberately set off thousands of explosions inside a sealed, iron box? Steam power? Microprocessors? Fire itself?

    Imagine the first person who proposed "we're going to build a boat out of steel and it's not going to sink!" It's ludicrous! Steel is expensive. And everyone knows metal sinks and wood floats. Why on God's green Earth would you make a boat out of steel instead of good old fashioned wood?!? I'm not going to listen until you prove you have a working business model.

    We won't know if any of these companies will succeed until one does. I can't predict which one it will be so I'm not willing to invest. Others have greater risk tolerance than I do, yay for them. In the mean time, I wish them all the best because the promise is amazing.

  20. Thorium is where it should be, ignored by rahvin112 · · Score: 3, Informative

    Processing spent fuel as you suggest is extremely dirty and generates about 10x the amount of original waste, most of it highly radioactive.

    People forget the US tried to reprocess fuel for a while, the location is a radioactive superfund site.

    1. Re:Thorium is where it should be, ignored by thegarbz · · Score: 2, Informative

      Sorry but that's a lot of bollocks. Reprocessing does not generate 10x the amount of original waste. The final waste product is still very much the same the only difference is there's a hell of a lot of additional energy that is able to be extracted in the process which means per unit energy generated the final waste product is significantly reduced.

      There's a reason sensible nuclear nations reprocess fuel. Of course the USA's interest in reprocessing was to extract plutonium for weapons manufacture, and that process including the working of the resulting plutonium generated quite a lot of waste during the cold war. But ultimately all of this has zero to do with the power industry.

    2. Re:Thorium is where it should be, ignored by rahvin112 · · Score: 2, Informative

      Do you believe "reprocessing" is this magical process whereby the constituent elements are magically separated using no additional input materials?

      To reprocess nuclear fuel you have to chemically separate the various elemental constituents. That chemical processing exposes the processing chemicals to the intense radiation of the fuel and creates radioactive fluids and the separative elements added to the process, often at far higher quantities. In 1966 when the US tried this the Company doing so disposed of the excess processing materials by dumping them on the ground and into he local watershed. I suggest you study the history of this rather than just blather about.

      https://www.ucsusa.org/nuclear...

    3. Re:Thorium is where it should be, ignored by MobyDisk · · Score: 1

      Just because someone polluted the environment in 1966 doesn't mean we should abandon the technology forever. This kind of thinking is exactly why our nuclear arsenal is 50 years old.

    4. Re:Thorium is where it should be, ignored by rahvin112 · · Score: 1

      So just because we tried it, polluted a huge area and generated a couple hundred metric tons of contaminated material it's all good, we just didn't do it right that time?

      Color me skeptical that in any system where cost is a consideration you're going to likely end up with a superfund site.

      Reprocessing is hard and it generates a lot of waste material used in the reprocessing, that's just a fact of using chemical seperation processes. Is it worth generating 100 Tons of highly radioactive material to reprocess a ton of nuclear material?

    5. Re:Thorium is where it should be, ignored by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

      So just because we tried it, polluted a huge area and generated a couple hundred metric tons of contaminated material it's all good, we just didn't do it right that time?

      Yes. This is demonstrably true because other countries have managed to do reprocessing just fine.

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
    6. Re:Thorium is where it should be, ignored by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      In 1966 when the US tried this

      I'll take the French, UK, and India still doing it over your isolated example of a single USA failure. Interesting that you hold up the West Valley which operated only for a couple of years as the USA example, instead of e.g. Svahnnah River which was close to 10 times the reprocessing capacity, operated for 50 years, was closed less than a decade ago, and by your accounts should have flooded half of the country in nuclear waste by now ... but hasn't.

    7. Re:Thorium is where it should be, ignored by wagnerer · · Score: 1

      Pretty much all the material can be recycled. The biggest waste products are Cs-137 and Sr-90 with their 30 year half life. If you have a secure facility just package the Sr-90 into RTG's to generate electricity. I'm astounded they don't use them in Antartica, built in heat supply and electricity. No moving parts, no issues with contaminated diesel fuel. Just heat and electricity. Plus the South Pole has pretty good security with a huge desert wasteland surrounding it. But even with a 30 year half life its down to 1/1000 after 300 years.

    8. Re:Thorium is where it should be, ignored by crunchygranola · · Score: 1

      ... instead of e.g. Svahnnah River which was close to 10 times the reprocessing capacity, operated for 50 years, was closed less than a decade ago, and by your accounts should have flooded half of the country in nuclear waste by now ... but hasn't.

      Yeah, lets look at Savannah River Site:

      High-activity liquid waste is generated at SRS as by-products from the processing of nuclear materials for national defense, research and medical programs. The waste, totaling about 36 million gallons, is currently stored in 49 underground carbon-steel waste tanks grouped into two “tank farms” at SRS.

      36 million gallons of high level liquid waste, prone to leaking and chemical reactions. Each of these one tank farm covers an area of 20 acres, or 40 acres total.

      OTOH the entire lifetime output of all power reactors operating or ever operated in the U.S. could fit into a 100 acre dry cask storage field with generous cask spacing.

      --
      Second class citizen of the New Gilded Age
    9. Re:Thorium is where it should be, ignored by MobyDisk · · Score: 1

      Color me skeptical

      Fine.

      Reprocessing is hard and it generates a lot of waste

      Agreed.

      Is it worth generating 100 Tons of highly radioactive material to reprocess a ton of nuclear material?

      NOW we are having a discussion! :-)

      It might be worth doing. The entire point of reprocessing is to produce highly dense highly radioactive material. It is easier to use and store than less dense less radioactive material. I do not know if it is worth it. But I DO know that freezing science in the year 1966 just because of their environmental policies is counterproductive.

      So just because we tried it, polluted a huge area and generated a couple hundred metric tons of contaminated material it's all good, we just didn't do it right that time?

      We sure didn't! 50 years ago the manufacture of steel dumped toxic chromium into waterways. Manufacturing pressure-treated lumber leaked arsenic that killed crops, fish, and people. But I am glad we didn't stop manufacturing those things. We just found better ways, and we controlled the waste we do produce. Lets do that instead of giving up.

    10. Re:Thorium is where it should be, ignored by crunchygranola · · Score: 1

      NOW we are having a discussion! :-)

      It might be worth doing. The entire point of reprocessing is to produce highly dense highly radioactive material. It is easier to use and store than less dense less radioactive material. I do not know if it is worth it. But I DO know that freezing science in the year 1966 just because of their environmental policies is counterproductive.

      Spent LWR fuel rods are are dense highly radioactive material. With the current 50 GWd/tonne burn-up rate each rod is about 1% plutonium and 5% fission products in a sealed solid package, very stable.

      Using current dry cask storage practices all the spent fuel over the (extended) lifetime of all U.S. power reactors ever operated would fit in in 100 acre storage area. And since we are storing it that way right now, this costs nothing extra.

      --
      Second class citizen of the New Gilded Age
    11. Re:Thorium is where it should be, ignored by MobyDisk · · Score: 1

      I'm astounded they don't use them in Antartica
      I dunno about Antartica, but they have lots of them in Antarctica.

  21. Re: Where's thorium? by Ungrounded+Lightning · · Score: 1

    Being able to process English would be a great thing for the fake news editors to handle first. MIT spinout, really?

    That's perfectly normal American English Technobabble and has been since the mid 1960s. (I personally encountered it quite a lot, especially with respect to the substantial collection of laser and holographic spinouts from the University of Michigan.)

    These days "startup" is more common. But "spinout" is both still valid and more specific, as it identifies implies a single institutional source of the founding technology and bulk of the founding personnel (usually identified in the sentence as a "from Foo" modifier). "Startups" may also be born by aggregation, while "spinouts" bud from an ongoing institution, typically when there's something to be commercialized that isn't a good fit with the parent institution's ongoing mission.

    --
    Bantam Dominique roosters crow a four-note song. Once you've heard it as "Happy BIRTHday" you can't NOT hear it that way
  22. Re:turns out science is hard by rahvin112 · · Score: 1

    The problem with any theoretical design is the same, it's untested. Pebble bed and molten salt reactors are a interesting idea but are untested, until someone builds one we don't even know if they will work. The molten sodium (the salt) used in your particular example has a tendency to burn quite fiercely when exposed to oxygen and fires and nuclear material are catastrophic failure.

  23. Re:Where's thorium? by iggymanz · · Score: 1

    not debunked at all, smarter countries than yours are doing them

  24. Lead Scientists Admits Error by UnknowingFool · · Score: 1

    When asked who was responsibility for the discrepancy between 75x and 2x, the lead scientist Michael Bolton confessed, "Oh shit, I always do that! I always mess sup some mundane detail." :P

    --
    Well, there's spam egg sausage and spam, that's not got much spam in it.
  25. Re:turns out science is hard by Spirilis · · Score: 2

    Much of the problems I attribute here to politics and impatience - the funding dries up when folks just get impatient that progress isn't occurring. It's understandable, but sometimes there are HARD problems that need a lot of time and money to solve, yet the payback will be worth it in the long run. Nuclear frequently ticks that mark IMO. I don't think our (US) investment climate is compatible with this much.

    A old letter posted by Will Davis @atomicnews today - http://ecolo.org/documents/documents_in_english/Rickover.pdf - Easily as relevant today, and basically agrees with your statement. It's a hard problem but we've done hard problems before.

    In some sense, I wonder if our economic trend towards consolidation of resources into a few rich individuals is a subtle "invisible hand" reaction to our incessantly short-term thinking, because it's those few with overabundance who are in the best position right now to fund long-term, hard projects with open-ended amounts of capital.

    --
    the real at&t mix
  26. Re:turns out science is hard by taiwanjohn · · Score: 3, Interesting

    molten salt reactors are a interesting idea but are untested

    Molten salt reactors are proven technology. They ran one at Oak Ridge for thousands of hours back in the 1960s. There's a ton of info about this online, such as this lecture from a few years ago about LFTR. The Chinese currently have the most active (and best funded) program in this area. With any luck we might see a commercial product from them in the next few years, which could be a real game changer.

    --
    XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve your problem, you're not using enough of it. --AC
  27. Re:turns out science is hard by turbidostato · · Score: 1

    "I thought the MIT kids were smarter than that."

    And they are. They've managed to find gullible enough investors as to live la vida loca for eigth years in a row.

    *And* they'll probably will manage to paint their "failure" as an advantage because of "the lessons learnt" for their next gig.

  28. Re:turns out science is hard by drinkypoo · · Score: 2, Informative

    I'd rather that money be spent/wasted on failed attempts at getting us off of fossil fuels when the math indicates that the idea might work, than to continue to burn hydrocarbon fuel for stationary power plants.

    I'd rather not nurture your false dichotomy, and suggest instead using the money to improve and implement already-proven technologies like wind and solar.

    --
    "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
  29. Re:turns out science is hard by bill_mcgonigle · · Score: 1, Interesting

    All that was done with the Integral Fast Reactor in the 90's. It ran well for a couple years before being defunded by Gore and his allies.

    This company failed for business reasons, not theoretical ones.

    --
    My God, it's Full of Source!
    OUTSIDE_IP=$(dig +short my.ip @outsideip.net)
  30. Re:turns out science is hard by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    There is a large difference between the remarkable claims made for LFTR and those of TransAtomic (and some others) trying to take shortcuts with non-breeding designs. Some of the later face substantial skepticism even within the MSR community. The use of thorium in non-breeding designs is also questionable, as it makes the eventual processing more difficult.

    LFTR's claims rest on sound science and successful experiments. Running an MSR on U233 has been demonstrated. Breeding thorium into U233 has been demonstrated in solid fuel, which is even more difficult. The chemical processing has also been demonstrated offline. The components of a LFTR have yet to be integrated, but they have been proven. The astounding efficiencies achievable are a result of the ability to breed and completely consume the fuel, which is possible because salts can't be damaged by radiation. For many reasons, salts are simply a superior fuel/coolant form for nuclear reactors.

    In addition to the remarkable efficiency of LFTR, there is a more recent variant of LFTR adapted to be fueled by actinides from spent fuel, allowing it to destroy "nuclear waste" 90x faster. This is another remarkable claim with a solid basis. It arises from the realization that actinides in spent fuel are the long term concern, not what is essentially natural uranium. Separating out the (barely radioactive) uranium beforehand is trivial, and greatly speeds the process of destroying the hazardous component.

  31. Re:turns out science is hard by AmiMoJo · · Score: 1

    You mean that little 62MW demo plant they built?

    It worked okay but after what happened in Japan no one is going back to that design. No, not Fukushima, Monjou. Numerous attempts, numerous failures including some quite serious accidents. Liquid sodium will spontaneously ignite on contact with air, and explode on contact with water so fire control is a bit of a problem, and of course they had just such a fire.

    In the end it just proved too problematic and costly to bother with, and decommissioning is going to be expensive too.

    As you say, business reasons, no-one is going to throw money at that idea again.

    --
    const int one = 65536; (Silvermoon, Texture.cs)
    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  32. Why not CANDUs? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Designed decades ago using lots of manpower and ingenuity, these are already efficient enough to run off the waste of existing reactors (about 4 reactors to one CANDU). I think Korea was looking into this, and may already be doing so. CANDU HWR waste is a lot less of a problem than LWR, but it is harder to get nuclear weapons grade plutonium from (uses un-enriched uranium, and is much harder to extract anything from waste). There are even reports of the design working with Thorium with minor adjustments (already works with MOX, mixed oxide, fuels containing thorium).

    1. Re:Why not CANDUs? by crunchygranola · · Score: 1

      Canada itself has stopped building CANDU reactors. Its last one (Darlington 4) was started construction 30 June 1985, which is 1/3 of a century ago.

      --
      Second class citizen of the New Gilded Age
  33. Re:Where's thorium? by AlwinBarni · · Score: 1

    Yes, however there is also abundance of uranium and ready facilities to prepare uranium based fuel.
    In detail, thorium is prevalent on land whilst uranium in oceans (estimated more in total than thorium) additionally considering existing infrastructure and equipment to mine/process and prepare power plant ready fuel rods and all the paperwork related to build a new power plant it is simply cheaper to build something close to existing solutions then to push for a novelty. Some government studies and research would be needed to brake the impasse.

    An interesting design is the Traveling Wave Reactor being researched by TerraPower, they suppose to build a prototype in China.

  34. Re:turns out science is hard by taiwanjohn · · Score: 1

    Thanks for the link! I've been a fan of Sorensen's for many years, but I didn't know he was working on using SNF now too. I don't know enough about TransAtomic's approach to critique it, but your points all make sense to me. My only nitpick would be the reason why molten salt is the enabling factor in the efficiency gains: your argument is that salts don't mind getting smacked around in the neutron flux (they remain chemically stable); whereas I would say the key factor is that liquids are more chemically miscible than solids... this is what allows the fuel to be reprocessed on the fly, which in turn allows all (or nearly all) of the fuel to be burned while waste products are continually removed. Both of these aspects are important.

    --
    XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve your problem, you're not using enough of it. --AC
  35. Re:turns out science is hard by mvdwege · · Score: 1

    No, pebble bed was very much tested. Turns out it produced massive amounts of Strontium-90 dust, clogging up the reactor and even escaping into the ground water.

    And as pointed out below, molten salt has it's own problems with a highly chemically reactive coolant. I don't know about you, but the potential of a leak leading to coolant boiling away in chemical reactions does not fill me with a strong sense of safety; after Fukushima the nuke fanbois tried to sell us on molten salt because the heat absorption capabilities would make the reactor safe from decay heat meltdown without needing active cooling. But considering what damage an earthquake could do to the piping holding the secondary coolant, which would then merrily burn away reacting with water and/or oxygen...

    --
    "I know I will be modded down for this": where's the option '-1, Asking for it'?
  36. Re:"Atomic Algebra" needs to do his homework. by atomicalgebra · · Score: 1

    Silly, the sun does not shine at night. And the problem is storage ("capacitance"). Scaling up the tesla battery from australia to a 100% renewable grid would take $40 trillion+ for just the us. That is why 95% of storage is pumped hydro. Maybe you should do your homework, silly.

  37. Re:Where's thorium? by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 4, Informative

    But I thought there were already "breeder reactors" that did this. How was this design different from them?

    Old fashioned breeder reactors turn U-238 into plutonium. Although plutonium can be used as reactor fuel, it can also be used to make bombs. Furthermore, these reactors use fuel rods, and pressurized containers, and have the same complexity and safety problems as LWRs.

    What makes this reactor different is that it doesn't make plutonium, it burns the fuel that in breeds in situ so no extra expensive reprocessing is needed, and it is an inherently safe design: It can't have a "meltdown" since it is already liquid, and it is not pressurized.

    That is the theory. In practice, molten salt reactors don't have a very good track record.

    Molten salt reactor

  38. Re:turns out science is hard by rahvin112 · · Score: 2, Interesting

    If by proven you means experimented with but no actual safety, reliability, cost or power generating capability analysis done.

    Running a little experimental reactor for a couple years tells you nothing about the commercial viability let alone safety. One of the biggest problems with "molten salt" or liquid sodium reactors is that if the reaction vessel holding this mix of highly radioactive sodium and uranium mixture is every directly exposed to water or oxygen it will explode, burn and fill the atmosphere with a highly radioactive cloud of burning sodium which will then rain down on the surrounding countryside.

    Reactor designs like molten salt reactors always fall apart as viable designs when they start talking about surviving things like earthquakes or other natural disasters. This is because to engineer around those disasters you have to do stuff like the current Georgia reactor under construction and spend $20 Billion building a pressure vessel that can survey tidal waves and earthquakes that wipe out the rest of the plant. And when that eventual power is priced at $0.25 kw/hr it's completely uneconomical.

    The government doesn't research these "innovative" reactors because every time in the past they've tried the site ended up a superfund site. Every Single Time.

  39. Re:Where's thorium? by The+Grim+Reefer · · Score: 1

    You are forgetting the 4th dimension.

    Wait, our nuclear waste can time travel now?

    Sure. But it only goes in one direction.

  40. Re:turns out science is hard by taiwanjohn · · Score: 2, Informative

    Running a little experimental reactor for a couple years tells you nothing about the commercial viability let alone safety.

    Pardon my French: horseshit. Obviously we build smaller ones on the way toward building bigger ones -- whether it be nukes or jets or whatever -- it's called engineering.

    One of the biggest problems with "molten salt" or liquid sodium reactors is that if the reaction vessel holding this mix of highly radioactive sodium and uranium mixture is every directly exposed to water or oxygen it will explode, burn and fill the atmosphere with a highly radioactive cloud of burning sodium which will then rain down on the surrounding countryside

    You seem to be conflating molten salt with molten sodium. They are completely different. Sodium by itself is highly reactive, whereas sodium chloride (though somewhat corrosive) is quite stable. If you hit a LFTR with a bunker-buster bomb, it would indeed spray radioactive molten salt around the countryside. But it would rapidly solidify and fall to the ground, where it would be easy to find with a geiger counter. (Unlike radioactive steam which just floats away...)

    you have to do stuff like the current Georgia reactor under construction and spend $20 Billion building a pressure vessel that can survey tidal waves and earthquakes

    The reason for that pressure vessel is because water boils at 100C, and nuclear reactors are just getting warmed up around 400C. So a water-cooled reactor needs plumbing that can handle 150 atmospheres of pressure, just so they can run the reactor at the barely efficient temperature of 300C. But since FLiBe doesn't even melt until 360C (and doesn't boil until well over 1400C) you have a very heat-dense material that can both transport your fuel (enabling on-the-fly reprocessing) and cool your reactor over a broad range of heat regimes... and it does all this at ambient pressure. So you don't need that $20B pressure vessel in the first place.

    Watch the video I linked above, it will explain all this in greater detail, and save me the trouble of writing it.

    --
    XML is like violence. If it doesn't solve your problem, you're not using enough of it. --AC
  41. Re:turns out science is hard by rahvin112 · · Score: 1

    You seem to be conflating molten salt with molten sodium. They are completely different. Sodium by itself is highly reactive, whereas sodium chloride (though somewhat corrosive) is quite stable. If you hit a LFTR with a bunker-buster bomb, it would indeed spray radioactive molten salt around the countryside. But it would rapidly solidify and fall to the ground, where it would be easy to find with a geiger counter. (Unlike radioactive steam which just floats away...)

    Maybe you should investigate the chemical composition, it's not molten NaCl. It's typically a lithium flouride or berylium flouride based salt as in previous designs, though the recent tendency in these designs has been to super heated liquid sodium for heat transfer.

    The reason for that pressure vessel is because water boils at 100C, and nuclear reactors are just getting warmed up around 400C. So a water-cooled reactor needs plumbing that can handle 150 atmospheres of pressure, just so they can run the reactor at the barely efficient temperature of 300C. But since FLiBe doesn't even melt until 360C (and doesn't boil until well over 1400C) you have a very heat-dense material that can both transport your fuel (enabling on-the-fly reprocessing) and cool your reactor over a broad range of heat regimes... and it does all this at ambient pressure. So you don't need that $20B pressure vessel in the first place.

    The reason for the pressure vessel and the surrounding concrete sarcophagus (the huge cost in any reactor) is to contain a meltdown. The difference between Chernobyl and Fukashima was Japan had a full concrete sarcophagus containment chamber (which eventually leaked) whereas Chernobyl had no containment vessel so when it went critical, exploded and then began to burn there was nothing to contain the radioactivity that rained down on the surrounding countryside.

    Nuclear's an uneconomical boondoggle. It's not cost effective, it's dangerous and it's accidents are catastrophic. There is literally no reason to pursue it, we have better, cheaper, cleaner means of energy production.

  42. Re:Where's thorium? by wagnerer · · Score: 1

    The glut in the uranium market doesn't help. Why go to advanced technologies when basic uranium fission is so cheap.

  43. Re:fission reactors are obsolete primitive tech by CustomSolvers2 · · Score: 1

    Fission reactors are little more than putting hot rocks in a jar and running water over it, and using that to power a steam turbine.

    Let the 21st century researchers at least do fusion, or better yet something actually advanced.

    Let's forget for one second about what accomplishing fusion implies, how far away we are from having a working version and if it is even possible to get there ever. And let's focus just on answering one question: how are you planning to convert nuclear power into actually-usable one (e.g., electricity)?

    Do you know what nuclear (fission or fusion) power really means, right? Basically, it means efficiently generating heat for long periods; pretty much what oil or gas accomplish by different means. You are basically feeding in a small amount of energy (to separate particles or merge them by provoking a set of chain reactions autonomously multiplying your original effort) to get a bigger one in a form which you can use for other purposes (heat). So, my question again: how are you planning to convert that heat from fusion into something really useful for us? You don't want to use the old heat-mechanical-electrical (water-steam-turbine-electricity). What do you propose, then? An app, a cool-looking attitude or just an empty promise? LOL.

    --
    Custom Solvers 2.0 = Alvaro Carballo Garcia = varocarbas.
  44. Failure modes by sjbe · · Score: 1

    Yet we have had provable meltdown proof reactors since the 1980's. See Experimental Breeder Reactor II

    You should read your link. They did tests to see if the reactor would not melt down under specific circumstances. This is a far different thing than proving it is "meltdown proof" under all circumstances. Passive fail-safe cooling systems are a good thing but they only solve some of the dangers presented by fission power plants. Furthermore just because they are in place does not mean they still cannot fail due to flaws in engineering, construction, maintenance, natural disasters, or physical damage.

    You seem obsessed with meltdowns. That is just one failure mode among thousands for a nuclear power plant and not the most likely even for reactor designs without fail-safe designs. Even with a reactor that theoretically or provably cannot melt down, there remain plenty of ways for them to contaminate the surrounding areas. Nuclear power is a useful thing but pretending it doesn't carry some substantial risks is irresponsible.

    1. Re:Failure modes by atomicalgebra · · Score: 1

      If you listen to the scientists at that lab they said the EBRII could not meltdown under any circumstances. They intentionally tried to cause a meltdown and failed. You are overstating the risks of nuclear energy

  45. Re:turns out science is hard by DarthVain · · Score: 1

    From what I read, which admittedly isn't much, the primary concern to be addressed with in molten salt reactors is the fact that it is highly corrosive. Which means that they won't last as long as conventional reactors, and require costly maintenance to keep in service for any reasonable lifespan to be feasible. I think much of the other problems have been addressed or at least mitigated to some degree, but that primary one is still the thorn that keeps it largely on paper.

  46. Re:turns out science is hard by mvdwege · · Score: 1

    People who promise us unicorns as solutions for current engineering issues? I am completely within my rights to call them fanbois.

    And heaping liquid sodium and liquid salt reactors together as 'fourth generation' is your favourite game, and if someone takes that conflation and picks it apart you suddenly act all high and mighty and rational and act as if you made that distinction? Fuck off with your moving goalposts.

    --
    "I know I will be modded down for this": where's the option '-1, Asking for it'?
  47. Risk analysis by sjbe · · Score: 1

    If you listen to the scientists at that lab they said the EBRII could not meltdown under any circumstances.

    Find me a quote of any scientist claiming that meltdowns were impossible under "any circumstances". That's just obviously bullshit unless you are talking about specific conditions. It assumes no engineering flaws, no manufacturing flaws, proper maintenance, no external disasters or attacks, etc. They did some tests which the reactor passed but that isn't remotely the same thing as being safe in all conditions. Furthermore a meltdown is NOT the only failure mode of concern. There are a lot of still very serious but much more likely failure modes to worry about. Even if you eliminate meltdowns as a failure mode entirely that doesn't mean nuclear is 100% safe.

    They intentionally tried to cause a meltdown and failed.

    No they did not do that. They did some tests under conditions they were fairly confident the reactor would perform safely. There isn't a way in hell they would have gotten approval to actually try to create a meltdown if there was a reasonable chance of them actually achieving a meltdown.

    You are overstating the risks of nuclear energy

    Doesn't matter if I am or not. The insurance companies are all the evidence you need as they are the ones who have to put real money on the line. The fact that nuclear plants basically cannot get built without government guarantees and heavy safety regulation should tell you everything you need to know about how risky they are. When the people whose job it is to evaluate risk and profit from it aren't enthusiastic without government backing then that's a pretty reliable sign of something with serious safety concerns. That's not to say nuclear power isn't worth the risk but pretending there aren't very serious and real risks to it is dumb.

    1. Re:Risk analysis by atomicalgebra · · Score: 1

      Find me a quote of any scientist claiming that meltdowns were impossible

      Watch this silly https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sp1Xja6HlIU Goto 4:25 to hear him say it cannot meltdown. Suck it.

      insurance companies

      Insurance companies. So your argument against solving climate change is wall st made a bad bet 50 years ago? That is silly. If wall st insurance let energy companies by insurance they would have made nothing but money for decades.

      Even if you eliminate meltdowns as a failure mode entirely that doesn't mean nuclear is 100% safe.

      Nothing is perfect, but if you consider current nuclear is safer than solar and wind. That means next generation nuclear is safer than just about anything else.

  48. Human error remains a problem by sjbe · · Score: 1

    It cannot meltdown. They proved it. The reactor was designed to have a negative thermal coefficient of reactivity making meltdowns impossible.

    No they did not prove it for all conceivable circumstances. They proved it for SOME conditions and methods with a specific reactor design. Your argument assumes that there is no chance of that reactor design being incorrectly engineered, no chance of improper construction or maintenance, no chance of external damage (natural disasters, war, etc), and that in all other ways the reactor cannot be compromised to induce that failure mode. And even if a meltdown were indeed impossible that's not the only possible failure of concern.

    They did two tests with EBRII which tested the passive fail safe systems. They tested shutting off the primary cooling pumps and then they tested shutting down the secondary cooling systems. They did not test failure modes like the sodium pool being compromised for example. They did not test under conditions where there might be a flaw in construction. They did not test for conditions where maintenance was neglected.

    Comparing Chernobyl to the EBRII or any western reactor is disingenuous.

    No it is not. Chernobyl happened fundamentally because of human error (bad engineering + bad operation) which is a problem for EVERY nuclear plant design we have - even the theoretical ones. While the exact circumstance that resulted in that particular catastrophe are unlikely to be replicated closely, human stupidity and human failures have not been eliminated as risks. Claiming that EBRII was perfectly safe under all conditions is just an absurd claim without supporting evidence. Yes it appears to have been a solid design in many ways that mitigated serious failure modes under important conditions. There has been follow on designs based on what was learned from that reactor. That's a good thing and I'm glad such work is being done. But please stop it with the claims that people couldn't find a way (intentionally or unintentionally) to induce a serious catastrophic failure.

    1. Re:Human error remains a problem by atomicalgebra · · Score: 1

      Watch this silly https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sp1Xja6HlIU Goto 4:25 to hear him say it cannot meltdown.