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Half the World Is Now Middle Class Or Wealthier, Says Brookings Institution (brookings.edu)

schwit1 shares a report from the Brookings Institution: Something of enormous global significance is happening almost without notice. For the first time since agriculture-based civilization began 10,000 years ago, the majority of humankind is no longer poor or vulnerable to falling into poverty. By our calculations, as of this month, just over 50 percent of the world's population, or some 3.8 billion people, live in households with enough discretionary expenditure to be considered "middle class" or "rich." About the same number of people are living in households that are poor or vulnerable to poverty. So September 2018 marks a global tipping point. After this, for the first time ever, the poor and vulnerable will no longer be a majority in the world. Barring some unfortunate global economic setback, this marks the start of a new era of a middle-class majority.

In most countries, there is a clear relationship between the fate of the middle class and the happiness of the population. According to the Gallup World Poll, new entrants into the middle class are noticeably happier than those stuck in poverty or in vulnerable households. Conversely, individuals in countries where the middle class is shrinking report greater degrees of personal stress. The middle class also puts pressure on governments to perform better. They look to their governments to provide affordable housing, education, and universal health care. They rely on public safety nets to help them in sickness, unemployment or old age. But they resist efforts of governments to impose taxes to pay the bills. This complicates the politics of middle-class societies, so they range from autocratic to liberal democracies. Many advanced and middle-income countries today are struggling to find a set of politics that can satisfy a broad middle-class majority. The tipping point in the world today offers opportunities for business but complications for policymakers.

8 of 279 comments (clear)

  1. B.S. by rsilvergun · · Score: 4, Insightful

    At least 60% of Americans are living paycheck to paycheck. That's not middle class and it's certainly not "no longer at risk of poverty".

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    1. Re:B.S. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      At least 60% of Americans are living paycheck to paycheck. That's not middle class and it's certainly not "no longer at risk of poverty".

      Living paycheck-to-paycheck because you just HAVE TO HAVE all the latest video games while paying for high-speed streaming on your cable TV and your four cell phones and having two cars while paying for a 3,000 sq ft house isn't the fault of the system.

      It's the fault of the idiot.

    2. Re:B.S. by asylumx · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Sure they are living paycheck to paycheck, but perhaps that's because they are paying the credit card bill for the 65" flat screen TV they spend all their time watching, or the loan payments & gas for the SUV or pickup truck they drive around that gets only 12 MPG?

      Hint: that is all discretionary spending. If you're living paycheck to paycheck because you chose to spend all your money, that doesn't make you poor.

    3. Re:B.S. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Insightful

      So you would like to live like the Chinese, Russians or Indians do? Have you considered migration? Surely those countries are wide open to accept poor foreigners into their fold.

    4. Re:B.S. by Curunir_wolf · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Ok, I guess you might want to explain this one, because so far I cannot identify much beneficial the US did for the "third world" lately.

      The AC below answered your question partially - offshoring of manufacturing and service industries. Other policies include almost total non-enforcement of hiring of cheap illegal immigrant labor especially by construction and household labor employers, and importing cheaper labor using H1-B and H3-B visas.

      Additionally, the spending to maintain the ever-growing costs to maintain the American Empire overseas, which greatly benefits the elites in the US, while shifting the costs (both blood and treasure) to the lower classes.

      --
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  2. That's right you ungrateful SOBs by volodymyrbiryuk · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Be happy with the breadcrumbs the multinational corporations and the 1% throws at you. Now get back to work.

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  3. Surprising Facts About America's Poor by mpercy · · Score: 1, Insightful

    The word "poverty" to me conjures images of Depression-era, dust-bowl families with 8 kids living in a one-room tar-paper shack, no electricity, no running water, no crops, no food, no way out. Or hungry people living in tents under the overpass because they lost their jobs. It doesn't normally invoke people who spend all the money they have (or can steal) on meth, nor people who've had their $70K SUV repossessed because they couldn't actually afford the payments.

    Maybe that's just me. This 2011 Heritage report is a bit dated, but interesting view.

    "Understanding Poverty in the United States: Surprising Facts About America's Poor"

    The Census Bureau’s annual poverty report presents a misleading picture of poverty in the United States. Few of the 46.2 million people identified by the Census Bureau as being “in poverty” are what most Americans would consider poor—lacking nutritious food, adequate warm housing, or clothing. The typical “poor” American lives in an air-conditioned house or apartment and has cable TV, a car, multiple color TVs, a DVD player, and a VCR among other conveniences. While some of the poor face significant material hardship, formulating a sound, long-term anti-poverty policy that addresses the causes as well as the symptoms of poverty will require honest and accurate information. Exaggerating the extent and severity of hardships will not benefit society, the taxpayers, or the poor.

  4. perspective by Tom · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Such a narrow perspective in so many answers. Turn on your brain, people !

    Living in the 1st and living in the 2nd or 3rd world makes for a dramatic difference these days. Real wages in the west have stagnated or gone down for two decades now. But for the poor of the world - China alone is lifting 10 million people out of poverty every year. People in Africa who 20 years ago didn't know where their next bowl of food will come from now have smartphones.

    If you are among the very poor of the world, the last decades were a good time, in general.

    Our personal perspective in the USA and in Europe is quite different. We are witnessing the ongoing largest theft in human history, called the financial crisis, and we watch the rich getting richer and us getting poorer.

    But on a global scale, we are just 1.5 billion, give or take a few. Everyone else becoming less poor statistically overcompensates for our misery.

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