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Half the World Is Now Middle Class Or Wealthier, Says Brookings Institution (brookings.edu)

schwit1 shares a report from the Brookings Institution: Something of enormous global significance is happening almost without notice. For the first time since agriculture-based civilization began 10,000 years ago, the majority of humankind is no longer poor or vulnerable to falling into poverty. By our calculations, as of this month, just over 50 percent of the world's population, or some 3.8 billion people, live in households with enough discretionary expenditure to be considered "middle class" or "rich." About the same number of people are living in households that are poor or vulnerable to poverty. So September 2018 marks a global tipping point. After this, for the first time ever, the poor and vulnerable will no longer be a majority in the world. Barring some unfortunate global economic setback, this marks the start of a new era of a middle-class majority.

In most countries, there is a clear relationship between the fate of the middle class and the happiness of the population. According to the Gallup World Poll, new entrants into the middle class are noticeably happier than those stuck in poverty or in vulnerable households. Conversely, individuals in countries where the middle class is shrinking report greater degrees of personal stress. The middle class also puts pressure on governments to perform better. They look to their governments to provide affordable housing, education, and universal health care. They rely on public safety nets to help them in sickness, unemployment or old age. But they resist efforts of governments to impose taxes to pay the bills. This complicates the politics of middle-class societies, so they range from autocratic to liberal democracies. Many advanced and middle-income countries today are struggling to find a set of politics that can satisfy a broad middle-class majority. The tipping point in the world today offers opportunities for business but complications for policymakers.

9 of 279 comments (clear)

  1. B.S. by rsilvergun · · Score: 4, Insightful

    At least 60% of Americans are living paycheck to paycheck. That's not middle class and it's certainly not "no longer at risk of poverty".

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    1. Re:B.S. by dcw3 · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Actually, the percentage is higher, but it also includes a shockingly high percentage of people in the upper-middle class. Most people are inept at handling their own finances, and that's partially to blame on our education system. We don't teach our young how to live on their own...it should be a requirement for HS graduation.

      https://www.investopedia.com/a...

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    2. Re:B.S. by asylumx · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Sure they are living paycheck to paycheck, but perhaps that's because they are paying the credit card bill for the 65" flat screen TV they spend all their time watching, or the loan payments & gas for the SUV or pickup truck they drive around that gets only 12 MPG?

      Hint: that is all discretionary spending. If you're living paycheck to paycheck because you chose to spend all your money, that doesn't make you poor.

    3. Re:B.S. by El+Cubano · · Score: 4, Informative

      At least 60% of Americans are living paycheck to paycheck. That's not middle class and it's certainly not "no longer at risk of poverty".

      You trot out this sort of statistic every time. A quick look at some actual facts will show you that the issue is more complex than that. Also, it would help if you stuck to a consistent set of figures. Here is you a few days ago claiming the number is 78% percent.

      Yes, I know that "at least 60%" can be considered to cover 78% as well, but the fact that you chose the stronger number the fist time a few days ago and then softened your statement this time makes me think you don't actually believe the number or they are bogus.

      Then, here is me using top of the line smart phone sales numbers to show that a good portion of those supposedly living pay check to pay check are still possessed of a considerable amount of disposable income. Of course, I was modded "troll" for my trouble.

      The bottom line, is we can't both be in an era where most people are in danger of falling into poverty at any moment and at the same time be in an era where most people have more discretionary income than at any time in history. Given the people I know and the choices I see them make, I am going to stick with: people (at least in the US) who live pay check to pay check mostly live that way because they fully embrace consumerism as a way of life.

  2. That's right you ungrateful SOBs by volodymyrbiryuk · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Be happy with the breadcrumbs the multinational corporations and the 1% throws at you. Now get back to work.

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    1. Re:That's right you ungrateful SOBs by TuringTest · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Apparently, human society has a tendency to concentrate resources and influence following a power law distribution, and there's not much that can be done about that.

      What matters is how steep is the curve. There will always be some with way more resources than they can use; but there should be mechanisms to bring part of those concentrated resources back to those who created them.

      If people in the long tail don't have enough resources to have at least an acceptable standard of living, unrest appears, and they will revolt and coordinate long enough to remove those at the peak; a position which then will be occupied by a new batch of privileged.

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  3. Re:Huh... by Freischutz · · Score: 5, Informative

    so that boils down to "50% of people earns more than average"?

    No, they just lowered the definition of ‘middle class’.

  4. "Middle class" = 11$/day/person (n/t) by Moskit · · Score: 4, Informative

    Definition of "middle class" used by researchers is ability to spend at least 11$ per day per person.

  5. perspective by Tom · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Such a narrow perspective in so many answers. Turn on your brain, people !

    Living in the 1st and living in the 2nd or 3rd world makes for a dramatic difference these days. Real wages in the west have stagnated or gone down for two decades now. But for the poor of the world - China alone is lifting 10 million people out of poverty every year. People in Africa who 20 years ago didn't know where their next bowl of food will come from now have smartphones.

    If you are among the very poor of the world, the last decades were a good time, in general.

    Our personal perspective in the USA and in Europe is quite different. We are witnessing the ongoing largest theft in human history, called the financial crisis, and we watch the rich getting richer and us getting poorer.

    But on a global scale, we are just 1.5 billion, give or take a few. Everyone else becoming less poor statistically overcompensates for our misery.

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