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UK Steps Towards Zero-Carbon Economy (bbc.com)

The UK is taking a tentative step towards a radical "green" future with zero emissions of greenhouse gases. From a report: The government is formally seeking Climate Change Committee (CCC) guidance about how and when to make this leap. If it happens it would mark an extraordinary transformation of an economy built on burning fossil fuels. The decision was prompted by last week's UN report warning that CO2 emissions must be stopped completely to avoid dangerous climate disruption.

Climate minister Claire Perry told BBC News: "The report was a really stark and sober piece of work -- a good piece of work. "Now we know what the goal is and we know what some of the levers are. But for me, the constant question is what is the cost and who's going to bear that, both in the UK and in the global economy. The question is: what does government need to do, where can the private sector come in, and what technologies will come through?"

Ms Perry has declared this week to be Green GB Week, which aims to raise debate in society about how to tackle climate change while also growing the economy. The UK's current target is a reduction of 80% of emissions by 2050 based on 1990 levels. But the CCC is warning that the UK will drift further away from this goal unless new policies are introduced.

36 of 240 comments (clear)

  1. Re:UK Steps Towards Zero- Economy by MrL0G1C · · Score: 3, Insightful

    It's not a step anyway, this is what the UK does went they don't want to do anything, they deflect criticism and say we're studying it, we're commissioning a report, which is nice for their think-tank friends who they pay millions for some report to get mostly written by some intern, whilst their school friend chum pockets some nice wedge, nudge nudge wink wink.

    "But the CCC is warning that the UK will drift further away from this goal unless new policies are introduced." AKA they're not actually doing anything meaningful.

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  2. Re:UK Steps Towards Zero- Economy by b0s0z0ku · · Score: 2, Insightful

    At least the UK is studying it, not claiming that global warming is a Chinese conspiracy.

  3. Re:Too late by Joce640k · · Score: 4, Insightful

    But for me, the constant question is what is the cost and who's going to bear that

    Wrong question. The correct question is how much will it cost if you don't do anything. These violent storms that cost you hundreds of millions of pounds every time they hit are just the beginning.

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  4. Can't trust this Govt by UpnAtom · · Score: 5, Informative

    The Tories reversed the law on new homes needing to be zero carbon three years ago.

    https://www.theguardian.com/en...

    1. Re:Can't trust this Govt by DarkLordBelial · · Score: 3, Informative

      And announced cut to grants on Electric and Hybrid vehicles a few days ago.

      Not to mention recent budget changes to remove any tax benefits of zero and low emission vehicles.

  5. Nuclear power and hydrocarbon synthesis by blindseer · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The means to get to a zero carbon economy exists today, nuclear power and hydrocarbon synthesis.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

    I keep hearing about how if we don't reduce our CO2 immediately then we will create runaway global warming. We have a technology that can provide energy that is zero carbon (or rather closer to zero than wind and solar), plentiful, inexpensive (again compared to wind and solar), reliable, domestically sourced (no matter how you define "domestic"), and exists today.

    Why don't we have more nuclear power? Because some nuclear waste is "scary"? You want me to believe that some nuclear waste is a greater threat to humanity than global warming? I'm not convinced. You want me to believe that "any day now" wind and solar will displace coal, oil, and natural gas? Well, we've been trying to do that for decades now and it's not happening very quickly. For an island nation like the UK the ability to meet their energy needs from wind and solar is likely impossible. Maybe they have enough friendly neighbors across the channel to get more wind and sun. What of Japan? They don't have any friendly neighbors, what should they do?

    Again, which am I to fear more, nuclear power or global warming? Pick one, because we are running out of time for wind and sun to save us.

    --
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    1. Re:Nuclear power and hydrocarbon synthesis by olsmeister · · Score: 2

      The Mad Max series of documentaries provides a stark picture of what could happen to us if we wait too long to wean ourselves off of fossil fuels.

    2. Re:Nuclear power and hydrocarbon synthesis by blindseer · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Both.

      That's a non-answer as it tells me nothing on how to act. If this means we can't have nuclear power then you are by default kicking the problem down the path hoping for a solution to present itself before the problems of global warming are upon us. We can continue down this path, keep looking for a non-nuclear solution, but that is waiting for a ship that may never come to port.

      But nuclear power is still plenty dangerous. The first problem is that it can provide the material to make nuclear weapons. Won't do us much good to avert Global Warming if some rogue nation starts World War III with nukes.

      The material to make nuclear weapons is in the dirt and dissolved in seawater. Where do you think that the U-235 for the first nuclear weapons came from? They didn't need a reactor to make it, they just "distilled" it from the dirt. This was done with 1940s technology, repeating this with modern materials and equipment is becoming nearly trivial any more. The limitation is primarily the energy needed to enrich the U-235.

      The second, more insidious problem is that human corruption and incompetence is scarily likely to lead to another major accident such as Fukushima.

      This again? All a bunch of bullshit based on 50 year old nuclear technology. Nobody builds reactors like those any more.

      We know how to operate nuclear power with reasonable safety, but can we do so, for all nuclear power plants, for decades?

      Yes, we do in fact know how to operate nuclear power plants safely for decades. There are over 400 operating commercial nuclear power reactors on this planet. There's at least 100 military nuclear power plants in ships at sea as well. We know how to make this work. Bringing this up as scaremongering for not implementing what is demonstrably the safest energy source we have today is unbelievable.

      You want me to fear nuclear power more than global warming? Really? Then tell me that global warming isn't the threat it's been made out to be, because I'm really thinking that we are running out of options right now and nuclear power it looking really nice by comparison.

      --
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    3. Re:Nuclear power and hydrocarbon synthesis by blindseer · · Score: 2

      Why should anyone believe this next version will be different?

      You are absolutely right, why should I believe the next version will be cheaper? We've dumped all kinds of money into research and development for decades, and for what? It's still more expensive than coal, less reliable than natural gas, uses all kinds of resources with the mining for ores and such. Why should I believe the next version of wind and solar should be cheaper than the last?

      Oh, wait. You were asking about nuclear power? My mistake.

      I guess we assume the next version of nuclear will be different for the same reasons we expect wind and solar to be different on the next version. As I recall the theory with wind and solar was that we'd "bootstrap" the industry with all kinds of government subsidies and legal protections with the promise that they'd be viable on their own in the future. Here's where nuclear is different than wind and solar, we've already proven nuclear power to be competitive because we use it for 10% of our electricity worldwide and have been doing so for many years. The problem we are having now is that since the nuclear power industry has been coasting downhill for the last 40 years many of the people that knew how to build reactors are retired, senile, or dead. Now we have to start nearly from nothing, but what we have is decades of proof that nuclear power is safe, low CO2, inexpensive, and reliable. We figure out what was lost and then we can learn on how to make it even better. We aren't going to make it better until we start building them again.

      If we had the same attitude for wind and solar as you expressed for nuclear then we'd have abandoned them a long time ago.

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
    4. Re:Nuclear power and hydrocarbon synthesis by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 2

      All old plants, old designs, and in every case used outside of spec guidelines.

      Fukushima's biggest problem, for example, was that they stored 20 years of spent fuel rods in a "temporary" holding area that was only designed to hold a few month's worth.

      Thorium is plentiful, has been used for decades, and with newer designs is impossible to melt down.

      It also has the advantage that it produces far less waste, with greatly reduced half-life.

      Further yet, it can use long half-life waste as part of its fuel cycle.

      Nuclear is the answer. Any country that isn't pursuing it is stupid.

    5. Re:Nuclear power and hydrocarbon synthesis by Jane+Q.+Public · · Score: 2

      Slight correction: the 3 Mile Island incident was a case of operating out of spec guidelines, but that's because a problem wasn't recognized by the crew as what it actually was.

      Due to inadequate training.

      The point is: in every case of nuclear accident on this scale, it was invariably due to human error.

      Every damned time.

      Newer designs, with redundant systems that eliminate such errors, are nothing like those old piles of crap.

    6. Re:Nuclear power and hydrocarbon synthesis by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Banqiao Dam death toll: 230,000 estimated
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Banqiao_Dam#Casualties

      Fukushima Daiichi death toll: 50 estimated
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fukushima_Daiichi_nuclear_disaster_casualties

      Clearly we can never build another hydroelectric dam with deaths per accident like this.

    7. Re:Nuclear power and hydrocarbon synthesis by serviscope_minor · · Score: 2

      But nuclear power is still plenty dangerous. The first problem is that it can provide the material to make nuclear weapons. Won't do us much good to avert Global Warming if some rogue nation starts World War III with nukes.

      Given this is an article bout the UK: that's not relly much of a problem since the has at the best estimate a few hundred warheads already.

      The second, more insidious problem is that human corruption and incompetence is scarily likely to lead to another major accident such as Fukushima.

      That is a problem except it was corruption and incompetence combined with a massive natural disaster (nuclear powerplants are well built). The UK is on the whole geologiclly stable and just doesn't have natural disasters of that scale.

      The UK also has a good record on nuclear power safety. The biggest incident relted to nuclear power was the 2005 leak at the reprocessing plant where a 20 tons of nuclear fuel disolved in acid leaked out of a pipe and into a containment vessel. None leaked into the environment, and no one was injured.

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
    8. Re:Nuclear power and hydrocarbon synthesis by Harlequin80 · · Score: 2

      Ok.... In the US there are about 35 coal miners killed each year.

      Wikipedia lists total nuclear accidents deaths at around ~90-120 depending on the counter. So 3-5 years of coal.... And thats worldwide nuclear vs US coal.

    9. Re:Nuclear power and hydrocarbon synthesis by Harlequin80 · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Chernobyl killing a million people is a totally unsupported claim. No one anywhere claims that. The WHO estimates a total of 4000 extra cancers using a method that provably over estimates the impact.

      Also I'm not an american, and germany has the grand total of 6 coal mines. A quick search also turned up 57 miners dying in a german coal mine in '88. So it depends how old you are....

    10. Re:Nuclear power and hydrocarbon synthesis by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2

      Where do you think that the U-235 for the first nuclear weapons came from?

      First nuclear weapon. Only one (1) nuclear weapon has ever been made using U235. That was the Hiroshima bomb. The rest have been made with Plutonium, which requires a specially designed reactor to make. Which is why there are so few countries with nukes. Civilian reactors won't get you there....

      likely to lead to another major accident such as Fukushima.

      Yeah, Fukushima was such a major accident that it killed almost as many people as died on the morning commute in most any major city today. Even Chernobyl didn't kill as many people as died in traffic on any average day in the USA....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    11. Re:Nuclear power and hydrocarbon synthesis by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 2

      And 3 of those 400 went boom. Several others nearly went boom.

      Umm, no. None of them "went boom". No, there have been no nuclear explosions in any nuclear power plants, ever.

      Note that of the three, one had no (zero) casualties, one had one (1) casualty, and the third had a hundred or so (mostly firefighters).

      Note that the one that had a hundred or so casualties was a result of a deliberate attempt to simulate a meltdown. So they tried really hard to get to a condition that acted like a meltdown, succeeded in getting a real meltdown, and still had casualties that make any particular day's traffic fatalities look good (note that the world loses three thousand people DAILY in traffic accidents - we haven't had three hundred deaths as a result of nuclear power in all the time we've had nuclear power (70 years or so)....

      --

      "I do not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it"
    12. Re:Nuclear power and hydrocarbon synthesis by blindseer · · Score: 2

      just look at all the graphs of costs for renewable costs,, cheaper and cheaper with improving tech every year as technology improves.

      How did that happen? I have a good idea. We saw governments dump all kinds of money into research and development. Governments encouraged private investment through tax breaks and laws preferential to their use. Governments bought energy from these sources, often at prices far higher than market rates. Most importantly the government issued permits for the construction of facilities producing power using these technologies.

      How is nuclear power treated by comparison? Few to zero permits issued for construction of a new nuclear reactor for 40 years. Nuclear power did get tax breaks but not near the same as wind and solar on a per MWh basis. If there was power produced by wind or solar then the utilities were legally required to buy it, whether they needed it or not. This meant other plants, such as nuclear and coal, were forced to idle if there was a surplus of capacity.

      Tell me something, how long can this price reduction over time for wind and solar continue? Wind and solar simply cannot be priced to zero with continued development, there will be a bottom. I'm guessing that they are real close to that bottom now if they haven't hit it already. On the other hand nuclear barely got started to figure out how to reduce their costs. Again, no new nuclear power plant got permission to build for 40 years. During that time people didn't stop thinking of new ways to lower costs. If the US government starts issuing licenses for some of this new technology that people thought up then maybe we could see nuclear power costs drop just as quickly as wind and solar. What do we have to lose by trying?

      --
      I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  6. Re:But what about exhaling humans? by blindseer · · Score: 3, Interesting

    The US Navy figured this out. All we have to do is scale it up and deploy it widely.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

    Problem solved!

    --
    I am armed because I am free. I am free because I am armed.
  7. It would be great if the US would do the same. by EzInKy · · Score: 2

    Even if you don't believe in climate change wouldn't it be nice to enjoy cleaner air and purer water? It sure would make those hunting and fishing trips much more enjoyable now wouldn't it? No matter which side of the great "climate debate" you fall on, it makes no sense to be against improving the environment we all have to live in.

    --
    Time is what keeps everything from happening all at once.
  8. The Waste isn't what's scary by rsilvergun · · Score: 2

    at least not in the United States. Here we're afraid of private businesses operating unsafe reactors to save a buck. Worst case with a natural gas plant is a big explosion. With a nuke plant you're talking decades of contamination.

    What you need to do to get folks like me to buy into nuclear is convince me it's cheaper to run a safe plant than an unsafe one. And not just because "We'll be sued". Fukushima has more or less proved that there's no real consequences for the folks in charge. They'll be dead before the wheels of justice turn if they ever do. No, we need plants who's day to day operations are cheaper to run safe. Safety is always an option when you need to save money now.

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  9. Re:An Enemy Not Seen by serviscope_minor · · Score: 3, Funny

    To be for CO2 control while wanting economic growth is simply not possible.

    Don't worry, we have Brexit, so the latter won't be a problem.

    --
    SJW n. One who posts facts.
  10. Re:Too late by Kiuas · · Score: 5, Informative

    The 1.5 degrees C goal is an arbitrary line that humans drew

    Yes.

    it doesn't come from any science.

    Wrong. The limit was chosen based on modelling climate change and estimating its effects with different amounts of warming. We know for a fact thanks to climate related sciences that 1,5 degrees of warming is better for us and the planetary ecosystem as whole than say 2 or more degrees, and we also know that if rapid action is taken, the 1,5 degrees is still attainable.

    That's why it was chosen. It represents the best-case scenario with the data we currently have. It's still not great, but it's the least bad alternative going forwards, and that's an estimate based entirely on science(s) and what we know 2+ degrees will do to the planet/us.

    --
    "It is the business of the future to be dangerous" -Alfred North Whitehead
  11. Re:But what about exhaling humans? by AmiMoJo · · Score: 3, Informative

    Nice idea but let's look at the reality of commercial SMRs: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    Lots of paper designs ranging from concept to detailed plans, that for some reason were all abandoned. A couple of Russian ones actually entered service, but proved to be extremely expensive.

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  12. Re:Too late by Joce640k · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Does the trillions spent by the USA on "defense" prevent trillions in damage? No, but they still do it.

    How about for just one year they use the money to install renewable energy instead? See what happens.

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  13. Re:Too late by Joce640k · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Gee if only people hadn't of built in places that always got hit by hurricanes. Here's a prediction for you, in the future they will do still more damage. Because there will be even more people living in their paths and the property will be even more valuable.

    They have pretty scenery. And a neat government insurance plan that means the taxpayers buy the people brand new houses every time theirs is wrecked.

    Take away that insurance and they'll soon move out.

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    No sig today...
  14. Re: Too late by Kiuas · · Score: 2

    Yeah, because Switzerland and Norway are such poverty-stricken counties...

    The problem is, the UK (at the moment at least) doesn't seem to want either of those models either. Norway has adopted about 75 % of EU regulations as part of its trade agreements with the EU, maintains an open border and pays about 2/3rds of what the UK does no to the Union.

    In essence, Norway (and Switzlerland) are basically pretty much quasi-members of the EU: the pay slightly less than they would were they full members but that comes at the cost of them not having any say in EU policies.

    The UK is trying to have their cake and eat it too, by maintaining access to the single market without having to follow any of the rules or paying anything for that benefit. It makes zero sense for the Union to give any kind of special treatment to the UK, because that'd be unfair to both Norway and Switzerland (and others), but the UK still does not seem to get this.

    --
    "It is the business of the future to be dangerous" -Alfred North Whitehead
  15. Re:Too late by AmiMoJo · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Only because the US is the worst major developed nation by far for per-capita emissions. It's not like the EU isn't paying anything either, look at how much money Germany has put in to mitigating climate change. Of course Germany is also reaping the rewards of having pioneered a lot of that technology.

    --
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    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  16. Re: Too late by DontBeAMoran · · Score: 2, Interesting

    The same reasoning could be used to never get insurance.
    The same reasoning could be used to never get vaccinated.
    The same reasoning could be used to never wear a condom.
    The list goes on...

    --
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  17. Re:Too late by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 2

    The US spends about $700 billion a year on defense. Clearly not all of that is spent on oil and the Middle East, but let's say it is. The EU gets about 20% of its petroleum from the Middle East, and the US gets about 16% from the Middle East. Assuming that oil runs about 30% of the economy of a region (transport, pharma, power, manufacturing, plastics, etc) that means about $7 trillion in annual economic activity is dependent upon the US military in the Middle East. And assuming that all US military spending is in the Middle East, that would be about a 10X return.

    Now, we could always slash all our involvement in the Middle East, and turn off the spigots. The US currently has a net import of oil around 30% of its consumption (we do produce a massive amount domestically), and most of our imports are from Canada and Mexico. The EU has a net import of oil around 85% of its consumption - meaning it would have essentially no way of replacing oil (at least for now). So, ultimately, we're spending those hundreds of billions of dollars to protect and ensure the delivery of power predominantly for our allies in the EU. And that's generating around 10-15X returns in terms of economic activity. Is that worth the cost?

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  18. Re:Too late by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 3, Informative

    Only because the US is the worst major developed nation by far for per-capita emissions.

    Does the climate depend upon "per capita" or does it depend upon total emissions? If the former - then go ahead, beat up the US. If it is the latter (and you know it is), then China is the biggest offender by far - but somehow they are given a pass on all things CO2-related...

    It's not like the EU isn't paying anything either, look at how much money Germany has put in to mitigating climate change. Of course Germany is also reaping the rewards of having pioneered a lot of that technology.

    Germany also pays about the highest price in the EU per kWh for electricity, nearly double most of its neighbors and quadruple that of the US. That new technology certainly is extremely expensive, and with increasing CO2 emissions for Germany (as opposed to falling CO2 for the US), it's not doing much to lower their impact.

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  19. Re:UK Steps Towards Zero- Economy by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 2

    If electric cars are not cost-competitive without large subsidies, then wouldn't it be prudent to not subsidize them and spend the money on better things, such as more nuclear? Why should we subsidize uncompetitive vehicles for the rich?

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  20. Re:UK Steps Towards Zero- Economy by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 2

    ICE cars are not cost-competitive either without large subsidies in form of ignored negative externalities.

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20
  21. Re:UK Steps Towards Zero- Economy by AmiMoJo · · Score: 2

    The subsidies are to help the bottom end of the market. Someone buying a £80k Tesla won't care, but someone buying a £20k Zoe will.

    When you look at how much it adds to finance deals on sub £35k cars like the recently released Kona it's quite a significant hit for people.

    And the reason to subsidise them is that it's worked to drive the cost down quickly and get demand up, which increases the roll out of infrastructure etc. We need to get rid of most of the fossil vehicles as soon as possible, because they pollute and damage people's health.

    --
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    SJW, n: "Someone I don't like, and by the way I'm a fuckwit" - AC
  22. Re:Too late by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 2

    Oh, so it's not CO2 per country, nor CO2 per capita, it's now CO2 per unit GDP? Is the actual goal to always find a way to paint the US as "bad"?

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    Browsing at +1 - no ACs, I ignore their posts. So refreshing!
  23. Re:Too late by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 2

    Because the climate cares not one whit about how much each person emits - it cares about the TOTAL emissions.

    If you want to solve CO2 emissions, you have to start with the biggest out there - China.

    Oh, if *that* is how you reason, then the solution is simple - split China into smaller countries and the problem is solved!

    --
    Ezekiel 23:20