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Trump Agrees Not To Raise Tariff Levels on Chinese Goods; China Agrees To US Purchases. Two Sides To Start Broader Negotiations. (wsj.com)

U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping agreed Saturday to keep their trade war from escalating with a promise to temporarily halt the imposition of new tariffs [the link may be paywalled; alternative source], as the world's two largest economies negotiate a lasting agreement. China also agreed to further market opening, its foreign minister said. In a statement, White House said the U.S. had agreed not to increase tariffs on Chinese goods to 25% on Jan. 1. From a report: The truce between the U.S. and China emerged after a highly anticipated dinner Saturday between Trump and Xi on the sidelines of the Group of 20 summit in Argentina. The leaders agreed to stop the introduction of new tariffs and intensify their trade talks, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi told reporters hours later in Buenos Aires. The White House called the meeting "highly successful," saying the U.S. will leave existing tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese goods at 10 percent and refrain from raising that rate to 25 percent as planned on Jan. 1. In exchange, the U.S. wants an immediate start to talks on Trump's biggest complaints about Chinese trade practices: intellectual property theft, non-tariff barriers and cyber theft. After 90 days, if there's no progress on structural reform, the U.S. will raise those tariffs to 25 percent, White House Press Secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders said in a statement. China also agreed to boost its purchases of agricultural and industrial goods to reduce its trade imbalance with the U.S., she said.

31 of 322 comments (clear)

  1. Re:Trump caves for peanuts by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 5, Insightful

    He didn't cave. Current tariffs remain in place. Only the increase to 25% in January has been suspended pending further negotiations on IP theft and non-tariff barriers to trade. Overall, this is a pretty good outcome, and hopefully remaining issues can be resolved, and the existing tariffs can be lifted as well.

    TFA is paywalled. Here is an alternative article.

  2. Re:And we all know what a Chinese promise is worth by OppMan29 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    well if nothing happens in 90 days he can raise tariffs ...nothing lost...

  3. Why would China agree to anything in good faith? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

    If I were the Chinese, I would stall the process as long as possible. Trump may not make it to the next election and even if he does he may not win. The Chinese leadership is not responsible to the people of China which means they can do things that would get a president impeached or voted out. The Chinese are playing the long game and the USA is playing the short game. I am routing for the USA but it seems to me they may have already lost. I sure hope I'm wrong.

  4. This is very good. Double down Mr President.... by bogaboga · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The White House called the meeting "highly successful," saying the U.S. will leave existing tariffs on $200 billion of Chinese goods at 10 percent and refrain from raising that rate to 25 percent as planned on Jan. 1. In exchange, the U.S. wants an immediate start to talks on Trump's biggest complaints about Chinese trade practices: intellectual property theft, non-tariff barriers and cyber theft. After 90 days, if there's no progress on structural reform, the U.S. will raise those tariffs to 25 percent, White House Press Secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders said in a statement. China also agreed to boost its purchases of agricultural and industrial goods to reduce its trade imbalance with the U.S., she said.

    And with this news, the Democrats will water down this achievement while fuming in their "war rooms" at the same time.

    That, I can guarantee.

  5. We got talks by rsilvergun · · Score: 2

    they got us to back down on tariffs. OTOH Trump probably couldn't have done those tariffs anyway. Not without wrecking the economy.

    Meanwhile the outsourcing continues, with GM moving 14,000 jobs to Mexico (and rather cleverly blaming it on declining demand for cars vs SUVs while ignoring the new SUV & Truck factories in Mexico).

    Nothing change. Everything continues apace. Well, except we borrowed another $1 trillion as a giveaway to Trump's wealthy friends in the top 1%.

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    1. Re:We got talks by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 3, Informative

      they got us to back down on tariffs.

      Nope. The 10% in place stays in place. China agreed (finally) to talk about IP theft, trade balance, and drug controls. And for that they get a 90 day stay against an INCREASE from 10% to 25%.

      OTOH Trump probably couldn't have done those tariffs anyway. Not without wrecking the economy.

      No sign that the tariffs in place since September have done much to the economy or country, so what makes you think you'd have bigger impacts from the additional tariffs on $200 billion in trade? We're talking about tariffs going from $20 billion to $50 billion.

      Meanwhile the outsourcing continues, with GM moving 14,000 jobs to Mexico (and rather cleverly blaming it on declining demand for cars vs SUVs while ignoring the new SUV & Truck factories in Mexico).

      Yep! And thanks to the President, when GM does move those jobs, they have to pay at least $16/hour for the labor in Mexico, meaning there is a LOT less incentive to move the jobs in the first place - and it will rapidly build up the Mexican economy too.

      Nothing change. Everything continues apace. Well, except we borrowed another $1 trillion as a giveaway to Trump's wealthy friends in the top 1%.

      Yeah, he's got another $9 trillion to go before he equals his predecessor, who also gave away 17% of the economy to his friends in Big Pharma and Big Healthcare...

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  6. And a big chunk of that goes to the Chinese by rsilvergun · · Score: 3, Insightful

    since we let them buy up our hog farms. That was just nuts, BTW. Who the hell lets a hostile foreign power buy it's food supply? Seriously, who does that?

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    1. Re:And a big chunk of that goes to the Chinese by alvinrod · · Score: 4, Insightful

      What does is matter who owns them? If we ever went to war or something like that, it's pretty easy to seize those assets, since they're in the U.S. and so are the people who actually work on them. If Chinese investors do a better job running those farms, are Americans any worse off because they are more productive? If Chinese investors do a worse job, won't they just lose out to better run businesses?

    2. Re:And a big chunk of that goes to the Chinese by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 4, Insightful

      since we let them buy up our hog farms. That was just nuts, BTW. Who the hell lets a hostile foreign power buy it's food supply? Seriously, who does that?

      Do you think they packed up the hog farms and moved them to China?

      China does not control our food supply. We control THEIR food supply. Or at least their pork supply.

      Prior to buying the hog farms they were buying up American corn and soybeans, shipping them to China, and using them to raise hogs. Then they bought the hog farms so they could raise the hogs in America, and ship one jin of pork instead of 10 jin of pig food. It is just basic economic efficiency, and benefits both countries.

      Smithfield Foods bought by Shuanghui Group

      1 jin = 500g

  7. At least, trump needs to rework corp taxes by WindBourne · · Score: 2

    Seriously, time for him to rig taxes like other nations. Cut the corp tax, for in-nation items. If done outside, or selling imported goods, then tax at 25%.

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  8. Re:Why would China agree to anything in good faith by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2, Interesting

    Chinese blinked. Trump got exactly what he wanted out of the tariff war. Trumps bellicose statements forced both Canada and Mexico to update the NAFTA trade pact. He didn't get everything he wanted but the US did get a better deal. One of the least talked about pieces of the agreement was requiring any Mexican worker involved in the manufacture automotive related products exported to the US have to earn a minimum of $15 per hour. The is not only good for the Mexican workers but it also removes the number one reason US manufacturers move operations to Mexico which is labor costs.

  9. Re:Trump caves for peanuts by Pinky's+Brain · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Peanuts are still better than bugger all. Trump fights the world when he goes against globalism, any tiny step he makes in the process compares favourably against the steps of every administration before him for the last 5 odd decades.

    He killed the TPP, he's in the process of massively increasing the requirements for H-1B's, he's trying to renegotiate NAFTA with ISDS removed for most industries.

    Do you think any other presidential candidate would have done or will do anything close to that? He's not very competent, but if you actually want to see pro-labour policies in the US you can only vote for a 2nd term of Trump. Any other vote is a vote for a globalist race to the bottom.

  10. Wouldn't call this an outcome by Pollux · · Score: 4, Insightful

    So far, it's just discussion.

    The common theme of President Trump throughout his presidency is this: he's a chaotic leader. You cannot question that he is an effective leader -- just look at the success he has at his rallies. I'm not saying you have to like the guy or his methods, but you have to at least acknowledge that he is successful at inspiring people to follow him. And he does it by being chaotic.

    And his approach to China is no different. Just as he tells reporters about meeting Russia at the G20 summit ("Maybe I will, maybe I won't."), or about Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman's involvement in Khashoggi's death ("Maybe he knew, maybe he didn't."), Trump is consistently ambiguous and aloof regarding his position with practically anything. What he says to China today can still change tomorrow. There are no guarantees, only promises. And China is as good at keeping their promises as Trump is.

    So, while that chaos does give us leverage against China (what little we have), I predict it's still going to get us nowhere in the end. While Trump may momentarily have the upper hand, he has a grievous fault that will work against it: he's narcissistic. It's impossible for him to negotiate for what's good for the United States. He negotiates for himself, aiming for outcomes that give him clout (i.e. USMCA, but don't you dare call it "New NAFTA") and economic gain (i.e. tax cuts). He doesn't give a damn about the soybean farmers and every other working class American suffering while this deal is getting negotiated and worked out. Nor will he care about who benefits or doesn't in the end, so long as he gets his.

    1. Re:Wouldn't call this an outcome by larryjoe · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You cannot question that he is an effective leader -- just look at the success he has at his rallies. I'm not saying you have to like the guy or his methods, but you have to at least acknowledge that he is successful at inspiring people to follow him. And he does it by being chaotic.

      I do question many aspects of his effectiveness as a leader. There are some things and policies that I think he's doing right and others that I think are wrong. His rallies only show that the Republican base enthusiastically supports him. However, that base represents less than a majority of Americans. Trump has energized Democrats in a way that not even Obama could do. Trump has failed miserably in getting citizens and political leaders outside of his base (i.e., the majority) to follow him. This is the true measure of leadership, and in this regard, he has failed miserably.

  11. Re:IP theft doesn't matter to me by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 3, Insightful

    All he did was get them to agree to talk.

    Not true. China agreed to immediately start buying more American goods, especially farm products. Higher soybean prices in America, and cheaper tofu in China. Win-win.

  12. Re:Fucking idiot by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 2

    Tariffs are idiotic and Trump is stupid for using them at all.

    Permanent tariffs are idiotic. But temporary tariffs to force a trading partner to the bargaining table can sometimes be a smart move.

    If the Chinese want to make their own citizens pay more for goods when they could buy cheaper American ones, that's their loss.

    It is also America's loss. Trade is win-win. Restraints on trade are lose-lose.

  13. Re:Had to be done by hackingbear · · Score: 2

    - Chinese tariff levels and ownership restriction are WTO deals they reached with the US and the other developed countries some 20 years ago, in exchange China agreed to things like processing American trash which pollute its environment heavily. If the US didn't like the deal, why did it sign it. One thing I totally agree with President Trump: if we want to blame, we should blame the past US presidents. But why is that China's fault?
    - Chinese currency manipulation is a myth: if you actually live in China for the last 4 decades, you would notice that the government has been trying hard to lift Yuan's rate, without that effort, Yuan would be probably worth as much as Yen. go check the exchange rates of these two currency. So we should actually thank the Chinese government, else Chinese products would be many times cheaper than they are now.
    - Postal treaty? Again China has been admitted as a developing country and so enjoy the lower rate. Given there is no process to re-evaluate their status, why is it China's fault? Is it China still a developing country? That depends on how one defines "developing country". As far as I know, there is no real legal definition. but you can check China's GDP per capita to decide if China is still developing or not.
    - IP theft? The US itself had stolen massively when it was a developing country. And today's China enforce patent laws pretty well. For examples, Chinese patient have to pay extremely high price for western medicine, whereas India produces all the cheap imitate that benefits their population. So at best, this IP theft claim is exaggerated nowaday

  14. Re:Why would China agree to anything in good faith by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 3, Informative

    Trump may not make it to the next election...

    Short of dying, how would he not make it? The Republicans still control the Senate, and the Senate is where Impeachment starts.

    False. Impeachment is what the House does; trial is what the Senate does. The House can impeach President Trump, like they did President Clinton. But unless the Senate votes to convict - it's nothing. A charge, an allegation, a trial - and an acquittal.

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  15. Re:And we all know what a Chinese promise is worth by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 2

    Good point! It's about 15% and falling. We should push for another cut in our share of UN costs...

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  16. Re:Trump caves for peanuts by dryeo · · Score: 2

    I particularly like how he put some of the worst stuff from the TPP into NAFTA2, knowing his base would be fine with it. Other then that, well he did delay GM closing a bunch of plants until the CUSMA was sure to be signed. Note that GM isn't closing any Mexican plants, instead they'll ramp up production down there and pay the small penalties for under paying the Mexican workers.
    And considering how well America has done on the ISDS shit, why would you or Trump want it removed?

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  17. Re: Had to be done by DNS-and-BIND · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Why?? The rest of the West has made it quite clear they despise America in general and Trump specifically. Why should we do anything for you ungrateful jerks? You've been very ugly about it, like an ex-wife trashing her former husband. Really hateful and nobody doubts that you were dead serious.

    Make your own deals; stand on your own two feet. Daddy Trump is kicking you out of the basement and into the real world. It's for your own good. Learn to do things on your own.

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  18. Re:Had to be done by cats-paw · · Score: 5, Informative

    Itâ(TM)s the 16th time that the Obama administration has taken complaints about China to the WTO. Of the seven cases that have been decided, the U.S. has won all seven.

    yeah Obama did nothing...
    How this bullshit gets uprated i'll never understand.

    Obama has done NOTHING ? None of you moronic moderators could spend 2 minutes searching to verify that he did NOTHING ?

    https://www.washingtontimes.co...

    And that article came from the Washington Times. Run by a right wing lunatic. Don't believe me check out the headlines at the bottom of the page. So much for fake news.

    The democrats will praise this when they figure out if it really helps or not, since Trump and many of the members of his administration lie often and with impunity.

    Also too, those tariffs the Trumpbots are rallying around are being paid by you, not by China.

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  19. Re:They didn't get anything by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 2, Insightful

    China backed down from what? All they committed to was pausing their retaliatory tariffs.

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  20. Re:IP theft doesn't matter to me by gtall · · Score: 3, Insightful

    China's been willing to talk all along. The Trump Administration couldn't find anything like a coherent policy position from themselves. And anything they have floated amounted to telling China to stop advancing to a super-power, which went over very well with the Chinese, as you can expect.

  21. Re:IP theft doesn't matter to me by gtall · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Just remember Trump destroys everything he touches. And the U.S. is has gained nothing except the animosity of its allies and the contempt of its enemies. Most countries know what Trump is. Any "nice" things they come out with are mere to pump his ego, they will agree to nothing substantially good for the U.S.

  22. Trump blinked in the fight he started by Martin+S. · · Score: 2, Insightful

    How much more evidence is required to conclude Trump is not the brilliant 'deal' strategist he thinks he is. He's failed with North Korea, his attempt to sabotage NAFTA also failed, he failed to intimidate the EU and now he's failed to get a better deal from China, which despite his bluster is pretty much the status quo with tweeks that regular diplomats could achieve in a heartbeat without any drama.

  23. Re:Why would China agree to anything in good faith by mrclevesque · · Score: 2

    I like the Mexico 15$ minimum wage but for the rest I'm not sure.

    1) The US trade deficit with China is still on a solid increase.
    https://www.census.gov/foreign...

    2) On Nafta, all I remember is GM closing shop when it might have been put off and US manufactures paying more for steel.

    And Trump may talk like China's policies are unjust to the US, but in his personal life he calls that kind of behavior a good business sense.

  24. Re:Trump caves for peanuts by bobbied · · Score: 2

    Exacty. And this is precisely why we need to impeach and get Hillary in for the last 18 months. Pelosi will nominate her.

    LOL.. How many folks will we have to burn though to get to Hillary in the presidential succession rules? Let's see, the VP all of congress, all of the cabinet and a pile of federal employees... I think I'm in line before Hillary...

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  25. Re:And we all know what a Chinese promise is worth by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 2

    So then our share of the UN budget should be cut from 22% to 20%. Either way - we're overpaying...

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  26. Re:They didn't get anything by LynnwoodRooster · · Score: 3, Insightful
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  27. Re:They didn't get anything by Actually,+I+do+RTFA · · Score: 4, Informative

    China agrees to buy more US agriculture products.

    Right, but they bought less US agricultural products in response to the tariff. So, we're back to zero on agriculture as opposed to being in the negative.

    China agrees to make Fentanyl a controlled substance.

    Fentanyl was already a controlled substance. in China. In fact, it's just straight up illegal in China. It's legal in the US with a prescription. So they agreed to... not change their laws?

    China agrees to negotiate on forced technology transfer.

    Ooh, they agreed to discuss things. I mean, yes that's progress. But they did the same discuss the exact same issue under Clinton, W. and Obama. It's what comes out of those talks that matters. And so far we've seen nothing (from any president from Clinton on).

    Yeah, China won on everything, for just a 90 day stay, didn't they?

    Yeah. So far China's given up nothing other than holding off on their retaliation to our tariffs. In return, they made Trump blink. I'd call that winning.

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