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'Great Dying': Rapid Warming Caused Largest Extinction Event Ever, Report Says (theguardian.com)

An anonymous reader quotes a report from The Guardian: Rapid global warming caused the largest extinction event in the Earth's history, which wiped out the vast majority of marine and terrestrial animals on the planet, scientists have found. The mass extinction, known as the "great dying," occurred around 252m years ago and marked the end of the Permian geologic period. The study of sediments and fossilized creatures show the event was the single greatest calamity ever to befall life on Earth, eclipsing even the extinction of the dinosaurs 65m years ago. Up to 96% of all marine species perished while more than two-thirds of terrestrial species disappeared. The cataclysm was so severe it wiped out most of the planet's trees, insects, plants, lizards and even microbes.

The researchers used paleoceanographic records and built a model to analyze changes in animal metabolism, ocean and climate conditions. When they used the model to mimic conditions at the end of the Permian period, they found it matched the extinction records. According to the study, this suggests that marine animals essentially suffocated as warming waters lacked the oxygen required for survival. The great dying event, which occurred over an uncertain timeframe of possibly hundreds of years, saw Earth's temperatures increase by around 10C (18F). Oceans lost around 80% of their oxygen, with parts of the seafloor becoming completely oxygen-free. Scientists believe this warming was caused by a huge spike in greenhouse gas emissions, potentially caused by volcanic activity.

210 comments

  1. See by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    Those people 250 million years ago didnâ(TM)t curb their carbon emissions, cut down on driving their cars, or do anything to curb global warming and look what it got them!

    1. Re:See by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 4, Interesting

      "Garden hose doesn't cause wet grass because rain does that."

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    2. Re: See by jd · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Carbon, amazingly, doesn't care where it comes from.

      And yes there are other sources. In the case of the Great Dying, a giant asteroid slammed into Siberia turning it into a gigantic lava bed.

      See any 13 million square kilometre lava beds recently? Or giant asteroid strikes?

      No?

      Then the lesson you learn is that rapid climate change is deadly because it is rapid. The fact that temperatures have been more extreme than during that time doesn't matter.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    3. Re: See by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Morning dew works better than rain for your quip.
      Not bad over all though.

    4. Re: See by olsmeister · · Score: 2

      There also is a theory that a giant asteroid struck Antarctica and the Siberian Traps were antipodal to the impact.

    5. Re: See by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      These kinds of discussions are exactly how to attract basement dwellers and introverts. Amazing

    6. Re: See by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      âoeSlashdot poster stops watering lawn. Shocked by dead grassâ.

      Idiot. If you cared so much about CO2 you would stop living your excessive first world lifestyle which produces so god damned much of it. Stop driving or even using the bus, acknowledge your Tesla gets power from coal plants and stop that, turn off your computer, stop eating anything you didnt grow and raise with rainwater because transporting your vegan food from all over the planet is destroying it.

      You are a hypocrite and an idiot. Yes, I intended to call you an idiot twice.

    7. Re: See by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is crazy

    8. Re: See by Applehu+Akbar · · Score: 1

      One of the major drivers given for this warming has been hypothesized as mass ignition of coal beds, caused by either volcanism or an asteroid strike. That would convert a relatively local catastrophe into world climate change.

    9. Re: See by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Before reading this comments thread, I found the prospect of climate change leading to the extinction of Humanity a bit sad. Now, Iâ(TM)m not so bothered.

    10. Re: See by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Probably why Slashdot keeps posting them. It's on par with other conspiracy theories like UFOs and it gets everyone riled up.

    11. Re: See by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0
      Translation of shitty troll fucktard comment:

      Oh well Anon you have to live like a caveman and eschew all modern conveniences entirely if you want to be SERIOUS about curbing human-caused global warming! If you're not 110% EXTREME about it then you clearly and objectively don't care!

      Faggot trolls need to GO BACK TO 4CHAN and STAY THERE. Not everything is a goddamned JOKE and people like (You) need to SHUT THE FUCK UP unless you have something constructive to add to the conversation.

      Now bugger off back to 4chan, or reddit, or 9gag, or wherever the fuck it is you waste your life at. Don't come back until you've fucking grown up already.

    12. Re: See by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      *facepalm*

      The great dying was caused by volcanism, not an asteroids.

    13. Re: See by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fuck off n1gger.

    14. Re: See by K.+S.+Kyosuke · · Score: 1

      If you cared so much about CO2 you would stop living your excessive first world lifestyle which produces so god damned much of it.

      I'm offended. Second world lifestyle, bitch.

      --
      Ezekiel 23:20
    15. Re: See by jd · · Score: 1

      Amazingly, there HAS been a rapid change in the environment, and no evidence of a pause.

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
    16. Re: See by jd · · Score: 2

      I think you'll find that I mentioned.... Oh, look! THIRTEEN MILLION SQUARE MILES of lava. And the asteroid? Triggered the lava flows, not the dying in itself.

      Amazing.

      Christ on a pancake. Does ANYONE bother to read these days? Am I the last person on Earth who can read???

      --
      It's a small world and it smells funny; I'd buy another if it wasn't for the money; Take back what I paid (SoM)
  2. The Lesson by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Troll

    You can model anything to match your expectations

    1. Re: The Lesson by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

      Something good scientists keep in mind. Keep in mind as well that multiple diverse and uncorrellated models are also important usually for reasons you may never discover. Also scientists will examine recent events that may mirror older events in some very small way and perhaps more clues can help build even better models. There is always a chance you run into bad luck, statistically speaking

    2. Re:The Lesson by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      OMG YES!!!!! We should hang out! xoxoxoxoxo surely

    3. Re:The Lesson by hey! · · Score: 5, Interesting

      Back in the 90s my wife worked for a large public water authority serving over a million people. She attended a board meeting in which the IT department presented a proposal to acquire this new thing called "anti-virus".

      When one of the board members heardhow much this would cost, he balked. When challenged by other board members as to what they should do about computer viruses, this was his response: "We don't have to do anything. We've spent millions of dollars on these systems, and the integrity of those systems will protect them."

      In other words, he didn't have any specific justification for his position, he was just certain they didn't need to do anything about the problem. He was certain because that's what his gut was telling him. And his gut was telling him that because he didn't like what he'd have to do if it were a problem.

      This is, in fact, the way most people think. Only people trained in specific disciplines like science think differently, and with social media it's very easy to construct an information bubble in which science sounds outlandish, because everyone knows Adam and Eve rode around on dinosaurs.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    4. Re: The Lesson by hey! · · Score: 5, Informative

      In the 1970s, greenhouse effect models correctly predicted that the aerosol cooling trend that dominated global climate between 1940 and 1980 would be reversed in the coming decades. And if you apply an impulse response filter (like moving average) to smooth out year-to-year weather effects, the predictions of those models as to global temperature anomalies hold up extremely well.

      This is the strongest possible confirmation you can have for a scientific hypothesis, which is why the burden of proof is on people who make claims like the earth is not warming, or that anthropogenic CO2 emissions can't drive climate change. You can call the people who support AGW "chicken littles", but here's the thing: even if that were true, it wouldn't matter. The emotional basis of your beliefs has no relevance at all. It's what you claim and how you support it.

      You can be a Young Earth creationist and a good scientist, as long as you don't make any unsupportable creationist claims in a scientific forum. In church you can say anything you damn well please.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    5. Re: The Lesson by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Just keep in mind:

      1. Scientists have actual evidence for their arguments.

      2. You have Chicken Little.

    6. Re:The Lesson by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Let's face the sad, dirty little fact: the 'average person' is not very smart, and can't really think very far in the future, either. The science of most things is so far over their heads, that they'd sooner believe they're being swindled out of something.

      Short story: I used to know a guy who told me once that he thought he could put a bunch of little electric generators with propellers mounted on them on the hood of his car, and get 'free energy', that he'd somehow route to a motor that would improve his gas mileage. No matter how I tried to explain it to him, he just plain would not believe that the losses would far exceed the gains, and that the added air resistance would actually make his fuel economy worse. He literally believed something like this troll image was real. Nothing would persuade him differently.

      The above story is more-or-less the Average Person when it comes to science. What's worse: take the average person and add religion? It's even worse, they not only believe most science is bullshit intended to trick them, they believe science is EVIL and Satanic and they're trying to mislead them away from their God. That's the sort of icecream-headache-causing nonsense we're fighting against here.

    7. Re:The Lesson by mixed_signal · · Score: 2

      This is why science works and why "do science." Our instincts are often incorrect, and the scientific method helps us learn more about what actually might be going on.

    8. Re: The Lesson by dfghjk · · Score: 1

      It sure doesn't seem like you agree with him entirely. At most charitable, it would seem you are helping make his point by being exactly the kind of person he is describing.

    9. Re: The Lesson by WastedMeat · · Score: 2

      I had one of these friends too. It's not the best example to use though, because he is stupid but not as wrong as you think.

      That can actually work, but the energy comes from a velocity differential between the wind and surface rather than magically excessive drag mitigation. For going downwind, you have to switch to letting the wheels power the fans.

      https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wik...

    10. Re: The Lesson by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

      You're not helping!

    11. Re: The Lesson by phantomfive · · Score: 1

      What model are you talking about, exactly?

      --
      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    12. Re:The Lesson by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      " Let's face the sad, dirty little fact: the 'average person' is not very smart, and can't really think very far in the future, either "

      And here I thought the average IQ was 100 . . . . . .

      2SD- - - -1SD- - - - - -| - - - - - -1SD- - - - -2SD
        70 - - - - -85 - - - - -100 - - - - -115 - - - - -130

    13. Re: The Lesson by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I seriously laughed at this thread. Thank you :). -PCP

    14. Re: The Lesson by WastedMeat · · Score: 3, Informative

      Again, it is just a bad example. I am a physicist, and the turbines on a car misconception is one of those exceptions that is actually viable for certain conditions, which may be why some people intuitively cling to it.

      Consider a car at rest pointing into the wind. The fans generate power while no work is done by the wheels and nothing is lost to drag. Obviously some forward motion is possible before things come to equilibrium. Working it out, that equilibrium happens at a bit faster than the windspeed.

      So it won't work on a highway commute (and would in fact be detrimental) but it isn't a totally wrong direction for casual intuition to take you. Sailboats sail into the wind, using the wind speed differential as power in an analogous way.

    15. Re:The Lesson by Raenex · · Score: 1

      The above story is more-or-less the Average Person when it comes to science. What's worse: take the average person and add religion? It's even worse, they not only believe most science is bullshit intended to trick them, they believe science is EVIL and Satanic and they're trying to mislead them away from their God. That's the sort of icecream-headache-causing nonsense we're fighting against here.

      What's even worse are the people who think they are smarter than everybody else, that treat scientists as the new priesthood class, but are wearing their own intellectual blinders.

      Climategate showed scientists were willing to chop off decades worth of proxy data because it didn't match the recent warming. That they were willing to deceitfully present the science to the wider public to hide such discrepancies. That they were willing to delete email and data to prevent transparency.

      We've seen the wider press be willing to misrepresent the science, creating false narratives about polar bears, for example. We keep hearing every so many years how we have to *act now* or it will be too late, and then get the alarmist message repeated. Alarmism is the mantra of climate science journalism.

      How often do we get a reasoned and balanced discussion on climate change? Do we balance the benefits of predicted climate change versus the negative? Do we quantify the cost of drastic carbon reduction, both in human lives and monetarily? Is this a 100-year problem that will be better served tackling it with tomorrow's technology and economy?

    16. Re:The Lesson by j-beda · · Score: 1

      Climategate showed scientists were willing to chop off decades worth of proxy data because it didn't match the recent warming. That they were willing to deceitfully present the science to the wider public to hide such discrepancies. That they were willing to delete email and data to prevent transparency.

      Except, it did not show that at all. Sure, taken out of context there were some statements that seem damming, but in full context, not so much. Pointing to it as an example of the "dishonesty" of the vast majority of researchers is pretty disingenuous.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      "The EPA notes that in fact, the evidence shows that the research community was fully aware of these issues and that no one was hiding or concealing them."

      "Eight committees investigated the allegations and published reports, finding no evidence of fraud or scientific misconduct." - The eight major investigations covered by secondary sources include: House of Commons Science and Technology Committee (UK); Independent Climate Change Review (UK); International Science Assessment Panel (UK); Pennsylvania State University first panel and second panel; United States Environmental Protection Agency (US); Department of Commerce (US); National Science Foundation (US).

    17. Re:The Lesson by Raenex · · Score: 1

      Except, it did not show that at all.

      Except it did. I've looked into it in detail, read both sides of the argument, and everything I said is true.

      Pointing to it as an example of the "dishonesty" of the vast majority of researchers is pretty disingenuous.

      The researchers involved were heavy hitters and proponents of the "hockey stick", the widely promulgated graph of global warming.

      "The EPA notes that in fact, the evidence shows that the research community was fully aware of these issues and that no one was hiding or concealing them."

      I tried looking up the citation for Wikipedia's claim here, and the direct link did not work. I would like to see an exact quote from the reference that backs up this claim.

      Regardless, there's a political climate around propping up the threat of global warming, and a lot of whitewashing going around. Rather than rely on Wikipedia or summaries, I looked at primary sources. I looked at the graphs, the emails, and what, exactly, "hide the decline" referred to.

      I looked at how Phil Jones told people to delete email. How he said would rather delete data than give it to climate skeptics. At how the internal debates regarding the uncertainties of climate science was not communicated to the wider public. Quite the opposite, it was actively hidden.

      If you want an alternative view, from a Berkeley scientist, watch the following: https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

    18. Re:The Lesson by j-beda · · Score: 1

      Except, it did not show that at all.

      Except it did. I've looked into it in detail, read both sides of the argument, and everything I said is true.

      So, they were guilty? And the eight investigations were all wrong? Your decisions on how to properly account for various data sets are more valid than than the researchers, peer reviewers, etc.? I guess if they are all in on it, of course.

      Pointing to it as an example of the "dishonesty" of the vast majority of researchers is pretty disingenuous.

      The researchers involved were heavy hitters and proponents of the "hockey stick", the widely promulgated graph of global warming.

      The graph in question seems to have come up first in 1998 or so. Is saying someone was a proponent of it supposed to be some sort of slur? I guess it is sort of bad to support junk science.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      I guess over the past twenty years, further data and research has corrected the garbage science.

      Oh, that does not seem to be the case.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

      "More than two dozen reconstructions, using various statistical methods and combinations of proxy records, have supported the broad consensus shown in the original 1998 hockey-stick graph, with variations in how flat the pre-20th century "shaft" appears."

      If we were in the position where our political system was working towards understanding the well established science and we were actually talking about the tradeoffs between various courses of action, I think most of the "alarmists" would be much happier. Yes, there are some important things to discuss and decide on. But when there are huge numbers of important people still trying to deny the fundamental issues, it is hard to discuss any sort of way to address the issues.

    19. Re:The Lesson by Raenex · · Score: 1

      So, they were guilty? And the eight investigations were all wrong?

      I told you, it was a whitewash, easily explained by the political climate around global warming. At the minimum, Phil Jones should have been fired and charged for violating a Freedom of Information request, and telling other people to delete their email. Does this sound like transparent science to you? How science should be done by a top member in their field?

      Oh, that does not seem to be the case.

      I like how you keep quoting Wikipedia, which has its own bias and relies on biased sources, instead of delving into theactual issues surrounding the graph.

      Did you watch the video I linked to by the Berkeley science for an alternative view? Why don't you engage with the actual argument being made?

  3. Protip by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    The mass extinction, known as the "great dying," occurred around 252m years ago and marked the end of the Permian geologic period.

    Mass extinctions often occur at such changeovers. Be extra careful around these times, and check your insurance is valid.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    1. Re:Protip by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      FUUUUCK! My insurance has a Act of Trump exclusion clause.

    2. Re:Protip by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1, Flamebait

      The mass extinction, known as the "great dying," occurred around 252m years ago and marked the end of the Permian geologic period.

      Mass extinctions often occur at such changeovers. Be extra careful around these times, and check your insurance is valid.

      Fear not citizen, for we no longer need fear these things. A vote was taken, and we have mandated that temperatures remain stable.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    3. Re:Protip by mrbester · · Score: 1

      That's what happens when your security certificates controlling the infrastructure expire.

      --
      "Wait. Something's happening. It's opening up! My God, it's full of apricots!"
    4. Re: Protip by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I know. I sent a cancellation notice. Incredibly expensive for such a thread bare service

    5. Re: Protip by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      That would fall under "act of God" clause.

  4. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 0, Troll

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  5. Maybe it was an advanced civilisation by Qbertino · · Score: 1

    Burning fossil fuel. And eventually killing the ecosystem and itself. Not entirely unlikely. Scientist have been toying with this thought. Ours really isn't that old and we're screwing up the planet already, big time.

    --
    We suffer more in our imagination than in reality. - Seneca
    1. Re:Maybe it was an advanced civilisation by drinkypoo · · Score: 0

      No, we would have found their plastic artifacts. The only way there could have been an advanced civilization on Earth before us and not leave any evidence is if they had some other technological basis, like all biotech or self-disassembling nanotechnology which cleaned itself up for pollution avoidance reasons. Even then it's a hard sell, but at least conceivable.

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    2. Re:Maybe it was an advanced civilisation by dargaud · · Score: 2

      If there had been a civilisation like ours that far back, I wonder what kind of traces we would find. Is 'nothing' possible ? There'd be strange fossils of objects or constructions or even radioactive differences. Also all the coal from the carboniferous layer would have been burnt up already !

      --
      Non-Linux Penguins ?
    3. Re:Maybe it was an advanced civilisation by 110010001000 · · Score: 2

      Even plastic wouldn't last 252 million years. If humans died out today, there wouldn't be trace of us in 252 million years (I think). Plate tectonics would take care of that.

    4. Re:Maybe it was an advanced civilisation by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      Subduction. Get an adult to look it up for you.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
    5. Re: Maybe it was an advanced civilisation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes; this is exactly the same reason that no dinosaur remains persisted to this day, and geological records end exactly 252 million years ago.

    6. Re:Maybe it was an advanced civilisation by SqueakyMouse · · Score: 3, Funny

      We can ask ourselves what a civilisation would see of our remains in 250 million years time. There would be nothing left of our constructions. There might be lots of fossilised remains of chickens though and they might start to question how a silly little fat bird got to be so successful during the chicken epoch. Maybe we should look and see if there are excessive remains of a species that probably wouldn't be so successful unless a dominant species was breeding it.

    7. Re:Maybe it was an advanced civilisation by WhiplashII · · Score: 3, Informative

      Consider that we find dinosaur fossils. If there was a civilization that created ever somewhat durable artifacts, we would know.

      --
      while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
    8. Re:Maybe it was an advanced civilisation by WhiplashII · · Score: 1

      True, probably the strongest argument in favor of us being the first civilization is the productivity of the early mines. Gold was just lying about!

      --
      while (sig==sig) sig=!sig;
    9. Re:Maybe it was an advanced civilisation by hcs_$reboot · · Score: 1

      We can ask ourselves what a civilisation would see of our remains in 250 million years time

      There was a very very tiny chance of having an intelligent form of life on Earth in the beginning, there won't be another one.

      --
      Slashdot, fix the reply notifications... You won't get away with it...
    10. Re:Maybe it was an advanced civilisation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The dinosaurs ate the plastics, duh!

    11. Re:Maybe it was an advanced civilisation by dargaud · · Score: 1

      I think in 250My, plate tectonics has enough time to shuffle the mines all over again.

      --
      Non-Linux Penguins ?
    12. Re:Maybe it was an advanced civilisation by dargaud · · Score: 1

      The beginning ? Do you mean during the Great Oxygenation Even when the high level of O2 could have sustained strange things like the Franceville biota ? Or during the Ediacaran when evolution went every which way ? Or when animals got out of the water ? Or started moving fast ? Or when O2 was high again allowing for gigantic insects ? Hard to tell...

      --
      Non-Linux Penguins ?
    13. Re:Maybe it was an advanced civilisation by hcs_$reboot · · Score: 1

      The beginning is Earth age-zero. The probability is calculated from that time. We were lucky, a lot!

      --
      Slashdot, fix the reply notifications... You won't get away with it...
    14. Re:Maybe it was an advanced civilisation by Oligonicella · · Score: 1

      Horribly wrong assumption. Under your very feet you can find traces of things that age and older. The Ozark Plateau is the remains of this contenent from 2500->541 mya (pre Cambrian). Not even close to subduction. And the traces we find of living things from that era are just bio-smudges. So, I think human civilization remains will be circa +252M and beyond. And, since we have a crap-load of fossils from 541–485.4 mya (Cambrian), your assumption fails on just our bones. One more grain of salt, we make glass and glass preserves really, really well.

      Same logic and evidence that kills all the earlier high-tech civilizations bullshit.

    15. Re:Maybe it was an advanced civilisation by Oligonicella · · Score: 1

      Drop something in central US. Please tell me where it's going to subduct.

    16. Re:Maybe it was an advanced civilisation by Oligonicella · · Score: 2

      Titanium, glass, shaped stone and gold artifacts to name a few things not bio. Also an abundance of human bones. The 'dominant species' will be present with the chickens (bigger, heavier bones).

    17. Re:Maybe it was an advanced civilisation by Oligonicella · · Score: 1

      Well, yes. When you include the 10/13ths of the Earth's span where there was no life at all, I guess your calculations would yield 'very very tiny'.

    18. Re:Maybe it was an advanced civilisation by Oligonicella · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Then you think incorrectly. Tectonics is not like shuffling a deck of cards, it doesn't jumble everything. Besides, you'll have to explain how the gold got *back* into veins in rocks, lode deposits, etc.

    19. Re:Maybe it was an advanced civilisation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Ahoy retarded motherfucker!

      Plastic biodegrades in a few hundred to a couple thousand years based on the type of plastic that it is.

      Get your head out of your ass and do a 15 second Google search. I see you run your mouth around here about anything and everything. I wonder how much more of your "knowledge" is based on Facebook memes and bullshit lies. I often find that people who have the time to post here multiple times a day are sacks of shit who really know very little but feel that they're supergeeks or some other dumb shit. My guess is that you're some bitch ass hipster who's too stupid to do anything really productive in your life.

      For now you should shut the fuck up and let the adults talk.

    20. Re:Maybe it was an advanced civilisation by Can'tNot · · Score: 2

      What you're talking about was discussed in a well-publicized paper fairly recently. The authors called it The Silurian Hypothesis and found that it was a lot more plausible than you're suggesting.

    21. Re:Maybe it was an advanced civilisation by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

      There are no rocks in the crust that are as old as the Earth itself, so everything gets subducted (or destroyed by some other means) eventually.

      --
      Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  6. Californian and New York by registrations_suck · · Score: 0

    It would be great if we could cause rapid warming in these two states.

    1. Re: Californian and New York by gtall · · Score: 1

      Why would you think that? You wouldn't be Mike Pence would you? Kill'em all, let G-d sort'em out.

    2. Re: Californian and New York by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Really weird having Pence and Trump together
      One is strongly Christian, and the other
      refuses to recite the Apostles Creed at Bushâ(TM)s funeral

    3. Re: Californian and New York by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Fucking NYC & La. Trotsky-sluts in azzwhole is a great-deading worth fighting about. Let the skeletonizing begin !

    4. Re: Californian and New York by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      It was fantastic!

    5. Re: Californian and New York by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

      It would be great if we could cause rapid warming in these two states.

      Yep they are an oaffront to reality what with being all liberal and regulation heavy yet also being commercial powerhouses. The solution to reality defing people is to destroy them.

      FFS if you don't like California or New York don't go and live there. There are plenty of states to choose from which they susidise.

      --
      SJW n. One who posts facts.
    6. Re: Californian and New York by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1
      *weary sigh*

      Do you think you can take a moment to put things in perspective? Here, let me help you:

      Politics: very short-lived. Less than a human lifetime.
      The future of life on Earth: Measured in millions of years

      Please get your priorities straight, okay? Once you do then go help two others do the same. And they'll tell two friends, and they'll tell two friends, and so on, and so on..

    7. Re: Californian and New York by SuperKendall · · Score: 1

      The funny thing about people complaining about Trump at the funeral, they generally wouldn't know the Apostles Creed from Apollo Creed.

      --
      "There is more worth loving than we have strength to love." - Brian Jay Stanley
  7. So does this mean by bobstreo · · Score: 1

    that it really doesn't matter what humans do, or don't do, , because when it's time for mass extinction, it's time for mass extinction? Because 252m years ago, there were no people around to cause this.

    I guess there should be some hue and cry about escaping Earth, and creating other places as biological refuges, but I don't know if we actually deserve it.

    1. Re:So does this mean by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes, this means you should behave environmentally irresponsibly even though you know it has negative effects.

      Heck, eventually the sun will go read giant and consume the earth, so lets just drop thermonuclear bombs on the entire earths surface now, it will be fun!

    2. Re:So does this mean by drinkypoo · · Score: 1, Insightful

      No, it means we should act smarter than rocks. Are we men, or are we menhirs?

      --
      "You're right," Fisheye says. "I should have set it on 'whip' or 'chop.'"
    3. Re:So does this mean by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      No, it means we should act smarter than rocks. Are we men, or are we menhirs?

      Finally, someone's thinking about the orthostats!

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  8. Re:Models by gtall · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Yep, all them models of quantum mechanics we use to build computer chips? Complete bollocks. Those models we use to build bridges and skyscrapers to figure out the loads and stress, utter garbage since they are always falling down...hmmmm...not yet, you say? Given enough time, they will and show your model theory is correct. You should tell the scientists about this, I'm sure they'd listen to you.

  9. Re:Just One of Hundreds of Papers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's true and almost inevitable that an alternate hypothesis can match the evidence.
    I try to think of examples of such alternative hypotheses and see if there is any link to a primary hypothesis.
    For example, if you have a small oil leak, it will turn into a large one and your car breaks down. Is the little oil leak responsible? Maybe. Is it merely a path for bad luck?
    What is a baby hears a loud noise and instinctively backs into the road and gets hit by a car. Is the cause noises, fear of loud noises or cars?
    What about dilution. In homeopathey they think that superdiluting elements makes them somehow stronger. No real evidence for this, but consider that you could have a state change in the atmosphere if a warming element moved from one level of dilution in the atmosphere to some other level, even with the standard measurement, say ppb, having changed only a little. What additional side effects could that state change bring?

  10. new lessreal app breaking records? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    got yourself redeemed & still feeling low on the polls? never a better time to try on a new or revised digital persona? slight (overlay) revisions in your appearance & motives could lead to contact with some genuinely uncreepy folks? like it in the swamp? work (selflating) your way up to complimentary seating on the great hereafter cruise, along with the crown royals, some virgins, slaves, gargoyles, monkeys & you.. sign up now.. why wait?

    1. Re: new lessreal app breaking records? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This is just like the APK thing only it doesnâ(TM)t even have a link.

  11. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  12. change of policy by umghhh · · Score: 1, Troll

    I used to have a policy to go to a good restaurant for agood steak and bottle of red every time a spike in alarmist reports hit. Now Ihad to change that as I have neither time nor money and it became detrimental to my health to go there every so often. But this report deserves it. This much dying predicted means I can order a second bottle or invite a hooker too.

    1. Re:change of policy by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 2, Insightful

      I used to have a policy to go to a good restaurant for agood steak and bottle of red every time a spike in alarmist reports hit.

      It is strange the things that some folks consider alarmist. This is merely a conjunction of physics, geology, chemistry and a few other sciences. Odd that people such as yourself find it alarmist, while people like myself find it enjoyable, like fitting together pieces of a jigsaw puzzle as the different disciplines intertwine.

      Not to mention, we wouldn't be here if it hadn't happened

      Relax and enjoy that bottle of red, You don't need any reason other than being here.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    2. Re:change of policy by DamonHD · · Score: 2

      Your response is far too kind to a fairly transparent bit of trolling...

      I'd rather you had that nice bottle of red, peacemaking and calm should have its rewards...

      Rgds

      Damon

      --
      http://m.earth.org.uk/
  13. Wasn't it methane-producing bacteria? by Zorpheus · · Score: 1

    I remember reading that the Great Dying was triggered by methane-producing bacteria. The theory said that their methane-producing metabolic cycle was a new development. But the mentioned lack of oxygen in the oceans would give a big rise to such bacteria anyway.
    Methane is a very strong greenhouse gas.

    1. Re:Wasn't it methane-producing bacteria? by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 0

      I remember reading that the Great Dying was triggered by methane-producing bacteria. The theory said that their methane-producing metabolic cycle was a new development. But the mentioned lack of oxygen in the oceans would give a big rise to such bacteria anyway.

      The massive fart hypothesis.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  14. Wait by Dunbal · · Score: 1, Insightful

    So rapid warming has happened before?

    --
    Seven puppies were harmed during the making of this post.
    1. Re: Wait by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You didnâ(TM)t see the poster did you?

    2. Re:Wait by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 2

      So rapid warming has happened before?

      Oh yes. Rapid warming, rapid cooling. Or slow versions of each. There have been some very interesting times in earth's past.

      Want some interesting reading? DDG "snowball earth" hypothesis. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... Note that is at the hypothesis stage - as we go further back, it takes a lot more work to figure out what exactly happened.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    3. Re:Wait by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I've always been amazed at the resiliency life has had, seemingly quickly after getting a foot hold on earth.

      A wild swing of gasses in the atmosphere causes a runaway effect of ice formation at the planets poles.
      Giant sheets of ice 40 kilometers thick form, expand and grow, and push their way towards the equator to meet, entombing the earth and reflecting most all of the sunlight back away from the planet for untold hundreds of millions of years.

      But like an underdog in an arm wrestling contest, the heat and pressure under the ocean eventually fights the ice back while coincidentally making a heat and carbon dioxide playground of fertility for underwater plants and algae and all sorts of creepy tiny things that love the water
      (OK yes, I hate the ocean and terrifying things in it.. they are even worse than spiders)

      But it was these very things that helped flood the earth with oxygen to such an extent as to allow for the explosion of countless different species in the first place.

      All of that while leading up towards a swing in the opposite direction, plus a few crazy disasters like asteroid impacts and giant plumes under the mantle coming up through the earths crust to say Hi! and burn everything away in a 20 kilometer diameter lava bed

      Plus those weren't even the most recent mass extinctions on earth, all of which were needed to finally make enough room for the little rodents we evolved from millions of years later.

      It can be hard to feel special when attempting to get your head wrapped around all the planetary history that has occurred over 99.99% of the planets existence before we were ever even a part of it.

      And just think, in another hundred million years there will likely be little trace humanity was ever here, beyond perhaps a teeny tiny couple meters thick layer far deep down in the earths crust with an oddly off-average ratio of carbon and a less than average redistribution of potassium, sodium, and a small handful of other radioactive decay by products.

      Hopefully we can get ourselves that RAID upgrade on the galactic scale before then!

    4. Re:Wait by evanh · · Score: 1

      Difference is, humans can both predict and control the climate if we want. We just need to decide to act.

      I remember years of having to ration petrol because we were told we had to. Everyone just got on with it.

    5. Re: Wait by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thankfully we have all the time in the world

    6. Re:Wait by Livius · · Score: 1

      We've had regional warming since the agricultural revolution. It's brought down entire civilizations.

    7. Re:Wait by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 1

      And just think, in another hundred million years there will likely be little trace humanity was ever here, beyond perhaps a teeny tiny couple meters thick layer far deep down in the earths crust with an oddly off-average ratio of carbon and a less than average redistribution of potassium, sodium, and a small handful of other radioactive decay by products.

      Hopefully we can get ourselves that RAID upgrade on the galactic scale before then!

      Exactly. Almost every species on earth has gone extinct, and humans are not likely to be the exception. The question is whether it happens via disaster, ot whether we do it to ourselves. My money is that at some point, our hyper agressivness and our tendency toward irrational behavior will have us gleefully pushing the buttons that ends it all for us.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
    8. Re:Wait by mermeid007 · · Score: 1

      The snowball earth hypothesis was independently formed by scientists at Kings College some time ago. It would be interesting to compare those sources with theirs.

    9. Re:Wait by Ol+Olsoc · · Score: 0

      The snowball earth hypothesis was independently formed by scientists at Kings College some time ago. It would be interesting to compare those sources with theirs.

      There is quite a long span of time separating the two events.

      Regardless, pretty interesting stuff.

      --
      The shepherds did so well protecting the flock that the sheep no longer believed that wolves existed.
  15. Re:Models by Sique · · Score: 4, Informative

    Ironically, the Green House effect is a purely quantum mechanical one. We can calculate the absorption spectrum of small molecules down to 10 digits, including those of carbon dioxide, water and methane.

    --
    .sig: Sique *sigh*
  16. LOL, the great scam-ening! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I just looked outside the window and saw two birds. So much for the "extinction".

    1. Re:LOL, the great scam-ening! by Wraithlyn · · Score: 1

      And here I thought Trump only posted on Twitter.

      --
      "Mind, as manifested by the capacity to make choices, is to some extent present in every electron." -Freeman Dyson
  17. Re: Models by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I am pretty sure there are some very poor grant giving agencies that go and look directly for grateful grantees and are very successful

  18. Stupid dinosaurs by 110010001000 · · Score: 5, Funny

    If the dinosaurs had all bought $60,000+ Tesla's this could have been avoided.

    1. Re: Stupid dinosaurs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      So stupid. It turns out that they wanted my blushing bride to co-sign so I decided I had better bring her along for the test drive. Do you think they will let us drive it alone? I hope the salesman is not like some other people, who were playing with pop rocks in second grade when they taught arithmetic

    2. Re: Stupid dinosaurs by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Should the word bride be interpreted to mean a pretty girl in a white dress or is this some kind of abstract thing?

    3. Re:Stupid dinosaurs by hcs_$reboot · · Score: 2

      They were probably faster than a Tesla.

      --
      Slashdot, fix the reply notifications... You won't get away with it...
  19. Because of the warming!? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If the anthropocene extinction is created by warming, why did it start before the warming did!?

    1. Re:Because of the warming!? by hey! · · Score: 2

      It's not global climate change that's driving this, it's local habitat disruption. Global climate change creates local habitat disruption, but so do other things, like people introducing non-native species to a locality, or hunting a local keystone species to extinction.

      You are thinking as if the only kind of "cause" is one that is both necessary and sufficient. Climate change, exotic species introduction, human predation, human transformation of landscape for agriculture or development... none of these are both necessary and sufficient causes of a mass extinction. It doesn't mean they can't contribute to one.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    2. Re:Because of the warming!? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Lets stop predatory invasive species. Stop illegal immigration.

    3. Re:Because of the warming!? by hey! · · Score: 1

      Hondurans are the same species we are, dimwit.

      --
      Post may contain irony: discontinue use if experiencing mood swings, nausea or elevated blood pressure.
    4. Re:Because of the warming!? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hondurans are not predatory.
      Well, most of them aren't, anyway.

  20. Re:So the tipping point untipped? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Venus situation is uncertain, but higher. It got bet after millions of years. If you’re basing your decisions off of whether they’ll turn earth in Venus, it seems a little... I don’t know...

  21. Re:Models by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You can do lots of experiments with quantum mechanics. No matter what you do with AGW models, you will never have N>1.

    The entire field is inherently a waste of time and resources.

  22. Re: The sky is falling religion marching on by c6gunner · · Score: 1

    Right? We used to think the sun was a god, until we learned better. Now we know there is no sun.

  23. Re:Models by Hognoxious · · Score: 2

    Those models we use to build bridges

    I live in Genoa, you insensitive clod!

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  24. Re:Just One of Hundreds of Papers by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Except the alternative hypothesis does not match the evidence. The evidence is that there was a mass extinction, followed by a global increase in temperature that was the result of the same events that killed everything. That's the accepted evidence, and that science has been settled for 25 years or more.

  25. Re:So the tipping point untipped? by angel'o'sphere · · Score: 1

    no return Venus-like
    No one ever claimed "Venus like" except idiots like you.

    --
    Cost free eBook I read (by iBook/Kobo/Amazon/ObookO/Gutenberg etc.): "The Green Odyssey" by Philip Jose Farmer.
  26. Re: Models by Zontar+The+Mindless · · Score: 3, Insightful
    --
    Il n'y a pas de Planet B.
  27. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 2, Insightful

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  28. Extinction is troubling, but the lesser concern by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    We must not allow the use of nuclear energy, even to avert potential catastrophe. Only sources under the “renewable” umbrella should be permitted to assist fossil fuels in gently decarbonizing. Nuclear goes too far, threatening to replace fossil fuels rapidly and entirely.

    1. Re:Extinction is troubling, but the lesser concern by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Hippie, BTFO.

  29. Re:Models by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It's even worse than that. We're now producing lots of renewable electricity (wind/sun), but run the coal plants on "standby", because wind and sun aren't always available. Standby means, not feeding the grid, but heating something to get rid of the excessive power. What's being heated is water, until it vaporizes.

    Here (Germany) about 1/4th of total electrical power production is used to vaporize water.

    Now 1kg of coal produces 11.something MJ. Water takes 2.something MJ/kg to vaporize. So for every 1kg coal we burn, we vaporize 4 l of water. Our "climate friendly" energy production is in fact worse than doing nothing.

    The solution would be storage.

  30. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

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  31. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 0

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  32. Re:Models by Sique · · Score: 1
    Yes and no. Water vapor indeed is a very strong absorber in the thermal part of the electromagnetic spectrum, and so is methane. But differently than carbon dioxide, both water vapor and methane fall out of the atmosphere very quickly (in the case of water vapor, this fallout is called 'rain' or 'snow', while methane molecules get destroyed by sunlight). Carbon dioxide instead stays basically forever in the atmosphere. Other planets like Venus and Mars have atmospheres where carbon dioxide is the main component, reaching more than 95 percent. Another aspect is that carbon dioxide reaches much higher in the atmosphere than methane or water vapor, making the carbon dioxide filter much more effective. While the vapor layer is about 2 km thick, carbon dioxide reaches as high as 30 km and more. Methane is very seldom in the atmosphere, reaching about 1.8 ppm, while carbon dioxide currently is at 400 ppm. So while methane may be much more potent as a greenhouse gas, carbon dioxide dwarfs the effect by sheer numbers. And the effect of water vapor is not as easy: If it condenses in the atmosphere, we get clouds, and clouds reflect the light, thus reverting the greenhouse effect.

    Carbon dioxide just sits in the atmosphere, lets the sunlight pass, but absorbs the thermal radiation coming up from the Earth's surface, heats up in the process and causes raising temperatures.

    --
    .sig: Sique *sigh*
  33. Re: The sky is falling religion marching on by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    MCCOY: Captain, I see on your report Flavius was killed. I am sorry. I liked that huge sun worshiper.
    SPOCK: I wish we could have examined that belief of his more closely. It seems illogical for a sun worshiper to develop a philosophy of total brotherhood. Sun worship is usually a primitive superstition religion.
    UHURA: I'm afraid you have it all wrong, Mister Spock, all of you. I've been monitoring some of their old-style radio waves, the empire spokesman trying to ridicule their religion. But he couldn't. Don't you understand? It's not the sun up in the sky. It's the Son of God.
    KIRK: Caesar and Christ. They had them both. And the word is spreading only now.
    MCCOY: A philosophy of total love and total brotherhood.
    SPOCK: It will replace their imperial Rome, but it will happen in their twentieth century.
    KIRK: Wouldn't it be something to watch, to be a part of? To see it happen all over again? Mister Chekov, take us out of orbit. Ahead warp factor one.
    CHEKOV: Aye, sir.

  34. Re: Models by Type44Q · · Score: 1
    Your problem is that the person you're attempting to argue with doesn't need to bring quantum mechanics into it; there are plenty of simpler and more appropriate analogies.

    However, you should thank them; that irrelevant little gaff is the only flaw you can exploit.

  35. You are so right! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Here, the models have understated the problem. In reality, observed sea level is tracking at the upper range of the model projections.
    Those stupid models are understating the problem! Totally worth ignoring!

    Now, I'm going to buy my 2018 leftover 500 cubic INCH (No unAmerican "liter" bullshit) V8 Pick-up truck and drive my all American Beef fed fat ass around! Global Warming is a hoax by the Chinese who want us to all be converted to Tofu eating Vegan Liberal fags who drive EVs to be charged by - get this - Chinese made solar panels!

  36. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

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  37. Re: horrible moderation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Down voting the above to -1 is classic lalala-I-can-not-hear-you childishness.

    The above, who is not me, made a good point, intelligently, insulted no one, got down voted by stupid children for telling the truth.

    Thank god for the internet where we empower stupid children to avoid truths that do not fit with their feelings.

  38. Re: Models by Mashiki · · Score: 0

    Rationalwiki, as reliable as Conservapedia, Wikipedia, and the belief communism really, really, really, really will work this time!

    --
    Om, nomnomnom...
  39. I don't think it's people's guts telling them by rsilvergun · · Score: 5, Interesting

    there's not problem. Folks know there's a problem, but the average person is living paycheck to paycheck (60-80% of them, depending on if you define "paycheck to paycheck" as "very little in the bank" or "not a dime in the bank").

    I've said this before, but it's worth repeating: Climate change is years from now, rent's due at the end of the month. If you want folks to care about climate change you have to solve their short term economic problems. That means taxes. If you're making good money (figure $300k/yr+) your taxes are going up to fund public works projects. Also we're gonna have to pull back on all those wars and, well, let's not mince words, your stock portfolio profits handsomely from the Military Industrial Complex...

    Still, unless we do something about working class Americans then they're gonna keep voting climate change deniers in office because anything we can do about Climate change is likely to cost them money, and they're barely making it.

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
    1. Re:I don't think it's people's guts telling them by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even Mattis wants the endless fucking afghan war to be brought to and end, and he's not what I'd call a peacenik.

    2. Re:I don't think it's people's guts telling them by dfghjk · · Score: 1

      My idea of a solution is not buying off "working class Americans" with tax cuts to support climate change issues and that appears to be your proposal here. The thought of any politician considering that is hysterical. If the government won't take action, it won't enact tax policies that cause voters to insist on it.

      Ultimately the problem is greed, it is money corrupting the political system. The answer is not more money corrupting more people differently. You make good points, but what you advocate would never happen and would not get the job done anyway.

    3. Re:I don't think it's people's guts telling them by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      Climate change is years from now, rent's due at the end of the month.

      Rent is indeed due next month - but come again on climate change? It's costing hundreds of billions each year and killing people just here in the United States - see the recent forest fires in California for just one example.

      The other thing is that doing something on climate change would vastly improve the paycheck of the shmoe trying to pay rent next month. Replacing coal plants with wind and solar, and building out electric mass transit, would be the biggest jobs bomb the world has seen since WWII.

    4. Re:I don't think it's people's guts telling them by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Not true. You make an interesting point about a conflict between short and long-term perspectives, and essentially wind up restating the Hierarchy of Needs. So far so good.

      Here's what will change all that: Real estate. Millions of citizens own millions of homes on at-risk land. How many senior citizens (and many not so senior) own land along the Florida coast? How about the Carolinas, New York state, Massachussets, Oregon, California? Now imagine all the other continents, and all the great coastal cities of the world.

      Once a person's home is swept away, you can be damn sure that person is focused on what happened, how to recover, and is plenty interested in preventing it from happening again. All of which assumes that recovery is even possible.

      No, climate change deniers are like those biblical Prophets of Doom. Wrong every time, and left making lame excuses when the world doesn't end on schedule. Their credibility suffers a crushing blow when reality fails to match the lies they are telling.

      Yet there's always a market for hucksters selling snake oil. Indeed, there is a sucker born every minute, and always a snake oil salesman willing to find and take advantage of the suckers.

    5. Re: I don't think it's people's guts telling them by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      California wildfires are due to mismanagement by the government in regard to general forest management. Global warming has little to do with it at all.

    6. Re:I don't think it's people's guts telling them by dcw3 · · Score: 1

      Go ahead and defund the military, and see how much quicker Putin or Xi are at rolling over your nation than climate change is.

      --
      Just another day in Paradise
    7. Re: I don't think it's people's guts telling them by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      Climate change has reduced rainfall, which leads to drier forests which leads to more fires and more serious forest fires. And good luck with the Libertarian attempt to blame this on government, when it was for-profit PG&E that started the blaze.

  40. Re:Models by HiThere · · Score: 1

    If I hadn't already used all my mod points, I *would* commence downvoting you. If you don't have a model to justify your conclusions, then you're guessing essentially at random. If you don't know or understand your model, you don't have much reason to trust it.

    That said, a model is no guarantee of the correct answer. It's just that not having a model *is* almost a guarantee of the wrong answer.

    --

    I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
  41. Re: Models by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    Neither side is accurate. Oil companies prefer to keep the profits and hedge their bets by investing in alternative energy. The left side is just ridiculous I don't need to explain what is wrong with it.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  42. Re:Models by HiThere · · Score: 1

    Disagree. Every physical process that doesn't involve gravitation can, in principle, be accurately modeled by a quantum theory based model to any desired degree of precision. We're still looking for exceptions.

    The problem with something like the greenhouse effect is that it's so large that no feasible quantum theory based model exists. We can't even accurately model the atoms in a liter of air, because the equations get too hairy.

    So it's perfectly reasonable to say that the Greenhouse Effect is purely quantum, it's just unreasonable to try to model it that way. A good quantum model would be completely accurate (AFAIKT), but would be so computationally intractable as to be unusable. (Any claim that you've seen WRT a quantum model of the Greenhouse Effect has either lied or made so many simplifying assumptions that you can't trust it.)

    That said, particular interactions that go into the Greenhouse Effect can be thoroughly and precisely modeled, and used as input into a classical model. And I'm sure that's what is being referred to.

    --

    I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
  43. Re: Models by TuringTest · · Score: 1

    > the belief communism really, really, really, really will work this time!

    Oh but it does. It prevents Western governments and corporations from stripping away absolutely all the labor rights acquired in the nineteen century, and that allowed a middle class to grow; which is the way that communism has always worked.

    --
    Singularity: a belief in the "God" idea with the "demiurge" relation inverted.
  44. Re:Models by burtosis · · Score: 1

    tl;dr : modeling climate, based on quantum mechanical systems, is like trying to run an emulator of IBMs Summit supercomputing system on a Galaxy S5. Your FPS is gonna suck.

  45. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

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  46. Re:Models by serviscope_minor · · Score: 1

    Whenever I see this, I know the conclusions are bollocks.

    The only way to know something which is demonstrably false is to be an idiot.

    The original IPCC report had climate models in it. The climate agreed with the future predictions to within the error bars, demonstrating the models were not in fact bollocks.

    Now, please start my inevitable downvoting.

    Yes if you post something that stupid it will get downmodded.

    --
    SJW n. One who posts facts.
  47. Re: Models by CoolDiscoRex · · Score: 0

    Yes, I am going to keep posting this until you knot-heads get it.

    Kind of interesting that those obscene profits come from the people who claim to hate them. Millenials are the most well-travelled generation in history. They only care about climate change when it’s time to talk.

    Do as we say, not as we do, amirite?

    You want we should chain them down instead so they can’t keep pouring billions of dollars into oil company profits? What do you do, by the way? Just drive to work and the grocery store, or do you forget about the climate when it’s convenient for you to do so as well?

    Oil company profits don’t come from the hand of Satan. The majority comes from affluent progressives, who take more flights per year, and fly more miles, than so-called ‘conservatives’.

    If you think we should start jailing them for pouring billions into oil company coffers, say as much.

  48. Re:Models by BigDukeSix · · Score: 1

    Don't read the paper. If you did you would see that the model results are correlated with empirical evidence (extinction of species via disappearance from the fossil record). In a way that's pretty clever, and since the fossil evidence comes from a different research group, probably correct. Then you would have to realize that your comment is inane.

  49. Wait, there was global warming before us? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    This should finally disprove all IPCC claims forever. Great news.

  50. Re:Models by BigDukeSix · · Score: 1

    See my comment above. You obviously haven't read the paper. You can quibble with the quality of experimental confirmation, but kindly do so from a position of actual understanding.

  51. If right about the problem you are also ... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    If you are right about the problem you are also correct about the solution.

    Nuclear power. Safe, cheap, widely available tenth generation nuclear power plants.

    Which we don't have because of the feels of millions of environmentalists and their useful idiots over the past half-century or more.

    So that is why I am unconcerned about global warming. The same people who whine incessantly about it have blocked the only realistic solution for so long that the problem is now inevitable.

  52. Re:Models by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You know that tiny phrase "in principle" you used? It means "we can't now or in any foreseeable future", thus rendering any "we could accurately" statement incorrect.

  53. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

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  54. Re:Models by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 0

    Are you an anti-vaxxer, too? Believe the Moon landings were faked? Think the Earth is flat? That the Earth is the center of the Universe and everything else revolves around it? A Creationist, perhaps? Science and scientists are evil, sent by Satan to mislead us? Fossils found contradicting the idea that the Earth is only 6000 years old are all fakes, planted by Satan for the evil Satanic scientists to fool the Faithful, lead them astray from God? Well? Are you That Guy? Human-caused climate-change deniers sure sound like Those People to me. For fuck's sake GET A CLUE.

  55. Re: Models by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 0

    The left side is just ridiculous I don't need to explain what is wrong with it.

    Putting political bullshit like 'them libtards' ahead of what is best for our ENTIRE SPECIES and the FUTURE OF THE EARTH does not make you look very intelligent, quite the opposite, it makes you look like a complete IDIOT. Fix your shit, get your priorities straight.

  56. Interesting by no-body · · Score: 1

    Is humanity now trying to beat this record event?

    1. Re:Interesting by rrohbeck · · Score: 1

      Yes but nature will stop us before we get anywhere close. And we won't like the way that'll go down.

    2. Re:Interesting by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The scary thought: We'll adapt, whatever nature throws at us.

      Can only hope we'll choose the right path: Science and Enlightenment
      Only then do we have a fighting chance.

      Religion, Greed, Egoism and Dogma is killing everything for now!

  57. Re: horrible moderation by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    That's your opinion, just like the moderation(that cost 1 whole point so stop the hissy fit.)

    You can't force people to moderate things you agree with only in positive ways. That's poisoning the well.

  58. Re:Models by BigDukeSix · · Score: 1

    I think you haven't read the paper and sound frankly pretty silly arguing about it. I think you get your daily dose of confirmation bias and confuse it with actual knowledge.

  59. denier fodder by sdinfoserv · · Score: 0

    The problem with reports like this is that it feeds the denier story. They say, "see, the earth has warmed and cooled in the past without man, there's no proof man is the current culprit". So PhuckIt, drill more, dig more coal, and keep the money rolling into the rich!

  60. Re: Models by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 2

    For linking to the pic, I'd mod you up. For the rest of it? I dunno. Why? Read:
    Know what 99.999999% of every human on the planet prioritizes above all else? Day to day survival, and making their lives work, taking care of their families, and so on. They don't have TIME or ENERGY to think about things this big. So blaming them for propping up oil companies is bullshit so far as I'm concerned. There's supposed to be bigger brains with a more farsighted vision of things taking care of the long-term plans, with a sense of ethics and morality to serve the interests of all, so that the common person can take care of their own day to day business and survival. Clearly we do not have that; we have out-of-control capitalism, The Few (i.e. The Rich) only concerned really with This Quarters' Profits, and whether the Earth is habitable 100 years from now or now? That's someone else's problem so far as they're concerned, they'll be DEAD by then so why should they care so long as they have The Good Life NOW. Then there's the extreme religious types, who think the Earth is only 6000 years old, and that it's All Going To End Soon anyway, that the Apocalypse is coming, nothing can stop it, so why should they bother? Jesus is going to come take The Faithful home to Heaven anyway, why should they bother? The worst of those, they think hurrying along the demise of the Earth and all life on it, will make Jesus come back sooner, so they can go to Heaver with him sooner. This, of course, is not only a perversion of their own beliefs, it's utter and complete NONSENSE.

    We have to rein in out-of-control corporations, we have to rein in The Rich, somehow, and prevent them all from fucking over the Earth and all living things on it, before it's too late -- and it may already BE too late. The one-two-ten-few thousand banding together won't do it. Governments have to be sent a clear unmistakable message that this will no longer be tolerated and make THEM rein in The Few who would sell our future, the future of the Earth, for a few bucks in profit TODAY. The sad fact is: good bloody luck getting anyone to organize anything. There may need to be a die-back of all living things, 99% of all humans dying, before any of it can be made to stop. Human civilization may just not be worthy to be the custodian of the Earth.

  61. Re:Models by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Disagree. Every physical process that doesn't involve gravitation can, in principle, be accurately modeled by a quantum theory based model to any desired degree of precision.

    Relevant.

    Hit me up with that "quantum theory based model" of .NET development. Should be a fun read.

  62. Hundreds of years? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "which occurred over an uncertain timeframe of possibly hundreds of years"

    We are looking back some 250 Million years, and they have the precision of the warming period in hundreds of years? I think that should read "hunders of thousand years".

    1. Re:Hundreds of years? by SqueakyMouse · · Score: 1

      This article says around 60,000 years. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/p...

    2. Re:Hundreds of years? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      No it doesn't! Read the article. It states that "The extinction occurred between 251.941 ± 0.037 and 251.880 ± 0.031 Mya".

    3. Re:Hundreds of years? by SqueakyMouse · · Score: 1

      It says an "interval of 60 ± 48 ka", which is consistent with both my comment and the part of the article you quoted so I'm not sure what your problem is.

  63. Nice fake news Slashdot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    So you now educate people by misleading them? Or is anyone going to argue that leaving the TWO HUNDRED MILLION YEARS AGO from the title is not doing the same clickbaity crap that media does as they try to apeal to their circlejerking base?

  64. Re: horrible moderation by aliquis · · Score: 1

    To be fair the moderation points isn't there for "I disagree" but rather for "this comment is off-topic or here to only cause trouble" which shouldn't be taken as the same. That doesn't change that the modern way to moderate content is to focus on removing what you don't agree with. Sadly. But it may be too late to try to change that now. If you stop it just mean the other side wins.

  65. Re: Models by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    The "bigger brains" are being interfered with by companies and governmental entities which put profits ahead of all else. In the process, they're trying to stain the reputation of and discredit the "bigger brains". The average American is stupid and uneducated, and combined with the malicious who want to watch everything burn, it's having a severe backlash against the entities which try to maintain the planet.

    It's always been a fight against the rich who want more money at any cost. Now we have a president who is reversing protections and sending nasty Twitters... and the public is eating it up and swallowing it. If ever there were a time when our future -- both as a country and as a species -- was in danger, this is it.

    I deal with executives at my company daily who have a huge "don't tread on me" display hanging in the entrance to the executive suite, and an exec with "molon labe" tattoed on his forearms with camo and guns painted all over his truck... who think that any tax is evil and will cut corners in any way possible, in ways that affect the employees daily. I have to keep quiet so I'm not a focus of their aggressive lunatic tendencies. These changes all came about after Trump was elected. It's been very saddening to see a company I've spent so much effort and time supporting take such an awful turn.

  66. Re: horrible moderation by dfghjk · · Score: 1

    Except that doesn't explain what "Overrated" and "Underrated" are for. These require an explicit judgement of the content even when it is on-topic.

    It's not as though this problem is new, either. It was broken when it was first implemented, as are all similar reader voting schemes for the same reasons. No one should expect popularity contests to produce good results.

    Society is hyper-partisan. You expect moderation to be corrupted by that, not be a solution for it.

  67. Re:Models by dfghjk · · Score: 0

    It used to be that "software devs" went to school. Not so much anymore.

  68. Find and end this "bollocks" faggot by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You're a denialist, you should be brutally murdered.

  69. Re:Models by dfghjk · · Score: 0

    "...but don't insult my intelligence..."

    nothing to insult.

    "If the models were as accurate as you suggest, there wouldn't be any divergence between them and actual reality,"

    The claim you are referring to is explicitly clear that no such divergence exists.

    "as there is in every climate model"

    He didn't make a claim about climate model, he made a claim about absorption spectrum of small molecules. See...no intelligence to insult.

    The problem here is that you don't know anything and it's made worse by your arrogance. Curiously, these often go together. You're a high-strutting Dunning-Kruger poster child.

  70. Re:Models by dfghjk · · Score: 1

    Again, wrong. Try catching up. Everything said in that post is well presented and uncontroversial.

    Again, a poster child of the Dunning-Kruger effect.

  71. Re: Models by dfghjk · · Score: 0

    How can they "accumulate thousands of errors" when they don't make measurements? I think these thousands of errors you refer to are in your own feeble mind.

    Perhaps you should choose a "physics lecturer" that isn't a homeless guy sharing your bottle of Mad Dog. Don't pretend you've any such education, you utterly fail to demonstrate it.

  72. Re: Models by Rick+Schumann · · Score: 1

    You just became the poster-boy for everything I was talking about, yes. We're a chronically short-sighted species of cavemen who are rushing headlong to their own extinction, and who knows if there'll even be another species to take our place in 1,000,000 years? Maybe the dolphins? Maybe racoons? Who knows.

  73. Re:Models by squiggleslash · · Score: 2

    to something like this which probably doesn't even bother with error bars

    1. It does include margins of error
    2. The predictions made in prior reports have actually come true to within the margin of error
    3. "Probably doesn't" is something only an idiot who has never read something would say. So you're admitting you don't know what something is saying, but are saying it's wrong anyway. Also you've done no research whatsoever to find out if it is wrong, even by asking people who'd know.

    It's hard to quantify the level of idiocy necessary to write the two comments you've written, but if we build a model to determine your lack of intelligence based upon those comments, I can pretty much guess that the "error bars" are going to be fairly narrow.

    --
    You are not alone. This is not normal. None of this is normal.
  74. Re:Models by clovis · · Score: 1

    Disagree. Every physical process that doesn't involve gravitation can, in principle, be accurately modeled by a quantum theory based model to any desired degree of precision.

    There's no way to accurately model planetary atmospheres without involving gravity, so the poster who said "The Greenhouse Effect is no more "purely" quantum mechanical than a cow is "purely" spherical." is correct, even if he didn't know why.

    Also, the poster who said "Ironically, the Green House effect is a purely quantum mechanical one." is also mistaken because a correct model of the so-called Green House effect depends upon interactions between the layers of the atmosphere. And those layers are due to gravity, among other things.

  75. Something's wrong! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    How is it that 250 million years ago, volcanic activity causes global warming, yet in the last couple thousand years volcanic activity is closely tied to global cooling events?

  76. Pet peeve / trigger by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    People idiotically using 'm' where they clearly should use 'M'.

    m = x0.001
    M = x1000

    252m years ago == 0.252 years, about three months ago.

    1. Re:Pet peeve / trigger by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      > M = x1000

      You might want to re-check that...

  77. Re: horrible moderation by phantomfive · · Score: 1

    Note that even if Slashdot invented a perfect moderation system, a good percentage of the people would leave rather than see their misconceptions challenged.

    --
    "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
  78. Re:Models by HiThere · · Score: 1

    Yeah, I know that out side of tiny "proof of principle" models it can't be done. But I was objecting to a particular statement. The assertion that models weren't useful. Without a model your decisions would be worse than throwing darts at a dartboard after being blindfolded, and spun around a few times...and the dart board moved randomly. (Did you notice that I'm building a model?)

    --

    I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
  79. Re:Models by HiThere · · Score: 1

    Well, yes. I wasn't defending that the greenhouse effect could be modeled with a quantum model. But my caveat was because the various gravitational extensions proposed for quantum theory haven't been validated. They do exist, and, as far as we can measure, they are correct. (We just can't measure very much. And they're clearly wrong in extreme cases where we can compare them with relativity in areas where relativity has been validated. I'm not sure what decimal the inconsistency would show up in, though, as they aren't *that* bad. Just don't try to do the math.)

    P.S.: If some real expert wants to chime in, that's fine with me. I'm merely an interested amateur, and it's been multiple decades since I looked a tensor in the face.

    --

    I think we've pushed this "anyone can grow up to be president" thing too far.
  80. You're not buying them off by rsilvergun · · Score: 2

    that would be a short term solution that would eventually bite you in the ass. The goal is to give them stable lives with a modicum of comfort and family life.

    What I'm advocating has already happened in large parts of Europe and the UK (though the UK is regressing and Europe is trying to).

    Finally, Money corrupting the system is just a symptom. If folks felt more secure then all the money in the world would prevent them from addressing climate change.

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
  81. It's easy to say the forest fires by rsilvergun · · Score: 2

    are just regular fires. Disasters happen. Folks are used to that.

    Doing something on climate change would only benefit their checks if it lead to new jobs for the folks who'll be put out of work. A lot of climate change proponents are just asking people to cut back. They want to fix the climate problems for their own reasons, but they don't want to pay for all that infrastructure spending. That kind of infrastructure needs government backing to make happen. And that means taxes.

    --
    Hi! I make Firefox Plug-ins. Check 'em out @ https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/youtube-mp3-podcaster/
    1. Re:It's easy to say the forest fires by Uberbah · · Score: 1

      are just regular fires. Disasters happen. Folks are used to that.

      wut. What on earth is regular about these fires? I avoid mainstream media as much as possible but I've seen plenty of pictures and video the absolute hellscape of Californian communities that are now simply gone. It's by far the worst fire California has ever had.

      Doing something on climate change would only benefit their checks if it lead to new jobs for the folks who'll be put out of work.

      Putting up wind farms and solar panels would employ vastly more people than the fossil fuel industry does. Running high speed rail through the United States would employ even more, and do so for decades as the US caught up to where Europe was in the Thatcher administration.

      That kind of infrastructure needs government backing to make happen. And that means taxes.

      No new taxes needed - just take a trillion dollars out of the annual imperial budget and you'd have more than enough to do all of the above plus provide free health care and education while eliminating homelessness. But even if taxes were increased, the cost to taxpayers would be more than offset by the increased wages during the boom.

    2. Re:It's easy to say the forest fires by Agent0013 · · Score: 1

      Well, when you stop the traditional forest fires that have been happening in that region for millennia, things get worse when the next one happens. I do believe in AGW, but the recent fires and how bad they are could have alternate reasons.

      --

      -- ssoorrrryy,, dduupplleexx sswwiittcchh oonn.. -Quote found on actual fortune cookie.
  82. Re:Models by dryeo · · Score: 1

    Mostly correct. CO2 does not stay around forever, there's natural feedbacks, plants are obvious, there's also the cycle where more CO2 causes warming which causes more evaporation and more rain, which leads to more weathering of silicates which bind CO2 into rock. In just a few thousand years, if we stopped adding CO2, it would drop back down to about 300ppm.
    This cycle is also a climate driver on geological time scales. Lots of new mountains capture more rain and have lots of silicates to get weathered, CO2 drops. Large continents with no rain in the interiour, less weathering and CO2 goes up.
    Water vapor is also important as a green house gas, without it, the Earth would be something like -25C average and an iceball.
    I also wonder what will happen if we really start launching rockets, with water vapor exhaust in the high altitudes where currently there is no water vapor.

    --
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverted_totalitarianism
  83. Re: horrible moderation by Hognoxious · · Score: 1

    It's a pity there isn't a "-1: No they wouldn't, that's ridiculous!" mod.

    --
    Confucius say, "Find worm in apple - bad. Find half a worm - worse."
  84. Sequels by Only+Time+Will+Tell · · Score: 1

    They always say sequels never live up to the original. The Great Dying 2: This Time it's Personal! :)

  85. Re:Models by Agent0013 · · Score: 1

    Actually a high percentage of anti-vaxxers are very scientifically literate. Remember, vaccines are pushed by for-profit organizations that tell us things like smoking is healthy and eating fat is bad for you. Remember, it was a scientist that came up with that fat thing, and it was fraudulent science to boot.

    --

    -- ssoorrrryy,, dduupplleexx sswwiittcchh oonn.. -Quote found on actual fortune cookie.
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  89. Re: Models by Mashiki · · Score: 1

    Oh but it does. It prevents Western governments and corporations from stripping away absolutely all the labor rights acquired in the nineteen century, and that allowed a middle class to grow; which is the way that communism has always worked.

    Well that sure explains why all of those leftwing groups that promote it, are going out of their way to bring everyone down to the same level of misery.

    --
    Om, nomnomnom...