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American Cheese Surplus Reaches Record High

According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture, there's a 1.4 billion-pound cheese surplus. "The glut, which at 900,000 cubic yards is the largest in U.S. history, means that there is enough cheese sitting in cold storage to wrap around the U.S. Capitol," reports NPR. Americans managed to consume nearly 37 pounds per capita in 2017, but that wasn't enough to reduce the surplus. From the report: The stockpile started to build several years ago, in large part because the pace of milk production began to exceed the rates of consumption, says Andrew Novakovic, professor of agricultural economics at Cornell University. Over the past 10 years, milk production has increased by 13 percent because of high prices. But what dairy farmers failed to realize was that Americans are drinking less milk. According to data from the USDA, Americans drank just 149 pounds of milk per capita in 2017, down from 247 pounds in 1975.

Suppliers turn that extra milk into cheese because it is less perishable and stays fresh for longer periods. But Americans are turning their noses up at those processed cheese slices and string cheese -- varieties that are a main driver of the U.S. cheese market -- in favor of more refined options, Novakovic tells Here & Now's Jeremy Hobson. Despite this shift, sales of mozzarella cheese, the single largest type of cheese produced and consumed in the U.S., remain strong, he says. Novakovic also notes that imported cheeses tend to cost more, so when people choose those, they buy less cheese overall. The growing surplus of American-made cheese and milk means that prices are declining. The current average price of whole milk is $15.12 per 100 pounds, which is much lower than the price required for dairy farmers to break even.

13 of 398 comments (clear)

  1. Cow Milk by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Insightful

    is for baby cows.

  2. Supply and demand by rgmoore · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The current average price of whole milk is $15.12 per 100 pounds, which is much lower than the price required for dairy farmers to break even.

    If an industry consistently produces more than consumers demand and has prices below break even, the normal market response would be for some of the producers to go out of business. The only reason they don't is because of government subsidies. There's no good reason for the government to constantly exempt farmers from the normal law of supply and demand.

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    1. Re:Supply and demand by MerlynEmrys67 · · Score: 4, Insightful

      If an industry consistently produces more than consumers demand and has prices below break even, the normal market response would be for some of the producers to go out of business. The only reason they don't is because of government subsidies. There's no good reason for the government to constantly exempt farmers from the normal law of supply and demand.

      There is a very good reason why farmers are exempt from the normal laws of supply and demand... Same reason we use corn based ethanol that takes more energy to produce that the output energy as a fuel. That simple reason is... Iowa votes first

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    2. Re:Supply and demand by AHuxley · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Its hard work to ramp up and ramp down farms and the needed generational skills.
      Most normal nations do all they can to keep their farms productive and producing so their nations will never face food shortages.
      Some decades see a lot of extra food.
      Productivity is good. Farmers on the land, been productive is good.
      Needing to find money to import food is not good.

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    3. Re:Supply and demand by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Keeping a stable food supply is one of the highest priorities of any sensible government on the planet, actually.
      Problem is there are sometimes low demands for some things, which leads to issues that tend to spiral out of control if not managed properly.
      This is one of those cases. It has been horribly mismanaged.
      The shitty quality cheeses produced are also an issue.

    4. Re:Supply and demand by phantomfive · · Score: 3, Insightful

      There's no good reason for the government to constantly exempt farmers from the normal law of supply and demand.

      There's a very good national security reason:
      We want to keep sufficient food production in the United States so that if we are at war, or just if there is a global food crisis, we won't have people starving to death.

      That doesn't mean we necessarily have to fund milk producers, but it makes sense to ensure you have enough good food production. It's better than buying another stealth F-22 Raptor, and much cheaper.

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      "First they came for the slanderers and i said nothing."
    5. Re:Supply and demand by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Its hard work to ramp up and ramp down farms and the needed generational skills.
      Most normal nations do all they can to keep their farms productive and producing so their nations will never face food shortages.

      ... and other countries have no subsidies at all. New Zealand has none. Do you think they are starving?

      Subsidies are driven by politics, not by "preventing hunger".

      The American Electoral College, which magnifies the power of small rural states, means that our system of subsidies is especially stupid. Even European farm subsides look sensible when compared with ours.

    6. Re:Supply and demand by AHuxley · · Score: 3, Insightful

      re "stockpile food in case of shortage. "
      That can change with politics, war, currency prices. An embargo.
      When the low cost food stops, riots start.

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      Domestic spying is now "Benign Information Gathering"
    7. Re:Supply and demand by jabuzz · · Score: 3, Insightful

      Noting that you get beef in the EU that originates outside the EU, you just don't get beef pumped full of hormones. Similarly you get chicken that is from outside the EU. It;s just not slaughtered in such disgustingly horrible conditions that the only way to make it safe to eat is wash it in chlorine.

      The USA is free anytime to export these products to the EU, they just have to be produced in line with EU standards. It is a totally reasonable expectation.

      It's no different from banning imports of toys painted with lead paint.

  3. I will be glad to help by Lije+Baley · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I love cheese, fancy or not. But it's expensive. Quit hoarding, lower the price, and I'll eat it! Dairy product boom and bust is nothing new in the U.S. When I was a kid, dairy was like some kind of strategic item, with practically a command economy, government subsidies always coming and going. Our neighbor (farmer) got in and out of the dairy business every few years, following the subsidies. In fat (ha ha) years, the government was giving the stuff away.

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  4. It's simple. by msauve · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Just stop f'ing subsidizing stuff. The end result is always uneconomic, unintended consequences. And, "American cheese" just sucks, anyway. If they're going to build a cheese bank, make it aged Cheddar or Colby or Gouda (IMHO).

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    "National Security is the chief cause of national insecurity." - Celine's First Law
  5. Re:wrap around the U.S. Capitol by rmdingler · · Score: 5, Insightful

    "The glut, which at 900,000 cubic yards is the largest in U.S. history, means that there is enough cheese sitting in cold storage to wrap around the U.S. Capitol,"

    Awesome! The artist Christo merely wrapped the German Parliament in cloth. Wrapping the US Capitol in cheese would absolutely top that!

    Now, if we also have a surplus of bacon . . . we could also wrap it in that, and fry that bastard, and have lunch for the rest of the year!

    The beauty of this situation is that the pork is already on the inside.

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    Ernest Hemingway

  6. Re:Coincidence I read about this last night by arglebargle_xiv · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Last night, I was wondering what exactly "American cheese" is.

    It's this tasteless, rubbery gunk that, in some cases, looks pretty close to cheese.

    It's really weird stuff, when I lived in the US I initially bought generic cheese (i.e. went for the most average product because their cheese looks weird and I wanted to go for the safest option), and it was tasteless rubbery gunk. So I bought stronger cheese, and it was tasteless rubbery gunk. Then I bought extra strong, mature, whatever cheese, and it was still tasteless rubbery gunk. A few months later I was on a plane stuck on the tarmac due to snow and chatting to the guy next to me, who was a cheese importer. He said business was tough, because it was hard to sell cheese with any flavour when most people went for the most bland gunk there was. So there were twenty different types of cheese in the supermarket, but all were the same bland gunk, because that's what sold.