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Green New Deal Bill Aims To Move US To 100 Percent Renewable Energy, Net-Zero Emissions (arstechnica.com)

An anonymous reader quotes a report from Ars Technica: On Thursday morning, NPR posted a bill drafted by Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) advocating for a Green New Deal -- that is, a public works bill aimed at employing Americans and reducing greenhouse gas emissions in the face of climate change. A similar version of the bill is expected to be introduced in the Senate by Senator Ed Markey (D-Mass.). The House bill opens by citing two recent climate change reports: an October 2018 report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and a heavily peer-reviewed report released in November 2018 by a group of U.S. scientists from federal energy and environment departments. Both reports were unequivocal about the role that humans play in climate change and the dire consequences humans stand to face if climate change continues unchecked.

The bill lists some of these consequences: $500 billion in lost annual economic output for the U.S. by 2100, mass migration, bigger and more ferocious wildfires, and risk of more than $1 trillion in damage to U.S. infrastructure and coastal property. To stop this, the bill says, the global greenhouse gas emissions from human sources must be reduced by 40 to 60 percent from 2010 levels by 2030, and we must reach net-zero emissions by 2050. [...] The Green New Deal specifically calls for a 10-year mobilization plan that would "achieve net-zero greenhouse gas emissions through a fair and just transition for all communities and workers" by creating "millions" of high-paying jobs through investment in U.S. infrastructure. Specific kinds of infrastructure aren't listed, but general categories or works projects are outlined. Adaptive infrastructure tailored to communities, like higher sea walls and new drainage systems, would be included.
NPR notes that the language is classified as a non-binding resolution, "meaning that even if it were to pass... it wouldn't itself create any new programs. Instead, it would potentially affirm the sense of the House that these things should be done in the coming years."

Surprisingly, the bill doesn't mention fossil fuels at all. "In a draft version of the Green New Deal that had been circulated in December, a Frequently Asked Questions section did not preclude eventually calling for a tax or a ban on fossil fuels, but it noted that this was not what the bill was about," notes Ars Technica. "Simply put, we don't need to just stop doing some things we are doing (like using fossil fuels for energy needs)," the FAQ notes under the Green New Deal draft language. "We also need to start doing new things (like overhauling whole industries or retrofitting all buildings to be energy efficient). Starting to do new things requires some upfront investment."

31 of 534 comments (clear)

  1. Fairly easy to do this by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 4, Insightful

    1. Expire all tax exemptions, tax exclusions, tax incentives, and tax depreciation for all fossil fuel infrastructure of any type.

    2. Use funds from 1 and any tarrifs on China to fund US built solar, wind, hydro, geothermal, and tidal energy capital investment (not operations, only construction) nationwide, including territories.

    Problem solved.

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    1. Re:Fairly easy to do this by CrimsonAvenger · · Score: 3, Interesting

      1. Expire all tax exemptions, tax exclusions, tax incentives, and tax depreciation for all fossil fuel infrastructure of any type.

      2. Use funds from 1 and any tarrifs on China to fund US built solar, wind, hydro, geothermal, and tidal energy capital investment (not operations, only construction) nationwide, including territories.

      Problem solved.

      I'm assuming you've run the numbers on this, since you state that the solution is really simple.

      So, just out of curiousity, how much money does the Federal govt make every year due to tax exemptions, tax incentives, and tax depreciation on all fossil fuel infrastructure every year?

      Oh, and how much money does the Federal government lose due to the loss of taxes from the fossil fuel industries, since it'll pretty much evaporate if this does what you expect it to do?

      Alas, this "bill" is no such thing, really. It doesn't include spending, or any details on how it's to be spent. It's just a feel-good-about-ourselves post-it note, really....

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    2. Re:Fairly easy to do this by rtb61 · · Score: 3, Interesting

      Actually the green new deal should not be just about renewable energy but zero waste cities. So fully sealed sewerage, where the gases are pumped out of the system and the methane extracted and burnt to generate energy, the carbon being the lessor evil versus methane and energy provided. The sewerage should then be properly processed, digested slowly over a thousands years, 'er', days to break it down and release more methane to be collected and burnt as energy. The final waste, steam sterilised (waste heat from the gas turbines) and packaged as sterile fertilizer. It is more than just renewables.

      That is one waste stream, now the hard wastes, they should be processed as well, right back down to the natural resource, ready to be sold back to manufacturers and that will take a lot of energy, which renewables can not supply, so they have to be nuclear. Nuclear energy is a requirement of renewables because renewables are high risk with regard to extreme events, being earth quakes, hail storms (solar panels) and other extreme weather. So a major hail storm could take out the majority of a cities solar panels and that would take months to repair, no alternate energy, then those cities are dying, literally, the economy and the people, so you absolutely need back up energy, nuclear, for renewable energy sources.

      So the Green New Deal should have zero waste cities as it's aim, not just renewables.

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    3. Re:Fairly easy to do this by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 4, Insightful

      Well, if 90 percent of the Department of Energy budget is for fossil fuel incentives, and their budget is x amount, the math is fairly simple.

      Based on the SEC filings of the energy firms I've owned thousands of shares in over the years, the exemptions and exclusions for tax "reasons" are way more than we're talking about. Depreciation itself is a massive amount of tax.

      It's like asking "can we afford to have an acre for a garden" when you own a 4000 acre farm. The answer is, yes.

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    4. Re:Fairly easy to do this by ChatHuant · · Score: 5, Insightful

      Because the companies paying the carbon tax would just swallow the cost and not pass on the cost to the consumer.

      Ah. I find this an excellent opportunity to let you know about those fancy new ideas named "market economy" and "competition".
      The way it works is: say company X, paying the carbon tax, decides to pass the extra cost to the customer. But another company, Y, who has better technology or better process, generates less or no carbon emissions, so it will not pay the same tax, and won't have any extra cost to pass to customers! And, here's the trick, customers will say "why should we pay the bigger price for company X, when we can get a similar product more cheaply from company Y?".

      What do you think will happen next? Why, company X will have lower sales! So they'll cut their production, and therefore reduce their carbon emissions - which is what you wanted to begin with! It's like magic, isn't it?

      I'm glad I was able to inform you about those bleeding edge concepts; I think they have a lot of potential - maybe we can even create a whole economic system based on some of that!

  2. Re:Cool by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Interesting

    This could be a revolutionary leap forward in several technologies, job creation and American infrastructure. Shave off a fraction of that bloated military budget to pay for it. It'll be worth it

  3. No no, we need 79 ACA repeals by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 3, Insightful

    We're going for a record 100 repeals that do nothing.

  4. Simple solution by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    For one year, cut the military budget in half.
    Spend that on renewables.

  5. Some good ideas, lots of bad policy by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The problem with GND is that there are a lot of tankies and brogressives trying to make it a vehicle for an anti-capitalist manifesto. Which is dumb and will ensure it goes nowhere.

    This version is a silly, short, vague kitchen sink plan without any substantive policy or realistic projections. They also throw in a bunch of unrelated wishlist stuff about a jobs-for-all plan and universal healthcare.

    We could use real market based energy policy reform. Carbon tax- (Which correctly prices carbon emissions better than any other plan and works inside our existing infrastructure). Power grid improvements to pave the way for decentralized power grids with local power storage and electric vehicles. Solar, wind, nuclear.

    The people pushing this GND are nuclearphobes and don't want to acknowledge that any real energy form will be market driven. Transition away from coal and to natural gas have seen massive reductions in non-carbon pollution and that's been entirely market driven.

  6. Re:Cool by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Well, this suggestion comes from someone who actually wants the taxes to reflect the expenses instead of another unnamed party that has the habit of removing taxes for the richest while increasing the spending and thereby the deficit to an extent that just paying interest now exceeds what "free" healthcare would cost.

    You want to know what could fund this completely? Not allowing fossil fuel to externalize the cost of cleaning the mess up.
    Another thing that could fund this would be to remove subsidies for businesses that runs the environment.

  7. Re:Cool by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    The tax cuts added a trillion dollars to the debt and nobody blinked.

    Dubya's foray into the middle east cost us $7 trillion

    I think we can manage this small outlay

  8. Smart economical stimulus by manu0601 · · Score: 5, Insightful

    This is keynesian economical stmimulus, smarter version. Spending money on changing processes to reduce greenhouse gas will create jobs and yield economical growth. And it will help making the planet a reasonable place for humans to live in the next century.

  9. Re:Cool by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 5, Insightful

    Since the bill contains no appropriations and changes no existing laws and is non-binding it really can't be a revolutionary leap forward in anything nor will anything be required to pay for it. Nothing is risked and there will be no benefit other than political grandstanding.

  10. What's a non-binding resolution good for? by drinkypoo · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Grandstanding? It's not news that Republicans don't give a shit about the environment, so what's the goal here?

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  11. Re:Cool by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Actually, converting military bases to renewable energy is a great way to build resiliency from attack, as you don't have to defend supply lines as much, and this reduces the actual operating cost of the military at the same time. There are a number of mil programs in action doing just this. Just accelerate it.

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  12. Re:Cool by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 3, Insightful

    This could be a revolutionary leap forward in several technologies, job creation and American infrastructure.

    It is important to get the ordering correct. It is better to develop the needed technology, and then build the infrastructure based on it.

    It would be better to spend $50B on R&D rather than $500B on deployment. Once the tech is good enough, no government deployment spending is needed, because profit-seeking capitalists will do it for us.

    Like my grandpa used to say: If you have two hours to chop down a tree*, spend the first hour sharpening your ax.

    Disclaimer: *I am not advocating the destruction of trees.

  13. It's the exact opposite by rsilvergun · · Score: 3, Interesting

    bills like this are specifically to soak up (there's a pun there somewhere) folks put out of work in coal and oil.

    Natural gas is pretty much eating those sectors alive. Yeah, we need oil to move cars & planes, but we're not using it for electricity anymore. Same for coal. And electric cars are getting damn good. They're still expensive, but cars are rapidly getting too expensive anyway...

    The green new deal is how the Democrats plan to respond to the GOP's "Clean Coal" nonsense where they promise the coal minors their jobs back. The GOP is lying, but the minors will vote GOP because a promise is still better than Hilary's policy of "Fuck you, go back to college, and no, I won't pay for your tuition".

    TL;DR; put out of work folks to work building wind and solar plants. Kill two birds with one stone.

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  14. This isn't her idea by rsilvergun · · Score: 3, Insightful

    it's been around for ages. It's also, if the 97% of climate scientists are to be believed, necessary if we're not going to have mass disasters, drought and food shortages in the next 20 years. The oil companies knew about this since the 70s. Seriously, google it. Instead of fixing it so we had renewables (which would devalue the resource they own) they spent billions burying it.

    AOC isn't a dingbat. She's young, and occasionally makes mistakes, but at her core she knows what's going on and what we need to do about it. And as for ideas penned by a 12 year old, dude, look at Bush Jr. Two fucking terms. Look at how Clinton addressed towns. Look at what happened to Obama every time he talked to the electorate like an adult. Remember "You didn't build it?". That was a)not exactly what he said and b) true. Almost cost him the election as folks went nuts because they didn't understand the difference between "You didn't build the roads you use to get to your little business" and "You never did anything worthwhile in your whole live you god damned loser"...

    You can't talk to the electorate as a whole as if they're intelligent. What's the old line? A person is smart, people are dumb, panicky animals.

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    1. Re:This isn't her idea by alvinrod · · Score: 4, Interesting

      No Cortez is a dingbat. I was curious about her when she won the primary so I watched some of her interviews. The gaffs were amazing. She has no understanding of economics and this is despite having a degree in it. She screws up things that are just common sense.

      Her own party hates her and I won’t be surprised if they try to run someone against her in the next election. Maybe you mistake the media coverage she gets for something it isn’t. Of course Fox is going to pillory her, but the rest of the coverage of her idiocy is to get people to toss her out. Of course the media made the same mistake with Trump, so I’m sure the Democrats will have this blow up in their face again.

      Cortez is still an idiot though.

    2. Re:This isn't her idea by jwhyche · · Score: 3, Insightful

      You don't have to be a expert in anything to recognize her dingbattery. As more of her foolish ideal gets out the more of a fool she is. Here are things that the dingbat wants that will not happen.

      She isn't going to get rid of fossil fuels in 10 years.

      She isn't going to do away with any kind of air travel and replace it with high speed trains. As much as I would like to see this. I like trains.

      She isn't going rebuild every building in the US to make it more energy efficient.

      She isn't going to make the cows stop farting.

      None of this is going to happen. Her new "green" deal will never make it to the Congress floor. This bullshit will never make it out of committee. An if for some reason both the house and senate both lose their collective mind and pass this bill, then Trump will never sign it.

      Lets just go one step further and say Trump, for some reason I can't comprehend, was to sign it into law. Then the courts will strike it down before the ink is even dry.

      But wait! Lets just say the courts go "okay dokey" to this bullshit. It is physically impossible to carry out her plan in the time frame her digbatness sets for it.

      I cannot be done and it will not be done. An the fact that she or anyone that supports her can't see that makes them fools and her a dingbat.

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    3. Re:This isn't her idea by iwbcman · · Score: 3, Interesting


      Look, I can totally understand your scepticism, and will freely admit that at first glance her proposition seems rather pie-in-the-sky. Now people can and do have totally different understandings of what politics is about or about the best way to go about achieving something.

      I honestly do not care about the supposed time-frame that is being talked about. Rather the questions for me are a) is this the right direction b) is it a direction people could rally behind c) is it significant enough for politicians to use as a policy platform around which to elect candidates. Our current representatives will not do anything of significance, but that does not mean that we could not elect politicians that someday will.

      Right now the biggest problem is we the people. We, as a society, are incapable of articulating anything that we commonly want. So first up there needs to be a building of the "we": what speaks to the values that most Americans would like to hold, not what we already do hold, but that we could aspire to. The only majority that counts in a democracy is a majority that is built around consensus, but for their to be a majority one must first build such a consensus, one does this proposing ideas around which people can rally.

      Trump is attempting to do this with the wall right now, luckily he cannot possibly achieve this because the vast majority of Americans do not aspire to being chickenshits who are terrified of immigrants. But a lot of people could aspire to to a vision of Americas future where instead of being impotent and doomed we could see ourselves as agents of positive change, effecting a future which we want to have- a future where we adequately address climate change fears, where we make profound investments in our own infrastructure and technologically lead the world in addressing a whole host of issues, while pursuing a goal that we agree is a good goal.

      If a "we" can be constituted around positive goals and politicians are then elected who represent that "we", damn near anything is possible, not necessarily in 10 years but over the course of a generation profound changes can and do happen. Right now "we" want to argue, fight, bicker and complain, right now "we" can't agree as to whether or not the sky is blue, when it is. This has been true for a friggin generation, at least since Bill Clinton became president.

      One of the primary reasons our political system is so completely broken is that our politicians have fundamentally failed to do their most basic job which is to build consensi around issues about which people care and to do so in such a fashion that people feel empowered to participate/be part of. Most people feel impotent to do much of anything about much of anything, most people feel that politics is nothing more than a spectator sport or really bad entertainment. In the absence of things, which we can aspire to achieve, around which we can build consensi, we devolve into fearmongering, othering and cowardice-we become our own worst enemies.

      I understand scepticism, I get it, it's healthy in certain doses, but the question really is not whether this New Green Deal is something that can be passed as a bill, which it is not, currently by this house and this senate with this president, but rather is it a direction we could and more importantly should be headed in? Do you actually oppose what is contained in the New Green Deal?, do you feel that these lofty goals are going in the wrong direction? Or simply that such is not simply possible right now?

      Everyone has a right to be completely jaded right now in regards to our politics, completely justified, in fact optimism at this point in time would appear to be completely delusional, but can you really say no to a prospect where we might be able to actually say yes to the goals of our politicians and feel part of some positive grand ambition which we can aspire to achieve? And just remember this the scale of problems we are confronting require nothing less than a g

  15. Re:Cool by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Maybe we should balance the budget first and fix the wasteful spending first

    Speaking of wasteful spending: America spends $200B annually on oil imports, mostly from countries that are hostile to our interests. Europe (which would also benefit from any tech developed) spends even more on oil, and buys a lot of gas from Russia. America spends about $80B keeping Middle East shipping lanes open and secure.

    Overall, Americans spend about $1.5T on energy, about 7% of our economy. If we could produce that energy more efficiently, that money could be spent on other things ... such as balancing the budget.

    I don't agree with AOC on much, but investing in developing better green tech is a no-brainer. We need better panels, smarter grids, and (most importantly) better/cheaper batteries (storage is key).

  16. Re:Cool by WillAffleckUW · · Score: 5, Informative

    Panels move. Supply dumps also blow up, panels tend not to explode as much. You're better off with a frag round on panels.

    (caveat: I used to work as combat field engineer support for infantry mortar and machine gun/LAR squads)

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  17. Non binding resolution by erp_consultant · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Those are the key words here. This is not a bill as such, it is a collection of ideas. Personally I would be highly skeptical of these kinds of grandiose plans. Here are a few choice quotes:

    “Upgrade or replace every building in US for state-of-the-art energy efficiency.” - Every building. In the entire United States. All of them. The quote mentions "replace" so I presume they are willing to demolish buildings that don't meet the standard.

    “Build out high speed rail at a scale where air travel stops becoming necessary” - Maybe we should check in with our friends in California and see how the rail line between San Francisco and Los Angeles is coming along: https://www.latimes.com/local/...

    At last count the cost has ballooned from the original $6B to $10.6B - almost double.

    Keep in mind this is 119 miles of train line, not the 10's of thousands of miles of train line we would need to make air travel "unnecessary". How are you going to get to Hawaii? Or New York to London? Build a train line across the ocean?

    Don't trains also pollute? Or maybe Elon Musk going to build solar trains and solve all of that for us.

    Look, I'm all for a cleaner environment but this woman is a complete wingnut.

    The real question, of course, is how much will this boondoggle actually cost to which Ocasio-Cortez admits, “even if every billionaire and company came together and were willing to pour all the resources at their disposal into this investment, the aggregate value of the investments they could make would not be sufficient.”. In other words, astronomical not to mention completely impractical.

    All is not lost though. I hear that Venezuela is having some trouble and could use a helping hand.

  18. Re:Cool by blindseer · · Score: 4, Interesting

    Actually, converting military bases to renewable energy is a great way to build resiliency from attack

    No, it doesn't. I heard such from an Army general.

    The Army wants diesel generators for power because those they can put in an underground bunker to protect from attack. They might use solar panels on some tents or something but that's a last ditch, all else lost, kind of power. The US Navy is working on making jet fuel from nuclear power, using seawater as the raw material. Sounds like they've been quite successful too. Get that working on a ship at sea and it can work along any coast, or river bank, as well. Nuclear power is nice too because we've proven it can work without being out in the open, in fact they work quite well under several hundred feet of water and sealed inside a steel armored vessel.

    The military might be playing around a bit with solar power but wind power is not even on the table. They tried wind power and they found the spinning blades messed with the radar they need to track threats. Solar power needs to be out in the open and takes a lot of man power to protect and maintain for the little energy they produce. This brings me back to this...

    and this reduces the actual operating cost of the military at the same time.

    Nope. Solar panels took so much man power that existing projects were abandoned. Oh, and the panels reflected sunlight into the eyes of aircraft pilots, can't have that near any base.

    While in the Army I recall the trucks on base ran some mix of petro-diesel and bio-diesel. That's fine when there is a supply line but no base is going to be growing their own soybeans to make that fuel.

    There are a number of mil programs in action doing just this. Just accelerate it.

    With the exception of the Navy program to make jet fuel from nuclear power these programs were imposed on the DoD from above. The military isn't all that interested in bio-diesel or windmills. They might have some interest in small scale solar but that's again a last ditch kind of power for being small and quiet for long periods, not to power a base.

    The military is quite vocal on what they want but few seem to listen. They want nuclear powered ships, such as icebreakers and cruisers, but Congress won't fund them. They want nuclear power on bases, but again Congress is not listening. What Congress wants is, apparently, a navy that is powered by sails and an army on horseback.

    The US Navy used to have nuclear powered cruisers before but they were retired in the 1990s. This is not something new the Navy is asking for, just restoring capability that was lost decades ago. Nuclear powered icebreakers aren't a new idea either, the Russians have been building them since 1975.

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  19. Re: Cool by apoc.famine · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The top 1% have 50% of the wealth. Why would you think they should pay less than 50% of the taxes? To ever get us back to even a remotely reasonable wealth distribution, the 1% have to own far less than 50% of the wealth. We don't have many ways to remove a disgusting excess of money from a tiny percent of the population other than taxes.

    What is your solution to fix this community and culture-destroying wealth inequality that doesn't involve taxing the hell out of the 1%?

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  20. Re:Net zero emissions? by blindseer · · Score: 4, Insightful

    here's no logical reason we cannot get to 100% renewable energy

    Sure there is, material demands.

    http://cmo-ripu.blogspot.com/2...

    For the same energy output nuclear takes far less materials than wind, hydro, geothermal, and especially solar. There is not enough mining in the world to meet the kind of material needs to switch to 100% renewable energy. We aren't going to get there any time soon either as we are talking not about a doubling or tripling of output but orders of magnitude difference. Nuclear takes no more materials than coal for the same energy. We can switch to nuclear without any kind of "green deal", we only need a government willing to issue licenses for their construction and put an end to the subsidies on wind and solar that drive them out of the market.

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  21. Re:When a barista tries to be a lawmaker by melted · · Score: 3, Informative

    Yes, about 300K per quarter is "millions", for those good with basic arithmetics. That's 2 years after Nobel Prize winning economists wrote off US economy as having no growth prospects beyond 2% a year.

  22. Re:Got any specifics? by jwhyche · · Score: 3

    I believe most of us are better off than we where years before.

    AOC is fighting

    She needs to stop fighting an sit down and shut up. Every time she opens her mouth it just shows how clueless she really is. Calling her a dingbat is actually being kind to her. Her ideal are so insane that normal people look at her and think "this is what the democratic party is becoming." Trump is better than what she wants to do. Nobody believes anything she wants to do is remotely possible. Nobody takes her seriously. When she talks all she does is help to make sure Trump is re-elected in 2020

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  23. Re:Climate change is a worldwide issue by jeff4747 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    There's no point in crippling the United States' economy when India and Asia are going to make CC happen anyway

    First, it's not clear that it would actually cripple the economy. The price of renewables is already low enough that private industry is installing it without incentives. The problem is they're not moving fast enough to avert the worst problems.

    Second, the best way to get "Asia" on board is to have the technology to sell to them. How else do you plan to "get them off coal"?

    Sitting on our hands while pointing fingers at other countries accomplishes nothing in the short run, and in the long run it means those other countries get to develop the technology and get most of the jobs.

  24. Re:Cool by AmiMoJo · · Score: 4, Insightful

    People said the same thing about Paris, and Kyoto, and many other efforts. Yet here we are, countries making major, sustained efforts to do something about climate change.

    This is how politics work. You build up support, get people discussing the issue and making proposals, pushing from different angles. A non-binding agreement acts as a foundation for binding ones, justification for changes to rules and future policies.

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