Slashdot Mirror


New Study Finds More Post-Surgery Deaths Globally Than From HIV, Tuberculosis and Malaria Combined (upi.com)

schwit1 shares a report from UPI: About 4.2 million people worldwide die every year within 30 days of surgery -- more than from HIV, tuberculosis and malaria combined, a new study reports. The findings show that 7.7 percent of all deaths worldwide occur within a month of surgery, a rate higher than that from any other cause except ischemic heart disease and stroke. "Although not all postoperative deaths are avoidable, many can be prevented by increasing investment in research, staff training, equipment and better hospital facilities," lead author of the study, Dr. Dmitri Nepogodiev, said in a university news release. Along with finding that 4.2 million people a year die within a month of having surgery, his team discovered that half of those deaths occur in low- and middle-income countries.

"Although not all postoperative deaths are avoidable, many can be prevented by increasing investment in research, staff training, equipment and better hospital facilities," Nepogodiev said in a university news release. "To avoid millions more people dying after surgery, planned expansion of access to surgery must be complemented by investment in to improving the quality of surgery around the world," he noted.

113 comments

  1. Friends... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ... romans, Creimette...

    1. Re: Friends... by Seewhatidonehere · · Score: 0

      Well known fact that hospitals kill the most people..

  2. In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    20% of people who are expected to die will undergo some type of surgery to buy time

    1. Re: In other news... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      ^This. That's exactly what I came to say.

  3. That's nothing by SlaveToTheGrind · · Score: 5, Insightful

    100% of people die within a few days of drinking water.

    1. Re:That's nothing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I know you're making a joke, but since this is Slashdot, and it's "technically correct - the best kind of correct", I'd note that plenty of people die of dehydration in the wilderness or from long bouts of fasting that depriving them of drinking water for more than a few days. So, no, it's not 100% of people.

    2. Re:That's nothing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      100% of Republicans die of shame after Trump.

    3. Re:That's nothing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If we're being pedantic they died from insufficient water intake, not zero water intake.

    4. Re:That's nothing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I attempted suicide from dehydration. Made it 2.5 days before taking a sip. At that point I had passed out after having to walk about 10 minutes and the adrenaline from that and the embarrassment from potentially dying in public pushed me to stay alive. So people can manage a few days with zero water intake before dying. In fact, that's a preferred way to go for the elderly in areas where doctors aren't allowed to kill them. You simply need to keep your mouth moist and you barely feel it. It's one of the pain free ways to go.

    5. Re:That's nothing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      If we're being pedantic they died from insufficient water intake, not zero water intake.

      Aha! But to pedantic back, I didn't say they died of zero water intake. I was merely pointing out that people do die several days after zero water intake. In fact, it's quite possible being lost in the wilderness for several days without drinking water you might fall off a cliff, be eaten by a bear, die of an infection, etc. The only real things that are being specified in those scenarios is dying and not having a drink for several days. This further goes to show, correlation does not equal causation.

    6. Re:That's nothing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I went for over 2.5 days without food or water and one of the general tests of dehydration, the relatively elasticity of the skin, indicated that I wasn't dehydrated at all. I even spent one of those days walking around shopping for several hours. Of course, this wildly varies. It was winter at the time and those days I wasn't out I was generally very idle.

      If I were in a hot environment or engage in exercise, I can believe estimates of 2-4 days (or a lot less if you were dehydrated original and engaging in exercise in a hot environment), but in most of those situations I imagine part of the death is not due to outright dehydration as much as short-term electrolyte imbalance. Those in hospice care can last for weeks where they dehydrate at a much more controlled rate. Further, there comes a point where you can no longer ingest liquids even though you're still conscious. So, if you wait long enough you'd need an IV to rehydrate if you wish to survive.

      As far as being pain free? If you're alone for a few weeks or otherwise received medical approval, you may be able to die pain free. Otherwise, at just about any time there's a good chance someone would save you, and it's unclear to me what sort of long-term damage (if any) you'd suffer.

    7. Re:That's nothing by goose-incarnated · · Score: 1

      100% of people die within a few days of drinking water.

      Wrong.

      100% of deaths are people who drank water in the days before the death.

      --
      I'm a minority race. Save your vitriol for white people.
    8. Re: That's nothing by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      This statement as written is 100% wrong, yet it read up voted by the slashdot readers. Very sad that even nerds aren't very smart.

      In fact 100% of people don't die after drinking water. Most people that drink water live after 3 days. And 100% of people that don't drink water will die in a few days, it's called dying from thirst or dehydration.

    9. Re:That's nothing by Austerity+Empowers · · Score: 1

      To be pedantic, very nearly 100% of people die after water intake as well. It would appear you are damned if you do, and damned if you don't.

    10. Re:That's nothing by F.Ultra · · Score: 1

      Ah, the one thing that Homeopathy actually have a cure for!

  4. Statistics by Livius · · Score: 2

    Compared to what? What's the number for people who die within 30 days of not having medically necessary surgery? I'm pretty sure people consider the risks pretty carefully before opting for surgery.

    And yes, spending more money generally correlates with improved outcomes, but if it's not quantitative then it's not telling us anything new.

    1. Re:Statistics by sg_oneill · · Score: 1

      Its hard to really answer these without having access to the paper. One has to assume the actual paper itself is a bit more careful in its wording.

      But often these studies have to be taken as part of a bigger picture when translated into policy simply because accounting for all variables is statistically hard. Differentiating cause , correlation and effect can be hard work! How many of these surgeries are on Cancer patients who are going to die regardless of the surgery. Often those surgeries are simply meant to ease suffering (Ie if a tumor is pressing up on a nerve bundle or causing painful breathing). Chemo is notorious for this. It absolutely is somewhat poisonous to the body, its how the stuff works (remember folks Cancer is made of people!) , its also the best treatment we have to fighting the damn disease.

      People often die as a result of chemotherapy side effects. But is it strictly the chemo, is the cancer itself making the side effects worse? Theres an awful juggle of priorities and probabilities a oncologist and patient have to make in evaluating these things that strikes deep into the heart of medical ethics. Is it right to shorten a life to ease pain? Is withdrawing medication actively or merely passively contributing to death? How much autonomy should the patient have. Can a doctor refuse to give medications he feel are counterproductive to the doctors particular priority or set of ethics.

      Nothing is easy in medical decision making, and nothing is easy in medical statistics. Humans are insanely complicated machines. So many variables, and so many ways to interpret them.

      --
      Excuse the Unicode crap in my posts. That's an apostrophe, and slashdot is busted.
    2. Re:Statistics by Anubis+IV · · Score: 1

      On top of that, the summary seems to be conflating causes of death such as heart disease and stroke with a correlated event: that many people who die had just recently had surgery. That doesn’t mean surgery is the cause of the death, nor does the fact that more deaths happen in poorer nations even necessarily mean that surgeries there are being done poorly. It could simply be that the patients aren’t getting into surgery early enough for it to be as effective. Perhaps preventative medicine is worse off or the diagnostics are too expensive for people to bother with until the problem becomes so severe that it’s nearly too late, for instance.

    3. Re:Statistics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You can actually test this by having the doctors go on strike.
      https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/slightly-blighty/201510/why-do-patients-stop-dying-when-doctors-go-strike

    4. Re:Statistics by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Compared to what? What's the number for people who die within 30 days of not having medically necessary surgery? I'm pretty sure people consider the risks pretty carefully before opting for surgery.

      I could attempt to interpret what they meant. Of all people who have medically necessary surgery, 7.7% die within 30 days after the surgery. The death accounts to 4.2 million in a year (possible the recent year). Then total death of those who die from HIV, tuberculosis and malaria combined in the same year is still less than 4.2 million.

      That's just my interpretation when I read it. It just makes sense to compare it the way I mentioned.

  5. So is this important, or nothing at all? by 93+Escort+Wagon · · Score: 1

    We are given these numbers without useful context - only a meaningless comparison to the total deaths caused by several historically scary diseases.

    Taken as a group, surgical patients will probably be sicker, on average, than the population as a whole. What are the measured mortality rates per type of surgery? What are the expected mortality rates of these patients, both with and without surgical intervention? What is the total number of surgeries involved?

    --
    #DeleteChrome
    1. Re:So is this important, or nothing at all? by bugs2squash · · Score: 1

      Exactly, would they have been better advised to skip the surgery. Then at least they can die without having gone through that one last traumatic and expensive experience.

      --
      Nullius in verba
    2. Re:So is this important, or nothing at all? by elrous0 · · Score: 1

      Yeah, who would have thought that cutting open human beings who are probably already seriously ill might result in a slightly higher death rate than from a bunch of diseases that have all but been abolished in the developed world?

      In other news, people who've been shot are found to have a higher post-shooting death rate than people who haven't been shot. Film at eleven!

      --
      SJW: Someone who has run out of real oppression, and has to fake it.
    3. Re:So is this important, or nothing at all? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      We are given these numbers without useful context - only a meaningless comparison to the total deaths caused by several historically scary diseases.

      Or you could think positively of it. Several historically scary diseases combined are so well controlled that now post-surgery death now outranks them. When cancer is the #1 killer in your country, you're doing a really good job. Are you going to get upset when one day the leading cause of death is hiccups?

    4. Re: So is this important, or nothing at all? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Yes. But young doctors have to train on somebody, so better train on on someone where the outcome is the same either way.
      Also money.

    5. Re:So is this important, or nothing at all? by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Taken as a group, surgical patients will probably be sicker, on average, than the population as a whole.

      I'm keen to know the death rate if we stopped surgeries. I mean we really should stop them, they sound deadly.

    6. Re:So is this important, or nothing at all? by shilly · · Score: 1

      Potentially. But there are other considerations too. Rabbi Abraham Twerski talks about this in an anecdote about his father's death. Atul Gawande wrote an entire book about it.

    7. Re:So is this important, or nothing at all? by jedidiah · · Score: 1, Troll

      > Facts: The sworn enemy of inbred Conservatism in 2019.

      You act like liberals don't engage in constant unhinged hysterics and shameless distortion. This includes so-called "journalists" that are supposed to be "objective".

      --
      A Pirate and a Puritan look the same on a balance sheet.
  6. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 4, Informative

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  7. Comment removed by account_deleted · · Score: 1

    Comment removed based on user account deletion

  8. huge biases against cheap and generic by harvey+the+nerd · · Score: 0

    Medicine remains seriously adverse to inexpensive immune and nutritional methods that can make huge differences in surgical recovery and complications.

    The recent "discovery" that vitamin B1+hydrocortisone+a little injected vitamin C can prevent and abort sepsis is a small, belated step in the right direction. Big Medicine is still way behind on injectable vitamin C technology though.

    1. Re:huge biases against cheap and generic by puck01 · · Score: 2

      This 'recent' discovery is hardly proven to be true yet. At least two large studies are in progress to confirm, or reject, those early findings.

      Sepsis historically has had many preliminary studies suggest a positive intervention only to be shown later it is ineffective or even harmful when studied fully. Further, even if we assume this intervention is effective, its not clear whether all three, two of the three or just one of the ingredients in necessary. We already know in some cases steroids can be helpful.

      Inject-able vitamin C has plenty of history of overhyped effects followed by studies that show it has no significant effect. This is especially true as an intervention for cancer.

      I wouldn't hold by breath.

    2. Re:huge biases against cheap and generic by harvey+the+nerd · · Score: 0

      First, most supposed "tests" greatly miss the instructions on use. Embarrassing stuff once you do the homework and understand the history and the literature. Your "failures" are actually non-tests that have little to no relevance to the successful uses.

      Cancer is the most difficult and marginal use for IV vitamin C. Still it saved us a lot time and money. Really lots, even just as an targetable, additive adjunct. Most people can't get IVC correctly - for dose or frequency or target - too much medical interference and obstruction. Still a single infusion often provides a golden day outside, e.g. golfing, for many bedridden with pain and debility from cancer.

      The other uses such as major acute virus resolution in days, antibiotic resistance, toxin neutralization are much easier applications. I live part time in an area that we get to road test it per the old literature, from things that you might just die.

      I wouldn't hold my breath.
      You're liable to lose it one of these days.

    3. Re:huge biases against cheap and generic by GuB-42 · · Score: 4, Informative

      Medicine remains seriously adverse to inexpensive immune and nutritional methods that can make huge differences in surgical recovery and complications.

      No it isn't. I don't know any self respecting doctor who wouldn't recommend a healthy diet. By healthy diet I mean the basics: avoid too much sugar, fat, salt, eat the right amount of calories, etc... They also routinely recommend avoiding or favoring some kinds of foods if you have some conditions. As for inexpensive immune methods, they are called vaccines.

      The recent "discovery" that vitamin B1+hydrocortisone+a little injected vitamin C can prevent and abort sepsis is a small, belated step in the right direction. Big Medicine is still way behind on injectable vitamin C technology though.

      The conclusion of that "recent discovery" is "additional studies are required to confirm these preliminary findings". Many promising preliminary studies don't pass clinical trials unfortunately. Don't claim victory too early.
      Vitamin C is effective for treating scurvy, which is a now rare disease caused by the lack of vitamin C. It is a discovery that saved thousands of life in the past. But such a resounding success doesn't make vitamin C a cure-all. Other uses of vitamin C, injectable or otherwise didn't get much conclusive results despite being studied a lot (61759 results for "vitamin C" on PubMed).

    4. Re:huge biases against cheap and generic by puck01 · · Score: 1

      Sorry, I did not realize I was communicating with a wacko. Will avoid wasting my time in the future.

    5. Re:huge biases against cheap and generic by harvey+the+nerd · · Score: 1

      Like I said huge biases. The 0 reflects actual knowledge and experimental base for you and associates, evidence of a parrot-like knowledge base.

      In a world, that has growing antibiotic resistance (and some nasty, expensive antibiotics), IV vitamin C is a nice option. Ditto acute viruses. As for the cancer part, it distinctly, factionally helped us when MD Anderson types wrote someone off, and saved $ $,$$$,$$$ too. I don't claim it as a cancer panacea.

  9. Re:But isn't investing in health care socialism? D by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I suspect that increasing investment in research, staff training, equipment and better hospital facilities aren't really going to have that much impact because usually when you need surgery, you are pretty fucked up already.

    This is nothing more than shilling for more cash.

  10. ntervention Often Leads to Worse Outcomes by js290 · · Score: 1

    Intervening when we have no idea of the break-even point is âoenaive interventionism,â a phrase first brought to my attention by Nassim Taleb. In Antifragile, Taleb writes: In the case of tonsillectomies, the harm to the children undergoing unnecessary treatment is coupled with the trumpeted gain for some others. The name for such net loss, the (usually bitten or delayed) damage from treatment in excess of the benefits, is iatrogenics. https://fs.blog/2013/10/iatrog...

    --
    "Tempers are wearing thin. Let's just hope some robot doesn't kill everybody." --Bender
    1. Re:ntervention Often Leads to Worse Outcomes by shilly · · Score: 1

      Well sure, but for all the marginal cases like tonsillectomies, there's a ton of straightforward clear benefit cases like ankle fractures. And you can't know whether intervention beats non-intervention without doing a study that involves some intervention.

      Taleb spends his time talking about stuff that professionals in the fields he discusses would respond to with "no shit Sherlock"

  11. Medical care at all costs because we can. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1, Interesting

    This is one of the reasons why our medical system is so out of control. They routinely do complex surgeries on very, very old people who will never regain a quality of life. It doesn't matter at all that Great-Granddad is 97...let's go ahead with that heart bypass surgery.

    1. Re:Medical care at all costs because we can. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Exactly, and they'll resist a routine 30 minute surgery that was perfected shortly after WWI for no other reason than medical faddism.

    2. Re:Medical care at all costs because we can. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Even though it looks like a bad decision, you will not know the value of life until you are at the end of it. Many people are still afraid of dying and would spend all they can to keep themselves alive. You know, when you die, you can't take the money with you anyway, so why not spend it on yourself in order to live a couple more days longer? Just saying.

  12. Re: But isn't investing in health care socialism? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 1

    Most people who need surgery have a medical condition in the first place. I suppose the study could be done again, with the surgery performed on perfectly healthy people, to get better data

  13. Risky for high income people ! by swell · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "half of those deaths occur in low- and middle-income countries"

    Which strongly suggests that half of them die in high income countries. Countries which typically have a smaller population. Which suggests that a larger proportion of high income people are dying after their surgery.

    Hey, I'm talking about US, people! Tech workers, managers, skilled mathematicians and undertakers and other people who help maintain our countries' high incomes. Are we gonna stand for this death rate? We need to protest! Or move to a low-income country where surgery is safer.

    --
    ...omphaloskepsis often...
    1. Re:Risky for high income people ! by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      Or move to a low-income country where surgery is safer.

      Jokes aside the downside of comparing percentages and rates without a basis. The basis here would be how many surgeries are conducted in rich countries vs poor countries.

  14. IMHO by kackle · · Score: 1

    I think although not all postoperative deaths are avoidable, many can be prevented by increasing investment in research, staff training, equipment and better hospital facilities.

    And, I believe that although not all postoperative deaths are avoidable, many can be prevented by increasing investment in research, staff training, equipment and better hospital facilities.

  15. mitigation is key by LostMyBeaver · · Score: 0

    What percentage of these deaths could have been avoided if we detected the condition requiring surgery before it was too late and were forced to move from relatively non-invasive operations or even medication to requiring surgery?

    My theory... of which I recently signed up for the university to work towards a masters and Ph.D. in the topic is to detect maladies before they reach the point of requiring complex surgery. This comes from automating advanced medical practices and eliminating the simple ones. For example, instead of having a general practitioner stick his finger up your ass to check for lumps... what's the frigging point... if you have a lump big enough that he can feel it, we detected it far too late. It should have been detected before it ever formed.

    So, the solution is to employ modern full body layered ultrasound (or alternative techniques... that's what I hope to study) to identify the problems long before they become lumps that you could feel. If a doctor is looking for lumps, it's because we only visit a doctor once a year and we might already be 80% of the way to detectable which is 150% of the way to "this is bad" but we'll wait an entire extra year before checking again.

    If we look for tumors, oddities in circulation, etc... by simply scanning the body and looking inside, we can do this using machine and do this several dozen times a year as the cost would be minimal following the initial capital expenditure. The machine would be reminiscent of an airport body scanner and already exists (there was a story on Slashdot not long ago). By reducing the cost of such machine that initially all larger companies would install them in each campus as a replacement for security doors.. not all doors, just as a voluntary option, a person could walk through twice a day if they wanted and if machine detects anything suspicious, they will receive a text message with a recommended appointment at a specialist.

    Once we use the wealthy as guinea pigs, we can mass produce them and deploy them in offices and schools across the world. They should work everywhere except the U.S. which has ridiculous problems with things like health care because the American people would rather die than cooperate with one another.

    1. Re:mitigation is key by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      You could run full body MRI yearly, and they would probably find things, which you will take biopsies of... causing bleeding, infection, and more organ specific symptoms. It's part of the reason why the US Preventive Health Task Force pushed screening mammograms to biannual, and doesn't really advise people sticking fingers up anuses unless there is a history that would make the doctor be concerned. There is no mortality benefit to your bullshit.

    2. Re:mitigation is key by shilly · · Score: 1

      If you're really going to study this for your PhD, you're sounding pretty naive about things. Screening leads to false positives as well as true positives, and positives require intervention. If you're going to intervene with every early prostate lump that's too small for a GP to feel, you're going to be intervening with a lot of people who would have done perfectly well with no intervention at all, or intervention only much later.

      I mean there are reams and reams of papers written on this topic in relation to breast cancer screening, for example. Hugely difficult to figure out whether screening is a net benefit. Even more so when you start thinking about marginal spend and cost per QALY.

      The general idea that prevention is better than cure, and early intervention is typically better than late intervention -- lots of evidence to support that. But it's not evidence for fancy machines, it's evidence for public health and primary care, a la the NHS before the Tories fucked it over (again).

  16. Sounds about right by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0, Flamebait

    This is why I avoid the medical profession in general. They're idiots. The odds of finding anyone in the world that is not only good but cares about their job is one in ten million at best. Most people mostly care about money, not intelligence. Good fucking luck.

  17. butchers by bigtreeman · · Score: 0

    I'm vindicated.
    I always said surgeons are just high paid butchers.
    They treat the symptoms by cutting it out, not the causes.
    Bit pythonesque
    no fecking science involved, just trial and error.

    --
    Go well
  18. I don't get it. What's the point? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I don't get it. "Surgeries" are treatment attempts for a myriad kind of different things. The attempt might be successful, or it might not, and the first days after the procedure are usually critical. In all, every surgery comes with a mortality rate that may be from very low to very high.
    So, I would definitely expect deaths in the first month after surgery to be quite a high number given the number of surgeries happening around the world - I mean if there weren't many, we'd have solved most health issues "hey, just have a surgery, nobody dies after one". Yeah investment in research will help saving lives, but the same can be said about virtually any sector of medicine.

  19. How many surgeries each year by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    A few hundred million apparently. So chances of dying after surgery is getting close to 1% within 30 days.

    More slashdot sensationalism.

  20. Half of those deaths? by u19925 · · Score: 3, Insightful

    The sumary says "half of those deaths occur in low- and middle-income countries"

    Doesn't that mean half of those happen in rich countries? Why are they trying to shame low and middle income countries when the rate in rich countries is so high?

    1. Re:Half of those deaths? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The sumary says "half of those deaths occur in low- and middle-income countries"

      Doesn't that mean half of those happen in rich countries? Why are they trying to shame low and middle income countries when the rate in rich countries is so high?

      That's nothing. Wait until they decide to really sensationalize it by saying "Half of all deaths affect women, studies show it's caused by a conspiracy of old white chauvinist pigs"...

    2. Re:Half of those deaths? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      The sumary says "half of those deaths occur in low- and middle-income countries"

      Doesn't that mean half of those happen in rich countries? Why are they trying to shame low and middle income countries when the rate in rich countries is so high?

      If there are low, middle, and high income groups only, then you could be correct. Remember, there could be more than 3 groups (e.g. poverty, lower income, higher income, the highest income, etc.).

  21. Lots of folks making jokes by nehumanuscrede · · Score: 2, Insightful

    In time, you may change your tune a bit once you personally know someone who goes into surgery and never wakes up.
    Especially something ridiculously simple and / or routine.

    No words can explain how you feel when you meet the Doctor and are expecting to hear one thing ( we're done, they're doing fine, etc. )
    only to find out they coded on the table and the surgical team spent the last half hour trying to revive them to no avail.

    The truly frustrating part is not knowing why.

    Body just give up ? Medical / Anesthesia error ? Reaction to one of the meds ?

    It's one of those things that will haunt you forever.

    1. Re:Lots of folks making jokes by SirAstral · · Score: 2

      I lost a family member like this, not from the surgery though... just died in regular care in post op choking on her own vomit because her bed was malfunctioning and would not move up and down and because of her stomach surgery so she could not bend up or roll over to clear her throat. She died alone, without assistance from any of the attending nurses, or family. The malfunction of the bed was known for days before the event. It terrifies me that someone can literally die, in a hospital from their own vomit. How long does this take to happen? Why was there no assistance?

      It is shocking how much you would think regulations would save people from these things but just like this article... I wonder how many people died despite the regulations and what I am betting a complete lack of enforcement of them. You pay off the right people, you can get by with a lot of things, and I am not talking about being intentionally malicious, I am talking about people making mistakes but they refuse to report them because it rocks the boat, gets someone in trouble, or because they just don't care.

      If life has taught me one thing it is this. Most people are stupid, followed by lazy people, followed by corrupt people. The stupid people are often fooled into thinking safe things are safe when they are not, lazy people just ignore a problem because they think the problem is harmless, and the corrupt people... that cannot be bothered to spare the expenses necessary to make sure things are working as they should. It makes the lazy people to afraid to buck the system, and because most times nothing goes wrong it leads people to think things that are not safe are safer than they actually are. This lesson has a shockingly low amount of awareness in everyday life. People know more about cancer than they know about basic human behavior.

    2. Re:Lots of folks making jokes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      I had a pet go out that way. Went in for a booster shot. Died under two hours later. It's easy to ignore the rare statistics until they happen to you. Hasn't stopped me from getting any shots, but you never know what will happen. People can develop allergies instantly.

    3. Re:Lots of folks making jokes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Psychopath

    4. Re:Lots of folks making jokes by dr.Flake · · Score: 3, Informative

      Dying on the OR table is extremely rare.
      Anesthesia complications or surgery disasters leading to a direct fatality are 1:100.000 or less.

      Those who succumb on a table usually entered the OR in a dismal condition, actively bleeding, whilst having a cardiac arrest etc etc.

      Post-surgery, that's where the losses occur. Heart attacks, pneumonia, seizures, sepsis.
      Not that all of them can be avoided and everybody's mindset is on minimizing them.

      Your condition prior to surgery is the best predictor

      --
      Why are other peoples sig's always more witty ???
    5. Re:Lots of folks making jokes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Dedicating something to a lost loved one is a way people deal with being haunted forever. Else why would they do it. Ergo, you are an idiot.

    6. Re:Lots of folks making jokes by thegarbz · · Score: 1

      In time, you may change your tune a bit once you personally know someone who goes into surgery and never wakes up.

      Why would I change my tune? Do you know how many people would die if we decided to ban surgeries? We're joking about the heinous abuse of statistics, not about specific people dying.

      Having experienced someone die as a result of surgery puts me in an interesting position: I could take your approach and get triggered negatively every time this topic is discussed, or I could maintain a sense of humour and go on with my life, calling out bad use of statistics and comparisons as I do.

    7. Re:Lots of folks making jokes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "haunt you forever"?

      Yeah, there are some who are 'haunted forever'. Total losers. Every society allows a certain amount of time for mourning and every society expects people to get back with the living afterword.

      Death is a fact of life, in case you haven't heard. Go ahead and wallow in grief but it will serve no good purpose. Instead, consider doing something useful with your life and dedicating the good results to the memory of your lost one.

      I hope that your autism causes you extreme suffering, and if there's anything I can ever do to increase it, I will.

    8. Re:Lots of folks making jokes by shilly · · Score: 1
    9. Re:Lots of folks making jokes by houghi · · Score: 1

      I have been in a similar situation. Humor is a great way to deal with stressfull situations.

      Perhaps because of that humour, I do not feel haunted.

      And things happen often BECAUSE they are simple and/or routine. I went sky diving and the most accidents, according to the coach, was people who where doing this for a LONG time. They are just so relaxed that thye forget to put on their parachute and jump out.

      This is normal human behaviour.

      --
      Don't fight for your country, if your country does not fight for you.
    10. Re:Lots of folks making jokes by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      "haunt you forever"?

      Yeah, there are some who are 'haunted forever'. Total losers. Every society allows a certain amount of time for mourning and every society expects people to get back with the living afterword.

      Death is a fact of life, in case you haven't heard. Go ahead and wallow in grief but it will serve no good purpose. Instead, consider doing something useful with your life and dedicating the good results to the memory of your lost one.

      Fuck you.

      jabberwock@poetic.com

  22. Odd comparison by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Having surgery is not a disease, yet they compare it to disease death rates? Let's compare apples to toaster ovens!

  23. No it suggests wealth by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Or move to a low-income country where surgery is safer."
    No, they just won't bother cutting open grandpa for a liver blood clot because he's already old and probably won't survive the procedure so its not worth the money, let him die with his family. Whereas in rich countries, grandpa has the money, lets milk him till he's a corpse!

    Look, I'm expecting the US to correlate *BETTER* on this, because most of you cannot afford your healthcare, and so you probably won't get cut open for last chance operations, so compared to say Sweden, you probably won't get surgery and will just die without it.

    I assume the figures show that?

  24. Really sick people... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    ... die. More news at 11.

  25. How to fix this by AHuxley · · Score: 1

    Find people who can study. Accept only the best people for medical work.
    Make sure they can all pass their tests.
    Ensure they can function in a teaching hospital with constant peer review.
    Stop accepting average and mediocre students.
    Make sure your nations has the best professionals every decade.
    A doctor wants to work in your nation with no qualifications?
    Make them pass the same standard exams before they are allowed in.
    Peer review will then find the people who cant learn, who cant study, who cant keep up.

    --
    Domestic spying is now "Benign Information Gathering"
    1. Re:How to fix this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Find people who can study. Accept only the best people for medical work.

      Followed by: Bitch, whine and moan when you notice you need x number of medical professionals to meet demand, but only have x/10. or /100.

    2. Re:How to fix this by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Find people who can study. Accept only the best people for medical work.

      AI, as much as I think its a can of worms we could do without, may be useful for assisting doctors in their jobs. Computers are good at finding patterns, and correct information earlier is usually particularly valuable. In the case of surgery, perhaps they could do it earlier when there is lower risk, if it is needed.

      In general America spends enough on health care, though the exact amount is arguable as is the allocation. Republicans point to countries with national health care and point to waiting lines, which are usually not as bad as they say, but they point. Canada and Japan appear spend about half what we do on health care has a life expectancy of 81.9 years compared to the US's 80 year expectancy. Curiously enough Japan is at 85.3 and Monaco is highest at 89.4.

      Basically we could copy paste what we know works and greatly improve health care. If we wanted to avoid wait lists and such, well we are already spending enough to do so. We would just need to train more doctors and such. Of course in America irrational fears of socialism win the day most times...

    3. Re:How to fix this by Ormy · · Score: 2

      Of course in America irrational fears of socialism win the day most times...

      Fears about socialised medicine win the day EVERY time. Which is the primary cause of the US having a worse life expectancy and worse medical outcomes than Canada and Japan despite spending nearly twice as much on healthcare, exactly as you pointed out.

      I am seeing it happen right before my eyes in my country (UK). We used to have a world-leading socialised healthcare system that is slowly being eroded into a US-style system by greedy right-wing politicians. It works like this: Step 1: chronically under-fund the social health system, step 2 create headlines about the health system failing (obviously don't mention drastic funding cuts), step 3, point to private healthcare providers as the solution. Step 4: identify private healthcare providers looking for investment (or ones your mates are already invested in) and invest, step 5, abuse the political process to make sure large medical contracts (paid for by taxpayers) go to the private providers you identified. Step 6, profit for you and your mates at the cost of quality and affordability of healthcare for the general population.

    4. Re:How to fix this by AHuxley · · Score: 1

      AC why would any advanced nation only have x/10. or /100 after the years of exams and testing?
      All the average people who cant learn should have been rejected from that kind of university study well before been allowed to take up medicine as a profession.
      Peer review the results of every surgery. What worked, what did not.
      Infection control?
      Medicine not working?
      Another condition?
      The condition was not detected until too late? How, who and why?
      Keep looking into every professionals ability to work hard.

      --
      Domestic spying is now "Benign Information Gathering"
  26. Huxley you're a moron. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    "Find people who can study." You are too stupid to exist.

  27. Re: But isn't investing in health care socialism? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You misspelled Clinton

  28. Where It Is by JBMcB · · Score: 3, Insightful

    Reminds me of a quote supposedly given by Willie Sutton, a notorious bank robber. When asked why he robbed banks, he replied "because that's where the money is."

    Why do people die in hospitals? Because that's where sick people go. Why do people die after surgery? Because one, surgery carries a certain risk. Two, if they are doing surgery on you, there's probably something wrong with you to begin with.

    There are absolutely problems with secondary infections, surgical errors, unnecessary surgeries and the like. but a single statistic doesn't say anything about those things.

    --
    My Other Computer Is A Data General Nova III.
    1. Re:Where It Is by BrianMarshall · · Score: 1

      Mod parent up.

      --
      "When the going gets weird, the weird turn pro" -- HST
  29. The More Things Change... by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I often say a great doctor kills more people than a great general.
    -- Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz (1646 - 1716)

  30. There's more to it by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    What they didn't note was the incidence of hospital-acquired infections. This may not be directly related to surgery itself, but it's certainly directly related to being hospitalized. Far too many hospital stays are made longer than expected due to nosocomial infections. Those that go home but return soon with infections from organisms typically found in hospital settings should also be included. I know this personally, I was hospitalized for a couple of days, for minor surgery, and had to return the next morning due to a high fever. I was in that nasty place for two more weeks with sepsis. I like hospitals, but I don't like hospitals. I'll go home ASAP when the doc says go.

        The point is that there's more to the story. It's not all surgical errors. Hospitals are -nasty- places. They're filled with sick people, overburdened staff, even the orderlies(typically understaffed) that clean the place are barely able to keep up with things. The nursing staff and physicians do not always use a simple hand cleaner, one of the worst problems. I understand, of course, they're juggling a thousand things and trying eagerly to give us the best care, but hand-washing has yet to become automatic. Yes, most do it by rote, but still infection spreads.

        So keep in mind that less-than-optimal outcomes and hospital readmittances will continue to happen, and what's really needed is more staff, better cleanliness, and facilities equipment and fixtures are made of or coated with things that are naturally germicidal.

  31. Re: But isn't investing in health care socialism? by Seewhatidonehere · · Score: 0

    Perfectly healthy people rarely pop into a hospital for a surgery, so a study based on that would have very little volume and just by this alone would be a stupid idea

  32. Don't get me started by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I'm a Type 1 diabetic. I've had a number of occasions where hospitals seemed quite intent on killing me. It's a long story, decades back Mass. General Hospital had me on Demerol after a broken leg so I wasn't coherent enough to correct their treatment. They'd measure my high blood sugar, let the doctor know eventually, who'd order more tests which would come back in the next shift whence the next doctor would order more tests. I was in ketosis for *4 days*. Not the modest, healthy ketosis because you eat no carbs, the lethal ketosis because you don't have enough insulin to use glucose, you burn protein instead, and it makes your blood more acid. That can kill you. So can potassium depletion, and kidney failure from such mishandling.

    I've also learned a harsh lesson, from several emergency room occasions. (50 years of Type 1, yeah, I've been in an ER a few times.) If you take the IV out and head for the door, a doctor *will* finally see you. It is *embarrassing* if you escape from an ER without a physician ever seeing you, they can't bill for it.

  33. Research interpretation FAIL by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Wow amazing groupthink and confirmation biases going on.

    Yes some surgical procedures are considered elective and/or cosmetic. The majority of surgical procedures are done on patients who can see death in their rear view mirror. As a resident ER physician, the patients I send for surgery have an illness or injury that meets these criteria: Sudden, acute, unexpected, and so catastrophic that the odds of them surviving to the end of my shift is approximately 0.

    Most of these surgeries "succeed". It's the end of my shift, and I can still hear their heart beating in my ears through my stethoscope. If surgery had not been done, I'd hear only silence (not to mention the strange looks I'd get for examining a corpse in a body bag).

    Most of these patients will be reported as "in stable but critical condition". This is medical code for "in a post-surgical coma, in the ICU, where machines are working 24/7 to do the job of the vital organs that no longer function after the extensive damage that occurred in those crucial minutes before surgery began (911 call, waiting for EMS, en route to hospital, freeway traffic jams, triage, physician assessment, CT scans, intubation, anaesthesia induction, surgical team scrubbing in). Many of these people will go on to die within 30 days. That is a miracle of modern medicine, not a failure, because 30 days sure beats the 30 minutes they may have lived after their massive heart attack or head-on high speed motor vehicle collision. Even if they never wake up, those 30 days buys their family an opportunity to say goodbye and come to terms with losing their loved one. It allows organs to be harvested used to save the lives other others through transplant surgery. And sometimes, they will wake up, and go on to recover sufficiently to resume lives that would have otherwise ended prematurely, if not for a surgical intervention.

    The correct interpretation of this study is NOT 7.7% of death is caused by surgery, but rather "7.7% of dying people attempt to cheat death with surgery fail, and die anyways".

    1. Re:Research interpretation FAIL by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

      Thank you for your posting. People sometimes die of a heart attack after surgery. Why is that - because of emotional stress?

  34. Clickbait by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Why post to a site providing no source for claims?

  35. Its almost like they did surgery on sick people! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Who would have thunk that sick people that require surgery might be in high risk of dying?

  36. What %ge from infections? by AntisocialNetworker · · Score: 1

    Drug-resistant infections are making hospitals a really dangerous place to be.

  37. Re: But isn't investing in health care socialism? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    You've won the irony of the day award.

  38. Re:But isn't investing in health care socialism? D by bungo · · Score: 4, Insightful

    I don't agree.

    I had a major surgery, planned a couple of months in advance. I was in a good condition, but if I didn't have the surgery, then it would have led to a serious condition later on. I was not "pretty fucked up".

    One week after being released from hospital, I went back to the hospital's ER, due to pain and fluid leaking from the closed incision. The doctor on duty gave me a prescription for strong pain killers and sent me away.

    3 days later, I was back in the same ER. A more experienced doctor knew what was wrong, and proceeded to pump out of me over a pint of smelly fluid. He also contacted one of the surgical team, who ordered tests and a CAT scan. I was admitted back into the hospital and given a course of the strongest antibiotics they had via IV. If I hadn't gone back in to the ER when I did, there was a good change I would have died.

    The surgeon told me that when I first visited the ER, they should have contacted her and let her examine me. This appeared to be a standard procedure but the working doctor was not aware of this.

    In my case, better training would have prevented an almost fatal outcome.

    --
    "The best part? I became an ordained minister while not wearing pants." -- CleverNickName
  39. Money Solves Everything!!!!! by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Oh, there something we found but we're really not sure what's causing it but the solution is to throw money at it and it will be all better.

  40. Re:But isn't investing in health care socialism? D by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It says on your chart, your fucked up. You talk like a fag, and your shit's all retarded.

  41. In Other Words: Man is.. by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Yes, Humans are the number one deathcause of humans. Always has been and always will be if nothing fundamentaly changes in this species.

  42. Re:But isn't investing in health care socialism? D by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Well at least we don't have to worry about that anymore. Treating obvious severe pain by prescribing strong painkillers is now strictly forbidden in the ER, because some docs gave out Vicoden for a twisted ankle now you can't have them for your giant abscess in your surgical incision or any other situation that doesn't require being admitted.

  43. Re: But isn't investing in health care socialism by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Orthopedic surgeries and cosmetic surgeries. Knee scopes for acls, rhinoplasty and the like. There's plenty of data. Of course, it will confirm that sick people go to the hospital, but the data is there.

  44. Re:But isn't investing in health care socialism? D by Austerity+Empowers · · Score: 1

    Thinking of the last 3 deaths in my family, yes, this is pretty much true. Every single one had a surgery to attempt to stop the inevitable, and every single one died within 30 days of that. I don't really fault the doctors, they told us all ahead of time that the probability of success was very low. But when you're talking about someone definitely dying, versus the chance they will not die, you take the chance they will not die.

    Now throw in "world-wide" and you are also including a lot of surgeries being done in less than ideal environments with less than ideal equipment, possibly by undertrained staff, Inevitably you end up with junk. Making a decision to do surgery should definitely be informed by the risks, but those risks are not equal in a large university hospital in Washington DC versus a tent in the sahara (possibly involving Chevy Chase and Dan Aykroyd masquerading as a doctors to avoid blowing their cover).

    I would rather hear about the number of post-surgical deaths in 30 days in 1st world countries where the patient prognosis was not terminal by qualified physicians, that's information I would consider.

  45. That's the anti-vaccine argument by Solandri · · Score: 5, Informative

    You're improperly comparing to a zero base state - post-surgery death vs if the person were living a normal life and didn't need surgery. That leads you to the incorrect conclusion that "something is wrong" when someone dies after surgery.

    The correct comparison is is against what would've happened to the person if they hadn't gone into surgery. Except for cosmetic surgery, going to the OR is usually to treat a life-threatening problem. 4.2 million deaths after surgery vs 313 million surgical procedures is a 1.3% chance of death post-surgery. People opt for surgery because that's a helluva improvement over the ~50% chance of death if they hadn't gone into surgery.

    The same miguided argument is used against vaccines. A few dozen children die from vaccines each year. Anti-vaxxers (comparing to a zero base state of no deaths) cite that as evidence that vaccines are unsafe. But the correct comparison is a few dozen deaths from vaccines, vs the tens or hundreds of thousands of deaths if nobody were vaccinated. We opt for vaccines and surgery because they're the lesser of two evils (far, far lesser).

    Another example is the crash of United Airlines 232. One of the passengers was a lap child - an infant or small child carried on the parents' lap and traveling without paying for a seat. The head stewardess abroad the flight followed procedure and instructed the parents to put the lap child underneath the seat in front of them like carry-on luggage. When the child died, she was so racked with guilt that she went on a multi-decade crusade to get lap children banned. The FAA finally ruled against her a few years ago. She was incorrectly comparing against a zero base state - the lap child dying vs possibly surviving if it had been belted into a seat. The FAA made the correct comparison. Lap children are allowed because flying is two orders of magnitude safer than driving. If you forced all parents with small children to pay for a seat for those children, a lot of them would opt to drive instead of fly. And as a result a lot more children would die from car accidents than this one lap child on this one ill-fated flight.

    Instead of being frustrated over not knowing why the "unnecessary" death occurred, treat it as a gamble. The patient's original status gave him, say, a 50% chance of survival. Surgery gives him a 98.7% chance of survival. So surgery is obviously the better bet and wiser choice. But 1.3% of the time you will still lose that bet. It still boils down to the luck of the draw, except with surgery (and vaccines and lap children) you are stacking the deck far, far in your favor.

    We can and certainly should try to improve the 1.3% fatality rate following surgery. But 1.3% is still a good thing, not something to be ashamed or fearful of. People are making jokes because TFA is naively trying to spin this story as if surgery were an additional risk, when it's actually a reduction in risk.

  46. Re: But isn't investing in health care socialism? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I bet a lot more lives are saved by surgery than are saved by HIV, Tuberculosis, and Malaria.

  47. Re:But isn't investing in health care socialism? D by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I suspect that increasing investment in research, staff training, equipment and better hospital facilities aren't really going to have that much impact because usually when you need surgery, you are pretty fucked up already.

    This is nothing more than shilling for more cash.

    More money is the answer to all our problems, except funding. Tax the rich is the answer to all our funding problems.

  48. What KIND of surgeries? by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    It would help if we knew what TYPE of surgeries we're talking about. I'm having gall bladder surgery later this week for instance. They say it's very routine and no big deal. But it's my first ever surgery at 60 years old and I'm nervous as hell.

  49. False positives can cause more harm than good by PeterM+from+Berkeley · · Score: 1

    As some other responses to your post have said, there's a problem with detecting too much stuff and having false, or false-ish positives.

    There's a cancer researcher who has postulated that cancers show up all the time, but are mostly rejected by the immune system while still small and never really cause any problems or require any treatment.

    In fact, I *think* I had a basal cell carcinoma (looked just like one, i swear) and I was on the verge of going to get it treated when it got irritated, started to bleed a bit, and then vanished over a few days. Gone. No scar. Poof. Never came back. It's been > 5 years. In my case, I would have been trading a low-risk surgery that would have left a scar with no-risk immune attack on that possible basal cell carcinoma that left no scar.

    I suspect a lot of "early detections" would lead to medical interventions that caused more harm than good, and are costly. Better to put the medical resources into prenatal care and immunizations. Big bang/buck there.

    Best,

    --PeterM

  50. Re: But isn't investing in health care socialism by StikyPad · · Score: 1

    Tell that to the 16M people who get cosmetic surgery every year â" and thatâ(TM)s just in the US.

  51. Short on details by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Article does not say what the cause of the post-op deaths are. My guess, infection. A neighbor is in medicine and her greatest fear is MRSA. Hospitals are teaming with resistant bacteria all waiting to hop into a warm body. It is still better than pre-antibiotic days when surgery had much worse outcomes.

  52. Re:But isn't investing in health care socialism? D by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    I don't agree.

    I had a major surgery, planned a couple of months in advance. I was in a good condition, but if I didn't have the surgery, then it would have led to a serious condition later on. I was not "pretty fucked up".

    ...

    So, you were in a condition where you needed to have someone literally cut you open, twist some knobs, and then sew you back together?

    Sounds "pretty fucked up" to me.

  53. Agree 100% article is bordering click bait by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 0

    Agree 100% - a gimmick article seeing more money and subsidies sent to the medial industry.

    A stat like the percent of patients dying 30 days after an appendectomy or other routine surgery would be informative.

  54. This result is expected by strikethree · · Score: 1

    The exact percentage is unknown, but there is some percentage of doctors who don't care at all. They fill out checklists and do the bare minimum of what those checklists prescribe in order to keep themselves from being declared incompetent... but they just don't care. They were told if they do certain things in a certain order, they get money. So they do, but they don't care. Your suffering is immaterial. Your survival has no bearing on whether or not they sleep well at night. They just don't care.

    You factor that in with hospitals being a concentrated warehouse storage of some of the nastiest bacteriums on this planet and... this result is expected. I would go so far as to say that it gives an upper bound on the amount of medical professionals who just don't care. If that is the case, the numbers are better than I had hoped. Maybe it is possible to find a medical professional who does more than checklists and shoulder shrugs.

    Or, maybe, this result is indicative of how good those checklists are... (now I am depressed again)

    --
    "Someone needs to talk to the tree of liberty about its ghoulish drinking problem." by ohnocitizen
  55. Re:But isn't investing in health care socialism? D by bungo · · Score: 1

    Ok, AC, I'll assume that that is a real question and all you lack is a little understanding, so I'll give you an informative answer.

    It's all relative and time related.

    I had a potentially fatal condition, but it was not currently fatal that that moment in time. If fact, it was the complete opposite. I waited 2 months not due to a queue or waiting list, but I waited until my condition improved and I was in good health. That's the best time to operate, when someone is in good health.

    Imagine if you have a swollen appendix. If it needs to be removed, you have a better chance of survival if it hasn't yet burst. If you go in for emergency surgery with a burst appendix, then you have a lower rate of survival as your body is already reacting to the condition. If it hasn't yet burst, and you are not currently suffering from pain and infection, then the surgery is less of a shock to your body.

    --
    "The best part? I became an ordained minister while not wearing pants." -- CleverNickName