Slashdot Mirror


Deflecting an Asteroid Will Be Harder Than Scientists Thought (upi.com)

schwit1 shares a report from UPI: According to new asteroid collision models designed by scientists at Johns Hopkins University, deflecting a large rock headed for Earth will be harder than previously thought. Using the most up-to-date findings on rock fracturing, researchers developed computer models to more accurately simulate asteroid collisions. For the newest study, scientists decided to divide the model into two phases. Phase one modeled the immediate fracturing that happens in the wake of a collision -- the processes that play in a matter of seconds. The second phase simulated the gravitational re-accumulation process that happens over the course of several hours or days.

The first phase of the updated model showed a large asteroid is not destroyed by a much smaller asteroid. Instead, millions of cracks form throughout, the core fractures and a crater is left behind. During phase two, the fractured core exerts a strong gravitational pull on the smaller pieces of debris and shrapnel broken during the impact. Because the asteroid did not crack completely during phase one, the space rock retained significant strength. If scientists are going to develop an asteroid deflection strategy that can actually work, they need to know how much force it really takes to destroy or deflect one. The latest study -- published in the newest issue of the journal Icarus -- showed it's more force than was originally thought.

7 of 180 comments (clear)

  1. Are the scientists confused? by Plumpaquatsch · · Score: 4, Informative

    "Deflecting" and "destroying" are two different strategies to avoid collision with an asteroid - and "destroying" has long been seen as the worse one for that matter.

    --
    Of course news about a fake are Fake News.
  2. Re:Isn't the goal to change its course? by Opportunist · · Score: 4, Insightful

    The difference is that the birdshot has a better chance to burn up in the atmosphere without anything reaching the ground at all.

    --
    We used to have a Bill of Rights. Now, with the rights gone, all we have left is the bill.
  3. Re:Isn't the goal to change its course? by ShanghaiBill · · Score: 4, Insightful

    If a large asteroid on a collision course with Earth is fractured, that just turns it into a bunch of little asteroids that will hit Earth.

    Not really. Space is big. Really big. If you break up an asteroid months, or even weeks, ahead of time, most of the fragments are going to miss earth by many thousands or even millions of kilometers.

    A typical delta-v is 40,000 km/hr. So in a day, that is a million kilometers. In a month, it is 30 million km. The diameter of the earth is 12,000 km. That is about 0.02 degrees. That is not much of a deflection.

  4. A matter of cost. by The+Evil+Atheist · · Score: 5, Funny

    I reckon $5 billion would be more than enough, and we'll get the Mexicans to pay for it.

    --
    Those who do not learn from commit history are doomed to regress it.
  5. link to the actual source, which does makes sense by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 4, Informative

    https://hub.jhu.edu/2019/03/04...

    Looks like the editors did not even look at it and just "aggregated" the content from some random news site that also was no capable of summarizing the hart of the matter in a subject line.

  6. Re:Doesn't this depend on rotation? by colinwb · · Score: 4, Insightful

    "Ten days? Have a world-wide "End of the World" party." - Including watching the 1999 Canadian film "Last Night"... Plot: In Toronto, a group of friends and family prepare for the end of the world, expected at midnight as the result of a calamity that is not explained, but which has been expected for several months ... In 2014, Colin McNeil of Metro News wrote "Last Night is perhaps the most upbeat end-of-the-world movie you’ll ever see." ...

    Rogert Ebert's review ... Note: On a talk show in Toronto, I [Roger Ebert] was asked to define the difference between American and Canadian films, and said I could not. Another guest was Wayne Clarkson, the former director of the Toronto Film Festival. He said he could, and cited this film. "Sandra Oh goes into a grocery story to find a bottle of wine for dinner," he said. "The store has been looted, but she finds two bottles still on the shelf. She takes them down, evaluates them, chooses one, and puts the other one politely back on the shelf. That's how you know it's a Canadian film."

  7. Re:Two thermonuclear blasts. by Immerman · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Go take a look at the long list of asteroids that have passed frighteningly close to Earth, that we didn't see until they were already past.

    The problem is that we have a 50/50 chance that the asteroid will approach us from inside our orbit, in which case the side facing us will not be lit by the sun, rendering it nearly invisible (though the IR telescopes designed specifically for spotting asteroids by their heat signature will do better)

    --
    --- Most topics have many sides worth arguing, allow me to take one opposite you.