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GPL and Project Forking
Norm writes "Linuxcare is running an informative article about project forking and how the GPL serves to prevent forking in many cases; a good expose on a timely subject, given recent fears about kernel forks, etc.. " Being at Comdex, I've heard a lot of people wondering about why Linux stays together, questions about what the GPL means and how it works. There seems to be a lot of confusion about what different distributions actually mean.
The article was very well written and insiteful but didn't convince me that forking isn't really a threat. It also minimized the impact on productivity that forking has caused.
Today, the different Linux distros can cause a headache for people dealing with product installation issues, usually with scripts. This isn't so bad because most UNIX people are already used to that. But it does scare off software companies. Think about it, for Windows, you just buy InstallShield or Wise and most of the problems of OS differences are taken care of. Not true for Linux today.
It gets worse at the API level. If the Linux kernel forks and the APIs contain minor annoying incompatibilities, it will be just as bad as the UNIX days of old.
I'm a strong advocate of Linux mainly because it is Open Source. I feel the advantage of this is huge, but mainly for developers. Developers need to be able to trust that the APIs they are using a) work as advertised, b) can be fixed quickly when they don't and c) aren't subject to the whims of a particular profit driven organization. Open Source, and in particular GPL'ed code guarantees those things. Nothing else does.
These benefits aren't immediately visible to the consumers (ie. the non-programmers who just use a computer to get something done). But the benefits do trickle down, when the code they use can be made more reliable and can safely incorporate innovations. The time spent reinventing the wheel for minor variations of operating systems could be spent doing useful innovations.
Realistically, freeware will never replace commercial applications, and I don't want it to. What I want to see is new products with genuinely new features, and I'm willing to pay for them, with or without source. Those new products will come a lot faster if there is a common API to work with. There will always be competing versions of products, but at some point there will be features we come to expect of all of them, and the advantages to the different versions of the products become trivial. At that point, it makes more sense to standardize on a freeware version, and forget all the others. I believe at this point in time, there are not enough technical advantages to the competing operating systems to warrant their existence. It is a detriment to everyone's productivity. Therefore, it's time for an Open Source OS to move to the forefront, and Linux is the closest of any to doing that.
Right now there is one major fork in the Linux world, and that's GNOME vs. KDE. This is particularly nasty, because there really is no way to develop software that supports both. (I mean totally supports both, not just using some common subset of features) This is a long-term threat to the viability of the OS for commercial development. Let's get real, they both are trying to accomplish mostly the same goals: a common look and feel for graphical applications. As long as they both fight for mindshare, that won't happen! I really hope at some point in time, one or the other surrenders, and concentrates their efforts on taking the useful innovations they have and putting them into the other, so we can all get on with things.
If you really want Linux to replace Windows, stop arguing over petty differences and work together to build an OS that truly offers all the advantages that Windows currently offers.