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User: Inbred_Weasel

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  1. Re:Stocks, bonds, derivatives, or foreign currency on Bill Gates Advocates Tax On Financial Transactions · · Score: 1

    Right now the high-frequency traders are basically stealing.

    High frequency traders tend to provide higher liquidity to the markets that they trade in, which is objectively better for the marketplace as a whole. As evidence of this, I submit the fact that a number of exchanges actually pay traders to increase liquidity, while charging traders to decrease liquidity.

    They jump in front of other peoples' trades by milliseconds

    This is the real problem with the current system. Market makers that have the ability to see incoming trades and place their own trades ahead of them have a huge unfair advantage over everyone else. This behavior is what I would call "basically stealing" as it allows some participants in the market to see the future before everyone else does. And I don't just mean because they have a fast connection to the exchanges. Allowing these people to see incoming bids/offers before they are executed is tantamount to allowing them to see everyone's poker cards before they are played.

    So in summary, high frequency trading is a good thing, unless it is coupled with incoming bids/asks before they are executed on the market. Taxing high frequency trades penalizes both the good and the bad, so the tax is a bad idea. Instead we need to eliminate the information asymmetry by prohibiting trading based on incoming bids/asks.

  2. Re:Restriction of speech is still necessary on China Praises UK Internet Censorship Plan · · Score: 1

    Analogy fail.

    What you describe is exactly what we want to have happen. The idea is to make the action that causes harm expensive, and the action that does not cause harm cheap. Thus, molestation should be made expensive (illegal) while possession should be made cheap (legal), discouraging people from causing harm to others.

    Where your analogy fails is that murder is exactly the problem we are trying to prevent by making it expensive (illegal). The GP is making the distinction that possession of child porn is not the actual problem, molestation is.

  3. Re:Then tax electricity, not the bulbs on Congress Voting To Repeal Incandescent Bulb Ban · · Score: 1

    That's a step in the right direction, but the actual proper way to use the tax code to influence behavior is to tax pollution.

    Imagine if we could magically get electricity from sources that have no external costs. Then we would not care how much electricity people used because nobody is harmed by the use of electricity. It just so happens that we get most of our electricity from sources that have huge external costs in the form of pollution. So tax the emission of pollutants and the actual harm to society either stops or is paid for by the tax revenue.

    Note that this tax is not designed to raise revenue just for the sake of raising revenue. If all electricity was generated by solar power (which has minimal external costs), only a small amount of revenue would be generated. In the case of photovoltaic solar power, only pollution generated from creation and disposal of the panels and electronics would generate revenue.

  4. Re:Answer... on Will Capped Data Plans Kill the Cloud? · · Score: 1

    At that point, innovation slows and prices can rise because there is no pressure.

    In a completely free market, this is when a third producer of widgets will enter the market and compete with the monopolistic widget seller. The ability for anyone to enter a new market and compete with the existing players in that market is one of the keys to having a properly functioning capitalistic economy, yet this freedom is often overlooked by many. In your example, consider what would happen if the two original widget makers were evenly matched. After a while, they might both become complacent and the price of a widget might start to rise. As soon as an outside entity sees the widget market and decides that they can produce a better or cheaper widget, they will enter the market regardless of how many producers of widgets exist already.

    The real problem with capitalism as currently implemented in the United States (and many other places) is that some markets have significant barriers to entry that new competitors must pass. The market for cell phones and mobile internet is a great example of these types of barriers. In order to enter the market, each competitor must have the use of some chunk of electromagnetic spectrum for their devices to use. Suitable spectrum is limited by simple physics so the number of competitors is clearly limited. Also the government has allocated some spectrum for other uses, so the available spectrum is even more limited. Without the ability for new competitors to freely enter the market, a natural oligopoly forms based on whoever has control of the spectrum, and competition is limited.

    Note that the existing competitors in the cell phone market don't necessarily even need to collude to drive prices up. They can each independently examine the market and determine that since the market has become controlled by a limited number of entities, each competitor's profits will be maximized by keeping prices high. It might be true that in the long term, the most efficient competitor will do better by lowering prices to capture the entire market, but that will take years or decades to accomplish. And in the meantime, their profits could have been higher by keeping prices higher. We've all seen the obsession with next quarter's results, so it is no surprise which path is taken.

    Wired internet services have the same problem, but with slightly different barriers. Many communities have exclusive franchise agreements limiting competition. But even without those governmental limits, future competitors face increasing resistance from residents because many people in a community do not enjoy having roads torn up to put in parallel infrastructure. Another problem is that geographically large competitors can artificially lower prices in areas where new competition happens to pop up. They may even take a loss in these areas for a short time until the new competitor is driven out of business. The large competitor is able to do this because they have captive areas where the prices remain high and can use the profits from these areas to subsidize the losses in the competitive areas.

    These types of problems don't happen in markets without significant barriers to entry. Take the production of pencils. Anyone can start a company producing pencils if they wish. You can even make one at a time in your basement if you wish. Because of this freedom, pencil prices are driven close to the cost of production by existing competition, along with the threat of more competition if the existing competitors become inefficient.

    In summary, I think the problem to which you refer is not one of capitalism itself, but of the current implementation. "Unbridled capitalism" does work in free markets, but not in markets with significant barriers to entry.

  5. Re:Maybe, maybe not on Lasers Approach Their Ultimate Intensity Limit · · Score: 1

    Actually you gain weight when falling off a building. Your mass m = E/c^2. When falling, the energy contained in your body has increased by the amount of kinetic energy you mention. So the mass of your body has increased by the amount of kinetic energy added to your body divided by the square of the speed of light.

    Your weight has thus increased assuming a constant gravitational acceleration. Since you're falling toward the earth, you will actually experience even more weight gain because the gravitational acceleration due to the earth's mass gets larger the closer you get to the Earth. The increasing gravitational acceleration will have a much larger effect on your weight than the small amount of mass gain.

    Not such a good weight loss plan.

  6. Re:That's how the market is supposed to work. on Just One Out of 16 Hybrids Pays Back In Gas Savings · · Score: 2, Informative

    FYI - 1 oil barrel (bbl) is 42 US gallons

  7. Re:We're on the wrong track. on Bill Gates's New Version of the Einstein Letter · · Score: 1

    I don't think it's really fair to say that nuclear and fossil fuels have the same problem of limited supply. Technically it's true, but the limits are so much different. With fossil fuels we might have on the order of 1,000 years of fuel left at earth's current power usage. But with nuclear fission (including thorium reactors and seawater uranium extraction) we might have on the order of billions of years of fuel available at our current power usage. Even if we were to sustain exponential growth in power output, nuclear fission might be able to get us through on the order of 10,000 years.

    That said, I like your forward thinking, and I wish more people would consider the future beyond next quarter's financial report.

  8. Sad that this is even being considered on Texas Schools Board Rewriting US History · · Score: 5, Interesting

    Of course it is absurd that the Texas school board is even considering such changes, but it really is up to the people of Texas to fix their school board.

    On the other hand, if an education in Texas gets bad enough, universities and employers might start to pass over applicants from Texas because they are under qualified. This seems like a good thing as it is basically the free market sorting out the educated from the ignorant.

  9. Re:More Market Disruption on Obama Says 3% of GDP Should Fund Science Research And Development · · Score: 1

    If only we were so lucky as to have the choice between scientists and government bureaucrats. As it stands now, we have the choice between government bureaucrats and marketing shills, executives, or shareholders. One group is arguably incompetent, while the other group is actively trying to rip as much money off the population as possible, while providing as little value as possible. Thus, it becomes somewhat less clear which side is better.

  10. Re:Sez who? on Obama Says 3% of GDP Should Fund Science Research And Development · · Score: 1

    Sure, it's $2.6 billion dollars directly spent on advertising, but how much of the "shipping and handling, information technology and non-manufacturing employee compensation" expenses were related to marketing product. For example, how many of the non-manufacturing employees are actually only employed because of the advertising Pfizer does? I think we can agree that more than $2.6 billion goes into Pfizer's marketing budget, but that we really don't know for sure how much.

    I have no doubt that Pfizer is a well run company, that is looking out for its own best interests (making as much money as possible). My point is that those best interests are not the same as the best interests of the USA as a whole.

    If we had an entity that had deep pockets, no need to profit directly from its inventions, and could just exist solely to turn R&D money into drugs which were then released into the public domain for anyone to produce, we would have a more efficient system precisely because this entity would have no need to market its products. Competition on the manufacturing side would drive margins down to very small levels (exactly as a free market should) because any drug manufacturer could produce these drugs. Where would this entity get money if it just put its developments into the public domain? That's why it's not a for profit company. The only way this will happen is if it is a charity, or if the government funds this research. And realistically charities are not large enough to support this kind of operation.

    So I don't think I could run Pfizer better than it's being run now. I think that Pfizer's goal is to produce as much money as possible, but that the country as a whole would be better served by an entity whose goal is to produce as many drugs as possible. Which is how this entire argument gets back to government funded R&D.

  11. Re:Archaic Assumptions? on Obama Says 3% of GDP Should Fund Science Research And Development · · Score: 1

    If your competitor develops the next generation of AI bomber drones and then decides not to sell any to you, what happens then?

  12. Re:Sez who? on Obama Says 3% of GDP Should Fund Science Research And Development · · Score: 1

    That's some great Big Pharma shilling you've got there.

    Fact is, these companies spend more on marketing and administrative overhead than on R&D. In some cases, much more. But don't take my word for it. Check out Pfizer's 2008 Financial Report or Merck's 2008 10K filing.

    Pfizer's 2008 Financial Information:
    Revenue: $48.296 billion
    SI&A expenses: $14.537 billion
    R&D expenses: $7.945 billion

    So as you can see, Pfizer spent 83% more on marketing and administrative overhead than on research and development.

    Merck's 2008 Financial Information:
    Sales: $23.850 billion
    Marketing and administrative expenses: $7.377 billion
    R&D expenses: $4.805 billion

    Merck spent 53% more on marketing and administrative expenses than on research and development.

    You're delusional if you think that these companies are the most efficient way of getting money spent on the research and development of new drugs.

  13. Re:The USA: Developing Country on Obama Proposes High-Speed Rail System For the US · · Score: 1

    France: 640,000 km^2
    USA less Alaska: 7,443,000 km^2
    GDP France: 2,978 Billion USD
    GDP USA: 14,330 Billion USD

    France: 4.65 million USD per km^2
    USA: 1.93 million USD per km^2

    While these numbers indicate that France will theoretically have an easier time building a rail network than the USA, its not as clear cut as you indicated. Also, if you cut out many of the sparsely inhabited areas in the contiguous United States where nobody is suggesting a rail line should be built, the numbers look even better for the USA.

    Boeing 787 Dreamliner: 98 passenger miles per gallon
    TGV Duplex trainset: 632 passenger miles per gallon (gasoline equivalent)

    There are very real reasons for preferring energy efficient rail travel over faster plane travel

  14. Re:We already have rail on Obama Proposes High-Speed Rail System For the US · · Score: 1

    Because throwing money at a problem always fixes things!

    Because adding funds to Amtrack will bring the people that shunned it before when it was bigger back for some reason - even though there's no possibility we'd reduce spending on roads to encourage people to take rail!

    Those who ignore history (and human nature), are doomed to repeat all sorts of folly...

    Throwing money at a problem doesn't always fix that problem. But if the problem is a lack of money, throwing money at it is the right solution.

    For too long Amtrak has been hamstrung by the lack of sufficient funding. It has been forced to defer needed maintenance and discontinue service just to stay alive. The reason for this? Many people have decided for some reason that Amtrak must be self sufficient, or it should be left to die. Why should roads and planes be subsidized by the government when the most efficient form of mass transit is left to fend for itself? It's not just Amtrak that has this problem. Freight railroads have been forced to compete with truckers that have subsidized infrastructure. And people wonder why many freight railroads almost went bankrupt back in the 1980s.

    What a freaking luddite. Do you know how much energy is required to move the mass of a train, compared to the efficiency of a modern light aircraft? I'm not talking 727, I'm talking small regional planes. If you can throw money into the gasping corpse of Rail why not spend that instead to further some amazing aircraft research that can truly serve everyone instead of only the areas dense enough to be served by rail?

    It's not very nice to call someone a luddite when you don't even have your facts in order. You might be interested to know that some of the most efficient aircraft are the large ones, precisely because they can carry a large number of passengers. Small regional planes can come close to the efficiency of, for example, a 787, but only at the cost of speed. Planes look a lot less attractive when they actually fly slower than high speed trains. That said, the most efficient aircraft don't even come close to the efficiency of high speed trains. Check out this site for an overview.

  15. Re:If you didn't vote libertarian, you ASKED FOR T on Obama DOJ Sides With RIAA · · Score: 1

    This is excellent advice. The only way to break away from the two party system is to use a voting system that picks the winner that most people want, rather than the one that simply wins a plurality.

    While instant runoff voting is a great step in the right direction, a better voting system would be one that satisfies the Condorcet criterion. The Schulze method is one example of such a system. Satisfying the Condorcet criterion guarantees that the candidate who would beat all other candidates in a one on one election is selected as the winner (if such a candidate exists). The implementation of the ballot is the same whether using a Condorcet method or instant runoff voting (the voter simply ranks the candidates). Wikipedia's Tennessee capital selection is a great example of how a Condorcet method selects the winner with the broadest support even when instant runoff voting does not.

  16. Re:Octane is still lower in US on GM Cornered Into Defending the Volt · · Score: 1

    Its purely academic in the US right now, because its not really feasible to get 100 RON fuel. It seems to me that the real difference is on the low end. High volume cars in the US are usually designed for 91-92 RON fuel, whereas a similar vehicle in Europe might be designed for 95 RON fuel.

    I'm just pointing out that its not fair to say that fuels are the same in Europe and the US, when the available fuels range from 92-98 RON in the US, and 95-100 RON in Europe. Presumably this has some impact on engine design in the respective markets.

  17. Re:Octane is still lower in US on GM Cornered Into Defending the Volt · · Score: 1

    What if I want the 100 RON fuel that they supposedly sell in Europe as Super Unleaded? That's approximately 95 (R+M)/2 in the US. Problem is that nobody sells fuel with such a high octane rating in the US, except for some specialty stations and E85.

    Also, do European stations sell sub-regular fuels (with RON below 95)? I can't imagine that would go over well with the average consumer.

    So it still seems that fuels in Europe have higher octane ratings than US fuels, but that the continuum of fuels does overlap in the middle.