Read the fine print at the bottom of the page: "Results are based on NBC News projections and unofficial returns". Those are a combination of lots of factors, and they are adjusted over time to reflect the actual vote count. The purpose of those numbers is to predict the official winner.
If you want to compare exit polls against actual returns, you need actual exit poll data, and that's nowhere to be found on that page.
Those are not "exit polls", they are a combination of exit polls and actual results, updated over time:
Results are based on NBC News projections and unofficial returns, and are updated every five minutes.
So, this data tells you nothing about what the actually exit polls were predicting, because as more and more returns came in, the numbers were adjusted to match the actual vote counts reported.
This may be off topic and moderated as such, but why is it that Diebold can make ATM machines that don't seem to get hacked
What makes you think they can't? ATM machines frequently give out the wrong amount. They have bad user interfaces that have people scratching their heads. And there is likely significant fraud by employees maintaining those machines, just like there is a lot of fraud elsewhere in the banking system. Banks just pass those costs back to you, quietly so that you think you don't have to worry about your money.
It is a sign of our easy position in the world that we think that 'vote buying' is the worst possible outcome of non-anonymous voting.
No, it's merely a sign of our history and experience.
Well, I hope you want a vacation to Cuba...
Vacationing in Cuba is supposedly pretty nice, actually; millions go there every year. What's not so nice is going to the US prison camp in Cuba. Do you understand the difference?
Yeah, and the current method of allocating senate seats is favoring little states big time. That's one of the reasons our agricultural policies are so messed up and why the little states are getting money from the big states.
There's nothing to be "corrected" here, at least not until the allocation of senate seats is changed substantially.
I have a better idea than Z.... Let everyone on the plane carry a gun. DONE, no one will fuck with anyone if everyone has a gun. (say that 10 times fast)
Yeah, except for the redneck bozo that will put a bullet through my leg or my head because he forgot to lock his gun or got into a fight with his girlfriend.
There are many aggressive morons in this world, and I'd prefer it if they didn't come anywhere near me with a gun.
I don't understand what you're trying to argue. Adobe clearly has decided that it isn't worth the effort porting PhotoShop to Linux. And since Linux software development has gotten a lot easier than Solaris/IRIX development used to be, difficulty of creating a Linux version can't be the issue. So what are you getting at? What do you think is the reason they aren't doing it?
This seems like a step backwards. Four pins and shielding was a good number; more makes the cables big and requires more connections on the circuit board.
Well, you can make a diode or transistor out of pyrite. You may be able to build a cold cathode tube with just a bunch of wires and metal (no vacuum even). There's cheap high temperature glues that might be used to build and seal a vacuum tube without any glass blowing. I think there are lots of ways in which one can build traditional vacuum tubes cheaper, and lots of interesting new designs for tubes and solid state devices one might come up with.
How is this any different from complex fiscal issues, medical malpractise cases, or claims arising from alleged building construction errors? Courts and jurors are no experts in any of these fields, that's why they (or rather, the plaintiff and defense) bring in expert witnesses.
It's different in two ways.
First, courts have a lot of experience with finance, medicine, and construction. There are standards, certifications, experts, and precedents. Computer security is new, and there is no track record or standards.
Second, finance, medicine, and construction require skill and experience, but they are, in the end, fairly concrete subjects that people can relate to. Computer science and computer security is often more like advanced mathematics or high-energy physics.
That may be so, but courts have many decades of experience with medical malpractice; they lack such experience for computer-related cases. Furthermore, medical issues are far less abstract than computer and security-related issues, and are a lot more accessible to juries.
And what was the market share of IRIX and Solaris then versus the market share for Linux now? I bet Linux is a lot bigger now than both IRIS and Solaris were together then.
Look, you gave IRIX and Solaris as evidence that a Linux port of Photoshop made sense. But IRIX and Solaris versions of Photoshop flopped, so they are not evidence that a Linux port would make sense. Furthermore, Adobe would have to start a port from scratch, since none of the IRIX or Solaris-specific code is applicable to Linux. Finally, despite being a hugely popular platform, Linux users don't spend much on third party software.
I'd be a prime customer for Photoshop on Linux, but like most Linux users, I decided that the Gimp is more than good enough for what I need. And for anything the Gimp can't handle, there is tons of other software on Linux. Maybe that software is too complex or powerful for "professional" Photoshop users, but it gets the job done for me, and better than Photoshop.
AT&T can't filter out copyrighted content reliably; doing so would mean that they can uncompress and decrypt all major compression and encryption formats, which they clearly can't. And if they go after some formats, people will simply switch to different ones. With public key cryptography, people don't even need to pre-share keys.
In principle, this seems fair, but I worry that courts simply aren't up to distinguishing deliberate acts of sabotage from perfectly legitimate behavior. That is, I don't like courts having the power to impose stiff sentences for "computer crime" because I think courts and juries simply aren't up to determining reliably when a computer crime has been committed, and until they are, they shouldn't have that power.
He is basically just doing what professional vacuum tube makers were doing, with lots of equipment and skill. It's nice to keep that craft alive, but it's not particularly amazing to me that with lots of skill and lots of equipment, you can make a vacuum tube. I'd find it impressive if someone came up with a way of making a vacuum tube with hardly any equipment or skill, some combination of glass, wire, and glue that doesn't require glass blowing or shaping.
I dropped a for-pay service that tried to lock me in; it was great otherwise, but the lack of openness made it impossible to hook it up to other useful services. I think companies will find that that's increasingly the case.
Most of the data people want to move around has obvious formats, and where there aren't obvious formats, the first people to do something reasonable get to set the standard. What are some of the things Google and Facebook can do right now?
There are commonly used formats for contact info, addresses, appointments, todo lists, notes, and bookmarks. For images, Google could offer downloading of a zip of an album or all albums. For documents and document backup, Google could offer downloading of a zip of a folder or the entire collection. Mail can be backed up via IMAP pretty well, but a zipped mbox file might also be nice. For information in search results and other web pages, Google could use microformats.
So, talk if you like, but these companies can do a lot better than they are doing right now without waiting for some grand standard or consensus.
free medical care and education for illegal aliens
It's usually the children of illegal immigrants that are receiving free education, and that's because they are usually US citizens. "Free medical care" doesn't exist per se in the US; what exists is emergency treatment, and that is provided to illegals not to encourage illegal migration, but because we don't want Americans to die in the emergency room because we can't establish whether they are citizens.
now our politicians are talking about amnesty
Talking about? Large scale amnesty programs have been around for many decades.
Oh, stop arguing from your gut and use your head. There are two competing formats, hence both sides should lower their prices until they effectively make near zero profits. That's the free market at work. It's a good thing. We can only hope that this will happen for future DVD formats, instead of the price fixing that's taking place right now. And since Toshiba is losing, it's their turn to lower their prices.
As for losing jobs, that's a good thing, too. Say, BlueRay wins and all the HD-DVD engineers are let go. Rather than maintain a redundant and useless format that nobody wants, they will find jobs doing something productive instead.
Maybe Toshiba should consider opening up the format completely: no royalties at all for implementing any part of HD DVD, high quality open source implementations under Apache 2, etc.
Of course, it looks to me like disks are pretty much dead anyway; just like there won't be a successor format for the CD, there may not be a successor format to the DVD either.
I'm not bashing tex. I wish wholeheartedly that I'd had the time to use it. But I'm not alone in not having the sort of time it takes to get the best out of tex. If we all did, there would be no market for MS word, or Openoffice for that matter.
I find writing in LaTeX takes a lot less time than in MS Word.
Actually, isn't that the reason we have two parts of congress in the first place? One for small states, one for big states?
It's the original reasoning, but that doesn't mean it makes sense anymore.
Read the fine print at the bottom of the page: "Results are based on NBC News projections and unofficial returns". Those are a combination of lots of factors, and they are adjusted over time to reflect the actual vote count. The purpose of those numbers is to predict the official winner.
If you want to compare exit polls against actual returns, you need actual exit poll data, and that's nowhere to be found on that page.
So, this data tells you nothing about what the actually exit polls were predicting, because as more and more returns came in, the numbers were adjusted to match the actual vote counts reported.
This may be off topic and moderated as such, but why is it that Diebold can make ATM machines that don't seem to get hacked
What makes you think they can't? ATM machines frequently give out the wrong amount. They have bad user interfaces that have people scratching their heads. And there is likely significant fraud by employees maintaining those machines, just like there is a lot of fraud elsewhere in the banking system. Banks just pass those costs back to you, quietly so that you think you don't have to worry about your money.
It is a sign of our easy position in the world that we think that 'vote buying' is the worst possible outcome of non-anonymous voting.
No, it's merely a sign of our history and experience.
Well, I hope you want a vacation to Cuba...
Vacationing in Cuba is supposedly pretty nice, actually; millions go there every year. What's not so nice is going to the US prison camp in Cuba. Do you understand the difference?
The current method tends to favor big states
Yeah, and the current method of allocating senate seats is favoring little states big time. That's one of the reasons our agricultural policies are so messed up and why the little states are getting money from the big states.
There's nothing to be "corrected" here, at least not until the allocation of senate seats is changed substantially.
I have a better idea than Z.... Let everyone on the plane carry a gun. DONE, no one will fuck with anyone if everyone has a gun. (say that 10 times fast)
Yeah, except for the redneck bozo that will put a bullet through my leg or my head because he forgot to lock his gun or got into a fight with his girlfriend.
There are many aggressive morons in this world, and I'd prefer it if they didn't come anywhere near me with a gun.
I don't understand what you're trying to argue. Adobe clearly has decided that it isn't worth the effort porting PhotoShop to Linux. And since Linux software development has gotten a lot easier than Solaris/IRIX development used to be, difficulty of creating a Linux version can't be the issue. So what are you getting at? What do you think is the reason they aren't doing it?
This seems like a step backwards. Four pins and shielding was a good number; more makes the cables big and requires more connections on the circuit board.
Well, you can make a diode or transistor out of pyrite. You may be able to build a cold cathode tube with just a bunch of wires and metal (no vacuum even). There's cheap high temperature glues that might be used to build and seal a vacuum tube without any glass blowing. I think there are lots of ways in which one can build traditional vacuum tubes cheaper, and lots of interesting new designs for tubes and solid state devices one might come up with.
How is this any different from complex fiscal issues, medical malpractise cases, or claims arising from alleged building construction errors? Courts and jurors are no experts in any of these fields, that's why they (or rather, the plaintiff and defense) bring in expert witnesses.
It's different in two ways.
First, courts have a lot of experience with finance, medicine, and construction. There are standards, certifications, experts, and precedents. Computer security is new, and there is no track record or standards.
Second, finance, medicine, and construction require skill and experience, but they are, in the end, fairly concrete subjects that people can relate to. Computer science and computer security is often more like advanced mathematics or high-energy physics.
That may be so, but courts have many decades of experience with medical malpractice; they lack such experience for computer-related cases. Furthermore, medical issues are far less abstract than computer and security-related issues, and are a lot more accessible to juries.
And what was the market share of IRIX and Solaris then versus the market share for Linux now? I bet Linux is a lot bigger now than both IRIS and Solaris were together then.
Look, you gave IRIX and Solaris as evidence that a Linux port of Photoshop made sense. But IRIX and Solaris versions of Photoshop flopped, so they are not evidence that a Linux port would make sense. Furthermore, Adobe would have to start a port from scratch, since none of the IRIX or Solaris-specific code is applicable to Linux. Finally, despite being a hugely popular platform, Linux users don't spend much on third party software.
I'd be a prime customer for Photoshop on Linux, but like most Linux users, I decided that the Gimp is more than good enough for what I need. And for anything the Gimp can't handle, there is tons of other software on Linux. Maybe that software is too complex or powerful for "professional" Photoshop users, but it gets the job done for me, and better than Photoshop.
AT&T can't filter out copyrighted content reliably; doing so would mean that they can uncompress and decrypt all major compression and encryption formats, which they clearly can't. And if they go after some formats, people will simply switch to different ones. With public key cryptography, people don't even need to pre-share keys.
In principle, this seems fair, but I worry that courts simply aren't up to distinguishing deliberate acts of sabotage from perfectly legitimate behavior. That is, I don't like courts having the power to impose stiff sentences for "computer crime" because I think courts and juries simply aren't up to determining reliably when a computer crime has been committed, and until they are, they shouldn't have that power.
He is basically just doing what professional vacuum tube makers were doing, with lots of equipment and skill. It's nice to keep that craft alive, but it's not particularly amazing to me that with lots of skill and lots of equipment, you can make a vacuum tube. I'd find it impressive if someone came up with a way of making a vacuum tube with hardly any equipment or skill, some combination of glass, wire, and glue that doesn't require glass blowing or shaping.
I dropped a for-pay service that tried to lock me in; it was great otherwise, but the lack of openness made it impossible to hook it up to other useful services. I think companies will find that that's increasingly the case.
Most of the data people want to move around has obvious formats, and where there aren't obvious formats, the first people to do something reasonable get to set the standard. What are some of the things Google and Facebook can do right now?
There are commonly used formats for contact info, addresses, appointments, todo lists, notes, and bookmarks. For images, Google could offer downloading of a zip of an album or all albums. For documents and document backup, Google could offer downloading of a zip of a folder or the entire collection. Mail can be backed up via IMAP pretty well, but a zipped mbox file might also be nice. For information in search results and other web pages, Google could use microformats.
So, talk if you like, but these companies can do a lot better than they are doing right now without waiting for some grand standard or consensus.
They're really doing it: NSI just registered "llskjfsldjf.com", after I did a whois query.
I have never been that happy with their customer service, but this really is beyond even normal corporate greed and sleaziness.
That's like saying to a corpse, "Oh, I'm so sorry I killed you; I hope you won't feel too bad about it."
free medical care and education for illegal aliens
It's usually the children of illegal immigrants that are receiving free education, and that's because they are usually US citizens. "Free medical care" doesn't exist per se in the US; what exists is emergency treatment, and that is provided to illegals not to encourage illegal migration, but because we don't want Americans to die in the emergency room because we can't establish whether they are citizens.
now our politicians are talking about amnesty
Talking about? Large scale amnesty programs have been around for many decades.
This is "open" in the sense of "it is an open question how much value, if any, you get out of the subscription".
Oh, stop arguing from your gut and use your head. There are two competing formats, hence both sides should lower their prices until they effectively make near zero profits. That's the free market at work. It's a good thing. We can only hope that this will happen for future DVD formats, instead of the price fixing that's taking place right now. And since Toshiba is losing, it's their turn to lower their prices.
As for losing jobs, that's a good thing, too. Say, BlueRay wins and all the HD-DVD engineers are let go. Rather than maintain a redundant and useless format that nobody wants, they will find jobs doing something productive instead.
Maybe Toshiba should consider opening up the format completely: no royalties at all for implementing any part of HD DVD, high quality open source implementations under Apache 2, etc.
Of course, it looks to me like disks are pretty much dead anyway; just like there won't be a successor format for the CD, there may not be a successor format to the DVD either.
I'm not bashing tex. I wish wholeheartedly that I'd had the time to use it. But I'm not alone in not having the sort of time it takes to get the best out of tex. If we all did, there would be no market for MS word, or Openoffice for that matter.
I find writing in LaTeX takes a lot less time than in MS Word.