No, it's not the same at all. Arbitrage is where the trade occurs making money on the difference between the bid and ask prices in open markets, where the person doing the arbitrage does not have private information about the prices. it's potentially risky because of time delays and changing prices. Front running is where the front runner takes a existing order that they have private information about and, rather than filling the order properly, buy the order at one price and fill the order at a higher price.
think about it from the point of view of buying and selling oranges. If I notice that the price of oranges in Orlando is higher than the price of oranges in Miami, I can buy in one place and sell in another. Good for me, that's arbitrage, and (assuming the price evens out before I either have to deliver oranges or take delivery of oranges), I make money. If someone has hired me to buy oranges in Miami where they are X dollars and I buy them for X - y and then sell them for X + y, without telling the person who hired me, then its front running, and it's stealing.
That's silly. Why would the information about how solar panels work and are made disappear? if you posit that we have lost that information and it is not longer accessible, then we are down to the Morlock / Eloi level.
If that's the case, then the idea that we would start with wood and work our way up is not a bad one. We would evenually 'mine' the trashheaps we have.
The rules are the same for all — anybody is entitled to marrying one person of the opposite gender. Some people aren't able to use that right, but that's not a reason to redefine the meaning of marriage.
Not long ago, everybody had the same right to marry a person of the same race. Some people didn't want to make use of that right, and it caused a ruckus, and eventually we granted them some crazy new rights. Was Loving v. Virginia decided incorrectly? Was the system fair and equitable as it was before Loving, and were the agitators agitating over nothing?
Based on what I've seen out of some justices (Scalia, I'm looking at you), their arguments make me think that they think Loving was incorrectly decided. Because its not popular, they say that it was correctly decided, but everything else they say and do make me think otherwise. Every decision and dissent Scalia has written on sodomy and race makes me think that he'd go the other way on Loving.
I'm IT for a company that does this for 95% of dev/test/qa systems.
It's worked out pretty well. Most servers are spun up and then chef'ed, used, then deleted after tests/whetever are complete.
We do keep our code in house. SVN/GIT/ and Jenkins along with server build farms are all in house.
The cloud services are expensive, but since IT has automated the deployment process for the cloud hosts, it works out better than keeping enough hardware in house to meed all test/qa needs. Plus less hardware in house equals less admin time which is a plus for us.
we do something similar. We need a machine up 24/7 to do checkins, builds, automated tests. For that use case, it's better to have your own machine. When we need to spin up multiple machines to do integration testing of our networked app, then it makes sense to use EC2 since we get clean machines, it can get set up, run, and then torn down again.
By feeling truly present, you can share unbounded spaces and experiences with the people in your life. Imagine sharing not just moments with your friends online, but entire experiences and adventures."
We need some PR-friendly slang for this new kind of interaction. I propose that we call it "going outside". There could be entire phone apps devoted to "calling" your friends and arranging to "meet" them somewhere...
1. People are physically distant from each other. My in-laws would love to be able to VR into their grandchildren's world, visit on birthdays, etc. rather than Skype.
2. Have you even watched teenagers interact nowadays? Even when they are physically next to each other, they text each other. They take pictures of each other and send them to each other. It's just weird. Try watching 4 kids, each with a tablet, playing Clash of Clans. They will text each other!! When the person is right next to them!!! With Rifts, they would, literally, sit next to each other and do stuff, either in a shared virtual space, or different spaces, and take pictures and send them to each other.
...I really can't see how there is anywhere near that kind of value to this. It has no market share, no product, it is just a concept in development.
I disagree. They have momentum. They have shipped a cool dev kit to lots of developers. They have a second (improved) dev kit on the way. They have Carmack (hence lots of game devs). They have mind share.
These things are important in the product world and drive who 'wins'. Someone else might have a better technical solution, but they don't win unless they can monitise it, and that requires the sorts of things above. I think that $2B is a lot for Oculus, but it's not completely out to lunch (unlike the WhatsApp deal).
No, your license plate will be tracked when a scanning vehicle comes by or you use a lot that scans. The piece of information that the scanning company does not have is any information about the owner of the license plate.
No, you will be tracked everywhere you go. While it is true that you are not currently tracked, you will be. The cost of the current scanners is high, but then cell phone camera costs used to be high as well. The costs of the scanners is going down, and as image recognition gets better, then every camera will become a scanner. Our local mall has cameras already in the mall and in the parking lot. Combine that with recognition software, and you will be tracked all the time. And you can't say 'well, don't use that lot / mall / store', because they _all_ have cameras.
It requires a legal solution, not a technical or individual person life choice solution.
... if there was ANY possible real benefit to a giant solar plant, the USA would be there first. When the usual suspects have no interest in this form of engineering, you can take it for granted that it is junk science.
The US is behind the world in a number of areas, high-speed internet being the first that comes to mind. That said, the US has multiple large solar power plants, including, but not limited to, Avenal, Nellis Air Force Base, Nevada Solar One, Ivanpah, Solana, and multiple SEGS. There are multiple ones under construction, and many more planned. Most are thermal, not PV, and they are not as large as the proposed one, but solar plants make a great deal of sense in the right location (say, Arizona or Nevada or CA desert). It's also hard to get approval for exceptionally large projects in the US, it turns out to be easier (environmentally, financially, etc.) to make large projects. You can see a list of concentrating thermal plants here.
so, your argument that the US would be doing it if it was of any possible real benefit doesn't work.
It's all about making it commercially viable, cheaper, and easier. People have been doing 3D scans for a while now, but the infrastructure, technology, compute power, etc. have finally reached the tipping point making it available for the average hobbyist.
Autodesk 123D Catch works pretty well, for some objects, and it is currently free. I have had it fail miserably in some cases, work very well in others. The important thing for me is that I can then read it into Blender, do the cleanup, and I have a 3D model of something much, much more quickly than if I did it from scratch.
Also, the technology will continue to get better. Consider the following SIGGRAPH video: 3-Sweep
If you combine this technology with 123D and data from several photos, then you are 99% of the way there. The original article of course is largely about trying to make the technology work for the non-specialist, and 3-Sweep is not there yet, but give it a couple of years.
Re:I hate to point out the obvious but...
on
If I Had a Hammer
·
· Score: 1
The process into a resource based society will be gradually.
Aye, there's the rub. How gradual? How will the transition be handled? If it's too sudden, there will be mayhem. If it happens over 100 years, then the societal expectations about what someone is supposed to do with their lives will change sufficiently slowly that I think it will be fine.
If it happens over 10 years because of the singularity, then I think that the upheaval will be too great. Too many people thinking that they are supposed to be 'doing' something with their lives, climbing the ladder of success or something.
Re:I hate to point out the obvious but...
on
If I Had a Hammer
·
· Score: 1
You must forget what it was like to be a kid on summer break. The whole world is your oyster!
If I didn't have to work, this time of year I'd be skiing and sledding, exploring my world. I'd build furniture for every room in my house. And then rebuild my house. And expand my gardens. Grow some more veggies. Replace my lawn with clover. Maybe I'd play some video games. Probably loooooads of tabletop RPGs...
Maybe my neighbors just want to sit around and watch Idol all day and get fat (is that so different than now?).
To a degree, I agree. I think that there are lots of things for me to do to keep me occupied, if I did not have to work. As I get older, I discover I really like going on vacation and visiting other parts of the world. But, if it was that way all the time, it's not clear that I would enjoy it. What would it mean to visit other parts of the world? Nobody would be doing anything there. In addition, lots of people become depressed when they retire; it's not clear whether it's because they have stopped doing somehting that they had to do for decades, or a societal expectation that has become part of them, or if it is something more basic and that people fundamentally need to 'work' (at something) to be happy.
Why should I care? If they're happy, I'm happy.
That supposes that both they and you are happy. That's not a given.
d. Curb population to decrease the Labor pool - Genocide is looked down on, generally.
This is not necessarily genocide. Given control of their own reproduction, it turns out humans often don't breed sufficiently to maintain population (Europe, parts of Asia, Russia [well, other reasons too], etc). The aging population causes problems, but if you have robot AI, then the problems are largely solved.
In my mind, it's largely timing. Can the development of AI happen in concert with aging across the planet, such that we get workers to take care of the elderly as the number of young decreases, while at the same time we are able to encourage demographic transition in other areas? So, it turns out that the decrease in the number of workers happens as the number of robots goes up, and there is a match so that things are stable?
Nope, I use the Catalan sequence, Bell numbers, Fibonacci numbers, and various Mersenne primes. When I have to use letters, I use the letters below the numbers.
That would probably keep them busy for a few moments.
But what I really would like are red flagged numbers that from their perspective seem to work but delivers a strike from the law enforcement.
Brilliant idea! Get some currency with numbers that the FBI / CIA are really interested in, and send them to the scammers. The FBI / CIA does your work for you!
I agree: Go with whitelisting. You can whitelist entire blocks of numbers (local businesses, for example), and it's unlikely that the autodialers of the scammers would fall into them.
Why was USA on Saddam's side, until it all changed?
Because he was a useful bat with which to beat the Iranians. And he would have continued to be a useful bat except he invaded Kuwait. Until that time, it was a case of "Yes, but he's our bastard" -- Roosevelt.
The language there is interesting China is acting "aggressively" in a sea on its own border, according to (I presume) a citizen of a nation on the other side of the planet that wants to ensure its rights there. I wonder what comparable control the US imposes over, say, the Gulf of Mexico. I'm not saying this is objectively right, but complaints from nations who do (or have done) far worse are entirely hypocritical.
Bull. The islands are at: 25.744395,123.469133 Look them up. The closest islands are Japanese (Ishigakis) and Taiwan. Don't even get me started on Taiwan and the Chinese claims on them. The Chinese are claiming every islands in the ocean near them.
Check this out: They are mulling claims on Okinawa. . Why? Because they can, not because there are good historical reasons for it.
I've driven in the US and the standard of driving is absolutely shocking. Even ignoring the speeding (yes, everyone speeds over there) there is little to no lane discipline (keeping to the outside lane, people cant stay in their lane), I saw about 3 people indicate during my entire time, people will cut you off with little or no warning, people also slow down and stop with no warning (and I'm not talking about a gradual stop, they slam on the brakes), people push in, block intersections and completely disregard the lights (yellow means gun it, red means gun it more as you've missed the yellow). These are common things, not the odd occurrence like here in Oz.
Hey, Welcome to Boston!
Seriously, though, you speak as if driving in the US is a monolithic thing; it's not. When I lived in Boston, the motto was 'Don't use your turn signals, you'll be giving away your strategy'. Manhattan was even worse, since rather than dangerous, psychotic rules, there appeared to be no rules at all. On the other hand, in other places I've been (rural virginia, Utah, a couple of other places), drivers have been polite and safe. When I visited Australia, I was surprised at how the country felt the same culturally as I visited different places (Sydney, Darwin, Alice Springs, Cairns, Port Douglas) though the geography changed. In the US, people seem quite different in the different areas.
We have some good models for how to reduce population growth. The keys are reducing infant mortality, education, especially among women, and access to contraception; there are some other drivers as well but they are secondary. If you look at the projections for world population, they generally peak at about 2050, but it depends on the growth rate of the developing countries, which means that if you want to reduce growth, you work on the keys in those countries.
Just like dealing with climate change, dealing with population growth is not easy. It's expensive, certain groups oppose approaches, etc, but in both cases, I don't see evidence that dealing with it is impossible. They require significant societal changes and allocations of resources, and these take time. But, I'm not ready to give up yet.
I think that there is an age / generational thing going on here. Lots of people complaining about regulations (this one in particular) because, 'hey thing are fine', so we don't need the regulations.
I don't think that they realize that things are fine now because of the regulations.
Slashdot Mirror
think about it from the point of view of buying and selling oranges. If I notice that the price of oranges in Orlando is higher than the price of oranges in Miami, I can buy in one place and sell in another. Good for me, that's arbitrage, and (assuming the price evens out before I either have to deliver oranges or take delivery of oranges), I make money. If someone has hired me to buy oranges in Miami where they are X dollars and I buy them for X - y and then sell them for X + y, without telling the person who hired me, then its front running, and it's stealing.
That's silly. Why would the information about how solar panels work and are made disappear? if you posit that we have lost that information and it is not longer accessible, then we are down to the Morlock / Eloi level.
If that's the case, then the idea that we would start with wood and work our way up is not a bad one. We would evenually 'mine' the trashheaps we have.
Not long ago, everybody had the same right to marry a person of the same race. Some people didn't want to make use of that right, and it caused a ruckus, and eventually we granted them some crazy new rights. Was Loving v. Virginia decided incorrectly? Was the system fair and equitable as it was before Loving, and were the agitators agitating over nothing?
Based on what I've seen out of some justices (Scalia, I'm looking at you), their arguments make me think that they think Loving was incorrectly decided. Because its not popular, they say that it was correctly decided, but everything else they say and do make me think otherwise. Every decision and dissent Scalia has written on sodomy and race makes me think that he'd go the other way on Loving.
I'm IT for a company that does this for 95% of dev/test/qa systems. It's worked out pretty well. Most servers are spun up and then chef'ed, used, then deleted after tests/whetever are complete. We do keep our code in house. SVN/GIT/ and Jenkins along with server build farms are all in house. The cloud services are expensive, but since IT has automated the deployment process for the cloud hosts, it works out better than keeping enough hardware in house to meed all test/qa needs. Plus less hardware in house equals less admin time which is a plus for us.
we do something similar. We need a machine up 24/7 to do checkins, builds, automated tests. For that use case, it's better to have your own machine. When we need to spin up multiple machines to do integration testing of our networked app, then it makes sense to use EC2 since we get clean machines, it can get set up, run, and then torn down again.
By feeling truly present, you can share unbounded spaces and experiences with the people in your life. Imagine sharing not just moments with your friends online, but entire experiences and adventures."
We need some PR-friendly slang for this new kind of interaction. I propose that we call it "going outside". There could be entire phone apps devoted to "calling" your friends and arranging to "meet" them somewhere...
1. People are physically distant from each other. My in-laws would love to be able to VR into their grandchildren's world, visit on birthdays, etc. rather than Skype.
2. Have you even watched teenagers interact nowadays? Even when they are physically next to each other, they text each other. They take pictures of each other and send them to each other. It's just weird. Try watching 4 kids, each with a tablet, playing Clash of Clans. They will text each other!! When the person is right next to them!!! With Rifts, they would, literally, sit next to each other and do stuff, either in a shared virtual space, or different spaces, and take pictures and send them to each other.
...I really can't see how there is anywhere near that kind of value to this. It has no market share, no product, it is just a concept in development.
I disagree. They have momentum. They have shipped a cool dev kit to lots of developers. They have a second (improved) dev kit on the way. They have Carmack (hence lots of game devs). They have mind share.
These things are important in the product world and drive who 'wins'. Someone else might have a better technical solution, but they don't win unless they can monitise it, and that requires the sorts of things above. I think that $2B is a lot for Oculus, but it's not completely out to lunch (unlike the WhatsApp deal).
I will be tracked everywhere I go
No, your license plate will be tracked when a scanning vehicle comes by or you use a lot that scans. The piece of information that the scanning company does not have is any information about the owner of the license plate.
No, you will be tracked everywhere you go. While it is true that you are not currently tracked, you will be. The cost of the current scanners is high, but then cell phone camera costs used to be high as well. The costs of the scanners is going down, and as image recognition gets better, then every camera will become a scanner. Our local mall has cameras already in the mall and in the parking lot. Combine that with recognition software, and you will be tracked all the time. And you can't say 'well, don't use that lot / mall / store', because they _all_ have cameras.
It requires a legal solution, not a technical or individual person life choice solution.
Static plates could be replaced by electronic displays that automatically go blank when the car is parked.
Or, you could just invest in a car cover and put it on your car and over the license plate when you park.
Business idea! automatic plate covers when the the car is parked. is that legal? if not, then is covering the entire car legal?
Traceability and a legal entity (i.e. government) that is going to investigate. those exist in many instances, like banks, but not for bitcoin.
... if there was ANY possible real benefit to a giant solar plant, the USA would be there first. When the usual suspects have no interest in this form of engineering, you can take it for granted that it is junk science.
The US is behind the world in a number of areas, high-speed internet being the first that comes to mind. That said, the US has multiple large solar power plants, including, but not limited to, Avenal, Nellis Air Force Base, Nevada Solar One, Ivanpah, Solana, and multiple SEGS. There are multiple ones under construction, and many more planned. Most are thermal, not PV, and they are not as large as the proposed one, but solar plants make a great deal of sense in the right location (say, Arizona or Nevada or CA desert). It's also hard to get approval for exceptionally large projects in the US, it turns out to be easier (environmentally, financially, etc.) to make large projects. You can see a list of concentrating thermal plants here.
so, your argument that the US would be doing it if it was of any possible real benefit doesn't work.
It's all about making it commercially viable, cheaper, and easier. People have been doing 3D scans for a while now, but the infrastructure, technology, compute power, etc. have finally reached the tipping point making it available for the average hobbyist.
Also, the technology will continue to get better. Consider the following SIGGRAPH video: 3-Sweep If you combine this technology with 123D and data from several photos, then you are 99% of the way there. The original article of course is largely about trying to make the technology work for the non-specialist, and 3-Sweep is not there yet, but give it a couple of years.
The process into a resource based society will be gradually.
Aye, there's the rub. How gradual? How will the transition be handled? If it's too sudden, there will be mayhem. If it happens over 100 years, then the societal expectations about what someone is supposed to do with their lives will change sufficiently slowly that I think it will be fine.
If it happens over 10 years because of the singularity, then I think that the upheaval will be too great. Too many people thinking that they are supposed to be 'doing' something with their lives, climbing the ladder of success or something.
You must forget what it was like to be a kid on summer break. The whole world is your oyster!
If I didn't have to work, this time of year I'd be skiing and sledding, exploring my world. I'd build furniture for every room in my house. And then rebuild my house. And expand my gardens. Grow some more veggies. Replace my lawn with clover. Maybe I'd play some video games. Probably loooooads of tabletop RPGs...
Maybe my neighbors just want to sit around and watch Idol all day and get fat (is that so different than now?).
To a degree, I agree. I think that there are lots of things for me to do to keep me occupied, if I did not have to work. As I get older, I discover I really like going on vacation and visiting other parts of the world. But, if it was that way all the time, it's not clear that I would enjoy it. What would it mean to visit other parts of the world? Nobody would be doing anything there. In addition, lots of people become depressed when they retire; it's not clear whether it's because they have stopped doing somehting that they had to do for decades, or a societal expectation that has become part of them, or if it is something more basic and that people fundamentally need to 'work' (at something) to be happy.
Why should I care? If they're happy, I'm happy.
That supposes that both they and you are happy. That's not a given.
d. Curb population to decrease the Labor pool - Genocide is looked down on, generally.
This is not necessarily genocide. Given control of their own reproduction, it turns out humans often don't breed sufficiently to maintain population (Europe, parts of Asia, Russia [well, other reasons too], etc). The aging population causes problems, but if you have robot AI, then the problems are largely solved.
In my mind, it's largely timing. Can the development of AI happen in concert with aging across the planet, such that we get workers to take care of the elderly as the number of young decreases, while at the same time we are able to encourage demographic transition in other areas? So, it turns out that the decrease in the number of workers happens as the number of robots goes up, and there is a match so that things are stable?
Amusing that it is posted on the Guardian.
Nope, I use the Catalan sequence, Bell numbers, Fibonacci numbers, and various Mersenne primes. When I have to use letters, I use the letters below the numbers.
That would probably keep them busy for a few moments.
But what I really would like are red flagged numbers that from their perspective seem to work but delivers a strike from the law enforcement.
Brilliant idea! Get some currency with numbers that the FBI / CIA are really interested in, and send them to the scammers. The FBI / CIA does your work for you!
I agree: Go with whitelisting. You can whitelist entire blocks of numbers (local businesses, for example), and it's unlikely that the autodialers of the scammers would fall into them.
Why was USA on Saddam's side, until it all changed?
Because he was a useful bat with which to beat the Iranians. And he would have continued to be a useful bat except he invaded Kuwait. Until that time, it was a case of "Yes, but he's our bastard" -- Roosevelt.
The language there is interesting China is acting "aggressively" in a sea on its own border, according to (I presume) a citizen of a nation on the other side of the planet that wants to ensure its rights there. I wonder what comparable control the US imposes over, say, the Gulf of Mexico. I'm not saying this is objectively right, but complaints from nations who do (or have done) far worse are entirely hypocritical.
Bull. The islands are at: 25.744395,123.469133 Look them up. The closest islands are Japanese (Ishigakis) and Taiwan. Don't even get me started on Taiwan and the Chinese claims on them. The Chinese are claiming every islands in the ocean near them.
Check this out: They are mulling claims on Okinawa. . Why? Because they can, not because there are good historical reasons for it.
I've driven in the US and the standard of driving is absolutely shocking. Even ignoring the speeding (yes, everyone speeds over there) there is little to no lane discipline (keeping to the outside lane, people cant stay in their lane), I saw about 3 people indicate during my entire time, people will cut you off with little or no warning, people also slow down and stop with no warning (and I'm not talking about a gradual stop, they slam on the brakes), people push in, block intersections and completely disregard the lights (yellow means gun it, red means gun it more as you've missed the yellow). These are common things, not the odd occurrence like here in Oz.
Hey, Welcome to Boston!
Seriously, though, you speak as if driving in the US is a monolithic thing; it's not. When I lived in Boston, the motto was 'Don't use your turn signals, you'll be giving away your strategy'. Manhattan was even worse, since rather than dangerous, psychotic rules, there appeared to be no rules at all. On the other hand, in other places I've been (rural virginia, Utah, a couple of other places), drivers have been polite and safe. When I visited Australia, I was surprised at how the country felt the same culturally as I visited different places (Sydney, Darwin, Alice Springs, Cairns, Port Douglas) though the geography changed. In the US, people seem quite different in the different areas.
Like the color of his skin....
And how are you going to do that?
We have some good models for how to reduce population growth. The keys are reducing infant mortality, education, especially among women, and access to contraception; there are some other drivers as well but they are secondary. If you look at the projections for world population, they generally peak at about 2050, but it depends on the growth rate of the developing countries, which means that if you want to reduce growth, you work on the keys in those countries.
Just like dealing with climate change, dealing with population growth is not easy. It's expensive, certain groups oppose approaches, etc, but in both cases, I don't see evidence that dealing with it is impossible. They require significant societal changes and allocations of resources, and these take time. But, I'm not ready to give up yet.
I don't think that they realize that things are fine now because of the regulations.