I work for a firm that analyzes student data and gives recommendations to schools as to which students ought to go in which math classes. The ordinary way this is decided is to give the math teachers full discretion as to who is ready for what. Unfortunately, this is an extremely poor predictive model, and tends to reward students who have absolutely no intention of going into a career which requires math, but are extremely hardworking and do their absolute best on homework and tests, while punishing both lazy computer geeks and most minorities.
This has been going on for about two generations, and has led to the complete subjugation of America's position as the most innovative nation, primarily in the past decade or so. Most or all of the chairs in an advanced math class are filled with people who go on to be doctors, lawyers, marketing consultants, or what have you, NOT engineers, physicists, or mathematicians. This has had tremendous consequences on our economy. The Department of Defence, for instance, has been outsourcing nearly all of their software and cryptography needs to Indian firms, not because they're cheaper (they would pay extra for the ability to 'buy American'), but because there were literally zero qualified American applicants. Even the government outsources, and the private sector has even less incentive to buy American, so... Well, you can imagine.
So, how do we fix this problem? Well, there are two primary goals. 1) Find better algorithms for determining math placement. We've made much progress on this front, with value-added predictive models approaching 99% accuracy with high precision. As an example, SAS's EVAAS software, when the political environment has allowed it to be tested, gives math placement recommendations with the result of nearly doubling the median scores on standardized tests at the end of the year; the students really do belong there, and the teachers did not correctly perceive those students' potential. The teacher unions will continue to lose power and this analytical coup de tat will fill the gap, or we will continue to train the wrong people to compete in the global economy.
The second goal, 2) Find better algorithms for determining content mastery. Once again, the teachers have too much influence. Homework grades, participation grades, minor or major bias in grading, and sometimes even incompetency on the part of the teacher, all conspire to add a randomizing effect to any assessment of students' abilities based on grades and GPAs. We require some sort of standardized curriculum and standardized assessment system, so that we can get enough data to figure out what we should be changing about the way we educate children.
There are a couple added benefits. From the perspective of laize fair capitalism, having the institution which teaches content mastery and the institution which assesses content mastery be the same institution is utterly ludicrous, and will lead to ridiculous market pressures favoring cheating (look what happened in Atlanta, where the a small cabal was able to alter all of the test scores for the whole city). While the politicians aren't exactly the best custodians of the assessment half of education (since they get rotated out so quickly, they are focused heavily on short-term goals), they will perform the job significantly better than the very same teachers who teach the content to be assessed, for the simple fact that there's much less pressure towards dishonest behavior.
Common Core is the first attempt at standardizing the assessment criteria so that the system provides meaningful data instead of pure, opaque noise. I'll be the first to admit it is not a very good system, and in many ways in these early days does more harm than good.
But do not doubt for a second that something *like* Common Core is necessary for the future survival of our Nation.
Here's the problem. Every piece of energy we've ever had has come, originally, from Solar. We need to max out our solar power efficiency, and we need to do it soon. Fossil fuels are basically batteries, and we are currently abusing the fact that we are billions of years into Earth's having had life. There are a lot of random things in the ground that happened to have absorbed lots of solar energy and happened to be easy to burn. This makes the cost of energy seem much lower than it actually is, and so solar power would appear to be "cost inefficient".
Of course it is cost inefficient, when you compare it to these ridiculous batteries that have been storing power for billions of years in a highly compressed and easy to extract form! And it's lucky that during our industrialization phase, we had batteries like coal and oil. It's a very good thing, or else we never would have gotten to the stage of making good solar power.
He wasn't suggesting a relationship between the Tea Party and terrorism. He said nothing of the sort. He was giving a description of the senator, i.e. a typical neoconservative. Pro gun, anti abortion, anti immigration. Specifically, he said "too fond of earmarks to be a hit with team Tea Party", implying only that the Tea Party doesn't like earmarks.
I don't care what your doctor says. I certainly don't care what YOU say.
Do you really think your story carries any weight at all compared to, say, a study conducted over ten thousand people?
If you compare a population of people who all got a flu shot, compared with a population of people who all didn't get a flu shot... The first population still gets the flu! Just not as much! You seem to think that since YOU got a flu shot and then YOU got the flu, that this disproves the efficacy of flu shots. But what you don't seem to understand, is, the second population GETS the flu more often, and more important, DIES more often.
Homeopathic substances have been proven, time and time again, to do no better than placebos. In fact, they *are* placebos, just labeled as if they are medicine. Homeopathy is where you take a medicine, like the bark of willow (aspirin), and then dillute it in water, such that the aspirin is in a 1:10 ratio with the water. Then you do it again, 1:100. Then again, 1:1000. And again and again until you end up with a '10x' (1:10,000,000,000) dillution, or perhaps even greater. At this point, it's unlikely that a single molecule of aspirin remains in the solution.
And keep in mind, since what you now have is essentially a bottle of clean water... that clean water has been through the sewage system, where the same thing happened to it. They dilluted the dirty water with clean water, and then separated out the dirt, and then did it again, over and over until the water was clean.
So, my question to you is, how come your homeopathic medicine remembers the aspirin it had, but not the collective feces of everything that ever shit in water?
There certainly isn't MSG in vaccines; you may be thinking about chinese food.
I don't know what's wrong with the brains of the anti-vaccine crowd, but science has shown again and again that they are incorrect as a simple matter of fact.
To be honest, I'm not sure. I did get very nervous when they opened with the dog question, but I was nervous because I simply couldn't believe that they knew the name of my dog from 20 years ago, not because I didn't know the answer. I didn't inquire as to why or how they had that information, because I needed things to go as smoothly as possible, but it scared the hell out of me.
I have another anecdote opposite yours. I was once in Florida in my wallet got stolen including my plane ticket and my ID. I didn't notice until I got to the airport. Homeland security pulled me aside and said they could help, if I could just answer a few questions to prove my identity. they asked me the name of the dog that I had when I was 8 years old, the name of my third grade teacher, and the name of the church where I was married. , but they gave me my plane ticket and said I was good to go.
The Penn and Teller: Bullshit! episode on the death penalty showed quite a lot of evidence that the concoction of chemicals used to euthanize pets is significantly less painful than the one used to execute death row inmates. I don't know if it's still true, or if P&T made it up for TV, but I remember being quite impressed with the evidence they had.
Well,to be honest, what more would you ask for? Specifically, what would you like someone to write? I can't think of anything I might use my Wii for except those four things.
I'm sure it's on bushing's to-do list. (Using the new colloquial definition of root) He got the Wii rooted in like six months. Nowadays you can easily get a "Homebrew Channel" on your homescreen, which acts like an App Store for awesome stuff like emulators, gameshark-esque hacking devices, media players, even a virtualmachine host.
uh... i think civil liberties lost per dead American was still higher with 9/11, since the civil war saw more dead Americans than any other conflict ever. Also the whole "full-scale war on American soil" was a pretty big deal and actually threatened the country,
Nate Silver made more than a hundred predictions at around 80% confidence. 100% of those predictions came true. Therefore he is undercalibrated.
Unless you are saying he made one prediction, that the polls were not biased in favor of democracts, and gave this prediction 80% confidence... in which case, yes, that's a fair point.
He predicted every state-level election, correct? Maybe 80 representatives, 33 senators or whatever?
He should have predicted at least one of them incorrectly. There is just no way he isn't undercalibrated. His predictions were *massively* correct, closer to 99% than 95% (100:1 vs 20:1).
This actually shows that Silver is poorly calibrated. if he were accurately calibrated, 80% of his 80%-confidence predictions would come true, 50% of his 50%-confidence predictions would come true, etc. But 100% of his >50%-confidence predictions came true. In the future, he should be more sure of his predictions.
No, go ahead and mod me down. Every time i post, I look at my user ID and think "GOD FUCKING DAMNIT IF I HAD WAITED LIKE TEN MINUTES I WOULD HAVE HAD A PALINDROME AUAUUUUUUGGGHHH"
i deserve all the downmods i get, accidental or otherwise.
There is a torrent on thepiratebay of every single geocities site. It's an archive, but i've downloaded it. What was your site? I'll rar it up for you.
It has a really, really good Free2Play model. Perks are bought with Turbine Points, which you can buy with real money. Perks like expansion packs, bag slots, premium classes, the riding skill, and quest packs. But you also earn TP in-game by accomplishing Deeds. An example of a deed might be, Kill 30 goblins. You'll find that during the course of playing the game normally, you'll automatically accomplish many deeds. by the time you run out of content, you'll just about have enough TP to purchase more content (by design), with enough left over for maybe a bag slot and a better mount.
The gameplay itself is incredible. beautiful DX11 graphics, excellent combat with exemplary endgame comparable to EQ1 pre-LoD. Pvp is lacking, but still about as fun as WoW BGs. And the lore is second to none. Even "kill 10 goblin"-style quests make you feel like you're actively participating in some greater story, and the sheer detail of everything is staggering.
If you're going to have a forkbomb in your sig, make it more obvious that the code is supposed to be ran.
The '$' at the left is not enough to put the reader's mind in the context of 'bash prompt', since the entire line is a bunch of non-alphanumeric symbols and the dollar sign doesn't stick out.
Noam Chomsky is an extremely accomplished cognitive scientist and linguist. His theories about the universal grammar of communication between intelligences have won him many awards and are extremely well-regarded in the field. He is probably a genius.
Unfortunately, he thinks that his special genius in the field of linguistics is actually just a "generalized special genius" and has written over 100 books on every controversial topic ever, espousing very anarcho-communistic views.
If you're doing work in linguistics or designing the syntax of a language or something, you would be right to revere him, so long as you ignored the rest of his stuff.
If you are still confused as to why he is such a big deal, he has been called by many of his supporters, "the 21st century's Carl Sagan", in that he pushes for science education for children and has given 'public science awareness' speeches similar in quality to the Pale Blue Dot lecture. On this surface level, he is a very good asset to the scientific community, but if you go any deeper he's a loony.
Slashdot Mirror
I work for a firm that analyzes student data and gives recommendations to schools as to which students ought to go in which math classes. The ordinary way this is decided is to give the math teachers full discretion as to who is ready for what. Unfortunately, this is an extremely poor predictive model, and tends to reward students who have absolutely no intention of going into a career which requires math, but are extremely hardworking and do their absolute best on homework and tests, while punishing both lazy computer geeks and most minorities.
This has been going on for about two generations, and has led to the complete subjugation of America's position as the most innovative nation, primarily in the past decade or so. Most or all of the chairs in an advanced math class are filled with people who go on to be doctors, lawyers, marketing consultants, or what have you, NOT engineers, physicists, or mathematicians. This has had tremendous consequences on our economy. The Department of Defence, for instance, has been outsourcing nearly all of their software and cryptography needs to Indian firms, not because they're cheaper (they would pay extra for the ability to 'buy American'), but because there were literally zero qualified American applicants. Even the government outsources, and the private sector has even less incentive to buy American, so... Well, you can imagine.
So, how do we fix this problem? Well, there are two primary goals. 1) Find better algorithms for determining math placement. We've made much progress on this front, with value-added predictive models approaching 99% accuracy with high precision. As an example, SAS's EVAAS software, when the political environment has allowed it to be tested, gives math placement recommendations with the result of nearly doubling the median scores on standardized tests at the end of the year; the students really do belong there, and the teachers did not correctly perceive those students' potential. The teacher unions will continue to lose power and this analytical coup de tat will fill the gap, or we will continue to train the wrong people to compete in the global economy.
The second goal, 2) Find better algorithms for determining content mastery. Once again, the teachers have too much influence. Homework grades, participation grades, minor or major bias in grading, and sometimes even incompetency on the part of the teacher, all conspire to add a randomizing effect to any assessment of students' abilities based on grades and GPAs. We require some sort of standardized curriculum and standardized assessment system, so that we can get enough data to figure out what we should be changing about the way we educate children.
There are a couple added benefits. From the perspective of laize fair capitalism, having the institution which teaches content mastery and the institution which assesses content mastery be the same institution is utterly ludicrous, and will lead to ridiculous market pressures favoring cheating (look what happened in Atlanta, where the a small cabal was able to alter all of the test scores for the whole city). While the politicians aren't exactly the best custodians of the assessment half of education (since they get rotated out so quickly, they are focused heavily on short-term goals), they will perform the job significantly better than the very same teachers who teach the content to be assessed, for the simple fact that there's much less pressure towards dishonest behavior.
Common Core is the first attempt at standardizing the assessment criteria so that the system provides meaningful data instead of pure, opaque noise. I'll be the first to admit it is not a very good system, and in many ways in these early days does more harm than good.
But do not doubt for a second that something *like* Common Core is necessary for the future survival of our Nation.
Here's the problem. Every piece of energy we've ever had has come, originally, from Solar. We need to max out our solar power efficiency, and we need to do it soon. Fossil fuels are basically batteries, and we are currently abusing the fact that we are billions of years into Earth's having had life. There are a lot of random things in the ground that happened to have absorbed lots of solar energy and happened to be easy to burn. This makes the cost of energy seem much lower than it actually is, and so solar power would appear to be "cost inefficient".
Of course it is cost inefficient, when you compare it to these ridiculous batteries that have been storing power for billions of years in a highly compressed and easy to extract form! And it's lucky that during our industrialization phase, we had batteries like coal and oil. It's a very good thing, or else we never would have gotten to the stage of making good solar power.
Dyson's Spheres 4Ever Yo
Since this isn't modded up funny, I'll assume your misspelling of "Murphy" wasn't intentional?
He wasn't suggesting a relationship between the Tea Party and terrorism. He said nothing of the sort. He was giving a description of the senator, i.e. a typical neoconservative. Pro gun, anti abortion, anti immigration. Specifically, he said "too fond of earmarks to be a hit with team Tea Party", implying only that the Tea Party doesn't like earmarks.
You're the one strawmanning here, bro.
I don't care what your doctor says. I certainly don't care what YOU say.
Do you really think your story carries any weight at all compared to, say, a study conducted over ten thousand people?
If you compare a population of people who all got a flu shot, compared with a population of people who all didn't get a flu shot... The first population still gets the flu! Just not as much! You seem to think that since YOU got a flu shot and then YOU got the flu, that this disproves the efficacy of flu shots. But what you don't seem to understand, is, the second population GETS the flu more often, and more important, DIES more often.
Homeopathic substances have been proven, time and time again, to do no better than placebos. In fact, they *are* placebos, just labeled as if they are medicine. Homeopathy is where you take a medicine, like the bark of willow (aspirin), and then dillute it in water, such that the aspirin is in a 1:10 ratio with the water. Then you do it again, 1:100. Then again, 1:1000. And again and again until you end up with a '10x' (1:10,000,000,000) dillution, or perhaps even greater. At this point, it's unlikely that a single molecule of aspirin remains in the solution.
And keep in mind, since what you now have is essentially a bottle of clean water... that clean water has been through the sewage system, where the same thing happened to it. They dilluted the dirty water with clean water, and then separated out the dirt, and then did it again, over and over until the water was clean.
So, my question to you is, how come your homeopathic medicine remembers the aspirin it had, but not the collective feces of everything that ever shit in water?
the amount of mercury in this year's flu shot is about the amount in 1/1000th of a tuna sandwich, 12.5 micrograms (source: http://www.fda.gov/BiologicsBloodVaccines/SafetyAvailability/VaccineSafety/UCM096228#thi) (25ug thimerosal, which is 50% ethylmercury, which has none of the dangerous properties of mercury).
There is no formaldehyde in vaccines.
There certainly isn't MSG in vaccines; you may be thinking about chinese food.
I don't know what's wrong with the brains of the anti-vaccine crowd, but science has shown again and again that they are incorrect as a simple matter of fact.
To be honest, I'm not sure. I did get very nervous when they opened with the dog question, but I was nervous because I simply couldn't believe that they knew the name of my dog from 20 years ago, not because I didn't know the answer. I didn't inquire as to why or how they had that information, because I needed things to go as smoothly as possible, but it scared the hell out of me.
I have another anecdote opposite yours. I was once in Florida in my wallet got stolen including my plane ticket and my ID. I didn't notice until I got to the airport. Homeland security pulled me aside and said they could help, if I could just answer a few questions to prove my identity. they asked me the name of the dog that I had when I was 8 years old, the name of my third grade teacher, and the name of the church where I was married. , but they gave me my plane ticket and said I was good to go.
The Penn and Teller: Bullshit! episode on the death penalty showed quite a lot of evidence that the concoction of chemicals used to euthanize pets is significantly less painful than the one used to execute death row inmates. I don't know if it's still true, or if P&T made it up for TV, but I remember being quite impressed with the evidence they had.
Well,to be honest, what more would you ask for? Specifically, what would you like someone to write? I can't think of anything I might use my Wii for except those four things.
I'm sure it's on bushing's to-do list. (Using the new colloquial definition of root) He got the Wii rooted in like six months. Nowadays you can easily get a "Homebrew Channel" on your homescreen, which acts like an App Store for awesome stuff like emulators, gameshark-esque hacking devices, media players, even a virtualmachine host.
uh... i think civil liberties lost per dead American was still higher with 9/11, since the civil war saw more dead Americans than any other conflict ever. Also the whole "full-scale war on American soil" was a pretty big deal and actually threatened the country,
Yes, it does work like that.
Nate Silver made more than a hundred predictions at around 80% confidence. 100% of those predictions came true. Therefore he is undercalibrated.
Unless you are saying he made one prediction, that the polls were not biased in favor of democracts, and gave this prediction 80% confidence... in which case, yes, that's a fair point.
He predicted every state-level election, correct? Maybe 80 representatives, 33 senators or whatever?
He should have predicted at least one of them incorrectly. There is just no way he isn't undercalibrated. His predictions were *massively* correct, closer to 99% than 95% (100:1 vs 20:1).
This actually shows that Silver is poorly calibrated. if he were accurately calibrated, 80% of his 80%-confidence predictions would come true, 50% of his 50%-confidence predictions would come true, etc. But 100% of his >50%-confidence predictions came true. In the future, he should be more sure of his predictions.
I'm only one off of a palindrome. I don't think it's possible to be any closer.
No, go ahead and mod me down. Every time i post, I look at my user ID and think "GOD FUCKING DAMNIT IF I HAD WAITED LIKE TEN MINUTES I WOULD HAVE HAD A PALINDROME AUAUUUUUUGGGHHH"
i deserve all the downmods i get, accidental or otherwise.
There is a torrent on thepiratebay of every single geocities site. It's an archive, but i've downloaded it. What was your site? I'll rar it up for you.
no MMOs worth playing? May i pitch LOTRO to you?
It has a really, really good Free2Play model. Perks are bought with Turbine Points, which you can buy with real money. Perks like expansion packs, bag slots, premium classes, the riding skill, and quest packs. But you also earn TP in-game by accomplishing Deeds. An example of a deed might be, Kill 30 goblins. You'll find that during the course of playing the game normally, you'll automatically accomplish many deeds. by the time you run out of content, you'll just about have enough TP to purchase more content (by design), with enough left over for maybe a bag slot and a better mount.
The gameplay itself is incredible. beautiful DX11 graphics, excellent combat with exemplary endgame comparable to EQ1 pre-LoD. Pvp is lacking, but still about as fun as WoW BGs. And the lore is second to none. Even "kill 10 goblin"-style quests make you feel like you're actively participating in some greater story, and the sheer detail of everything is staggering.
doesn't care about photos? i thought they cared a great deal about images made of their likeness.
If you're going to have a forkbomb in your sig, make it more obvious that the code is supposed to be ran.
The '$' at the left is not enough to put the reader's mind in the context of 'bash prompt', since the entire line is a bunch of non-alphanumeric symbols and the dollar sign doesn't stick out.
he already has. he litigated sex.com (whatever the fuck that means) got his client millions
3 day weeks? Technology?
Napoleon won, not Snowball, bro.
Noam Chomsky is an extremely accomplished cognitive scientist and linguist. His theories about the universal grammar of communication between intelligences have won him many awards and are extremely well-regarded in the field. He is probably a genius.
Unfortunately, he thinks that his special genius in the field of linguistics is actually just a "generalized special genius" and has written over 100 books on every controversial topic ever, espousing very anarcho-communistic views.
If you're doing work in linguistics or designing the syntax of a language or something, you would be right to revere him, so long as you ignored the rest of his stuff.
If you are still confused as to why he is such a big deal, he has been called by many of his supporters, "the 21st century's Carl Sagan", in that he pushes for science education for children and has given 'public science awareness' speeches similar in quality to the Pale Blue Dot lecture. On this surface level, he is a very good asset to the scientific community, but if you go any deeper he's a loony.
commenting to undo accidental down mod...
this is an incredible idea: Android vm for Netflix, instead of running windows in a vm. mod parent up.