We have good sales data on global and domestic PC sales.
1) The falloff in sales has been going on for years since before Windows 7 even. Replacement cycles are increasing. 2) There hasn't been much change in behavior / sales since Windows 8 came out. There has been some interesting stuff on the margins but that's it. How little it matters is shocking if anything 3) We did not see behavior like panic buying of Windows 7 machines, or even today existing Windows 7 machines selling for a premium which would be consistent with the New Coke / Classic Coke type behavior.
A company that is worth far more than its stock price can be taken private, increase its dividend, buy back its own shares quickly.... all those things will force you to make money as a holder.
As for the bear direction, you are right. There isn't a good way to do a buy and hold short. There are for bonds though. So if you are really bearish, short the bonds.
No. The stock market reflects what the price to balance out the people who own the company who think it is worth less, and the people who don't who think it is worth more. The people who own the company and aren't selling may think it is worth quite a bit more than the stock price.
And to boot a great deal of what he says is inaccurate or highly misleading. They combining statistics so that it isn't obvious that he has causes coming sequentially after effects.
No they aren't. Android has a pretty low share of the $550-750 phone market. If by compete you mean selling to customers that wouldn't buy an iPhone anyway they are doing fine.
First off they are probably running it on the wrong hardware. The best thing Microsoft could do is make capacitive touchscreen usable hinges mandatory. But besides that....
The best thing Microsoft could do as far as the Win8 debacle goes is to ensure that 8.1 lets you stick with the "traditional" desktop full time.
Why? How is that the best thing. The traditional desktop was available for years and sales dropped off. Your grandparents and people liked them moved from replacing their computers ever 2-3 years to 3-4 years to 5 years to now around 7 year cycles. And all that with them buying fewer PCs as they buy more smartphones and tablets. Why should Microsoft be interested in facilitating your grandparents in that conversion?
Every third party application I've used on my parents box drops you back into the desktop when it runs.
There are most certainly Metro applications and there will be far more. On a touchscreen laptop these are quite pleasant to use comparatively.
Kin failed more in 2008 than in 2010, when Microsoft allowed the cloud disaster to happen with Danger's servers and killed the Sidekick. That postponed the release until after Android was Verizon's main counter-strategy.
Microsoft's customers want Microsoft to make the same product and slowly fade into more and more irrelevancy being a smaller part of their lives. Why would Microsoft want to cooperate with that. Microsoft has always been about being a moderate price vendor. They "we get you 80% of what you really want for 20% of the cost". That's what they are doing right now in server and business applications. And that's what they hope to do in consumer and small business.
In consumer and small business they are losing ground because people are reducing the number of PCs they are buying mostly. There are some high end defections to Apple but that's been an ongoing slow bleed. The fast bleed is the defections to iPad and Android. Those defections are over things like battery life and form factor.
If people are leaving Microsoft for Apple it ain't over UEFI. Apple has been a much more consistent and strong champion of UEFI.
Also they aren't really "listening" with Windows 8.1 either. They are continuing the direction. The improvements are mainly on the Metro side of things.
Metro isn't an applications launcher it is the GUI for what amounts to a new OS. Desktop is the legacy OS which the new OS supports. Launchpad is just a just a launcher that people who like iPhone can quickly adjust to rather than the dock/finder/applications folder approach for legacy OSX users.
Yes culture. In contract law forms are determined by a cultural meaning.
As for no standing in law, all licenses have standing in law. As for the GPL not saving you, the issue of copyright fraud has been tried repeatedly. If you distribute believing yourself to be properly licensed you are only responsible for marginal fees at worst. The person who put a fraudulent GPL on code they aren't entitled to would be the one who has trouble, same as any other false license.
In the case of Tumblr the feeling that it was going to change was so strong that people suspected that Yahoo didn't understand what Tumblr was. In other words most people don't think in this case it was a lie but rather negligence or stupidity.
GIF as a standard pictorial format The ability of operating systems to display graphics / pictures Home users having ISP accounts and solving the last mile via. quality home modems HTTP winning over Gopher and thus the birth of the Web as the ubiquitous Internet service primarily because of GIFs Video played on computers Streaming video and all the associated technologies The rise of broadband as a mainstream technology
The big issue is that Haskell is lazy. Which means in particular the programmer by default doesn't determine order of execution. This makes Haskell a better counter example since order of execution is so key to so many languages.
Erlang's type system is rather typical dynamic while Haskell has a Hindley–Milner type system which again shows off the plusses of functional better.
Haskell has more of the most sophisticated ideas in computer science than any other language. It has become the standard for computer science in particular language and compiler research. So when an idea is "news" there is very likely an implementation of Haskell of that idea. Erlang's community is more practical and less cutting edge.
I get the impression that CUDA/OpenCL is still the best option. This thesis on Obsidian presents, a Haskell set of binding which might be easier and also covers the basics quite well. Haskell lends itself really well because the language inherently is designed for parallelism because of purity and out of order computation. That being said, I think Obsidian is a bit rough around the edges but if you are looking for a real alternative, this is one.
It is a legal document and as it has a culture around it it likely is an entire forum. Which means "the freaks" words and those who agree with them have force when it comes to interpretations.
As for distributors of course they obligations under copyright and one of those is to distribute only things they have license to under the terms of the license.
They have picked their path, ubiquitous computing. Microsoft on many of their products failed for year after year after year before they were successful. Word was way behind WordPerfect. Excel was in 3rd behind Lotus 1-2-3 and Quattro Pro. Windows was a dumb windowing system and everyone knew the future for desktops was OS/2. Etc...
They keep showing and they keep plugging away. They are pushing into hardware to push their OEMs to get on board "you do it, or we will" is the message and it had some impact.
As for IBM they couldn't replicate it legally. Intel, Microsoft and Western Digital worked very hard to make "IBM compatibles" more compatible so that software would work on a variety of hardware. It was years till MSDOS was the big product rather than PCDOS.
As for business penetration and IBM. IBM's name importance is true. All other things being equal IBM had an advantage. But if they had been unequal there were other companies that made business equipment. Apple3 for example had a business focus. NEC, Zenith, Fuji, HP, Osborne,... all had business machines in those early years. Terminal approach combined with small Unix workstation. Minis...
Slashdot Mirror
We have good sales data on global and domestic PC sales.
1) The falloff in sales has been going on for years since before Windows 7 even. Replacement cycles are increasing.
2) There hasn't been much change in behavior / sales since Windows 8 came out. There has been some interesting stuff on the margins but that's it. How little it matters is shocking if anything
3) We did not see behavior like panic buying of Windows 7 machines, or even today existing Windows 7 machines selling for a premium which would be consistent with the New Coke / Classic Coke type behavior.
A company that is worth far more than its stock price can be taken private, increase its dividend, buy back its own shares quickly.... all those things will force you to make money as a holder.
As for the bear direction, you are right. There isn't a good way to do a buy and hold short. There are for bonds though. So if you are really bearish, short the bonds.
No. The stock market reflects what the price to balance out the people who own the company who think it is worth less, and the people who don't who think it is worth more. The people who own the company and aren't selling may think it is worth quite a bit more than the stock price.
And to boot a great deal of what he says is inaccurate or highly misleading. They combining statistics so that it isn't obvious that he has causes coming sequentially after effects.
Where are you getting -14%.
Here is a good data set from Forbes using the Kantar global numbers.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AgTa_2v15KBndFB2TFd2MmhpQXR4UlFhVTM1NE1xalE#gid=0
I like the Kantar reports themselves because they break it out by country.
No they aren't. Android has a pretty low share of the $550-750 phone market. If by compete you mean selling to customers that wouldn't buy an iPhone anyway they are doing fine.
First off they are probably running it on the wrong hardware. The best thing Microsoft could do is make capacitive touchscreen usable hinges mandatory. But besides that....
Why? How is that the best thing. The traditional desktop was available for years and sales dropped off. Your grandparents and people liked them moved from replacing their computers ever 2-3 years to 3-4 years to 5 years to now around 7 year cycles. And all that with them buying fewer PCs as they buy more smartphones and tablets. Why should Microsoft be interested in facilitating your grandparents in that conversion?
There are most certainly Metro applications and there will be far more. On a touchscreen laptop these are quite pleasant to use comparatively.
Kin failed more in 2008 than in 2010, when Microsoft allowed the cloud disaster to happen with Danger's servers and killed the Sidekick. That postponed the release until after Android was Verizon's main counter-strategy.
Another alternative that I think is a bit less rough around the edges: http://www.alfredapp.com/
Microsoft's customers want Microsoft to make the same product and slowly fade into more and more irrelevancy being a smaller part of their lives. Why would Microsoft want to cooperate with that. Microsoft has always been about being a moderate price vendor. They "we get you 80% of what you really want for 20% of the cost". That's what they are doing right now in server and business applications. And that's what they hope to do in consumer and small business.
In consumer and small business they are losing ground because people are reducing the number of PCs they are buying mostly. There are some high end defections to Apple but that's been an ongoing slow bleed. The fast bleed is the defections to iPad and Android. Those defections are over things like battery life and form factor.
The innovation was the triple of:
a) capacitive touchscreen
b) animation based interface
c) web based applications
It was Apple that saw how to use those 3 together. Others had parts but the combination was Apple.
If people are leaving Microsoft for Apple it ain't over UEFI. Apple has been a much more consistent and strong champion of UEFI.
Also they aren't really "listening" with Windows 8.1 either. They are continuing the direction. The improvements are mainly on the Metro side of things.
Metro isn't an applications launcher it is the GUI for what amounts to a new OS. Desktop is the legacy OS which the new OS supports. Launchpad is just a just a launcher that people who like iPhone can quickly adjust to rather than the dock/finder/applications folder approach for legacy OSX users.
Yes culture. In contract law forms are determined by a cultural meaning.
As for no standing in law, all licenses have standing in law. As for the GPL not saving you, the issue of copyright fraud has been tried repeatedly. If you distribute believing yourself to be properly licensed you are only responsible for marginal fees at worst. The person who put a fraudulent GPL on code they aren't entitled to would be the one who has trouble, same as any other false license.
In the case of Tumblr the feeling that it was going to change was so strong that people suspected that Yahoo didn't understand what Tumblr was. In other words most people don't think in this case it was a lie but rather negligence or stupidity.
Yes but arguably porn did have a lot to do with:
GIF as a standard pictorial format
The ability of operating systems to display graphics / pictures
Home users having ISP accounts and solving the last mile via. quality home modems
HTTP winning over Gopher and thus the birth of the Web as the ubiquitous Internet service primarily because of GIFs
Video played on computers
Streaming video and all the associated technologies
The rise of broadband as a mainstream technology
etc...
The big issue is that Haskell is lazy. Which means in particular the programmer by default doesn't determine order of execution. This makes Haskell a better counter example since order of execution is so key to so many languages.
Erlang's type system is rather typical dynamic while Haskell has a Hindley–Milner type system which again shows off the plusses of functional better.
Haskell has more of the most sophisticated ideas in computer science than any other language. It has become the standard for computer science in particular language and compiler research. So when an idea is "news" there is very likely an implementation of Haskell of that idea. Erlang's community is more practical and less cutting edge.
Haskell is easier to program in.
I get the impression that CUDA/OpenCL is still the best option. This thesis on Obsidian presents, a Haskell set of binding which might be easier and also covers the basics quite well. Haskell lends itself really well because the language inherently is designed for parallelism because of purity and out of order computation. That being said, I think Obsidian is a bit rough around the edges but if you are looking for a real alternative, this is one.
Oh so no free streaming to PS3 as well? Interesting I wonder why Amazon is so restrictive.
It is a legal document and as it has a culture around it it likely is an entire forum. Which means "the freaks" words and those who agree with them have force when it comes to interpretations.
As for distributors of course they obligations under copyright and one of those is to distribute only things they have license to under the terms of the license.
Wow I hadn't bother to check. Your instincts were right it doesn't have that. http://www.anandtech.com/show/6695/microsoft-surface-pro-review/4
OK so scratch that reason to buy the RT.
Wacom digitizer and OneNote. I own the Surface Pro but that was one of the reasons I got it.
They have picked their path, ubiquitous computing. Microsoft on many of their products failed for year after year after year before they were successful. Word was way behind WordPerfect. Excel was in 3rd behind Lotus 1-2-3 and Quattro Pro. Windows was a dumb windowing system and everyone knew the future for desktops was OS/2. Etc...
They keep showing and they keep plugging away. They are pushing into hardware to push their OEMs to get on board "you do it, or we will" is the message and it had some impact.
DEC was selling the DEC Rainbow and DEC Robin.
As for IBM they couldn't replicate it legally. Intel, Microsoft and Western Digital worked very hard to make "IBM compatibles" more compatible so that software would work on a variety of hardware. It was years till MSDOS was the big product rather than PCDOS.
As for business penetration and IBM. IBM's name importance is true. All other things being equal IBM had an advantage. But if they had been unequal there were other companies that made business equipment. Apple3 for example had a business focus. NEC, Zenith, Fuji, HP, Osborne, ... all had business machines in those early years. Terminal approach combined with small Unix workstation. Minis...
Microsoft's fate was inevitable.