You don't implement a 10% tax you implement something like a 2% tax similar to what people pay on homes today.
A 10% has the obvious intent of destroying most of the financial wealth quickly, rapid redistribution. Since the government is taxing something like 40-60t at 10% they are now getting an extra 4-6t per year. You didn't spend that money in your hypothetical. What are they doing with it? Your model just assumes the money is just destroyed when it hits the treasury
Americans are happy to do STEM degrees when they lead to lots of high paying jobs with good job security. Bring back long term contracts for STEM employees at high wages and watch how quickly Americans churn out STEM degrees.
I don't think it would have to be hostile. Why would Intel's board object assuming they got a nice 30% premium?
They might have regulatory issues, but a quasi buyout where Apple had strong contracts with all sorts of rights in exchange for lots of upfront money...
I don't know that. They could very well buy Intel. They could also give Intel very favorable terms as a way of leapfrogging the capabilities of the Android phones for several years.
This is silly. Intel's entire sales: CPUs, motherboards, memory... were $53b last year. Apple has $140b sitting in the bank. They could buy 100% of Intel's capacity with cash on hand for almost 3 years. Apple's problems with Samsung I'm sure are an annoyance, they aren't a critical threat to the company.
And before someone mentions some sort of secret Intel conspiracy they could buy all of Intel for less than their cash on hand
That's why they've gone all out to make a tablet OS and they stupidly decided to help the PC decline by putting it on the desktop too. Its pretty obvious they don't care about the desktop anymore, but they just can't bring themselves to admit it yet.
I don't think that's true. I think they believe that tablets and phones will outsell desktops and laptops and desktops and laptops will outsell servers. But the margins are up market not down market. So the idea is to tie a collection of services all the way from business servers to phones with desktop / laptops being an intermediate point.
They are OK with a short term decline this year in laptop / desktop sales to help drive the industry towards ubiquitous computing.
Lenovo does sell Windows 7 machines, you get the win8 DVD along with it but they will happily 'downgrade' it for you by default. Looking at the sales figures, HP and Dell and others have all plummeted... guess which solitary manufacturer increased its sales share.
Sony has lots of Win 7 machines as well. I think I saw some others that have it. Arguably Lenovo was also one of the earliest and most enthusiastic Win 8 embraces with the Yoga. I think what's fair to say about they offered a diverse range of products.
Touchscreens are great for tablets (I have 2) and smart phones. But not for my desktop, where I do my serious work.
First off desktops are an even smaller and lower margin share of the market than laptops. The Windows 8 move is really about laptops, when people say desktop that's what they mean. In terms of how to use touch on a larger screen, most likely the interface is going to be trackpad or something like a 10" tablet giving you a miniature version of your screen that you work on for interface shifts. Sort of like how the Cintiq works today.
what if there was a laptop shell (keyboard and screen) that I could plug my phone into?
You still would have one big problem. The applications you are using require responsive touch and don't scale up effectively to larger screen sizes. Now imagine they were designed to work with different form factors so that even this problem went away, that the application UI shifted as you changed form factor of devices.
They are screaming at each other. Redmond wants the OEMs to move up market and focus on higher end capacitive touchscreens convertible hinges... The OEMs are terrified that they would get stuck with huge quantities of inventory they would have to move at a loss. Sales of these convertible units are way up and that's what Microsoft mostly cares about strategically.
Hi Bill.I've been using Google Docs heavily for 2 years for a recent project. Google Docs isn't fully Chrome compatible. I've had to sometimes switch off and on between FF and Chrome to get functionality to work.
I don't think most people realize how bad Google Docs is because they don't use it heavily. There were so many places where limitation of Google docs really hit me hard. I'm going to be trying Office 365 in the cloud during 2nd half of this year with simultaneous editing and I'll see how that works to do a real, almost side by side comparison.
They are moving 200k employees over to Gmail? Wow. I gotta figure on a system that size email has multiple tiers and some very complex backend systems that they are about to discover don't work.
Does it still ask you where and how big to make a "swap file" when you install, and expect you to know about partitions?
I'm a long time OSX user. But the Linux partitioning tool is amazing. Lets me do everything you want to do. Start a partition anywhere, end a partition anywhere, assign it any hex identification code I want... and most importantly have a MBR on something other than partition 1. All with a user friendly interface explaining the options. Heck I boot a CDROM Linux whenever I have partitioning problems on other OSes on x86. And that happens a lot. Just happened with a multiboot 32g USB3 drive I was setting up for OSX users. You can mock Linux for being hard, but the Linux fdisk is an outstanding piece of software. And before you start with grandma or whatever. Who cares whether she knows about partitions and why those options are features or not?
As for a dedicated swap filesystem, what do you think is happening inside the huge swap file on your windows machine. It is trying to emulate a swap filesystem. It is just doing it slowly. You should want a dedicated swap partition.
I often wonder what will happen first: Microsoft/Apple realising the error of their ways and making a useful UI, or users collectively sighing and sucking up the crap they are given.
Computer literacy has been going down rapidly for people who went to high school in the 2000+. A large number of consumers understand their smartphone interface and don't understand their computer interface. You may not like that fact, but it is the fact.
This is nonsense. PC sales fell 2009, 2010, 2011. People were rapidly decreasing their rate of replacement. People earlier in the decade had refused to go with a software subscription model. What ace? The grim satisfaction of knowing that people who didn't pay you much to begin with were using your software for many years? If people loved the old interface we should have seen a surge of Windows 7 sales once Windows 8 came out. That didn't happen. You can still buy Windows 7 machines those aren't selling fast either as people grab their beloved Windows 7 before time runs out.
The fact is consumers are in a slow replacement cycle and Microsoft needs to drive applications towards much higher hardware specs to force a replacement cycle. That can't happen with the old interface which is mature. Microsoft didn't have an ace.
You got it. Now throw in more thing. Apple owning almost all the $1k plus machines sold, which is where the margins were. Hardware innovations being designed around OSX and Apple first creating a cycle where OEMs can't earn margins, so they can't innovate so their computers are generic and uninspiring even given the technology they have.
That's the cycle that Windows 8 is designed to break.
I wouldn't be so sure. I think capacitive touchscreen and convertibles are rather big hardware innovations. I'd have agreed with you in 2011 but since then Microsoft and some of the OEMs have gotten innovative.
How easy is it to "only sometimes use a truck"? I was under the impression that renting a pickup truck to carry in a gasoline-powered lawn mower for an annual tune-up and then renting it again to carry it home could exceed the cost of the tune-up.
That's not the cost to worry about. The cost to worry about is the difference in cost between driving a car an driving a truck. Over say 15k miles the difference could be something like 500 gallons of gas plus maintenance so say $2k / yr extra to drive a truck. If it costs $60 day / $300 wk to rent a pickup you are better renting up to 1/2 dozen times a year and owning if you need it more regularly. Even if the mower tuneup were free.
And remember no one is preventing people from buying OSX we are talking about development which would be the equivalent of making car parts.
Taxes. People pay taxes on property all the time, called "property taxes". You simply tax financial assets as property and add them to the property tax system.
And this isn't make stocks worthless. 100% instant confiscation was your policy not mine.
Agreed 100 percent. If provisioning over USB must be repeated after each power cycle, that's not too different from what the hacking community calls a tethered jailbreak. I guess Apple left out this feature in order to discourage third parties from building app stores around such temporary USB provisioning.
I was talking the creation of a permanent provisioning file. Binary is in iTunes, iTunes submits the application binary checksum + device id to get a signed provisioning file from Apple and then loads the binary + provisioning file like it normally would over USB. A real honest to god provisioning file, not a jailbreak. I think that's fair. It feels the niche for the low end amateur.
As long as you're willing to add the cost of a Mac to the list price of the first year of a developer license, resulting in $748 for the first year and $99 for additional years, I'm OK with that.
That's a reasonable compromise, though in some sense it is still a bit misleading. It is more like two separate criteria:
a) Own an OSX machine b) Pay $99
But that all really reduces to *) Be a member of the Apple developer community
Someone who is a member of the Apple community as a developer owns a reasonably current OSX machine. Someone who is a member of the Apple community wants access to the support services Apple provides at $99 / yr. Most platforms want all developers at almost all costs. That's just not the case with Apple. Pretending it is the case and then trying to just make this about money just ends up being a bit misleading. The $100 is far more about keeping the wrong people out then it is about Apple getting $100. Mostly I suspect the $99 / yr is about keeping Apple power users out; I can't imagine many non OSX owners caring, except in theory.
As an aside I just noticed that Apple slashed the price of the University SDK from $299 to $0. So if you are a professor in a degree granting institution you can setup your own signing keys for $0 you can install apps... I suspect they would likely give this to any High School that wanted to do Cocoa development. So at least for students and faculty you got your wish: $0 (for the hard version) and any policies they want.
The claim was that there isn't enough wealth in the 1%. I wasn't suggesting the 100% confiscation I was just trying to deal with the BS argument that the problem isn't unequal distribution of wealth.
The government doesn't need to liquidate the stock market to transfer it. They can move wealth down the latter. Stocks go from the top 1% to the top 20% via. shifts in the tax base. Home equity wealth goes from the top 20% to the bottom 60% via. property taxes being spent on social programs, etc.. Not 100% but a gradual reversal. Its been a generation and a half of rising inequality from the 1970s. Reversing what's happened slowly is fine.
I can quote Steve Jobs, John Ive, Bob Mansfeld. This has been policy for a long time. That iOS is not designed to accomplish specialized tasks only general purpose tasks. Limitations that are unacceptable for OSX are acceptable for iOS.
Apple has used the analogy of trucks vs. cars for where they want to go. Some people need to own trucks. Some people can own a car and only sometimes use a truck. I don't think Apple would even believe they've gotten the utility of iOS up to the car level yet. And even if they do truck sales are rather close to car sales. People buy about an equal number of each. I certainly don't think it is reasonable to assert that it will ever be the case that 99% of people will be covered by iOS.
Slashdot Mirror
You don't implement a 10% tax you implement something like a 2% tax similar to what people pay on homes today.
A 10% has the obvious intent of destroying most of the financial wealth quickly, rapid redistribution. Since the government is taxing something like 40-60t at 10% they are now getting an extra 4-6t per year. You didn't spend that money in your hypothetical. What are they doing with it? Your model just assumes the money is just destroyed when it hits the treasury
Americans are happy to do STEM degrees when they lead to lots of high paying jobs with good job security. Bring back long term contracts for STEM employees at high wages and watch how quickly Americans churn out STEM degrees.
I don't think it would have to be hostile. Why would Intel's board object assuming they got a nice 30% premium?
They might have regulatory issues, but a quasi buyout where Apple had strong contracts with all sorts of rights in exchange for lots of upfront money...
I don't know that. They could very well buy Intel. They could also give Intel very favorable terms as a way of leapfrogging the capabilities of the Android phones for several years.
This is silly. Intel's entire sales: CPUs, motherboards, memory... were $53b last year. Apple has $140b sitting in the bank. They could buy 100% of Intel's capacity with cash on hand for almost 3 years. Apple's problems with Samsung I'm sure are an annoyance, they aren't a critical threat to the company.
And before someone mentions some sort of secret Intel conspiracy they could buy all of Intel for less than their cash on hand
I agree me saying stuff doesn't make it so. But we have good quality statistical measures of these things and repeated experiments do make it so.
Many of my daughter's friends are excellent with computers, but that doesn't change a downward trend that's been doing on a decade and a half.
That's why they've gone all out to make a tablet OS and they stupidly decided to help the PC decline by putting it on the desktop too. Its pretty obvious they don't care about the desktop anymore, but they just can't bring themselves to admit it yet.
I don't think that's true. I think they believe that tablets and phones will outsell desktops and laptops and desktops and laptops will outsell servers. But the margins are up market not down market. So the idea is to tie a collection of services all the way from business servers to phones with desktop / laptops being an intermediate point.
They are OK with a short term decline this year in laptop / desktop sales to help drive the industry towards ubiquitous computing.
Lenovo does sell Windows 7 machines, you get the win8 DVD along with it but they will happily 'downgrade' it for you by default. Looking at the sales figures, HP and Dell and others have all plummeted ... guess which solitary manufacturer increased its sales share.
Sony has lots of Win 7 machines as well. I think I saw some others that have it. Arguably Lenovo was also one of the earliest and most enthusiastic Win 8 embraces with the Yoga. I think what's fair to say about they offered a diverse range of products.
Thx
Touchscreens are great for tablets (I have 2) and smart phones. But not for my desktop, where I do my serious work.
First off desktops are an even smaller and lower margin share of the market than laptops. The Windows 8 move is really about laptops, when people say desktop that's what they mean. In terms of how to use touch on a larger screen, most likely the interface is going to be trackpad or something like a 10" tablet giving you a miniature version of your screen that you work on for interface shifts. Sort of like how the Cintiq works today.
what if there was a laptop shell (keyboard and screen) that I could plug my phone into?
You still would have one big problem. The applications you are using require responsive touch and don't scale up effectively to larger screen sizes. Now imagine they were designed to work with different form factors so that even this problem went away, that the application UI shifted as you changed form factor of devices.
http://www.microsoft.com/office/vision/
Out of curiosity what was the Android / iOS / Win8 / other split?
The OEMs must be screaming at Redmond.
They are screaming at each other. Redmond wants the OEMs to move up market and focus on higher end capacitive touchscreens convertible hinges ... The OEMs are terrified that they would get stuck with huge quantities of inventory they would have to move at a loss. Sales of these convertible units are way up and that's what Microsoft mostly cares about strategically.
Hi Bill .I've been using Google Docs heavily for 2 years for a recent project. Google Docs isn't fully Chrome compatible. I've had to sometimes switch off and on between FF and Chrome to get functionality to work.
I don't think most people realize how bad Google Docs is because they don't use it heavily. There were so many places where limitation of Google docs really hit me hard. I'm going to be trying Office 365 in the cloud during 2nd half of this year with simultaneous editing and I'll see how that works to do a real, almost side by side comparison.
They are moving 200k employees over to Gmail? Wow. I gotta figure on a system that size email has multiple tiers and some very complex backend systems that they are about to discover don't work.
Does it still ask you where and how big to make a "swap file" when you install, and expect you to know about partitions?
I'm a long time OSX user. But the Linux partitioning tool is amazing. Lets me do everything you want to do. Start a partition anywhere, end a partition anywhere, assign it any hex identification code I want... and most importantly have a MBR on something other than partition 1. All with a user friendly interface explaining the options. Heck I boot a CDROM Linux whenever I have partitioning problems on other OSes on x86. And that happens a lot. Just happened with a multiboot 32g USB3 drive I was setting up for OSX users. You can mock Linux for being hard, but the Linux fdisk is an outstanding piece of software. And before you start with grandma or whatever. Who cares whether she knows about partitions and why those options are features or not?
As for a dedicated swap filesystem, what do you think is happening inside the huge swap file on your windows machine. It is trying to emulate a swap filesystem. It is just doing it slowly. You should want a dedicated swap partition.
I often wonder what will happen first: Microsoft/Apple realising the error of their ways and making a useful UI, or users collectively sighing and sucking up the crap they are given.
Computer literacy has been going down rapidly for people who went to high school in the 2000+. A large number of consumers understand their smartphone interface and don't understand their computer interface. You may not like that fact, but it is the fact.
This is nonsense. PC sales fell 2009, 2010, 2011. People were rapidly decreasing their rate of replacement. People earlier in the decade had refused to go with a software subscription model. What ace? The grim satisfaction of knowing that people who didn't pay you much to begin with were using your software for many years? If people loved the old interface we should have seen a surge of Windows 7 sales once Windows 8 came out. That didn't happen. You can still buy Windows 7 machines those aren't selling fast either as people grab their beloved Windows 7 before time runs out.
The fact is consumers are in a slow replacement cycle and Microsoft needs to drive applications towards much higher hardware specs to force a replacement cycle. That can't happen with the old interface which is mature. Microsoft didn't have an ace.
You got it. Now throw in more thing. Apple owning almost all the $1k plus machines sold, which is where the margins were. Hardware innovations being designed around OSX and Apple first creating a cycle where OEMs can't earn margins, so they can't innovate so their computers are generic and uninspiring even given the technology they have.
That's the cycle that Windows 8 is designed to break.
I wouldn't be so sure. I think capacitive touchscreen and convertibles are rather big hardware innovations. I'd have agreed with you in 2011 but since then Microsoft and some of the OEMs have gotten innovative.
Sorry I lost you on that one. I'm not seeing the connection between the Warranty Act and DMCA.
How easy is it to "only sometimes use a truck"? I was under the impression that renting a pickup truck to carry in a gasoline-powered lawn mower for an annual tune-up and then renting it again to carry it home could exceed the cost of the tune-up.
That's not the cost to worry about. The cost to worry about is the difference in cost between driving a car an driving a truck. Over say 15k miles the difference could be something like 500 gallons of gas plus maintenance so say $2k / yr extra to drive a truck. If it costs $60 day / $300 wk to rent a pickup you are better renting up to 1/2 dozen times a year and owning if you need it more regularly. Even if the mower tuneup were free.
And remember no one is preventing people from buying OSX we are talking about development which would be the equivalent of making car parts.
Taxes. People pay taxes on property all the time, called "property taxes". You simply tax financial assets as property and add them to the property tax system.
And this isn't make stocks worthless. 100% instant confiscation was your policy not mine.
Agreed 100 percent. If provisioning over USB must be repeated after each power cycle, that's not too different from what the hacking community calls a tethered jailbreak. I guess Apple left out this feature in order to discourage third parties from building app stores around such temporary USB provisioning.
I was talking the creation of a permanent provisioning file. Binary is in iTunes, iTunes submits the application binary checksum + device id to get a signed provisioning file from Apple and then loads the binary + provisioning file like it normally would over USB. A real honest to god provisioning file, not a jailbreak. I think that's fair. It feels the niche for the low end amateur.
As long as you're willing to add the cost of a Mac to the list price of the first year of a developer license, resulting in $748 for the first year and $99 for additional years, I'm OK with that.
That's a reasonable compromise, though in some sense it is still a bit misleading. It is more like two separate criteria:
a) Own an OSX machine
b) Pay $99
But that all really reduces to
*) Be a member of the Apple developer community
Someone who is a member of the Apple community as a developer owns a reasonably current OSX machine. Someone who is a member of the Apple community wants access to the support services Apple provides at $99 / yr. Most platforms want all developers at almost all costs. That's just not the case with Apple. Pretending it is the case and then trying to just make this about money just ends up being a bit misleading. The $100 is far more about keeping the wrong people out then it is about Apple getting $100. Mostly I suspect the $99 / yr is about keeping Apple power users out; I can't imagine many non OSX owners caring, except in theory.
As an aside I just noticed that Apple slashed the price of the University SDK from $299 to $0. So if you are a professor in a degree granting institution you can setup your own signing keys for $0 you can install apps... I suspect they would likely give this to any High School that wanted to do Cocoa development. So at least for students and faculty you got your wish: $0 (for the hard version) and any policies they want.
The claim was that there isn't enough wealth in the 1%. I wasn't suggesting the 100% confiscation I was just trying to deal with the BS argument that the problem isn't unequal distribution of wealth.
The government doesn't need to liquidate the stock market to transfer it. They can move wealth down the latter. Stocks go from the top 1% to the top 20% via. shifts in the tax base. Home equity wealth goes from the top 20% to the bottom 60% via. property taxes being spent on social programs, etc.. Not 100% but a gradual reversal. Its been a generation and a half of rising inequality from the 1970s. Reversing what's happened slowly is fine.
I can quote Steve Jobs, John Ive, Bob Mansfeld. This has been policy for a long time. That iOS is not designed to accomplish specialized tasks only general purpose tasks. Limitations that are unacceptable for OSX are acceptable for iOS.
Apple has used the analogy of trucks vs. cars for where they want to go. Some people need to own trucks. Some people can own a car and only sometimes use a truck. I don't think Apple would even believe they've gotten the utility of iOS up to the car level yet. And even if they do truck sales are rather close to car sales. People buy about an equal number of each. I certainly don't think it is reasonable to assert that it will ever be the case that 99% of people will be covered by iOS.