in a sense that's the essence of a Bayesian analysis, assuming our initial prior beliefs about the world are reasonable, then extraordinary claims that conflict with those priors require more evidence to convince us than something which is expected. Which is as it should be. If its true you should have no trouble gathering enough evidence to overcome the 'extraordinariness' inertia.
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in a sense that's the essence of a Bayesian analysis, assuming our initial prior beliefs about the world are reasonable, then extraordinary claims that conflict with those priors require more evidence to convince us than something which is expected. Which is as it should be. If its true you should have no trouble gathering enough evidence to overcome the 'extraordinariness' inertia.