One of the interesting features of modern climate models is that they predict that ENSO like behaviour should exist. Unfortuantely they can't predict when ENSO will be in a La Nina or El Nino phase. This is not a problem for long term forcasting - ENSO can't change the climate.
So over short terms if a model run guesses the ENSO phase wrong it will be too hot or too cold.
If you pick the model runs where the ENSO phase is guessed right then it turns out that current models fit the observed climate pretty damn well.
1. Dems are close minded - they believe in AGW 2. Repubs are close minded - they don't believe in AGW 3. Independents are open minded - they believe in AGW if the last two days were warmer than usual.
Anyone studying the effects of volcanic activity and emissions from that? The three simultaneous eruptions in Russia, the flows in Hawaii, and elsewhere have doubtless contributed, but I have never seen a comparison of natural vs. man-made emissions.
The people who've been scammed are the banks, credit card companies and so on that are not using reliable ways of establishing your identity.
But they want it to look like your problem to make you pay the costs, instead of them.
(I'm more or less in violent agreement with you about everything except this whole "identity theft" thing, which is crafted to make it look like your problem).
In fact, even helping with an investigation "hurts" them. When I asked what the address on the account was, Capital One refused to give it to me. I had the right name, social security number, and date of birth, but they wouldn't give me the address because (their exact words): "If you go and kill those people, we're liable."
If you were paranoid you might speculate that the person you were talking to was an accomplice.
People would be in a better position to evaluate this stuff if a large chunk of the studies and papers interpreting the raw data weren't locked behind paywalls
Welcome to the wonderful world of science.
Personally I think Springer Verlag should be first up against the wall when the revolution comes.
t doesn't help when emails are leaked from one of the universities doing a lot of the work on it that indicate data was purposely ignored in favor of making their models work and so on.
You apparently have no idea what real critics of global warming are discussing.
Are any of these "real critics" from Scotland?
"Critics" of global warming have used any imaginable argument, and some unimaginable. They have been known to use contradictory arguments, sometimes even in the same sentence.
Slashdot Mirror
Zow. HL7. Almost exactly the same as EDIFACT, but different.
Bleurgh.
Once upon a time there were 20MB hard drives. For real.
20MB! We used to dream of 20MB!
Not a joke - the first machine I used, started out with 8MB drives. Each the size of a washing machine.
It was eventually upgraded to 60MB drives.
(The machine was an ICL 1903T).
A single MRI machine needs 10,000 liters of helium.
So it's a good thing Air Liquide are setting up a plant to extract 3.8E10 litres a year, enough for 3.8 million MRI machines.
Looks like the Republican health care destruction plan has failed.
Who uses 7200 RPM in the data centre?
We don't even have any 10K drives any more, they're all 15K, being phased out for SSD's.
Nothing was "corrected".
One of the interesting features of modern climate models is that they predict that ENSO like behaviour should exist. Unfortuantely they can't predict when ENSO will be in a La Nina or El Nino phase. This is not a problem for long term forcasting - ENSO can't change the climate.
So over short terms if a model run guesses the ENSO phase wrong it will be too hot or too cold.
If you pick the model runs where the ENSO phase is guessed right then it turns out that current models fit the observed climate pretty damn well.
No, no, no.
I just want to poke them through the bars of their cages - the high pitched shreeking is amusing.
Yes of course I heard about that. Are you attempting to imply that it wasn't published?
What do you mean by "If it promoted anthropogenic global climate change you would have"? How could research "promote" AGW?
Aha! Haven't been less than excellent for years.
So, it's even more satisfying to downmod idiots and trolls like roman_mir and his sockpuppets.
You've misread the graph.
What it shows is that:
1. Dems are close minded - they believe in AGW
2. Repubs are close minded - they don't believe in AGW
3. Independents are open minded - they believe in AGW if the last two days were warmer than usual.
This research is hilarious.
Perl does a pretty good job.
#!
$x = "\N{WHITE SMILING FACE}";
binmode STDOUT, ":encoding(utf8)";
print "Have a nice day: $x\n";
Their research wasn't afforded the same privileges as anthropogenic global climate change researchers.
What the fuck does that mean.
Do you have a concrete example?
Anyone studying the effects of volcanic activity and emissions from that? The three simultaneous eruptions in Russia, the flows in Hawaii, and elsewhere have doubtless contributed, but I have never seen a comparison of natural vs. man-made emissions.
Another "I don't know how to use google" post.
So use some other manufacturers mainframe.
I can point you towards a pretty good emulator for the ICL 1900 series, running George 3.
There is rumoured to be still one running George 3 site in Russia, so you might be able to get a job.
Can Python do unicode right yet?
Yes, my identity was stolen.
No, you are still the only you.
The people who've been scammed are the banks, credit card companies and so on that are not using reliable ways of establishing your identity.
But they want it to look like your problem to make you pay the costs, instead of them.
(I'm more or less in violent agreement with you about everything except this whole "identity theft" thing, which is crafted to make it look like your problem).
In fact, even helping with an investigation "hurts" them. When I asked what the address on the account was, Capital One refused to give it to me. I had the right name, social security number, and date of birth, but they wouldn't give me the address because (their exact words): "If you go and kill those people, we're liable."
If you were paranoid you might speculate that the person you were talking to was an accomplice.
Please check your medication.
Just ask the scientists who wanted to find out the effects of something as important as clouds on the global climate.
Oh, go on. What happened to them? Found dead in an alleyway?
my first account constantly gets bombarded with downmods that prevent me from posting.
Prevents you from posting. How?
And lots of people who are pro-choice don't want to ask the question "when does life begin".
Sane people don't ask such stupid questions because you soon run into problems with "when", "life" and "begin".
Except the models almost all overestimate warming when compared to reality over time.
No, before around 1990 or so they underestimated warming most of the time.
Water vapor is far, far more powerful a GHG than CO2
Water precipitates out of the air above a certain concentration. Have you observed the same effect with CO2?
Climate models have all failed miserably. Have you read the CRU code?
What CRU code is that? Is it anything like the Da Vinci Code?
Both sets of models do not match the current (last 15-20 years) of recorded data.
Funny that everyone complains now the majority of model runs are running hot but didn't bitch so much when they were running cold.
Hint: Models can't predict ENSO. Model runs that get ENSO right (by accident) fit observed warming very well.
People would be in a better position to evaluate this stuff if a large chunk of the studies and papers interpreting the raw data weren't locked behind paywalls
Welcome to the wonderful world of science.
Personally I think Springer Verlag should be first up against the wall when the revolution comes.
t doesn't help when emails are leaked from one of the universities doing a lot of the work on it that indicate data was purposely ignored in favor of making their models work and so on.
What data was being ignored to make models work?
What does "and so on" mean?
Now - where can we find the layman's textbooks on manmade global warming?
Youtube?
You apparently have no idea what real critics of global warming are discussing.
Are any of these "real critics" from Scotland?
"Critics" of global warming have used any imaginable argument, and some unimaginable. They have been known to use contradictory arguments, sometimes even in the same sentence.