when in fact this problem stumped mathematicians for a long time too.
It did not. It merely exposed the weak. No real mathematician would fail to grasp it with a few moments thought. Sure, it's easy to be lazy at first and say they're equal, but anyone continuing to insist on it simply lacks the ability to be a mathematician.
For anyone who believes in any kind of copyright at all that is exactly what should be protected against.
That recording was made 30 years ago. The kind of copyright I believe in doesn't last that long. And certainly not for free. If Disney, for instance, wants to have an eternal copyright on its library, because it's so valuable, why do they get that for free? Charge a higher and higher fee as the work ages. That way most works enter the public domain within a reasonable amount of time. How does the public benefit in any way that the YMCA recording is still a monopoly?
Reading further, this article seems pretty clear about the whole thing. So I think you're right, there was no official asterisk, though essentially Frick put one there in spirit.
Thanks for the education. (Though I could probably put those brain cells to better use than remembering another baseball item:-)
Hmm. Admittedly, I was going on my memory. I was too young to remember the 1961 season, but soon after I became aware of baseball and even then "everybody knew" about the asterisk. I see this NY Times obituary, but I wouldn't say it's a convincer. There's Billy Crystal's movie 61*, and he'd remember better than I, and presumably he did some research, but I'm not going to watch it again just so I can see what it says.
It's too bad the Wikipedia article doesn't cite a reference for the "urban legend" statement. But considering how, uh, fanatical baseball fans can be, the fact that it is still in the article, unchallenged, must mean something.
Outside of Bob Gibson in the aforementioned 1968, you have to go all the way to Greg Maddux in 1994 at #48 all time to find a season after 1920 on the list.
Dwight Gooden's 1.53 1985 season is in there. A remarkable list though.
Wouldn't it be easier, and more efficient, to calculate the probabilities directly from the distribution? Why the simulations?
Because you have to deal with the clumping of at-bats into games, and of course factor in weather, pitching, game conditions, injury, official scoring, and the fact that the number of at-bats per game can vary.
(I realize that this 'study' ignored almost all of that.)
What they calculated was the probability of the longest streak in the entire history of baseball having a particular value
That's what they claim, but it's hardly what they actually did. Assigning a single probability to every game is absurd. It ignores pitching, game conditions, injury, and the simple fact that some games players get more at-bats than in others. Both those are hard, and slapping on a probability is easy.
No it's not. The asterisk was on there for many years. Babe Ruth was revered, and Maris failing to break it in 154 games, which was the season length when Ruth set it, was all the excuse needed.
Apple is able to dictate the price of song sales over the internet. It's a monopoly.
No they can't. If they could they would sell them for a small fraction of what they do now. The money's not in the songs, it's in the ipods and the eyeballs.
Never mind. It's clear that it's important to you that you need to find a way to interpret things in such a way as that somehow you are not wrong. I'll bet that comes up a lot in your life.
You're the first righty I know of to do that. I wear it on my right wrist, but that's because I'm left-handed. Even so some people still think it's weird. I'm ~100% lefty. The only thing I do right-handed is use scissors.
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In bridge (the card game) they call that the principle of restricted choice.
Have you somehow missed all the bot-net articles?
Here ya go.
Yes. In Bridge this is known as the Principle of Restricted Choice.
If you switch, the only time you don't get the car is when you picked it originally, which is obviously 1/3 of the time.
It did not. It merely exposed the weak. No real mathematician would fail to grasp it with a few moments thought. Sure, it's easy to be lazy at first and say they're equal, but anyone continuing to insist on it simply lacks the ability to be a mathematician.
That recording was made 30 years ago. The kind of copyright I believe in doesn't last that long. And certainly not for free. If Disney, for instance, wants to have an eternal copyright on its library, because it's so valuable, why do they get that for free? Charge a higher and higher fee as the work ages. That way most works enter the public domain within a reasonable amount of time. How does the public benefit in any way that the YMCA recording is still a monopoly?
The amount they have to pay works out to about 28 hours of revenue.
Its photosphere seems a reasonable definition.
Way after. like 65 years after.
And to follow up, that's the Portland that isn't actually in the state of Oregon.
That's really good.
And of course he then turns to the horse and says "And you. Why the long face?"
Thanks for the education. (Though I could probably put those brain cells to better use than remembering another baseball item :-)
It's too bad the Wikipedia article doesn't cite a reference for the "urban legend" statement. But considering how, uh, fanatical baseball fans can be, the fact that it is still in the article, unchallenged, must mean something.
Dwight Gooden's 1.53 1985 season is in there. A remarkable list though.
Because you have to deal with the clumping of at-bats into games, and of course factor in weather, pitching, game conditions, injury, official scoring, and the fact that the number of at-bats per game can vary.
(I realize that this 'study' ignored almost all of that.)
That's what they claim, but it's hardly what they actually did. Assigning a single probability to every game is absurd. It ignores pitching, game conditions, injury, and the simple fact that some games players get more at-bats than in others. Both those are hard, and slapping on a probability is easy.
No it's not. The asterisk was on there for many years. Babe Ruth was revered, and Maris failing to break it in 154 games, which was the season length when Ruth set it, was all the excuse needed.
Very good post.
(And I did get out of Salem. One miserable cold rainy winter day I packed up and flew to Costa Rica, and I'm still there.)
No they can't. If they could they would sell them for a small fraction of what they do now. The money's not in the songs, it's in the ipods and the eyeballs.
Never mind. It's clear that it's important to you that you need to find a way to interpret things in such a way as that somehow you are not wrong. I'll bet that comes up a lot in your life.
He said guaranteed, not could, which carries quite a different meaning. But go ahead and post your thoughts there. Perhaps he might expand on it.
User-defined overloading, obviously. And it's considered by some to be a bad idea.
You're the first righty I know of to do that. I wear it on my right wrist, but that's because I'm left-handed. Even so some people still think it's weird. I'm ~100% lefty. The only thing I do right-handed is use scissors.