The blog wave is close to an inflection point, probably within six to twelve months... which means that total bandwidth will probably top out at about TWICE the current rate.
Google's dejanews database is a goldmine of information if you extract it properly. One problem with trend-tracking is getting back-dated data to help confirm that a trend is really in place.
I can get backfill data from dejanews, but a more profitable solution is to catch the trend early. heoretically, you could do that from a good sample of RSS feeds by doing frequency counts on words and phrases.
I spent some time on an RSS trend tracker, but there are several technical and statistical issues in pinning down thresholds, maintaining original relationships, etc.
Historically, industrial revolutions have reduced the average workweek by 15-20%. Damn, for the geeks here, you can model the macro-economy as two linear equations like this -
Each person has 112 waking hours ( 16 hours x 7 days ), on average.
That time is spent consuming (C) or producing (P) products. So C + P = 112.
Using the 40-hour workweek as a base, we have 40 X rateOfP = ( 112 - 40 ) X rateofC.
Got it? What happens as rateofP increases?
As productivity increases....
You get more production, and your equations won't balance anymore, you get overproduction and falling prices.
The ONLY way to re-balance the equation is to shrink P and increase C.
Err.... it was also tried in the United States during the Great Depression ( Fair Labor law, 1938, but many private companies had already converted to a forty-hour workweek before the law passed), and it apparently it did work because we've had the forty-hour workweek for the past sixty years.
Also, the average workweek declined during the Industrial revolution, i.e. the late 1860s, from sixty hours to the roughly forty-eight workweek that preceded the Great Depression.
Re:cold fusion is still ridiculous
on
Excess Heat
·
· Score: 1
Interesting site -
http://www.blacklightpower.com/profile.html
Professor Dr. Johannes P. F. Conrads, past Director and Chairman of the Board, of Institut Fur Niedertemperatur-Plasmaphysik e.V. and the Ernst- Moritz Arndt-Univeristat Greifswald ("INP"), a top plasma physics laboratory in Greifswald, Germany, and four of Professor Dr. Conrads' top scientists recorded line emission from the Company's cell which matches hydrogen transitions
http://www.blacklightpower.com/process.html
BlackLight Power (the "Company") cells generate energy through a chemical process ("BlackLight Process") which the Company believes causes the electrons of hydrogen atoms to drop to lower orbits, thus releasing energy
Slashdot Mirror
http://www.realmeme.com/Main/dailymeme/2005/Aug/bl urayvshddvdDejanews.png
I ran this comparison a couple of months ago.
It sure looks like there's still a controversy going on.
Simple model to measure the meme of corporation reputation -
n .jsp
j sp
http://www.realmeme.com/Main/evilindex/corporatio
A more sophisticated abstract model -
http://www.realmeme.com/Main/theory101/sentiment.
Is it Microsoft that is evil?
n s/microsoftDejanews.png
s /billgatesDejanews.png
http://www.realmeme.com/Main/evilindex/corporatio
Or is it Bill Gates?
http://www.realmeme.com/Main/evilindex/celebritie
CC License meme is growing rapidly.
c reativecommonscontentDejanews.png
Looks to me like it has a solid year of growth ahead.
http://www.realmeme.com/Main/miner/preinflection/
The slowing growth rate showed up in dejanews.com almost 18 months ago.
d ProxyDejanews.png
Fair warning... here it comes!
http://www.realmeme.com/Main/miner/other/saturate
Google Evil Index...
a graphic description -
http://www.realmeme.com/Main/evilindex/index.jsp
The bandwidth isn't going to matter much.
b logDejanews.png
The blog wave is close to an inflection point,
probably within six to twelve months...
which means that total bandwidth will probably
top out at about TWICE the current rate.
http://www.realmeme.com/Main/miner/preinflection/
I suspect that even now, many blogs are
starved for readership as new blogs come online
and steal mental bandwidth.
http://www.realmeme.com/Main/savinggoogle/index.js p
Perhaps.
f irmwareDejanews.png
Firmware devices still seem to be in an uptrend, but not by much.
http://www.realmeme.com/miner/preinflection/linux
Google's dejanews database is a goldmine of information if you extract it properly. One problem with trend-tracking is getting back-dated data to help confirm that a trend is really in place.
n er/technology/hibernatevsrubyDejanews.png
http://www.realmeme.com/miner/new.php?startup=/mi
I can get backfill data from dejanews, but a more profitable solution is to catch the trend early. heoretically, you could do that from a good sample of RSS feeds by doing frequency counts on words and phrases.
I spent some time on an RSS trend tracker, but there are several technical and statistical issues in pinning down thresholds, maintaining original relationships, etc.
http://www.realmeme.com/seeker/index.php
The rise in AJAX is almost solely due to the recent AdaptivePath article. I'm not sure it's a major trend.
n ews.png
e vsrubyDejanews.png
http://www.realmeme.com/miner/technology/ajaxDeja
However, Ruby on Rails is clearly rising,
moving steadily upward for over a year. Thanks to a reader for bringing this to my attention.
http://www.realmeme.com/miner/technology/hibernat
It's not surprising that Google is using a Creative Commons license. The meme has been steadily gaining strength for over a year.
t artup=/miner/preinflection/creativecommonscontentD ejanews.png
http://www.realmeme.com/miner/preinflection.php?s
Damn Slashdot and their URL gimmickry!
t artup=/miner/preinflection/blogDejanews.png
http://www.realmeme.com/miner/preinflection.php?s
It's not surprising that most Americans don't know what a blog is. The blog meme is still in a pre-inflection state.
? st artup=/miner/preinflection/blogDejanews.png
http://www.realmeme.com/miner/preinflection.php
The sudden drop in 2004 is almost certainly due to data anomalies in Dejanews itself. It shows up quite often in my graphs.
Hibernate is a meme rocket.
/ miner/java/databaseDejanews.pnghttp://realmeme.com /miner/java.php?startup=/miner/java/databaseDejane ws.png>
ahref=http://realmeme.com/miner/java.php?startup=
As near as I can tell, it has no competition.
The rate of growth in python exceeds the other major scripting languages.
i ner/java/scriptinglanguagesDejanews.png
http://www.realmeme.com/miner/java.php?startup=/m
Python is the only one that has a clear increase in rate of change.
It's not surprising that Comdex has been cancelled twice. History shows that all technology revolutions peak and then mature.
m iner/technology/comdexvegasDejanews.png
Comdex meme shows a clear downward trend since the 2000 market crash.
http://www.realmeme.com/miner/other.php?startup=/
We'll try it again -
i vecommonscontentDejanews.png
http://www.realmeme.com/miner/preinflection/creat
I use Creative Commons code on my website (not a blog)
i vecommonscontentDejanews.png/
And check out the accelerating rate of growth for Creative Commons meme.
http://www.realmeme.com/miner/preinflection/creat
Linux appliances and MythTV both figure into Cringely's 2005 predictions -
. html/
o n/linux%20firmwareDejanews.png/
o n/mythTVDejanews.png/
http://www.pbs.org/cringely/pulpit/pulpit20050107
Here are a couple of time-series graphs that attempt to quantify the rate of growth in mindshare -
http://www.browardhorne.com/mememiner/preinflecti
http://www.browardhorne.com/mememiner/preinflecti
Gee whiz, why can't anyone figure this out?
Historically, industrial revolutions have reduced the average workweek by 15-20%. Damn, for the geeks here, you can model the macro-economy as two linear equations like this -
Each person has 112 waking hours ( 16 hours x 7 days ), on average.
That time is spent consuming (C) or producing (P) products. So C + P = 112.
Using the 40-hour workweek as a base, we have
40 X rateOfP = ( 112 - 40 ) X rateofC.
Got it?
What happens as rateofP increases?
As productivity increases....
You get more production, and your equations won't balance anymore, you get overproduction and falling prices.
The ONLY way to re-balance the equation is to shrink P and increase C.
Err.... it was also tried in the United States during the Great Depression ( Fair Labor law, 1938, but many private companies had already converted to a forty-hour workweek before the law passed), and it apparently it did work because we've had the forty-hour workweek for the past sixty years.
Also, the average workweek declined during the Industrial revolution, i.e. the late 1860s, from sixty hours to the roughly forty-eight workweek that preceded the Great Depression.
http://www.blacklightpower.com/independent.html
Interesting site - http://www.blacklightpower.com/profile.html Professor Dr. Johannes P. F. Conrads, past Director and Chairman of the Board, of Institut Fur Niedertemperatur-Plasmaphysik e.V. and the Ernst- Moritz Arndt-Univeristat Greifswald ("INP"), a top plasma physics laboratory in Greifswald, Germany, and four of Professor Dr. Conrads' top scientists recorded line emission from the Company's cell which matches hydrogen transitions http://www.blacklightpower.com/process.html BlackLight Power (the "Company") cells generate energy through a chemical process ("BlackLight Process") which the Company believes causes the electrons of hydrogen atoms to drop to lower orbits, thus releasing energy