Check out the gradients for Blu-ray versus HD-DVD.
I've been following this battle for two years, but Blu-ray is finally pulling ahead with an accelerating gradient. It's a little too early to call the battle, but I now think that Blu-ray is the percentage bet.
"Total information grows faster than human population (for now) and it's easily duplicated, so the finite space of each human skull gets a greater diversity of information than ever in history. If information is a prime driver of culture, then "cultural diffusion" should occur; mainstream culture should shrink as fringe cultures spawn and grow."
"But from 1997 on, the trend reverses and shows a distribution pattern, a sell-off of mindshare in popular movies. The speculation is that the current movie sales malaise may have been predictable."
MythTV was one of my pre-inflection graphs / choices last year. It's still going strong. It's not the best graph I've ever seen, but there's clearly strength behind it.
The Nature of Franchise Movie Memes
on
Toy Story 3 Scrapped
·
· Score: 2, Insightful
I've been working with franchise movie memes for the past couple of weeks. Although they often show equal or higher sales, their actual audience interaction declines steadily with each successive movie.
Essentially, I believe that the original movie sets a cultural context that successive movies play upon, and that each sequel is attractive to audiences BECAUSE it requires less thinking. It's interesting that sales often remain the same, even though there's less expressed interest.
That's a reworking of the idea of marginal utility in economics. Because the sequel costs less, it's equally desirable as its marginal utility falls.
Very interesting stuff that you can derive a lot of conjectures from.
Yahoo pulls ahead in second quarter of 2005, possibly because of "buy" strategy versus Google's "build" strategy. So is the purchase of AOL Google's "buy" response?
But the real move is that "Web 2.0" is rising rapidly, too, and will probably displace Java & J2EE as the primary job creator over the next two-three years.
Slashdot Mirror
Check out the gradients for Blu-ray versus HD-DVD.
y =blu_ray_vs_hd_dvd
I've been following this battle for two years, but Blu-ray is finally pulling ahead with an accelerating gradient. It's a little too early to call the battle, but I now think that Blu-ray is the percentage bet.
http://www.realmeme.com/roller/page/realmeme?entr
A brief primer on the politics of controlling messages to the general public.
y =strategic_use_of_the_mixed
http://www.realmeme.com/roller/page/realmeme?entr
"Total information grows faster than human population (for now) and it's easily duplicated, so the finite space of each human skull gets a greater diversity of information than ever in history. If information is a prime driver of culture, then "cultural diffusion" should occur; mainstream culture should shrink as fringe cultures spawn and grow."
y =the_cultural_diffusion
http://www.realmeme.com/roller/page/realmeme?entr
"But from 1997 on, the trend reverses and shows a distribution pattern, a sell-off of mindshare in popular movies. The speculation is that the current movie sales malaise may have been predictable."
r y=final_movie_meme_graph
http://www.realmeme.com/roller/page/realmeme/?ent
http://www.realmeme.com/roller/page/realmeme?entry =the_cultural_diffusion
"mainstream culture should shrink as fringe cultures spawn and grow"
http://www.realmeme.com/roller/page/realmeme?entry =blog_meme
Rate of growth will peak and then slow.
Growth will carry forward for another two or three years and then decline.
http://www.realmeme.com/roller/page/realmeme?entry =the_cultural_diffusion
"The result would be escalating costs expressed as information problems - miscommunication, cultural conflicts, etc.
Eventually, the net benefit of diversity should exceed its societal benefits and produce a big drop in the price of information as demand falls off"
BEHOLD! The Power of the Meme!
t up=http://www.realmeme.com:80/Main/miner/investmen t/AMZNDejanews.png
http://www.realmeme.com/Main/miner/stock.jsp?star
MythTV was one of my pre-inflection graphs / choices last year. It's still going strong. It's not the best graph I've ever seen, but there's clearly strength behind it.
D ejanews.png
http://www.realmeme.com/roller/images/meme/mythTV
Craiglist gave a false inflection point signal last January, but I think the new one is accurate.
/ ?entry=craigslist_meme
http://www.realmeme.com:8080/roller/page/realmeme
In the near future, you should see considerably less of Craig in the news, possibly some rising complaints, like we see here at Slashdot.
Large IT departments have poorly designed feedback paths to guide their behavior -
r y=maggianos_versus_it_departments
http://www.realmeme.com/roller/page/realmeme/?ent
Somebody needs to hire IT managers with restaurant management degrees.
"He's still dead, Jim!"
y =mono_meme_update_mono_still
http://www.realmeme.com/roller/page/realmeme?entr
I've been working with franchise movie memes for the past couple of weeks. Although they often show equal or higher sales, their actual audience interaction declines steadily with each successive movie.
y =movie_madness_threedux
http://www.realmeme.com/roller/page/realmeme?entr
Essentially, I believe that the original movie sets a cultural context that successive movies play upon, and that each sequel is attractive to audiences BECAUSE it requires less thinking. It's interesting that sales often remain the same, even though there's less expressed interest.
That's a reworking of the idea of marginal utility in economics. Because the sequel costs less, it's equally desirable as its marginal utility falls.
Very interesting stuff that you can derive a lot of conjectures from.
http://www.realmeme.com/roller/page/realmeme?entry =mono_project_meme
No growth, no interest that I can see...
f twareDejanews.png
http://www.realmeme.com/roller/images/meme/monoso
http://www.realmeme.com/Main/miner/other/workDejan ews.png
"Still no clear winner"
v shddvdDejanews.png
"Try again"
http://www.realmeme.com/roller/images/meme/bluray
Yahoo pulls ahead in second quarter of 2005, possibly because of "buy" strategy versus Google's "build" strategy. So is the purchase of AOL Google's "buy" response?
? entry=google_versus_yahoo
http://www.realmeme.com:8080/roller/page/realmeme
Interesting graph comparison of the major search engines.
? entry=google_versus_yahoo
It shows Yahoo pulling ahead of Google in 2005, and the
search engine battle itself is peaking in hype and media interest.
Yahoo's emergence into first place could be a function of their social software acquisitions.
http://www.realmeme.com:8080/roller/page/realmeme
http://www.realmeme.com:8080/roller/page/realmeme? entry=java_vs_lamp_vs_web
Rate of change clearly favors Web 2.0 right now,
while absolute numbers still favor java.
The delta between java and LAMP has opened up again,
indicating that in relative terms, LAMP may not be overtaking java.
The LAMP meme has been rising slowly but steadily for years now, which surprised me.
P linuxDejanews.png
http://www.realmeme.com/Main/miner/technology/LAM
But the real move is that "Web 2.0" is rising rapidly, too, and will probably displace Java & J2EE as the primary job creator over the next two-three years.
http://www.realmeme.com/Main/miner/technology/ipv6 Dejanews.png
It will come faster and bigger than most readers here believe.
How Blogs fit into the big picture.
? entry=context_ideosphere_the_internet
http://www.realmeme.com:8080/roller/page/realmeme
Yahoo is catching the meme just as it peaks.
? entry=rss_meme_still_pre_inflection
RSS growth will peak and flatten in 2006, as will blog growth.
http://www.realmeme.com:8080/roller/page/realmeme
It may continue upward for awhile longer, but the rate of growth is slowing.
r aigslistDejanews.png
http://www.realmeme.com/Main/dailymeme/2005/Aug/c