I mean the main inland ice sheet is 100,000 years old. Obviously, the edges of Greenland are much more sensitive to small temperature fluctuations and local climate changes.
If you look at the history of the Vikings, you will notice an odd naming of Greenland
The Greenland ice sheet is 100,000 years old, so it was there when the Vikings visited it. The Vikings did find some green parts along the edges, but these are green today as well. See this documentary https://www.youtube.com/watch?...
The article is talking about summer ice cap, and you're showing a graph of the winter. Current low record for extend of arctic summer ice is about 3.5 million km, from september 2013. Granted, 2013 wasn't ice-free, but that was an early estimate from one overexcited scientist. We're getting close, though, but the exact year depends on a lot on the particular weather.
Compare animals with small nervous systems and animals with huge nervous systems. There is no fundamental difference, except one is bigger than the other. The same will happen with AI. As the problem solvers get bigger, and more and more skillful and wider scoped, they'll evolve into more and more general intelligence.
There are not even theories how general AI could be created.
Do you accept that a general AI can be build out of simple parts that follow strictly deterministic mechanical rules ? If not, you will never find the theory you are looking for.
Strong AI is like the secret marble you can feel in a stack of envelopes. Research will continue to peel away all the envelopes until it reaches the bottom of the stack, without ever finding a marble. The marble is an illusion.
The ones that aren't in denial are noticing. The rest will notice soon after.
I get that, but we were talking about the need for urgency. Does a problem become less urgent, when you don't have a fair solution ?
I mean the main inland ice sheet is 100,000 years old. Obviously, the edges of Greenland are much more sensitive to small temperature fluctuations and local climate changes.
The logarithmic response is correct, but the current best estimates put the warming at 3C per doubling of CO2. https://www.skepticalscience.c...
So what are you trying to say ?
Do it yourself.
The people in Miami are noticing.
There's enough known reserves to keep us going for several more centuries
Reserves don't mean much if they can't sustain the current production rate.
This time they're making a prediction for next week, not 5 years in the future.
Greenland has been losing about 270 gigatons of ice per year lately, but the pace is likely to accelerate as the warming continues.
They can't be very good scientists if they "marvel" at long predicted and long observed gradual changes in climate
The particular changes this arctic winter have not been long predicted, and aren't gradual.
if the model simulation is saying 50C higher, I'd get a better model, some fruit loop must have messed with the parameters.
No, it's saying 50F higher. And since we've already seen 30-50F high anomalies this winter, the model output is perfectly plausible.
If you look at the history of the Vikings, you will notice an odd naming of Greenland
The Greenland ice sheet is 100,000 years old, so it was there when the Vikings visited it. The Vikings did find some green parts along the edges, but these are green today as well. See this documentary https://www.youtube.com/watch?...
The same thing that caused it last time, a mix of planetary wobble and solar activity
Solar activity has been down lately, and wobbles are too slow or too insignificant.
remnants of 2016 El Nino? Or maybe it's accumulated pollution from China
I mean the warming of the last 40 years, not just this year.
One tenth of an inch a year, I'm just not feeling your sense of urgency here
Yeah, let's wait until it's urgent, and then find out we're too late to change anything.
So, if this sudden warming is part of a natural cycles, what's causing it ? Why is it happening now ?
Why is it that all climate change responses are about people giving up personal freedom
You're going to have to give up your personal freedom when we run out of fossil fuels anyway. Better get a head start on the rest of the world.
The article is talking about summer ice cap, and you're showing a graph of the winter. Current low record for extend of arctic summer ice is about 3.5 million km, from september 2013. Granted, 2013 wasn't ice-free, but that was an early estimate from one overexcited scientist. We're getting close, though, but the exact year depends on a lot on the particular weather.
Compare animals with small nervous systems and animals with huge nervous systems. There is no fundamental difference, except one is bigger than the other. The same will happen with AI. As the problem solvers get bigger, and more and more skillful and wider scoped, they'll evolve into more and more general intelligence.
Definitions are cute, but the proof is in a test. Please explain how *you* would test if a machine has strong AI.
There are not even theories how general AI could be created.
Do you accept that a general AI can be build out of simple parts that follow strictly deterministic mechanical rules ? If not, you will never find the theory you are looking for.
Strong AI is like the secret marble you can feel in a stack of envelopes. Research will continue to peel away all the envelopes until it reaches the bottom of the stack, without ever finding a marble. The marble is an illusion.
If you don't do many trades as a small player, it doesn't matter that someone is skimming razor thin margins off your transactions.
Every AI becomes weak AI as soon as it is solved.