Seriously, though, the middle class has been stagnant while the 1% growing in proportion approximately starting around the time offshoring and automation really took off. Coincidence?
Federal trade policies over the last 40+ years has contributed to decrease of the middle class and the increase of the 1%. If the US had a US-first policy like Germany has a German-first policy, the offshoring wouldn't haven't happened to eliminate middle-class jobs and destroy manufacturing capacity. Automation will still happen to shift workers to other jobs.
I believe it because I already see it. Unemployment up all over the place.
One-guy with gas-powered blower does the work of 100 broom sweepers. Yes, these things happen. But I don't see an AI or robot replacing the landscaping guy anytime soon.
What does the ACA have to do with anything? With ~76M retired baby boomers in 2030, it'll take a lot of young people in healthcare to support these geezers from retirement to grave. Since retirees will outnumber working people, healthcare jobs will pay better than other jobs to attract more workers. Everyone will need extra income to pay for taxes as Social Security and Medicare will consume two-thirds of the federal budget.
Most of the technologies you have listed have lasted for a hundred years before being fundamentally altered or transformed by newer technologies. Nuclear/power/weapons, transistor, personal computers, and the Internet are less than 70 years old. But these articles that talk about jobs being replaced by AIs and Robots are misleading as those technologies are years away from being day-to-day reality. If an AI does replace my job, I'll be ready to change to a different job. Something most people aren't prepared to do because they don't take future trends into consideration.
Baby boomers are retiring and the workforce is shrinking over the next 20 years. Healthcare is likely to be the money major that young people take in college, leaving many fields with fewer and fewer workers. Plenty of jobs, not enough people.
I'm not even sure I'd be able to find 4GB or even 8GB drives in stores anymore.
Newegg has plenty of 4GB USB sticks — if you don't mind waiting two weeks for it to arrive from China. Today's special is a three-pack of 8GB USB sticks for $10.
[...] you should also push them to learn at least one if not two other languages, preferably big European ones.
Doesn't hurt to be proficient in English, which is more or less an international language these days. Too many young adults are using '+' or '&' for the word 'and' in writing sentences. Concatenation symbols are fine when programming with computers, but not when communicating with people.
Microsoft never released Windows 9 as a version because any programmer calling for the version name string as "Windows 9" could get back "Windows 95" and "Windows 98" as valid operating systems. Running Windows 9 software on Windows 95/98 would be very, very bad. Microsoft had a hard enough time killing off Windows XP.
Computer Science and working in IT is just as risky as working in any other sector.
I heard this after the dot com bust. People thought it was crazy for me to go back to community college to learn computer programming. But, hey, thanks to George W. following 9/11, I got a $3,000 tax credit to learn new job skills and going back to school was free. I went from working as a video game tester to working as help desk/desktop support technician. Today I'm doing computer security, making more money and paying more taxes. The future looks very bright in the next 20 years as the baby boomers retire and foreign workers will stay home to develop their own country.
But there is no way on earth you could run anything down that right of way at 200mph without rebuilding it as half tunnels and half bridges.
Redoing tunnels and rebuilding bridges should be a piece of cake in comparison to building an eight-story-tall overpass to bring the high-speed rail over the freeways in Silicon Valley. I have serious doubts that monstrosity will ever get built.
If you're government worker, you need to turn in your fingerprints every year anyway. I'm not sure if the government has the capability to pull my fingerprint records and be able to spoof the fingerprint sensor on my iPhone. Not that I have anything sensitive on iPhone.
In my field, it seems like a lot of positions are written for individual people. They really don't have an intention of hiring the best person. That really bugs me because there's supposed to be transparency and fairness I'm the process.
Sound like the Microsoft hiring process. A manager wants to hire his beer buddy for job. HR requires five candidates interviewed before the beer buddy gets the job. So four other applicants are interviewed along with the beer buddy. And then the beer buddy gets the job. Five Microsoft recruiter strung me along like that for a month in 2005. I got so ticked off by the process that I held my last phone interview inside the men restroom during the lunch hour rush at my then current job. All the pissing and flushing drove the recruiter nuts.
Umm... the central valley connects LA and SF. Sounds like a good location for a train. I don't see a faster way to connect
The other route was the Pacific coast. Both routes would use the existing right of way for freight and passenger trains. Running the line on the coast meant ignoring the Central Valley entirely and that ruffled too many feathers. No one wanted to build feeder links to the coast.
Do you also have advice for people who don't eat a whole grocery store every week?
What makes you think I eat a whole grocery store? I actually eat less than most skinny people since I'm on a low carb diet (150 grams/1,500 calories per day).
Except that "robot repairers" - if not robot themselves - will be no more than 1/10 the jobs lost.
Correct. If I recognized that I'm being replaced by a robot and make the preparations to become a robot repairer, I'm going to be the person who gets the job. Meanwhile, the 90% who got laid off will wonder what happen, blame someone else for their problems and demand that the government fix it for them.
[...] you think you can keep your job as a sysadmin [...]
Change my current job, let the robots have it.
Enjoy capitalism.
With every career change, I make more and more money.
I'm sure the AI would speak better English than you. Idiot.
An idiot is someone who isn't open to correction. I'm always open to correction. Since you're not offering correction but an insult, I must presume you're the idiot.
Just another IT guy who's hoping that AI isn't really here. Sorry, your fear is justified: AI will take your job away soon, if it hasn't already.
I've been hearing that argument for years. If a robot does replaces my IT job, I'm going to become the guy who repairs robots. Most people don't have a situational awareness that their job might go away someday and prepare for the possibility that they might have to do something else for a living.
Slashdot Mirror
Seriously, though, the middle class has been stagnant while the 1% growing in proportion approximately starting around the time offshoring and automation really took off. Coincidence?
Federal trade policies over the last 40+ years has contributed to decrease of the middle class and the increase of the 1%. If the US had a US-first policy like Germany has a German-first policy, the offshoring wouldn't haven't happened to eliminate middle-class jobs and destroy manufacturing capacity. Automation will still happen to shift workers to other jobs.
I believe it because I already see it. Unemployment up all over the place.
One-guy with gas-powered blower does the work of 100 broom sweepers. Yes, these things happen. But I don't see an AI or robot replacing the landscaping guy anytime soon.
All of which come pre-loaded with malware.
Which is why you have a anti-malware scanner turned on, auto play turned off for USB devices, and reformat the USB drive before using.
You do practice safe computing?
What does the ACA have to do with anything? With ~76M retired baby boomers in 2030, it'll take a lot of young people in healthcare to support these geezers from retirement to grave. Since retirees will outnumber working people, healthcare jobs will pay better than other jobs to attract more workers. Everyone will need extra income to pay for taxes as Social Security and Medicare will consume two-thirds of the federal budget.
I imagine the same was said about:
Most of the technologies you have listed have lasted for a hundred years before being fundamentally altered or transformed by newer technologies. Nuclear/power/weapons, transistor, personal computers, and the Internet are less than 70 years old. But these articles that talk about jobs being replaced by AIs and Robots are misleading as those technologies are years away from being day-to-day reality. If an AI does replace my job, I'll be ready to change to a different job. Something most people aren't prepared to do because they don't take future trends into consideration.
Baby boomers are retiring and the workforce is shrinking over the next 20 years. Healthcare is likely to be the money major that young people take in college, leaving many fields with fewer and fewer workers. Plenty of jobs, not enough people.
Yet another fear-inducing, hysteria-producing Slashdot article about how AIs/robots/H1Bs/women will replace our jobs. I'll believe it when I see it.
I'm not even sure I'd be able to find 4GB or even 8GB drives in stores anymore.
Newegg has plenty of 4GB USB sticks — if you don't mind waiting two weeks for it to arrive from China. Today's special is a three-pack of 8GB USB sticks for $10.
http://www.newegg.com/Product/Product.aspx?Item=9SIA4AJ1H87282&ignorebbr=1
What did you expect when Microsoft announce Ubuntu on Windows? Of course, the install image got bloated.
[...] you should also push them to learn at least one if not two other languages, preferably big European ones.
Doesn't hurt to be proficient in English, which is more or less an international language these days. Too many young adults are using '+' or '&' for the word 'and' in writing sentences. Concatenation symbols are fine when programming with computers, but not when communicating with people.
Microsoft never released Windows 9 as a version because any programmer calling for the version name string as "Windows 9" could get back "Windows 95" and "Windows 98" as valid operating systems. Running Windows 9 software on Windows 95/98 would be very, very bad. Microsoft had a hard enough time killing off Windows XP.
Computer Science and working in IT is just as risky as working in any other sector.
I heard this after the dot com bust. People thought it was crazy for me to go back to community college to learn computer programming. But, hey, thanks to George W. following 9/11, I got a $3,000 tax credit to learn new job skills and going back to school was free. I went from working as a video game tester to working as help desk/desktop support technician. Today I'm doing computer security, making more money and paying more taxes. The future looks very bright in the next 20 years as the baby boomers retire and foreign workers will stay home to develop their own country.
Nine bucks is how much I pay for a skinny vanilla latte and a breakfast sandwich at Starbucks.
But there is no way on earth you could run anything down that right of way at 200mph without rebuilding it as half tunnels and half bridges.
Redoing tunnels and rebuilding bridges should be a piece of cake in comparison to building an eight-story-tall overpass to bring the high-speed rail over the freeways in Silicon Valley. I have serious doubts that monstrosity will ever get built.
If you're government worker, you need to turn in your fingerprints every year anyway. I'm not sure if the government has the capability to pull my fingerprint records and be able to spoof the fingerprint sensor on my iPhone. Not that I have anything sensitive on iPhone.
In my field, it seems like a lot of positions are written for individual people. They really don't have an intention of hiring the best person. That really bugs me because there's supposed to be transparency and fairness I'm the process.
Sound like the Microsoft hiring process. A manager wants to hire his beer buddy for job. HR requires five candidates interviewed before the beer buddy gets the job. So four other applicants are interviewed along with the beer buddy. And then the beer buddy gets the job. Five Microsoft recruiter strung me along like that for a month in 2005. I got so ticked off by the process that I held my last phone interview inside the men restroom during the lunch hour rush at my then current job. All the pissing and flushing drove the recruiter nuts.
Who treats doctors when they get sick?
Their mothers — and robots don't have mothers.
Umm... the central valley connects LA and SF. Sounds like a good location for a train. I don't see a faster way to connect
The other route was the Pacific coast. Both routes would use the existing right of way for freight and passenger trains. Running the line on the coast meant ignoring the Central Valley entirely and that ruffled too many feathers. No one wanted to build feeder links to the coast.
If you don't want science in your fiction, then read fiction.
I do read fiction. Amazon has it listed under "science fiction/fantasy" instead of "fiction" for some reason.
Do you also have advice for people who don't eat a whole grocery store every week?
What makes you think I eat a whole grocery store? I actually eat less than most skinny people since I'm on a low carb diet (150 grams/1,500 calories per day).
Get real, if an AI Robot can do you job then an AI Robot can repair the faulty robots too.
Who will repair the repair robots?
Except that "robot repairers" - if not robot themselves - will be no more than 1/10 the jobs lost.
Correct. If I recognized that I'm being replaced by a robot and make the preparations to become a robot repairer, I'm going to be the person who gets the job. Meanwhile, the 90% who got laid off will wonder what happen, blame someone else for their problems and demand that the government fix it for them.
[...] you think you can keep your job as a sysadmin [...]
Change my current job, let the robots have it.
Enjoy capitalism.
With every career change, I make more and more money.
I'm sure the AI would speak better English than you. Idiot.
An idiot is someone who isn't open to correction. I'm always open to correction. Since you're not offering correction but an insult, I must presume you're the idiot.
Cut a small hole into a coconut and name it Jane.
Just another IT guy who's hoping that AI isn't really here. Sorry, your fear is justified: AI will take your job away soon, if it hasn't already.
I've been hearing that argument for years. If a robot does replaces my IT job, I'm going to become the guy who repairs robots. Most people don't have a situational awareness that their job might go away someday and prepare for the possibility that they might have to do something else for a living.