Two 14 year terms from the date of publishing. You have to pay hard cash to renew it for the second 14 years. Something like one month's pay at minimum wage.
Apparently you've missed the documented coordination with Russia on releases of private information to influence the u.s. elections. I know it's hard in your bubble but you need to get out more.
What an ex- senior google employee has to say about this nimrod's brain fart.
You have probably heard about the manifesto a Googler (not someone senior) published internally about, essentially, how women and men are intrinsically different and we should stop trying to make it possible for women to be engineers, itâ(TM)s just not worth it.
Until about a week ago, you would have heard very little from me publicly about this, because (as a fairly senior Googler) my job would have been to deal with it internally, and confidentiality rules would have prevented me from saying much in public.
But as it happens, (although this wasnâ(TM)t the way I was planning on announcing it) I actually recently left GoogleâSâ"âSfor entirely unrelated and actually really-good-news reasons which you can read about here. So when all of this broke, I was just as much on the outside as everyone else, and I know what was written in this only because it leaked and was published by Gizmodo.
And since Iâ(TM)m no longer on the inside, and have no confidential information about any of this, the thing which I would have posted internally Iâ(TM)ll instead say right here, because itâ(TM)s relevant not just to Google, but to everyone else in tech.
So it seems that someone has seen fit to publish an internal manifesto about gender and our âoeideological echo chamber.â I think itâ(TM)s important that we make a couple of points clear.
(1) Despite speaking very authoritatively, the author does not appear to understand gender.
(2) Perhaps more interestingly, the author does not appear to understand engineering.
(3) And most seriously, the author does not appear to understand the consequences of what he wrote, either for others or himself.
1.Iâ(TM)m not going to spend any length of time on (1); if anyone wishes to provide details as to how nearly every statement about gender in that entire document is actively incorrect, and flies directly in the face of all research done in the field for decades, they should go for it. But I am neither a biologist, a psychologist, nor a sociologist, so Iâ(TM)ll leave that to someone else.
2. What I am is an engineer, and I was rather surprised that anyone has managed to make it this far without understanding some very basic points about what the job is. The manifesto talks about making âoesoftware engineering more people-oriented with pair programming and more collaborationâ but that this is fundamentally limited by âoehow people-oriented certain roles and Google can be;â and even more surprisingly, it has an entire section titled âoede-emphasize empathy,â as one of the proposed solutions.
People who havenâ(TM)t done engineering, or people who have done just the basics, sometimes think that what engineering looks like is sitting at your computer and hyper-optimizing an inner loop, or cleaning up a class API. Weâ(TM)ve all done this kind of thing, and for many of us (including me) itâ(TM)s tremendous fun. And when youâ(TM)re at the novice stages of engineering, this is the large bulk of your work: something straightforward and bounded which can be done right or wrong, and where you can hone your basic skills.
But itâ(TM)s not a coincidence that job titles at Google switch from numbers to words at a certain point. Thatâ(TM)s precisely the point at which you have, in a way, completed your first apprenticeship: you can operate independently without close supervision. And this is the point where you start doing real engineering.
And it was the same argument used for motorcycle helmets.
Which ended up going the other way.
But addressing your point, there are few real stories where people were trapped in a car by a seatbelt. When validated, the stories turn out to be fictional.
Ann Landers in 1994 and Dear Abby in 1991 both quoted a policeman whoâ(TM)d seen his share of accidents: âoeIâ(TM)ve never unbuckled a dead man.â
That's the difference. Vaccination problems *are* much more common than people trapped by a seatbelt burning to death in a car incidents.
Much more likely is, "thrown from the car and killed", "Crushed against the dash and killed" stories. Also, vaccination problems affect children- so everyone else at their school probably hears about the vaccination problem. Trapped by a seatbelt would probably be adults. And only a few people would hear about it.
And you don't have adverse reactions just for putting on a seatbelt. Children *do* have adverse reactions, bad ones, just from getting their first vaccination shot.
Encephalopathy: (Disease, damage, or malfunction of the brain) is a recognized side effect of Pertussis vaccinations that by the odds happens multiple times every year in the U.S. alone.
LED's are cheap, last longer, reduce the amount of times you have to change bulbs in crazy places like fixtures in a 15' cieling. I love them. They have the right color profile these days.
The television depends on the technology. If it's LED of flourescent (likely) then it's cheap to run.
If I had to pick the order I'd go...
1) LED's 2) More Insulation 3) More insulation 4) More insulated windows 5) Other stuff.
I have crazy amounts of insulation (2 FEET blown-in in the attic) from the prior owner but.. it was at most an extra $1000 and it has saved me about $300 per summer and $150 per winter every year for 20 years now. So that would have been $1000 for a $9000 payoff.
It would probably have impact on a very tiny number of people. The bulk of the profits would go to wealthy people with connections and not enter the local economy. A small amount would go as salaries locally and while positive, it would probably be under 25 million.
But the technology to allow humans to dive down 300' in the water doesn't exist!
And if it did, it would probably cost so much terrorists couldn't afford it!
Look, if the plant provides 90% of power to the region and 10% of europe's, it's probably okay. But if it is a known target for which almost all the benefit is being shipped to europe, it would have high value.
Captioning is just as inefficient as video in the fist place.
It would take you 8 seconds to read. It would take you 40 seconds to watch.
But with all the puffery, lead in, lead out, the video news is often 3-5 minutes. That's a lot less efficient than 8 seconds. And captioning doesn't speed things up. It's just as slow.
If the A.I. did a decent summarization and you could read it without watching the video, then it would be useful. But you couldn't really trust it.
I use voice typing on my phone. It's 97 to 99% accurate. And just about the time I start to trust it, i stabs me in the back massively with some kind of incredibly bad typo/mistranslation.
I greatly prefer written to video news. Even more so when on video they are bloviating and avoiding getting to the point to puff up their video piece from the 40 seconds it should take to 5 minutes or more.
"If any of your post is true, this guy will be snapped up by another company that is poised to capitalize on this "strong" backlash against feminism. Moreover, they will announce his hire with great fanfare.
Act now! Be the first to start holding your breath!"
Well, for DPT, the D and T are pretty safe. The P has issues.
D has almost no adverse reactions and without it, we were losing 14,000 children a year with a much lower child population.
P has issues as common as 1:350,000.
If you just do the math and are willing to sacrifice a few so many may live, then vaccination makes sense. For each vaccination I've investigated, we had a known number of deaths over 10,000 per year. Vaccination stopped that. That's a clear benefit.
But at a cost of 100 dead children per year and another 1000 or so hospitalized or with severe reactions that had permanent effects (Ignoring autism which I think the data is really muddy).
I think we should have a larger budget for developing tests to determine which children not to vaccinate with particular vaccinations. I think there will often be a detectable genetic component. Just like for blood pressure medicine- there are some drugs you don't give to people with certain genetics. And I think we need a *much* better system for collecting adverse reactions.
"Willful ignorance" is not a good system. A voluntary and (per doctors) "onerous" system is not a good system.
LA county had about 1200 people per square mile in 2015 so that should be enough. I'm not sure bout how the people are distributed.
"Los Angeles County, officially the County of Los Angeles, is the most populous county in the United States. Its population is larger than that of 42 individual U.S. states. Wikipedia Area: 4,751 mi Population: 10.17 million (2015)"
However.. Tokyo has 4600 per square mile. So almost 4x the population to pay for and use mass transit.
La is 17th in terms of population density tho. That should be enough.
1 Japan Tokyo-Yokohama 37,126,000 3,300 11,300 8,547 4,300 2 Indonesia Jakarta 26,063,000 1,075 24,200 2,784 9,400 3 South Korea Seoul-Incheon 22,547,000 835 27,000 2,163 10,400 4 India Delhi, DL-HR-UP 22,242,000 750 29,700 1,943 11,500 5 Philippines Manila 21,951,000 550 39,900 1,425 15,400 6 China Shanghai, SHG 20,860,000 1,350 15,500 3,497 6,000 7 United States New York, NY-NJ-CT 20,464,000 4,495 4,600 11,642 1,800 8 Brazil Sao Paulo 20,186,000 1,225 16,500 3,173 6,400 9 Mexico Mexico City 19,463,000 790 24,600 2,046 9,500 10 Egypt Cairo 17,816,000 660 27,000 1,709 10,400 11 China Beijing, BJ 17,311,000 1,350 12,800 3,497 5,000 12 Japan Osaka-Kobe-Kyoto 17,011,000 1,240 13,700 3,212 5,300 13 India Mumbai, MAH 16,910,000 211 80,100 546 30,900 14 China Guangzhou-Foshan, GD 16,827,000 1,225 13,700 3,173 5,300 15 Russia Moscow 15,512,000 1,700 9,100 4,403 3,500 16 Bangladesh Dhaka 15,414,000 134 115,000 347 44,400 17 United States Los Angeles, CA 14,900,000 2,432 6,100 6,299 2,400 18 India Kolkota, WB 14,374,000 465 30,900 1,204 11,900 19 Pakistan Karachi 14,198,000 300 47,300 777 18,300 20 Argentina Buenos Aires 13,639,000 1,020 13,400 2,642 5,200 21 Turkey Istanbul 13,576,000 540 25,100 1,399 9,700 22 Brazil Rio de Janeiro 12,043,000 780 15,400 2,020 6,000 23 China Shenzhen, GD 11,885,000 675 17,600 1,748 6,800 24 Nigeria Lagos 11,547,000 350 33,000 907 12,700 25 France Paris 10,755,000 1,098 9,800 2,844 3,800
Why do you think mass transit hasn't been successfully implemented? Are land values too high now?
You also end up with the same issue with the pro-vax crowd.
Many of them are irrationally pro-vax and simply shout over and over we have to do it without providing any data even tho there are about 100 reported deaths per year and an average of 3,000 voluntarily reported adverse reactions (and many doctors do not report adverse reactions to vaccinations because it's an onerous process).
The main argument for vaccination is that 14,000 would be dying per year to diphtheria alone without vaccination.
However, we need to recognize the risks and develop tests to bring the number of deaths, encephalopathy, anaphylactic shock and other serious side effects down.
It's an interesting philosophical question for people who are pro-vaccination but anti-death penalty. Because vaccination is a case where the state is mandating the death of citizens (albeit in a random fashion that recalls Jackson's, "The Lottery".) So you have someone saying we should not execute people because we might kill someone innocent who is arguing we should vaccinate which might kill someone innocent.
While the pro-vaccination crowd rightly points out it saves many lives, the pro-execution crowd also points to cases where executing someone prevents them from killing others again. Perhaps it's the relative numbers which leads us to the decision. Vaccination saves tens of thousands of lives. Execution saves a few lives for some but not all executions.
Important thing is to keep an open rational mind and to consider issues from both directions.
Nonsense! When discussing electric vehicle range you have to assume that every trip is at least 13,000 miles without stopping for more than 5 minutes at a time, while carrying 5 passengers and towing a boat. Otherwise people might realise that their daily use is easily doable with electric vehicles available today.
I know right?
Realworld decline by the average tesla is 3 miles per year. So 24 miles after 8 years.
Tesla battery data shows path to over 500,000 miles on a single pack
CEO Elon Musk once referred to a battery pack Tesla was testing in the lab. He said that the company had simulated over 500,000 miles on it and that it was still operating at over 80% of its original capacity. It sounds crazy. The car itself is more likely to give up than the battery pack at this kind of mileage, but based on this new data, it looks a lot more plausible.
The next step is a 1 million-mile battery pack. Considering Tesla is aiming for its drive unit to last 1 million miles, it would make sense to have the same goal for the battery pack.
https://www.teslacentral.com/w... According to the U.S. Department of Transportation, the average driver in the United States puts 13,476 on their personal vehicle, which works out to about 3 miles per year in decreased range â" it would take the average owner of a 215-mile-range Tesla Model 3 more than five years to dip that range under the 200-mile mark.
Then again, after eight years the average Tesla would have lost only around 25 miles off the rated range.
I did a bit of research about this a while back and one common factor in the countries listed for successful mass transit was *much* higher population density than the U.S. Usually double our population density and going up from there.
It's obvious if you think about it. If a bus route has 20 riders per mile, it may be successful. If it has 5 riders per mile, it will probably fail.
There are cities and counties where population density is high enough but many are not (yet).
If a bus came along every 15 minutes within 3 blocks of my house, I'd probably use it some. But it's 99 degrees with 80% humidity outside right now. And the bus only comes along once every 48 minutes. It is within 3 blocks of my house tho. But isn't that close for the other 16 blocks of the neighborhood past me.
I only have a 12 gallon tank and it's not possible for me to get in and out of a gas station in under 10 minutes.
Also, new charging technology is in production that brings a 25% charge down to 5 minutes and an 80% charge down to 15 minutes.
As the percentage of EV's increase and ICE's decrease, gasoline will become more expensive (because the overhead remains the same and less gallons are produced, delivered, and pumped).
Automobiles replaced horses extremely quickly. It's likely EV's will similarly hit a tipping point.
Slashdot Mirror
I strongly agree with this as well.
Why can't we get the votes for it?
Two 14 year terms from the date of publishing. You have to pay hard cash to renew it for the second 14 years. Something like one month's pay at minimum wage.
Apparently you've missed the documented coordination with Russia on releases of private information to influence the u.s. elections. I know it's hard in your bubble but you need to get out more.
What an ex- senior google employee has to say about this nimrod's brain fart.
https://medium.com/@yonatanzun...
So, about this Googlerâ(TM)s manifesto.
You have probably heard about the manifesto a Googler (not someone senior) published internally about, essentially, how women and men are intrinsically different and we should stop trying to make it possible for women to be engineers, itâ(TM)s just not worth it.
Until about a week ago, you would have heard very little from me publicly about this, because (as a fairly senior Googler) my job would have been to deal with it internally, and confidentiality rules would have prevented me from saying much in public.
But as it happens, (although this wasnâ(TM)t the way I was planning on announcing it) I actually recently left GoogleâSâ"âSfor entirely unrelated and actually really-good-news reasons which you can read about here. So when all of this broke, I was just as much on the outside as everyone else, and I know what was written in this only because it leaked and was published by Gizmodo.
And since Iâ(TM)m no longer on the inside, and have no confidential information about any of this, the thing which I would have posted internally Iâ(TM)ll instead say right here, because itâ(TM)s relevant not just to Google, but to everyone else in tech.
So it seems that someone has seen fit to publish an internal manifesto about gender and our âoeideological echo chamber.â I think itâ(TM)s important that we make a couple of points clear.
(1) Despite speaking very authoritatively, the author does not appear to understand gender.
(2) Perhaps more interestingly, the author does not appear to understand engineering.
(3) And most seriously, the author does not appear to understand the consequences of what he wrote, either for others or himself.
1.Iâ(TM)m not going to spend any length of time on (1); if anyone wishes to provide details as to how nearly every statement about gender in that entire document is actively incorrect, and flies directly in the face of all research done in the field for decades, they should go for it. But I am neither a biologist, a psychologist, nor a sociologist, so Iâ(TM)ll leave that to someone else.
2. What I am is an engineer, and I was rather surprised that anyone has managed to make it this far without understanding some very basic points about what the job is. The manifesto talks about making âoesoftware engineering more people-oriented with pair programming and more collaborationâ but that this is fundamentally limited by âoehow people-oriented certain roles and Google can be;â and even more surprisingly, it has an entire section titled âoede-emphasize empathy,â as one of the proposed solutions.
People who havenâ(TM)t done engineering, or people who have done just the basics, sometimes think that what engineering looks like is sitting at your computer and hyper-optimizing an inner loop, or cleaning up a class API. Weâ(TM)ve all done this kind of thing, and for many of us (including me) itâ(TM)s tremendous fun. And when youâ(TM)re at the novice stages of engineering, this is the large bulk of your work: something straightforward and bounded which can be done right or wrong, and where you can hone your basic skills.
But itâ(TM)s not a coincidence that job titles at Google switch from numbers to words at a certain point. Thatâ(TM)s precisely the point at which you have, in a way, completed your first apprenticeship: you can operate independently without close supervision. And this is the point where you start doing real engineering.
Engineering is no
Excellent, a company openly hostile to the united states and in league with russia hired him. What's yer point?
And it was the same argument used for motorcycle helmets.
Which ended up going the other way.
But addressing your point, there are few real stories where people were trapped in a car by a seatbelt. When validated, the stories turn out to be fictional.
Ann Landers in 1994 and Dear Abby in 1991 both quoted a policeman whoâ(TM)d seen his share of accidents: âoeIâ(TM)ve never unbuckled a dead man.â
That's the difference. Vaccination problems *are* much more common than people trapped by a seatbelt burning to death in a car incidents.
Much more likely is, "thrown from the car and killed", "Crushed against the dash and killed" stories. Also, vaccination problems affect children- so everyone else at their school probably hears about the vaccination problem. Trapped by a seatbelt would probably be adults. And only a few people would hear about it.
And you don't have adverse reactions just for putting on a seatbelt. Children *do* have adverse reactions, bad ones, just from getting their first vaccination shot.
Encephalopathy: (Disease, damage, or malfunction of the brain) is a recognized side effect of Pertussis vaccinations that by the odds happens multiple times every year in the U.S. alone.
LED's are cheap, last longer, reduce the amount of times you have to change bulbs in crazy places like fixtures in a 15' cieling. I love them. They have the right color profile these days.
The television depends on the technology. If it's LED of flourescent (likely) then it's cheap to run.
If I had to pick the order I'd go...
1) LED's
2) More Insulation
3) More insulation
4) More insulated windows
5) Other stuff.
I have crazy amounts of insulation (2 FEET blown-in in the attic) from the prior owner but.. it was at most an extra $1000 and it has saved me about $300 per summer and $150 per winter every year for 20 years now. So that would have been $1000 for a $9000 payoff.
It would probably have impact on a very tiny number of people. The bulk of the profits would go to wealthy people with connections and not enter the local economy. A small amount would go as salaries locally and while positive, it would probably be under 25 million.
But the technology to allow humans to dive down 300' in the water doesn't exist!
And if it did, it would probably cost so much terrorists couldn't afford it!
Look, if the plant provides 90% of power to the region and 10% of europe's, it's probably okay. But if it is a known target for which almost all the benefit is being shipped to europe, it would have high value.
Captioning is just as inefficient as video in the fist place.
It would take you 8 seconds to read.
It would take you 40 seconds to watch.
But with all the puffery, lead in, lead out, the video news is often 3-5 minutes. That's a lot less efficient than 8 seconds. And captioning doesn't speed things up. It's just as slow.
If the A.I. did a decent summarization and you could read it without watching the video, then it would be useful. But you couldn't really trust it.
I use voice typing on my phone. It's 97 to 99% accurate. And just about the time I start to trust it, i stabs me in the back massively with some kind of incredibly bad typo/mistranslation.
I greatly prefer written to video news. Even more so when on video they are bloviating and avoiding getting to the point to puff up their video piece from the 40 seconds it should take to 5 minutes or more.
Mod parent up!
They said...
"If any of your post is true, this guy will be snapped up by another company that is poised to capitalize on this "strong" backlash against feminism. Moreover, they will announce his hire with great fanfare.
Act now! Be the first to start holding your breath!"
It's an excellent point.
Well, for DPT, the D and T are pretty safe. The P has issues.
D has almost no adverse reactions and without it, we were losing 14,000 children a year with a much lower child population.
P has issues as common as 1:350,000.
If you just do the math and are willing to sacrifice a few so many may live, then vaccination makes sense. For each vaccination I've investigated, we had a known number of deaths over 10,000 per year. Vaccination stopped that. That's a clear benefit.
But at a cost of 100 dead children per year and another 1000 or so hospitalized or with severe reactions that had permanent effects (Ignoring autism which I think the data is really muddy).
I think we should have a larger budget for developing tests to determine which children not to vaccinate with particular vaccinations. I think there will often be a detectable genetic component. Just like for blood pressure medicine- there are some drugs you don't give to people with certain genetics. And I think we need a *much* better system for collecting adverse reactions.
"Willful ignorance" is not a good system. A voluntary and (per doctors) "onerous" system is not a good system.
Recognizing your point of view, it's good press for about 30% of the country. It's bad press for about 70% of the country.
He's also a pile of lawsuits waiting to happen from any females he supervises from now on.
That is just awesome. Going to use that elsewhere. I'm for rational attitudes on vaccination and rabid anti-vaxxers drive me crazy.
BUT so do rabid irrational pro-vaxers.
There was a large part of junior wanting to show up daddy for not invading in that war.
And daddy was wise enough to know not to start it in the first place.
Junior was driven by neo-cons and his ego into a multi-trillion dollar war with over 4000 lives lost.
Did they consider things like the 2 trillion and 4000 lives spent on the gulf war to protect oil in their totals?
When we don't have to protect oil wells, spending and wars will drop markedly.
Exactly.
Ethanol and unneeded tanks and jets forever but not a dime for solar is the goal.
Plus he brought bad press to his employer. That's a firing offense in most states.
LA county had about 1200 people per square mile in 2015 so that should be enough. I'm not sure bout how the people are distributed.
"Los Angeles County, officially the County of Los Angeles, is the most populous county in the United States. Its population is larger than that of 42 individual U.S. states. Wikipedia
Area: 4,751 miÂ
Population: 10.17 million (2015)"
However.. Tokyo has 4600 per square mile. So almost 4x the population to pay for and use mass transit.
La is 17th in terms of population density tho. That should be enough.
1 Japan Tokyo-Yokohama 37,126,000 3,300 11,300 8,547 4,300
2 Indonesia Jakarta 26,063,000 1,075 24,200 2,784 9,400
3 South Korea Seoul-Incheon 22,547,000 835 27,000 2,163 10,400
4 India Delhi, DL-HR-UP 22,242,000 750 29,700 1,943 11,500
5 Philippines Manila 21,951,000 550 39,900 1,425 15,400
6 China Shanghai, SHG 20,860,000 1,350 15,500 3,497 6,000
7 United States New York, NY-NJ-CT 20,464,000 4,495 4,600 11,642 1,800
8 Brazil Sao Paulo 20,186,000 1,225 16,500 3,173 6,400
9 Mexico Mexico City 19,463,000 790 24,600 2,046 9,500
10 Egypt Cairo 17,816,000 660 27,000 1,709 10,400
11 China Beijing, BJ 17,311,000 1,350 12,800 3,497 5,000
12 Japan Osaka-Kobe-Kyoto 17,011,000 1,240 13,700 3,212 5,300
13 India Mumbai, MAH 16,910,000 211 80,100 546 30,900
14 China Guangzhou-Foshan, GD 16,827,000 1,225 13,700 3,173 5,300
15 Russia Moscow 15,512,000 1,700 9,100 4,403 3,500
16 Bangladesh Dhaka 15,414,000 134 115,000 347 44,400
17 United States Los Angeles, CA 14,900,000 2,432 6,100 6,299 2,400
18 India Kolkota, WB 14,374,000 465 30,900 1,204 11,900
19 Pakistan Karachi 14,198,000 300 47,300 777 18,300
20 Argentina Buenos Aires 13,639,000 1,020 13,400 2,642 5,200
21 Turkey Istanbul 13,576,000 540 25,100 1,399 9,700
22 Brazil Rio de Janeiro 12,043,000 780 15,400 2,020 6,000
23 China Shenzhen, GD 11,885,000 675 17,600 1,748 6,800
24 Nigeria Lagos 11,547,000 350 33,000 907 12,700
25 France Paris 10,755,000 1,098 9,800 2,844 3,800
Why do you think mass transit hasn't been successfully implemented? Are land values too high now?
No, those numbers (per the CDC) are greatly *under*inflated by as much as 10 to 1 (again, per the CDC on their vears page).
The area needs a lot of formal study.
You also end up with the same issue with the pro-vax crowd.
Many of them are irrationally pro-vax and simply shout over and over we have to do it without providing any data even tho there are about 100 reported deaths per year and an average of 3,000 voluntarily reported adverse reactions (and many doctors do not report adverse reactions to vaccinations because it's an onerous process).
The main argument for vaccination is that 14,000 would be dying per year to diphtheria alone without vaccination.
However, we need to recognize the risks and develop tests to bring the number of deaths, encephalopathy, anaphylactic shock and other serious side effects down.
It's an interesting philosophical question for people who are pro-vaccination but anti-death penalty. Because vaccination is a case where the state is mandating the death of citizens (albeit in a random fashion that recalls Jackson's, "The Lottery".) So you have someone saying we should not execute people because we might kill someone innocent who is arguing we should vaccinate which might kill someone innocent.
While the pro-vaccination crowd rightly points out it saves many lives, the pro-execution crowd also points to cases where executing someone prevents them from killing others again. Perhaps it's the relative numbers which leads us to the decision. Vaccination saves tens of thousands of lives. Execution saves a few lives for some but not all executions.
Important thing is to keep an open rational mind and to consider issues from both directions.
Nonsense! When discussing electric vehicle range you have to assume that every trip is at least 13,000 miles without stopping for more than 5 minutes at a time, while carrying 5 passengers and towing a boat. Otherwise people might realise that their daily use is easily doable with electric vehicles available today.
I know right?
Realworld decline by the average tesla is 3 miles per year. So 24 miles after 8 years.
And that's with older battery packs.
Battery decline in the real world by electric car owners are no where near those figures.
https://electrek.co/2016/11/01...
Tesla battery data shows path to over 500,000 miles on a single pack
CEO Elon Musk once referred to a battery pack Tesla was testing in the lab. He said that the company had simulated over 500,000 miles on it and that it was still operating at over 80% of its original capacity. It sounds crazy. The car itself is more likely to give up than the battery pack at this kind of mileage, but based on this new data, it looks a lot more plausible.
The next step is a 1 million-mile battery pack. Considering Tesla is aiming for its drive unit to last 1 million miles, it would make sense to have the same goal for the battery pack.
https://www.teslacentral.com/w...
According to the U.S. Department of Transportation, the average driver in the United States puts 13,476 on their personal vehicle, which works out to about 3 miles per year in decreased range â" it would take the average owner of a 215-mile-range Tesla Model 3 more than five years to dip that range under the 200-mile mark.
Then again, after eight years the average Tesla would have lost only around 25 miles off the rated range.
I did a bit of research about this a while back and one common factor in the countries listed for successful mass transit was *much* higher population density than the U.S. Usually double our population density and going up from there.
It's obvious if you think about it. If a bus route has 20 riders per mile, it may be successful. If it has 5 riders per mile, it will probably fail.
There are cities and counties where population density is high enough but many are not (yet).
If a bus came along every 15 minutes within 3 blocks of my house, I'd probably use it some. But it's 99 degrees with 80% humidity outside right now. And the bus only comes along once every 48 minutes. It is within 3 blocks of my house tho. But isn't that close for the other 16 blocks of the neighborhood past me.
Bike mounts on buses have been a good start tho.
That doesn't sense.
You are proposing 100,000 to 120,000 miles per year.
At that rate, you are burning out every other system in the car as well.
40 cycles a year is more realistc for the average 13,000 miles driven by most.
I only have a 12 gallon tank and it's not possible for me to get in and out of a gas station in under 10 minutes.
Also, new charging technology is in production that brings a 25% charge down to 5 minutes and an 80% charge down to 15 minutes.
As the percentage of EV's increase and ICE's decrease, gasoline will become more expensive (because the overhead remains the same and less gallons are produced, delivered, and pumped).
Automobiles replaced horses extremely quickly. It's likely EV's will similarly hit a tipping point.