People have been saying that for 20 years. They have been consistantly proven wrong.
Well, during millenia people have said that earth was Flat. You are entitled to your 20 years old idea.
Note that I didn't say it was happening now. My time scales are pretty large and imprecise. After all the future is a long time.
The fact that we build electronics with size of 90 nm is fantastics, incredible in fact. There were lot of technology improvement to reach such small size. But the basics are still the same conductor, resistor,...
10nm is the size of an Hydrogen Atom. At such size the concept of condutors and resistors does not make any sense.
I never heard of a totally new concept to build computing entity, have you?
Any trend deduced from increase in technology or economy in the last century is doomed to fail. Electronics progress have been fueled by miniaturisation. Electronics in labs now are composant with a width of a few atoms. We can not go much further. Moore's Law will end if not in price$ in energy required.
Cheap and easy energy will end when we will have used all the reserve of Gas. It is not obvious that we will have anything to replace it in time.
So my prediciton is Technological stagnation and chaos. Unless we manage to make the necessary social changes without war and unrest. I doubt it will be possible. (Time frame ? 50-100 years )
When civilisation re-emerge, it will be in a simpler form helped by technology where technology really helps. No more gadgets (will it be worth living?)
No faster than light spacecraft, no replicator, no light saber, no eternal life, no brain transfer into a computer,... Artificial Inteligence caused catastrophe will happen but less frequently than human made catastrophe.
No, I'was comparing the elite, you may say fundamentalist, on both side. The ones who think that wearing a condom during sex will send you to hell, such idea comes from people who study theology at University. Such idea does not come from John Doe who go to church with his wife every sunday and has sex with his secretary during the week.
The scientists are aware thatthe assumption they made may be wrong. Along the years, many such assumptions has been proven wrong, new theory build with new assumption.
If the reason used by catholics is the same used in Intelligent Design, I'm not impress.
This research will be most usefull when you will be able to keep the stem cell line for 100 years.
At conception, one cell of the embryo which will be you, is harvested. Then the embryo is implanted in you genetical mother or in your womb mother or in a canister.
The cell is used to keep a stem cell line alive for the duration of your life.
Later in life, when your liver die from all the vodka you drank. they can use the stem cell to grow you a new one.
Later, you may loose other organs without too much worry, if you have the money.
Isn't that methode just creating a second embryo that could develop into the twin of the unborn child this method is supposed to save?
To the newly born child: Science has saved you. Without such discovery, they would have destroyed you. Now, they had just to create your twin and destroy it...
Unless they let the twin grow and remove one of his cells....
Always is a very short period for you. Before the time it's always been, there was a time where we were offering human sacrifice to apease the wind.
Science and Religion can NOT co-exist. One is based on reason, the other on faith. There shouldn't be any 'I believe' in science. And there are very little of reasoning in Religion. But we are all human and we all make mistakes to mix/do things, that we shoud not. ---
Science should not be held back by ignorance, religious or others. To be more precise, we have to make a distinction between scientific knowledge and scientific methode.
There should be no limits in the scientific knowledges we are pursuing. (I don't want things like : Don't study the Big Bang because you may show that God does not exist!)
There should be limits on what we do with our knowledge. (e.g. don't test nuclear weapon in the atmosphere because it pollute.) Those limits should be set by the community at large using all the knowledge at our disposition. These decision should apply to everybody/everything including but not limited to the scientific methodology.
Can you or can you not destroy an embryo? The origin/reason should not matter: abortion, extra embryo from fertility treatment, scientific experiment,...
Small number of plane build means high price. Produce tens of thousands of the same plane and the price will drop. Nothing to do with technological progress or regulation.
Well, some people may want to use another access to the internet than his own. like an open wifi access from a suburb house. If he smokes. he may throw the cigarette butts without thinking.
And If It is necessary, when in power, they will force you to register or die. And if you resist, you will probably be turned out by your neighbourg who support the government, not by your name in the DB.
People have this strange idea that dictators have no followers that are happy they are in power and want to help them.
very close to Germany, small and higly developped, have nothing to do with the survival rate of Jews, the only reason is the pre-war registration of their religion.
Nice story, the reality is a little more complexe than that.
If you don't slow it up, you will have cargo turning around the sun about in the same way as the Appolo asteroids (http://scienceworld.wolfram.com/astronomy/ApolloA steroid.html). Unless slowed down properly, their orbits will always stay close to earth's orbit.
And guess what, some of those could come back to hit earth as a radioactive meteorites.
Increased level of Radiation will increase the rate of mutation and speed up evolution around Chernobyl. In thoushands of years Chernobyl animals will rule the world.
Was seems nice for animals would not be acceptable for human. I don't think that the reasercher have measured the number of miscariage.
Also it is natural that only a fraction of offsprings survive. the earlier they die (due to radiation damage), the easier for their parents to protect/feed the rest.
The difference between a cell phone conversation and talking with a passenger is that a passenger can help you looking at the road and slow the conversation when in heavy traffic. Someone on the phone will not and will not understand so easily why there is a pause in the conversation because the driver notice something strange.
A passenger have a better understanding of his/her responsibility not to distract the driver than someone in his/her office/living-room.
This is valid for normal peaceful conversation. For fights or seductions as some touching may occur, the physical presence may be an additional distraction and cell phone may be a better solution.
Phone sex would definitely be less distracting than real sex while driving.
Considering that we are talking about communication between 2 satellites orbiting 2 differents planets. The line of sight will be blocked much more often than that by Earth and Mars. there are no stable orbits that would allow permanent line of sight between 2 spacecrafts.
A system to have almost permanent conection would need 2 or 3 geostationary s/c around each body and 1 at the Earth or Mars lagrange point 4 or 5.
For those who praised the superiority of optical communications : The signal would then need to be radioed to the ground unless you live in the Space Station.
To send but not to receive.
It is easier to build large radio telescope than optical ones. Also it is easier to use interferometry in radio to locate precisely the signal source.
Here we have an unlimited supply (apple can upload the song as many times as they want) and a limited demand (Nobody need to download a song more than once, nor everybody needs the latest American Idol song). Which would mean a price close to $0. There are still some delivery cost.
Also, all song for $.99 does not take into account the demand variation between the top 10 singles and unknown artist tracks.
At the market level, you may consider that there is a kind of supply/demand in that the big companies fix the prices to get the biggest return/profit possible.
As an example of opposites attract. Maybe that's too obvious!
Even if you are surrounded by walls.
You just have to put some big panoramas on the walls.
We had that on one wall of our living room. Imagine that on the 3 walls of your garden. You add a powefull light for the sun and voilà!
We can now all go build condo on the grand canyon without destroying the view as it has already been digitalized at 160 Mpixels.
And If you are bored with the Grand Canyon after a while, you can replace the view by a view of Antartica. It will be refreshing.
Well, during millenia people have said that earth was Flat. You are entitled to your 20 years old idea.
Note that I didn't say it was happening now. My time scales are pretty large and imprecise. After all the future is a long time.
The fact that we build electronics with size of 90 nm is fantastics, incredible in fact. There were lot of technology improvement to reach such small size. But the basics are still the same conductor, resistor, ...
10nm is the size of an Hydrogen Atom. At such size the concept of condutors and resistors does not make any sense.
I never heard of a totally new concept to build computing entity, have you?
Any trend deduced from increase in technology or economy in the last century is doomed to fail.
...
Electronics progress have been fueled by miniaturisation. Electronics in labs now are composant with a width of a few atoms. We can not go much further. Moore's Law will end if not in price$ in energy required.
Cheap and easy energy will end when we will have used all the reserve of Gas. It is not obvious that we will have anything to replace it in time.
So my prediciton is Technological stagnation and chaos.
Unless we manage to make the necessary social changes without war and unrest. I doubt it will be possible. (Time frame ? 50-100 years )
When civilisation re-emerge, it will be in a simpler form helped by technology where technology really helps. No more gadgets (will it be worth living?)
No faster than light spacecraft, no replicator, no light saber, no eternal life, no brain transfer into a computer,
Artificial Inteligence caused catastrophe will happen but less frequently than human made catastrophe.
I don't think so.
I never heard of the direct observation of a monocellular organism evolving into one as complex as a mamifere.
We never observed the big Bang but the CMB and the expansion is as good a data as the evolution of the flu virus every year.
But all of those are indirect observation of the general theory.
With the next generation of telescope, we should be able to see earth size planets around other stars than our sun.
In a few generation, we may see Pluton size objects.
In Our Solar system, we may see shoe size object around pluto. Would that be a moon of Pluto?
Teatcher : What are the name of the 394956874 moons of Neptune?
No, I'was comparing the elite, you may say fundamentalist, on both side.
The ones who think that wearing a condom during sex will send you to hell, such idea comes from people who study theology at University.
Such idea does not come from John Doe who go to church with his wife every sunday and has sex with his secretary during the week.
The scientists are aware thatthe assumption they made may be wrong. Along the years, many such assumptions has been proven wrong, new theory build with new assumption.
If the reason used by catholics is the same used in Intelligent Design, I'm not impress.
This research will be most usefull when you will be able to keep the stem cell line for 100 years.
At conception, one cell of the embryo which will be you, is harvested. Then the embryo is implanted in you genetical mother or in your womb mother or in a canister.
The cell is used to keep a stem cell line alive for the duration of your life.
Later in life, when your liver die from all the vodka you drank. they can use the stem cell to grow you a new one.
Later, you may loose other organs without too much worry, if you have the money.
Isn't that methode just creating a second embryo that could develop into the twin of the unborn
...
...
child this method is supposed to save?
To the newly born child:
Science has saved you. Without such discovery, they would have destroyed you. Now, they had just to create your twin and destroy it
Unless they let the twin grow and remove one of his cells.
Always is a very short period for you. Before the time it's always been, there was a time where we were offering human sacrifice to apease the wind.
...
Science and Religion can NOT co-exist. One is based on reason, the other on faith.
There shouldn't be any 'I believe' in science. And there are very little of reasoning in Religion. But we are all human and we all make mistakes to mix/do things, that we shoud not.
---
Science should not be held back by ignorance, religious or others.
To be more precise, we have to make a distinction between scientific knowledge and scientific methode.
There should be no limits in the scientific knowledges we are pursuing. (I don't want things like : Don't study the Big Bang because you may show that God does not exist!)
There should be limits on what we do with our knowledge. (e.g. don't test nuclear weapon in the atmosphere because it pollute.) Those limits should be set by the community at large using all the knowledge at our disposition. These decision should apply to everybody/everything including but not limited to the scientific methodology.
Can you or can you not destroy an embryo? The origin/reason should not matter: abortion, extra embryo from fertility treatment, scientific experiment,
Before they were stupidly studying very hard to be able recite their lesson at the exams.
Now they have to be ingenous and imaginative to be able to cheat and not get caught.
World beware, the new China is coming.
Small number of plane build means high price. Produce tens of thousands of the same plane and the price will drop. Nothing to do with technological progress or regulation.
Ask Mr Ford.
$200k is the price of a luxury car.
The equipment was never at stake, it was lost the second the launch started.
The survival of both S/C may have been increased by the failure as their orbit was increased by the collision.
Well, some people may want to use another access to the internet than his own. like an open wifi access from a suburb house. If he smokes. he may throw the cigarette butts without thinking.
I talk about the totalitarian authority.
And If It is necessary, when in power, they will force you to register or die. And if you resist, you will probably be turned out by your neighbourg who support the government, not by your name in the DB.
People have this strange idea that dictators have no followers that are happy they are in power and want to help them.
is dicredited in cryptography, why use it in in real life?
is at the mercy of criminals, elected and self-appointed.
It is just more deadly.
very close to Germany, small and higly developped, have nothing to do with the survival rate of Jews, the only reason is the pre-war registration of their religion.
Nice story, the reality is a little more complexe than that.
If you don't slow it up, you will have cargo turning around the sun about in the same way as the Appolo asteroids (http://scienceworld.wolfram.com/astronomy/ApolloA steroid.html). Unless slowed down properly, their orbits will always stay close to earth's orbit.
And guess what, some of those could come back to hit earth as a radioactive meteorites.
Not good.
Increased level of Radiation will increase the rate of mutation and speed up evolution around Chernobyl. In thoushands of years Chernobyl animals will rule the world.
Was seems nice for animals would not be acceptable for human. I don't think that the reasercher have measured the number of miscariage.
Also it is natural that only a fraction of offsprings survive. the earlier they die (due to radiation damage), the easier for their parents to protect/feed the rest.
The difference between a cell phone conversation and talking with a passenger is that a passenger can help you looking at the road and slow the conversation when in heavy traffic.
Someone on the phone will not and will not understand so easily why there is a pause in the conversation because the driver notice something strange.
A passenger have a better understanding of his/her responsibility not to distract the driver than someone in his/her office/living-room.
This is valid for normal peaceful conversation. For fights or seductions as some touching may occur, the physical presence may be an additional distraction and cell phone may be a better solution.
Phone sex would definitely be less distracting than real sex while driving.
Ultrahigh vacuum (UHV) : 10-9 Torr 1 Torr is 133 Pa. It is more particles visiting or leaving the moon.
Considering that we are talking about communication between 2 satellites orbiting 2 differents planets.
The line of sight will be blocked much more often than that by Earth and Mars. there are no stable orbits that would allow permanent line of sight between 2 spacecrafts.
A system to have almost permanent conection would need 2 or 3 geostationary s/c around each body and 1 at the Earth or Mars lagrange point 4 or 5.
For those who praised the superiority of optical communications : The signal would then need to be radioed to the ground unless you live in the Space Station.
To send but not to receive. It is easier to build large radio telescope than optical ones. Also it is easier to use interferometry in radio to locate precisely the signal source.
Here we have an unlimited supply (apple can upload the song as many times as they want) and a limited demand (Nobody need to download a song more than once, nor everybody needs the latest American Idol song). Which would mean a price close to $0. There are still some delivery cost.
Also, all song for $.99 does not take into account the demand variation between the top 10 singles and unknown artist tracks.
At the market level, you may consider that there is a kind of supply/demand in that the big companies fix the prices to get the biggest return/profit possible.