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User: jma05

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  1. Re:Great for India on India Launches Five Foreign Satellites · · Score: 1

    > A power grid that can't be kept up reliably? That's not something customers want to see when you're trying to convince them to let you launch multi-million dollar pieces of equipment up into space.

    Wanna bet? Go to Indian forums and try to find people complaining that no space projects should go on until they get uninterrupted power supply.

    Don't do space projects that get us (or help get in near future) profits in foreign exchange said no Indian ever.

  2. Re:In civilized countries... on Starbucks Offers Workers 2 Years of Free College · · Score: 1

    Civilized countries are not necessarily the same as militarized countries, just as a civilized man is not the same as an armed-to-the-teeth man. We have our gentlemen and we have our soldiers.

  3. Re:Lack of Trust on Parents Mobilize Against States' Student Data Mining · · Score: 1

    > Educational research is profoundly flawed, and often reflected the biases of the researchers.
    > Most education are humanities people, without the decades of training in the scientific process and statistics.

    That's not true. Every one with a PhD is expected to have statistical training. You don't need "decades" of training in stats. Most hard science PhDs don't have that. 4-5 grad courses will generally do. Research projects with any quantitative component will typically consult a statistician for at least a sanity check.

    Scientific process differs from discipline to discipline. As for rigor, it is mostly dependent on subject issues. Rigor is hard in any discipline where human subjects are involved and where the research question involves multiple factors that cannot be easily controlled for (often for the lack of money, since very large samples will be required, if done by the book - so researchers settle for more humble expectations of clarity).

    As you said it yourself, brain research is still not quite operational for everyday use. Isn't brain research (whatever you mean by that: neuro science, psychology, psychiatry?) a hard science? Even something as basic as nutrition science is pretty poor today for the basic questions we have for it. So why have great expectations over education research? Its just the nature of the problem domain.

  4. Re:If he is such a believer of constitution... on In First American TV Interview, Snowden Talks Accountability and Patriotism · · Score: 1

    Snowden did not engage in civil disobedience in the vein of Gandhi/MLK/Thoreau. But that's fine. Civil disobedience is just one type of civil resistance. Civil disobedience only works against petty laws with limited punishment.

    In this case, the legal consequences were dire. Can you name any act of civil disobedience (submitting oneself willingly to punishment as an act of disobedience) that carried the maximum possible punishment of death or life in prison? Gandhi, MLK and Thoreau broke laws where the punishment was just a few days/weeks/months. I am sure Snowden would gladly accept such a punishment if that was the choice, since the current alternative is to spend his whole life, in fear, in a foreign country.

    What he did was different. He broke a law with dire repercussions in his attempt to expose constitutional violations. What you are suggesting is closer to telling the members of the White Rose Movement to willingly expose themselves to the law. Yes, I know: Godwin. A better US example would be demanding the FBI burglars to submit themselves to law. I happen to think the burglars did the right thing by not submitting themselves to the law then. Do you? How do you see Snowden as different from them?

    Unlike the burglars, Snowden could not keep himself anonymous after the leak, since the NSA, unlike the case with the FBI burglary (since the burglars were completely unrelated to the FBI), would have quickly identified him. They sent someone to his house, almost immediately after the leak. So he had to run and go public. And if he ran to the only places that can resist US extradition, without going public as he did, he would have been easily labelled a spy. Going public made that charge not stick with most people. I believe that Snowden, once having chosen to expose the constitutional violations, had no real choices other than the ones he exercised.

  5. Re:A Formula only an Actuary could Love on Why You Shouldn't Use Spreadsheets For Important Work · · Score: 1

    True, but some unintentionally end up encouraging it and some discipline against it by design.
    Its not the possibility that matters, but probability.

  6. Re:So what's the alternative? on Why You Shouldn't Use Spreadsheets For Important Work · · Score: 1

    The problem here (Piketty, as well as Reinhart and Rogoff) isn't simple, data-intensive apps (that would be a business app developer's problem, perhaps you are one). It's demonstrating an innovative, scientific analysis in an easy to review format. These economist papers aren't that data intensive... they usually have much less data than a typical business app.

    https://gist.github.com/vincen...
    (169K as uncompressed text)

    Its the analysis that is the value here. The rather short, and a computationally non-intensive analysis in Reinhart and Rogoff paper triggered financial effects to the tune of probably trillions of dollars across Europe, some would argue prematurely.

    The solution for this problem is a statistical package with a notebook presentation. The ideal case would probably be R with knitr. It allows one to combine snippets of code, with data, output and documentation to discuss the analysis & results in easy to understand chunks.

    IPython notebook is also an excellent alternative.
    Here is a demonstration of how Reinhart-Rogoff paper should have submitted the data.
    http://nbviewer.ipython.org/gi...
    I am sure, someone will do a Piketty one soon as well.

  7. Re:Linux doesn't really have any advantages... on Linux Sucks (Video) · · Score: 1

    > Meh * 2

    Those are your preferences. I have mine. But they are functional features nonetheless.

    > you also get a bloated semantic desktop shoved down your throat for no good reason

    As opposed to Windows (the post I am responding to) not having any features that I don't need?

    > What makes you so sure?

    It's not a question of being sure. I said *better* trust, not absolute trust, which does not exist.

  8. Re:Linux doesn't really have any advantages... on Linux Sucks (Video) · · Score: 1

    Aside from the shell, these are the things I do get with Linux that I don't with Windows, out-of-the-box.

    - Virtual desktops
    - Compiz effects
    - KDE Activities
    - A package manager with a huge package repository
    - All open source libraries that just compile and work. Mingw works, but doesn't quite cut it.
    - No upgrade costs
    - No need to pay for each and every machine/VM
    - Better OS trust in a post-NSA world.
    - Ability to run the latest OS that still receives updates on the weakest hardware (with IceWM).

    What I do miss
    - Speech Recognition
    - Better Text to Speech

  9. Re: KDE 3 on KDE Ships First Beta of Next Generation Plasma Workspace · · Score: 1

    > more awesome at what

    Everything. But if I had to pick one feature, I would say Activities.
    Apparently, they are not still that widely used. But they are the defining feature of KDE 4 and are quite impressive once you understand to exploit them (docs could be better).

    > eye candy?

    KDE 4 does not look good, out of the box (Gnome 3, Cinnamon, Pantheon are what I consider to be good looking DEs, out of the box). With a little tweaking though, it looks as good or better than all my (also tweaked) desktops.

    Right now, I feel that KDE 4 is a potentially great looking desktop, that is the most functional and the most configurable of the lot - just like KDE 3 was in its day.

    The earlier KDE 4 releases were not good. The recent KDE editions are excellent.

  10. Re:This has little to do with copyright law on $200 For a Bound Textbook That You Can't Keep? · · Score: 1

    Same here. I had just one prof who used his own book in his course. He simply gave the draft doc file to the class and said that buying the book is optional. I went to his book signing. He said that these academic books were rarely worth the time costs (since they cater to niche fields and so few get sold) and that his friend who writes fiction makes waaay more. Writing a book to him was more of an honor and about cementing his prestige in the field.

    Now, the publishers might be profiting; I doubt that the profs are... unless the book is widely used across the nation in some popular discipline, and is generally considered a classic textbook.

  11. Bad idea on Opting Out of Big Data Snooping: Harder Than It Looks · · Score: 2

    > Periodically do searches for things you're not remotely interested in

    Any attempt to fight an inexpensive algorithm, with expensive cognitive activity, especially when you have no feedback on how you are effecting the system, is a losing proposition. Fight automation with automation, or just don't bother.

    > Clearly, the best path for people to take is to start feeding misinformation into the system.

    These systems are probabilistic, not deterministic. So, they are pretty much built with the assumption that they won't be getting perfect data. Your occasional misdirections won't mean a thing. They will just go below the threshold of significance.

  12. Re:Or foregoing kids altogether on Women Increasingly Freezing Their Eggs To Pursue Their Careers · · Score: 1

    Fair enough. I don't disagree. It would be expensive to provide incentives to rich, smart people. But perhaps it won't be too hard to provide incentives to poor, smart people :-). Hey, humanities grad students, you will do :-).

  13. Re:Or foregoing kids altogether on Women Increasingly Freezing Their Eggs To Pursue Their Careers · · Score: 1

    > In today's developed countries, there are lots of benefits to not having kids, so people who are smart, intelligent, and wealthy are increasingly avoiding them. Meanwhile, the people likely to have the most kids are people who are less intelligent, poor, have less resources, etc.

    If we, as a society, really believe this reasoning, then there are ways to realign incentives, at least until someone screams: eugenics... because that's what it is.

  14. Re:Obligatory to Obligatory on Women Increasingly Freezing Their Eggs To Pursue Their Careers · · Score: 1

    > If you think I was trying to claim freezing eggs will lead to the decline of human intelligence you're an idiot.

    I don't post based on what you think. I have no access to that info nor should I be expected to. I post based on what you post.

  15. Re:Or foregoing kids altogether on Women Increasingly Freezing Their Eggs To Pursue Their Careers · · Score: 4, Insightful

    Personally, I thought that the opposite is true...that people who have kids are selfish (and I may yet be one among those selfish people - not decided yet)... since they are adding kids to a planet that can do with a lot fewer of them.

    The "replenishment" argument has not made sense in centuries. Not having a baby is the most green thing one can do. Babies have bigger carbon footprints than *anything* else you can have and most probably (unless some revolution of green technologies hits soon) more than everything else you do.

    Parents having children later in life also exerts some downward pressure on population growth, even if we retain fertility rates. So more power to those who choose this technology.

  16. Obligatory to Obligatory on Women Increasingly Freezing Their Eggs To Pursue Their Careers · · Score: 1
  17. Re:Making a Safer World... on Women Increasingly Freezing Their Eggs To Pursue Their Careers · · Score: 1

    Yes, but something tells me that these women would not be wanting to have 3 kids like you, perhaps just the token kid to be a parent at all... or at most two. You can do that at a grandparent age.

    At a later age, I also imagine that a parent would be a bit more wise about being a parent... and generally have a better understanding about how to deal with people, kids or otherwise. A more emotionally mature household might also effect kids differently.

    I am just speculating of course. I wonder what the stats are on fertility rates of parents who start late and take this route. I also wonder what the performance stats of kids are when raised by older parents. I know autism risk goes up, among other things... but that's for unfrozen eggs of natural late motherhood. We know that kids of young parents (as in teen mothers) don't do as well, intellectually, as those from older parents. Does that relationship taper off? or does it continue linearly?

  18. Re:"little influence" on Study Finds US Is an Oligarchy, Not a Democracy · · Score: 2

    This is a fairly common pattern for studies. You have a strong suspicion. Then you do a study, which is to collect and analyze the data systematically. That way, a principled debate may be had and further efforts may refine our understanding. Without basing it on data and method, it will just be a shouting match; your opinion against mine. Politics & ideologies vs. science.

    The common understanding of science - that scientists do studies without some an expectation of results at some level, and simply walk into results in complete serendipity, is a myth. The purpose of studies is also to quantify the strength of expected relationship with a probability of error.

    So yes, doing studies for things you might consider to be common truths is not silly at all.

  19. Re:Not even much money on Intuit, Maker of Turbotax, Lobbies Against Simplified Tax Filings · · Score: 1

    The thing is: this is not *true* capitalism. Adam Smith's core assumption about capitalism working was about people providing services NOT being able to co-ordinate among themselves, price-fix, create non-compete agreements and form monopolies. If anyone is lobbying, buying laws etc. we are no longer talking about capitalism or free market.

    What we see now in advanced (or at least, complicated) markets is not pure capitalism at all. The only relevance of the term today is that it is used as an emotional term in political rhetoric... like freedom. Same goes for *true* communism. Neither is feasible or sensible in the world we live.

    And it is not a choice between these two extremes either. What we have today is something much more complex, with almost a combination of every economic idea that ever was. We need another ground breaking economist to make sense of this all.

  20. Re:Another thing on U.S. Biomedical Research 'Unsustainable' Prominent Researchers Warn · · Score: 5, Interesting

    > The Western world decided to shift from a growth system, where women bear and raise children and the able bodied population slowly increases, to a system where the women enter the work force and children are few in number.

    I will try to give a greater context than what a reading of actuary tables might give a young insurance agent. The roots of the current condition are far deeper than any single social revolution of any generation.

    Yes, women entering the work force had an effect of natural decline in population growth. They were a sort of reserve capacity. Yes, this eventually will have a depressing effect on the economy. We still have some more reserve capacity, namely, expanding the work years of the population in reasonable ways by creating new opportunities for the elderly to be productive and remain engaged in society and be dependent for fewer years. After exhausting that last bit of reserve, we will perhaps truly stagnate.

    However, relying on population growth is no longer sustainable. The human population has not slowly increased in the last few centuries, it had *exploded*. UK, for instance, increased its population by 2x in 1500 years (0-1500) and 20x in the 500 years after. While I am not suggesting that it should implode, it must go into a decline for centuries to come if we expect to thrive on this planet, long term. The environmental pressure and resource drainage initiated by your generation, and continued by ours, is spectacular. The difference between the environmental footprint of poor rural nations and the most prosperous nations today is 100-150x.

    The western (and especially US) experience of abundance since WWII is also anomalous. It relied on the huge productivity differentials from the rest of the world. Now the world is slowly equalizing as the other populations also tap into their reserve capacities. So once again, to expect beyond the prosperity of your generation, baring another fundamental technology revolution, is not reasonable.

    We will stagnate. But in context of what humanity went through, through our history (wars, disease, famine, ignorance), current "stagnation", which may last for centuries, is not that horrible, just mildly annoying. So we won't have even larger houses, trinkets and whatever that we don't really need. Is it really that natural or sustainable for everyone to want vacations on the other side of the planet? We still will lead relatively secure, healthy & engaged lives and that's enough.

    The world was stagnant for much of its history. The growth spurt, the adolescence of mankind, from the industrial revolution onward, will have to slow at some point. The economists are simply wrong to target growth to the exclusion or detriment of everything else (in human growth terms - its wishing for Gigantism or taking steroids: ultimately the piper needs to be paid). It is OK for humans to settle down at this standard of living. We can think of growth once again, after it is viable to leave this planet. Now, more than ever, it is important for humanity to understand satisfaction.

  21. Re:Feet first? on Is Germany Raising a Generation of Illiterates? · · Score: 1

    > They are devised by 20-35 year old academics with little teaching experience and a desperate need to get enough publications to be put on tenure track.

    Do you have any evidence to back that up?
    It is extremely difficult for young academics to get published without data.

    Otherwise, I am calling a BS on your post because there are no such things as 20 year old academics. So it appears that you are pulling things from air. And that would be ironical, since you are the one posting data free assertions.

  22. Re:Singapore on UN Report Reveals Odds of Being Murdered Country By Country · · Score: 1

    That makes absolutely no sense whatsoever. We all read 1984. You don't seem to understand when to apply it. That also goes to the poster with Niemoller quote above.

    I suggest you actually read about Singapore. They have the finest schools in the world and have the most well educated and most well informed public – by objective metrics. They have highest levels of Internet access with no political censorship. They don't have a problem of propaganda. Its not even relevant for a small multicultural city state (with heavy international traffic, no less) that Singapore is. I'd say Singaporeans know world history and world affairs a lot better than citizens of any country, including your own. You should leave your cliches at the door while discussing Singapore. You could not have picked a worse target. If I knew how to get a job there, I would move there.

  23. Re:Singapore on UN Report Reveals Odds of Being Murdered Country By Country · · Score: 1

    First, they came for... what?

    There is no progressive erosion of civil liberties (as you would understand them in US) in Singapore AFAIK. To lose something gradually, you first have to have it. They were always like this and did not get worse.

  24. Re:Singapore on UN Report Reveals Odds of Being Murdered Country By Country · · Score: 1

    > 90% of US murders are committed by blacks against blacks

    That's not true. I think you are confusing total homicide rate with intra-racial homicide rate.
    "93% of black victims murdered by blacks"

    The actual figure is 52%.
    "According to the US Department of Justice, blacks accounted for 52.5% of homicide offenders from 1980 to 2008, with whites 45.3% and Native Americans and Asians 2.2%"

    That said, homicide rate in African-Americans is still very high - "The offending rate for blacks was almost 8 times higher than whites, and the victim rate 6 times higher".

    Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

  25. Re:Singapore on UN Report Reveals Odds of Being Murdered Country By Country · · Score: 4, Interesting

    > Draconian punishments for even minor offenses will make a place safe, doesn't mean that they are doing it right.

    Incarceration rates per 100K
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

    Singapore: 230
    US: 716

    Capital punishment:
    It was true that a couple of decades ago, they did this a lot (ranked 2nd then). Now they seem to be doing it 5 - 10 times less.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...
    4 were executed in 2011. None in 2010.