The crux is 'all get together'. If you have X companies in the market and all but one say 'no', that one just got a lot richer, even if unity would have benefited everyone.
That can be a bit of a toss up. It could be argued that small businesses are even more vulnerable to stuff like this since they tend to not be diversified enough to lose significant chunks of their customer base. Any effect on them is either going to be negligible or disastrous, with much less room for a graceful decline in sales.
Those actually make good examples since ipchains and 2.4 both worked well enough that outside cases that needed new features adoption was pretty slow and mostly followed the cycle of serveris being started up and taken off line.
There is something to be said for 'fine as is'. Changes can cause bugs, changes can cause incompatibilities, changes can require updating skills to understand their impact or how configuration has been altered. When all you need is a tool for completing a task without heavy requirements, stable and predictable can be a real selling point.
One of the reasons I like VirtualBox is it changes so little. I have to worry very little about having to look up new things when all I need is a quick drop in solution for something small. Every time I go back to KVM I feel like I have to go find out 'ok, so how does it work NOW?' and then make sure I find documentation and forums talking about the KVM version in relation to the distribution and its version I am using.
Pretty much this. Security often involves a trade off, and this type of screen locking performs well for the level of security it was intended to establish.
It is kinda sad how it has, in many ways, crossed that bridge,.. and the only thing that seems to stop it from going down a really dark path is the amount of infighting between the various institutions who want to be the winner in such a situation. Our government's own self destructiveness partisanship might be the only thing preventing a dictatorship at this point.
Encryption does not prevent lawful access to data. If law enforcement gets a court order they can always go the person and require them to decrypt something for search. What it does prevent is LEO going to 3rd parties and secretly getting unencrypted data, which is only 'lawful' because they have twisted things to do so. But search where the subject is aware and can examine the order? No change there.
All common encryption does is prevent law enforcement from creating all sorts of new abilities and powers it did not have before, which is a very different thing.
I know people who have an iPad but not an smart phone or laptop.
I have been seeing a lot of pieces over the last few days interpreting the plateau as some sort of failure, which I find rather perplexing since what it probably represents is simple saturation and a good device lifespan.
There seems to be this almost pathological obsession with constant rapid growth and if something is not on the way to dominating it is somehow failing, usually based off people looking around at others like themselves and considering that the only 'market that matters'.
But in the real world there is more than one type of consumer, more than one use case, and as long as there is enough of a user base to keep production costs reasonable then the segment that is best served by tablets is served by them and the device succeeds. The only time this really breaks down is when the market is small enough that it pushes production prices up like we see with, say, monochrome cameras. The people they work well for love them, but there are not enough such people to keep costs reasonable, so they are commercial failures. On the other hand, DSLRs in general have not 'failed' even though they sit between cheap but goodish smartphone cameras and pricy but awesome MF backs, yet sales have more or less plateaued since they are not exactly 'replace every year' devices.
Maybe one lesson here is that a good developer's behavior matches the needs of their domain, which means someone might be a great developer on some types of projects and a lousy match for others.
Innovation is not infinite, there are going to be physical limits at some point, and it is hard to say what is going to be possible, thus even with massive amounts of motivation there may not be a technology that can be innovated enough to make space exploration work.
It should also be noted that the '1-10' estimate was based off bomb types that did not exist and might not even be possible. The people working on Orion operated under the assumption that a particularly clean type of bomb could be developed and based all their estimates and calculations off that not yet existing technology. It was in the form of 'if we can develop a bomb with characteristics XYZ, then we can build a launch vehicle with characteristics ABC', but XYZ did not actually exist and does not represent known capabilities even today. Even within those numbers, we know a lot more about dispersal patterns and effects of radiation today than we did back then. Environmental science was at its infancy at the time and there was a lot of 'the environment can take it, treat XYZ as infinite' back then.
So the environmental and health impact would likely be much greater than 1-10.
Ahm, Orion was not canceled because it was 'successful'. It is true that it competed with other projects and got a political short stick, but Orion had only progressed to the earliest of chemical prototypes and still had significant theoretical and engineering problems to be solved. The best 'near scale' it got was half a dozen chemical explosives pushing maybe a 100 kilos a few hundred meters.
It is easy to paint a rosy picture of what might have been when something does not even get past the drawing stages, but really we have no idea if Orion would have ever worked with the materials of the time, and the 'clean' bomb technology that it depended on never materialized. The designers were extremely optimistic and promised all sorts of fantastic things, but that is what people tend to do when plugging expensive projects, so their hopefulness is not the best metric to determine what the outcome would eventually be.
Not really. While it is easy to blame social convention and some desire to 'not learn', people tend to underestimate just how much of a leg up one gets from previously discovered knowledge and why things moved so slowly for so many centuries. 'Progress' did not happen till certain key discoveries combined with population densities, economic prosperity, and political stability. Not only that but certain critical points had to be reached within certain timeframes, which is why we see so many false starts throughout history where great knowledge was accumulate but then the weather knocked civilization back down. So not 'sillyness', but instead a very difficult hurdle to get over that only seems simple because we happen to be living on the successful side of it.
There was a book a while back, "Rare Earth", that touched on a lot of these issues. One of the possible conclusions is we may actually be the first intelligent species to hit space flight in our galaxy. At some point there has to be a first after all.
That could indeed be at the heart of one of the solutions to the paradox. As a civilization becomes more individualistic and inward focusing, breeding might drop off to the point of extinction. Think about it, if you could live 10,000+ years and have all of your needs (including emotional) met by synthetic means, would you bother having children? How many people would give any thought to the species as a whole continuing if we were not forced to deal with each other?
Across a few billion years, any civilization will pretty much do 'all the things', and even if it moved at a very slow rate would expand to fill the galaxy in a few hundred million years.
As for your scientific 'paradox', that is not really a paradox, more of a straw man.
That is kinda my point. For you it might be 'mild and short term', for a lot of people it is not. It is easy to call people delicate flowers when one is sufficiently pampered that they can consider unemployment 'mild and short term'. That is a much bigger luxury then people often think.
Slashdot Mirror
The crux is 'all get together'. If you have X companies in the market and all but one say 'no', that one just got a lot richer, even if unity would have benefited everyone.
That can be a bit of a toss up. It could be argued that small businesses are even more vulnerable to stuff like this since they tend to not be diversified enough to lose significant chunks of their customer base. Any effect on them is either going to be negligible or disastrous, with much less room for a graceful decline in sales.
Those actually make good examples since ipchains and 2.4 both worked well enough that outside cases that needed new features adoption was pretty slow and mostly followed the cycle of serveris being started up and taken off line.
There is something to be said for 'fine as is'. Changes can cause bugs, changes can cause incompatibilities, changes can require updating skills to understand their impact or how configuration has been altered. When all you need is a tool for completing a task without heavy requirements, stable and predictable can be a real selling point.
One of the reasons I like VirtualBox is it changes so little. I have to worry very little about having to look up new things when all I need is a quick drop in solution for something small. Every time I go back to KVM I feel like I have to go find out 'ok, so how does it work NOW?' and then make sure I find documentation and forums talking about the KVM version in relation to the distribution and its version I am using.
True, this really has not been settled yet.
Pretty much this. Security often involves a trade off, and this type of screen locking performs well for the level of security it was intended to establish.
Or at minimal newbie capitalism. It is no accident that the oldest companies have nice stable growth rates matched up to general economic growth.
It is kinda sad how it has, in many ways, crossed that bridge,.. and the only thing that seems to stop it from going down a really dark path is the amount of infighting between the various institutions who want to be the winner in such a situation. Our government's own self destructiveness partisanship might be the only thing preventing a dictatorship at this point.
Encryption does not prevent lawful access to data. If law enforcement gets a court order they can always go the person and require them to decrypt something for search. What it does prevent is LEO going to 3rd parties and secretly getting unencrypted data, which is only 'lawful' because they have twisted things to do so. But search where the subject is aware and can examine the order? No change there.
All common encryption does is prevent law enforcement from creating all sorts of new abilities and powers it did not have before, which is a very different thing.
Nah, those are 'alternative law zones'. The law when you can fight back is very different from the law the rest of us live under.
I know people who have an iPad but not an smart phone or laptop.
I have been seeing a lot of pieces over the last few days interpreting the plateau as some sort of failure, which I find rather perplexing since what it probably represents is simple saturation and a good device lifespan.
There seems to be this almost pathological obsession with constant rapid growth and if something is not on the way to dominating it is somehow failing, usually based off people looking around at others like themselves and considering that the only 'market that matters'.
But in the real world there is more than one type of consumer, more than one use case, and as long as there is enough of a user base to keep production costs reasonable then the segment that is best served by tablets is served by them and the device succeeds. The only time this really breaks down is when the market is small enough that it pushes production prices up like we see with, say, monochrome cameras. The people they work well for love them, but there are not enough such people to keep costs reasonable, so they are commercial failures. On the other hand, DSLRs in general have not 'failed' even though they sit between cheap but goodish smartphone cameras and pricy but awesome MF backs, yet sales have more or less plateaued since they are not exactly 'replace every year' devices.
Maybe one lesson here is that a good developer's behavior matches the needs of their domain, which means someone might be a great developer on some types of projects and a lousy match for others.
Innovation is not infinite, there are going to be physical limits at some point, and it is hard to say what is going to be possible, thus even with massive amounts of motivation there may not be a technology that can be innovated enough to make space exploration work.
It should also be noted that the '1-10' estimate was based off bomb types that did not exist and might not even be possible. The people working on Orion operated under the assumption that a particularly clean type of bomb could be developed and based all their estimates and calculations off that not yet existing technology. It was in the form of 'if we can develop a bomb with characteristics XYZ, then we can build a launch vehicle with characteristics ABC', but XYZ did not actually exist and does not represent known capabilities even today. Even within those numbers, we know a lot more about dispersal patterns and effects of radiation today than we did back then. Environmental science was at its infancy at the time and there was a lot of 'the environment can take it, treat XYZ as infinite' back then.
So the environmental and health impact would likely be much greater than 1-10.
Ahm, Orion was not canceled because it was 'successful'. It is true that it competed with other projects and got a political short stick, but Orion had only progressed to the earliest of chemical prototypes and still had significant theoretical and engineering problems to be solved. The best 'near scale' it got was half a dozen chemical explosives pushing maybe a 100 kilos a few hundred meters.
It is easy to paint a rosy picture of what might have been when something does not even get past the drawing stages, but really we have no idea if Orion would have ever worked with the materials of the time, and the 'clean' bomb technology that it depended on never materialized. The designers were extremely optimistic and promised all sorts of fantastic things, but that is what people tend to do when plugging expensive projects, so their hopefulness is not the best metric to determine what the outcome would eventually be.
Not really. While it is easy to blame social convention and some desire to 'not learn', people tend to underestimate just how much of a leg up one gets from previously discovered knowledge and why things moved so slowly for so many centuries. 'Progress' did not happen till certain key discoveries combined with population densities, economic prosperity, and political stability. Not only that but certain critical points had to be reached within certain timeframes, which is why we see so many false starts throughout history where great knowledge was accumulate but then the weather knocked civilization back down. So not 'sillyness', but instead a very difficult hurdle to get over that only seems simple because we happen to be living on the successful side of it.
Biblically you can not keep humans as property, for certain values of 'human' at least. That is the moral loophole, not everyone is a person.
There was a book a while back, "Rare Earth", that touched on a lot of these issues. One of the possible conclusions is we may actually be the first intelligent species to hit space flight in our galaxy. At some point there has to be a first after all.
That could indeed be at the heart of one of the solutions to the paradox. As a civilization becomes more individualistic and inward focusing, breeding might drop off to the point of extinction. Think about it, if you could live 10,000+ years and have all of your needs (including emotional) met by synthetic means, would you bother having children? How many people would give any thought to the species as a whole continuing if we were not forced to deal with each other?
Across a few billion years, any civilization will pretty much do 'all the things', and even if it moved at a very slow rate would expand to fill the galaxy in a few hundred million years.
As for your scientific 'paradox', that is not really a paradox, more of a straw man.
Hrm, can't argue with that logic.
I am suspicious of any C coder (myself included) who does not acknowledge this basic problem ^_^
Yeah, but claiming people are saying that is a great way to shut them up.
That is kinda my point. For you it might be 'mild and short term', for a lot of people it is not. It is easy to call people delicate flowers when one is sufficiently pampered that they can consider unemployment 'mild and short term'. That is a much bigger luxury then people often think.
Damn it, now I want a glass of milk.