if i was an international terrorist I would make use of Sony's helpful rootkit. i just buy one of the decadent western cds from sony, play it on my machine then rename planToBlowUpBlair.doc to $sys$planToBlowUpBlair.doc...
Some potential gain or loss based on predictions is required for any kind of accurate forecast in a prediction market.
Betting markets were recently shown to be more accurate than opinion polls in predicting election results. Accuracy here will only follow from the "put your money where your mouth is protocol" this will eliminate predictions based on politics, humour, indifference, ignorance etc.
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if i was an international terrorist I would make use of Sony's helpful rootkit. i just buy one of the decadent western cds from sony, play it on my machine then rename planToBlowUpBlair.doc to $sys$planToBlowUpBlair.doc...
Some potential gain or loss based on predictions is required for any kind of accurate forecast in a prediction market. Betting markets were recently shown to be more accurate than opinion polls in predicting election results. Accuracy here will only follow from the "put your money where your mouth is protocol" this will eliminate predictions based on politics, humour, indifference, ignorance etc.