Sony's achievement used helical scan -- IBM's is with linear tape, which is much more commonly used for data storage. Also, Sony used evaporated metal tape. IBM used the economical "dual-coat" tape, which is a newly created formulation of Fuji Photo Film's NANOCUBIC tape.
Unfortunatley, the Library of Congress doesn't say give any TB or PB equivalent for their collections. Over the years, I've seen statements of the size of their text only equivalent -- the LoC has lots of images, maps and photos that wouldn't be counted in this metric -- rise from 2 to 10 TB.
The Big Trend: A newly unshackled Microsoft, free of Department of Justice harassment, once again becomes a force to be reckoned with, mostly to the detriment of AOL-Time Warner and Sun Microsystems. Windows will move up into more mission-critical areas.
The Unconventional Wisdom: Linux will turn out not to be the savior everyone thinks. Customers will begin to realize that IBM doesn't "give" you "free" Linux--unless you pay through the nose for hardware and services. Someone might notice that it's been 10 years since Linus Torvalds created Linux and there's still not a decent desktop version that an ordinary person can use. Someone also might notice that Red Hat's sales aren't growing very much, and that the company only shows a profit when it fiddles the numbers around into an "adjusted" basis, not when it follows GAAP rules.
The Misplaced Assumption: Web services won't take off because nobody -- including CIOs and IT managers -- seems to know what Web services are. And when you ask Microsoft, Sun and IBM, they don't seem to know either.
The Watch List: Veritas Software, maker of software that manages data-storage equipment, will face a challenge this year from EMC and Hitachi Data Systems -- makers of storage hardware who are now trying to move into storage software. The hardware guys have a problem -- they want their software to run on not just their own boxes, but everyone else's too. Thing is, Hitachi and IBM don't want to help EMC create software for their boxes. And EMC doesn't want to help Hitachi with its software. While the hardware guys snipe at each other, Veritas is staying neutral. Its stuff runs on everyone's hardware. Customers like neutral. Veritas has an opportunity here.
The Bold Prediction: IBM buys Veritas. Microsoft buys a movie studio.
The 2003 predictions by other Forbes reporters can be selected at: http://www.forbes.com/2002/12/19/sp03_home.html
You can check out Gordon Moore's original paper via this Intel site -- http://www.intel.com/research/silicon/mooreslaw.ht m -- which says Moore's Law refers to "an exponential growth in the number of transistors per integrated circuit..." The notable chart in the paper itself has on the vertical axis: Log (base 2) "of the number of components per integrated function."
Sony's achievement used helical scan -- IBM's is with linear tape, which is much more commonly used for data storage. Also, Sony used evaporated metal tape. IBM used the economical "dual-coat" tape, which is a newly created formulation of Fuji Photo Film's NANOCUBIC tape.
n ews.20060516_magnetic.html
For more details, and magnetic force microscope images of the bits themselves, see: http://domino.research.ibm.com/comm/pr.nsf/pages/
Check out the details, including comparisons to LTO-3, and magnetic force microscope images of the bits themselves here: http://domino.research.ibm.com/comm/pr.nsf/pages/n ews.20060516_magnetic.html
Unfortunatley, the Library of Congress doesn't say give any TB or PB equivalent for their collections. Over the years, I've seen statements of the size of their text only equivalent -- the LoC has lots of images, maps and photos that wouldn't be counted in this metric -- rise from 2 to 10 TB.
Here's a link to Dan Lyons' 2003 predictions:
y _5 .html
http://www.forbes.com/2002/12/19/sp03_technolog
The Big Trend:
A newly unshackled Microsoft, free of Department of Justice harassment, once again becomes a force to be reckoned with, mostly to the detriment of AOL-Time Warner and Sun Microsystems. Windows will move up into more mission-critical areas.
The Unconventional Wisdom:
Linux will turn out not to be the savior everyone thinks. Customers will begin to realize that IBM doesn't "give" you "free" Linux--unless you pay through the nose for hardware and services. Someone might notice that it's been 10 years since Linus Torvalds created Linux and there's still not a decent desktop version that an ordinary person can use. Someone also might notice that Red Hat's sales aren't growing very much, and that the company only shows a profit when it fiddles the numbers around into an "adjusted" basis, not when it follows GAAP rules.
The Misplaced Assumption:
Web services won't take off because nobody -- including CIOs and IT managers -- seems to know what Web services are. And when you ask Microsoft, Sun and IBM, they don't seem to know either.
The Watch List:
Veritas Software, maker of software that manages data-storage equipment, will face a challenge this year from EMC and Hitachi Data Systems -- makers of storage hardware who are now trying to move into storage software. The hardware guys have a problem -- they want their software to run on not just their own boxes, but everyone else's too. Thing is, Hitachi and IBM don't want to help EMC create software for their boxes. And EMC doesn't want to help Hitachi with its software. While the hardware guys snipe at each other, Veritas is staying neutral. Its stuff runs on everyone's hardware. Customers like neutral. Veritas has an opportunity here.
The Bold Prediction:
IBM buys Veritas. Microsoft buys a movie studio.
The 2003 predictions by other Forbes reporters can be selected at: http://www.forbes.com/2002/12/19/sp03_home.html
-- Mike
You can check out Gordon Moore's original paper via this Intel site -- http://www.intel.com/research/silicon/mooreslaw.ht m -- which says Moore's Law refers to "an exponential growth in the number of transistors per integrated circuit..." The notable chart in the paper itself has on the vertical axis: Log (base 2) "of the number of components per integrated function."
New and old photos of the IBM Microdrive can be viewed here: http://www.wirephoto.net -- Mike