Domain: kicktraq.com
Stories and comments across the archive that link to kicktraq.com.
Comments · 8
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Re:Thanks for the tip!Here is an example with fake pledges: http://www.kicktraq.com/projects/exatogames/day-one-garrys-incident-0/#chart-daily. If you look at the day 2 stats, $26,720 raised from 34 backers or almost $800 per backer. Someone put in a few large fake pledges to try to "kick start" the funding.
This game creator also tried to remove a bad youtube review with copyright infringement request even though they gave a license key to that reviewer.
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Re:Free publicity
True, there is usually a jump towards the end, but (in my experience, anyways) about 1/3rd of the total funding comes in the first few days, and about half of it by half-way through (a fairly typically big-budget well-announced crowdfunded project looks like this curve, in my experience). This announcement could result in a significant boost, but not a 24 million dollar boost. No way. At most, I'd predict they'll reach $16 million (a more reasonable guess is around $13 million), which is fantastic for a crowd-funded project. $32 million just won't happen.
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Re: Not many big projects to judge by
No it didn't, it had a very normal progression from what I can tell. I assume in this graph the green is the average daily amount predicting the total earned. http://www.kicktraq.com/projects/1461411552/elite-dangerous/#chart-exp-trend
Compare that to the graph in the article with the diagonal line, see how successful projects generally stay above the line (the diagonal one in the article, the flat one in my link). The edge is already well below it unfortunatly, and is quite early in funding. It shouldn't dip below until quite late in a campaign of at all, and it should never get anywhere near as low as it is now.
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Not many big projects to judge by
Elite: Dangerous looked the same as Ubuntu Edge's progress in the early stages, and it got funded.
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Re:This is odd
You must be remembering it wrong. Kicktraq shows steady progress over the project, and a surge of backers about three days ago:
http://www.kicktraq.com/projects/1458134548/arkyd-a-space-telescope-for-everyone-0/#chart-daily
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The last link is bogus.
I've done a Kickstarter and watched quite a few Kickstarters. One thing I have learnt is that you should NEVER trust Kicktraq's projections in the first week or so; it is ALWAYS overestimating by a hell of a lot. It doesn't matter if you're a little campaign with a goal of $2400 or a big one with a goal of $700,000. You will get a tiny fraction of what Kicktraq estimates in the first few days.
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The last link is bogus.
I've done a Kickstarter and watched quite a few Kickstarters. One thing I have learnt is that you should NEVER trust Kicktraq's projections in the first week or so; it is ALWAYS overestimating by a hell of a lot. It doesn't matter if you're a little campaign with a goal of $2400 or a big one with a goal of $700,000. You will get a tiny fraction of what Kicktraq estimates in the first few days.
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Re:Win 8
Notable, perhaps, that the Kickstarter campaign is almost halfway through its allotted time, and has raised less than half the required funds. For a project as huge and well supported as VLC, £40,000 should be easy. Maybe a Slashdot story will give them a boost (probably the reason it was submitted in the first place), but that's hardly certain considering the Slashdot crowd's opinion of "Metro" apps.
Looking at its progress, it seems like it achieved almost all of its current funding on day one, stagnated for almost 2 weeks (even net losing pledges on one day), before receiving a spike today (presumably because of this article).
http://www.kicktraq.com/projects/1061646928/vlc-for-the-new-windows-8-user-experience-metro/