Will Rambus Go Bust?
retep writes: "32BitsOnline has a interesting article about how the new memory standard RAMBUS may go bust. Essentially a bunch of missteps with Intel's Camino chipset, high costs, the rise in popularity of alternative CPU's such as the Athlon and a lack of performance may prove its undoing. I remember a story in Wired just a year or two ago praising RAMBUS for its innovative tactics; look what's happened now."
dissecting rambus
don't always trust the hand that feeds you
nuff said.
Part of the licensing deal with RAMBUS prohibits you from saying bad things about it publicly. But you can judge what the industry thinks about it by their actions. The Itanium demo box is a good example. Also, Nintendo never criticized the RAMBUS in the N64, but they aren't using it for the Dolphin.
I've always been wondering - On my motherboard (Epox EP51-MVP3E-M, VIA MVP3 chipset), my BIOS has an option for DRAM bank interleaving. Is that option actually DOING anything at all? I find it somewhat hard to believe that such a basic mobo (Super7, $100 1.75 years ago) has bank interleaving.
I have the option enabled, although I haven't done any benchmarks. No obvious performance diff. Any suggestions on how to benchmark whether this option does anything?
retrorocket.o not found, launch anyway?
is a higher latency. This means the CPU has to wait longer until the memory is read, but can read memory faster from then on.
The consequence of this is that compilers would have to be optimized for that kind of memory access - i. e. accessing a few pages is expensive (and slow) under Rambus, slower than under SDRAM. Accessing many pages is more effective.
The question is, why did Intel chose this kind of tradeoff? Was there no alternative that did not increase the latency by the factor of 10 (according to the link to Tom's hardware)?
The real problem with Rambus is that Intel tried to squeeze the market for RAM, the same way it has tried with chipsets, graphics, and networking. And it is getting kicked in the teeth everywhere. Didn't they learn anything from IBM's MCA disaster?
You're dead right on the Rambus pricing issue - it costs way too much. Part of that is the royalty factor, but it's more (right now) caused by low yields on Rambus parts and a very small amount of makers. There's no flood of RDRAM on the market to drive prices down the way there is with SDRAM. If yields were equivalent to SDRAM and more people were making the parts, the prices would be a lot more competitive, but still somewhat pricier because of the royalty issue.
As far as USB/Firewire goes, though - it isn't royalties that have slowed Firewire acceptance. Intel had included USB in every chipset since the LX several years ago - in fact, USB support was in silicon before any OS had support for it. That's why it was on motherboards - It's part of the chipset whether or not you want it, so you might as well build the ports. Firewire royalties are tiny (below $1/port), and it's split between Apple and the other patent holders (I believe TI and Canon are in the group, too). Firewire would have been adopted quicker had Intel followed through with their earlier plans to include it in newer chipsets.
The other thing that sped acceptance of USB versus Firewire is that USB 1.0 was ready a (relative) long time ago, and Firewire is only a couple of years old. The DV cameras that really take advantage of Firewire have just begun to be priced approriately for the casual camcorder buyer. Sony and Apple build the ports onto virtually all their systems, and are selling them as fast as they can build them.
Also a Good Thing for USB - since the CPU controls the bus and it's a simple protocol, it's well-suited for cheap, simple peripherals like modems, digital still cameras, low-end scanners, audio devices, etc. Firewire aims a lot higher.
- -Josh Turiel
-- Josh Turiel
"2. Do not eat iPod Shuffle."
When Rambus was being designed, EDO RAM was the current standard, and Rambus is competitive in a head-to-head with EDO - with latencies in the same class or faster but much better transfer speeds. SDRAM was intended as a stopgap measure to provide a memory technology that could keep up with the faster Pentium/Pentium II systems during the wait for Rambus to make it to market. But a few things happened to screw it all up:
SDRAM took off as a standard, and other chipset makers adopted it - and extended it to PC100 and PC133 from the original PC66.
CPU speeds accelerated faster than anyone planned (a year ago, 600 MHz was state of the art!)
Rambus was late to market, as were the systems designed to use it. This gave SDRAM more of an opportunity to become entrenched.
Rambus has proven to be difficult to manufacture to this point, with horrible yields.
And finally, SDRAM turned out to be a lot more scalable than anyone anticipated at the beginning.
If Intel had expected DDR PC133 SDRAM, Rambus might never have made it out of the starting blocks in the first place. But given the lead time on their chipset and CPU design cycles, they had to make a call based on what the trend appeared to be - and they bet on the wrong one. The 810 chipset is a lot more important to Intel right now than they had expected it to be, and the 815 wasn't even planned - they also were hoping to retire BX by now. Some of their supply problems of late have been driven by this misforecast. When the dust settles, I expect to see Rambus slowly squeezed out of the mainstream and Intel to quietly write off their investment. It seemed like a good idea at the time...
- -Josh Turiel
-- Josh Turiel
"2. Do not eat iPod Shuffle."
Two stories of interest on The Register right now.
The first one says that Kingston Technologies is dropping prices on some of its Rambus RIMMs, 35% average, and as much as 68%.
The second one says "Micron...will demo three platforms using double data rate (DDR) memory at WinHec 2000 in New Orleans next week."
Look for a dual processor platform, a dual processor dual controller platform for the workstation and server markets, and a uniprocessor system, all running 266MHz memory modules and using a 133MHz front side bus.
Yes, it's been very entertaining readng the Register articles about how everybody kept badmouthing Rambus and the stock price kept climbing in response, until the other day when investors finally tripped over a clue.
I see even classic Slashdot is now pretty much unusable on dial up anymore.
All you need to do is look at the current street prices for RAM.
I can get PC-100 SDRAM for about US$100-$110 per 128 MB DIMM; PC-133 SDRAM for about US$130-$145 per 128 MB DIMM; and 800 MHz RDRAM for about US$700 per 128 MB RIMM.
No wonder people aren't so interested in RDRAM. If my guess of US$180-$195 for a DDR-SDRAM 128 MB DIMM is true, then NOBODY is going to buy RDRAM in the long run.
Raymond in Mountain View, CA
BTW: In about 5 years -- 2004 -- the same calculations show that I'll be using the equivelent of a 2.8 Ghz PII system...and that's behind the curve. Top of the line systems will be about as fast as a PII running at 7.5 Ghz
Well, there are problems with raw clock speed. I realize you said 'as fast as', implying you weren't expecting the raw MHz levels, but just to check with other people...
At 1GHz, a cycle time is 1ns. In 1ns, light will travel roughly 30cm... about a foot. Electrical signals in traces about half that. So if your high-speed bus lines are more than six inches long, the clock at one end of the board will be a full cycle ahead from the other end. At 7.5 GHz, the electrical signals will travel 2cm: less than an inch. With the synchronous CPU designs in use now, everything running at the higher speed has to be smaller than that amount.
Solutions? The usuals: decrease the feature size to shrink the CPU; integrate more circuitry onto the CPU itself to avoid long traces; separate the CPU clock from the system clock even further... the unusual one is to design a more asynchronous CPU, that doesn't require a single clock standard across the whole chip. While there's been a fair bit of work done on that, it requires throwing out one of the great simplifying design assumptions, and makes verifying the correctness of the design a whole lot harder.
-- Bryan Feir
Moore's Law was intended to be a mandate (to Intel's engineering and marketing departments) as much as it was intended to be a prediction. So, it shouldn't be a shock that Intel has followed through on their promise to double performance/price every 18 months.
As an engineering road map, Moore's Law has made Intel one of the largest corporations in the world and very, very rich. Why change it? I'll guess that your forecast for 2004 will be spot on.
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Business. Numbers. Money. People. Computer World.
Intel initally agreed to include 1394 as a standard feature in their motherboard chipsets. This would give pretty much universal FireWire adoption for almost no cost to the end user, just like USB.
Then they changed their mind, and instead have been chasing USB 2.0. One thing to realize that since IBM went off with the PS/2, Intel has basically been controlling the PC spec, especially since they basically control the chipset market. I wonder if they were afraid to let third parties, including Apple, control one of the standard features in a PC.
(As for camcorders being the most obvious application -- Sony plans to push iLink across their entire product lineup. As Digital TV and other things become more widely adopted, there will be more consumer pressure for 1394 on PCs. It's the applications, stupid! USB had much more obvious applications, because PCs had always lacked a good standard external expansion bus. All that parallel port crap was quickly and happily killed in the face of USB.)
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Business. Numbers. Money. People. Computer World.
Microsoft was actually the biggest thing holding USB back for many years. They were in charge of writing the Windows drivers (duh), but they were years late and very buggy.
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Business. Numbers. Money. People. Computer World.
EISA was plug-n-play, working in a very similar manner to MCA. Certain ISA cards could also be allocated on EISA machines (3Com NICs, for example).
And EISA did catch on -- in the pre-PCI days Compaq used it heavily in their successful server line up. Because IBM was basically MIA in the PC server market in those days, I would guess that by 1995, EISA had a much larger installed base than MCA.
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Business. Numbers. Money. People. Computer World.
Like Firewire to add USB costs money.
To be precise $ 0,25 a port.
Contrary to firewire where this fee is split in 7 the fee for USB goes directly to Intel.
Are you certain about this? As far as I know, royalty-free licenses are available for the core USB 1.1 specs, and that these licenses are handled by a non-profit consortium (The USB-IF, I think it was?) that Intel set up together with Microsoft and a bunch of other big companies.
Also, I believe that Intel plans to (but has not yet officially announced) to also offer free licenses for USB 2.0.
Finally! A first post that.
1) Doesn't contain the words "first" or "post"
2) Is actually funny.
The technology for RDRAM is a little dated, it was being developed to contend with EDO RAM which was a slow beast. Rambus RAM does have the capability to reduce its latency to where it is about the same speed as SDRAM, the problem lies in Intel's chipset with only a single memory channel. DDRSRAM is really cool because the fab process is so much similar to regular SDRAM which means we can pick it up for a low price. The DDR people claim a 2.6GB/s transfer rate which is true but that is burst transfer, it fairs much worse under sustained transfer. Given a good chipset and better fab techniques RDRAM could feasibly end up all over the place. The real killer with Rambus is the stupid licensing, if they would lower their fees a good deal and let volume make up the difference everyone would be much happier.
I'm a loner Dottie, a Rebel.
Nobody really likes new technologies that add significant cost through royalties -- see FireWire (ahem) IEEE 1394. USB was free, which is why everyone had those controllers on their motherboards years before they had anything to plug into them.
Wrong!!!
Like Firewire to add USB costs money.
To be precise $ 0,25 a port.
Contrary to firewire where this fee is split in 7 the fee for USB goes directly to Intel.
At first you had to pay $ 1- a port for Firewire to the Firewire consortium (existing of Apple, Sony, JVC, Intel (yep, Intel is a member of it too!!!) and 3 other company's.
Second, because Intel did build USB in their chipsets USB was on the market a little bit longer.
The biggest problem was not the availibility of USb but the drivers and support.
That's the biggest difference between Firewire and USB.
Firewire is a much more mature technology and is aimed at video and data storage instead of input and output devices like mouses and printers.
Every interleving method I've seen implemented gave each bank of ram it's own set of control and data lines. When an access was fired off it was done to both banks. Bank one was used for odd addressed memory words and bank two got even addressed memory words. When the data cam back from the ram it was all loaded into the MB cache. On average (asuming random accesses, the next word of memory is in the cache hald the time. In pratice code accesses are helped the most as one uses long sequential words of memory. Data acheives a better than 1.5x speedup as often you have data locality as in stack frames and records.
What ever happened to interleaving memory banks for more speed? It does raise the pin counts, but package technologies have been developed that mitigate that. I have an old 486DX2-66 motherboard that does interleving between two banks of ram. Each cache load loaded two memory words into the external cache instead of one. It won't lead to better write performance, but read rates will nearly double (You get something like a 1.8x effective increase).
Here's hoping that Rambus goes down the flaming road to hell, and that the majority of the non-corporate investors bail out before they get hurt too much more.
...Open Source isn't the only answer -- but it's almost always a better value than the alternatives...
If ye'd been readin' dis-a-here line-o-talk very well you-da known dat da ticket for RAMBUS eez much more eexpenseeve than da Greyhound, can'ta go uppa da hills very queek, and will probably go wheels up afore you get to CA.
, BTW, whatcha been smokin' and where can I get some?
...Open Source isn't the only answer -- but it's almost always a better value than the alternatives...
Well, I can tell you that yesterday at COMDEX, I saw an Itanium chip running in a demo box. When I asked what kind of ram it was using, I was told that it was PC133. When I asked why it wasn't using RAMBUS, the guy stuttered and said that he wasn't allowed to comment on rambus. 'Nuff said.
"Klaatu, verada, necktie!" -Ash
Alright, some one out there in moderator space, stop downchecking the trolls and boost this one up to 5, please. Excellent.
I often wonder about why some articles are accepted and others are rejected on /.
This post is encrypted twice with ROT-13. Documenting or attempting to crack this encryption is illegal.
-Aaron
This post is encrypted twice with ROT-13. Documenting or attempting to crack this encryption is illegal.
Rambus is already bust, look at how much problem it has caused already, and all the flaws with it, no one wants a kludge on their motherboard.
Wazzzzup!!!!
------ Curiosity killed the cat. {satisfaction brought it back | it didn't die ignorant | lack of it is killing mankind
So you're saying that a company that manages to make, say, 50 million dollars a year is completely worthless, and that you have to make billions a year in order to be a *real* company?
Dunno where you got that. What I am saying is that the relatively small volumes Sony commands aren't going to be enough to materially alter the market economics of scale. In DRAM, ( volume => low cost ) and ( low cost => volume ) which should be recognizable as positive feedback. Whoever loses the edge in volume will effectively disappear, and you can bet that Sony engineers are furiously preparing a contingency product using DDR SDRAM.
Lacking <sarcasm> tags,
It will be interesting to see how the Alpha 21364 performs, putting the controler on the chip might sort out some of the latency issues, but something will still need to be done about the heat (perhaps a shrink).
Shrinking RDRAM doesn't do that much for the power consumption. That's because the worst of the power is in the RAC, which sucks (apt term in this case) so much (juice) because it's an open-drain constant-current analog interface driving many milliamps onto the I/O lines. The DLL also gobbles electrons. Neither of these get smaller or less power-hungry with process technology, which puts RDRAM on a nasty track in cost and yield terms. (And no, I really don't want to go into why they don't scale.)
As for Sony, the situation has changed. Obviously a different system controller would be needed, but present DDR parts provide more bandwidth than the RDRAMs do with about the same pincount, less power, and fewer external components. Check out the memory on the GeForce boards.
Lacking <sarcasm> tags,
RAMBUS memory is being used in the PlayStation 2. Considering that 2 million systems have shipped in Japan and the PS2 hasn't been released to the rest of the world yet, I think RAMBUS is going to get some nice business. Remember, the original PlayStation has sold over 75 million units.
This isn't even in the noise. DRAM volumes are measured in millions per day, not per year. Industry unit volumes are on the order of thirty billion devices per year. Somehow I doubt that Playstations will make a serious impact on that.
Lacking <sarcasm> tags,
Granularity - don't discount this one. Presently DIMMs are made with 8 chips, each organized with X8 outputs. That says that 64Mb technology makes 64MB DIMMs. It also says that 256Mb technology makes 256MB DIMMs, even though mainstream PCs today are only now making the transition from 64MB to 128MB. That's part of the reason we've dropped the 4X-per-generation habit, and are bringing out 128Mb SDRAM, because the market just isn't ready for 256Mb. 512Mb and 1Gb are on the drawing boards and early hardware now, so this problem is going to get worse. A single 1Gb chip holds 128MB. (Obviously)
Which is why DDR parts are moving to x16 wide rather than x8 for the largest volumes. Remember when DRAM was x1 and only a few x4 parts were around? x32 and x64 are on the roadmap for later generations. Basically, the width grows more slowly than the devices' size because the increasing appetite for RAM (thanks, Bill!) keeps raising the level of granularity that anyone really wants (who does 32 MB main-memory granularity any more?) Small systems are a bit different, which is why graphics controllers use x32 parts today.
Lacking <sarcasm> tags,
Not a troll????
Sure IBM made $$ from MCA, BUT it cost them
marketshare. Yours is the first comment from
inside or outside IBM that hasn't concluded
that MCA was an unmitigated disaster for IBM.
1000 SlashDot sigs
RAMBUS memory is being used in the PlayStation 2. Considering that 2 million systems have shipped in Japan and the PS2 hasn't been released to the rest of the world yet, I think RAMBUS is going to get some nice business. Remember, the original PlayStation has sold over 75 million units.
Speaking from the perspective of working for an unnamed memory vendor, Rambus isn't doing so hot. We currently offer 64MB and 128MB of PC800 RDRAM and haven't sold a single unit while every day we ship out 60+ units of SDRAM. Even propriatary 512MB Kits of Sun SPARC Memory is doing better sales-wise. RDRAM has a very limited future if these sales trends continue.
"AOL, CIA, NSA, whatever, they all collect information, and they are all out to screw the american public"
Intel's chip sets and processors are the problem. Thier processors can only handle a data bus of 64bits @ 133Mhz. When you put memory on a chip set at the other end of this, a single rambus chanel exceeds the bandwidth available on the data bus. The latency sucks because you have the latency through the chipset added to the inherent latency of the Rambus protocol.
However Rambus (and other serial memory interfaces) greatly reduce the pin count necessary for a given bandwidth. A performance system could use this to put the memory controller on the processor eliminating one part of the latency. Also multiple memory channels could be put in one system to increase the total bandwidth.
The current designs from Intel is just a hack of thier current chipset and do not try to take advantage of the possibilities.
Doesn't it ring a familiar tune. People have to pay royalties just to make RAMBUS technology. What on earth were they thinking!
mark
...don't tie your company's future to one company's success, even/especially if it is Intel.
the broader your market, the broader your sales.
Didn't wired also say that interactive movies, push content and Iridium were 'the next big thing'. Look where they are now.
By the way, that was just in the last three months.
When I'm singing a ballad and a pair of underwear lands on my head, I hate that. It really kills the mood.
-Tom Jones
If it didn't make things even more offtopic, I would like to be set straight...
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Nobody really likes new technologies that add significant cost through royalties -- see FireWire (ahem) IEEE 1394. USB was free, which is why everyone had those controllers on their motherboards years before they had anything to plug into them.
Rambus would have a great chance if it was not commanding a 500% premium, and perhaps cost only 10-15% more than current SDRAM. If they can get the prices down, which they will not, Intel would have been able to release a four channel solution that would significantly reduce its latency (this is coming) and increase its performance. As the technology became financially reasonable for everyone to use, mass production would bring the price down even further.
Besides, who wants to go back to paying 1995 prices for RAM?
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E2 IN2 IE?
The Register has been running on ongoing series of stories about how Rambus is a huge conspiracy and anybodywho invests in them is a dupe.
God bledd The Register. Between BOFH and the pin they poke in the New Economy bubble, it's essential reading.
-carl
. We've got computers, we're tapping phone lines, you know that ain't allowed - Talking Heads, "Life During Wartime"
Just a note of information for those who've read too much badly written English and therefore can be excused for not knowing better: when comparing points that differ, you compare one with the other — "Lead is very heavy compared with hydrogen"; when comparing things in order to pick out similarities, you compare one to the other — "Shall I compare thee to a summer's day". Having said all that, the verb "compare" is probably not the best choice in this case. But I can understand that you were in a hurry, as I am now, and didn't have time to parse your headline :)
BTW thanks for the interesting information.
Adam:What kept you?
God:Rome wasn't built in a day
The bandwidth/pin count ratio is very important for servers that need huge bandwidth. You can almost put 3 rambus interfaces on a chip for the pin cost of one DDR SDRAM interface. That's something that will make many chip designers take a good hard second look at Rambus
Also, something Tom Pabst never really covered was how much of the Camino performance pitfall was due to the chipset and how much was due to the memory protocol; it's perfectly possible to implement a MUCH more efficient Rambus memory controller than Camino does.
Having said all this, I think Rambus screwed up in many ways; they are notoriously arrogant in the industry, created a product that doesn't yield well, and tried to decommodotize a market, which, although possible, is definitely going against the flow in the industry. But that doesn't mean their technology is uninteresting or that Intel was smoking something when they decided to back Rambus.
DDR SDRAM would have taken a lot longer to come about if JEDEC thought they were sitting pretty with the next generation of mass-produced DRAM.
Yet another great sign that the Wintel monopoly is broken. How long can it be before Microsoft is no longer regarded as a monopoly in their own right? Weeks (Kernel 2.4), Months (KDE 2) or Years (US DoJ does something or wine runs all windows apps), or simply until we make the world believe?
Never underestimate the dark side of the Source
I think Rambus has already seen the writing on the wall. Too little, too late. So what's the company left to do? Well I think it's obvious considering all the lawsuits they have filed.
I'm not an EE nor a patent lawyer so I cannot say if they have a legit claim. If they did win however, they will have some deep pockets to dip into.
I wouldn't could them out. Not yet at least.
-- It ain't over till it's over.
Proprietary standard + 5 times as expensive = going to go bust
Yes, rambus is better than what we have now, and it might even be better than DDR (debatable), this is irrelevant though. A Ferrari is technically superior to a Camaro in hundreds of ways, yet they are very rare to see. History is full of failed superior propietary standards. This one will be no different.
The 64 for SDRAM vs. the 16 for RDRAM is not number of pins but bus width. RDRAM has a 2-bit bus while SDRAM has an 8-bit bus. So RDRAM needs to be clocked 4 times as fast as SDRAM just to provide the same throughput.
More recent articles on Tom's:
Dissecting Rambus: the March 15 article that perhaps (?) triggered Rambus' recent stock dump.
Rambus Revisited: Second article, April 3rd.
This isn't as much "normalization" as it is "don't take so many drugs when you're designing tables."
Now if only I could optimize gcc for rambus memory.. :)
-- We should kill all the intolerant people in the world.
Two forenotes:
1 - I've been involved in the design of DRDRAM for several years, now. I've been in memory design for 18 years, also. I'm slightly more informed on this than the average geek-on-the-street.
2 - I really don't like the principle behind DRDRAM. Proprietary things are supposed to eventually become commodities, not the other way around. Memory has long been THE commodity in a computer, and here they are trying to make it go the other way. But it's technically interesting, my contributions won't make or break the whole scheme, and the kids gotta eat.
Cons:
Fundamentally, for at least the near future, it simply takes more silicon to implement the Rambus interface. No matter how much learning you do, that area doesn't go away. Perhaps after the spec stabilizes fully, it may be possible to come up with better fully custom circuit implementations, but that's at least a little ways in the future. Plus in the performance race, it's possible that the spec may never stabilize sufficiently before a given generation is obsolete.
It's very complex. My boss would have slapped me silly had I ever even thought of coming up with this. In years past I've been slapped silly for coming up with stuff a fraction of this complexity.
Latency - Obvious, though there is a second side to this, under Pros.
Wash:
The frequencies are high, and the margins tight. I suspect EVERYONE is going to have to cope with the same realm, sooner or later. DRDRAM is simply a bit ahead of its time on this on, and is taking the pain, first. I remember when it was tough getting the whole chip to run at 100MHz for SDRAM, or even 150nS for page mode DRAM.
Pros:
Granularity - don't discount this one. Presently DIMMs are made with 8 chips, each organized with X8 outputs. That says that 64Mb technology makes 64MB DIMMs. It also says that 256Mb technology makes 256MB DIMMs, even though mainstream PCs today are only now making the transition from 64MB to 128MB. That's part of the reason we've dropped the 4X-per-generation habit, and are bringing out 128Mb SDRAM, because the market just isn't ready for 256Mb. 512Mb and 1Gb are on the drawing boards and early hardware now, so this problem is going to get worse. A single 1Gb chip holds 128MB. (Obviously)
Pin count - As more integration happens, the reduced pincount of DRDRAM may become a bigger factor. It's a simple matter of 168 vs 55, though the 55 need to be at a higher frequency. It's simply easier to integrate a DRDRAM interface and have enough pins to do all of those other things, like an AGP bus.
Banking (Latency) - While simple latency is poorer, under situations with multiple threads of access (multithreading and/or DMA streams) the higher bank count of Rambus becomes an advantage. If a bank is left open, or even if it has just been closed following a prior operation, you need to wait a 'restore time' before you can access that bank, again. With DRDRAM there are usually more accessable banks, so odds are better that the next access will be to a bank that is currently closed. Even if the simple latency is longer, if you don't have to pay the 'restore time' penalty, the effective latency becomes shorter. This doesn't show up unless you have multiple memory access streams, though.
No summary
The living have better things to do than to continue hating the dead.
The author explains why he thinks DDR SDRAM is better dan DRDRAM and shows once again that MHz isn't everything.
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Donate free food here
What everyone seems to be forgetting here is that Rambus is in lots of other markets besides PC memory, which it clearly isn't going to be good for. However, I'm sure that it will become dominant as an interconnect technology in routers, and it also has a bright future in embedded systems. Will all of this justify the current valuation? Probably not. But the company certainly has prospects to have continued profitability for several years.
A well-crafted lie appears unquestionable - Dama Mahaleo
The business market really is the sweetest of them all, businesses don't care about price as much as end users and they upgrade regularly.
CPU speeds accelerated faster than anyone planned (a year ago, 600 MHz was state of the art!)
A little while ago, I did a quick and dirty calcualtion using Moore's law vs. my first computer, an 8088 @ 4.77mhz. I didn't look at any computers that I purchased since 1984, only the original. I did account for the speed benifits from improvements in 286, 386, 486, PI, and PII systems, not just raw Mhz.
The results? Damn close to what I'm using now.
So, if I can predict 15 years of CPU speeds from by using Moore's law and an old 8088 as input data, why can't manufacturers?
BTW: In about 5 years -- 2004 -- the same calculations show that I'll be using the equivelent of a 2.8 Ghz PII system...and that's behind the curve. Top of the line systems will be about as fast as a PII running at 7.5 Ghz.
A firewall can not protect you from yourself. Turn off what you do not need. Do not use the firewall to do your work.
Just took a look at RMBS on the nasdaq. The stock is valued at a P/E of 452 while selling at 170$. That's crazy considering what we are seing technology-wise. Imagine the drop when/if Intel finally pulls the plug. Ouch! Doomster
if only you were a moderator...
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... then wouldn't a more clever title have been rambust? sorry, its early and i need sleep. i realize that was unforgivably stupid.
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I didn't think that IBM's MCA program was a disaster.
Absolutely right. The disaster was that IBM wanted everybody to pay retroactive royalties on the ISA stuff they had used, which prompted the creation of EISA: a faster, 32-bit, backwards-compatible ISA bus. IBM is pretty lucky it never caught on. As it is, everyone just continued using ISA, since it was the lowest common denominator, and MCA choked and died. With MCA's death came the demise of Plug&Play. (No, really----you just put the card in, swapped the reference and options (drivers) disks a couple of times, and it ran!)
~~~LXT~~~
Life is like a computer program: anything that can't happen, will.
... a Beowulf cluster of these?
Thank you.
Rambus is floundering because they thought that they could ride the Intel gravy train all the way to the bank. While innovative a year ago, Rambus is getting slow and fat from eating off of Intel's plate for too long. When will companies learn to never stop innovating?
-cibrPLUR
I just wanted to say one thing... D-Flip-flop yeah.