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Intel's Roadmap For the Future

A SV reader writes "SharkyExtreme just posted the confidential Intel desktop roadmap for CPUs. Intel is really pushing AMD with a Tulatin at 1.26GHz. and a Pentium4 at 2GHz shipping Q3 of 2001. Also -- Intel is not abandoning RDRAM but they are adding support of DDR memory. The bottom line is that Intel is developing SDR/DDR SDRAM chipsets for future Intel processors."

34 of 135 comments (clear)

  1. Roadmap by Signal+11 · · Score: 3
    Well, if the roadmap is anything like Intel's usual meanderings we'll hear nothing but "Are we there yet, are we there yet?"

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    1. Re:Roadmap by Rader · · Score: 2
      Oh, no kidding! Intel's roadmap could be drawn by a 5 year old kid. "And then...and then... and then.."

      Tom's Hardware had a nice editorial at the beginning of the year, talking about where Intel and AMD would be by the end of the year. He showed even back then, that Rambus would be a bust, and when the rest of the world caught on, Intel would try to change course... but Intel is too huge to change course that quickly.

      This isn't really a plug or anything, but Tom's site was right on, 9 months later. AMD is kicking butt, their Thunderbird & Duron sets are working as promised, and Intel is still hyping vapor.
      "Let's release a comparable chip speed to deflate AMD's wind", but then ship only a few hundred?

      I don't care "who wins". I like the AMD prices, but have always suffered a speed hit, (I'll live). But I hate these type of marketing tactics. IBM did it back in it's waning PC days. Microsoft just did with the XBox crap. (ooh... they're coming out with a platform that will be better than the P2... in 20 months? duh.)

      Oh well. Do your homework. Intel's lies are starting to show. Check out the hardcore sites that have nothing to gain or lose either way. You can't even get that kind of objectivity from the evening news.

      Rader

    2. Re:Roadmap by FFFish · · Score: 2

      Heck, I was muttering that as I tried to use the website. Could Sharkey's have less information per page?! My god, it's just painful to use that site -- and several of his competitor's sites.

      It's not like they actually get paid for each page download, is it?

      The webmasters of these hardware review sites would do themselves a favour if they tested their designs. I seriously doubt they're getting more click-throughs with this mini-page design. If they are, well, then, I'm just weird.

      Last time I was at Anandtech, I was able to use a dropdown menu to leap to the concluding remarks. I loved that: cut to the chase; if it turns out I'm interested, I'll go back read the rest of the review.

      When I come across a design like Sharkey is using, I tend to give up before I get to the end. I know that someone else will publish much the same information, or will convienently summarize it for me in a weblog.

      Sharkey, are we there yet?

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  2. Overclocker... by Gefiltefish · · Score: 2

    Intel: The World's Biggest Overclocker

  3. Sounds like Intel's really pushing Intel... by ethereal · · Score: 2
    Intel is really pushing AMD with a Tulatin at 1.26GHz. and a Pentium4 at 2GHz shipping Q3 of 2001.

    ...considering their past problems above 1 GHz. Maybe they should get their current chips working right in quantity first, m'kay? This is more vaporware from Chipzilla - don't believe it until you see it.

    --

    Your right to not believe: Americans United for Separation of Church and

  4. 'xcuse me, highly confidential? I don't think so. by CodeShark · · Score: 3
    The text introducing the link leads one to believe that someone got their hands on an internal company document such as the Halloween documents (someone post the URL, if needed, please) which caused Microsoft so many problems.

    Even if some of the details were supposed to be "highly confidential", the fact that Intel employees were giving information to what is essentially a content website erases that idea somewhat.

    The information may be completely accurate or not, but it is the writer(s) at Sharkey Extreme who have put together the roadmap which we are reading, not Intel.

    --
    ...Open Source isn't the only answer -- but it's almost always a better value than the alternatives...
  5. And we keep pedaling faster by DunkPonch · · Score: 3

    It's a little embarrasing how easily we get passed by RISC-powered motorcycles, but we can always pedal our little CISC bicycles a little faster.

    Sure, we get hotter and sweatier. Sure, we burn up even more energy. Yes, we know that 13% of all electricty used in the world is for powering computers (according to a recent U.N. summit). And we all know that most of the electricity is being generated through burning fossil fuels.

    Maybe we like 80-day droughts in Texas thanks to global warming.

    None of that matters, though. It's too much work to move to more efficient processor designs. Why scratch our heads over big-endian/little-endian translations when we can just slap on a bigger heat sink and cooling fan? Why give up our flying toaster screen savers?

    Let's stick to our 1970's-architecture processors for now. It was good enough for our pocket calculators, it will be good enough for mapping the human genome. Maybe we'll even find a way to alter our DNA so our skin is UV-resistant and our bodies need less water.

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    The real DunkPonch is user 215121. Everyone else is Bruce Perens.
    1. Re:And we keep pedaling faster by Chalst · · Score: 5
      RISC won the IC design wars. Inside every modern CISC processor beats a RISC heart.

      RISC lost the instruction set wars, however. Once it was realised that you can translate CISC into RISC using a patch of silicon, the advatanges of switching from coding in CISC to coding in RISC sort of evaporated: you *can* have your cake and eat it.

    2. Re:And we keep pedaling faster by Anonymous Coward · · Score: 2

      Arggg! more of this CISC is now RISC crap.

      Here is a pretty good (though incomplete) explanation why modern x86 processors are not equivalent to RISC processors:

      http://www.realworldtech.com/page.cfm?ArticleID= RWT021300000000

      Stop spreading 5 year old Intel marketing lies.

  6. They don't have much choice but to push by Hanzie · · Score: 3

    Now that were going to have some "AMD SMP lovin," even on the cheap Durons, Intel is really going to be feeling a pinch.

    Especially since the new mobo's supporting this are going to be arriving soon.

    I'm putting off the current upgrade until I can get one of these babies.

    Intel, meanwhile, has removed SMP support from the Celerons. Oops, bad timing.

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  7. That name, hmm... by uradu · · Score: 5

    ...is it just me, or does Tulatin sound suspiciously much like Too-Late-in? Just a thought...

    1. Re:That name, hmm... by yorgasor · · Score: 2

      It is horribly misspelled. The real name is Tualatin (Too-Alla-Tin), as anyone in the Portland, OR area could tell you.

      --
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    2. Re:That name, hmm... by Angst+Badger · · Score: 2
      Well, except that it's Tualatin, named after the Portland satellite city of the same name, which is where I happen to work. It's roughly pronounced tuh-WA-lah-tin. Be wary of placing too much faith on the spelling of Slashdot stories.

      And for the record, Willamette is pronounced wi-LAM-met, not wi-lam-MET. Don't ask me why; I'm originally from Tennessee and I think Oregonians talk funny, too. ;-)

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      Proud member of the Weirdo-American community.
    3. Re:That name, hmm... by uradu · · Score: 2

      > Be wary of placing too much faith on the spelling of Slashdot stories.

      Well, I took advantage of the opportunity and ran with it. It would be a very fitting name anyway.

      > [...] and I think Oregonians talk funny, too.

      He, he, and that coming from a Southerner. Go figger...

  8. Credibility by Alternity · · Score: 2

    With the recent problems with 1Ghz supplies and the instability of the 1.13 Ghz how credible is that roadmap?

    I mean, sure they might release those CPUs at those given time... but they also released 1Ghz about 8 months ago and I still have troubles finding one. I don't think AMD should be really worried by that.


    "When I was a little kid my mother told me not to stare into the sun...

    --


    "If liberty means anything at all, it means the right to tell people what they do not want to hear"
    1. Re:Credibility by jallen02 · · Score: 2

      This is mildly off topic but I have something to point out now. Intel and AMD in their ultimately stupid pissing contest have flooded the market with chips and will continue to do so. They are going to be so fierce in pushing out these bad @$$ systems that they are not stopping to really smell the roses, not like they would ever give each other the choice. Intel wants to stay on top, AMD wants to be on top just for once at any cost (no AMD is not on top Intel still out sells them a lot)

      Okay so Billy Joe bob bought a 600 MHz PIII with 128MB of ram, chances are billy joe bob isnt going to NEED another system to run anything in the near future at least 3-5 years.

      With SO many chips out there, most investors are making Intel and AMD just decent buys now not strong buys.

      This pissing contest does create a plethora of cheap powerful chips, but if the demand starts dropping off for them (which it is predicted it will) then these companies have essentially hurt themselves.

      They are right now creating a market full of bigger/faster chips and thats great but I have heard a saying work smarter, not harder and for some reason it seems to fit here.

      Do more with the same, not more with more. Meaning please start redesigning processors that are more friendly, yes I know its not always possible and there is a tradeoff somewhere.. But I think the tradeoff should be a lot less.

      Jeremy

    2. Re:Credibility by Alternity · · Score: 2

      Is probably because I hate to buy complete systems from companies like Dell or Compaq or whatever... I prefere to go to a local store and buy my PC piece by piece and build it myself. I think it gives you more freedom and sometimes even better prices than to buy prebuild PCs.

      Now to come back to my point I asked a couple of retailers in here (Montreal, Canada) and none of them can get any Ghz Pentium but all answered telling me that they could get an athlon.

      Sure no one even needs that much raw power on the desktop, but god if you say you will release a CPU please release it and make it available!
      We will see how things turn out but I have not been impressed by Intel lately...


      "When I was a little kid my mother told me not to stare into the sun...

      --


      "If liberty means anything at all, it means the right to tell people what they do not want to hear"
  9. Excellent by Icebox · · Score: 2
    I'm not sure how credible this roadmap is but I hope at least the plans for different memory types are correct.

    Make boards for several types and let us pick which ones work best. Maybe that would stick the proverbial fork in RDRAM.

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    Icebox
  10. AMD to outgun Intel until Q32001? by hattig · · Score: 5
    Intel are only moving their PIII line to a 0.13 micron process in Q3 2001, that is when the 1.26GHz PIII will be released. That is nearly a year away.

    AMD promised a speed step upgrade of the Athlon every 6 weeks - it started with the 1.1GHz Athlon a few weeks ago - the 1.2GHz Athlon should be released by the beginning of October. 1.3GHz in November, and 1.4GHz at the beginning of the new year. The Athlon is the PIII competitor - they have roughly the same amount of zoom in them, both 0.18micron at the moment etc. The Pentium 4, when it is released, will be a hugely expensive processor, trying to compete with Alphas from Compaq and Power3/4 processors from IBM. It is not going to compete for the desktop, corporate or home for at least a year.

    So AMD will be outgunning Intel for another 6 months, possibly 9 months in terms of GHz and overall performance (ignoring the Pentium 4, as it really should figure here, and even so, the overall performance of the Athlon 1.3GHz is likely to be more than the 1.5GHz Pentium 4!)

    Still, good to see Intel going with DDR SDRAM at last, and the move to 0.13micron fabs is great - although 1 taiwanese fab is already there and making stuff. AMD are going 0.15micron, probably using Motorola technology there, as the G4's were 0.15 micron...

  11. Tualatin pushing AMD? by SpinyNorman · · Score: 3

    I assume that was a joke?

    AMD will be at 1.2GHz THIS year, not Q3/2001!

  12. SMP vaporware by ArchieBunker · · Score: 2

    You talk of intels vaporware but where are the SMP athlon chipsets? AMD claims the athlon can be used in dual or quad states but so far no one has made even a prototype. Intel isn't going anywhere in the high end server market until AMD comes up with a SMP design.

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    Only the State obtains its revenue by coercion. - Murray Rothbard
  13. Why? by Tet · · Score: 2
    Where is that market for a 2GHz desktop chip? Sure, there will always be people that need more power, but hardcore gamers, CAD/CAM modellers and other extreme power freaks account for a tiny proportion of the market. The vast majority just want to be able to run a word processor, an email applciation and maybe a web browser or spreadsheet. You can do that with a 300MHz CPU. Even allowing for W2K's bloat, and animated helpers and CPU-consuming fluff all over the place, I can't see where the need for that much CPU horsepower is going to be coming from. Intel's marketing department are going to have their work cut out.

    PS. Note that I'm talking about desktop CPUs here (which is what the roadmap is about). Servers are an entirely different matter.

    --
    "The invisible and the non-existent look very much alike." -- Delos B. McKown
    1. Re:Why? by Goonie · · Score: 2

      Video editing. Believe me, it's going to be huge.

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      Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from a rigged demo
      --Andy Finkel (J. Klass?)
    2. Re:Why? by Tet · · Score: 2
      Was it you a year ago crying that there was no market for 1GHz chips? You'd be foolish to say that now.

      Would I? I'll never claim that there's no market for high performance chips, but I still can't see a mass market demand for 1GHz CPUs. Yes, Intel/AMD's marketing depts may be able to convince the world that there's a need, and thus artifically create a demand, but in reality, very few people have a need for chips that fast.

      --
      "The invisible and the non-existent look very much alike." -- Delos B. McKown
  14. They're really going at it! by Ndog · · Score: 3

    In an unprecedented move today, Intel announced that they would be taking the processor battle to another level, changing there previous policy of one press release a month to one a week. They stated that they will be announcing the release of faster processors weekly, a move that clearly has competitors worried.

    In related news, AMD quickly responded by announcing a new, faster processor press release will go out twice a week, a policy that could be revised as soon as December.


    Spooon!

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    -N
  15. Re:When did Intel become bad? by swb · · Score: 2

    I've noticed this for a long time. Intel is the enemy, regardless of what they do.

    I forget the entire list of past transgressions, but I'm sure they included expensive, NDA-bound programmer's guides, the Pentium bug(s), weak real-mode/graphics support for Pentium Pro, the ID number fiasco, weak power management, lack of elegance, and lately I think its been for just not shipping 1+Ghz chips in large quantities.

    But hey, it's Slashdot politics. If its not being managed by a global team of non-Americans for the betterment of Linux, there's something evil about it.

  16. You idiots - this isn't intel's road map by angel · · Score: 2

    This is stupid. You post a link to some one else's story, and they clearly state that it isn't from intel. It is just what they think. "This information is not from Intel nor is it solid fact."

  17. RISC vs. CISC: the Post-RISC Era by Hard_Code · · Score: 2

    ArsTechnica has a pretty decent article:

    RISC vs. CISC: the Post-RISC Era

    http://www.arstechnica.com/cpu/4q99/risc-cisc/rv c-1.html

    (please support my karma whoring...slashdot is eating my karma for some reason ;)

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  18. Re:When did Intel become bad? by Fervent · · Score: 2

    Do other chips from manufacturers outside the major two (AMD and Intel) currently make a chip that runs on an Athlon board?

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    - I don't care if they globalize against free speech. All my best free thoughts are done in my head.

  19. Not a confidential Intel Document by DLG · · Score: 2

    #1. This is not a confidential intel roadmap, nor is it even represented to be one. It stipulates all that on the first page.

    #2. Even if it was direct from the horses mouth (or Intel's) it would not be meaningful except historically. Intel has been lately forced to rush their chips to match market forces where for years they were able to determine their pace of innovation on their own. As such we have watched them flounder.

    #3. As to WHO needs 2ghz chips, who needs more than 640k ram? In 5 years we have to assume that applicaitons will be much more involved on some levels. The idea of wordprocessing might be dead by then, with dictation as the primary purpose. Multimedia interactive reports might be the norm, and pure text might be considered retro...

    #4. Multiple Processors would be nice if we had truly modular computers. I would love to see a computer which you can just snap together from parts and increase in ram, processors, storage, and such without any limitation, and without turning off machines. Anyone wanna give me some money to create it?

  20. Re:100% compatible? No, and I have proof! by AFCArchvile · · Score: 2
    Take a look at Maximum PC's article about the Athlon and GeForce (original GeForce). The specifications for the original GeForce called for an Intel Pentium II, III, or 100% compatible. Now from what you say, it should've worked. But it didn't. There were thousands of Athlon owners who couldn't even get Windows 98 to run straight (this was before Win2K was released).

    As for the chipset, my 440BX is at about 90F. The DDR RAM chips on my GeForce 2 are usually about 110F. My P3 is about the same. I dare you to stick your finger on the 750 chipset and the CPU itself. Chances are, you can't even hold it on there for more than 300 milliseconds before getting scorched by the 180F heat.

    As for the boards, at least mine wasn't built in a sweatshop. Speaking of foreign, I'm guessing that you are of either German or Russian nationality. Considering that AMD is funded by the German government, the very fact that you step right up to their defense solidifies my theory. "They are %100 percent compatible." Isn't that a little redundant?

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    "Ancillary does not mean you get to rule the world." --U.S. Circuit Judge Harry Edwards, speaking to the FCC's lawyer
  21. Anyone else worried about radiation? by AFCArchvile · · Score: 2

    I checked the electromagnetic spectrum, and microwaves (specifically, the frequency used in the kitchen appliance) are 2.5 GHz. Is there anyone else worried that their CPU could become a magnetron?

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    "Ancillary does not mean you get to rule the world." --U.S. Circuit Judge Harry Edwards, speaking to the FCC's lawyer
    1. Re:Anyone else worried about radiation? by be-fan · · Score: 2

      Maybe you should comfort yourself in the fact that we've got a government. And the government checks to make sure harmful things don't reach consumers. Hell, they'll take you to task for not putting "Caution: Hot things may be hot" on the side of your mugs, and you think they'll let microwaves get through?

      --
      A deep unwavering belief is a sure sign you're missing something...
  22. Re:damn hardware review sites by AFCArchvile · · Score: 2

    It's because these sites lack something that the printed magazines possess: credibility. They're too afraid to put something in print, they might be wrong, or worse, the company might sue them. But think about it: why aren't reputable computer manufacturers using AMD CPUs? Dell, HP, Micron, they don't use anything AMD, not even their SCSI or network controllers. Their servers are Xeon, their workstations are P3. These companies would rather avoid trouble with AMD when the chip makers gets busted for consorting with the German government to take over the world. As far as AMD's deals are concerned, I believe that they are forming a secret faction with the German, Russian, and Chinese governments to build a fourth reich.

    --
    "Ancillary does not mean you get to rule the world." --U.S. Circuit Judge Harry Edwards, speaking to the FCC's lawyer